FinalWin Prob.pScore
1749%97
83
2451%98
75
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
90.29278.8
BOS logo BOS
81.592110.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS83
100%
75
0%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)83
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0BOSMISS Smart 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot83
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0BOSYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 283
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 283
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0BOSCrowder Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)83
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIACrowder STEAL (1 STL)83
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 0:44.0BOSMISS Young Free Throw 2 of 283
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 0:44.0BOSYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)83
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 282
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 1:00BOSMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot82
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 1:07MIACole 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)82
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 1:25BOSBradley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T13)80
97.4%
74
2.6%
Q4 - 1:29MIASmart STEAL (1 STL)80
95.1%
74
4.9%
Q4 - 1:32BOSZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
97.0%
74
3.0%
Q4 - 1:32BOSMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 280
97.2%
73
2.8%
Q4 - 1:36MIABosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T17)80
96.6%
73
3.4%
Q4 - 2:01BOSSmart 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Zeller 4 AST)80
97.6%
73
2.4%
Q4 - 2:06BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
98.8%
70
1.2%
Q4 - 2:07BOSMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q4 - 2:16MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
98.8%
70
1.2%
Q4 - 2:16MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
98.7%
70
1.3%
Q4 - 2:42BOSZeller 7' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)78
98.5%
70
1.5%
Q4 - 2:54MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)78
98.3%
68
1.7%
Q4 - 3:15BOSZeller Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)76
97.8%
68
2.2%
Q4 - 3:20BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
96.2%
68
3.8%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Whiteside 18' Jump Shot76
96.8%
68
3.2%
Q4 - 3:44BOSBradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Crowder 3 AST)76
96.1%
68
3.9%
Q4 - 4:02BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
98.1%
65
1.9%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Johnson 19' Pullup Jump Shot76
98.3%
65
1.7%
Q4 - 4:19BOSBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)76
98.8%
65
1.2%
Q4 - 4:26MIAEnnis Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)76
98.2%
65
1.8%
Q4 - 4:42MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
98.8%
65
1.2%
Q4 - 4:44BOSMISS Bradley 3' Running Jump Shot76
98.6%
65
1.4%
Q4 - 5:01MIAJohnson 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)76
97.0%
65
3.0%
Q4 - 5:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
96.0%
65
4.0%
Q4 - 5:07BOSMISS Smart 5' Running Jump Shot74
95.6%
65
4.4%
Q4 - 5:23BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
94.4%
65
5.6%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Jump Shot74
95.0%
65
5.0%
Q4 - 5:39MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
96.1%
65
3.9%
Q4 - 5:40BOSMISS Smart 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
95.7%
65
4.3%
Q4 - 5:56BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
94.5%
65
5.5%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup74
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q4 - 6:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
96.1%
65
3.9%
Q4 - 6:02MIABass BLOCK (2 BLK)74
93.5%
65
6.5%
Q4 - 6:14MIAHeat Rebound74
94.9%
65
5.1%
Q4 - 6:15BOSMISS Bradley 15' Jump Shot74
94.3%
65
5.7%
Q4 - 6:33MIAEnnis 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)74
92.9%
65
7.1%
Q4 - 6:38MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
91.1%
65
8.9%
Q4 - 6:40BOSMISS Zeller 3' Layup72
90.2%
65
9.8%
Q4 - 6:45BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
87.9%
65
12.1%
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Ennis 18' Fadeaway Jumper72
88.9%
65
11.1%
Q4 - 7:11BOSBass 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smart 9 AST)72
89.5%
65
10.5%
Q4 - 7:18MIAHeat Turnover: Backcourt (T#15)72
91.6%
63
8.4%
Q4 - 7:41BOSBass 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)72
93.7%
63
6.3%
Q4 - 7:54BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
95.1%
61
4.9%
Q4 - 7:55MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
95.5%
61
4.5%
Q4 - 8:01MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
95.2%
61
4.8%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
94.3%
61
5.7%
Q4 - 8:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
95.2%
61
4.8%
Q4 - 8:16BOSMISS Bass 16' Jump Shot72
94.9%
61
5.1%
Q4 - 8:33MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)72
94.0%
61
6.0%
Q4 - 8:54BOSZeller 8' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pressey 2 AST)69
90.4%
61
9.6%
Q4 - 9:01BOSCELTICS Rebound69
91.0%
59
9.0%
Q4 - 9:02BOSMISS Pressey 22' Jump Shot69
92.3%
59
7.7%
Q4 - 9:16BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
91.0%
59
9.0%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 169
91.3%
59
8.7%
Q4 - 9:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
89.0%
59
11.0%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Jump Shot67
87.2%
59
12.8%
Q4 - 9:28MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
89.0%
59
11.0%
Q4 - 9:29BOSMISS Sullinger 14' Jump Shot67
88.3%
59
11.7%
Q4 - 9:45MIAWhiteside 14' Turnaround Bank Shot (20 PTS)67
86.4%
59
13.6%
Q4 - 10:01BOSSullinger Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)65
81.9%
59
18.1%
Q4 - 10:17MIAWhiteside 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)65
78.4%
59
21.6%
Q4 - 10:37MIAHeat Rebound63
74.5%
59
25.5%
Q4 - 10:38BOSMISS Sullinger 16' Jump Shot63
73.1%
59
26.9%
Q4 - 10:41BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
69.8%
59
30.2%
Q4 - 10:43BOSMISS Thornton 8' Jump Shot63
73.1%
59
26.9%
Q4 - 10:55BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
69.9%
59
30.1%
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot63
71.3%
59
28.7%
Q4 - 11:18BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)63
73.3%
59
26.7%
Q4 - 11:18BOSCELTICS Rebound63
68.7%
59
31.3%
Q4 - 11:19BOSMISS Pressey 12' Jump Shot63
71.9%
59
28.1%
Q4 - 11:45MIAWhiteside 5' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)63
68.7%
59
31.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS61
64.2%
59
35.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound61
58.9%
59
41.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Zeller 4' Jump Shot61
62.6%
59
37.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
58.6%
59
41.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Sullinger 8' Jump Shot61
62.0%
59
38.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
58.6%
59
41.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAWhiteside Layup (14 PTS)61
58.6%
59
41.4%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Cole 5' Driving Jump Shot59
50.1%
59
49.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSPressey Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)59
53.6%
59
46.4%
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSMISS Pressey Free Throw 1 of 259
54.8%
58
45.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSCELTICS Rebound59
53.6%
58
46.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
55.2%
58
44.8%
Q3 - 1:02BOSSullinger 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smart 8 AST)59
58.3%
58
41.7%
Q3 - 1:21MIAWhiteside 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
62.8%
56
37.2%
Q3 - 1:41BOSSullinger Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)57
58.3%
56
41.7%
Q3 - 1:41BOSMISS Sullinger Free Throw 1 of 257
59.3%
55
40.7%
Q3 - 1:42BOSCELTICS Rebound57
58.2%
55
41.8%
Q3 - 1:43BOSMISS Sullinger 3' Layup57
61.6%
55
38.4%
Q3 - 1:56MIAEnnis Foul Turnover (P1.T14)57
58.2%
55
41.8%
Q3 - 1:58MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
63.0%
55
37.0%
Q3 - 1:59MIABass BLOCK (1 BLK)57
59.7%
55
40.3%
Q3 - 2:11MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
62.1%
55
37.9%
Q3 - 2:12BOSMISS Thornton 1' Layup57
60.7%
55
39.3%
Q3 - 2:27MIAEnnis 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)57
57.4%
55
42.6%
Q3 - 2:42BOSThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
53.1%
55
46.9%
Q3 - 2:42BOSThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)55
53.8%
54
46.2%
Q3 - 2:46MIAThornton STEAL (2 STL)55
57.5%
53
42.5%
Q3 - 3:01BOSBradley 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Sullinger 1 AST)55
61.7%
53
38.3%
Q3 - 3:13MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)55
65.5%
51
34.5%
Q3 - 3:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
69.6%
51
30.4%
Q3 - 3:21BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
65.5%
51
34.5%
Q3 - 3:21BOSMISS Bass 2' Layup55
68.4%
51
31.6%
Q3 - 3:23BOSMISS Bradley 19' Pullup Jump Shot55
68.4%
51
31.6%
Q3 - 3:48MIAWhiteside 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)55
65.5%
51
34.5%
Q3 - 4:09BOSBass 5' Running Bank Hook Shot (11 PTS)53
61.4%
51
38.6%
Q3 - 4:22MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)53
64.6%
49
35.4%
Q3 - 4:22MIAHeat Rebound53
69.1%
49
30.9%
Q3 - 4:23MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
66.0%
49
34.0%
Q3 - 4:50BOSBradley Dunk (12 PTS)53
69.1%
49
30.9%
Q3 - 4:55MIABradley STEAL (2 STL)53
72.0%
47
28.0%
Q3 - 5:10MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
74.9%
47
25.1%
Q3 - 5:11BOSMISS Crowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
73.8%
47
26.2%
Q3 - 5:26BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
71.2%
47
28.8%
Q3 - 5:27MIAMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
72.4%
47
27.6%
Q3 - 5:39MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
75.0%
47
25.0%
Q3 - 5:40BOSMISS Zeller 4' Running Hook Shot53
73.9%
47
26.1%
Q3 - 5:53BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
71.3%
47
28.7%
Q3 - 5:54BOSMISS Smart 28' 3PT Jump Shot53
73.9%
47
26.1%
Q3 - 6:17MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
70.5%
47
29.5%
Q3 - 6:17MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
69.9%
47
30.1%
Q3 - 6:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
67.7%
47
32.3%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot51
64.8%
47
35.2%
Q3 - 6:47BOSZeller 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Crowder 2 AST)51
67.7%
47
32.3%
Q3 - 7:00BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
70.6%
45
29.4%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
70.9%
45
29.1%
Q3 - 7:20BOSBass 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smart 7 AST)51
73.3%
45
26.7%
Q3 - 7:33MIANapier 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)51
75.9%
43
24.1%
Q3 - 7:52BOSZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
73.4%
43
26.6%
Q3 - 7:52BOSMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 249
73.9%
42
26.1%
Q3 - 8:11BOSCELTICS Rebound49
72.3%
42
27.7%
Q3 - 8:11MIAMISS Napier 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
73.4%
42
26.6%
Q3 - 8:24MIAHeat Rebound49
75.7%
42
24.3%
Q3 - 8:25MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot49
73.4%
42
26.6%
Q3 - 8:50BOSZeller Foul Turnover (P1.T8)49
75.7%
42
24.3%
Q3 - 8:59MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)49
72.4%
42
27.6%
Q3 - 9:25BOSBradley 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smart 6 AST)49
74.7%
42
25.3%
Q3 - 9:43MIAGranger 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)49
77.3%
40
22.7%
Q3 - 10:06BOSCrowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smart 5 AST)47
74.3%
40
25.7%
Q3 - 10:14BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
79.3%
37
20.7%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 247
79.6%
37
20.4%
Q3 - 10:15MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)47
81.1%
37
18.9%
Q3 - 10:36BOSBass 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bradley 2 AST)46
79.3%
37
20.7%
Q3 - 10:50MIABradley STEAL (1 STL)46
81.5%
35
18.5%
Q3 - 11:17BOSBradley 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Zeller 3 AST)46
82.9%
35
17.1%
Q3 - 11:30MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)46
84.8%
33
15.2%
Q3 - 11:50BOSBradley 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)44
83.0%
33
17.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
84.8%
31
15.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound44
86.5%
31
13.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot44
85.3%
31
14.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Rebound44
85.2%
31
14.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Napier 19' Jump Shot44
84.4%
31
15.6%
Q2 - 0:19.0BOSCrowder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)44
85.3%
31
14.7%
Q2 - 0:20.0BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
84.1%
31
15.9%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot44
84.5%
31
15.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0BOSSullinger 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Pressey 1 AST)44
85.4%
31
14.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)44
87.3%
29
12.7%
Q2 - 1:10MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
87.6%
29
12.4%
Q2 - 1:11BOSMISS Sullinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
87.4%
29
12.6%
Q2 - 1:24MIAChalmers 1' Layup (4 PTS)44
86.9%
29
13.1%
Q2 - 1:44BOSSullinger Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)42
84.6%
29
15.4%
Q2 - 1:57MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Napier 3 AST)42
83.7%
29
16.3%
Q2 - 2:16BOSBass 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turner 2 AST)39
78.7%
29
21.3%
Q2 - 2:37MIAWhiteside 3' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)39
80.8%
27
19.2%
Q2 - 2:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
78.7%
27
21.3%
Q2 - 2:49BOSMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
78.1%
27
21.9%
Q2 - 3:05BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
75.7%
27
24.3%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot37
76.5%
27
23.5%
Q2 - 3:17MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
78.2%
27
21.8%
Q2 - 3:18BOSMISS Turner 1' Driving Layup37
77.5%
27
22.5%
Q2 - 3:25MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)37
75.8%
27
24.2%
Q2 - 3:39BOSSullinger Foul Turnover (P1.T5)37
78.2%
27
21.8%
Q2 - 3:45BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
75.8%
27
24.2%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Bosh 11' Fadeaway Jumper37
76.6%
27
23.4%
Q2 - 3:53MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
78.3%
27
21.7%
Q2 - 3:56BOSMISS Bass 1' Layup37
77.5%
27
22.5%
Q2 - 4:13BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
75.0%
27
25.0%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Napier 21' Jump Shot37
75.6%
27
24.4%
Q2 - 4:43BOSSullinger 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)37
77.2%
27
22.8%
Q2 - 4:57MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T5)37
79.1%
25
20.9%
Q2 - 5:07MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
80.5%
25
19.5%
Q2 - 5:08MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
79.3%
25
20.7%
Q2 - 5:16BOSWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
80.5%
25
19.5%
Q2 - 5:20MIAEnnis 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)37
78.7%
25
21.3%
Q2 - 5:38MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
76.7%
25
23.3%
Q2 - 5:40BOSMISS Smart 7' Running Bank Shot35
76.1%
25
23.9%
Q2 - 5:48BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
74.7%
25
25.3%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot35
75.3%
25
24.7%
Q2 - 6:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
76.4%
25
23.6%
Q2 - 6:02BOSMISS Sullinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
75.6%
25
24.4%
Q2 - 6:10BOSYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
73.9%
25
26.1%
Q2 - 6:11MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Jump Shot35
74.7%
25
25.3%
Q2 - 6:27BOSBradley 3' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smart 4 AST)35
76.4%
25
23.6%
Q2 - 6:41MIAWhiteside 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)35
78.0%
23
22.0%
Q2 - 7:04MIAJohnson Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
75.6%
23
24.4%
Q2 - 7:04MIAJohnson Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (4 PTS)32
75.2%
23
24.8%
Q2 - 7:05BOSSmart Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)31
71.5%
23
28.5%
Q2 - 7:17MIAJohnson 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)31
69.2%
23
30.8%
Q2 - 7:39MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
67.1%
23
32.9%
Q2 - 7:40BOSMISS Young 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
66.3%
23
33.7%
Q2 - 7:48BOSThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
64.5%
23
35.5%
Q2 - 7:50MIASmart BLOCK (1 BLK)29
65.3%
23
34.7%
Q2 - 7:55BOSThornton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)29
67.1%
23
32.9%
Q2 - 8:01BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
64.0%
23
36.0%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
64.7%
23
35.3%
Q2 - 8:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
66.5%
23
33.5%
Q2 - 8:12BOSMISS Zeller 7' Jump Shot29
65.7%
23
34.3%
Q2 - 8:31MIACole 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)29
64.0%
23
36.0%
Q2 - 8:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
61.7%
23
38.3%
Q2 - 8:39BOSMISS Zeller 1' Layup27
60.9%
23
39.1%
Q2 - 8:44BOSYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
59.1%
23
40.9%
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Shot27
59.9%
23
40.1%
Q2 - 9:06BOSZeller Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Smart 3 AST)27
61.4%
23
38.6%
Q2 - 9:12BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
63.5%
21
36.5%
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot27
64.3%
21
35.7%
Q2 - 9:36BOSYoung 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Smart 2 AST)27
66.1%
21
33.9%
Q2 - 9:48BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
68.0%
19
32.0%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
68.8%
19
31.2%
Q2 - 10:00MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
70.5%
19
29.5%
Q2 - 10:02BOSMISS Wallace 2' Layup27
69.5%
19
30.5%
Q2 - 10:14MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
67.7%
19
32.3%
Q2 - 10:15MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
70.3%
19
29.7%
Q2 - 10:16BOSMISS Thornton 13' Jump Shot27
69.5%
19
30.5%
Q2 - 10:28BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
67.7%
19
32.3%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
68.5%
19
31.5%
Q2 - 10:46BOSThornton 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)27
70.3%
19
29.7%
Q2 - 11:13MIAAndersen 1' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)27
71.4%
17
28.6%
Q2 - 11:33BOSZeller 8' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)25
69.5%
17
30.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS25
71.5%
15
28.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound25
71.5%
15
28.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Thornton 29' 3PT Jump Shot25
72.1%
15
27.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAAndersen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)25
71.1%
15
28.9%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
66.5%
15
33.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0BOSMISS Bass 13' Jump Shot22
66.1%
15
33.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
65.0%
15
35.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
64.6%
15
35.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0BOSThornton 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
62.3%
15
37.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0BOSThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
65.0%
13
35.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0BOSMISS Sullinger 7' Driving Jump Shot20
66.1%
13
33.9%
Q1 - 1:09MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
64.8%
13
35.2%
Q1 - 1:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
66.4%
13
33.6%
Q1 - 1:23BOSMISS Thornton 3PT Jump Shot20
65.9%
13
34.1%
Q1 - 1:34BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
64.8%
13
35.2%
Q1 - 1:35MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup20
65.3%
13
34.7%
Q1 - 1:41MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
66.4%
13
33.6%
Q1 - 1:42BOSMISS Sullinger 11' Jump Shot20
65.9%
13
34.1%
Q1 - 2:05MIABosh 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)20
64.5%
13
35.5%
Q1 - 2:31BOSThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smart 1 AST)18
62.2%
13
37.8%
Q1 - 2:34BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
66.5%
10
33.5%
Q1 - 2:35BOSMISS Bass 1' Layup18
67.9%
10
32.1%
Q1 - 2:57BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
66.6%
10
33.4%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 218
66.8%
10
33.2%
Q1 - 2:58MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
68.2%
10
31.8%
Q1 - 2:58MIAHeat Rebound17
66.4%
10
33.6%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
65.1%
10
34.9%
Q1 - 3:15BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
66.3%
10
33.7%
Q1 - 3:15BOSMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 217
66.6%
9
33.4%
Q1 - 3:26MIAGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
66.0%
9
34.0%
Q1 - 3:26MIAGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
65.8%
9
34.2%
Q1 - 3:47MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
64.2%
9
35.8%
Q1 - 3:48BOSMISS Turner 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
63.5%
9
36.5%
Q1 - 4:01MIAGranger 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)15
61.6%
9
38.4%
Q1 - 4:02MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
59.8%
9
40.2%
Q1 - 4:03MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Pullup Jump Shot13
58.1%
9
41.9%
Q1 - 4:35BOSBradley 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)13
59.9%
9
40.1%
Q1 - 4:38BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
61.6%
7
38.4%
Q1 - 4:40BOSMISS Bass 7' Turnaround Jump Shot13
63.3%
7
36.7%
Q1 - 4:49BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
61.6%
7
38.4%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot13
62.4%
7
37.6%
Q1 - 5:09MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
63.0%
7
37.0%
Q1 - 5:11BOSMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
62.3%
7
37.7%
Q1 - 5:20MIAThornton STEAL (1 STL)13
60.9%
7
39.1%
Q1 - 5:37MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
63.1%
7
36.9%
Q1 - 5:39BOSMISS Turner 14' Jump Shot13
62.4%
7
37.6%
Q1 - 5:46BOSCELTICS Rebound13
60.9%
7
39.1%
Q1 - 5:47BOSMISS Bradley 3' Driving Layup13
62.4%
7
37.6%
Q1 - 6:03MIANapier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)13
60.2%
7
39.8%
Q1 - 6:21BOSZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)10
56.5%
7
43.5%
Q1 - 6:21BOSMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 210
56.9%
6
43.1%
Q1 - 6:37BOSThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
56.4%
6
43.6%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS Napier 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
57.0%
6
43.0%
Q1 - 6:48BOSZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
58.5%
6
41.5%
Q1 - 6:48BOSZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
58.8%
5
41.2%
Q1 - 6:52MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)10
60.3%
4
39.7%
Q1 - 7:08BOSBass Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)8
58.4%
4
41.6%
Q1 - 7:26BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
60.0%
2
40.0%
Q1 - 7:27MIAMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
60.6%
2
39.4%
Q1 - 7:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
62.1%
2
37.9%
Q1 - 7:35BOSMISS Turner 2' Layup8
61.4%
2
38.6%
Q1 - 7:41BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
60.0%
2
40.0%
Q1 - 7:42MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Driving Reverse Layup8
60.6%
2
39.4%
Q1 - 7:51MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
62.1%
2
37.9%
Q1 - 7:52BOSMISS Bass 11' Jump Shot8
61.4%
2
38.6%
Q1 - 8:03BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
60.2%
2
39.8%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot8
60.8%
2
39.2%
Q1 - 8:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
62.1%
2
37.9%
Q1 - 8:29BOSMISS Turner 16' Jump Shot8
61.5%
2
38.5%
Q1 - 8:44MIABosh 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)8
60.2%
2
39.8%
Q1 - 8:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
58.5%
2
41.5%
Q1 - 8:58BOSMISS Zeller 19' Jump Shot6
57.8%
2
42.2%
Q1 - 9:07MIAWhiteside 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
56.4%
2
43.6%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot4
53.3%
2
46.7%
Q1 - 9:29MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 9:30BOSMISS Zeller 5' Jump Hook Shot4
54.1%
2
45.9%
Q1 - 9:48MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
52.7%
2
47.3%
Q1 - 9:48MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
52.3%
2
47.7%
Q1 - 10:07BOSTurner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 10:13BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.8%
2
51.2%
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Turnaround Hook Shot2
49.4%
2
50.6%
Q1 - 10:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 10:25MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
49.4%
2
50.6%
Q1 - 10:48BOSZeller Running Layup (2 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)2
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 10:54MIATurner STEAL (1 STL)2
52.6%
0
47.4%
Q1 - 11:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 11:07BOSMISS Turner 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
53.8%
0
46.2%
Q1 - 11:27MIAWhiteside 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)2
52.6%
0
47.4%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Bass vs. Whiteside: Tip to Bosh0
50.6%
0
49.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.6%
BOS
0.80 39.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
21
57%
BOS
9
25
36%
Midrange
MIA
16
35
46%
BOS
17
37
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
21
19%
29%
BOS
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
Free Throws
MIA
15
21
71%
BOS
11
18
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2059%10.0 / 17
C. Bosh1841%9.0 / 22
T. Johnson1359%6.5 / 11
J. Ennis III857%4.0 / 7
D. Granger643%3.0 / 7
S. Napier531%2.5 / 8
C. Andersen5125%2.5 / 2
M. Chalmers433%2.0 / 6
N. Cole440%2.0 / 5
S. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bradley1757%8.5 / 15
T. Zeller1750%8.5 / 17
B. Bass1550%7.5 / 15
M. Thornton950%4.5 / 9
J. Sullinger729%3.5 / 12
J. Crowder375%1.5 / 2
M. Smart325%1.5 / 6
J. Young350%1.5 / 3
P. Pressey117%0.5 / 3
E. Turner0-0.0 / 6
G. Wallace0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+15
-16
91
BOS
79
+14
-13
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.6%
BOS
0.80 39.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
104.8
MIA 90.2 +8.7
BOS 81.5
Pace
91.0
95.8
MIA 78.8
BOS 110.6 +31.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.4
MIA 18.3
BOS 13.0 +5.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.9%
MIA 44.2% +4.7%
BOS 39.5%
TO %
15.2%
13.7%
MIA 18.8%
BOS 13.6% +5.2%
ORB %
23.3%
24.7%
MIA 23.8% +5.6%
BOS 18.2%
FTrt
30.6
23.3
MIA 27.3 +5.1
BOS 22.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
62.9%
MIA 56.3%
BOS 80.0% +23.7%
STL %
8.6%
8.5%
MIA 7.6%
BOS 7.6%
BLK %
8.0%
5.7%
MIA 14.5% +9.1%
BOS 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
51.1%
MIA 45.6% +5.7%
BOS 39.9%
Rim FG%
59.7%
57.3%
MIA 57.1% +21.1%
BOS 36.0%
Mid FG%
40.9%
40.9%
MIA 45.7%
BOS 45.9% +0.2%
3P %
33.5%
32.7%
MIA 19.0%
BOS 21.1% +2.1%
FT %
74.1%
75.4%
MIA 71.4% +10.3%
BOS 61.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
34.7%
MIA 27.3%
BOS 30.9% +3.6%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
37.3%
MIA 45.5% +0.2%
BOS 45.7%
3P Att. %
26.2%
28.0%
MIA 27.3% +3.8%
BOS 23.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes28.020.0
Points8375
Rebounds4640
Assists1824
Steals77
Blocks93
Turnovers (Team)16 (4)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)8 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)32 (2)
Field Goals32-7730-81
At-the-Rim FG12-219-25
Midrange FG16-3517-37
2-Point FG28-5626-62
3-Point FG4-214-19
Free Throws15-2111-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 31
35.1
18
41%
7
2
0
1
4
1
2
5
5-7
71%
5-15
33%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
29.8
20
59%
9
0
0
3
0
3
3
6
0-0
-
10-17
59%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
26.4
4
33%
4
2
3
1
5
2
2
2
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 222 · 32
22.2
6
43%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
21.1
5
31%
4
3
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
27.1
13
59%
9
4
2
2
1
1
2
7
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
24.4
8
57%
3
0
1
0
3
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
23.1
4
40%
2
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
17.9
5
125%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
5
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F · 6'9" 220 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
46%
46
18
7
9
16
0
10
36
15-21
71%
28-56
50%
4-21
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.