FinalWin Prob.pScore
2618%94
85
282%107
99
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
91.49391.7
SAS logo SAS
105.39495.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL85
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0LALEllington 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (W. Johnson 4 AST)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASBonner 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)83
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0LALSacre Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0LALMISS Sacre Free Throw 1 of 282
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0LALHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17LALSacre Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17LALSacre Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35SASBonner 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)80
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43LALHill 15' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) (W. Johnson 3 AST)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19LALHill Dunk (8 PTS) (W. Johnson 2 AST)78
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24LALEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25SASMISS Diaw 7' Running Bank Hook Shot76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41LALEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Clarkson 4 AST)76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06SASGreen Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21LALMISS Clarkson Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21LALMISS Clarkson Free Throw 1 of 273
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31SASJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35LALSplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50SASGreen 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Joseph 3 AST)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11LALMISS W. Johnson 22' Jump Shot73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31LALLakers Rebound73
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 4:32SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 4:46SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47LALMISS Sacre 4' Jump Shot73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49LALSacre REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)73
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 4:50LALMISS Ellington 7' Driving Jump Shot73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13LALW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 5:14SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 5:31LALDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 5:31LALDavis Putback Dunk (6 PTS)73
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 5:32LALMISS Price 2' Driving Layup71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41LALBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 5:42SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 5:55SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56LALMISS Davis 11' Turnaround Jump Shot71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20SASLeonard 10' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)71
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 6:38SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)71
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 6:39LALMISS W. Johnson 3PT Step Back Jump Shot71
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 6:49LALPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 6:50SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 6:58SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)71
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 6:59LALMISS Price 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 7:06LALBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 7:07SASMISS Mills 17' Jump Shot71
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 7:20LALYoung 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Price 6 AST)71
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 7:27SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)68
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 7:35SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)68
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 7:36LALMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot68
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 7:51SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)68
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 7:55SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)68
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 7:56SASMISS Diaw 6' Jump Shot68
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 8:06LALW. Johnson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Price 5 AST)68
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 8:16SASSplitter Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)66
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 8:16SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)66
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 8:17SASMISS Joseph 2' Layup66
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 8:33SASSPURS Rebound66
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 8:33LALMISS Young 5' Jump Shot66
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 8:40SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)66
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 8:54LALLeonard STEAL (2 STL)66
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 9:07SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)66
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 9:11LALMills STEAL (1 STL)66
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q4 - 9:17SASDiaw 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)66
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 9:37SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)66
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 9:38LALMISS W. Johnson 8' Jump Shot66
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q4 - 9:53SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)66
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q4 - 10:07LALW. Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)66
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q4 - 10:23SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)63
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 10:33SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 10:34SASMISS Diaw 18' Jump Shot63
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q4 - 11:02LALBoozer 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Price 4 AST)63
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q4 - 11:12LALBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q4 - 11:13SASMISS Baynes 2' Reverse Layup61
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q4 - 11:33LALGinobili STEAL (2 STL)61
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL61
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASGinobili 3' Driving Hook Shot (13 PTS)61
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0LALMISS Young 11' Fadeaway Jumper61
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0LALBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0SASMISS Splitter 2' Layup61
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASMISS Splitter 4' Jump Shot61
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASMISS Mills 19' Jump Shot61
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0SASSPURS Rebound61
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 1:01SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 1:04SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 1:06SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 261
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 1:06SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)61
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 1:17SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 1:18LALMISS Price 20' Jump Shot61
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 1:28LALDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 1:29SASMISS Splitter 3' Layup61
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q3 - 1:38SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 1:39SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 1:46SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 1:47LALMISS Davis 4' Jump Shot61
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 1:55SASSplitter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)61
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 2:17LALYoung 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Price 3 AST)61
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q3 - 2:24LALBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 2:25SASMISS Baynes Dunk58
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 2:37LALYoung 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Price 2 AST)58
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 3:03SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 3:03SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)56
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 3:14LALClarkson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)56
1.8%
71
98.2%
Q3 - 3:18SASGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)53
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 3:37SASSPURS Rebound53
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 3:37LALMISS Clarkson 7' Jump Shot53
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 4:00SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)53
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 4:17LALKelly Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)53
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q3 - 4:17LALMISS Kelly Free Throw 2 of 352
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q3 - 4:17LALKelly Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)52
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q3 - 4:34LALLakers Rebound51
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q3 - 4:34SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup51
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 4:39SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)51
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 4:41LALMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot51
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 4:58SASParker 2' Layup (17 PTS)51
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q3 - 5:05SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q3 - 5:06LALMISS Boozer 15' Jump Shot51
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q3 - 5:25LALHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 5:26SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot51
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 5:43LALHill 12' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q3 - 6:00SASDuncan 6' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)49
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 6:09SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 6:10LALMISS Sacre 16' Jump Shot49
2.3%
64
97.7%
Q3 - 6:26LALSacre REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q3 - 6:27SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot49
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 6:47LALEllington 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)49
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 7:01LALHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q3 - 7:01SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 247
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q3 - 7:01SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q3 - 7:08SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)47
2.0%
63
98.0%
Q3 - 7:09LALMISS Clarkson 18' Jump Shot47
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q3 - 7:30SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)47
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q3 - 7:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
3.1%
60
96.9%
Q3 - 7:34SASMISS Leonard 4' Driving Jump Shot47
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 7:43SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
3.1%
60
96.9%
Q3 - 7:44LALMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot47
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q3 - 7:59LALEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
3.7%
60
96.3%
Q3 - 8:00SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 8:11LALHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
3.2%
60
96.8%
Q3 - 8:11LALHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)46
3.1%
60
96.9%
Q3 - 8:19LALLakers Rebound45
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 8:20LALMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot45
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q3 - 8:36SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 8:36SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
2.9%
59
97.1%
Q3 - 8:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
3.2%
58
96.8%
Q3 - 8:51LALMISS Kelly Free Throw 2 of 245
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q3 - 8:51LALKelly Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q3 - 9:02LALSacre REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q3 - 9:03SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
3.2%
58
96.8%
Q3 - 9:18SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q3 - 9:19LALMISS Ellington 19' Jump Shot44
3.0%
58
97.0%
Q3 - 9:31LALLakers Rebound44
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q3 - 9:32SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot44
3.2%
58
96.8%
Q3 - 9:49LALHill Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)44
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q3 - 9:50LALHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q3 - 9:51LALMISS Kelly 20' Jump Shot44
3.0%
58
97.0%
Q3 - 9:58LALSacre REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)44
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q3 - 9:59LALMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot44
3.0%
58
97.0%
Q3 - 10:08LALKelly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q3 - 10:09SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot44
3.2%
58
96.8%
Q3 - 10:23LALHill 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Clarkson 3 AST)44
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q3 - 10:34LALClarkson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
2.5%
58
97.5%
Q3 - 10:35SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
2.4%
58
97.6%
Q3 - 10:53LALKelly 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)42
2.2%
58
97.8%
Q3 - 11:12SASParker 1' Layup (12 PTS)40
2.0%
58
98.0%
Q3 - 11:24LALKelly 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)40
2.3%
56
97.7%
Q3 - 11:43LALHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q3 - 11:44SASMISS Leonard 18' Jump Shot38
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS38
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0LALBoozer 14' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0LALLakers Rebound36
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
1.6%
56
98.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0LALGinobili STEAL (1 STL)36
1.5%
56
98.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0LALEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0LALMISS Kelly 17' Jump Shot36
1.6%
56
98.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0SASGinobili 6' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)36
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q2 - 1:08LALBoozer 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q2 - 1:30SASJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q2 - 1:30SASMISS Joseph Free Throw 1 of 234
1.8%
53
98.2%
Q2 - 1:38LALEllington 22' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
1.9%
53
98.1%
Q2 - 1:53SASLeonard 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)32
1.6%
53
98.4%
Q2 - 2:08SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
1.9%
51
98.1%
Q2 - 2:09LALMISS Ellington 19' Pullup Jump Shot32
2.0%
51
98.0%
Q2 - 2:38SASGinobili 3' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q2 - 2:49LALBoozer 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Clarkson 2 AST)32
2.4%
49
97.6%
Q2 - 2:54LALKelly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
2.2%
49
97.8%
Q2 - 2:55SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
2.1%
49
97.9%
Q2 - 3:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
2.0%
49
98.0%
Q2 - 3:06LALMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot30
2.1%
49
97.9%
Q2 - 3:26SASDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
2.3%
49
97.7%
Q2 - 3:26SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
2.3%
48
97.7%
Q2 - 3:41SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
2.5%
47
97.5%
Q2 - 3:42SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
2.8%
47
97.2%
Q2 - 4:07LALClarkson 2' Layup (8 PTS)30
2.7%
47
97.3%
Q2 - 4:22SASGreen Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)28
2.4%
47
97.6%
Q2 - 4:37LALEllington 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Clarkson 1 AST)28
2.1%
47
97.9%
Q2 - 4:51LALEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
1.9%
47
98.1%
Q2 - 4:52SASMISS Duncan 8' Floating Jump Shot26
1.8%
47
98.2%
Q2 - 5:13LALSacre 3' Layup (4 PTS)26
1.8%
47
98.2%
Q2 - 5:17LALSacre REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
1.6%
47
98.4%
Q2 - 5:18LALMISS Clarkson 9' Jump Shot24
1.5%
47
98.5%
Q2 - 5:33SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
1.6%
47
98.4%
Q2 - 5:33SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)24
1.6%
46
98.4%
Q2 - 5:46SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
1.8%
45
98.2%
Q2 - 5:47LALMISS W. Johnson 12' Jump Shot24
1.8%
45
98.2%
Q2 - 6:09SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)24
2.1%
45
97.9%
Q2 - 6:09SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)24
2.2%
44
97.8%
Q2 - 6:17SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
2.3%
43
97.7%
Q2 - 6:18LALMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot24
2.4%
43
97.6%
Q2 - 6:37SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)24
2.6%
43
97.4%
Q2 - 6:37SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 224
2.7%
42
97.3%
Q2 - 6:47LALDavis Layup (4 PTS) (W. Johnson 1 AST)24
2.6%
42
97.4%
Q2 - 7:04LALLakers Rebound22
2.5%
42
97.5%
Q2 - 7:05SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 122
2.4%
42
97.6%
Q2 - 7:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
2.7%
40
97.3%
Q2 - 7:16LALMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
2.8%
40
97.2%
Q2 - 7:29SASParker 20' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)22
3.0%
40
97.0%
Q2 - 7:43LALYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)22
3.3%
38
96.7%
Q2 - 7:43LALYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
3.3%
38
96.7%
Q2 - 7:52LALW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
3.0%
38
97.0%
Q2 - 7:54SASMISS Bonner 14' Jump Shot20
2.9%
38
97.1%
Q2 - 8:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
2.8%
38
97.2%
Q2 - 8:06LALMISS Young 1' Layup20
2.9%
38
97.1%
Q2 - 8:24SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)20
3.1%
38
96.9%
Q2 - 8:31SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
3.4%
36
96.6%
Q2 - 8:32LALMISS Boozer 7' Jump Shot20
3.5%
36
96.5%
Q2 - 8:44LALW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
3.8%
36
96.2%
Q2 - 8:45SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot20
3.7%
36
96.3%
Q2 - 9:08LALW. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
3.5%
36
96.5%
Q2 - 9:08LALMISS W. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 219
3.4%
36
96.6%
Q2 - 9:22SASGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T2)19
3.5%
36
96.5%
Q2 - 9:37LALDavis 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Price 1 AST)19
3.1%
36
96.9%
Q2 - 10:02LALBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
3.0%
36
97.0%
Q2 - 10:03SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 217
2.9%
36
97.1%
Q2 - 10:03SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
2.8%
36
97.2%
Q2 - 10:15LALBoozer 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
2.9%
35
97.1%
Q2 - 10:39SASGinobili 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)15
2.7%
35
97.3%
Q2 - 10:58SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
2.9%
33
97.1%
Q2 - 10:59LALMISS Young 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot15
3.0%
33
97.0%
Q2 - 11:16SASBaynes 1' Layup (6 PTS)15
3.4%
33
96.6%
Q2 - 11:18SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
3.7%
31
96.3%
Q2 - 11:19SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
4.0%
31
96.0%
Q2 - 11:25SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
3.7%
31
96.3%
Q2 - 11:26LALMISS Boozer 19' Jump Shot15
3.8%
31
96.2%
Q2 - 11:45LALDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
4.1%
31
95.9%
Q2 - 11:46SASMISS Baynes 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot15
4.0%
31
96.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS15
3.7%
31
96.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound15
3.7%
31
96.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Joseph 5' Jump Shot15
4.0%
31
96.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
3.9%
31
96.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0LALMISS Price 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
4.0%
31
96.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0LALW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
4.2%
31
95.8%
Q1 - 0:23.0SASMISS Baynes 9' Running Bank Shot15
4.1%
31
95.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0LALBoozer Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)15
3.9%
31
96.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 2 AST)15
4.2%
31
95.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0LALYoung 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)15
5.1%
28
94.9%
Q1 - 1:03LALDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
4.2%
28
95.8%
Q1 - 1:04LALMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
4.0%
28
96.0%
Q1 - 1:22SASJoseph 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)12
4.2%
28
95.8%
Q1 - 1:36LALYoung 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
5.2%
25
94.8%
Q1 - 1:49LALBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
4.6%
25
95.4%
Q1 - 1:50SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
4.5%
25
95.5%
Q1 - 2:07LALYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
4.3%
25
95.7%
Q1 - 2:07LALYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
4.3%
25
95.7%
Q1 - 2:30SASBaynes 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)8
4.0%
25
96.0%
Q1 - 2:39SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
4.3%
23
95.7%
Q1 - 2:40LALMISS W. Johnson 17' Jump Shot8
4.5%
23
95.5%
Q1 - 3:05SASBaynes Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)8
4.8%
23
95.2%
Q1 - 3:15SASSPURS Rebound8
5.2%
21
94.8%
Q1 - 3:15SASMISS Splitter 2' Layup8
5.5%
21
94.5%
Q1 - 3:15SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
5.2%
21
94.8%
Q1 - 3:16SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot8
5.5%
21
94.5%
Q1 - 3:24SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
5.2%
21
94.8%
Q1 - 3:25LALMISS Boozer 13' Pullup Jump Shot8
5.3%
21
94.7%
Q1 - 3:41SASLeonard Dunk (7 PTS)8
5.7%
21
94.3%
Q1 - 3:45LALLeonard STEAL (1 STL)8
6.1%
19
93.9%
Q1 - 3:54SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)8
6.7%
19
93.3%
Q1 - 3:54SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 28
6.8%
18
93.2%
Q1 - 3:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
6.7%
18
93.3%
Q1 - 3:58LALMISS Sacre 13' Turnaround Jump Shot8
6.9%
18
93.1%
Q1 - 4:22SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)8
7.3%
18
92.7%
Q1 - 4:35SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
8.5%
15
91.5%
Q1 - 4:36SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup8
9.1%
15
90.9%
Q1 - 4:46LALClarkson 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
8.5%
15
91.5%
Q1 - 4:59LALSacre REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
7.9%
15
92.1%
Q1 - 5:00SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot6
7.7%
15
92.3%
Q1 - 5:09SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
7.4%
15
92.6%
Q1 - 5:11LALDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)6
7.6%
15
92.4%
Q1 - 5:16LALEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
8.1%
15
91.9%
Q1 - 5:18SASMISS Parker 3' Layup6
7.9%
15
92.1%
Q1 - 5:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
7.4%
15
92.6%
Q1 - 5:25LALMISS Sacre 7' Jump Hook Shot6
7.6%
15
92.4%
Q1 - 5:50SASLeonard 10' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
8.1%
15
91.9%
Q1 - 6:13LALSacre 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)6
8.7%
13
91.3%
Q1 - 6:32SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)4
8.2%
13
91.8%
Q1 - 6:43SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
8.7%
11
91.3%
Q1 - 6:44LALMISS Clarkson 2' Layup4
9.0%
11
91.0%
Q1 - 6:49LALClarkson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
9.5%
11
90.5%
Q1 - 6:51SASMISS Leonard Alley Oop Dunk4
9.2%
11
90.8%
Q1 - 6:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
8.7%
11
91.3%
Q1 - 6:58LALGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)4
9.0%
11
91.0%
Q1 - 7:20SASParker 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)4
9.4%
11
90.6%
Q1 - 7:31SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.0%
9
90.0%
Q1 - 7:31LALMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot4
10.2%
9
89.8%
Q1 - 7:50SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
10.8%
9
89.2%
Q1 - 8:04LALClarkson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
9.9%
9
90.1%
Q1 - 8:11LALKelly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.2%
9
90.8%
Q1 - 8:12SASMISS Parker 2' Layup2
9.0%
9
91.0%
Q1 - 8:25LALClarkson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
8.6%
9
91.4%
Q1 - 8:39LALEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.0%
9
92.0%
Q1 - 8:40SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot0
7.9%
9
92.1%
Q1 - 9:03SASSPURS Rebound0
7.4%
9
92.6%
Q1 - 9:04LALMISS Sacre 15' Jump Shot0
7.6%
9
92.4%
Q1 - 9:20SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)0
8.0%
9
92.0%
Q1 - 9:31SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.5%
7
91.5%
Q1 - 9:32LALDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)0
8.7%
7
91.3%
Q1 - 9:49SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)0
9.2%
7
90.8%
Q1 - 10:03LALHill Foul Turnover (P1.T2)0
9.8%
5
90.2%
Q1 - 10:19SASDuncan 7' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
10.5%
5
89.5%
Q1 - 10:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.2%
3
88.8%
Q1 - 10:35LALMISS Ellington 22' Jump Shot0
11.4%
3
88.6%
Q1 - 10:53SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
12.0%
3
88.0%
Q1 - 11:02SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:03LALMISS Sacre 13' Jump Shot0
13.7%
0
86.3%
Q1 - 11:20LALClarkson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.3%
0
85.7%
Q1 - 11:21SASMISS Parker 4' Floating Jump Shot0
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 11:34LALLakers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:34LALSacre REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
14.3%
0
85.7%
Q1 - 11:34LALMISS Hill 5' Running Bank Shot0
13.7%
0
86.3%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Hill: Tip to Clarkson0
14.3%
0
85.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.89 44.7%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
14
24
58%
SAS
15
30
50%
Midrange
LAL
14
46
30%
SAS
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
SAS
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
Free Throws
LAL
14
20
70%
SAS
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Young1765%8.5 / 13
J. Clarkson1155%5.5 / 10
W. Ellington1146%5.5 / 12
J. Hill1038%5.0 / 13
C. Boozer1050%5.0 / 10
R. Sacre735%3.5 / 10
R. Kelly758%3.5 / 6
W. Johnson633%3.0 / 9
E. Davis660%3.0 / 5
R. Price0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker1753%8.5 / 16
K. Leonard1558%7.5 / 13
M. Ginobili1575%7.5 / 10
T. Duncan1464%7.0 / 11
C. Joseph975%4.5 / 6
D. Green750%3.5 / 7
A. Baynes643%3.0 / 7
P. Mills650%3.0 / 6
M. Bonner440%2.0 / 5
B. Diaw422%2.0 / 9
T. Splitter217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
85
+9
-8
94
SAS
84
+15
-10
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.89 44.7%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
108.5
LAL 91.4 +13.9
SAS 105.3
Pace
94.0
93.9
LAL 91.7
SAS 95.9 +4.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.7
LAL 15.7
SAS 15.0 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
51.7%
LAL 42.8%
SAS 47.0% +4.2%
TO %
13.3%
14.2%
LAL 8.9% +1.4%
SAS 10.3%
ORB %
25.4%
23.4%
LAL 16.7%
SAS 27.3% +10.6%
FTrt
27.6
25.6
LAL 24.1
SAS 32.1 +8.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
62.3%
LAL 54.5% +1.7%
SAS 52.8%
STL %
7.4%
8.5%
LAL 4.3%
SAS 5.3% +1.0%
BLK %
7.5%
8.4%
LAL 6.7% +1.0%
SAS 5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.9%
54.0%
LAL 44.7%
SAS 50.0% +5.3%
Rim FG%
58.0%
59.6%
LAL 58.3% +8.3%
SAS 50.0%
Mid FG%
36.9%
42.1%
LAL 30.4%
SAS 46.7% +16.3%
3P %
34.4%
36.7%
LAL 38.5% +9.3%
SAS 29.2%
FT %
74.1%
78.0%
LAL 70.0%
SAS 74.1% +4.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
35.3%
LAL 28.9%
SAS 35.7% +6.8%
Mid Att. %
44.2%
37.8%
LAL 55.4%
SAS 35.7% +19.7%
3P Att. %
22.0%
26.9%
LAL 15.7%
SAS 28.6% +12.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsLALSAS
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes24.423.5
Points8599
Rebounds4052
Assists1819
Steals45
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (5)40 (3)
Field Goals33-8336-84
At-the-Rim FG14-2415-30
Midrange FG14-4614-30
2-Point FG28-7029-60
3-Point FG5-137-24
Free Throws14-2020-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 194 · 23
29.3
11
55%
3
4
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-3
33%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 27
27.6
11
46%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 270 · 26
26.0
7
35%
7
0
0
0
0
3
4
3
3-4
75%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
22.6
10
38%
5
1
0
0
2
4
1
4
2-2
100%
4-12
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 230 · 24
21.6
7
58%
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 28
26.4
6
33%
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 258 · 33
25.7
10
50%
7
0
0
1
2
4
0
7
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26
21.7
6
60%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30
20.4
17
65%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
3-6
50%
G · 6'2" 190 · 32
18.7
0
0%
1
6
3
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 36
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23
#10 · G · 6'3" 178 · 41
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 6'9" 250 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
45%
40
18
4
4
8
0
8
32
14-20
70%
28-70
40%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.