FinalWin Prob.pScore
2924%89
108
1476%99
119
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
109.19998.1
MIA logo MIA
120.299101.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA108
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)108
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0PHIMISS Frazier 24' 3PT Jump Shot108
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0PHIAldemir REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)108
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Ennis 2' Driving Layup108
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0PHIAldemir 3' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)108
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0PHIAldemir REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)106
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0PHIMISS Sampson 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAJohnson 8' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)106
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05PHIThompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Frazier 4 AST)106
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)103
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24PHIAldemir Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)103
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)101
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54PHIThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)101
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54PHIThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06PHIMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)99
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot99
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21PHIMISS Mbah a Moute 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39PHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS Ennis 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58PHIThompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)99
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04PHINoel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIAMISS Johnson 10' Floating Jump Shot96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29PHIMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 296
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29PHIMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 296
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29PHI76ers Rebound96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30PHIMISS Covington 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)96
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAHEAT Rebound96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50PHIMISS Covington Free Throw 2 of 296
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50PHICovington Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 10 AST)95
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23PHINoel 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)93
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41MIAHEAT Rebound93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42PHIMISS Smith 6' Running Hook Shot93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00PHICovington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)93
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 5:01MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot93
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 5:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 5:12PHIMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 293
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 5:12PHISmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)93
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 5:27MIADragic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T16)92
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 5:43PHIMbah a Moute 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02MIADragic 12' Jump Shot (21 PTS)89
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27PHINoel Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 6:27PHINoel Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)88
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 6:29PHI76ers Rebound87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30PHIMISS Covington 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41PHINoel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Ennis 22' Jump Shot87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Andersen 6' Jump Shot87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06PHICanaan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)87
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 7:26MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)87
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 7:41MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 7:42PHIMISS Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 7:50MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)87
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 7:58MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 7:59PHIMISS Noel Free Throw 2 of 287
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 7:59PHINoel Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 8:17MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T14)86
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 8:32PHICanaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)86
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 8:41MIAChalmers 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)83
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 8:57PHISampson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)83
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 9:06MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)83
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 9:06MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)83
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 9:06MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)83
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 9:14PHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)83
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 9:24MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)83
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 9:45PHIThompson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)83
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 10:03MIADeng 2' Reverse Layup (27 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)83
1.6%
98
98.4%
Q4 - 10:23MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 10:24PHIAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)83
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 10:30PHISampson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Ennis 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 10:45PHINoel Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 10:45PHINoel Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)82
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 10:56MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Ennis 2 AST)81
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 11:15PHISmith 5' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)81
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q4 - 11:16PHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 11:17PHIMISS Smith 6' Floating Jump Shot79
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 11:26PHICanaan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 11:27PHIMISS Thompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 11:39MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)79
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 11:40MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
2.7%
91
97.3%
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Ennis 18' Jump Shot79
3.2%
91
96.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHI79
2.7%
91
97.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWhiteside 1' Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)79
3.7%
91
96.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0PHISampson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)79
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0PHIMISS Sampson Free Throw 1 of 278
4.2%
89
95.8%
Q3 - 0:20.0PHISampson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Hook Shot78
4.2%
89
95.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
3.7%
89
96.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0PHIMISS Frazier Free Throw 2 of 278
3.8%
89
96.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0PHIMISS Frazier Free Throw 1 of 278
4.3%
89
95.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)78
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q3 - 1:06PHIThompson 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)78
6.9%
86
93.1%
Q3 - 1:31MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)75
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q3 - 1:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)75
6.9%
83
93.1%
Q3 - 1:44PHIMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q3 - 1:56MIADragic 16' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)75
8.3%
83
91.7%
Q3 - 2:13PHISmith Driving Dunk (4 PTS)75
10.1%
81
89.9%
Q3 - 2:31MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)73
8.6%
81
91.4%
Q3 - 2:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)73
11.9%
78
88.1%
Q3 - 2:50PHIMISS Mbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot73
12.6%
78
87.4%
Q3 - 3:12PHI76ers Rebound73
14.4%
78
85.6%
Q3 - 3:13MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
13.7%
78
86.3%
Q3 - 3:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)73
12.2%
78
87.8%
Q3 - 3:21PHIMISS Mbah a Moute 2' Driving Reverse Layup73
12.9%
78
87.1%
Q3 - 3:43MIAWhiteside 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 9 AST)73
14.4%
78
85.6%
Q3 - 3:55MIAHEAT Rebound73
16.6%
76
83.4%
Q3 - 3:56PHIMISS McGee 13' Jump Shot73
17.4%
76
82.6%
Q3 - 4:05PHISampson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
19.4%
76
80.6%
Q3 - 4:06MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
18.5%
76
81.5%
Q3 - 4:15PHIDragic STEAL (2 STL)73
16.4%
76
83.6%
Q3 - 4:17MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)73
19.4%
76
80.6%
Q3 - 4:34PHISampson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)73
16.4%
76
83.6%
Q3 - 4:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
14.6%
76
85.4%
Q3 - 4:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)71
15.1%
75
84.9%
Q3 - 4:49PHIHaslem STEAL (1 STL)71
16.4%
74
83.6%
Q3 - 4:58MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS)71
19.4%
74
80.6%
Q3 - 5:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)71
21.5%
72
78.5%
Q3 - 5:08PHIMISS Mbah a Moute 20' Jump Shot71
22.5%
72
77.5%
Q3 - 5:15MIAWade 13' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)71
24.9%
72
75.1%
Q3 - 5:45PHISims Dunk (12 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)71
27.6%
70
72.4%
Q3 - 5:51PHICovington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
24.9%
70
75.1%
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot69
23.8%
70
76.2%
Q3 - 6:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
21.2%
70
78.8%
Q3 - 6:09PHIMISS Sims Free Throw 1 of 169
21.6%
70
78.4%
Q3 - 6:17MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)67
19.0%
70
81.0%
Q3 - 6:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
21.2%
68
78.8%
Q3 - 6:24PHIMISS Mbah a Moute 20' Jump Shot67
22.2%
68
77.8%
Q3 - 6:36MIADeng 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)67
24.4%
68
75.6%
Q3 - 6:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)67
27.0%
66
73.0%
Q3 - 6:44PHIMISS Covington 3' Driving Layup67
28.1%
66
71.9%
Q3 - 6:58MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
30.8%
66
69.2%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 267
31.5%
65
68.5%
Q3 - 7:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
29.5%
65
70.5%
Q3 - 7:02PHIMISS Mbah a Moute 20' Jump Shot67
30.6%
65
69.4%
Q3 - 7:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T12)67
33.3%
65
66.7%
Q3 - 7:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
29.6%
65
70.4%
Q3 - 7:31PHIMISS Canaan 12' Jump Shot67
30.7%
65
69.3%
Q3 - 7:51MIADeng 10' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)67
33.3%
65
66.7%
Q3 - 8:15PHICanaan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)67
35.6%
63
64.4%
Q3 - 8:37PHINoel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
39.7%
63
60.3%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Dragic 10' Jump Shot67
38.4%
63
61.6%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical67
35.6%
63
64.4%
Q3 - 8:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
35.6%
63
64.4%
Q3 - 8:48PHIMISS Noel 1' Reverse Layup67
36.8%
63
63.2%
Q3 - 8:57MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)67
39.7%
63
60.3%
Q3 - 9:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
41.5%
61
58.5%
Q3 - 9:04PHIMISS Covington 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
42.6%
61
57.4%
Q3 - 9:18PHIMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
45.3%
61
54.7%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot67
44.1%
61
55.9%
Q3 - 9:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
41.6%
61
58.4%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot67
44.2%
61
55.8%
Q3 - 9:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
41.6%
61
58.4%
Q3 - 10:00PHIMISS Mbah a Moute 2' Driving Layup67
42.8%
61
57.2%
Q3 - 10:06PHINoel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
43.8%
61
56.2%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 267
43.4%
61
56.6%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 267
41.5%
61
58.5%
Q3 - 10:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
40.3%
61
59.7%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup67
42.8%
61
57.2%
Q3 - 10:15MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
40.3%
61
59.7%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot67
42.8%
61
57.2%
Q3 - 10:32PHICovington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 2 AST)67
40.4%
61
59.6%
Q3 - 10:50PHIMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
33.9%
61
66.1%
Q3 - 10:51MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot64
32.9%
61
67.1%
Q3 - 11:10PHICovington 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Canaan 3 AST)64
29.8%
61
70.2%
Q3 - 11:14PHISims REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
27.1%
61
72.9%
Q3 - 11:15MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Jump Shot62
26.3%
61
73.7%
Q3 - 11:41PHISims 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Noel 2 AST)62
24.4%
61
75.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA60
22.1%
61
77.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound60
19.7%
61
80.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
21.3%
61
78.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0PHICanaan 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
20.1%
61
79.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAWade 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)58
17.6%
61
82.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0PHISims 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)58
20.1%
59
79.9%
Q2 - 1:02MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
17.6%
59
82.4%
Q2 - 1:02MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
18.2%
58
81.8%
Q2 - 1:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
20.4%
57
79.6%
Q2 - 1:19PHIMISS Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
20.8%
57
79.2%
Q2 - 1:47MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
21.6%
57
78.4%
Q2 - 2:11PHICovington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Canaan 2 AST)56
24.0%
55
76.0%
Q2 - 2:36MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)53
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q2 - 2:40PHIWade STEAL (1 STL)53
21.9%
53
78.1%
Q2 - 3:03MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)53
23.7%
53
76.3%
Q2 - 3:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
21.3%
53
78.7%
Q2 - 3:08PHIMISS Canaan 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
22.0%
53
78.0%
Q2 - 3:27MIAWade 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)53
23.7%
53
76.3%
Q2 - 3:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q2 - 3:32PHIMISS Mbah a Moute 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
26.4%
51
73.6%
Q2 - 3:46MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)53
28.3%
51
71.7%
Q2 - 4:03PHINoel 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Canaan 1 AST)53
29.7%
49
70.3%
Q2 - 4:17MIADeng 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
27.5%
49
72.5%
Q2 - 4:29PHICovington 1' Layup (7 PTS)51
32.2%
46
67.8%
Q2 - 4:30PHICovington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)49
29.9%
46
70.1%
Q2 - 4:31PHIMISS Thompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
28.2%
46
71.8%
Q2 - 4:48MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T10)49
29.9%
46
70.1%
Q2 - 4:53MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
27.4%
46
72.6%
Q2 - 4:54PHIMISS Sampson 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
28.2%
46
71.8%
Q2 - 5:22MIADeng 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)49
29.4%
46
70.6%
Q2 - 5:42PHINoel 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Sampson 2 AST)49
31.8%
44
68.2%
Q2 - 6:05MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)47
29.4%
44
70.6%
Q2 - 6:20PHICanaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
31.2%
42
68.8%
Q2 - 6:31PHINoel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
27.1%
42
72.9%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot44
26.3%
42
73.7%
Q2 - 6:49PHINoel Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
24.6%
42
75.4%
Q2 - 6:49PHIMISS Noel Free Throw 1 of 243
23.9%
42
76.1%
Q2 - 6:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
25.0%
42
75.0%
Q2 - 6:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
25.5%
41
74.5%
Q2 - 7:22PHISampson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Noel 1 AST)43
26.5%
40
73.5%
Q2 - 7:43MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)41
24.6%
40
75.4%
Q2 - 7:43MIAHEAT Rebound41
22.5%
40
77.5%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
24.0%
40
76.0%
Q2 - 8:18PHIThompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Sampson 1 AST)41
22.2%
40
77.8%
Q2 - 8:28PHISampson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 8:29MIAMISS Ennis 3PT Jump Shot38
18.4%
40
81.6%
Q2 - 8:37MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
17.3%
40
82.7%
Q2 - 8:38PHIMISS Sampson 8' Jump Shot38
17.8%
40
82.2%
Q2 - 8:59MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)38
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 9:04MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 9:05PHIEnnis BLOCK (1 BLK)38
20.6%
38
79.4%
Q2 - 9:11PHISmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
21.9%
38
78.1%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Jump Shot38
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 9:23PHINoel Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 9:23PHINoel Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
19.5%
38
80.5%
Q2 - 9:33PHIThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
18.7%
38
81.3%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Napier 2' Driving Layup36
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 9:44MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Ennis 5' Driving Jump Shot36
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 10:00PHISmith Foul Turnover (P2.T4)36
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q2 - 10:10MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)36
18.9%
38
81.1%
Q2 - 10:24PHIAndersen STEAL (1 STL)36
21.8%
35
78.2%
Q2 - 10:44MIAEnnis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)36
23.9%
35
76.1%
Q2 - 10:53PHIThompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Frazier 3 AST)36
27.3%
32
72.7%
Q2 - 11:04PHISampson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
23.6%
32
76.4%
Q2 - 11:05PHIMISS McGee 11' Jump Bank Shot33
22.3%
32
77.7%
Q2 - 11:17PHI76ers Rebound33
23.6%
32
76.4%
Q2 - 11:18MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Jump Shot33
23.0%
32
77.0%
Q2 - 11:43PHISmith 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
21.8%
32
78.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
20.3%
32
79.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound31
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHIMISS Thompson 27' 3PT Jump Shot31
19.2%
32
80.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)31
19.9%
32
80.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0PHIMcGee Tip Shot (6 PTS)31
18.9%
32
81.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0PHIMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
17.1%
32
82.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0PHIMISS Smith 5' Driving Jump Shot29
16.4%
32
83.6%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAWalker Driving Dunk (8 PTS)29
17.1%
32
82.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
18.9%
30
81.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0PHIMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 229
19.0%
30
81.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0PHIMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 229
19.8%
30
80.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAEnnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)29
20.0%
30
80.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0PHIMcGee Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Frazier 2 AST)29
18.8%
30
81.2%
Q1 - 1:11MIADragic 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)27
17.1%
30
82.9%
Q1 - 1:23PHIThompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Frazier 1 AST)27
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q1 - 1:43MIADeng 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)24
15.8%
28
84.2%
Q1 - 1:48MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 1:49PHIAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)24
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 1:57MIAAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)24
18.4%
26
81.6%
Q1 - 2:08MIAHEAT Rebound24
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q1 - 2:09PHIMISS Covington 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
20.5%
24
79.5%
Q1 - 2:13MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)24
21.5%
24
78.5%
Q1 - 2:17MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q1 - 2:18MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot24
21.0%
24
79.0%
Q1 - 2:34PHIMcGee Dunk (2 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)24
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q1 - 2:46MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)22
18.5%
24
81.5%
Q1 - 3:01MIAHEAT Rebound22
19.7%
22
80.3%
Q1 - 3:03PHIMISS Covington Free Throw 1 of 122
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 3:15PHIMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
18.5%
22
81.5%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 120
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 3:32PHIThompson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Covington 2 AST)20
19.7%
20
80.3%
Q1 - 3:38MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)18
18.5%
20
81.5%
Q1 - 3:42MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
17.0%
20
83.0%
Q1 - 3:43PHIMISS Noel 1' Layup18
17.5%
20
82.5%
Q1 - 3:49MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)18
18.5%
20
81.5%
Q1 - 4:09PHISims Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 4:21MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)18
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 4:34PHICanaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)18
20.9%
17
79.1%
Q1 - 4:41MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)15
18.4%
17
81.6%
Q1 - 4:54PHISims Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
20.9%
14
79.1%
Q1 - 4:54PHISims Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
20.6%
14
79.4%
Q1 - 5:16MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
19.5%
14
80.5%
Q1 - 5:32PHINoel 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sims 3 AST)13
20.7%
12
79.3%
Q1 - 5:50PHIMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
19.5%
12
80.5%
Q1 - 5:51MIAMISS Dragic 13' Jump Shot11
19.0%
12
81.0%
Q1 - 6:06MIAHEAT Rebound11
17.9%
12
82.1%
Q1 - 6:07PHIMISS Covington 3' Jump Shot11
18.3%
12
81.7%
Q1 - 6:08PHICovington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
19.2%
12
80.8%
Q1 - 6:09PHIMISS Covington 2' Jump Shot11
18.3%
12
81.7%
Q1 - 6:31MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
19.2%
12
80.8%
Q1 - 6:31MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
19.4%
11
80.6%
Q1 - 6:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
20.4%
10
79.6%
Q1 - 6:33PHIMISS Covington 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 6:57MIAWade 6' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)11
21.8%
10
78.2%
Q1 - 7:02PHIDragic STEAL (1 STL)11
22.6%
8
77.4%
Q1 - 7:08PHISims REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
24.2%
8
75.8%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup11
23.7%
8
76.3%
Q1 - 7:28PHINoel 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)11
22.7%
8
77.3%
Q1 - 7:39MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)9
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 7:58PHIMbah a Moute 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Sims 2 AST)9
24.1%
5
75.9%
Q1 - 8:05MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)7
22.5%
5
77.5%
Q1 - 8:13PHIMbah a Moute 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sims 1 AST)7
21.1%
5
78.9%
Q1 - 8:27MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
19.9%
5
80.1%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 25
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 8:41PHICovington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 8:47MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)2
17.6%
4
82.4%
Q1 - 8:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
16.4%
4
83.6%
Q1 - 8:54MIAMISS Deng 19' Fadeaway Jumper2
17.3%
4
82.7%
Q1 - 9:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.3%
4
83.7%
Q1 - 9:19PHIMISS Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 9:27PHINoel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
17.5%
4
82.5%
Q1 - 9:28PHIMISS Sims 16' Jump Shot2
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 9:37PHIMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.5%
4
82.5%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot2
17.1%
4
82.9%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)2
16.3%
4
83.7%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup2
17.1%
4
82.9%
Q1 - 10:06PHISims 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Covington 1 AST)2
16.3%
4
83.7%
Q1 - 10:27MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (2 PTS)0
15.4%
4
84.6%
Q1 - 10:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot0
17.1%
2
82.9%
Q1 - 10:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 10:40PHIMISS Noel 5' Hook Shot0
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 10:42PHINoel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 10:43PHIMISS Noel 1' Driving Layup0
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 10:51MIAWade 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 11:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.3%
0
81.7%
Q1 - 11:07PHIMISS Noel 9' Hook Shot0
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 11:24PHISims REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.4%
0
80.6%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 11:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.3%
0
81.7%
Q1 - 11:33PHIMISS Covington 2' Reverse Layup0
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
19.4%
0
80.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Noel: Tip to Haslem0
18.3%
0
81.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.10 55.1%
MIA
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
19
33
58%
MIA
22
32
69%
Midrange
PHI
8
20
40%
MIA
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
13
19.5
31
42%
63%
MIA
11
16.5
21
52%
79%
Free Throws
PHI
15
28
54%
MIA
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Thompson22100%11.0 / 11
N. Noel1860%9.0 / 15
R. Covington1650%8.0 / 16
H. Sims1286%6.0 / 7
I. Canaan1161%5.5 / 9
L. Mbah a Moute729%3.5 / 12
I. Smith739%3.5 / 9
J. McGee660%3.0 / 5
J. Sampson528%2.5 / 9
F. Aldemir4100%2.0 / 2
T. Frazier0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng2991%14.5 / 16
G. Dragic2372%11.5 / 16
D. Wade1860%9.0 / 15
H. Whiteside1260%6.0 / 10
H. Walker11110%5.5 / 5
M. Chalmers956%4.5 / 8
C. Andersen880%4.0 / 5
U. Haslem433%2.0 / 6
J. Ennis III319%1.5 / 8
T. Johnson233%1.0 / 3
S. Napier0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
87
+11
-12
98
MIA
83
+13
-16
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.10 55.1%
MIA
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
95.8
103.9
PHI 109.1
MIA 120.2 +11.1
Pace
95.5
91.0
PHI 98.1
MIA 101.0 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.3
PHI 14.7
MIA 14.3 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.9%
50.0%
PHI 55.4%
MIA 62.0% +6.6%
TO %
17.6%
15.2%
PHI 11.1% +4.4%
MIA 15.5%
ORB %
25.5%
23.3%
PHI 20.9%
MIA 31.4% +10.5%
FTrt
28.8
30.6
PHI 33.3 +6.8
MIA 26.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
56.4%
PHI 67.5% +8.8%
MIA 58.7%
STL %
10.0%
8.6%
PHI 10.1% +4.0%
MIA 6.1%
BLK %
9.9%
8.0%
PHI 12.9% +7.2%
MIA 5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.0%
52.2%
PHI 55.1%
MIA 61.3% +6.2%
Rim FG%
53.1%
59.7%
PHI 57.6%
MIA 68.8% +11.2%
Mid FG%
32.2%
40.9%
PHI 40.0%
MIA 43.3% +3.3%
3P %
32.0%
33.5%
PHI 41.9%
MIA 52.4% +10.5%
FT %
67.6%
74.1%
PHI 53.6%
MIA 72.7% +19.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.4%
35.1%
PHI 39.3% +0.7%
MIA 38.6%
Mid Att. %
26.7%
38.7%
PHI 23.8% +12.3%
MIA 36.1%
3P Att. %
31.9%
26.2%
PHI 36.9% +11.6%
MIA 25.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.43 and 3.43.
Game TotalsPHIMIA
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes24.223.5
Points108119
Rebounds3345
Assists2727
Steals106
Blocks83
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)34 (7)
Field Goals40-8446-83
At-the-Rim FG19-3322-32
Midrange FG8-2013-30
2-Point FG27-5335-62
3-Point FG13-3111-21
Free Throws15-2816-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'9" 225 · 24
33.8
16
50%
4
2
5
0
0
4
2
2
1-3
33%
3-7
43%
3-8
38%
C · 6'11" 220 · 21
31.0
18
60%
7
2
0
4
0
4
2
5
8-10
80%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 28
30.5
7
29%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-2
0%
2-8
25%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 200 · 24
29.6
11
61%
1
3
0
0
3
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
F · 6'10" 248 · 25
17.9
12
86%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-3
67%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 206 · 24
27.5
22
100%
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
6-9
67%
G · 6'0" 175 · 27
23.6
7
39%
3
7
3
0
4
3
1
2
1-4
25%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 207 · 22
20.3
5
28%
5
2
0
2
2
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 170 · 24
11.9
0
0%
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 270 · 27
11.9
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24
1.9
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 34
F · 6'7" 210 · 21
#21 · C-F · 7'0" 280 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'6" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
55%
33
27
10
8
12
0
9
24
15-28
54%
27-53
51%
13-31
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.