FinalWin Prob.pScore
1919%91
95
281%103
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
100.09596.3
SAS logo SAS
105.29694.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL95
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)95
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILMISS Bayless Free Throw 2 of 295
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILMISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 295
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILMISS Middleton 27' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)95
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)95
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)95
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILMISS Bayless 8' Jump Shot95
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)95
2.2%
99
97.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)95
2.5%
98
97.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)95
5.0%
97
95.0%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILMISS Bayless 8' Jump Shot95
7.0%
97
93.0%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
14.1%
97
85.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot95
10.8%
97
89.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILBayless 6' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)95
8.6%
97
91.4%
Q4 - 1:02SASDuncan 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)93
5.6%
97
94.4%
Q4 - 1:05SASSPURS Rebound93
9.4%
95
90.6%
Q4 - 1:06SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup93
14.4%
95
85.6%
Q4 - 1:23MILMiddleton Layup (21 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST)93
10.5%
95
89.5%
Q4 - 1:27SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)91
6.9%
95
93.1%
Q4 - 1:45MILMiddleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 5 AST)91
4.6%
95
95.4%
Q4 - 2:00SASGinobili 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)88
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 2:23MILPachulia Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Mayo 7 AST)88
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q4 - 2:37SASJump Ball Diaw vs. Middleton: Tip to Bayless86
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 2:41SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 2:42MILMISS Antetokounmpo Dunk86
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 2:47SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)86
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 2:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 2:57MILMISS Pachulia 10' Jump Bank Shot86
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 3:12MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 3:13SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot86
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 3:33MILMiddleton 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)86
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q4 - 3:43SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)84
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 3:43SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)84
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 3:52SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)84
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 3:53MILMISS Bayless 20' Jump Shot84
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q4 - 4:14SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)84
3.7%
91
96.3%
Q4 - 4:14SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)84
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q4 - 4:29MILBayless 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)84
5.1%
89
94.9%
Q4 - 4:46MILKnight REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 4:47MILMISS Knight 2' Layup82
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 4:52MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 4:53SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
3.2%
89
96.8%
Q4 - 4:58SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q4 - 4:59MILGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)82
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 5:17SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
4.6%
89
95.4%
Q4 - 5:17SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 282
4.9%
88
95.1%
Q4 - 5:31MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#21)82
4.4%
88
95.6%
Q4 - 5:59SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)82
6.2%
88
93.8%
Q4 - 6:16MILKnight 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)82
11.6%
85
88.4%
Q4 - 6:41SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)79
7.0%
85
93.0%
Q4 - 6:41SASLeonard 2' Putback Layup (14 PTS)79
7.0%
85
93.0%
Q4 - 6:42SASMISS Bonner 10' Jump Shot79
10.9%
83
89.1%
Q4 - 7:02MILMayo 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)79
9.3%
83
90.7%
Q4 - 7:24SASParker 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)77
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q4 - 7:40MILBayless 14' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mayo 6 AST)77
9.3%
81
90.7%
Q4 - 7:52MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q4 - 7:53SASMISS Diaw 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot75
6.8%
81
93.2%
Q4 - 8:13MILBayless 2' Layup (9 PTS)75
6.3%
81
93.7%
Q4 - 8:34SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)73
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 8:52MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q4 - 8:52MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)72
7.7%
78
92.3%
Q4 - 9:08SASDiaw 2' Layup (14 PTS)71
6.9%
78
93.1%
Q4 - 9:11SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q4 - 9:12SASMISS Diaw 8' Floating Jump Shot71
10.0%
76
90.0%
Q4 - 9:29SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q4 - 9:29MILMISS Mayo 12' Jump Shot71
9.1%
76
90.9%
Q4 - 9:55SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)71
10.6%
76
89.4%
Q4 - 9:55SASSplitter 1' Layup (8 PTS)71
10.6%
76
89.4%
Q4 - 9:56SASMISS Green 8' Running Jump Shot71
15.1%
74
84.9%
Q4 - 10:06SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q4 - 10:07MILMISS Knight 7' Jump Shot71
14.1%
74
85.9%
Q4 - 10:20SASDiaw 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Green 3 AST)71
16.2%
74
83.8%
Q4 - 10:30MILMartin 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Mayo 5 AST)71
19.3%
72
80.7%
Q4 - 10:46MILHenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)69
16.2%
72
83.8%
Q4 - 10:47MILMISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot69
14.1%
72
85.9%
Q4 - 11:14SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)69
16.4%
72
83.6%
Q4 - 11:41MILDudley 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)69
23.0%
69
77.0%
Q4 - 11:47SASDiaw Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)67
19.6%
69
80.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS67
16.3%
69
83.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound67
16.3%
69
83.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot67
18.4%
69
81.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)67
16.4%
69
83.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILBucks Rebound67
19.3%
69
80.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)67
17.3%
69
82.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
19.4%
69
80.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
20.0%
68
80.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)67
22.8%
67
77.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
25.4%
67
74.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILDudley 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 4 AST)67
22.8%
67
77.2%
Q3 - 1:01SASSplitter 1' Layup (6 PTS)65
19.1%
67
80.9%
Q3 - 1:02SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
22.2%
65
77.8%
Q3 - 1:03SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
24.7%
65
75.3%
Q3 - 1:16SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
22.2%
65
77.8%
Q3 - 1:17MILMISS Bayless 17' Pullup Jump Shot65
23.3%
65
76.7%
Q3 - 1:32MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
25.9%
65
74.1%
Q3 - 1:33MILMISS Dudley 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
23.3%
65
76.7%
Q3 - 1:49SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
25.9%
65
74.1%
Q3 - 1:49SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 265
26.5%
64
73.5%
Q3 - 2:08MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)65
24.9%
64
75.1%
Q3 - 2:32MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
28.8%
64
71.2%
Q3 - 2:33SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 265
28.3%
64
71.7%
Q3 - 2:33SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)65
25.8%
64
74.2%
Q3 - 2:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
28.6%
63
71.4%
Q3 - 2:46MILDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)65
29.8%
63
70.2%
Q3 - 3:01SASDuncan 2' Reverse Layup (18 PTS)65
31.9%
63
68.1%
Q3 - 3:05SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)65
35.6%
61
64.4%
Q3 - 3:06SASMISS Diaw 3' Layup65
38.7%
61
61.3%
Q3 - 3:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
35.6%
61
64.4%
Q3 - 3:15MILMISS Knight 2' Driving Layup65
36.9%
61
63.1%
Q3 - 3:29SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)65
40.1%
61
59.9%
Q3 - 3:38MILDudley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 3 AST)65
35.6%
61
64.4%
Q3 - 4:00SASLeonard 20' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
28.2%
61
71.8%
Q3 - 4:09SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
30.4%
59
69.6%
Q3 - 4:09MILMISS Knight 16' Jump Shot62
31.8%
59
68.2%
Q3 - 4:29SASDiaw 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)62
35.0%
59
65.0%
Q3 - 4:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)62
38.2%
57
61.8%
Q3 - 4:45MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
43.2%
57
56.8%
Q3 - 4:45MILMISS Henson 1' Tip Shot62
39.7%
57
60.3%
Q3 - 4:46MILMISS Middleton 2' Layup62
39.7%
57
60.3%
Q3 - 5:08SASLeonard Driving Dunk (8 PTS)62
41.5%
57
58.5%
Q3 - 5:26MILDuncan STEAL (1 STL)62
45.0%
55
55.0%
Q3 - 5:41SASDuncan 2' Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)62
49.8%
55
50.2%
Q3 - 5:50SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
53.3%
53
46.7%
Q3 - 5:51SASMISS Joseph 11' Floating Jump Shot62
56.5%
53
43.5%
Q3 - 5:58SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
53.3%
53
46.7%
Q3 - 6:00MILDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)62
54.7%
53
45.3%
Q3 - 6:01MILKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
55.5%
53
44.5%
Q3 - 6:02MILDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)62
52.3%
53
47.7%
Q3 - 6:03MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
55.5%
53
44.5%
Q3 - 6:04MILLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)62
52.3%
53
47.7%
Q3 - 6:24SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
55.6%
53
44.4%
Q3 - 6:24SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)62
56.3%
52
43.7%
Q3 - 6:34MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
59.0%
51
41.0%
Q3 - 6:34MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 1 of 261
58.3%
51
41.7%
Q3 - 6:50MILBucks Rebound61
59.6%
51
40.4%
Q3 - 6:51SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot61
58.2%
51
41.8%
Q3 - 7:05MILBucks Turnover: Backcourt (T#17)61
53.1%
51
46.9%
Q3 - 7:11MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
57.4%
51
42.6%
Q3 - 7:12SASMISS Joseph 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
56.1%
51
43.9%
Q3 - 7:29MILIlyasova 2' Layup (10 PTS)61
53.2%
51
46.8%
Q3 - 7:31MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
49.9%
51
50.1%
Q3 - 7:32MILMISS Middleton 15' Jump Shot59
46.9%
51
53.1%
Q3 - 7:52SASDiaw 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)59
49.9%
51
50.1%
Q3 - 8:12MILMiddleton 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)59
51.6%
49
48.4%
Q3 - 8:26MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
48.6%
49
51.4%
Q3 - 8:27SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup57
47.3%
49
52.7%
Q3 - 8:37MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P2.T16)57
44.3%
49
55.7%
Q3 - 8:54SASParker 3' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)57
48.6%
49
51.4%
Q3 - 9:00MILLeonard STEAL (3 STL)57
51.8%
47
48.2%
Q3 - 9:19MILBucks Rebound57
53.7%
47
46.3%
Q3 - 9:19SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup57
52.6%
47
47.4%
Q3 - 9:38SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
50.0%
47
50.0%
Q3 - 9:39SASMISS Bonner 22' Jump Shot57
52.7%
47
47.3%
Q3 - 9:49SASSPURS Rebound57
50.1%
47
49.9%
Q3 - 9:50MILMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
51.2%
47
48.8%
Q3 - 10:08MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
51.7%
47
48.3%
Q3 - 10:09SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
50.7%
47
49.3%
Q3 - 10:25MILLeonard STEAL (2 STL)57
48.2%
47
51.8%
Q3 - 10:32MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
51.8%
47
48.2%
Q3 - 10:33SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot57
50.7%
47
49.3%
Q3 - 10:44MILKnight Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)57
48.3%
47
51.7%
Q3 - 10:49MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
51.9%
47
48.1%
Q3 - 10:50SASMISS Parker 6' Floating Jump Shot57
50.8%
47
49.2%
Q3 - 11:08MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
46.0%
47
54.0%
Q3 - 11:08MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
45.4%
47
54.6%
Q3 - 11:17MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
42.8%
47
57.2%
Q3 - 11:18MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
40.5%
47
59.5%
Q3 - 11:33MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
42.9%
47
57.1%
Q3 - 11:34SASMISS Bonner 14' Jump Shot55
41.8%
47
58.2%
Q3 - 11:47SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
39.5%
47
60.5%
Q3 - 11:48MILMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot55
40.6%
47
59.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS55
43.0%
47
57.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound55
39.5%
47
60.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Knight 14' Pullup Jump Shot55
39.4%
47
60.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
41.0%
47
59.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASMISS Ginobili 13' Jump Shot55
40.3%
47
59.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
38.8%
47
61.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0MILMISS Knight 2' Layup55
39.5%
47
60.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)55
41.1%
47
58.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0MILAntetokounmpo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)55
38.8%
47
61.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)55
41.1%
47
58.9%
Q2 - 1:02MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)55
38.4%
47
61.6%
Q2 - 1:09SASBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
31.3%
47
68.7%
Q2 - 1:09SASBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
31.8%
46
68.2%
Q2 - 1:16SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
35.4%
45
64.6%
Q2 - 1:17MILMISS Ilyasova 20' Jump Shot52
35.9%
45
64.1%
Q2 - 1:35SASDuncan 6' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)52
37.1%
45
62.9%
Q2 - 1:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)52
41.5%
43
58.5%
Q2 - 1:58SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
42.7%
43
57.3%
Q2 - 2:17SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
39.6%
43
60.4%
Q2 - 2:18MILMISS Mayo 17' Jump Shot52
40.5%
43
59.5%
Q2 - 2:23MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
42.5%
43
57.5%
Q2 - 2:24MILMISS Ilyasova 23' Jump Shot52
40.5%
43
59.5%
Q2 - 2:41SASBaynes Dunk (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)52
42.5%
43
57.5%
Q2 - 2:55SASSPURS Rebound52
45.8%
41
54.2%
Q2 - 2:56SASMISS Baynes 2' Reverse Layup52
47.8%
41
52.2%
Q2 - 3:09MILPachulia Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Middleton 2 AST)52
43.5%
41
56.5%
Q2 - 3:14MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
41.1%
41
58.9%
Q2 - 3:15MILMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
38.8%
41
61.2%
Q2 - 3:22MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
41.1%
41
58.9%
Q2 - 3:23SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot50
40.1%
41
59.9%
Q2 - 3:38MILPachulia 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)50
37.9%
41
62.1%
Q2 - 3:51SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
35.5%
41
64.5%
Q2 - 3:51SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 248
36.1%
40
63.9%
Q2 - 3:55MILParker STEAL (1 STL)48
35.1%
40
64.9%
Q2 - 4:10SASBonner 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)48
36.6%
40
63.4%
Q2 - 4:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
39.3%
38
60.7%
Q2 - 4:23MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 2 of 248
39.7%
38
60.3%
Q2 - 4:23MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
41.5%
38
58.5%
Q2 - 4:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
39.4%
38
60.6%
Q2 - 4:43SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)47
39.4%
38
60.6%
Q2 - 4:44SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot47
44.2%
36
55.8%
Q2 - 4:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
42.1%
36
57.9%
Q2 - 4:47SASMISS Leonard 18' Jump Shot47
44.2%
36
55.8%
Q2 - 5:01MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mayo 4 AST)47
41.1%
36
58.9%
Q2 - 5:12SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)44
35.8%
36
64.2%
Q2 - 5:15SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
41.1%
33
58.9%
Q2 - 5:16SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
43.0%
33
57.0%
Q2 - 5:29MILPachulia 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)44
41.2%
33
58.8%
Q2 - 5:51SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T8)42
38.5%
33
61.5%
Q2 - 6:07MILMiddleton 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)42
34.8%
33
65.2%
Q2 - 6:19SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
30.5%
33
69.5%
Q2 - 6:19SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
30.9%
32
69.1%
Q2 - 6:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
32.4%
31
67.6%
Q2 - 6:38MILMISS Mayo 3PT Jump Shot39
33.3%
31
66.7%
Q2 - 6:48MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
35.4%
31
64.6%
Q2 - 6:49SASMISS Green 15' Jump Shot39
34.4%
31
65.6%
Q2 - 7:02MILMayo 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)39
31.7%
31
68.3%
Q2 - 7:06SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)37
29.6%
31
70.4%
Q2 - 7:27MILGreen STEAL (3 STL)37
27.3%
31
72.7%
Q2 - 7:40SASDiaw 3' Running Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Green 2 AST)37
29.7%
31
70.3%
Q2 - 7:59MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q2 - 7:59MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
31.5%
29
68.5%
Q2 - 8:03MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
28.8%
29
71.2%
Q2 - 8:04SASMISS Green 2' Layup35
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 8:06MILGreen STEAL (2 STL)35
26.6%
29
73.4%
Q2 - 8:07MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)35
28.8%
29
71.2%
Q2 - 8:08SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 8:28MILDudley Foul Turnover (P2.T8)35
26.7%
29
73.3%
Q2 - 8:40SASGinobili 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST)35
28.8%
29
71.2%
Q2 - 8:55MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q2 - 8:55MILAntetokounmpo 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)35
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q2 - 8:57MILMISS Henson 2' Layup33
27.3%
27
72.7%
Q2 - 9:17MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
28.0%
27
72.0%
Q2 - 9:20SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot33
27.3%
27
72.7%
Q2 - 9:43MILHenson 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)33
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q2 - 10:03MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
24.2%
27
75.8%
Q2 - 10:04SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
23.6%
27
76.4%
Q2 - 10:20MILMayo 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)31
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q2 - 10:31SASSplitter 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)28
19.1%
27
80.9%
Q2 - 10:40MILHenson 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)28
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q2 - 10:54SASDiaw 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)26
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q2 - 11:09MILMayo 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)26
20.4%
23
79.6%
Q2 - 11:25SASDiaw 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)24
18.9%
23
81.1%
Q2 - 11:28SASSPURS Rebound24
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q2 - 11:29SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup24
21.6%
21
78.4%
Q2 - 11:35SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q2 - 11:36SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
21.6%
21
78.4%
Q2 - 11:50MILBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)24
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL24
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q1 - 0:10.0MILDudley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)24
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
21.5%
21
78.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot24
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASMills 9' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)24
21.6%
21
78.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0MILSplitter STEAL (1 STL)24
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 1:03SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)24
24.5%
19
75.5%
Q1 - 1:12SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 1:13MILMISS Mayo 7' Jump Shot24
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 1:26SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
24.5%
19
75.5%
Q1 - 1:26SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
25.0%
18
75.0%
Q1 - 1:38MILLeonard STEAL (1 STL)24
26.7%
17
73.3%
Q1 - 1:44MILBucks Rebound24
28.1%
17
71.9%
Q1 - 1:44MILMISS Knight 21' Jump Shot24
27.1%
17
72.9%
Q1 - 2:13SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)24
28.1%
17
71.9%
Q1 - 2:30MILKnight Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)24
32.0%
14
68.0%
Q1 - 2:42SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
34.0%
14
66.0%
Q1 - 2:42SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
34.3%
13
65.7%
Q1 - 3:00MILIlyasova 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)24
36.2%
12
63.8%
Q1 - 3:07MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
33.2%
12
66.8%
Q1 - 3:08SASMISS Leonard 9' Driving Jump Shot22
32.5%
12
67.5%
Q1 - 3:29MILKnight 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
31.1%
12
68.9%
Q1 - 3:37MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 3:38SASMISS Leonard 7' Jump Shot19
27.0%
12
73.0%
Q1 - 3:57MILKnight 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
25.7%
12
74.3%
Q1 - 4:10SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)17
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 4:19MILAntetokounmpo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)17
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 4:36MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.7%
12
79.3%
Q1 - 4:37SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup15
20.2%
12
79.8%
Q1 - 4:53MILPachulia 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)15
19.1%
12
80.9%
Q1 - 5:11MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
17.6%
12
82.4%
Q1 - 5:12SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
17.2%
12
82.8%
Q1 - 5:31MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)13
16.3%
12
83.7%
Q1 - 5:42SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T4)10
14.3%
12
85.7%
Q1 - 5:55MILMiddleton 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)10
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 6:00SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)8
12.3%
12
87.7%
Q1 - 6:15MILKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
11.4%
12
88.6%
Q1 - 6:28SASDuncan 2' Layup (7 PTS)8
12.3%
12
87.7%
Q1 - 6:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
13.1%
10
86.9%
Q1 - 6:30SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup8
13.8%
10
86.2%
Q1 - 6:57MILKnight 2' Layup (2 PTS)8
13.1%
10
86.9%
Q1 - 7:02MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
12.2%
10
87.8%
Q1 - 7:03SASMISS Parker 3' Layup6
11.9%
10
88.1%
Q1 - 7:09SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11.2%
10
88.8%
Q1 - 7:10MILMISS Pachulia 2' Layup6
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 7:21MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
12.2%
10
87.8%
Q1 - 7:22SASMISS Green 20' Jump Shot6
11.9%
10
88.1%
Q1 - 7:43SASSPURS Rebound6
11.2%
10
88.8%
Q1 - 7:45MILMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot6
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 7:54MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
12.2%
10
87.8%
Q1 - 7:55SASMISS Parker 2' Reverse Layup6
11.9%
10
88.1%
Q1 - 8:10MILIlyasova 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)6
11.1%
10
88.9%
Q1 - 8:25SASDuncan 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
10.4%
10
89.6%
Q1 - 8:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11.1%
8
88.9%
Q1 - 8:37MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 8:51SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
12.0%
8
88.0%
Q1 - 9:03SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.5%
5
86.5%
Q1 - 9:04MILMISS Pachulia 2' Layup4
13.8%
5
86.2%
Q1 - 9:23SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 9:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.5%
5
86.5%
Q1 - 9:36MILMISS Middleton 17' Jump Shot4
13.8%
5
86.2%
Q1 - 9:49SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)4
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 10:14MILMiddleton 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)4
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 10:27SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 10:34SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 10:35MILMISS Antetokounmpo 2' Layup2
16.6%
0
83.4%
Q1 - 10:41SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
17.4%
0
82.6%
Q1 - 10:54MILMiddleton 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)2
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 11:06MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
15.0%
0
85.0%
Q1 - 11:07SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot0
14.7%
0
85.3%
Q1 - 11:23MILGreen STEAL (1 STL)0
14.1%
0
85.9%
Q1 - 11:39MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.0%
0
85.0%
Q1 - 11:40SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
14.7%
0
85.3%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Pachulia: Tip to Parker0
14.2%
0
85.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.5%
SAS
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
15
30
50%
SAS
23
35
66%
Midrange
MIL
16
35
46%
SAS
7
26
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
SAS
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
Free Throws
MIL
9
13
69%
SAS
26
30
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Middleton2175%10.5 / 14
J. Bayless1558%7.5 / 13
Z. Pachulia1250%6.0 / 12
E. Ilyasova1155%5.5 / 10
B. Knight1033%5.0 / 15
O. Mayo945%4.5 / 10
J. Dudley788%3.5 / 4
G. Antetokounmpo440%2.0 / 5
J. Henson450%2.0 / 4
K. Martin2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2077%10.0 / 13
K. Leonard1956%9.5 / 17
B. Diaw1464%7.0 / 11
M. Ginobili1354%6.5 / 12
T. Parker1033%5.0 / 15
T. Splitter8100%4.0 / 4
M. Bonner536%2.5 / 7
P. Mills563%2.5 / 4
A. Baynes467%2.0 / 3
D. Green317%1.5 / 9
C. Joseph0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
78
+15
-17
93
SAS
81
+18
-15
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.5%
SAS
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.1
108.5
MIL 100.0
SAS 105.2 +5.2
Pace
93.7
93.9
MIL 96.3 +1.5
SAS 94.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.7
MIL 15.0 +0.2
SAS 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
51.7%
MIL 52.4% +7.2%
SAS 45.2%
TO %
16.8%
14.2%
MIL 19.3%
SAS 13.5% +5.8%
ORB %
25.5%
23.4%
MIL 32.5%
SAS 32.6% +0.1%
FTrt
25.8
25.6
MIL 15.9
SAS 36.1 +20.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
62.3%
MIL 74.4% +11.5%
SAS 62.9%
STL %
10.1%
8.5%
MIL 12.6% +3.2%
SAS 9.4%
BLK %
8.6%
8.4%
MIL 8.2%
SAS 9.2% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
54.0%
MIL 50.5%
SAS 51.0% +0.5%
Rim FG%
56.4%
59.6%
MIL 50.0%
SAS 65.7% +15.7%
Mid FG%
40.4%
42.1%
MIL 45.7% +18.8%
SAS 26.9%
3P %
36.3%
36.7%
MIL 47.1% +24.4%
SAS 22.7%
FT %
75.7%
78.0%
MIL 69.2%
SAS 86.7% +17.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.8%
35.3%
MIL 36.6%
SAS 42.2% +5.6%
Mid Att. %
37.8%
37.8%
MIL 42.7%
SAS 31.3% +11.4%
3P Att. %
22.3%
26.9%
MIL 20.7%
SAS 26.5% +5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILSAS
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points95101
Rebounds4241
Assists2922
Steals129
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)17 (4)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)27 (3)
Field Goals39-8235-83
At-the-Rim FG15-3023-35
Midrange FG16-357-26
2-Point FG31-6530-61
3-Point FG8-175-22
Free Throws9-1326-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 182 · 23
35.0
10
33%
5
5
1
0
5
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-11
18%
2-4
50%
F · 6'11" 243 · 20
33.3
4
40%
7
5
2
0
2
4
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 222 · 23
30.0
21
75%
5
2
3
0
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
6-9
67%
3-5
60%
C · 6'11" 270 · 31
24.1
12
50%
6
3
1
1
0
3
3
3
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
22.9
11
55%
6
0
1
1
3
3
3
3
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
28.5
9
45%
2
7
1
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
22.7
15
58%
2
5
2
1
2
2
1
1
5-7
71%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 240 · 30
19.7
7
88%
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 229 · 24
16.8
4
50%
9
1
1
1
2
2
3
6
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 37
7.0
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 26
#5 · G · 6'4" 200 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F · 6'8" 250 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · F · 6'8" 246 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
51%
42
29
12
5
17
0
13
29
9-13
69%
31-65
48%
8-17
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.