for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, February 3, 2015
FinalWin Prob.pScore
16
Heat
46%96
91
19
Pistons
54%97
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.88682.1
DET logo DET
124.18791.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET91
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)91
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot88
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:56.0DETMeeks 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Dinwiddie 2 AST)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01MIAJohnson 3' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS)88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23DETMeeks Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 285
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49DETAugustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Singler 4 AST)85
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (3 STL)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Tip Shot (18 PTS)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Driving Layup85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56MIAHamilton 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20DETMonroe Foul Turnover (P2.T7)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS Granger 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Singler 3 AST)83
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 3:58MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)83
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 4:26DETMonroe Layup (12 PTS) (Singler 2 AST)83
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 4:39MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)83
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 5:02DETMonroe 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Augustin 13 AST)83
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 5:21MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)83
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 5:32MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 5:33DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 1' Layup81
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 5:48MIAAndersen 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)81
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 6:06DETAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)79
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 6:06DETMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 279
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 6:06DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 6:06DETMISS Meeks 3' Layup79
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 6:26DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 6:28MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 6:40MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 6:42DETMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 6:58MIAGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 6:58MIAGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 7:07MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 7:07DETMISS Jerebko 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 7:14DETLucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 7:16MIAAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)77
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 7:29DETMeeks Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)77
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 7:29DETMeeks Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)77
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 7:42MIAGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cole 8 AST)77
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 8:00MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 8:01DETMISS Lucas III 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 8:26MIAGranger 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)74
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 8:49DETLucas III 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)72
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 9:07MIAGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 7 AST)72
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 9:24DETMeeks 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lucas III 1 AST)69
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 9:35DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 9:36MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 269
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 9:36MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)69
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 9:49MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 9:50DETMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 9:58DETMeeks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot68
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 10:15DETAnthony Tip Shot (2 PTS)68
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 10:16DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 10:17DETMISS Lucas III 4' Jump Shot68
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 10:23DETMeeks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 10:25MIAAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)68
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 10:31MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 10:32DETMISS Tolliver 6' Jump Shot68
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 10:56DETPISTONS Rebound68
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot68
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 11:05MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 11:06DETMISS Lucas III 14' Jump Shot68
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 11:31MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 267
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 11:36DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)67
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETAugustin 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)67
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAButler STEAL (1 STL)67
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETButler 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Augustin 12 AST)67
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 266
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETAugustin 12' Jump Shot (20 PTS)66
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q3 - 1:12MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)66
6.1%
79
93.9%
Q3 - 1:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)64
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Cole 5' Jump Shot64
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 1:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)64
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 1:27DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 1:36DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot64
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 1:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 1:53DETMISS Drummond 5' Hook Shot64
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 2:14MIABosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper (34 PTS)64
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 2:30DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)62
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 2:54MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (32 PTS)62
5.7%
76
94.3%
Q3 - 3:14DETButler 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Augustin 11 AST)60
5.5%
76
94.5%
Q3 - 3:23DETPISTONS Rebound60
7.5%
73
92.5%
Q3 - 3:23DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 5' Jump Shot60
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 3:33DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
7.5%
73
92.5%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Whiteside 13' Jump Shot60
7.9%
73
92.1%
Q3 - 3:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q3 - 3:45DETMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot60
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 4:02DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)60
8.0%
73
92.0%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot60
8.5%
73
91.5%
Q3 - 4:20DETAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)60
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 4:20DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)60
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q3 - 4:23DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
10.9%
71
89.1%
Q3 - 4:24MIADrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)60
11.5%
71
88.5%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)60
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q3 - 4:40DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Driving Layup60
12.3%
71
87.7%
Q3 - 4:50DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
10.8%
71
89.2%
Q3 - 4:51DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot60
12.3%
71
87.7%
Q3 - 5:05MIAWhiteside 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)60
11.6%
71
88.4%
Q3 - 5:26DETTolliver Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)58
10.2%
71
89.8%
Q3 - 5:42MIABosh 11' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Cole 6 AST)58
8.6%
71
91.4%
Q3 - 5:58DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (11 PTS)56
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 5:59DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)56
8.6%
69
91.4%
Q3 - 6:00DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 1' Layup56
9.6%
69
90.4%
Q3 - 6:19MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)56
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q3 - 6:37DETMonroe 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Augustin 10 AST)53
7.0%
69
93.0%
Q3 - 6:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)53
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q3 - 7:08DETSingler 13' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Augustin 9 AST)50
6.5%
67
93.5%
Q3 - 7:18DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
7.3%
65
92.7%
Q3 - 7:19MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 7:35DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)50
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q3 - 7:35DETPISTONS Rebound50
7.3%
65
92.7%
Q3 - 7:35DETMISS Singler 7' Jump Shot50
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 8:08MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Napier 4 AST)50
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 8:17MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 8:18DETMISS Drummond 1' Tip Shot47
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q3 - 8:19DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)47
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q3 - 8:20DETMISS Augustin 7' Jump Shot47
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q3 - 8:39MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)47
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q3 - 9:01DETDrummond Dunk (14 PTS) (Augustin 8 AST)45
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q3 - 9:19MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Napier 3 AST)45
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q3 - 9:33DETAugustin 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS)43
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 9:47MIADeng 1' Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)43
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 10:01DETAugustin 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)41
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q3 - 10:16MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)41
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q3 - 10:48DETSingler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Augustin 7 AST)41
7.6%
58
92.4%
Q3 - 11:00MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)41
9.8%
55
90.2%
Q3 - 11:14DETAugustin 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)39
9.3%
55
90.7%
Q3 - 11:24DETPISTONS Rebound39
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q3 - 11:24DETMISS Drummond 1' Hook Shot39
11.4%
53
88.6%
Q3 - 11:37DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)39
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q3 - 11:39MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot39
10.9%
53
89.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET39
11.8%
53
88.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound39
10.4%
53
89.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Singler 18' Jump Shot39
11.4%
53
88.6%
Q2 - 0:18.0DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
11.5%
53
88.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot39
11.8%
53
88.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0DETDrummond 1' Layup (12 PTS)39
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (2 STL)39
14.4%
51
85.6%
Q2 - 1:00DETSingler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Augustin 6 AST)39
15.6%
51
84.4%
Q2 - 1:13MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)39
20.8%
48
79.2%
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 238
20.4%
48
79.6%
Q2 - 1:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
19.8%
48
80.2%
Q2 - 1:30DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 6' Floating Jump Shot38
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q2 - 1:38DETPISTONS Rebound38
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q2 - 1:38DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 8' Running Jump Shot38
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q2 - 1:46DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q2 - 1:48DETMISS Augustin 6' Jump Shot38
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q2 - 1:58DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)38
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q2 - 1:58DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 21' Jump Shot38
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q2 - 2:19DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)38
18.8%
48
81.2%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 238
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q2 - 2:20MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
20.4%
48
79.6%
Q2 - 2:39DETSingler 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)37
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q2 - 3:07MIAWhiteside Dunk (6 PTS)37
23.4%
45
76.6%
Q2 - 3:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)35
21.6%
45
78.4%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot35
20.0%
45
80.0%
Q2 - 3:38DETMeeks Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)35
21.6%
45
78.4%
Q2 - 3:48DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
19.3%
45
80.7%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot35
20.0%
45
80.0%
Q2 - 4:18DETDrummond Dunk (10 PTS) (Meeks 2 AST)35
22.0%
45
78.0%
Q2 - 4:23MIAMeeks STEAL (1 STL)35
24.0%
43
76.0%
Q2 - 4:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)35
26.2%
43
73.8%
Q2 - 4:46DETMISS Meeks 16' Jump Shot35
25.5%
43
74.5%
Q2 - 4:59MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)35
23.9%
43
76.1%
Q2 - 5:10MIAHeat Rebound32
20.6%
43
79.4%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Bosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper32
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 5:24DETMonroe 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)32
20.6%
43
79.4%
Q2 - 5:24DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
22.4%
41
77.6%
Q2 - 5:25DETMISS Meeks 12' Jump Shot32
23.8%
41
76.2%
Q2 - 5:43MIAAndersen Dunk (9 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)32
22.4%
41
77.6%
Q2 - 5:47MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
20.5%
41
79.5%
Q2 - 5:48DETMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
20.0%
41
80.0%
Q2 - 5:53DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
18.8%
41
81.2%
Q2 - 5:54MIAMISS Deng Layup30
19.3%
41
80.7%
Q2 - 5:54MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
20.5%
41
79.5%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMISS Cole 5' Jump Shot30
19.3%
41
80.7%
Q2 - 6:10DETMeeks Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
21.4%
41
78.6%
Q2 - 6:10DETMeeks Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
21.5%
40
78.5%
Q2 - 6:35MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)30
22.8%
39
77.2%
Q2 - 6:51DETMeeks 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)28
21.3%
39
78.7%
Q2 - 7:06MIAAndersen Layup (7 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)28
23.5%
37
76.5%
Q2 - 7:13DETTolliver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)26
21.7%
37
78.3%
Q2 - 7:29MIAAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)26
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q2 - 7:42MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
18.3%
37
81.7%
Q2 - 7:44DETMISS Monroe 7' Hook Shot24
17.8%
37
82.2%
Q2 - 8:08DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
17.1%
37
82.9%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 224
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q2 - 8:08MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
18.2%
37
81.8%
Q2 - 8:23DETMonroe Dunk (4 PTS) (Dinwiddie 1 AST)23
17.2%
37
82.8%
Q2 - 8:32MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
18.6%
35
81.4%
Q2 - 8:32MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
18.3%
35
81.7%
Q2 - 8:37MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
17.2%
35
82.8%
Q2 - 8:38DETMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
16.7%
35
83.3%
Q2 - 8:45DETMeeks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Andersen Layup21
16.1%
35
83.9%
Q2 - 9:00MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
17.1%
35
82.9%
Q2 - 9:01DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup21
17.2%
35
82.8%
Q2 - 9:25MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)21
16.1%
35
83.9%
Q2 - 9:41DETButler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Meeks 1 AST)18
13.7%
35
86.3%
Q2 - 10:00MIADeng 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)18
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q2 - 10:17MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
14.0%
33
86.0%
Q2 - 10:18DETMISS Tolliver 1' Layup16
13.6%
33
86.4%
Q2 - 10:37DETPISTONS Rebound16
12.6%
33
87.4%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
13.0%
33
87.0%
Q2 - 10:52MIAHeat Rebound16
14.0%
33
86.0%
Q2 - 10:53DETMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
13.6%
33
86.4%
Q2 - 11:06MIAAndersen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)16
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q2 - 11:14MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q2 - 11:15DETMISS Meeks 16' Jump Shot14
11.8%
33
88.2%
Q2 - 11:35MIABosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)14
11.0%
33
89.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA12
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETDrummond 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)12
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)12
11.0%
31
89.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Augustin 1' Layup12
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)12
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
11.9%
31
88.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)12
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)12
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETMISS Singler 11' Jump Shot12
15.6%
28
84.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)12
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Ennis 3PT Jump Shot12
15.2%
28
84.8%
Q1 - 1:21DETTolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)12
16.3%
28
83.7%
Q1 - 1:26DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
19.3%
25
80.7%
Q1 - 1:29MIAMISS Johnson 7' Running Jump Shot12
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q1 - 1:43DETAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q1 - 1:43DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q1 - 1:47DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
22.3%
23
77.7%
Q1 - 1:48MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot12
22.7%
23
77.3%
Q1 - 2:02DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
24.0%
23
76.0%
Q1 - 2:02DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
24.8%
22
75.2%
Q1 - 2:06DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
25.7%
21
74.3%
Q1 - 2:07MIAMISS Andersen 4' Jump Shot12
26.3%
21
73.7%
Q1 - 2:28DETDrummond Layup (4 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)12
27.4%
21
72.6%
Q1 - 2:41MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
29.4%
19
70.6%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 211
29.0%
19
71.0%
Q1 - 2:51DETCaldwell-Pope Dunk (9 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)11
29.3%
19
70.7%
Q1 - 2:56MIAMonroe STEAL (1 STL)11
31.3%
17
68.7%
Q1 - 3:13DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
33.6%
17
66.4%
Q1 - 3:16MIAAugustin STEAL (1 STL)11
31.4%
17
68.6%
Q1 - 3:41DETAugustin Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
33.6%
17
66.4%
Q1 - 3:44DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
35.4%
15
64.6%
Q1 - 3:47MIAMISS Bosh 8' Fadeaway Jumper11
36.1%
15
63.9%
Q1 - 4:03DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (7 PTS)11
37.8%
15
62.2%
Q1 - 4:04DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
39.6%
13
60.4%
Q1 - 4:06DETMISS Augustin 5' Jump Shot11
41.3%
13
58.7%
Q1 - 4:12DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
39.6%
13
60.4%
Q1 - 4:12MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot11
40.3%
13
59.7%
Q1 - 4:30DETMonroe 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)11
42.0%
13
58.0%
Q1 - 4:44DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
43.8%
11
56.2%
Q1 - 4:45MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot11
44.6%
11
55.4%
Q1 - 4:50MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
46.4%
11
53.6%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot11
44.6%
11
55.4%
Q1 - 5:06MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
45.9%
11
54.1%
Q1 - 5:07DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 211
45.6%
11
54.4%
Q1 - 5:07DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 211
44.4%
11
55.6%
Q1 - 5:19DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
43.7%
11
56.3%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMonroe BLOCK (1 BLK)11
44.4%
11
55.6%
Q1 - 5:43DETCaldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)11
46.0%
11
54.0%
Q1 - 5:48DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
50.0%
8
50.0%
Q1 - 5:49MIADrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)11
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 5:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)11
52.2%
8
47.8%
Q1 - 5:54MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot11
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 6:14MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
51.6%
8
48.4%
Q1 - 6:16DETMISS Monroe Layup11
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 6:30DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 6:31MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot11
50.2%
8
49.8%
Q1 - 6:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
51.7%
8
48.3%
Q1 - 6:45DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup11
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 7:10MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)11
49.3%
8
50.7%
Q1 - 7:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
45.7%
8
54.3%
Q1 - 7:22DETMISS Augustin 17' Jump Shot8
45.1%
8
54.9%
Q1 - 7:32DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
43.5%
8
56.5%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
44.2%
8
55.8%
Q1 - 7:54DETCaldwell-Pope 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)8
45.7%
8
54.3%
Q1 - 8:06MIAWhiteside Layup (4 PTS)8
47.6%
6
52.4%
Q1 - 8:36DETDrummond 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)6
45.8%
6
54.2%
Q1 - 8:36DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
47.6%
4
52.4%
Q1 - 8:37DETMISS Drummond Layup6
49.0%
4
51.0%
Q1 - 8:38DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
47.6%
4
52.4%
Q1 - 8:40DETMISS Monroe 6' Hook Shot6
49.0%
4
51.0%
Q1 - 8:51MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (1 STL)6
47.6%
4
52.4%
Q1 - 9:03MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
49.6%
4
50.4%
Q1 - 9:04DETMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
48.9%
4
51.1%
Q1 - 9:35MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
47.5%
4
52.5%
Q1 - 10:04DETSingler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)4
45.7%
4
54.3%
Q1 - 10:24MIABosh 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)4
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 10:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 10:35DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 10:58MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 11:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Tip Shot0
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 11:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Deng 13' Running Jump Shot0
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 11:14DETAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 11:14DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
42.0%
1
58.0%
Q1 - 11:21DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.7%
0
56.3%
Q1 - 11:22MIAMISS Whiteside 19' Jump Shot0
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.5%
0
54.5%
Q1 - 11:40DETMISS Drummond 5' Hook Shot0
44.9%
0
55.1%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Whiteside: Tip to Augustin0
43.7%
0
56.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
DET
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
26
50%
DET
20
38
53%
Midrange
MIA
16
34
47%
DET
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
DET
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
MIA
15
23
65%
DET
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh3471%17.0 / 24
C. Andersen1267%6.0 / 9
H. Whiteside1142%5.5 / 13
L. Deng1045%5.0 / 11
D. Granger1071%5.0 / 7
T. Johnson550%2.5 / 5
J. Hamilton5125%2.5 / 2
N. Cole220%1.0 / 5
M. Chalmers117%0.5 / 3
U. Haslem113%0.5 / 4
S. Napier0-0.0 / 0
J. Ennis III0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Augustin2574%12.5 / 17
K. Caldwell-Pope1845%9.0 / 20
A. Drummond1458%7.0 / 12
K. Singler1381%6.5 / 8
G. Monroe1255%6.0 / 11
J. Meeks1038%5.0 / 13
C. Butler788%3.5 / 4
A. Tolliver338%1.5 / 4
J. Anthony375%1.5 / 2
J. Lucas III338%1.5 / 4
J. Jerebko0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+9
-8
87
DET
81
+19
-6
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
DET
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
105.1
MIA 105.8
DET 124.1 +18.3
Pace
91.0
93.1
MIA 82.1
DET 91.4 +9.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.6
MIA 17.5
DET 15.8 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.2%
MIA 51.4%
DET 52.8% +1.4%
TO %
15.2%
13.5%
MIA 10.6%
DET 7.7% +2.9%
ORB %
23.3%
27.7%
MIA 20.5%
DET 34.1% +13.6%
FTrt
30.6
26.1
MIA 31.1 +10.6
DET 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
58.2%
MIA 65.7% +1.4%
DET 64.3%
STL %
8.6%
8.1%
MIA 1.2%
DET 8.0% +6.8%
BLK %
8.0%
7.6%
MIA 8.8% +0.5%
DET 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
50.0%
MIA 51.7%
DET 54.0% +2.3%
Rim FG%
59.7%
53.4%
MIA 50.0%
DET 52.6% +2.6%
Mid FG%
40.9%
37.8%
MIA 47.1% +3.8%
DET 43.3%
3P %
33.5%
34.4%
MIA 42.9%
DET 45.0% +2.1%
FT %
74.1%
70.3%
MIA 65.2%
DET 83.3% +18.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
40.8%
MIA 35.1%
DET 43.2% +8.0%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
30.1%
MIA 45.9%
DET 34.1% +11.9%
3P Att. %
26.2%
29.0%
MIA 18.9%
DET 22.7% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points91108
Rebounds3545
Assists2327
Steals17
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)8 (2)6 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)31 (3)
Field Goals35-7442-88
At-the-Rim FG13-2620-38
Midrange FG16-3413-30
2-Point FG29-6033-68
3-Point FG6-149-20
Free Throws15-2315-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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16 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31
33.7
34
71%
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
3
3-4
75%
11-18
61%
3-5
60%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
30.1
10
45%
5
3
0
0
2
0
1
4
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
27.6
1
17%
2
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
24.3
11
42%
10
0
0
5
1
3
5
5
1-2
50%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
14.8
0
0%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
33.3
2
20%
0
8
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
21.0
12
67%
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
4
2-4
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
20.4
5
50%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
16.3
10
71%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
5.5
1
13%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
3.3
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
Josh McRoberts
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Dwyane Wade
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
52%
35
23
1
6
8
0
8
27
15-23
65%
29-60
48%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.