FinalWin Prob.pScore
1840%93
109
1160%97
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
119.89193.7
MIA logo MIA
112.19188.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL109
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)109
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILMISS Bayless Free Throw 2 of 2109
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILMISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 2109
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAWhiteside Dunk (16 PTS)109
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (14 PTS)108
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)108
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)108
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)107
99.7%
98
0.3%
Q4 - 1:10MIAWhiteside Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)106
99.3%
98
0.7%
Q4 - 1:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)106
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 1:16MILMISS Bayless 12' Floating Jump Shot106
99.5%
96
0.5%
Q4 - 1:39MIAEnnis 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)106
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 1:47MILBayless 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)106
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 2:13MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)104
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2104
99.1%
94
0.9%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2104
98.8%
94
1.2%
Q4 - 2:32MILMiddleton 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bayless 7 AST)104
98.4%
94
1.6%
Q4 - 2:54MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)102
97.0%
94
3.0%
Q4 - 3:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)102
98.6%
91
1.4%
Q4 - 3:03MILMISS Bayless 16' Jump Shot102
98.8%
91
1.2%
Q4 - 3:19MILMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
99.2%
91
0.8%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS Bosh 6' Turnaround Jump Shot102
99.1%
91
0.9%
Q4 - 3:33MILBayless 17' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)102
97.2%
91
2.8%
Q4 - 3:45MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)100
96.3%
91
3.7%
Q4 - 3:46MIAMISS Bosh 10' Step Back Jump Shot100
95.9%
91
4.1%
Q4 - 3:54MIAHEAT Rebound100
94.8%
91
5.2%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Turnaround Jump Shot100
96.0%
91
4.0%
Q4 - 4:08MILKnight Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T13)100
94.9%
91
5.1%
Q4 - 4:21MILMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
96.6%
91
3.4%
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
96.2%
91
3.8%
Q4 - 4:45MILBayless 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)100
95.1%
91
4.9%
Q4 - 5:03MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
90.1%
91
9.9%
Q4 - 5:04MIAMISS Cole 19' Step Back Jump Shot98
89.1%
91
10.9%
Q4 - 5:24MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)98
86.7%
91
13.3%
Q4 - 5:25MILMISS Martin 1' Layup98
87.9%
91
12.1%
Q4 - 5:35MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P2.T13)98
90.4%
91
9.6%
Q4 - 5:48MILBayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 4 AST)98
86.8%
91
13.2%
Q4 - 6:12MIABosh 18' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)95
74.9%
91
25.1%
Q4 - 6:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)95
79.4%
89
20.6%
Q4 - 6:32MILMISS Knight 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
81.1%
89
18.9%
Q4 - 6:46MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
84.6%
89
15.4%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 295
84.0%
89
16.0%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 295
81.0%
89
19.0%
Q4 - 6:53MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)95
79.5%
89
20.5%
Q4 - 6:53MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)94
78.8%
89
21.2%
Q4 - 7:05MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
72.4%
89
27.6%
Q4 - 7:06MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
70.5%
89
29.5%
Q4 - 7:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)93
66.0%
89
34.0%
Q4 - 7:19MILMISS Mayo 17' Jump Shot93
68.1%
89
31.9%
Q4 - 7:30MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T12)93
72.5%
89
27.5%
Q4 - 7:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)93
66.1%
89
33.9%
Q4 - 7:38MILMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
68.1%
89
31.9%
Q4 - 7:55MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
72.6%
89
27.4%
Q4 - 7:56MIAMISS Ennis 3PT Jump Shot93
70.7%
89
29.3%
Q4 - 8:19MILMayo 13' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bayless 6 AST)93
64.6%
89
35.4%
Q4 - 8:31MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
58.6%
89
41.4%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 291
57.8%
89
42.2%
Q4 - 8:32MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)91
53.5%
89
46.5%
Q4 - 8:50MILMayo 12' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST)91
58.6%
88
41.4%
Q4 - 9:05MIACole 2' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)89
51.5%
88
48.5%
Q4 - 9:20MILEnnis STEAL (1 STL)89
57.3%
86
42.7%
Q4 - 9:35MILBucks Rebound89
63.2%
86
36.8%
Q4 - 9:36MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
61.4%
86
38.6%
Q4 - 9:57MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)89
57.3%
86
42.7%
Q4 - 9:57MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)88
55.9%
86
44.1%
Q4 - 10:03MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
50.6%
86
49.4%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot87
48.8%
86
51.2%
Q4 - 10:33MILBayless 18' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)87
44.9%
86
55.1%
Q4 - 10:54MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)85
39.6%
86
60.4%
Q4 - 10:54MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
40.6%
85
59.4%
Q4 - 11:02MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
44.4%
84
55.6%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
48.3%
84
51.7%
Q4 - 11:22MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)85
44.4%
84
55.6%
Q4 - 11:40MIACole 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)82
34.5%
84
65.5%
Q4 - 11:54MILAntetokounmpo Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T11)82
39.2%
82
60.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL82
44.7%
82
55.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound82
44.7%
82
55.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
40.8%
82
59.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)82
44.2%
82
55.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)82
45.2%
81
54.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
49.3%
80
50.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILMISS Henson Free Throw 2 of 282
50.0%
80
50.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)82
52.6%
80
47.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILBucks Rebound81
49.3%
80
50.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot81
47.8%
80
52.2%
Q3 - 1:00MILBayless 19' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)81
44.3%
80
55.7%
Q3 - 1:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)79
39.2%
80
60.8%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 279
40.1%
79
59.9%
Q3 - 1:35MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)79
39.1%
79
60.9%
Q3 - 1:50MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
30.4%
79
69.6%
Q3 - 1:51MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
29.1%
79
70.9%
Q3 - 2:05MIABosh Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)76
26.6%
79
73.4%
Q3 - 2:17MILDudley 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)76
30.3%
78
69.7%
Q3 - 2:28MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
26.7%
78
73.3%
Q3 - 2:29MIAMISS Granger 11' Turnaround Jump Shot74
25.6%
78
74.4%
Q3 - 2:55MILMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)74
23.1%
78
76.9%
Q3 - 3:05MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
18.0%
78
82.0%
Q3 - 3:06MIAMISS Bosh 19' Fadeaway Jumper71
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q3 - 3:32MILMayo Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)71
15.4%
78
84.6%
Q3 - 3:54MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)68
11.4%
78
88.6%
Q3 - 4:23MILAntetokounmpo 12' Hook Shot (10 PTS)68
15.7%
75
84.3%
Q3 - 4:38MIABosh 20' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)66
14.0%
75
86.0%
Q3 - 4:57MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)66
15.7%
73
84.3%
Q3 - 4:58MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
14.0%
73
86.0%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup64
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 5:08MILGranger STEAL (1 STL)64
12.3%
73
87.7%
Q3 - 5:26MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)64
14.4%
73
85.6%
Q3 - 5:45MILHenson 2' Reverse Layup (5 PTS)64
18.6%
70
81.4%
Q3 - 6:01MIAGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)62
17.1%
70
82.9%
Q3 - 6:02MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
21.6%
67
78.4%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot62
23.8%
67
76.2%
Q3 - 6:26MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
21.6%
67
78.4%
Q3 - 6:27MILMISS Knight 4' Floating Jump Shot62
22.5%
67
77.5%
Q3 - 6:40MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
24.8%
67
75.2%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
23.8%
67
76.2%
Q3 - 7:02MILKnight Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)62
21.8%
67
78.2%
Q3 - 7:18MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)62
24.9%
67
75.1%
Q3 - 7:34MILWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)62
27.5%
65
72.5%
Q3 - 7:46MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)62
31.1%
65
68.9%
Q3 - 8:05MILKnight 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dudley 3 AST)62
37.4%
62
62.6%
Q3 - 8:18MIABosh 18' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)59
31.2%
62
68.8%
Q3 - 8:41MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
33.9%
60
66.1%
Q3 - 8:42MILMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot59
35.1%
60
64.9%
Q3 - 9:10MIAChalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)59
37.4%
60
62.6%
Q3 - 9:24MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
40.7%
58
59.3%
Q3 - 9:25MILMISS Middleton Free Throw 1 of 159
41.2%
58
58.8%
Q3 - 9:44MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)57
37.4%
58
62.6%
Q3 - 9:56MIAHEAT Rebound57
40.7%
56
59.3%
Q3 - 9:57MILMISS Pachulia 5' Jump Shot57
41.8%
56
58.2%
Q3 - 10:15MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)57
44.0%
56
56.0%
Q3 - 10:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
51.0%
53
49.0%
Q3 - 10:30MILMISS Knight 18' Jump Shot57
52.1%
53
47.9%
Q3 - 10:44MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)57
54.5%
53
45.5%
Q3 - 11:10MILKnight 2' Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)57
60.4%
50
39.6%
Q3 - 11:13MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)55
57.2%
50
42.8%
Q3 - 11:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
53.7%
50
46.3%
Q3 - 11:22MILMISS Dudley Free Throw 2 of 255
54.2%
50
45.8%
Q3 - 11:22MILDudley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
56.4%
50
43.6%
Q3 - 11:24MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
53.9%
50
46.1%
Q3 - 11:25MILMISS Dudley 18' Jump Shot54
51.4%
50
48.6%
Q3 - 11:35MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)54
53.9%
50
46.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
50.4%
50
49.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound54
50.4%
50
49.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot54
52.8%
50
47.2%
Q2 - 0:13.0MILAntetokounmpo Dunk (6 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)54
50.3%
50
49.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)52
46.2%
50
53.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
50.3%
48
49.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0MILMISS Dudley Free Throw 2 of 252
50.6%
48
49.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0MILDudley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)52
52.8%
48
47.2%
Q2 - 1:07MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
48.9%
48
51.1%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Bosh 19' Fadeaway Jumper51
48.4%
48
51.6%
Q2 - 1:22MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)51
47.2%
48
52.8%
Q2 - 1:22MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
46.3%
48
53.7%
Q2 - 1:31MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
42.6%
48
57.4%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
42.1%
48
57.9%
Q2 - 1:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
40.9%
48
59.1%
Q2 - 1:42MILMISS Mayo 18' Jump Shot49
41.4%
48
58.6%
Q2 - 1:55MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
42.6%
48
57.4%
Q2 - 1:55MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
43.3%
47
56.7%
Q2 - 2:08MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
46.0%
46
54.0%
Q2 - 2:09MILMISS Knight 6' Floating Jump Shot49
46.9%
46
53.1%
Q2 - 2:22MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)49
49.0%
46
51.0%
Q2 - 2:40MILMayo 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)49
52.3%
44
47.7%
Q2 - 2:44MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)47
49.0%
44
51.0%
Q2 - 2:50MILMayo 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)47
46.1%
44
53.9%
Q2 - 3:09MIAGranger 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)45
42.9%
44
57.1%
Q2 - 3:19MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
45.3%
42
54.7%
Q2 - 3:20MILMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot45
46.4%
42
53.6%
Q2 - 3:41MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)45
48.8%
42
51.2%
Q2 - 3:41MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
49.8%
41
50.2%
Q2 - 3:41MIAHEAT Rebound45
51.3%
40
48.7%
Q2 - 3:41MILMISS Middleton 21' Jump Shot45
52.4%
40
47.6%
Q2 - 3:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)45
54.8%
40
45.2%
Q2 - 3:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
60.2%
37
39.8%
Q2 - 3:59MILMISS Henson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot45
61.2%
37
38.8%
Q2 - 4:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)45
62.0%
37
38.0%
Q2 - 4:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
59.2%
37
40.8%
Q2 - 4:27MILMISS Knight 3PT Jump Shot45
60.1%
37
39.9%
Q2 - 4:31MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
62.1%
37
37.9%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS Whiteside Dunk45
61.2%
37
38.8%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
59.2%
37
40.8%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot45
61.2%
37
38.8%
Q2 - 4:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
59.2%
37
40.8%
Q2 - 4:41MILMISS Martin 2' Layup45
60.1%
37
39.9%
Q2 - 4:57MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
62.1%
37
37.9%
Q2 - 4:57MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)45
62.6%
36
37.4%
Q2 - 5:11MILDudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)45
64.1%
35
35.9%
Q2 - 5:19MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
58.8%
35
41.2%
Q2 - 5:20MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Layup42
58.0%
35
42.0%
Q2 - 5:41MILHenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
56.0%
35
44.0%
Q2 - 5:41MILMISS Henson Free Throw 1 of 241
55.0%
35
45.0%
Q2 - 5:49MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
56.0%
35
44.0%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot41
55.2%
35
44.8%
Q2 - 6:06MILMayo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)41
52.5%
35
47.5%
Q2 - 6:09MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
55.8%
35
44.2%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup41
54.8%
35
45.2%
Q2 - 6:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
52.5%
35
47.5%
Q2 - 6:23MILMISS Mayo 16' Pullup Jump Shot41
53.5%
35
46.5%
Q2 - 6:31MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
55.8%
35
44.2%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot41
54.8%
35
45.2%
Q2 - 6:59MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dudley 2 AST)41
52.6%
35
47.4%
Q2 - 7:21MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)38
47.1%
35
52.9%
Q2 - 7:41MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
49.5%
33
50.5%
Q2 - 7:41MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
49.2%
33
50.8%
Q2 - 7:55MIAChalmers 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)36
47.1%
33
52.9%
Q2 - 8:14MILHenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)36
49.0%
31
51.0%
Q2 - 8:24MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)36
51.7%
31
48.3%
Q2 - 8:37MILDudley 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)36
49.0%
31
51.0%
Q2 - 8:51MILBucks Rebound34
46.5%
31
53.5%
Q2 - 8:52MILMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
44.7%
31
55.3%
Q2 - 9:08MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
46.1%
31
53.9%
Q2 - 9:28MILHenson Dunk (2 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)34
48.3%
29
51.7%
Q2 - 9:37MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
46.1%
29
53.9%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q2 - 9:46MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
43.3%
29
56.7%
Q2 - 9:47MILMISS Dudley 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
44.2%
29
55.8%
Q2 - 9:56MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
46.1%
29
53.9%
Q2 - 9:57MIAMISS Wade 5' Driving Layup32
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q2 - 10:14MILHenson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)32
43.2%
29
56.8%
Q2 - 10:19MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
46.1%
29
53.9%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Ennis 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
45.2%
29
54.8%
Q2 - 10:37MILDudley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)32
43.2%
29
56.8%
Q2 - 10:58MIANapier Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)30
41.2%
29
58.8%
Q2 - 11:15MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)30
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q2 - 11:15MILBucks Rebound30
40.8%
29
59.2%
Q2 - 11:16MILMISS Antetokounmpo 22' Jump Shot30
39.1%
29
60.9%
Q2 - 11:41MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
40.8%
29
59.2%
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS Napier 15' Jump Shot30
40.1%
29
59.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound30
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
40.1%
29
59.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
38.6%
29
61.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
38.1%
29
61.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAGranger 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)28
35.8%
29
64.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
40.8%
26
59.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 2' Driving Layup28
41.4%
26
58.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIANapier 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)28
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q1 - 1:10MILAntetokounmpo 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)28
45.2%
24
54.8%
Q1 - 1:21MIAHaslem 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)26
42.4%
24
57.6%
Q1 - 1:37MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
45.3%
22
54.7%
Q1 - 1:37MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
44.9%
22
55.1%
Q1 - 1:38MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
42.4%
22
57.6%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup24
41.9%
22
58.1%
Q1 - 1:57MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
40.7%
22
59.3%
Q1 - 1:58MILMISS Ilyasova 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup24
41.2%
22
58.8%
Q1 - 2:24MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)24
42.6%
22
57.4%
Q1 - 2:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
45.0%
20
55.0%
Q1 - 2:35MILMISS Knight 18' Jump Shot24
45.6%
20
54.4%
Q1 - 2:47MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
47.1%
20
52.9%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
46.5%
20
53.5%
Q1 - 3:12MILMiddleton 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)24
44.4%
20
55.6%
Q1 - 3:33MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)22
42.5%
20
57.5%
Q1 - 3:41MILIlyasova Foul Turnover (P1.T3)22
40.1%
20
59.9%
Q1 - 3:59MIAWade 17' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)22
42.5%
20
57.5%
Q1 - 4:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 4:08MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
44.9%
18
55.1%
Q1 - 4:15MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
46.6%
18
53.4%
Q1 - 4:36MIAHEAT Rebound22
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper22
45.9%
18
54.1%
Q1 - 4:56MILKnight Dunk (8 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 3 AST)22
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 5:00MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
42.3%
18
57.7%
Q1 - 5:16MILKnight 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)20
39.5%
18
60.5%
Q1 - 5:35MIAGranger 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)17
35.8%
18
64.2%
Q1 - 5:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
39.5%
15
60.5%
Q1 - 5:50MILMISS Pachulia 12' Jump Shot17
40.2%
15
59.8%
Q1 - 6:10MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)17
41.2%
15
58.8%
Q1 - 6:22MILMiddleton 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)17
39.1%
15
60.9%
Q1 - 6:35MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)15
37.4%
15
62.6%
Q1 - 6:59MILIlyasova 3' Layup (4 PTS)15
39.1%
13
60.9%
Q1 - 7:20MIAGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)13
37.3%
13
62.7%
Q1 - 7:36MILIlyasova 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)13
40.7%
10
59.3%
Q1 - 7:47MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
39.1%
10
60.9%
Q1 - 7:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 211
38.9%
10
61.1%
Q1 - 7:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
37.7%
10
62.3%
Q1 - 8:06MILPachulia 1' Layup (2 PTS)11
38.9%
9
61.1%
Q1 - 8:08MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
37.2%
9
62.8%
Q1 - 8:09MILMISS Pachulia 1' Tip Shot9
35.9%
9
64.1%
Q1 - 8:10MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
37.2%
9
62.8%
Q1 - 8:11MILMISS Ilyasova 2' Layup9
35.9%
9
64.1%
Q1 - 8:28MIABosh 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
37.2%
9
62.8%
Q1 - 8:55MILKnight 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)9
38.9%
7
61.1%
Q1 - 9:15MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
35.4%
7
64.6%
Q1 - 9:36MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)6
37.0%
5
63.0%
Q1 - 9:55MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
33.7%
5
66.3%
Q1 - 9:56MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Hook Shot3
33.1%
5
66.9%
Q1 - 10:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
31.8%
5
68.2%
Q1 - 10:13MILMISS Knight 21' Jump Shot3
32.4%
5
67.6%
Q1 - 10:28MIAWhiteside Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
33.7%
5
66.3%
Q1 - 10:33MILWade STEAL (2 STL)3
35.2%
3
64.8%
Q1 - 10:56MIAWade 5' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)3
37.1%
3
62.9%
Q1 - 11:10MIABosh Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)3
38.6%
1
61.4%
Q1 - 11:21MILWade STEAL (1 STL)3
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:23MILBucks Rebound3
42.1%
0
57.9%
Q1 - 11:24MILChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)3
40.9%
0
59.1%
Q1 - 11:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
42.1%
0
57.9%
Q1 - 11:42MILMiddleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)3
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Pachulia: Tip to Ilyasova0
36.8%
0
63.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.25 62.6%
MIA
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
12
21
57%
MIA
19
28
68%
Midrange
MIL
18
34
53%
MIA
12
27
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
9
13.5
16
56%
84%
MIA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
MIL
22
30
73%
MIA
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Knight1757%8.5 / 15
K. Middleton1794%8.5 / 9
J. Bayless1575%7.5 / 10
O. Mayo1458%7.0 / 12
G. Antetokounmpo1372%6.5 / 9
J. Henson1286%6.0 / 7
J. Dudley1169%5.5 / 8
Z. Pachulia433%2.0 / 6
E. Ilyasova450%2.0 / 4
K. Martin225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2662%13.0 / 21
M. Chalmers2170%10.5 / 15
H. Whiteside1662%8.0 / 13
D. Granger1478%7.0 / 9
D. Wade1260%6.0 / 10
N. Cole750%3.5 / 7
J. Ennis III233%1.0 / 3
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
S. Napier233%1.0 / 3
S. Williams0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
79
+8
-12
87
MIA
79
+9
-12
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.25 62.6%
MIA
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.1
103.9
MIL 119.8 +7.7
MIA 112.1
Pace
93.7
91.0
MIL 93.7 +5.2
MIA 88.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
16.3
MIL 15.4 +0.9
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
50.0%
MIL 61.3% +6.0%
MIA 55.3%
TO %
16.8%
15.2%
MIL 13.4%
MIA 13.1% +0.3%
ORB %
25.5%
23.3%
MIL 12.5%
MIA 14.3% +1.8%
FTrt
25.8
30.6
MIL 42.3 +7.6
MIA 34.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
56.4%
MIL 64.1% +11.5%
MIA 52.6%
STL %
10.1%
8.6%
MIL 7.7% +2.2%
MIA 5.5%
BLK %
8.6%
8.0%
MIL 5.5% +3.7%
MIA 1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.2%
MIL 62.6% +4.6%
MIA 58.0%
Rim FG%
56.4%
59.7%
MIL 57.1%
MIA 67.9% +10.8%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.9%
MIL 52.9% +8.5%
MIA 44.4%
3P %
36.3%
33.5%
MIL 56.3% +21.3%
MIA 35.0%
FT %
75.7%
74.1%
MIL 73.3% +0.2%
MIA 73.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.8%
35.1%
MIL 29.6%
MIA 37.3% +7.8%
Mid Att. %
37.8%
38.7%
MIL 47.9%
MIA 36.0% +11.9%
3P Att. %
22.3%
26.2%
MIL 22.5%
MIA 26.7% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points109102
Rebounds3433
Assists2520
Steals75
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)28 (2)
Field Goals39-7138-75
At-the-Rim FG12-2119-28
Midrange FG18-3412-27
2-Point FG30-5531-55
3-Point FG9-167-20
Free Throws22-3019-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 243 · 20
39.8
13
72%
6
4
0
1
1
4
0
6
5-6
83%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 23
38.1
17
57%
2
6
3
0
4
0
0
2
4-4
100%
2-8
25%
3-5
60%
G · 6'7" 222 · 23
30.2
17
94%
3
1
1
0
1
4
0
3
0-1
0%
4-5
80%
3-4
75%
C · 6'11" 270 · 31
21.0
4
33%
5
1
1
0
1
2
3
2
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
10.4
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
26.1
14
58%
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 240 · 30
22.6
11
69%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
21.9
15
75%
4
7
0
0
0
4
0
4
2-4
50%
5-7
71%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 229 · 24
18.5
12
86%
4
1
1
1
2
3
0
4
4-6
67%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 37
11.6
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 26
#5 · G · 6'4" 200 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F · 6'8" 250 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · F · 6'8" 246 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
63%
34
25
7
3
12
0
4
30
22-30
73%
30-55
55%
9-16
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.