FinalWin Prob.pScore
1623%89
85
277%99
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
98.88684.9
SAS logo SAS
110.18990.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS85
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)85
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0SASMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot82
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASBaynes Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)80
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASMISS Baynes 3' Jump Shot80
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASMISS Baynes 9' Jump Bank Shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIAJohnson 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Napier 5 AST)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20SASBaynes Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51SASBaynes Foul Turnover (P2.T15)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06MIAJohnson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20SASJoseph Layup (2 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45SASMISS Mills 14' Jump Shot76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17SASLeonard 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30SASSPURS Rebound74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Ennis 20' Jump Shot74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51SASBelinelli 19' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04MIALeonard STEAL (3 STL)74
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 4:09SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Bank Shot74
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup74
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35MIAHeat Rebound74
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot74
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)74
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 5:17MIAJohnson 1' Layup (9 PTS)74
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Johnson 1' Layup72
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 5:22SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)72
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 5:36MIABelinelli STEAL (2 STL)72
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 5:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 5:51SASMISS Green 1' Layup72
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 6:08MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)72
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 6:23SASGreen Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)70
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 6:24MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 6:25SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMills STEAL (1 STL)70
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 6:53MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 6:54SASMISS Green 12' Pullup Bank Shot70
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 7:09MIAGinobili STEAL (2 STL)70
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 7:23SASMills 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 9 AST)70
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 7:36MIAEnnis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)70
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 7:48SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P1.T13)67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 7:53SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 7:54SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 8:13MIAHamilton 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)67
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 8:34MIAHeat Rebound65
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS Cole 7' Turnaround Bank Shot65
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 8:50SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)65
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 9:01SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 9:03SASMISS Green 5' Running Jump Shot65
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 9:11SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 9:12MIAGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)65
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 9:23MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 9:24SASMISS Bonner 7' Jump Shot65
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 9:43SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 10:08SASGreen 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)65
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 10:13MIABonner STEAL (2 STL)65
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q4 - 10:25MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 10:26SASMISS Splitter Reverse Layup65
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 10:44MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q4 - 11:10SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)63
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 11:18MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 11:18MIAEnnis Layup (4 PTS)63
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 11:20MIAMISS Hamilton 1' Layup61
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 11:22MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 11:24MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot61
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 11:45SASGreen 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Bonner 3 AST)61
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS61
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Bonner 16' Jump Shot61
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIASplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)61
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot61
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASSplitter 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)61
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Bosh Tip Shot61
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot61
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 1:01MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 1:04SASMISS Splitter 2' Reverse Layup61
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 1:15SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Johnson 1' Layup61
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 1:37SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 8 AST)61
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 1:55MIADeng 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)61
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 2:11MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 2:12SASMISS Leonard 12' Jump Shot59
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 2:25SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup59
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 2:37SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)59
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 2:37SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)59
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 2:42SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 2:43SASMISS Diaw 19' Jump Shot59
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 2:58MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)59
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 3:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 3:15SASMISS Splitter 5' Jump Shot57
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 3:34MIADeng 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)57
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 3:49SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)55
2.6%
70
97.4%
Q3 - 4:07SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot55
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 4:21SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)55
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 4:21SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 255
4.8%
66
95.2%
Q3 - 4:31MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 4:31MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)55
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot53
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 4:38MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
4.0%
66
96.0%
Q3 - 4:39SASMISS Leonard 14' Jump Shot53
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q3 - 4:51MIAAndersen 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)53
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 5:40SASLeonard Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)49
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 5:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)49
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 5:45MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 6:05SASBaynes 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)49
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 6:16MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)49
3.7%
62
96.3%
Q3 - 6:47SASParker 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)49
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 7:07MIABelinelli STEAL (1 STL)49
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q3 - 7:20SASBelinelli 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)49
6.0%
60
94.0%
Q3 - 7:39MIAAndersen 2' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Napier 4 AST)49
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q3 - 7:45MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
6.0%
58
94.0%
Q3 - 7:47SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 7:51SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q3 - 7:52SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot47
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 8:04SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
5.3%
58
94.7%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Andersen 13' Jump Shot47
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q3 - 8:25SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)47
6.2%
58
93.8%
Q3 - 8:34SASSPURS Rebound47
7.0%
56
93.0%
Q3 - 8:35SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 8:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)47
7.0%
56
93.0%
Q3 - 8:39SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 8:53SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
7.0%
56
93.0%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Bosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot47
7.3%
56
92.7%
Q3 - 9:13SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)47
8.2%
56
91.8%
Q3 - 9:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)47
7.1%
56
92.9%
Q3 - 9:19MIABelinelli BLOCK (1 BLK)47
7.4%
56
92.6%
Q3 - 9:43SASBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)47
8.2%
56
91.8%
Q3 - 9:43SASMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 247
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q3 - 9:52SASSPURS Rebound47
8.1%
55
91.9%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS Napier 1' Layup47
8.5%
55
91.5%
Q3 - 10:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
9.2%
55
90.8%
Q3 - 10:04SASMISS Belinelli 1' Layup47
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q3 - 10:16MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)47
8.1%
55
91.9%
Q3 - 10:16MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)46
7.9%
55
92.1%
Q3 - 10:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
7.1%
55
92.9%
Q3 - 10:27SASMISS Baynes 9' Hook Shot45
6.8%
55
93.2%
Q3 - 10:46MIABosh 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Napier 3 AST)45
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q3 - 11:10SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)43
5.6%
55
94.4%
Q3 - 11:16SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
7.2%
52
92.8%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q3 - 11:27MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
8.2%
52
91.8%
Q3 - 11:28SASMISS Parker 8' Turnaround Jump Shot43
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q3 - 11:47MIADeng Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)43
7.2%
52
92.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
6.3%
52
93.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound41
6.3%
52
93.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 40' 3PT Jump Shot41
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Rebound41
6.6%
52
93.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot41
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)41
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASLeonard 4' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)38
4.5%
52
95.5%
Q2 - 1:03SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
5.6%
50
94.4%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot38
5.7%
50
94.3%
Q2 - 1:27SASDuncan Dunk (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)38
6.0%
50
94.0%
Q2 - 1:47MIANapier 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)38
7.1%
48
92.9%
Q2 - 2:05SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)36
6.3%
48
93.7%
Q2 - 2:22MIADeng Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)36
7.9%
45
92.1%
Q2 - 2:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
8.8%
45
91.2%
Q2 - 2:32SASMISS Duncan 3' Hook Shot36
8.6%
45
91.4%
Q2 - 2:48MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
7.9%
45
92.1%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw Technical34
7.0%
45
93.0%
Q2 - 3:09MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
7.3%
45
92.7%
Q2 - 3:10SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
7.0%
45
93.0%
Q2 - 3:29MIADeng 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)34
6.4%
45
93.6%
Q2 - 3:54SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)32
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q2 - 4:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)32
5.3%
45
94.7%
Q2 - 4:11SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q2 - 4:23MIAAndersen 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)32
5.3%
45
94.7%
Q2 - 4:35SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)30
4.8%
45
95.2%
Q2 - 4:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)30
5.9%
42
94.1%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
6.1%
42
93.9%
Q2 - 5:06SASParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)30
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 5:14SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
6.1%
42
93.9%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS Deng 8' Jump Shot30
6.3%
42
93.7%
Q2 - 5:36SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST)30
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 5:51MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)30
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q2 - 6:10SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)30
9.5%
39
90.5%
Q2 - 6:15MIABonner STEAL (1 STL)30
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 6:33SASParker 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)30
9.5%
39
90.5%
Q2 - 6:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)30
10.2%
37
89.8%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot30
10.6%
37
89.4%
Q2 - 7:13SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)30
11.5%
37
88.5%
Q2 - 7:34MIADuncan STEAL (1 STL)30
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q2 - 7:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
15.2%
34
84.8%
Q2 - 7:42SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
14.8%
34
85.2%
Q2 - 8:04SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
13.7%
34
86.3%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Ennis 3PT Jump Shot30
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 8:21SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)30
15.1%
34
84.9%
Q2 - 8:27SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
16.4%
32
83.6%
Q2 - 8:29SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot30
17.4%
32
82.6%
Q2 - 8:48MIACole 3' Running Layup (4 PTS)30
16.4%
32
83.6%
Q2 - 9:04SASDuncan 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)28
14.9%
32
85.1%
Q2 - 9:16MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)28
16.1%
30
83.9%
Q2 - 9:29MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
13.7%
30
86.3%
Q2 - 9:30SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot25
13.3%
30
86.7%
Q2 - 9:52MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T6)25
12.4%
30
87.6%
Q2 - 9:57SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)25
13.7%
30
86.3%
Q2 - 10:20MIAEnnis 2' Layup (2 PTS)25
12.5%
30
87.5%
Q2 - 10:21MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
11.7%
30
88.3%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS Ennis 2' Layup23
10.9%
30
89.1%
Q2 - 10:26SASDiaw Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)23
11.7%
30
88.3%
Q2 - 10:42MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)23
10.5%
30
89.5%
Q2 - 10:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
9.8%
30
90.2%
Q2 - 10:59SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
9.4%
30
90.6%
Q2 - 11:10SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
9.0%
30
91.0%
Q2 - 11:11SASMISS Diaw 6' Jump Shot21
9.6%
30
90.4%
Q2 - 11:29MIAJohnson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)21
9.0%
30
91.0%
Q2 - 11:34SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
8.3%
30
91.7%
Q2 - 11:44MIAGinobili STEAL (1 STL)19
7.5%
30
92.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS19
8.3%
30
91.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)19
7.5%
30
92.5%
Q1 - 0:15.0SASMills 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)17
7.0%
30
93.0%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIASplitter STEAL (1 STL)17
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
8.3%
28
91.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
8.2%
28
91.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
8.2%
28
91.8%
Q1 - 1:02MIAJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)17
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q1 - 1:15SASDiaw 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)17
8.4%
28
91.6%
Q1 - 1:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
9.3%
26
90.7%
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot17
9.5%
26
90.5%
Q1 - 1:50SASSplitter 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)17
9.9%
26
90.1%
Q1 - 1:59SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
11.0%
24
89.0%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot17
11.2%
24
88.8%
Q1 - 2:22SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)17
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 2:40MIALeonard STEAL (2 STL)17
14.0%
21
86.0%
Q1 - 2:52SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)17
15.0%
21
85.0%
Q1 - 3:13MIAHaslem 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)17
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 3:20MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
16.2%
18
83.8%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot15
15.3%
18
84.7%
Q1 - 3:48SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)15
16.2%
18
83.8%
Q1 - 4:07SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.4%
15
81.6%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot15
18.9%
15
81.1%
Q1 - 4:23SASParker 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)15
20.0%
15
80.0%
Q1 - 4:43MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
21.2%
13
78.8%
Q1 - 4:43MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
20.9%
13
79.1%
Q1 - 5:00SASLeonard Dunk (2 PTS)13
20.0%
13
80.0%
Q1 - 5:02MIALeonard STEAL (1 STL)13
20.9%
11
79.1%
Q1 - 5:13SASParker 2' Layup (6 PTS)13
22.4%
11
77.6%
Q1 - 5:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)13
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMISS Hamilton 10' Jump Shot13
24.3%
9
75.7%
Q1 - 5:34MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
25.5%
9
74.5%
Q1 - 5:35SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
25.0%
9
75.0%
Q1 - 5:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 5:39SASMISS Baynes 4' Jump Shot13
25.0%
9
75.0%
Q1 - 5:56MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)13
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 6:08SASParker 2' Layup (4 PTS)11
21.9%
9
78.1%
Q1 - 6:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
23.2%
7
76.8%
Q1 - 6:17MIAGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)11
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 6:30SASParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)11
24.8%
7
75.2%
Q1 - 6:37MIADeng 2' Layup (2 PTS)11
23.2%
7
76.8%
Q1 - 7:00SASParker 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
22.0%
7
78.0%
Q1 - 7:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
22.7%
5
77.3%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
23.2%
5
76.8%
Q1 - 7:26MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
24.4%
5
75.6%
Q1 - 7:27SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot9
23.9%
5
76.1%
Q1 - 7:40SASGreen Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)9
22.8%
5
77.2%
Q1 - 7:50MIABosh 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
24.2%
4
75.8%
Q1 - 8:14SASBaynes 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)7
22.5%
4
77.5%
Q1 - 8:36MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)7
23.8%
2
76.2%
Q1 - 8:52SASGreen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
21.3%
2
78.7%
Q1 - 9:13SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
22.3%
0
77.7%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Jump Shot4
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 9:18SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
23.7%
0
76.3%
Q1 - 9:21SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.3%
0
77.7%
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 9:36MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
23.7%
0
76.3%
Q1 - 9:37SASMISS Baynes 5' Jump Bank Shot4
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 10:00MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
22.3%
0
77.7%
Q1 - 10:11SASBaynes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
21.0%
0
79.0%
Q1 - 10:31MIANapier 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
19.6%
0
80.4%
Q1 - 10:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 10:42SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 10:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
17.4%
0
82.6%
Q1 - 11:00MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot0
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Layup0
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 11:11MIANapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Bosh 16' Turnaround Jump Shot0
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 11:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 11:35SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
17.9%
0
82.1%
Q1 - 11:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
17.2%
0
82.8%
Q1 - 11:39SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
17.9%
0
82.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Bosh: Tip to Baynes0
17.2%
0
82.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
27
56%
SAS
19
29
66%
Midrange
MIA
16
37
43%
SAS
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
SAS
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
Free Throws
MIA
8
9
89%
SAS
7
9
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Johnson1882%9.0 / 11
L. Deng1761%8.5 / 14
C. Bosh1439%7.0 / 18
C. Andersen1071%5.0 / 7
M. Chalmers744%3.5 / 8
J. Ennis III758%3.5 / 6
S. Napier429%2.0 / 7
N. Cole450%2.0 / 4
J. Hamilton225%1.0 / 4
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2471%12.0 / 17
T. Parker2188%10.5 / 12
T. Duncan1063%5.0 / 8
D. Green844%4.0 / 9
P. Mills750%3.5 / 7
A. Baynes638%3.0 / 8
M. Ginobili675%3.0 / 4
M. Belinelli542%2.5 / 6
T. Splitter440%2.0 / 5
M. Bonner330%1.5 / 5
B. Diaw233%1.0 / 3
C. Joseph2100%1.0 / 1
R. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+13
-16
83
SAS
73
+15
-16
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
108.5
MIA 98.8 +11.3
SAS 110.1
Pace
91.0
93.9
MIA 84.9
SAS 90.3 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.7
MIA 17.0
SAS 16.0 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
51.7%
MIA 48.1%
SAS 54.8% +6.7%
TO %
15.2%
14.2%
MIA 16.8%
SAS 15.5% +1.3%
ORB %
23.3%
23.4%
MIA 25.6%
SAS 34.1% +8.5%
FTrt
30.6
25.6
MIA 11.3 +0.5
SAS 10.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
62.3%
MIA 63.9%
SAS 77.5% +13.6%
STL %
8.6%
8.5%
MIA 8.1%
SAS 13.5% +5.4%
BLK %
8.0%
8.4%
MIA 5.6%
SAS 6.3% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
54.0%
MIA 50.0%
SAS 55.1% +5.1%
Rim FG%
59.7%
59.6%
MIA 55.6%
SAS 65.5% +9.9%
Mid FG%
40.9%
42.1%
MIA 43.2% +3.2%
SAS 40.0%
3P %
33.5%
36.7%
MIA 31.3%
SAS 37.9% +6.6%
FT %
74.1%
78.0%
MIA 88.9% +11.1%
SAS 77.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
35.3%
MIA 33.8%
SAS 34.9% +1.2%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
37.8%
MIA 46.3%
SAS 30.1% +16.1%
3P Att. %
26.2%
26.9%
MIA 20.0%
SAS 34.9% +14.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions8689
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points8598
Rebounds3743
Assists2331
Steals712
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)29 (2)
Field Goals36-8040-83
At-the-Rim FG15-2719-29
Midrange FG16-3710-25
2-Point FG31-6429-54
3-Point FG5-1611-29
Free Throws8-97-9
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 31
35.9
14
39%
7
3
1
1
1
0
1
6
0-1
0%
7-17
41%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
33.6
17
61%
6
0
0
0
3
1
0
6
4-4
100%
5-11
45%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
25.6
4
29%
1
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
24.8
7
44%
1
4
2
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 245 · 37
21.6
10
71%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
28.3
2
25%
5
4
1
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
25.4
18
82%
2
0
2
0
3
2
1
1
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
2-2
100%
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
20.5
7
58%
8
1
1
1
4
2
2
6
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
20.2
4
50%
2
5
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
4.1
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
#43 · F · 6'10" 230 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
50%
37
23
7
3
16
0
10
27
8-9
89%
31-64
48%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.