FinalWin Prob.pScore
1733%97
111
867%103
117
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
108.810297.9
HOU logo HOU
114.7102106.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU111
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)111
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILMISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 2110
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)110
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)110
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)110
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot110
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)110
1.0%
115
99.0%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 2110
0.9%
115
99.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 2110
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILBayless 4' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS)110
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)108
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)108
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 0:23.0HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)108
0.5%
113
99.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
0.8%
113
99.2%
Q4 - 0:30.0HOUBeverley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)108
1.9%
113
98.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0HOUMISS Beverley Free Throw 1 of 2108
2.2%
112
97.8%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILAntetokounmpo 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)108
1.6%
112
98.4%
Q4 - 0:43.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)106
1.4%
112
98.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)106
1.5%
111
98.5%
Q4 - 1:02MILHarden STEAL (1 STL)106
3.8%
110
96.2%
Q4 - 1:08MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)106
7.9%
110
92.1%
Q4 - 1:09HOUMISS Beverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
6.6%
110
93.4%
Q4 - 1:29HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)106
5.6%
110
94.4%
Q4 - 1:30MILMISS Knight 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
6.7%
110
93.3%
Q4 - 1:39HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)106
10.5%
110
89.5%
Q4 - 2:04HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)106
7.0%
110
93.0%
Q4 - 2:05MILMISS Middleton 3PT Jump Shot106
8.4%
110
91.6%
Q4 - 2:15MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)106
12.9%
110
87.1%
Q4 - 2:16HOUMISS Ariza 3' Layup106
10.8%
110
89.2%
Q4 - 2:37MILAntetokounmpo 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS)106
7.0%
110
93.0%
Q4 - 2:59HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)104
6.4%
110
93.6%
Q4 - 3:12MILBayless 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)104
12.1%
107
87.9%
Q4 - 3:34HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)102
11.3%
107
88.7%
Q4 - 3:34HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)102
11.8%
106
88.2%
Q4 - 3:43HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
14.9%
105
85.1%
Q4 - 3:44HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
18.8%
105
81.2%
Q4 - 3:48HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)102
14.8%
105
85.2%
Q4 - 3:49HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
18.7%
105
81.3%
Q4 - 4:03MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)102
14.6%
105
85.4%
Q4 - 4:03MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)101
14.0%
105
86.0%
Q4 - 4:07MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)100
10.8%
105
89.2%
Q4 - 4:08HOUMISS Beverley Driving Dunk100
9.7%
105
90.3%
Q4 - 4:21MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)100
7.4%
105
92.6%
Q4 - 4:21MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)99
6.8%
105
93.2%
Q4 - 4:25HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)98
5.4%
105
94.6%
Q4 - 4:44MILKnight 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)98
3.6%
105
96.4%
Q4 - 4:50MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
2.6%
105
97.4%
Q4 - 4:51HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup96
2.3%
105
97.7%
Q4 - 4:57MILBrewer STEAL (3 STL)96
1.7%
105
98.3%
Q4 - 5:18HOUHarden 3' Driving Layup (29 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)96
3.6%
105
96.4%
Q4 - 5:34HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
4.8%
103
95.2%
Q4 - 5:34MILSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)96
5.4%
103
94.6%
Q4 - 5:37MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
6.8%
103
93.2%
Q4 - 5:38MILMISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 196
5.1%
103
94.9%
Q4 - 5:50MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)94
3.6%
103
96.4%
Q4 - 5:51HOUMISS Ariza 3' Layup94
3.2%
103
96.8%
Q4 - 5:52HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
2.5%
103
97.5%
Q4 - 5:53HOUMISS Ariza 1' Layup94
3.2%
103
96.8%
Q4 - 5:57HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
2.5%
103
97.5%
Q4 - 5:57HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot94
3.2%
103
96.8%
Q4 - 6:15HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
3.3%
103
96.7%
Q4 - 6:16MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 294
3.4%
103
96.6%
Q4 - 6:16MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)94
4.1%
103
95.9%
Q4 - 6:21MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)93
3.4%
103
96.6%
Q4 - 6:22HOUMISS Harden 17' Step Back Jump Shot93
3.1%
103
96.9%
Q4 - 6:39MILGutierrez Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)93
2.4%
103
97.6%
Q4 - 6:39MILGutierrez Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)92
2.3%
103
97.7%
Q4 - 6:49MILGutierrez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
1.9%
103
98.1%
Q4 - 6:50MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 7:08HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)91
2.4%
103
97.6%
Q4 - 7:08HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)91
2.5%
102
97.5%
Q4 - 7:14HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
3.1%
101
96.9%
Q4 - 7:15MILMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
3.4%
101
96.6%
Q4 - 7:25MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
4.1%
101
95.9%
Q4 - 7:26HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
3.7%
101
96.3%
Q4 - 7:50HOUROCKETS Rebound91
3.0%
101
97.0%
Q4 - 7:51MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
3.3%
101
96.7%
Q4 - 8:01MILO'Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
4.9%
101
95.1%
Q4 - 8:02HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
4.5%
101
95.5%
Q4 - 8:18MILBayless 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)91
3.8%
101
96.2%
Q4 - 8:39HOUJones Foul Turnover (P1.T16)89
2.9%
101
97.1%
Q4 - 8:46HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
2.3%
101
97.7%
Q4 - 8:47MILMISS Bayless 20' Jump Shot89
2.5%
101
97.5%
Q4 - 8:56MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
2.9%
101
97.1%
Q4 - 8:57HOUMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
2.7%
101
97.3%
Q4 - 9:12MILBayless 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Bryant 2 AST)89
2.8%
101
97.2%
Q4 - 9:23MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
2.3%
101
97.7%
Q4 - 9:24HOUMISS Ariza 15' Jump Shot87
2.1%
101
97.9%
Q4 - 9:34HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
1.8%
101
98.2%
Q4 - 9:35MILMISS Ilyasova 5' Jump Shot87
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 9:49HOUBrewer Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)87
2.2%
101
97.8%
Q4 - 9:53HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
1.8%
101
98.2%
Q4 - 9:54MILMISS Mayo 4' Jump Shot87
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 10:05MILBucks Rebound87
2.7%
101
97.3%
Q4 - 10:06MILJones BLOCK (1 BLK)87
2.3%
101
97.7%
Q4 - 10:10HOUTerry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)87
2.7%
101
97.3%
Q4 - 10:12HOUROCKETS Rebound87
2.1%
101
97.9%
Q4 - 10:15HOUMISS Terry 27' 3PT Jump Shot87
2.5%
101
97.5%
Q4 - 10:27MILGutierrez Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)87
2.1%
101
97.9%
Q4 - 10:50HOUBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)84
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 11:04HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
2.5%
98
97.5%
Q4 - 11:05MILMISS O'Bryant 18' Jump Shot84
2.6%
98
97.4%
Q4 - 11:15HOUSmith Foul Turnover (P3.T13)84
3.0%
98
97.0%
Q4 - 11:21MILGutierrez 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Bryant 1 AST)84
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 11:44HOUBrewer 3' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)82
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 11:48HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 11:48MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot82
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL82
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound82
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Mayo 49' 3PT Jump Shot82
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUJones Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Brewer 4 AST)82
3.4%
96
96.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0MILMISS Ilyasova 4' Jump Shot82
4.4%
94
95.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)82
5.0%
94
95.0%
Q3 - 0:35.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)82
5.1%
93
94.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
6.0%
92
94.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0MILMISS Knight 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
6.4%
92
93.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)82
7.3%
92
92.7%
Q3 - 1:00HOUMISS Smith 3' Putback Layup82
6.9%
92
93.1%
Q3 - 1:02HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
6.5%
92
93.5%
Q3 - 1:04HOUMISS Brewer 1' Driving Layup82
7.4%
92
92.6%
Q3 - 1:10HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
6.5%
92
93.5%
Q3 - 1:11MILMISS Middleton 21' Jump Shot82
6.9%
92
93.1%
Q3 - 1:25HOUHarden 3' Driving Layup (23 PTS)82
7.8%
92
92.2%
Q3 - 1:45MILMiddleton 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)82
9.3%
90
90.7%
Q3 - 1:49HOUBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)80
7.8%
90
92.2%
Q3 - 1:52HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
6.5%
90
93.5%
Q3 - 1:53MILMISS Mayo 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot80
6.9%
90
93.1%
Q3 - 2:14HOUJones Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)80
8.4%
90
91.6%
Q3 - 2:30MILMiddleton 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Knight 11 AST)80
9.8%
88
90.2%
Q3 - 2:43HOUJones Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)78
8.3%
88
91.7%
Q3 - 2:49HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
9.8%
86
90.2%
Q3 - 2:50MILMISS Ilyasova 3' Layup78
10.3%
86
89.7%
Q3 - 3:12HOUSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)78
12.2%
86
87.8%
Q3 - 3:30MILAntetokounmpo 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Knight 10 AST)78
10.3%
86
89.7%
Q3 - 3:52HOUBeverley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)76
8.9%
86
91.1%
Q3 - 4:15MILHenson 5' Running Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Middleton 2 AST)76
12.3%
83
87.7%
Q3 - 4:34HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)74
10.9%
83
89.1%
Q3 - 4:34HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 274
11.1%
82
88.9%
Q3 - 4:36MILAriza STEAL (3 STL)74
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q3 - 4:40MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
12.6%
82
87.4%
Q3 - 4:41MILMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
11.1%
82
88.9%
Q3 - 4:44MILBucks Rebound74
12.6%
82
87.4%
Q3 - 4:45MILBeverley BLOCK (2 BLK)74
11.1%
82
88.9%
Q3 - 5:06HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
12.9%
82
87.1%
Q3 - 5:06HOUMISS Motiejunas Free Throw 1 of 274
13.5%
81
86.5%
Q3 - 5:06MILBeverley STEAL (1 STL)74
12.7%
81
87.3%
Q3 - 5:11HOUHarden Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)74
14.9%
81
85.1%
Q3 - 5:22MILDudley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Knight 9 AST)74
12.7%
81
87.3%
Q3 - 5:30MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
9.7%
81
90.3%
Q3 - 5:31HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot71
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q3 - 5:49MILAntetokounmpo Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Henson 4 AST)71
8.1%
81
91.9%
Q3 - 6:05HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)69
7.5%
81
92.5%
Q3 - 6:12HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q3 - 6:13MILMISS Antetokounmpo 2' Layup69
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q3 - 6:20MILDudley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)69
11.5%
78
88.5%
Q3 - 6:21MILMISS Knight 1' Driving Layup69
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q3 - 6:39HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
11.5%
78
88.5%
Q3 - 6:39HOUMISS Motiejunas Free Throw 1 of 269
12.0%
77
88.0%
Q3 - 6:54MILMiddleton 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 8 AST)69
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q3 - 7:15HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)67
10.2%
77
89.8%
Q3 - 7:35MILAntetokounmpo 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)67
8.7%
77
91.3%
Q3 - 8:02HOUMotiejunas 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)65
8.0%
77
92.0%
Q3 - 8:18MILHenson 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 4 AST)65
9.0%
75
91.0%
Q3 - 8:42HOUSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Beverley 6 AST)63
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q3 - 9:04MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)63
10.6%
72
89.4%
Q3 - 9:04MILAntetokounmpo 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)63
10.6%
72
89.4%
Q3 - 9:05MILMISS Henson 3' Jump Shot61
8.5%
72
91.5%
Q3 - 9:12MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
9.3%
72
90.7%
Q3 - 9:13HOUMISS Ariza 21' Jump Shot61
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 9:20HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
8.1%
72
91.9%
Q3 - 9:22HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 9:34HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
8.1%
72
91.9%
Q3 - 9:35MILMISS Knight 3PT Jump Shot61
8.5%
72
91.5%
Q3 - 9:39MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
9.3%
72
90.7%
Q3 - 9:40MILMISS Knight 3' Finger Roll Layup61
8.5%
72
91.5%
Q3 - 9:46HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)61
9.3%
72
90.7%
Q3 - 10:00MILAriza STEAL (2 STL)61
8.1%
72
91.9%
Q3 - 10:10HOUDorsey 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)61
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q3 - 10:28MILHenson Foul Turnover (P1.T9)61
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 10:33HOUMotiejunas Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)61
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q3 - 10:53MILAntetokounmpo 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)61
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 11:05HOUMotiejunas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)59
9.7%
70
90.3%
Q3 - 11:18MILKnight 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Henson 3 AST)59
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q3 - 11:37HOUMotiejunas 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dorsey 1 AST)56
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU56
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound56
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Ariza 22' Jump Shot56
8.2%
68
91.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILIlyasova 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 3 AST)56
8.2%
68
91.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
7.0%
68
93.0%
Q2 - 0:09.0HOUMISS Jones 6' Turnaround Jump Shot54
6.8%
68
93.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILIlyasova 1' Layup (4 PTS)54
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILBeverley BLOCK (1 BLK)52
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q2 - 0:55.0HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Beverley 5 AST)52
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0MILSmith STEAL (1 STL)52
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q2 - 1:04MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q2 - 1:05HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q2 - 1:08HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q2 - 1:09HOUMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup52
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q2 - 1:31MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q2 - 1:31MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q2 - 1:34MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q2 - 1:35HOUMISS Beverley 12' Floating Jump Shot50
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q2 - 1:51MILHenson 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)50
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q2 - 2:07MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q2 - 2:08MILMISS Antetokounmpo 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot48
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q2 - 2:27MILGutierrez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q2 - 2:27HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 148
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q2 - 2:43HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q2 - 2:44MILMISS Knight 21' Step Back Jump Shot48
6.4%
63
93.6%
Q2 - 3:02HOUSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)48
7.3%
63
92.7%
Q2 - 3:24MILGutierrez 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)48
8.9%
60
91.1%
Q2 - 3:33MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
8.1%
60
91.9%
Q2 - 3:34HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q2 - 3:45MILKnight 1' Layup (7 PTS)46
7.1%
60
92.9%
Q2 - 3:51HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)44
6.5%
60
93.5%
Q2 - 4:01MILAntetokounmpo 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)44
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q2 - 4:18HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)42
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q2 - 4:37MILHenson Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)42
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q2 - 5:01HOUSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beverley 4 AST)40
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q2 - 5:32MILMayo 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)40
7.8%
54
92.2%
Q2 - 5:37MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
7.0%
54
93.0%
Q2 - 5:39HOUMISS Ariza 19' Jump Shot38
6.8%
54
93.2%
Q2 - 5:49MILGutierrez 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)38
6.3%
54
93.7%
Q2 - 6:03HOUMotiejunas Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)36
6.1%
54
93.9%
Q2 - 6:08MILBrewer STEAL (2 STL)36
6.5%
52
93.5%
Q2 - 6:17MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q2 - 6:18HOUMISS Motiejunas 9' Turnaround Hook Shot36
7.1%
52
92.9%
Q2 - 6:30MILAntetokounmpo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)36
6.5%
52
93.5%
Q2 - 6:47HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)36
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q2 - 6:56MILBrewer STEAL (1 STL)36
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q2 - 7:09HOUJones 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Beverley 3 AST)36
9.3%
50
90.7%
Q2 - 7:15HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
10.1%
48
89.9%
Q2 - 7:16HOUMISS Beverley 16' Floating Jump Shot36
10.9%
48
89.1%
Q2 - 7:30HOUROCKETS Rebound36
10.1%
48
89.9%
Q2 - 7:31MILMISS Mayo 11' Jump Shot36
10.4%
48
89.6%
Q2 - 7:35MILBucks Rebound36
11.2%
48
88.8%
Q2 - 7:37MILMISS Henson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot36
10.4%
48
89.6%
Q2 - 7:52HOUBrewer 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Motiejunas 1 AST)36
11.2%
48
88.8%
Q2 - 8:01MILGutierrez 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)36
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 8:05MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 8:06HOUMISS Beverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
11.0%
46
89.0%
Q2 - 8:23MILMayo 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Henson 2 AST)34
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 8:42HOUAriza Foul Turnover (P1.T4)32
9.4%
46
90.6%
Q2 - 8:56MILIlyasova 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)32
8.5%
46
91.5%
Q2 - 9:07HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)30
8.0%
46
92.0%
Q2 - 9:27MILKnight 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
9.5%
43
90.5%
Q2 - 9:39MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 9:40HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
7.8%
43
92.2%
Q2 - 9:48HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
7.2%
43
92.8%
Q2 - 9:49MILMISS Middleton 16' Jump Shot27
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 9:57HOUMotiejunas Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)27
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 10:14MILKnight 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 10:20MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
6.8%
43
93.2%
Q2 - 10:21HOUMISS Terry 19' Pullup Jump Shot25
6.6%
43
93.4%
Q2 - 10:29HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 10:30MILMISS Bayless 8' Running Jump Shot25
6.3%
43
93.7%
Q2 - 10:35MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
6.8%
43
93.2%
Q2 - 10:38HOUMISS Brewer 9' Jump Shot25
6.6%
43
93.4%
Q2 - 10:56HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 10:57MILMotiejunas BLOCK (1 BLK)25
6.3%
43
93.7%
Q2 - 11:08HOUTerry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)25
7.0%
43
93.0%
Q2 - 11:22HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)25
7.7%
42
92.3%
Q2 - 11:36MILBayless 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
9.2%
39
90.8%
Q2 - 11:47HOUSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)23
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL23
10.0%
36
90.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUJones 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)23
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q1 - 0:09.0HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
12.3%
34
87.7%
Q1 - 0:10.0MILMISS O'Bryant 1' Layup23
12.6%
34
87.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0HOUHarden 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)23
13.1%
34
86.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0MILMayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)23
15.7%
31
84.3%
Q1 - 1:00HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)20
13.1%
31
86.9%
Q1 - 1:00HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)20
13.2%
30
86.8%
Q1 - 1:18MILO'Bryant 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
14.6%
29
85.4%
Q1 - 1:22MILO'Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
13.3%
29
86.7%
Q1 - 1:23MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q1 - 1:32MILO'Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
13.3%
29
86.7%
Q1 - 1:33HOUMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
13.0%
29
87.0%
Q1 - 1:41HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
12.5%
29
87.5%
Q1 - 1:42MILMISS Bayless 2' Driving Layup18
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q1 - 1:47MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
13.2%
29
86.8%
Q1 - 1:48HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot18
13.0%
29
87.0%
Q1 - 2:03MILMayo 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
12.5%
29
87.5%
Q1 - 2:24HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)16
11.5%
29
88.5%
Q1 - 2:29MILMayo 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
12.5%
27
87.5%
Q1 - 2:47MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.5%
27
88.5%
Q1 - 2:48HOUMISS Brewer 3' Layup14
11.2%
27
88.8%
Q1 - 3:05MILAntetokounmpo 4' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)14
10.8%
27
89.2%
Q1 - 3:16MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
10.0%
27
90.0%
Q1 - 3:17MILMISS Antetokounmpo 6' Jump Bank Shot12
9.4%
27
90.6%
Q1 - 3:36HOUHarden 4' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
10.0%
27
90.0%
Q1 - 3:44HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10.7%
25
89.3%
Q1 - 3:45MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Reverse Layup12
11.0%
25
89.0%
Q1 - 4:02HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)12
11.9%
25
88.1%
Q1 - 4:24MILAntetokounmpo 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)12
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 4:41MILMISS Bayless Free Throw Technical10
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 4:57HOUBeverley 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)10
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 5:14HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
14.1%
20
85.9%
Q1 - 5:15MILMISS Dudley 2' Driving Layup10
14.5%
20
85.5%
Q1 - 5:40HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
15.2%
20
84.8%
Q1 - 5:40HOUMotiejunas Tip Shot (6 PTS)10
15.2%
20
84.8%
Q1 - 5:41HOUMISS Ariza 1' Layup10
17.1%
18
82.9%
Q1 - 5:46MILMotiejunas STEAL (1 STL)10
16.2%
18
83.8%
Q1 - 5:59HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)10
17.5%
18
82.5%
Q1 - 6:08HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
20.1%
15
79.9%
Q1 - 6:09MILMISS Mayo 19' Jump Shot10
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 6:26HOUMotiejunas 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)10
21.5%
15
78.5%
Q1 - 6:34HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 6:35MILMISS Knight 3' Jump Shot10
23.2%
13
76.8%
Q1 - 6:46HOUDorsey 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)10
24.3%
13
75.7%
Q1 - 7:04MILHenson Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)10
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 7:17HOUMotiejunas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 7:25MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)8
22.7%
11
77.3%
Q1 - 7:50MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 7:50HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 18
24.0%
11
76.0%
Q1 - 8:04MILHenson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)8
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 8:18MILBucks Rebound6
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 8:19HOUMISS Motiejunas 6' Turnaround Bank Shot6
23.6%
9
76.4%
Q1 - 8:44HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 8:45MILMISS Knight 16' Jump Shot6
23.1%
9
76.9%
Q1 - 8:52HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 9:00HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 9:01HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot6
23.6%
9
76.4%
Q1 - 9:09HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 9:09MILMISS Middleton 3PT Jump Shot6
23.0%
9
77.0%
Q1 - 9:23HOUAriza 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
24.0%
9
76.0%
Q1 - 9:33MILAntetokounmpo Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
25.3%
7
74.7%
Q1 - 9:37MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.0%
7
76.0%
Q1 - 9:39HOUMISS Dorsey 3' Layup4
23.6%
7
76.4%
Q1 - 9:52MILMiddleton 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)4
22.6%
7
77.4%
Q1 - 10:07HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
21.4%
7
78.6%
Q1 - 10:07HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 22
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 10:10HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.3%
6
78.7%
Q1 - 10:11MILMISS Dudley 17' Jump Shot2
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 10:16MILDudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
22.7%
6
77.3%
Q1 - 10:17MILMISS Henson 3' Layup2
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 10:42HOUAriza Driving Dunk (4 PTS)2
22.7%
6
77.3%
Q1 - 10:47MILAriza STEAL (1 STL)2
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 10:57HOUAriza Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)2
25.4%
4
74.6%
Q1 - 11:03MILDorsey STEAL (1 STL)2
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 11:21HOUMotiejunas 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)2
28.0%
2
72.0%
Q1 - 11:43MILDudley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)2
29.6%
0
70.4%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Dorsey vs. Henson: Tip to Dudley0
28.0%
0
72.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.4%
HOU
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
26
44
59%
HOU
21
32
66%
Midrange
MIL
18
34
53%
HOU
5
17
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
HOU
15
22.5
32
47%
70%
Free Throws
MIL
11
15
73%
HOU
20
29
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo2771%13.5 / 19
J. Bayless1359%6.5 / 11
J. Gutierrez13108%6.5 / 6
B. Knight1243%6.0 / 14
J. Henson1267%6.0 / 9
O. Mayo1142%5.5 / 13
K. Middleton1042%5.0 / 12
E. Ilyasova630%3.0 / 10
J. Dudley563%2.5 / 4
J. O'Bryant III233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3375%16.5 / 22
T. Ariza2457%12.0 / 21
D. Motiejunas1470%7.0 / 10
J. Smith1488%7.0 / 8
C. Brewer1155%5.5 / 10
T. Jones1083%5.0 / 6
P. Beverley630%3.0 / 10
J. Dorsey467%2.0 / 3
J. Terry113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
89
+15
-13
104
HOU
85
+12
-17
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.4%
HOU
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.1
107.0
MIL 108.8
HOU 114.7 +5.9
Pace
93.7
96.6
MIL 97.9
HOU 106.4 +8.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.6
MIL 14.7
HOU 13.5 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
51.2%
MIL 52.6%
HOU 59.9% +7.3%
TO %
16.8%
16.4%
MIL 12.1% +4.0%
HOU 16.1%
ORB %
25.5%
26.8%
MIL 25.6% +0.6%
HOU 25.0%
FTrt
25.8
31.2
MIL 15.8
HOU 35.8 +20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
60.0%
MIL 60.4%
HOU 78.0% +17.6%
STL %
10.1%
9.8%
MIL 9.8%
HOU 10.8% +1.0%
BLK %
8.6%
8.0%
MIL 6.1%
HOU 6.4% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
53.3%
MIL 53.4%
HOU 60.3% +6.9%
Rim FG%
56.4%
58.0%
MIL 59.1%
HOU 65.6% +6.5%
Mid FG%
40.4%
37.1%
MIL 52.9% +23.5%
HOU 29.4%
3P %
36.3%
34.8%
MIL 23.5%
HOU 46.9% +23.4%
FT %
75.7%
71.5%
MIL 73.3% +4.3%
HOU 69.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.8%
39.2%
MIL 46.3% +6.8%
HOU 39.5%
Mid Att. %
37.8%
21.6%
MIL 35.8%
HOU 21.0% +14.8%
3P Att. %
22.3%
39.2%
MIL 17.9%
HOU 39.5% +21.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMILHOU
Possessions102102
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points111117
Rebounds4142
Assists2932
Steals1011
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)32 (2)
Field Goals48-9541-81
At-the-Rim FG26-4421-32
Midrange FG18-345-17
2-Point FG44-7826-49
3-Point FG4-1715-32
Free Throws11-1520-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 182 · 23
36.0
12
43%
3
11
5
0
3
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
2-6
33%
F · 6'11" 243 · 20
34.7
27
71%
15
4
0
1
3
4
3
12
5-6
83%
11-16
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 222 · 23
27.1
10
42%
4
2
2
0
2
5
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
F · 6'7" 240 · 30
25.2
5
63%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 229 · 24
21.4
12
67%
2
4
1
1
3
2
1
1
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
32.4
11
42%
2
2
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
20.1
13
59%
7
2
0
0
0
2
1
6
1-4
25%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 189 · 26
15.9
13
108%
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
1
3-3
100%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
15.9
6
30%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22
11.3
2
33%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 37
C · 6'11" 270 · 31
#5 · G · 6'4" 200 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F · 6'8" 250 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · F · 6'8" 246 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
53%
41
29
10
3
13
0
11
30
11-15
73%
44-78
56%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.