FinalWin Prob.pScore
2523%95
81
677%105
92
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
84.49696.7
DAL logo DAL
94.89796.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL81
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)81
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHAMISS Jefferson 11' Turnaround Hook Shot81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0CHAJefferson Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)81
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 279
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0CHAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 179
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0CHAMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0DALMISS Rondo 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20CHAEllis STEAL (1 STL)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48CHAKidd-Gilchrist 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59DALEllis 11' Driving Jump Shot (20 PTS)75
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20CHAStephenson 1' Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)75
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31DALMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot73
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45CHAChandler BLOCK (2 BLK)73
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01DALEllis 17' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)73
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 3:11DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 3:12CHAMISS Stephenson 2' Driving Layup73
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 3:32DALEllis 16' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)73
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 3:44DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)73
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 3:45CHAMISS Henderson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot73
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q4 - 4:05DALEllis 17' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 4:21CHAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stephenson 5 AST)73
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 4:43CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 4:44DALMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 5:00DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)70
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 5:01CHAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot70
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 5:15DALChandler Running Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)70
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q4 - 5:25CHAWilliams 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST)70
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 5:39DALEllis 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 5:51CHAZeller 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T14)68
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q4 - 6:12DALEllis Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)68
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q4 - 6:24DALMAVERICKS Rebound68
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q4 - 6:25CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q4 - 6:42DALEllis 15' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q4 - 6:56DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
4.3%
75
95.7%
Q4 - 6:57DALMISS Rondo 17' Fadeaway Jumper68
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q4 - 7:12DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)68
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q4 - 7:13CHAMISS Stephenson 21' Step Back Jump Shot68
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q4 - 7:31CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
6.6%
75
93.4%
Q4 - 7:32DALMISS Villanueva 11' Running Jump Shot68
6.0%
75
94.0%
Q4 - 7:51CHAKidd-Gilchrist 6' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)68
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q4 - 8:00CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q4 - 8:01DALMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot66
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q4 - 8:16CHAKidd-Gilchrist 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)66
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q4 - 8:37DALRondo Driving Layup (8 PTS)64
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q4 - 8:44DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q4 - 8:46CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)64
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q4 - 8:46CHAMISS Zeller Tip Shot64
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q4 - 8:47CHAMISS Stephenson 8' Jump Shot64
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q4 - 8:59CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q4 - 9:00DALMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot64
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q4 - 9:15DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q4 - 9:16CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q4 - 9:33DALVillanueva 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)64
5.1%
73
94.9%
Q4 - 9:47CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q4 - 9:47CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 263
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q4 - 9:52CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q4 - 9:54DALMISS Ellis 6' Jump Shot63
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q4 - 10:05CHAStephenson 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)63
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q4 - 10:12CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q4 - 10:13DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q4 - 10:24CHAKidd-Gilchrist 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Roberts 2 AST)61
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q4 - 10:44DALBarea 14' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)59
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q4 - 11:08CHAStephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)59
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q4 - 11:26DALStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
2.7%
69
97.3%
Q4 - 11:26DALStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q4 - 11:26DALStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q4 - 11:27DALMISS Barea 1' Reverse Layup56
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q4 - 11:34DALAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q4 - 11:35CHAMISS Roberts 12' Running Bank Shot56
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q4 - 11:49CHAHornets Rebound56
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q4 - 11:49DALMISS Stoudemire 20' Jump Shot56
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA56
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0DALStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0DALStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0DALStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0CHAMISS Williams 22' Floating Jump Shot56
5.6%
65
94.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0DALStoudemire 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)56
6.4%
65
93.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0CHAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)56
7.7%
63
92.3%
Q3 - 1:11DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)53
5.6%
63
94.4%
Q3 - 1:20CHAWilliams 4' Driving Bank Shot (17 PTS)53
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 1:31CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)51
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 1:32DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 1:40DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
3.2%
63
96.8%
Q3 - 1:41CHAMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot51
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 1:55DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 1:55DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 251
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 1:55DALMAVERICKS Rebound51
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 1:55DALMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 2:09DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)51
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 2:10CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 19' Jump Shot51
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 2:31DALStoudemire Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)51
5.0%
62
95.0%
Q3 - 2:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)51
5.9%
60
94.1%
Q3 - 2:44CHAMISS Stephenson 2' Layup51
6.2%
60
93.8%
Q3 - 3:02DALHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)51
7.4%
60
92.6%
Q3 - 3:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)51
10.1%
57
89.9%
Q3 - 3:11CHAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 251
10.4%
57
89.6%
Q3 - 3:11CHAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)51
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q3 - 3:11DALStoudemire Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)50
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q3 - 3:42CHAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)50
8.6%
57
91.4%
Q3 - 3:48DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)47
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q3 - 4:04CHAKidd-Gilchrist 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)47
5.4%
57
94.6%
Q3 - 4:13CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)45
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q3 - 4:14DALMISS Ellis 19' Pullup Jump Shot45
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q3 - 4:32DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 4:33CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 3' Jump Bank Shot45
4.2%
57
95.8%
Q3 - 4:56DALJefferson Foul Turnover (P1.T11)45
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q3 - 4:59CHAHarris STEAL (4 STL)45
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 5:26DALChandler 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST)45
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q3 - 5:39CHAJefferson 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)45
5.7%
55
94.3%
Q3 - 5:49CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
5.0%
55
95.0%
Q3 - 5:49DALMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot43
4.7%
55
95.3%
Q3 - 6:01CHAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Henderson 2 AST)43
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q3 - 6:07CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 6:08DALMISS Aminu Driving Dunk40
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q3 - 6:21CHAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)40
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q3 - 6:28CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 6:28CHAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)40
2.9%
55
97.1%
Q3 - 6:32CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)40
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 6:34DALMISS Rondo 12' Running Jump Shot40
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q3 - 6:41DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)40
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q3 - 6:42CHAMISS Jefferson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot40
2.9%
55
97.1%
Q3 - 7:03DALChandler 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)40
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q3 - 7:13CHAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)40
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q3 - 7:24CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)40
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 7:25DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper40
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q3 - 7:42DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q3 - 7:43CHAMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot40
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q3 - 7:55DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)40
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 8:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)40
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q3 - 8:01CHAMISS Jefferson 11' Running Jump Shot40
4.2%
53
95.8%
Q3 - 8:26DALRondo 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q3 - 8:37DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q3 - 8:38CHAMISS Henderson 21' Pullup Jump Shot40
5.6%
51
94.4%
Q3 - 8:45CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
6.3%
51
93.7%
Q3 - 8:46DALMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot40
6.0%
51
94.0%
Q3 - 9:06CHAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)40
5.5%
51
94.5%
Q3 - 9:16DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)40
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q3 - 9:19DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
7.2%
49
92.8%
Q3 - 9:20CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q3 - 9:26DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)40
8.3%
49
91.7%
Q3 - 9:48CHARondo STEAL (1 STL)40
7.2%
49
92.8%
Q3 - 10:01DALNowitzki 11' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
8.2%
49
91.8%
Q3 - 10:18CHAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 1 AST)40
9.3%
47
90.7%
Q3 - 10:33DALChandler 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)37
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q3 - 10:43CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
8.2%
45
91.8%
Q3 - 10:43CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
8.1%
45
91.9%
Q3 - 10:46CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
7.2%
45
92.8%
Q3 - 10:47DALMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot35
6.9%
45
93.1%
Q3 - 11:07DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
6.4%
45
93.6%
Q3 - 11:08CHAMISS Zeller 18' Jump Shot35
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q3 - 11:21CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)35
7.3%
45
92.7%
Q3 - 11:22DALMISS Ellis 19' Pullup Jump Shot35
7.0%
45
93.0%
Q3 - 11:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)35
6.4%
45
93.6%
Q3 - 11:36CHAMISS Jefferson 9' Turnaround Hook Shot35
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL35
7.3%
45
92.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
6.9%
45
93.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot35
7.1%
45
92.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
7.5%
45
92.5%
Q2 - 0:14.0DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
7.7%
44
92.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0CHAJefferson 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
8.8%
43
91.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
7.5%
43
92.5%
Q2 - 0:49.0DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Turnaround Jump Shot33
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 1:03DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 1:04CHAMISS Jefferson 6' Driving Jump Shot33
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 1:19CHAHornets Rebound33
7.7%
43
92.3%
Q2 - 1:20DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Fadeaway Jumper33
7.6%
43
92.4%
Q2 - 1:36CHAWilliams 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)33
7.2%
43
92.8%
Q2 - 1:45DALAminu Backcourt Turnover (P1.T8)31
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 2:00CHAKidd-Gilchrist Foul Turnover (P1.T8)31
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 2:09CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)31
6.4%
43
93.6%
Q2 - 2:09DALMISS Harris 17' Pullup Jump Shot31
6.2%
43
93.8%
Q2 - 2:15CHAHarris STEAL (3 STL)31
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 2:16CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
6.4%
43
93.6%
Q2 - 2:17CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
6.4%
43
93.6%
Q2 - 2:17CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 3' Tip Shot31
5.9%
43
94.1%
Q2 - 2:19CHAMISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot31
5.9%
43
94.1%
Q2 - 2:24CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)31
6.4%
43
93.6%
Q2 - 2:25DALMISS Nowitzki 7' Turnaround Jump Shot31
6.2%
43
93.8%
Q2 - 2:47CHAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)31
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 2:52CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)29
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 2:52CHAMISS Zeller 20' Jump Shot29
4.7%
43
95.3%
Q2 - 3:05CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
5.3%
43
94.7%
Q2 - 3:06DALMISS Ellis 20' Pullup Jump Shot29
5.1%
43
94.9%
Q2 - 3:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)29
4.6%
43
95.4%
Q2 - 3:25CHAMISS Jefferson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot29
4.8%
43
95.2%
Q2 - 3:34CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
5.3%
43
94.7%
Q2 - 3:36CHAChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)29
4.8%
43
95.2%
Q2 - 3:46CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)29
5.3%
43
94.7%
Q2 - 3:47DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
5.1%
43
94.9%
Q2 - 4:02CHAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
4.9%
43
95.1%
Q2 - 4:12CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
4.4%
43
95.6%
Q2 - 4:13DALMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot27
4.2%
43
95.8%
Q2 - 4:23DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
3.9%
43
96.1%
Q2 - 4:24CHAMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot27
4.0%
43
96.0%
Q2 - 4:41CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)27
4.4%
43
95.6%
Q2 - 4:43DALMISS Jefferson 7' Driving Jump Shot27
4.2%
43
95.8%
Q2 - 5:06DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
4.0%
43
96.0%
Q2 - 5:07CHAMISS Williams 19' Pullup Jump Shot27
4.2%
43
95.8%
Q2 - 5:17DALChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T7)27
4.5%
43
95.5%
Q2 - 5:34CHAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)27
4.0%
43
96.0%
Q2 - 5:42CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
3.2%
43
96.8%
Q2 - 5:43DALMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
3.1%
43
96.9%
Q2 - 5:54DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
2.9%
43
97.1%
Q2 - 5:55CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q2 - 6:02DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)24
3.5%
43
96.5%
Q2 - 6:13CHAJefferson Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)24
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q2 - 6:34DALChandler Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)24
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 6:39DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
3.7%
41
96.3%
Q2 - 6:41CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup24
3.9%
41
96.1%
Q2 - 6:55DALRondo 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)24
4.2%
41
95.8%
Q2 - 7:16CHAWilliams 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)24
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 7:32DALJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)22
4.4%
39
95.6%
Q2 - 7:42DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
5.3%
36
94.7%
Q2 - 7:43CHAMISS Stephenson 20' Jump Shot22
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 8:08DALVillanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)22
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q2 - 8:22DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
7.3%
33
92.7%
Q2 - 8:24DALMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
7.8%
33
92.2%
Q2 - 8:36CHATaylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
7.3%
33
92.7%
Q2 - 8:36CHATaylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
7.1%
33
92.9%
Q2 - 8:40DALBarea Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)20
6.6%
33
93.4%
Q2 - 8:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)20
6.0%
33
94.0%
Q2 - 8:51CHAMISS Roberts 12' Running Jump Shot20
6.2%
33
93.8%
Q2 - 9:04CHAMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)20
6.7%
33
93.3%
Q2 - 9:05CHAMISS Roberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
6.3%
33
93.7%
Q2 - 9:12CHATaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
6.7%
33
93.3%
Q2 - 9:13DALMISS Aminu 7' Driving Bank Shot20
6.5%
33
93.5%
Q2 - 9:41CHATaylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
6.1%
33
93.9%
Q2 - 9:41CHATaylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
5.9%
33
94.1%
Q2 - 9:48CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
5.6%
33
94.4%
Q2 - 9:49DALMISS Villanueva Free Throw 2 of 218
5.5%
33
94.5%
Q2 - 9:49DALVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
5.2%
33
94.8%
Q2 - 9:49DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
5.5%
32
94.5%
Q2 - 9:51DALMISS Villanueva 1' Layup18
5.9%
32
94.1%
Q2 - 10:12DALMAVERICKS Rebound18
5.6%
32
94.4%
Q2 - 10:12CHAMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 118
5.7%
32
94.3%
Q2 - 10:15CHATaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
5.2%
32
94.8%
Q2 - 10:18CHAAminu BLOCK (3 BLK)16
4.8%
32
95.2%
Q2 - 10:29DALBarea Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
5.2%
32
94.8%
Q2 - 10:29DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
5.3%
31
94.7%
Q2 - 10:32DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)16
5.6%
30
94.4%
Q2 - 10:33CHAMISS Taylor 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
5.8%
30
94.2%
Q2 - 10:38CHAMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
6.3%
30
93.7%
Q2 - 10:39CHAMISS Stephenson 22' Floating Jump Shot16
5.8%
30
94.2%
Q2 - 10:52DALBarea Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)16
6.3%
30
93.7%
Q2 - 10:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
6.8%
28
93.2%
Q2 - 10:59CHAAminu BLOCK (2 BLK)16
7.0%
28
93.0%
Q2 - 11:02CHAHornets Rebound16
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q2 - 11:02CHAAminu BLOCK (1 BLK)16
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q2 - 11:17DALBarea Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q2 - 11:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
7.0%
28
93.0%
Q2 - 11:30CHAMISS Maxiell 15' Jump Shot16
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q2 - 11:41DALHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)16
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q2 - 11:43CHAHarris STEAL (2 STL)16
7.0%
28
93.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA16
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Williams 22' Floating Jump Shot16
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0DALStoudemire Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)16
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0CHAWilliams 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Roberts 1 AST)16
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALStoudemire Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)14
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q1 - 1:02CHAStephenson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
8.7%
24
91.3%
Q1 - 1:18DALBarea 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
7.8%
24
92.2%
Q1 - 1:42CHAStephenson 10' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
8.7%
22
91.3%
Q1 - 1:47CHAHornets Rebound10
7.8%
22
92.2%
Q1 - 1:47CHAMISS Stephenson 19' Jump Shot10
7.5%
22
92.5%
Q1 - 2:00DALStoudemire 3' Jump Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS)10
7.8%
22
92.2%
Q1 - 2:04DALStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
8.7%
20
91.3%
Q1 - 2:05DALMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot10
9.2%
20
90.8%
Q1 - 2:21DALAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
8.7%
20
91.3%
Q1 - 2:22CHAMISS Roberts 20' Jump Shot10
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 2:41DALEllis 6' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
9.4%
20
90.6%
Q1 - 2:53DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
10.3%
18
89.7%
Q1 - 2:55CHAMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot10
10.5%
18
89.5%
Q1 - 3:10CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)10
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 3:12DALMISS Stoudemire 1' Jump Hook Shot10
10.9%
18
89.1%
Q1 - 3:23DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
10.3%
18
89.7%
Q1 - 3:24CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot10
10.5%
18
89.5%
Q1 - 3:44CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)10
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 3:45DALMISS Stoudemire 8' Turnaround Hook Shot10
10.9%
18
89.1%
Q1 - 3:59CHAJefferson Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)10
10.3%
18
89.7%
Q1 - 4:22DALJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)10
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 4:30CHAHarris STEAL (1 STL)10
12.9%
15
87.1%
Q1 - 4:45DALStoudemire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 5:02CHAHenderson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)10
13.1%
15
86.9%
Q1 - 5:26DALJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 5:26DALMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 28
12.5%
14
87.5%
Q1 - 5:38DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
12.1%
14
87.9%
Q1 - 5:38CHAMISS Henderson 16' Jump Shot8
12.4%
14
87.6%
Q1 - 5:48CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
13.2%
14
86.8%
Q1 - 5:50DALMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 6:02CHAWilliams Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)8
12.2%
14
87.8%
Q1 - 6:06CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
13.2%
14
86.8%
Q1 - 6:07DALMISS Aminu 4' Pullup Bank Shot8
12.9%
14
87.1%
Q1 - 6:29DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.2%
14
87.8%
Q1 - 6:30CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
12.5%
14
87.5%
Q1 - 6:44DALEllis 4' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
13.2%
14
86.8%
Q1 - 6:56CHAKidd-Gilchrist 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)8
14.0%
12
86.0%
Q1 - 7:15DALChandler 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)6
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 7:33DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
13.9%
10
86.1%
Q1 - 7:34DALMISS Ellis 14' Jump Shot6
14.7%
10
85.3%
Q1 - 7:52CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
13.9%
10
86.1%
Q1 - 7:52CHAJefferson 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)6
13.9%
10
86.1%
Q1 - 7:53CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 6' Driving Hook Shot4
12.5%
10
87.5%
Q1 - 8:11DALNowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)4
13.0%
10
87.0%
Q1 - 8:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
13.8%
8
86.2%
Q1 - 8:28CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
14.1%
8
85.9%
Q1 - 8:39CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
14.8%
8
85.2%
Q1 - 8:40CHAMISS Henderson 3PT Jump Shot4
14.1%
8
85.9%
Q1 - 8:55DALNowitzki 13' Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)4
14.8%
8
85.2%
Q1 - 9:03DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
15.6%
6
84.4%
Q1 - 9:13CHAHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
16.7%
5
83.3%
Q1 - 9:38DALJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)4
17.8%
5
82.2%
Q1 - 9:54CHAKidd-Gilchrist Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)4
20.1%
2
79.9%
Q1 - 9:59DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 10:09DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 10:10CHAMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot2
18.0%
2
82.0%
Q1 - 10:29DALRondo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)2
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 10:42DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.9%
0
80.1%
Q1 - 10:43CHAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot2
20.4%
0
79.6%
Q1 - 10:54CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 10:55DALMISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot2
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 11:15CHAWilliams 11' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)2
19.8%
0
80.2%
Q1 - 11:35CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:36DALMISS Ellis 19' Pullup Jump Shot0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Chandler vs. Zeller: Tip to Nowitzki0
17.5%
0
82.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.83 41.3%
DAL
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
14
27
52%
DAL
12
17
71%
Midrange
CHA
13
44
30%
DAL
19
43
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
DAL
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
CHA
9
13
69%
DAL
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2252%11.0 / 21
M. Kidd-Gilchrist1554%7.5 / 14
M. Williams1594%7.5 / 8
L. Stephenson1137%5.5 / 15
A. Jefferson825%4.0 / 16
G. Henderson429%2.0 / 7
J. Taylor450%2.0 / 4
J. Maxiell250%1.0 / 2
C. Zeller0-0.0 / 4
B. Roberts0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2348%11.5 / 24
A. Stoudemire1470%7.0 / 10
T. Chandler12100%6.0 / 6
R. Jefferson1056%5.0 / 9
R. Rondo850%4.0 / 8
D. Nowitzki850%4.0 / 8
J. Barea867%4.0 / 6
C. Villanueva638%3.0 / 8
D. Harris330%1.5 / 5
A. Aminu0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
82
+15
-14
97
DAL
82
+7
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.83 41.3%
DAL
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.5
109.3
CHA 84.4
DAL 94.8 +10.5
Pace
92.7
95.4
CHA 96.7 +0.3
DAL 96.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.1
CHA 14.9 +0.1
DAL 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.6%
51.5%
CHA 40.0%
DAL 49.4% +9.4%
TO %
11.9%
13.0%
CHA 13.5% +1.3%
DAL 14.8%
ORB %
22.2%
23.7%
CHA 23.2% +8.2%
DAL 15.0%
FTrt
26.9
26.2
CHA 14.4
DAL 24.4 +10.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.8%
56.7%
CHA 60.6% +5.0%
DAL 55.6%
STL %
6.5%
8.4%
CHA 10.4% +3.2%
DAL 7.2%
BLK %
8.9%
7.6%
CHA 3.3%
DAL 8.5% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
53.7%
CHA 41.3%
DAL 51.7% +10.4%
Rim FG%
53.5%
60.3%
CHA 51.9%
DAL 70.6% +18.7%
Mid FG%
39.2%
41.5%
CHA 29.5%
DAL 44.2% +14.7%
3P %
31.8%
35.2%
CHA 31.6% +3.8%
DAL 27.8%
FT %
74.8%
75.2%
CHA 69.2%
DAL 78.9% +9.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
35.3%
CHA 30.0% +8.2%
DAL 21.8%
Mid Att. %
46.1%
35.1%
CHA 48.9% +6.2%
DAL 55.1%
3P Att. %
22.6%
29.6%
CHA 21.1%
DAL 23.1% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHADAL
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points8192
Rebounds4749
Assists2020
Steals107
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)43 (2)
Field Goals33-9036-78
At-the-Rim FG14-2712-17
Midrange FG13-4419-43
2-Point FG27-7131-60
3-Point FG6-195-18
Free Throws9-1315-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 198 · 32
38.0
22
52%
1
3
3
0
5
0
0
1
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
3-11
27%
C · 6'10" 280 · 30
31.8
8
25%
17
3
3
0
2
2
3
14
0-0
-
4-16
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 232 · 21
30.7
15
54%
6
1
0
0
1
6
2
4
1-2
50%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 240 · 22
27.4
0
0%
10
2
0
0
2
1
3
7
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 27
25.6
4
29%
3
2
1
0
3
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 230 · 24
29.7
11
37%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-13
31%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 237 · 29
29.4
15
94%
3
2
1
0
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
2-3
67%
G · 6'1" 173 · 29
14.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 260 · 32
7.4
2
50%
3
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
· 6'7" 225 · 26
5.8
4
50%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 205 · 24
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22
F · 6'9" 245 · 19
#15 · G · 6'1" 184 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
41%
47
20
10
2
14
0
13
34
9-13
69%
27-71
38%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.