FinalWin Prob.pScore
2637%96
109
2163%101
114
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
102.810697.3
MIA logo MIA
107.510694.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA109
0%
114
100%
OT1 - 0:11.0SACA. Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)109
0.2%
114
99.8%
OT1 - 0:11.0SACMISS A. Miller Free Throw 1 of 2108
0.2%
114
99.8%
OT1 - 0:11.0SACKings Rebound108
0.3%
114
99.7%
OT1 - 0:12.0SACMISS McCallum 1' Driving Layup108
0.1%
114
99.9%
OT1 - 0:16.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)108
0.4%
114
99.6%
OT1 - 0:16.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)108
0.5%
113
99.5%
OT1 - 0:17.0SACMcCallum 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)108
0.9%
112
99.1%
OT1 - 0:25.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)105
0.3%
112
99.7%
OT1 - 0:25.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)105
0.4%
111
99.6%
OT1 - 0:27.0SACMcLemore Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)105
0.7%
110
99.3%
OT1 - 0:27.0SACMISS McLemore Free Throw 1 of 2104
0.6%
110
99.4%
OT1 - 0:31.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)104
0.9%
110
99.1%
OT1 - 0:31.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)104
1.1%
109
98.9%
OT1 - 0:33.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)104
1.7%
108
98.3%
OT1 - 0:34.0SACMISS McLemore 3PT Jump Shot104
2.2%
108
97.8%
OT1 - 0:50.0MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)104
6.9%
108
93.1%
OT1 - 1:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)104
23.1%
105
76.9%
OT1 - 1:14SACMISS A. Miller 12' Jump Shot104
27.0%
105
73.0%
OT1 - 1:32MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)104
37.3%
105
62.7%
OT1 - 1:32MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)104
40.7%
104
59.3%
OT1 - 2:02SACA. Miller 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Gay 5 AST)104
47.0%
103
53.0%
OT1 - 2:18SACCousins REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)102
40.1%
103
59.9%
OT1 - 2:19MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 2102
38.0%
103
62.0%
OT1 - 2:19MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)102
32.2%
103
67.8%
OT1 - 2:35SACCousins 1' Layup (27 PTS)102
35.3%
102
64.7%
OT1 - 2:37SACCousins REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)100
30.0%
102
70.0%
OT1 - 2:38SACAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)100
20.9%
102
79.1%
OT1 - 2:39SACGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)100
30.0%
102
70.0%
OT1 - 2:40SACAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)100
20.9%
102
79.1%
OT1 - 2:42SACCousins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)100
30.0%
102
70.0%
OT1 - 2:43SACMISS Gay 17' Jump Shot100
20.9%
102
79.1%
OT1 - 2:59MIAWade 17' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)100
29.8%
102
70.2%
OT1 - 3:20SACCousins 2' Layup (25 PTS)100
35.8%
100
64.2%
OT1 - 3:21SACCousins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)98
30.2%
100
69.8%
OT1 - 3:22SACMISS McCallum 2' Driving Layup98
22.0%
100
78.0%
OT1 - 3:42MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)98
29.8%
100
70.2%
OT1 - 4:01SACMcCallum 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Gay 4 AST)98
37.2%
98
62.8%
OT1 - 4:16MIAWade 20' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)96
29.5%
98
70.5%
OT1 - 4:47SACAndersen STEAL (1 STL)96
37.1%
96
62.9%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Andersen vs. Cousins: Tip to A. Miller96
47.2%
96
52.8%
Q4 - 0:02.0SACMISS Gay 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup96
43.3%
96
56.7%
Q4 - 0:23.0SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
58.5%
96
41.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot96
49.5%
96
50.5%
Q4 - 0:40.0SACA. Miller 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)96
33.4%
96
66.6%
Q4 - 0:47.0SACA. Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
22.0%
96
78.0%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot94
18.3%
96
81.7%
Q4 - 1:07SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)94
13.6%
96
86.4%
Q4 - 1:07SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)93
12.2%
96
87.8%
Q4 - 1:32MIAWade 1' Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)92
11.0%
96
89.0%
Q4 - 1:50SACCousins 2' Layup (21 PTS) (A. Miller 8 AST)92
17.7%
94
82.3%
Q4 - 2:00MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)90
11.9%
94
88.1%
Q4 - 2:11MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
25.6%
91
74.4%
Q4 - 2:12SACMISS A. Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
29.6%
91
70.4%
Q4 - 2:36MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)90
40.5%
91
59.5%
Q4 - 2:59SACWade STEAL (2 STL)90
46.3%
89
53.7%
Q4 - 3:15MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)90
61.0%
89
39.0%
Q4 - 3:15MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)90
63.3%
88
36.7%
Q4 - 3:30SACMcCallum Foul Turnover (P2.T20)90
67.0%
87
33.0%
Q4 - 3:49MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)90
72.9%
87
27.1%
Q4 - 3:49MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)90
74.4%
86
25.6%
Q4 - 3:54MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
79.2%
85
20.8%
Q4 - 3:55SACMISS McCallum 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
81.2%
85
18.8%
Q4 - 4:03SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
85.2%
85
14.8%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot90
83.6%
85
16.4%
Q4 - 4:28SACGay 2' Layup (27 PTS) (A. Miller 7 AST)90
79.7%
85
20.3%
Q4 - 4:37SACCousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)88
73.6%
85
26.4%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
71.1%
85
28.9%
Q4 - 4:56SACA. Miller 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)88
65.0%
85
35.0%
Q4 - 5:22MIABeasley 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)86
53.9%
85
46.1%
Q4 - 5:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
61.3%
83
38.7%
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
67.0%
83
33.0%
Q4 - 5:48MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
61.4%
83
38.6%
Q4 - 5:49SACMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
64.0%
83
36.0%
Q4 - 6:11MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)86
66.7%
83
33.3%
Q4 - 6:22MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
77.7%
80
22.3%
Q4 - 6:23SACMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 186
78.5%
80
21.5%
Q4 - 6:43MIAChalmers 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)84
73.1%
80
26.9%
Q4 - 6:49SACJohnson STEAL (1 STL)84
77.9%
78
22.1%
Q4 - 7:00MIABeasley 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)84
83.3%
78
16.7%
Q4 - 7:17SACKings Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)84
84.0%
76
16.0%
Q4 - 7:18SACCousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
87.7%
76
12.3%
Q4 - 7:19SACMISS A. Miller 12' Jump Shot84
85.3%
76
14.7%
Q4 - 7:41MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)84
87.8%
76
12.2%
Q4 - 8:05SACCousins 1' Layup (19 PTS) (McCallum 6 AST)84
81.9%
76
18.1%
Q4 - 8:31SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)82
78.0%
76
22.0%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 282
77.4%
76
22.6%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 282
74.3%
76
25.7%
Q4 - 8:35SACChalmers STEAL (4 STL)82
73.2%
76
26.8%
Q4 - 8:46SACA. Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
78.0%
76
22.0%
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
76.6%
76
23.4%
Q4 - 9:04SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)82
70.9%
76
29.1%
Q4 - 9:04SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
69.9%
76
30.1%
Q4 - 9:08SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
66.0%
76
34.0%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Beasley 16' Step Back Jump Shot80
64.3%
76
35.7%
Q4 - 9:25MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 280
60.3%
76
39.7%
Q4 - 9:25MIAChalmers Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (10 PTS)80
55.8%
76
44.2%
Q4 - 9:27SACChalmers STEAL (3 STL)80
65.9%
75
34.1%
Q4 - 9:38MIABeasley 3' Driving Layup (14 PTS)80
71.2%
75
28.8%
Q4 - 9:50SACWalker STEAL (2 STL)80
75.8%
73
24.2%
Q4 - 10:05SACKings Rebound80
77.8%
73
22.2%
Q4 - 10:06SACMISS McLemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
74.9%
73
25.1%
Q4 - 10:29MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)80
77.9%
73
22.1%
Q4 - 10:37MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
84.6%
70
15.4%
Q4 - 10:38SACMISS Casspi 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
85.5%
70
14.5%
Q4 - 10:56MIAEnnis 2' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)80
87.5%
70
12.5%
Q4 - 11:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
88.1%
68
11.9%
Q4 - 11:03SACMISS Gay 5' Jump Shot80
88.8%
68
11.2%
Q4 - 11:12SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
90.3%
68
9.7%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Beasley 15' Turnaround Jump Shot80
89.7%
68
10.3%
Q4 - 11:38SACGay 1' Layup (23 PTS) (A. Miller 6 AST)80
88.3%
68
11.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
86.0%
68
14.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound78
83.1%
68
16.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
85.2%
68
14.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
81.5%
68
18.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0SACMISS A. Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
82.4%
68
17.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)78
84.5%
68
15.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0SACWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)78
87.0%
66
13.0%
Q3 - 1:02MIABeasley 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)78
87.7%
66
12.3%
Q3 - 1:15SACWilliams Dunk (10 PTS) (Casspi 2 AST)78
89.7%
64
10.3%
Q3 - 1:37MIAWalker 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)76
87.9%
64
12.1%
Q3 - 1:53SACWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
89.8%
62
10.2%
Q3 - 1:53SACWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
89.3%
62
10.7%
Q3 - 2:01SACA. Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
86.0%
62
14.0%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Ennis 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
85.3%
62
14.7%
Q3 - 2:15MIAHEAT Rebound74
83.6%
62
16.4%
Q3 - 2:16SACBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)74
84.4%
62
15.6%
Q3 - 2:33MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)74
86.1%
62
13.9%
Q3 - 2:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
88.1%
60
11.9%
Q3 - 2:43SACMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot74
88.7%
60
11.3%
Q3 - 2:54SACGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
90.0%
60
10.0%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
89.5%
60
10.5%
Q3 - 3:19MIAHEAT Rebound74
86.9%
60
13.1%
Q3 - 3:20SACWalker BLOCK (3 BLK)74
87.5%
60
12.5%
Q3 - 3:35MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
88.9%
60
11.1%
Q3 - 3:35MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
89.3%
59
10.7%
Q3 - 3:37MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
90.4%
58
9.6%
Q3 - 3:38SACWalker BLOCK (2 BLK)74
90.9%
58
9.1%
Q3 - 3:49SACGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
92.0%
58
8.0%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Johnson Dunk74
91.5%
58
8.5%
Q3 - 4:05SACGay Foul Turnover (P3.T13)74
89.2%
58
10.8%
Q3 - 4:08SACGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
91.0%
58
9.0%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
90.5%
58
9.5%
Q3 - 4:24SACCousins 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)74
89.2%
58
10.8%
Q3 - 4:34MIANapier Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T13)72
87.9%
58
12.1%
Q3 - 4:38MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
85.5%
58
14.5%
Q3 - 4:39SACMISS Gay 1' Layup72
86.3%
58
13.7%
Q3 - 4:44MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)72
87.9%
58
12.1%
Q3 - 4:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
85.6%
58
14.4%
Q3 - 5:00SACMISS McLemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
86.3%
58
13.7%
Q3 - 5:25MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)72
86.7%
58
13.3%
Q3 - 5:44SACGay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Cousins 3 AST)72
84.4%
58
15.6%
Q3 - 5:58SACKings Rebound69
80.0%
58
20.0%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
79.0%
58
21.0%
Q3 - 6:08SACWalker STEAL (1 STL)69
75.2%
58
24.8%
Q3 - 6:24SACKings Rebound69
78.5%
58
21.5%
Q3 - 6:25SACMISS McCallum 10' Jump Shot69
76.3%
58
23.7%
Q3 - 6:40MIAWade 5' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
78.5%
58
21.5%
Q3 - 6:55SACCousins Putback Dunk (13 PTS)69
80.8%
56
19.2%
Q3 - 6:56SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)67
78.6%
56
21.4%
Q3 - 6:57SACMISS McLemore 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup67
76.4%
56
23.6%
Q3 - 7:07MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)67
77.1%
56
22.9%
Q3 - 7:28SACCousins Reverse Dunk (11 PTS) (McCallum 5 AST)67
74.0%
56
26.0%
Q3 - 7:43SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)65
71.4%
56
28.6%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Napier 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
70.3%
56
29.7%
Q3 - 8:09SACKings Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)65
66.6%
56
33.4%
Q3 - 8:09SACThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
70.4%
56
29.6%
Q3 - 8:10SACMISS Cousins 14' Fadeaway Jumper65
67.8%
56
32.2%
Q3 - 8:30SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
70.4%
56
29.6%
Q3 - 8:31MIAMISS Wade 17' Step Back Jump Shot65
69.3%
56
30.7%
Q3 - 8:40MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
66.7%
56
33.3%
Q3 - 8:41SACMISS McCallum 22' Jump Shot65
67.9%
56
32.1%
Q3 - 9:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)65
68.8%
56
31.2%
Q3 - 9:18SACThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
74.6%
53
25.4%
Q3 - 9:18SACThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)64
73.7%
53
26.3%
Q3 - 9:32MIABeasley 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)63
71.9%
53
28.1%
Q3 - 9:37MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
74.7%
51
25.3%
Q3 - 9:38SACAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)63
75.5%
51
24.5%
Q3 - 9:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)63
77.4%
51
22.6%
Q3 - 9:59MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
74.7%
51
25.3%
Q3 - 10:00SACMISS McLemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
75.6%
51
24.4%
Q3 - 10:13MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)63
76.3%
51
23.7%
Q3 - 10:39SACMcLemore 2' Driving Reverse Layup (19 PTS)63
78.8%
49
21.2%
Q3 - 10:48SACGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
76.4%
49
23.6%
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS Napier 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
75.6%
49
24.4%
Q3 - 11:01MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
72.2%
49
27.8%
Q3 - 11:02SACMISS Cousins 2' Driving Layup61
73.1%
49
26.9%
Q3 - 11:19MIANapier 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)61
75.0%
49
25.0%
Q3 - 11:25MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
77.5%
47
22.5%
Q3 - 11:26SACMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
78.2%
47
21.8%
Q3 - 11:40SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
79.9%
47
20.1%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot61
79.2%
47
20.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA61
77.5%
47
22.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0SACEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)61
76.4%
47
23.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0SACEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)60
75.4%
47
24.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)59
73.2%
47
26.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0SACMcLemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (McCallum 4 AST)59
78.7%
44
21.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0SACMcCallum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
73.4%
44
26.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot56
72.8%
44
27.2%
Q2 - 1:12SACGay Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (A. Miller 5 AST)56
70.8%
44
29.2%
Q2 - 1:30SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
66.9%
44
33.1%
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS Wade 19' Pullup Jump Shot54
66.4%
44
33.6%
Q2 - 1:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
65.3%
44
34.7%
Q2 - 1:40SACMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
65.8%
44
34.2%
Q2 - 1:54MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
66.9%
44
33.1%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 254
67.5%
43
32.5%
Q2 - 2:00SACMcCallum 1' Layup (4 PTS) (A. Miller 4 AST)54
68.1%
43
31.9%
Q2 - 2:06MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)52
63.5%
43
36.5%
Q2 - 2:20SACMcCallum Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)52
60.7%
43
39.3%
Q2 - 2:20SACMcCallum Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)51
60.1%
43
39.9%
Q2 - 2:30SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
57.6%
43
42.4%
Q2 - 2:31MIAMISS Wade 10' Fadeaway Jumper50
56.8%
43
43.2%
Q2 - 2:44SACGay 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS)50
54.8%
43
45.2%
Q2 - 3:01MIAChalmers 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)48
50.9%
43
49.1%
Q2 - 3:05SACBeasley STEAL (2 STL)48
53.5%
41
46.5%
Q2 - 3:21MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
56.9%
41
43.1%
Q2 - 3:21MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
57.7%
40
42.3%
Q2 - 3:21MIAHEAT Rebound48
59.4%
39
40.6%
Q2 - 3:22SACMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
60.4%
39
39.6%
Q2 - 3:38MIABeasley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)48
62.7%
39
37.3%
Q2 - 3:46MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
59.4%
39
40.6%
Q2 - 3:47SACMISS McLemore 3PT Jump Shot48
60.4%
39
39.6%
Q2 - 4:01MIABeasley Driving Dunk (6 PTS)48
61.1%
39
38.9%
Q2 - 4:18SACGay 17' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)48
63.7%
37
36.3%
Q2 - 4:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)46
61.2%
37
38.8%
Q2 - 4:51SACGay 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McCallum 3 AST)46
58.3%
37
41.7%
Q2 - 5:05MIAAndersen 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)44
55.0%
37
45.0%
Q2 - 5:27MIAHEAT Rebound44
57.8%
35
42.2%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot44
59.7%
35
40.3%
Q2 - 5:42SACMcLemore 2' Layup (14 PTS)44
57.8%
35
42.2%
Q2 - 5:43SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
55.0%
35
45.0%
Q2 - 5:46MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup42
54.2%
35
45.8%
Q2 - 6:11SACMcLemore Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
51.4%
35
48.6%
Q2 - 6:11SACMcLemore Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
51.0%
35
49.0%
Q2 - 6:27SACKings Rebound40
49.2%
35
50.8%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Napier 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
48.2%
35
51.8%
Q2 - 6:52SACGay Foul Turnover (P2.T9)40
46.0%
35
54.0%
Q2 - 7:15MIABeasley 1' Layup (4 PTS)40
48.5%
35
51.5%
Q2 - 7:17MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
50.9%
33
49.1%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Beasley 3' Driving Layup40
52.9%
33
47.1%
Q2 - 7:24SACWade STEAL (1 STL)40
50.9%
33
49.1%
Q2 - 7:31MIAWade 5' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
53.8%
33
46.2%
Q2 - 7:52SACCasspi 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (A. Miller 3 AST)40
56.2%
31
43.8%
Q2 - 8:00SACGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
51.2%
31
48.8%
Q2 - 8:01SACMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot37
48.4%
31
51.6%
Q2 - 8:17SACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
50.3%
31
49.7%
Q2 - 8:18MIAMISS Napier Free Throw 2 of 237
50.0%
31
50.0%
Q2 - 8:18MIANapier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
48.2%
31
51.8%
Q2 - 8:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
50.2%
30
49.8%
Q2 - 8:28SACMISS McLemore 19' Jump Shot37
51.0%
30
49.0%
Q2 - 8:40SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
52.9%
30
47.1%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
52.1%
30
47.9%
Q2 - 8:57SACMcLemore Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Cousins 2 AST)37
50.3%
30
49.7%
Q2 - 9:01SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
47.1%
30
52.9%
Q2 - 9:02MIAMISS Ennis 3PT Jump Shot35
46.2%
30
53.8%
Q2 - 9:26SACCousins Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Casspi 1 AST)35
44.3%
30
55.7%
Q2 - 9:44SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
42.2%
30
57.8%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Haslem 6' Hook Shot33
41.3%
30
58.7%
Q2 - 9:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
39.4%
30
60.6%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot33
41.3%
30
58.7%
Q2 - 10:01SACCousins 1' Layup (7 PTS) (A. Miller 2 AST)33
39.3%
30
60.7%
Q2 - 10:29MIAWalker 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)31
37.4%
30
62.6%
Q2 - 10:45SACStauskas Foul Turnover (P2.T7)31
39.3%
28
60.7%
Q2 - 10:48SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
42.2%
28
57.8%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup31
41.3%
28
58.7%
Q2 - 11:02SACCousins Foul Turnover (P2.T6)31
39.2%
28
60.8%
Q2 - 11:13SACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
41.6%
28
58.4%
Q2 - 11:14MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot31
40.9%
28
59.1%
Q2 - 11:28MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
39.2%
28
60.8%
Q2 - 11:29SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 2 of 231
39.6%
28
60.4%
Q2 - 11:29SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
41.1%
28
58.9%
Q2 - 11:46MIAJohnson 6' Driving Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
39.3%
28
60.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
41.6%
26
58.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
41.6%
26
58.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
36.5%
26
63.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
36.9%
25
63.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0SACChalmers STEAL (2 STL)27
39.3%
24
60.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)27
41.0%
24
59.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0SACThompson 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)27
39.3%
24
60.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0SACA. Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
36.5%
24
63.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0SACJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)25
35.4%
24
64.6%
Q1 - 1:09SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
36.4%
24
63.6%
Q1 - 1:10MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 225
36.2%
24
63.8%
Q1 - 1:10MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 225
34.7%
24
65.3%
Q1 - 1:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
34.8%
24
65.2%
Q1 - 1:23SACMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 125
35.0%
24
65.0%
Q1 - 1:33MIAWalker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)23
32.2%
24
67.8%
Q1 - 1:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q1 - 1:40SACMISS Gay 1' Tip Shot23
35.3%
22
64.7%
Q1 - 1:41SACGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
36.4%
22
63.6%
Q1 - 1:42SACMISS Gay 5' Jump Shot23
35.3%
22
64.7%
Q1 - 2:01MIAEnnis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)23
36.6%
22
63.4%
Q1 - 2:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
41.0%
19
59.0%
Q1 - 2:12SACWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)23
41.6%
19
58.4%
Q1 - 2:15SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
43.1%
19
56.9%
Q1 - 2:16SACMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot23
41.6%
19
58.4%
Q1 - 2:38MIABeasley 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)23
43.1%
19
56.9%
Q1 - 2:55SACGay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (A. Miller 1 AST)23
45.5%
17
54.5%
Q1 - 3:15MIAChalmers Dunk (2 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)20
40.7%
17
59.3%
Q1 - 3:20SACNapier STEAL (1 STL)20
42.6%
15
57.4%
Q1 - 3:25MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
45.1%
15
54.9%
Q1 - 3:30SACChalmers STEAL (1 STL)20
42.6%
15
57.4%
Q1 - 3:39MIAJohnson 8' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)20
45.1%
15
54.9%
Q1 - 3:54SACMcLemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)20
47.1%
13
52.9%
Q1 - 4:10MIAAndersen Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
42.6%
13
57.4%
Q1 - 4:23SACWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)17
44.4%
11
55.6%
Q1 - 4:43MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
40.4%
11
59.6%
Q1 - 4:43MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
40.9%
10
59.1%
Q1 - 4:52SACCousins Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)14
42.2%
9
57.8%
Q1 - 5:02SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
43.7%
9
56.3%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Wade 17' Pullup Jump Shot14
43.0%
9
57.0%
Q1 - 5:08SACBeasley STEAL (1 STL)14
41.5%
9
58.5%
Q1 - 5:21SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
43.8%
9
56.3%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMISS Andersen 19' Jump Shot14
43.1%
9
56.9%
Q1 - 5:39SACMcLemore Running Dunk (5 PTS)14
41.6%
9
58.4%
Q1 - 5:42MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
39.7%
9
60.3%
Q1 - 5:53MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 5:54SACMISS Cousins 17' Jump Shot12
38.2%
9
61.8%
Q1 - 6:02SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot12
38.4%
9
61.6%
Q1 - 6:16SACGay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McCallum 2 AST)12
37.0%
9
63.0%
Q1 - 6:34MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
33.6%
9
66.4%
Q1 - 6:48MIAHEAT Rebound9
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 6:49SACMISS McLemore 8' Jump Bank Shot9
37.7%
6
62.3%
Q1 - 7:06SACKings Rebound9
38.8%
6
61.2%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Napier 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 7:20MIAHEAT Rebound9
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 7:21SACMISS Thompson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot9
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 7:39MIANapier 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
38.8%
6
61.2%
Q1 - 7:45MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
40.4%
4
59.6%
Q1 - 7:46SACMISS McLemore 1' Reverse Layup9
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 8:03MIAAndersen 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)9
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 8:16SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 8:16SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
43.6%
2
56.4%
Q1 - 8:24MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 8:40SACMcLemore 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McCallum 1 AST)7
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 8:56MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 9:11SACGay 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cousins 1 AST)4
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 9:24MIANapier Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 9:39SACCousins Dunk (2 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)2
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 9:56SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 10:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
31.3%
0
68.7%
Q1 - 10:13SACMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
31.9%
0
68.1%
Q1 - 10:36SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
33.1%
0
66.9%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.6%
0
67.4%
Q1 - 10:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.3%
0
68.7%
Q1 - 10:57SACMISS Cousins 20' Jump Shot0
31.9%
0
68.1%
Q1 - 11:12SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Andersen 2' Layup0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:17MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
31.3%
0
68.7%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:40MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.3%
0
68.7%
Q1 - 11:41SACMISS Cousins 14' Jump Shot0
31.7%
0
68.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Andersen vs. Thompson: Tip to McLemore0
32.8%
0
67.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.07 53.4%
MIA
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
23
41
56%
MIA
22
27
81%
Midrange
SAC
7
22
32%
MIA
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
MIA
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
Free Throws
SAC
19
24
79%
MIA
25
33
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gay2756%13.5 / 24
D. Cousins2764%13.5 / 21
B. McLemore2056%10.0 / 18
D. Williams1063%5.0 / 8
R. McCallum941%4.5 / 11
A. Miller739%3.5 / 9
J. Thompson467%2.0 / 3
O. Casspi350%1.5 / 3
R. Evans250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2867%14.0 / 21
T. Johnson2471%12.0 / 17
M. Beasley1850%9.0 / 18
M. Chalmers1286%6.0 / 7
H. Walker1161%5.5 / 9
C. Andersen1169%5.5 / 8
S. Napier531%2.5 / 8
J. Ennis III563%2.5 / 4
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
86
+16
-20
102
MIA
93
+6
-13
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.07 53.4%
MIA
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
103.9
SAC 102.8
MIA 107.5 +4.7
Pace
95.3
91.0
SAC 97.3 +2.7
MIA 94.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
16.3
SAC 14.8 +0.4
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
50.0%
SAC 51.1%
MIA 55.6% +4.5%
TO %
16.2%
15.2%
SAC 18.2%
MIA 12.9% +5.3%
ORB %
26.6%
23.3%
SAC 28.6% +18.1%
MIA 10.5%
FTrt
36.3
30.6
SAC 27.3
MIA 41.3 +14.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.4%
56.4%
SAC 65.0% +8.9%
MIA 56.1%
STL %
7.0%
8.6%
SAC 6.6%
MIA 12.3% +5.7%
BLK %
6.4%
8.0%
SAC 7.1%
MIA 12.7% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.99 and 2.99.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
52.2%
SAC 53.4%
MIA 57.0% +3.6%
Rim FG%
56.6%
59.7%
SAC 56.1%
MIA 81.5% +25.4%
Mid FG%
39.4%
40.9%
SAC 31.8%
MIA 41.4% +9.6%
3P %
34.1%
33.5%
SAC 40.0% +10.8%
MIA 29.2%
FT %
76.2%
74.1%
SAC 79.2% +3.4%
MIA 75.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.5%
35.1%
SAC 46.6% +12.8%
MIA 33.8%
Mid Att. %
38.1%
38.7%
SAC 25.0% +11.2%
MIA 36.3%
3P Att. %
20.4%
26.2%
SAC 28.4%
MIA 30.0% +1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions106106
Possession Minutes26.126.9
Points109114
Rebounds4634
Assists2623
Steals713
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)20 (2)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)30 (5)
Field Goals40-8841-80
At-the-Rim FG23-4122-27
Midrange FG7-2212-29
2-Point FG30-6334-56
3-Point FG10-257-24
Free Throws19-2425-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 230 · 29
46.1
27
56%
8
5
1
2
3
4
3
5
0-2
0%
9-16
56%
3-8
38%
G · 6'5" 195 · 22
44.7
20
56%
4
0
2
1
2
5
0
4
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
3-8
38%
G · 6'3" 190 · 24
39.5
9
41%
1
7
0
0
2
5
0
1
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
34.9
27
64%
17
3
2
1
5
6
6
11
7-8
88%
10-17
59%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
23.2
4
67%
3
1
1
0
1
3
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 39
30.3
7
39%
4
8
0
0
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
18.3
10
63%
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
18.2
3
50%
7
2
0
0
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 35
6.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 21
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 30
F · 6'9" 248 · 31
#7 · G · 6'2" 185 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
109
53%
46
26
7
4
20
0
12
34
19-24
79%
30-63
48%
10-25
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.