FinalWin Prob.pScore
2238%91
87
1562%95
89
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
92.69497.9
MIA logo MIA
96.79288.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0IND87
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound87
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0INDMISS Watson 20' Jump Shot87
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)87
12.6%
89
87.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 287
15.7%
88
84.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDG. Hill 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)87
11.8%
88
88.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)85
7.0%
88
93.0%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDMISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)85
13.6%
88
86.4%
Q4 - 1:06INDBosh STEAL (1 STL)85
23.2%
86
76.8%
Q4 - 1:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T17)85
38.2%
86
61.8%
Q4 - 1:39INDMahinmi 2' Layup (8 PTS) (West 2 AST)85
26.2%
86
73.8%
Q4 - 1:48INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
19.1%
86
80.9%
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot83
16.7%
86
83.3%
Q4 - 2:11INDMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)83
12.4%
86
87.6%
Q4 - 2:30MIABosh 10' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)80
6.6%
86
93.4%
Q4 - 2:55INDWest 8' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Sloan 1 AST)80
9.6%
84
90.4%
Q4 - 3:12INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
7.5%
84
92.5%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper78
6.3%
84
93.7%
Q4 - 3:33INDStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)78
6.7%
84
93.3%
Q4 - 3:41INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q4 - 3:42MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 4:00MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)75
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 4:20MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)75
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 4:21INDMISS Rudez 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 4:34MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)75
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 4:47MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)75
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 4:49INDMISS G. Hill Free Throw 2 of 275
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 4:49INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 5:13MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)74
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q4 - 5:36INDG. Hill 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
5.7%
81
94.3%
Q4 - 6:01MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)72
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q4 - 6:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
9.2%
78
90.8%
Q4 - 6:14INDMISS Sloan 18' Pullup Jump Shot72
10.1%
78
89.9%
Q4 - 6:25MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)72
12.4%
78
87.6%
Q4 - 6:41MIAHEAT Rebound72
9.1%
78
90.9%
Q4 - 6:42INDMISS Stuckey 10' Pullup Jump Shot72
10.0%
78
90.0%
Q4 - 6:55INDSloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
12.4%
78
87.6%
Q4 - 6:56MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup72
11.3%
78
88.7%
Q4 - 7:02INDCole STEAL (1 STL)72
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q4 - 7:08INDPacers Rebound72
13.7%
78
86.3%
Q4 - 7:08INDMISS Stuckey 2' Driving Layup72
11.4%
78
88.6%
Q4 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
13.7%
78
86.3%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 272
14.4%
77
85.6%
Q4 - 7:39INDMahinmi 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS)72
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q4 - 8:08MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)70
12.0%
77
88.0%
Q4 - 8:09MIAHEAT Rebound70
9.5%
77
90.5%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q4 - 8:36INDScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
9.4%
77
90.6%
Q4 - 8:36INDScola 2' Layup (14 PTS)70
9.4%
77
90.6%
Q4 - 8:37INDMISS Rudez 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q4 - 8:42INDSloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
7.5%
77
92.5%
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup68
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q4 - 8:57INDSloan Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T16)68
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q4 - 8:57INDSloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q4 - 8:58MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot68
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q4 - 9:27MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
6.8%
77
93.2%
Q4 - 9:28INDMISS Scola 4' Jump Bank Shot68
7.3%
77
92.7%
Q4 - 9:31INDScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
8.6%
77
91.4%
Q4 - 9:32INDMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot68
7.3%
77
92.7%
Q4 - 9:41INDSloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
8.6%
77
91.4%
Q4 - 9:42MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot68
8.0%
77
92.0%
Q4 - 9:58MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
6.8%
77
93.2%
Q4 - 9:59INDMISS Sloan 2' Driving Layup68
7.3%
77
92.7%
Q4 - 10:13INDPacers Rebound68
9.4%
77
90.6%
Q4 - 10:14INDMISS Rudez 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q4 - 10:20INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
9.4%
77
90.6%
Q4 - 10:21MIAMISS Williams 1' Tip Shot68
8.8%
77
91.2%
Q4 - 10:22MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Napier 1' Driving Layup68
8.8%
77
91.2%
Q4 - 10:37INDScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q4 - 10:37INDScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q4 - 10:49MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q4 - 11:09INDSloan 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)66
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q4 - 11:15MIAGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)64
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q4 - 11:28MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
5.6%
75
94.4%
Q4 - 11:29INDMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot64
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q4 - 11:43MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)64
6.8%
75
93.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
5.5%
75
94.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound64
5.5%
75
94.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot64
6.4%
75
93.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0INDScola 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)64
6.2%
75
93.8%
Q3 - 0:10.0INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
5.1%
75
94.9%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Deng 6' Jump Shot62
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0INDScola Tip Shot (8 PTS)62
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0INDMISS G. Hill 1' Driving Layup60
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup60
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q3 - 1:00INDStuckey 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)60
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 1:05INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 1:18MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 1:19INDMISS G. Hill 21' Jump Shot58
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 1:29INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 1:30MIAMISS Napier 18' Jump Shot58
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 1:49INDMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)58
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 1:49INDMahinmi 1' Layup (2 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST)57
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 2:00INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 2:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 2:27INDMISS West 2' Driving Layup55
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 2:48MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 3:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q3 - 3:04INDMISS Stuckey 10' Driving Jump Shot55
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 3:18MIANapier Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)55
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 3:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q3 - 3:39INDMISS West 19' Jump Shot55
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q3 - 4:03MIADeng 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)55
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 4:22MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)55
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 4:23INDMISS S. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 4:31MIAAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)55
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 4:49INDS. Hill 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)55
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 4:59INDWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 5:00MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup53
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 5:22MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)53
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 5:23INDMISS S. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 5:35INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 5:36MIAMISS Napier 9' Driving Jump Shot53
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q3 - 5:46MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 5:47INDMISS West 19' Jump Shot53
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 6:11MIADeng 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)53
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 6:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q3 - 6:24INDMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot53
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 6:33INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Wade 5' Fadeaway Jumper53
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 6:43INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q3 - 6:43INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 6:55MIAAndersen 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)51
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 6:57MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Wade 8' Pullup Jump Shot51
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 7:15INDWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)51
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 7:35MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)48
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q3 - 7:35MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q3 - 7:46MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 7:47INDMISS Hibbert 16' Jump Shot48
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 8:10MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)48
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q3 - 8:29INDStuckey 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)48
6.5%
62
93.5%
Q3 - 8:34INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot46
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q3 - 8:48INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 8:48INDMISS Watson Free Throw 1 of 245
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q3 - 8:52INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
5.0%
62
95.0%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS Bosh 6' Hook Shot45
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q3 - 9:15INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 9:15INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 9:26MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)43
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 9:33INDStuckey 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)43
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q3 - 9:41INDPacers Rebound41
4.0%
60
96.0%
Q3 - 9:43INDMISS S. Hill 3PT Jump Shot41
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q3 - 10:06MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)41
4.2%
60
95.8%
Q3 - 10:23INDWatson 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)41
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 10:41MIADeng 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)39
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q3 - 10:59INDWest 3' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)39
4.8%
56
95.2%
Q3 - 11:02INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 11:04INDMISS West 2' Driving Layup37
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q3 - 11:27MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)37
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q3 - 11:47INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P3.T15)37
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND37
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
6.3%
54
93.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
6.2%
54
93.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0INDG. Hill 2' Running Layup (6 PTS)37
5.8%
54
94.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)35
4.9%
54
95.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0INDHibbert 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)35
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q2 - 1:05MIAHaslem Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)33
4.1%
54
95.9%
Q2 - 1:18INDG. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
4.9%
52
95.1%
Q2 - 1:18INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q2 - 1:28MIAWilliams Foul Turnover (P3.T8)31
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q2 - 1:38INDWade STEAL (2 STL)31
3.8%
52
96.2%
Q2 - 1:54MIAWade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)31
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q2 - 2:07INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
5.1%
50
94.9%
Q2 - 2:07INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
4.9%
50
95.1%
Q2 - 2:07INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 2:08INDMISS S. Hill 20' Jump Shot29
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q2 - 2:22MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)29
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 2:28MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 2:29INDMISS S. Hill 12' Jump Shot29
5.2%
48
94.8%
Q2 - 2:47MIACole 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
5.6%
48
94.4%
Q2 - 2:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
6.4%
46
93.6%
Q2 - 2:55INDMISS Hibbert 16' Jump Shot29
6.6%
46
93.4%
Q2 - 3:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)29
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q2 - 3:31MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 3:32INDMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot29
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 3:44INDPacers Rebound29
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q2 - 3:46INDMISS West 12' Jump Shot29
6.9%
46
93.1%
Q2 - 3:52INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q2 - 3:53INDMISS S. Hill Free Throw 1 of 129
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 4:05INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
6.5%
46
93.5%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
6.3%
46
93.7%
Q2 - 4:16MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 4:17INDMISS West 20' Jump Shot27
6.0%
46
94.0%
Q2 - 4:33MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)27
6.5%
46
93.5%
Q2 - 4:33MIAHEAT Rebound27
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q2 - 5:02INDWest 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)27
6.1%
46
93.9%
Q2 - 5:31MIAGranger 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)25
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 5:44MIABosh Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)25
6.0%
44
94.0%
Q2 - 5:44INDScola Foul Turnover (P1.T13)25
6.7%
43
93.3%
Q2 - 5:46INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
7.5%
43
92.5%
Q2 - 5:47MIAMISS Cole 16' Jump Shot25
7.2%
43
92.8%
Q2 - 6:14INDGranger STEAL (1 STL)25
7.0%
43
93.0%
Q2 - 6:28INDWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
7.9%
43
92.1%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Napier 17' Jump Shot25
7.7%
43
92.3%
Q2 - 6:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
7.0%
43
93.0%
Q2 - 6:37INDMISS Hibbert 19' Jump Shot25
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 6:58MIABosh 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)25
7.9%
43
92.1%
Q2 - 7:09MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 7:10INDMISS Watson 1' Driving Layup25
9.3%
41
90.7%
Q2 - 7:21MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)25
10.0%
41
90.0%
Q2 - 7:49INDWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
10.9%
39
89.1%
Q2 - 8:00MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)22
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q2 - 8:21INDScola 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (S. Hill 2 AST)22
10.2%
37
89.8%
Q2 - 8:39MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Napier 3 AST)20
9.3%
37
90.7%
Q2 - 8:56MIAHEAT Rebound20
10.2%
35
89.8%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot20
10.9%
35
89.1%
Q2 - 9:13INDS. Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)20
10.5%
35
89.5%
Q2 - 9:26MIAWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T5)20
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 9:37INDStuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T10)20
10.5%
35
89.5%
Q2 - 9:50MIAGranger 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)20
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 10:07INDChalmers STEAL (2 STL)20
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q2 - 10:22MIAGranger 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)20
14.1%
33
85.9%
Q2 - 10:36INDStuckey Foul Turnover (P1.T8)20
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 10:52MIAWilliams 10' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
16.7%
31
83.3%
Q2 - 11:14INDMahinmi Foul Turnover (P1.T7)20
18.2%
29
81.8%
Q2 - 11:25MIANapier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)20
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 11:42INDScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
22.9%
26
77.1%
Q2 - 11:42INDScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
22.5%
26
77.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND18
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound18
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDMISS G. Hill 28' 3PT Jump Shot18
20.6%
26
79.4%
Q1 - 0:08.0INDPacers Rebound18
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
21.0%
26
79.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0INDScola 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)16
18.3%
26
81.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0INDRudez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)16
20.2%
24
79.8%
Q1 - 1:10MIADeng 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)16
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q1 - 1:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 1:22INDMISS G. Hill 20' Jump Shot16
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 1:40MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
24.8%
22
75.2%
Q1 - 1:54INDWest 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)16
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 2:08INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot14
21.4%
22
78.6%
Q1 - 2:25MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 2:26INDMISS Rudez 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
20.8%
22
79.2%
Q1 - 2:50MIAWilliams 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)14
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q1 - 3:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
23.5%
20
76.5%
Q1 - 3:06INDMISS Stuckey 16' Step Back Jump Shot14
24.1%
20
75.9%
Q1 - 3:23MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)14
25.4%
20
74.6%
Q1 - 3:23MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
25.7%
19
74.3%
Q1 - 3:45INDG. Hill 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
26.9%
18
73.1%
Q1 - 4:04MIAWade Double Dribble Turnover (P3.T3)12
25.4%
18
74.6%
Q1 - 4:05INDWade STEAL (1 STL)12
23.6%
18
76.4%
Q1 - 4:10MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)12
25.4%
18
74.6%
Q1 - 4:15INDNapier STEAL (1 STL)12
23.6%
18
76.4%
Q1 - 4:34INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
25.4%
18
74.6%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot12
24.9%
18
75.1%
Q1 - 4:45MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
23.6%
18
76.4%
Q1 - 4:46INDMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot12
24.1%
18
75.9%
Q1 - 5:00INDWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
25.4%
18
74.6%
Q1 - 5:01INDMISS S. Hill 20' Step Back Jump Shot12
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 5:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
25.6%
18
74.4%
Q1 - 5:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
28.8%
15
71.2%
Q1 - 5:34INDMISS Miles 21' Jump Shot12
29.3%
15
70.7%
Q1 - 5:43INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
30.7%
15
69.3%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup12
30.1%
15
69.9%
Q1 - 5:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
28.8%
15
71.2%
Q1 - 5:51INDMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
29.3%
15
70.7%
Q1 - 5:56INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
30.7%
15
69.3%
Q1 - 5:57INDMISS West 9' Jump Shot12
29.3%
15
70.7%
Q1 - 6:01INDPacers Rebound12
30.6%
15
69.4%
Q1 - 6:02INDMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 6:22MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
30.6%
15
69.4%
Q1 - 6:37INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
32.2%
13
67.8%
Q1 - 6:37INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
31.9%
13
68.1%
Q1 - 6:43INDPacers Rebound10
30.6%
13
69.4%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup10
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 6:57INDMiles 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (S. Hill 1 AST)10
28.8%
13
71.2%
Q1 - 7:05INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
27.5%
13
72.5%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
26.9%
13
73.1%
Q1 - 7:18MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
25.7%
13
74.3%
Q1 - 7:19INDMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
26.3%
13
73.7%
Q1 - 7:24INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
27.5%
13
72.5%
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup8
26.9%
13
73.1%
Q1 - 7:34INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
25.7%
13
74.3%
Q1 - 7:52MIABosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)8
27.5%
13
72.5%
Q1 - 8:03MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
28.9%
11
71.1%
Q1 - 8:04INDMISS West 16' Turnaround Jump Shot8
29.4%
11
70.6%
Q1 - 8:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
30.6%
11
69.4%
Q1 - 8:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
30.9%
10
69.1%
Q1 - 8:25INDChalmers STEAL (1 STL)8
32.1%
9
67.9%
Q1 - 8:39MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
34.0%
9
66.0%
Q1 - 8:54INDWest 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)8
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 9:06MIAWade 9' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)6
35.6%
6
64.4%
Q1 - 9:18INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)6
37.2%
4
62.8%
Q1 - 9:39MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
32.2%
4
67.8%
Q1 - 9:55INDS. Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
33.8%
2
66.2%
Q1 - 10:00INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot2
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 10:24MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.7%
2
66.3%
Q1 - 10:25INDMISS S. Hill 12' Pullup Jump Shot2
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 10:34MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 10:50INDMiles 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
33.7%
2
66.3%
Q1 - 11:02INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 11:07MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 11:17MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 11:18INDMISS West 20' Jump Shot0
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 11:38MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 11:38MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
32.2%
1
67.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Hibbert: Tip to Wade0
33.6%
0
66.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.96 47.8%
MIA
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
17
24
71%
MIA
16
26
62%
Midrange
IND
12
39
31%
MIA
16
32
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
IND
20
23
87%
MIA
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Scola1470%7.0 / 10
C. Watson1372%6.5 / 9
G. Hill1359%6.5 / 11
D. West1240%6.0 / 15
R. Stuckey941%4.5 / 11
C. Miles867%4.0 / 6
I. Mahinmi880%4.0 / 5
S. Hill422%2.0 / 9
R. Hibbert440%2.0 / 5
D. Sloan233%1.0 / 3
D. Rudez0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng2382%11.5 / 14
C. Bosh1956%9.5 / 17
D. Wade1338%6.5 / 17
M. Chalmers956%4.5 / 8
S. Williams638%3.0 / 8
D. Granger6100%3.0 / 3
C. Andersen4100%2.0 / 2
U. Haslem4100%2.0 / 2
S. Napier330%1.5 / 5
N. Cole225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
76
+15
-18
91
MIA
76
+8
-16
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.96 47.8%
MIA
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
103.9
IND 92.6
MIA 96.7 +4.2
Pace
92.9
91.0
IND 97.9 +9.4
MIA 88.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.3
IND 14.7 +1.6
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
50.0%
IND 42.9%
MIA 50.7% +7.8%
TO %
14.2%
15.2%
IND 17.0% +1.1%
MIA 18.1%
ORB %
24.0%
23.3%
IND 20.0% +7.9%
MIA 12.1%
FTrt
26.6
30.6
IND 29.5 +9.5
MIA 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.6%
56.4%
IND 43.8%
MIA 55.6% +11.8%
STL %
6.6%
8.6%
IND 9.6% +0.9%
MIA 8.7%
BLK %
7.4%
8.0%
IND 5.2% +5.2%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
52.2%
IND 47.8%
MIA 53.0% +5.2%
Rim FG%
55.7%
59.7%
IND 70.8% +9.3%
MIA 61.5%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.9%
IND 30.8%
MIA 50.0% +19.2%
3P %
35.2%
33.5%
IND 20.0%
MIA 23.5% +3.5%
FT %
75.6%
74.1%
IND 87.0% +0.3%
MIA 86.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.2%
35.1%
IND 30.8%
MIA 34.7% +3.9%
Mid Att. %
43.3%
38.7%
IND 50.0%
MIA 42.7% +7.3%
3P Att. %
25.5%
26.2%
IND 19.2%
MIA 22.7% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points8789
Rebounds3736
Assists1420
Steals98
Blocks30
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (7)4 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)32 (1)
Field Goals32-7836-75
At-the-Rim FG17-2416-26
Midrange FG12-3916-32
2-Point FG29-6332-58
3-Point FG3-154-17
Free Throws20-2313-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 34
32.6
12
40%
9
2
0
0
5
1
2
7
2-2
100%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 31
26.7
13
72%
4
2
1
0
0
3
1
3
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 225 · 24
25.6
4
22%
2
2
1
1
2
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
0-3
0%
C · 7'2" 270 · 28
17.9
4
40%
2
1
0
0
3
4
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 28
6.5
8
67%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 205 · 29
33.5
9
41%
2
3
2
0
2
4
0
2
1-1
100%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
29.9
8
80%
7
0
2
2
2
3
1
6
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 29
19.6
13
59%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 228 · 29
19.6
0
0%
0
0
2
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 241 · 35
15.4
14
70%
7
0
0
0
1
3
3
4
4-4
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 27
9.1
2
33%
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 239 · 31
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26
#13 · F · 6'8" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
48%
37
14
9
3
18
0
8
29
20-23
87%
29-63
46%
3-15
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.