FinalWin Prob.pScore
2521%97
111
379%108
120
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
113.398105.0
SAS logo SAS
122.49892.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS111
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)111
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot111
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)111
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)111
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)111
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENFaried 1' Layup (20 PTS)111
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0DENMISS Faried 3' Layup109
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0SASBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)109
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0SASMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 2109
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENFaried Dunk (18 PTS) (Arthur 2 AST)109
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)107
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)107
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)107
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENMISS Faried 17' Jump Shot107
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 1:00SASLeonard 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)107
0.5%
115
99.5%
Q4 - 1:14SASSPURS Rebound107
1.1%
113
98.9%
Q4 - 1:15DENMISS Hickson 13' Jump Shot107
1.4%
113
98.6%
Q4 - 1:25DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)107
2.5%
113
97.5%
Q4 - 1:25SASMISS Parker 1' Layup107
2.1%
113
97.9%
Q4 - 1:41SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)107
1.8%
113
98.2%
Q4 - 1:42DENDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)107
2.1%
113
97.9%
Q4 - 1:52DENNuggets Rebound107
3.3%
113
96.7%
Q4 - 1:54DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
2.3%
113
97.7%
Q4 - 2:17SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)107
4.1%
113
95.9%
Q4 - 2:34DENFaried 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)107
8.0%
110
92.0%
Q4 - 2:54DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)105
7.0%
110
93.0%
Q4 - 2:55SASMISS Splitter Layup105
5.9%
110
94.1%
Q4 - 3:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
4.0%
110
96.0%
Q4 - 3:15DENMISS Lawson 18' Step Back Jump Shot105
4.8%
110
95.2%
Q4 - 3:30SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)105
7.1%
110
92.9%
Q4 - 3:30SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 2105
7.8%
109
92.2%
Q4 - 3:47DENBarton 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)105
7.9%
109
92.1%
Q4 - 4:04SASLeonard 5' Turnaround Fadeaway (23 PTS)103
5.6%
109
94.4%
Q4 - 4:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
7.6%
107
92.4%
Q4 - 4:23DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 2103
8.0%
107
92.0%
Q4 - 4:23DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)103
9.6%
107
90.4%
Q4 - 4:36SASParker 2' Layup (24 PTS)102
7.8%
107
92.2%
Q4 - 4:52DENFaried 6' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)102
10.7%
105
89.3%
Q4 - 5:14SASParker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)100
9.0%
105
91.0%
Q4 - 5:36DENGallinari 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)100
11.8%
103
88.2%
Q4 - 5:46DENNuggets Rebound98
9.0%
103
91.0%
Q4 - 5:46SASMISS Leonard Dunk98
8.1%
103
91.9%
Q4 - 5:50SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
6.4%
103
93.6%
Q4 - 5:52DENLeonard BLOCK (3 BLK)98
7.1%
103
92.9%
Q4 - 6:10SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)98
9.8%
103
90.2%
Q4 - 6:10SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)98
10.2%
102
89.8%
Q4 - 6:25DENLawson 1' Layup (23 PTS)98
12.2%
101
87.8%
Q4 - 6:46SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)96
9.7%
101
90.3%
Q4 - 6:46SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)96
10.2%
100
89.8%
Q4 - 6:58DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)96
12.2%
99
87.8%
Q4 - 7:07SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)93
7.9%
99
92.1%
Q4 - 7:19DENLawson 14' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)93
5.9%
99
94.1%
Q4 - 7:37SASParker Layup (18 PTS)91
4.7%
99
95.3%
Q4 - 7:43DENBelinelli STEAL (1 STL)91
5.9%
97
94.1%
Q4 - 8:02SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)91
8.6%
97
91.4%
Q4 - 8:02SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)91
9.0%
96
91.0%
Q4 - 8:12DENHickson Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Faried 2 AST)91
10.7%
95
89.3%
Q4 - 8:17DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)89
8.5%
95
91.5%
Q4 - 8:19SASMISS Splitter 1' Layup89
7.9%
95
92.1%
Q4 - 8:51DENFaried 4' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)89
6.7%
95
93.3%
Q4 - 8:58DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
5.3%
95
94.7%
Q4 - 8:59SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot87
4.9%
95
95.1%
Q4 - 9:13DENChandler Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)87
4.7%
95
95.3%
Q4 - 9:14DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
5.9%
95
94.1%
Q4 - 9:16SASMISS Green 2' Layup87
5.5%
95
94.5%
Q4 - 9:21SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
4.7%
95
95.3%
Q4 - 9:22DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
5.0%
95
95.0%
Q4 - 9:33SASJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)87
5.9%
95
94.1%
Q4 - 9:33SASMISS Joseph Free Throw 1 of 287
6.2%
94
93.8%
Q4 - 9:49SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
5.9%
94
94.1%
Q4 - 9:50DENMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot87
6.3%
94
93.7%
Q4 - 10:07SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)87
7.8%
94
92.2%
Q4 - 10:07SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)87
8.2%
93
91.8%
Q4 - 10:23DENHickson Layup (11 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)87
9.5%
92
90.5%
Q4 - 10:38DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
7.8%
92
92.2%
Q4 - 10:39SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot85
7.3%
92
92.7%
Q4 - 10:58DENBarton 18' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)85
6.3%
92
93.7%
Q4 - 11:18SASJoseph Layup (2 PTS) (Green 3 AST)83
5.6%
92
94.4%
Q4 - 11:31SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
6.7%
90
93.3%
Q4 - 11:32DENMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
7.2%
90
92.8%
Q4 - 11:45DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
8.3%
90
91.7%
Q4 - 11:46SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
7.8%
90
92.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN83
6.7%
90
93.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound83
8.2%
90
91.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Barton 9' Fadeaway Bank Shot83
7.1%
90
92.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
8.6%
90
91.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASMISS Parker Layup83
8.1%
90
91.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENChandler 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)83
7.1%
90
92.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)81
5.9%
90
94.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)81
6.0%
89
94.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0DENNelson 3' Layup (13 PTS)81
7.1%
88
92.9%
Q3 - 1:19SASBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)79
6.1%
88
93.9%
Q3 - 1:19SASBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
6.3%
87
93.7%
Q3 - 1:40DENNelson 2' Layup (11 PTS)79
7.3%
86
92.7%
Q3 - 1:53SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
6.1%
86
93.9%
Q3 - 1:53SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 277
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q3 - 2:08SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
6.4%
85
93.6%
Q3 - 2:09DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 277
6.6%
85
93.4%
Q3 - 2:09DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 277
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q3 - 2:16DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
7.7%
85
92.3%
Q3 - 2:18SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
7.3%
85
92.7%
Q3 - 2:42DENBarton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)77
6.4%
85
93.6%
Q3 - 2:47SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)77
7.7%
85
92.3%
Q3 - 2:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
6.4%
85
93.6%
Q3 - 2:51SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q3 - 3:08DENBarton 1' Layup (2 PTS)77
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q3 - 3:21DENNuggets Rebound75
5.7%
85
94.3%
Q3 - 3:21SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
5.4%
85
94.6%
Q3 - 3:38SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
4.8%
85
95.2%
Q3 - 3:39DENMISS Arthur 16' Jump Shot75
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q3 - 4:00SASLeonard 17' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)75
5.7%
85
94.3%
Q3 - 4:06SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
6.8%
83
93.2%
Q3 - 4:07DENMISS Barton 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
7.2%
83
92.8%
Q3 - 4:31SASDiaw 14' Turnaround Bank Shot (7 PTS)75
8.2%
83
91.8%
Q3 - 4:38SASSPURS Rebound75
9.3%
81
90.7%
Q3 - 4:39SASMISS Baynes 1' Layup75
10.6%
81
89.4%
Q3 - 4:48SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
9.3%
81
90.7%
Q3 - 4:49DENMISS Barton 7' Jump Shot75
9.9%
81
90.1%
Q3 - 5:08SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)75
11.3%
81
88.7%
Q3 - 5:22DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)75
14.7%
78
85.3%
Q3 - 5:22DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
14.3%
78
85.7%
Q3 - 5:31DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
13.0%
78
87.0%
Q3 - 5:32SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
12.4%
78
87.6%
Q3 - 5:48DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)73
11.0%
78
89.0%
Q3 - 5:52DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
8.4%
78
91.6%
Q3 - 5:53SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot70
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q3 - 6:08SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
7.2%
78
92.8%
Q3 - 6:09DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q3 - 6:21SASParker Driving Layup (14 PTS)70
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q3 - 6:29SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
9.6%
76
90.4%
Q3 - 6:31SASMISS Diaw 28' 3PT Jump Bank Shot70
10.7%
76
89.3%
Q3 - 6:53SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
9.6%
76
90.4%
Q3 - 6:55DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 270
9.8%
76
90.2%
Q3 - 6:55DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 270
10.6%
76
89.4%
Q3 - 7:04SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)70
11.2%
76
88.8%
Q3 - 7:15SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
14.5%
73
85.5%
Q3 - 7:16DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 270
14.7%
73
85.3%
Q3 - 7:16DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)70
15.9%
73
84.1%
Q3 - 7:21DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)69
14.7%
73
85.3%
Q3 - 7:23SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Bank Shot69
14.0%
73
86.0%
Q3 - 7:36SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
12.7%
73
87.3%
Q3 - 7:37DENMISS Chandler 19' Jump Shot69
13.3%
73
86.7%
Q3 - 7:50DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
14.7%
73
85.3%
Q3 - 7:50SASMISS Leonard 9' Turnaround Jump Shot69
14.1%
73
85.9%
Q3 - 8:10DENFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)69
12.6%
73
87.4%
Q3 - 8:37SASLeonard Dunk (15 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)66
9.9%
73
90.1%
Q3 - 8:43DENParker STEAL (2 STL)66
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 9:02SASSplitter Dunk (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)66
12.7%
71
87.3%
Q3 - 9:13DENChandler 16' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
14.3%
69
85.7%
Q3 - 9:33SASGreen 12' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)64
12.7%
69
87.3%
Q3 - 9:55DENGallinari 2' Layup (9 PTS)64
14.3%
67
85.7%
Q3 - 10:00SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)62
12.7%
67
87.3%
Q3 - 10:07SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q3 - 10:08DENMISS Foye 2' Layup62
11.3%
67
88.7%
Q3 - 10:26SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P1.T6)62
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 10:30SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q3 - 10:31DENMISS Lawson 7' Jump Shot62
11.4%
67
88.6%
Q3 - 10:39DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)62
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 10:40DENMISS Gallinari 9' Turnaround Jump Shot62
11.4%
67
88.6%
Q3 - 10:47DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 10:49SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot62
11.9%
67
88.1%
Q3 - 11:04DENChandler 8' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)62
10.8%
67
89.2%
Q3 - 11:30SASParker 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
9.6%
67
90.4%
Q3 - 11:36SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
10.8%
65
89.2%
Q3 - 11:38DENGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)60
11.3%
65
88.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN60
12.3%
65
87.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDuncan Layup (15 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)60
12.3%
65
87.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)60
14.2%
63
85.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
10.9%
63
89.1%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENLeonard BLOCK (2 BLK)57
10.3%
63
89.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASParker 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)57
10.9%
63
89.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
12.6%
61
87.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENChandler 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)57
12.6%
61
87.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)55
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)55
10.9%
61
89.1%
Q2 - 1:06SASSPURS Rebound55
14.5%
58
85.5%
Q2 - 1:07DENMISS Lawson 16' Step Back Jump Shot55
14.8%
58
85.2%
Q2 - 1:24SASDiaw Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)55
15.4%
58
84.6%
Q2 - 1:46DENChandler 2' Layup (6 PTS)55
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q2 - 2:11SASBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)53
15.6%
56
84.4%
Q2 - 2:34SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q2 - 2:36DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 153
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q2 - 2:37SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)51
17.3%
53
82.7%
Q2 - 2:38DENDiaw STEAL (1 STL)51
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q2 - 3:01SASLeonard 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS)51
17.2%
53
82.8%
Q2 - 3:23DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)51
18.7%
51
81.3%
Q2 - 3:23DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)50
18.3%
51
81.7%
Q2 - 3:25DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
17.2%
51
82.8%
Q2 - 3:27SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Bank Shot49
16.6%
51
83.4%
Q2 - 3:42DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)49
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q2 - 3:42DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)48
15.0%
51
85.0%
Q2 - 3:51SASParker 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)47
14.1%
51
85.9%
Q2 - 4:04SASMISS Parker Free Throw Technical47
15.3%
49
84.7%
Q2 - 4:04DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)47
15.3%
49
84.7%
Q2 - 4:21SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
12.6%
49
87.4%
Q2 - 4:21SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 244
12.9%
48
87.1%
Q2 - 4:32SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
12.5%
48
87.5%
Q2 - 4:34DENLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)44
12.9%
48
87.1%
Q2 - 4:56SASLeonard 18' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)44
13.9%
48
86.1%
Q2 - 5:02SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
15.2%
46
84.8%
Q2 - 5:03DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 5:22DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
16.7%
46
83.3%
Q2 - 5:23SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
16.3%
46
83.7%
Q2 - 5:35SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
15.2%
46
84.8%
Q2 - 5:37DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot44
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 5:57DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
16.7%
46
83.3%
Q2 - 5:59SASMISS Leonard 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot44
16.3%
46
83.7%
Q2 - 6:19SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q2 - 6:20DENMISS Nelson 11' Fadeaway Jumper44
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q2 - 6:37SASLeonard 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 6:54DENFaried 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)44
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q2 - 7:11SASDuncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
16.7%
44
83.3%
Q2 - 7:26DENNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
18.1%
42
81.9%
Q2 - 7:43DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 7:44SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 8:05DENParker STEAL (1 STL)39
13.7%
42
86.3%
Q2 - 8:16SASLeonard Layup (7 PTS)39
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 8:24DENGreen STEAL (1 STL)39
16.4%
40
83.6%
Q2 - 8:37SASMills 16' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST)39
17.9%
40
82.1%
Q2 - 9:01DENNelson 15' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
18.9%
38
81.1%
Q2 - 9:10DENNuggets Rebound37
17.6%
38
82.4%
Q2 - 9:10DENMISS Arthur 14' Jump Shot37
16.5%
38
83.5%
Q2 - 9:21SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
17.6%
38
82.4%
Q2 - 9:24SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 9:26SASMISS Belinelli 2' Layup37
21.8%
35
78.2%
Q2 - 9:32DENMills STEAL (1 STL)37
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 9:47DENNuggets Rebound37
22.4%
35
77.6%
Q2 - 9:47SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
21.8%
35
78.2%
Q2 - 10:07DENNelson 1' Layup (4 PTS)37
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 10:16SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
19.3%
35
80.7%
Q2 - 10:23DENHickson 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)35
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 10:44SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)33
16.3%
35
83.7%
Q2 - 11:01DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
19.0%
32
81.0%
Q2 - 11:01DENHickson Putback Dunk (7 PTS)33
19.0%
32
81.0%
Q2 - 11:03DENMISS Nelson Layup31
16.6%
32
83.4%
Q2 - 11:10DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
17.6%
32
82.4%
Q2 - 11:14SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 11:33DENHarris Dunk (2 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)31
16.2%
32
83.8%
Q2 - 11:37SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)29
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q2 - 11:46DENHickson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)29
13.7%
32
86.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS29
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound29
13.7%
32
86.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Belinelli 63' 3PT Jump Shot29
14.6%
32
85.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENHickson Dunk (5 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)29
13.7%
32
86.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASBonner Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)27
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
11.8%
32
88.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 227
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
12.5%
32
87.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
11.6%
32
88.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASMISS Mills 17' Jump Shot26
11.3%
32
88.7%
Q1 - 1:03DENNelson 19' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
10.9%
32
89.1%
Q1 - 1:16DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
9.8%
32
90.2%
Q1 - 1:17SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
9.6%
32
90.4%
Q1 - 1:24SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q1 - 1:26DENMISS Barton 3PT Jump Shot24
9.4%
32
90.6%
Q1 - 1:42DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
9.8%
32
90.2%
Q1 - 1:43SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup24
9.6%
32
90.4%
Q1 - 1:54SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q1 - 1:55DENMISS Barton 1' Layup24
9.4%
32
90.6%
Q1 - 2:15DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q1 - 2:17DENMISS Hickson 7' Jump Bank Shot24
9.4%
32
90.6%
Q1 - 2:26DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q1 - 2:28SASMISS Mills 20' Jump Shot24
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q1 - 2:48DENHickson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q1 - 2:49DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q1 - 2:50SASMISS Mills 21' Jump Shot24
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q1 - 3:01DENLawson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)24
9.1%
32
90.9%
Q1 - 3:02DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
10.0%
32
90.0%
Q1 - 3:03SASMISS Belinelli 20' Jump Shot24
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q1 - 3:18DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)24
9.1%
32
90.9%
Q1 - 3:18DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)23
9.0%
32
91.0%
Q1 - 3:27SASBelinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)22
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q1 - 3:39DENHickson Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)22
9.9%
29
90.1%
Q1 - 3:51SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)20
9.2%
29
90.8%
Q1 - 4:12DENChandler 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)20
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 4:16DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q1 - 4:18DENMISS Foye 18' Jump Shot18
9.4%
26
90.6%
Q1 - 4:38DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q1 - 4:41SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Bank Shot18
9.7%
26
90.3%
Q1 - 4:48DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)18
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q1 - 4:53DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q1 - 4:55SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 118
9.9%
26
90.1%
Q1 - 5:08SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10.8%
24
89.2%
Q1 - 5:09DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
11.1%
24
88.9%
Q1 - 5:14DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q1 - 5:16SASMISS Diaw 7' Hook Shot18
11.5%
24
88.5%
Q1 - 5:37DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)18
10.8%
24
89.2%
Q1 - 5:53SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)15
9.4%
24
90.6%
Q1 - 6:08DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)15
10.9%
21
89.1%
Q1 - 6:08DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)14
10.8%
21
89.2%
Q1 - 6:21SASLeonard 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
10.2%
21
89.8%
Q1 - 6:39DENLawson 12' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)13
10.9%
19
89.1%
Q1 - 6:52SASSplitter 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)11
10.2%
19
89.8%
Q1 - 6:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
10.9%
17
89.1%
Q1 - 6:58DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)11
11.2%
17
88.8%
Q1 - 6:59DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
11.8%
17
88.2%
Q1 - 7:00DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
11.2%
17
88.8%
Q1 - 7:11DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
11.7%
17
88.3%
Q1 - 7:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 211
11.6%
17
88.4%
Q1 - 7:12SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
11.1%
17
88.9%
Q1 - 7:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
11.6%
16
88.4%
Q1 - 7:23DENSplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)11
11.9%
16
88.1%
Q1 - 7:41SASParker 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
12.6%
16
87.4%
Q1 - 7:51SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
13.3%
14
86.7%
Q1 - 7:53DENMISS Gallinari 3' Layup11
13.6%
14
86.4%
Q1 - 8:19SASParker 1' Layup (4 PTS)11
14.1%
14
85.9%
Q1 - 8:29DENLawson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
15.0%
12
85.0%
Q1 - 8:43SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)9
14.1%
12
85.9%
Q1 - 8:56DENLawson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
16.0%
9
84.0%
Q1 - 9:09SASDuncan 11' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)7
14.9%
9
85.1%
Q1 - 9:26DENGallinari Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)7
15.9%
7
84.1%
Q1 - 9:27DENLeonard STEAL (1 STL)6
14.9%
7
85.1%
Q1 - 9:33SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
15.9%
7
84.1%
Q1 - 9:48DENFaried 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)6
14.9%
7
85.1%
Q1 - 9:58DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.0%
7
86.0%
Q1 - 10:00SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot4
13.7%
7
86.3%
Q1 - 10:23DENLawson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
13.0%
7
87.0%
Q1 - 10:35SASDuncan 12' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
12.3%
7
87.7%
Q1 - 10:52DENChandler 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
13.0%
5
87.0%
Q1 - 11:01DENNuggets Rebound0
12.0%
5
88.0%
Q1 - 11:01DENMISS Chandler 6' Running Jump Shot0
11.5%
5
88.5%
Q1 - 11:18SASParker 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
12.0%
5
88.0%
Q1 - 11:27SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.9%
3
87.1%
Q1 - 11:28DENMISS Gallinari 14' Jump Shot0
13.2%
3
86.8%
Q1 - 11:45SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)0
13.7%
3
86.3%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Faried: Tip to Parker0
15.6%
0
84.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.13 56.6%
SAS
1.26 63.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
22
30
73%
SAS
17
27
63%
Midrange
DEN
17
39
44%
SAS
17
28
61%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
SAS
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
Free Throws
DEN
15
23
65%
SAS
25
33
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson2368%11.5 / 17
K. Faried2059%10.0 / 17
W. Chandler1657%8.0 / 14
D. Gallinari1458%7.0 / 12
J. Hickson1464%7.0 / 11
J. Nelson1365%6.5 / 10
W. Barton638%3.0 / 8
R. Foye338%1.5 / 4
G. Harris2100%1.0 / 1
D. Arthur0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2566%12.5 / 19
T. Parker2471%12.0 / 17
T. Duncan1575%7.5 / 10
D. Green1161%5.5 / 9
T. Splitter1071%5.0 / 7
M. Ginobili964%4.5 / 7
M. Belinelli964%4.5 / 7
B. Diaw770%3.5 / 5
P. Mills531%2.5 / 8
C. Joseph375%1.5 / 2
A. Baynes250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
85
+12
-13
97
SAS
89
+5
-9
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.13 56.6%
SAS
1.26 63.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
108.5
DEN 113.3
SAS 122.4 +9.2
Pace
95.9
93.9
DEN 105.0 +12.8
SAS 92.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.7
DEN 13.7 +1.9
SAS 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
51.7%
DEN 55.8%
SAS 60.1% +4.3%
TO %
14.3%
14.2%
DEN 11.9%
SAS 8.8% +3.1%
ORB %
26.5%
23.4%
DEN 19.5% +10.4%
SAS 9.1%
FTrt
27.8
25.6
DEN 26.7
SAS 41.8 +15.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.7%
62.3%
DEN 46.7%
SAS 55.8% +9.1%
STL %
8.0%
8.5%
DEN 7.1%
SAS 8.2% +1.1%
BLK %
7.2%
8.4%
DEN 5.5%
SAS 11.6% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
54.0%
DEN 56.6%
SAS 63.2% +6.6%
Rim FG%
56.1%
59.6%
DEN 73.3% +10.3%
SAS 63.0%
Mid FG%
37.9%
42.1%
DEN 43.6%
SAS 60.7% +17.1%
3P %
32.5%
36.7%
DEN 35.3%
SAS 37.5% +2.2%
FT %
73.5%
78.0%
DEN 65.2%
SAS 75.8% +10.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.2%
35.3%
DEN 34.9% +0.7%
SAS 34.2%
Mid Att. %
33.4%
37.8%
DEN 45.3%
SAS 35.4% +9.9%
3P Att. %
28.4%
26.9%
DEN 19.8%
SAS 30.4% +10.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes22.425.5
Points111120
Rebounds3836
Assists2124
Steals78
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)3 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)33 (2)
Field Goals45-8643-79
At-the-Rim FG22-3017-27
Midrange FG17-3917-28
2-Point FG39-6934-55
3-Point FG6-179-24
Free Throws15-2325-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'8" 228 · 25
33.8
20
59%
10
2
1
0
1
0
5
5
2-6
33%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 27
32.7
23
68%
1
9
0
0
2
3
0
1
8-8
100%
6-11
55%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 225 · 27
31.1
14
58%
5
0
2
0
1
3
0
5
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
3-7
43%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
30.0
16
57%
8
1
0
0
2
4
1
7
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 218 · 31
19.7
3
38%
0
0
0
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24
28.3
6
38%
2
2
1
1
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26
22.9
14
64%
8
1
1
1
2
2
1
7
2-6
33%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 33
17.3
13
65%
2
4
1
1
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
5-8
63%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
16.5
0
0%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 20
7.5
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 260 · 23
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 290 · 21
G · 6'4" 185 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
57%
38
21
7
3
13
0
8
30
15-23
65%
39-69
57%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.