FinalWin Prob.pScore
1545%94
76
2155%95
78
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
91.68379.6
CHA logo CHA
96.38184.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA76
0%
78
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)76
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
7.0%
78
93.0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
3.4%
78
96.6%
Q4 - 0:12.0CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)76
19.2%
78
80.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 276
21.6%
77
78.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)76
16.3%
77
83.7%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
10.5%
77
89.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q4 - 0:43.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)74
23.2%
75
76.8%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
28.2%
75
71.8%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
41.3%
75
58.7%
Q4 - 0:56.0CHAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 274
38.9%
75
61.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0CHAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
29.2%
75
70.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0CHAHORNETS Rebound74
39.3%
74
60.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
44.8%
74
55.2%
Q4 - 1:14CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
56.4%
74
43.6%
Q4 - 1:14CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
58.4%
73
41.6%
Q4 - 1:19CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
67.8%
72
32.2%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
71.8%
72
28.2%
Q4 - 1:38MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
77.6%
72
22.4%
Q4 - 1:40CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 274
76.1%
72
23.9%
Q4 - 1:40CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 274
70.3%
72
29.7%
Q4 - 1:42CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)74
66.0%
72
34.0%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade 7' Floating Jump Shot74
69.6%
72
30.4%
Q4 - 2:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
77.4%
72
22.6%
Q4 - 2:05CHAMISS Henderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
73.8%
72
26.2%
Q4 - 2:31CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)74
64.1%
72
35.9%
Q4 - 2:33MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot74
68.7%
72
31.3%
Q4 - 2:53MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
74.9%
72
25.1%
Q4 - 2:54CHAMISS Walker 29' 3PT Jump Shot74
71.6%
72
28.4%
Q4 - 3:15CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
62.9%
72
37.1%
Q4 - 3:17CHAMISS Walker 22' Jump Shot74
72.0%
72
28.0%
Q4 - 3:37MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)74
61.6%
72
38.4%
Q4 - 3:46CHAHenderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)71
44.2%
72
55.8%
Q4 - 4:05MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)71
34.5%
72
65.5%
Q4 - 4:20CHAKidd-Gilchrist Foul Turnover (P3.T13)68
20.3%
72
79.7%
Q4 - 4:23CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)68
14.4%
72
85.6%
Q4 - 4:25MIAZeller BLOCK (2 BLK)68
16.0%
72
84.0%
Q4 - 4:41MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
20.1%
72
79.9%
Q4 - 4:43CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 2 of 268
19.3%
72
80.7%
Q4 - 4:43CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
15.7%
72
84.3%
Q4 - 4:53MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)68
19.5%
71
80.5%
Q4 - 5:07MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)68
29.0%
71
71.0%
Q4 - 5:09CHAMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot68
26.8%
71
73.2%
Q4 - 5:21CHAHORNETS Rebound68
22.1%
71
77.9%
Q4 - 5:21CHAMISS Henderson 17' Step Back Jump Shot68
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q4 - 5:38CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)68
22.1%
71
77.9%
Q4 - 5:39CHAMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot68
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q4 - 6:09MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Napier 4 AST)68
23.8%
71
76.2%
Q4 - 6:28CHAHenderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)66
19.5%
71
80.5%
Q4 - 6:29CHAHORNETS Rebound66
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q4 - 6:29CHAMISS Jefferson 7' Hook Shot66
17.8%
71
82.2%
Q4 - 6:46MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)66
14.5%
71
85.5%
Q4 - 7:00CHAJefferson 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Zeller 6 AST)66
19.4%
71
80.6%
Q4 - 7:25MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
25.6%
69
74.4%
Q4 - 7:25MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
24.6%
69
75.4%
Q4 - 7:50CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
21.1%
69
78.9%
Q4 - 7:50CHAJefferson 1' Layup (10 PTS)64
21.1%
69
78.9%
Q4 - 7:52CHAMISS Roberts 12' Jump Shot64
29.8%
67
70.2%
Q4 - 8:09CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
27.3%
67
72.7%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS Napier 21' Jump Shot64
28.9%
67
71.1%
Q4 - 8:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
32.6%
67
67.4%
Q4 - 8:34CHAMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
30.9%
67
69.1%
Q4 - 8:47CHANeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
27.2%
67
72.8%
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
28.8%
67
71.2%
Q4 - 8:58CHARoberts Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)64
32.6%
67
67.4%
Q4 - 9:14MIAShaw. Williams 29' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)64
28.5%
67
71.5%
Q4 - 9:37CHAStephenson Foul Turnover (P4.T10)61
19.9%
67
80.1%
Q4 - 9:54MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q4 - 9:54MIAShaw. Williams 2' Putback Layup (5 PTS)61
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q4 - 9:57MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)59
11.5%
67
88.5%
Q4 - 10:18CHAJefferson 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)59
14.5%
67
85.5%
Q4 - 10:37MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (17 PTS)59
17.4%
65
82.6%
Q4 - 11:01MIANapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
15.4%
65
84.6%
Q4 - 11:03CHAMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
14.6%
65
85.4%
Q4 - 11:24MIAWade 1' Layup (15 PTS)57
12.7%
65
87.3%
Q4 - 11:45MIAHeat Rebound55
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Wade 8' Fadeaway Jumper55
9.2%
65
90.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA55
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound55
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJefferson BLOCK (2 BLK)55
9.2%
65
90.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
11.5%
65
88.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot55
10.1%
65
89.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
11.4%
65
88.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot55
10.1%
65
89.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
11.4%
65
88.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0CHAMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
10.8%
65
89.2%
Q3 - 1:02MIAEnnis 1' Layup (6 PTS)55
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 1:03MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)53
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 1:05MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)53
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Ennis 1' Tip Shot53
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 16' Jump Shot53
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 1:29CHABiyombo Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)53
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 1:37CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)53
12.2%
62
87.8%
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS Napier 11' Jump Shot53
12.9%
62
87.1%
Q3 - 1:56CHAKidd-Gilchrist 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)53
14.5%
62
85.5%
Q3 - 2:22MIAHaslem 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Napier 3 AST)53
17.9%
60
82.1%
Q3 - 2:50CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
15.5%
60
84.5%
Q3 - 2:50CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
16.1%
59
83.9%
Q3 - 2:50CHAHORNETS Rebound51
17.9%
58
82.1%
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup51
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 2:59MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
20.9%
58
79.1%
Q3 - 3:00CHAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
19.9%
58
80.1%
Q3 - 3:22CHAHORNETS Rebound51
18.7%
58
81.3%
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS Andersen 1' Alley Oop Layup51
19.6%
58
80.4%
Q3 - 3:24CHABiyombo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)51
21.8%
58
78.2%
Q3 - 3:28MIAKidd-Gilchrist STEAL (1 STL)51
18.7%
58
81.3%
Q3 - 3:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
21.8%
58
78.2%
Q3 - 3:40CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)51
18.7%
58
81.3%
Q3 - 3:40CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup51
20.8%
58
79.2%
Q3 - 3:42CHAMISS Biyombo 2' Layup51
20.8%
58
79.2%
Q3 - 4:02MIAAndersen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
19.2%
58
80.8%
Q3 - 4:20CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3)49
17.2%
58
82.8%
Q3 - 4:20CHABiyombo 1' Putback Layup (9 PTS)49
17.2%
58
82.8%
Q3 - 4:22CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot49
21.5%
56
78.5%
Q3 - 4:41MIABosh 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)49
19.2%
56
80.8%
Q3 - 4:52MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
17.1%
56
82.9%
Q3 - 4:54CHAMISS Biyombo 8' Hook Shot47
16.3%
56
83.7%
Q3 - 5:08CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)47
15.2%
56
84.8%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS Ennis 3PT Jump Shot47
15.9%
56
84.1%
Q3 - 5:38CHAHenderson 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Zeller 5 AST)47
17.7%
56
82.3%
Q3 - 5:54CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
19.8%
54
80.2%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Bosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper47
20.8%
54
79.2%
Q3 - 6:17CHABiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
23.6%
54
76.4%
Q3 - 6:17CHAMISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 247
24.8%
53
75.2%
Q3 - 6:22CHAHORNETS Rebound47
23.2%
53
76.8%
Q3 - 6:22CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
25.5%
53
74.5%
Q3 - 6:26CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)47
23.2%
53
76.8%
Q3 - 6:28CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup47
25.5%
53
74.5%
Q3 - 6:29CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)47
23.2%
53
76.8%
Q3 - 6:32CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)47
23.2%
53
76.8%
Q3 - 6:32CHAMISS Biyombo 2' Layup47
25.5%
53
74.5%
Q3 - 6:35CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 16' Jump Shot47
25.5%
53
74.5%
Q3 - 6:43CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)47
23.2%
53
76.8%
Q3 - 6:45MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot47
24.2%
53
75.8%
Q3 - 7:07CHAKidd-Gilchrist Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)47
26.9%
53
73.1%
Q3 - 7:12CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)47
23.6%
53
76.4%
Q3 - 7:14CHAMISS Zeller 1' Layup47
25.8%
53
74.2%
Q3 - 7:27MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
23.6%
53
76.4%
Q3 - 7:44CHAKidd-Gilchrist Dunk (4 PTS) (Zeller 4 AST)45
21.3%
53
78.7%
Q3 - 7:58MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)45
23.6%
51
76.4%
Q3 - 8:14CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
21.8%
51
78.2%
Q3 - 8:14CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 243
22.5%
50
77.5%
Q3 - 8:18CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)43
21.4%
50
78.6%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot43
22.3%
50
77.7%
Q3 - 8:39CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
24.4%
50
75.6%
Q3 - 8:49MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)43
29.8%
47
70.2%
Q3 - 9:06CHABiyombo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)41
27.4%
47
72.6%
Q3 - 9:15CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
24.5%
47
75.5%
Q3 - 9:16MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
25.4%
47
74.6%
Q3 - 9:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
27.4%
47
72.6%
Q3 - 9:37CHAMISS Henderson 16' Jump Shot41
26.5%
47
73.5%
Q3 - 9:51CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)41
24.5%
47
75.5%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot41
25.3%
47
74.7%
Q3 - 10:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
27.7%
47
72.3%
Q3 - 10:18CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 2 of 241
27.3%
47
72.7%
Q3 - 10:18CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 241
25.5%
47
74.5%
Q3 - 10:19CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)41
24.9%
47
75.1%
Q3 - 10:21MIABiyombo BLOCK (2 BLK)41
25.7%
47
74.3%
Q3 - 10:36MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
27.7%
47
72.3%
Q3 - 10:38CHAMISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot41
26.8%
47
73.2%
Q3 - 10:53MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
24.9%
47
75.1%
Q3 - 10:53MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
24.1%
47
75.9%
Q3 - 11:09CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)39
23.1%
47
76.9%
Q3 - 11:09CHABiyombo Putback Layup (6 PTS)39
23.1%
47
76.9%
Q3 - 11:10CHAMISS Zeller 1' Layup39
27.4%
45
72.6%
Q3 - 11:23MIABiyombo STEAL (1 STL)39
25.5%
45
74.5%
Q3 - 11:42MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
28.3%
45
71.7%
Q3 - 11:43CHAMISS Zeller 18' Jump Shot39
27.4%
45
72.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA39
25.5%
45
74.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAHORNETS Rebound39
25.5%
45
74.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Walker 60' 3PT Jump Shot39
27.4%
45
72.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
26.7%
45
73.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot39
27.2%
45
72.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0CHAHenderson 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
28.5%
45
71.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAChalmers 7' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)39
32.0%
43
68.0%
Q2 - 1:03CHAWalker 29' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Henderson 2 AST)37
28.8%
43
71.2%
Q2 - 1:27MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
35.6%
40
64.4%
Q2 - 1:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
35.0%
40
65.0%
Q2 - 1:38MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
31.5%
40
68.5%
Q2 - 1:39CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
31.0%
40
69.0%
Q2 - 1:52CHAHORNETS Rebound35
30.0%
40
70.0%
Q2 - 1:52CHAMISS Walker 3' Jump Shot35
31.0%
40
69.0%
Q2 - 2:03MIAGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)35
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 2:18MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
24.7%
40
75.3%
Q2 - 2:19CHAMISS Henderson 3PT Jump Shot32
24.1%
40
75.9%
Q2 - 2:34MIACole 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)32
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 3:04CHABiyombo Dunk (4 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)30
21.3%
40
78.7%
Q2 - 3:12CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)30
23.0%
38
77.0%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot30
23.8%
38
76.2%
Q2 - 3:38CHAWalker 1' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 2 AST)30
25.5%
38
74.5%
Q2 - 3:42CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)30
27.5%
36
72.5%
Q2 - 3:44MIAMISS Andersen 1' Alley Oop Layup30
28.3%
36
71.7%
Q2 - 4:00CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)30
30.3%
36
69.7%
Q2 - 4:00CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)30
30.7%
35
69.3%
Q2 - 4:07CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)30
32.9%
34
67.1%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup30
33.7%
34
66.3%
Q2 - 4:15MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
35.6%
34
64.4%
Q2 - 4:16CHAMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot30
34.8%
34
65.2%
Q2 - 4:31MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)30
32.9%
34
67.1%
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
30.5%
34
69.5%
Q2 - 4:38CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)28
28.0%
34
72.0%
Q2 - 4:38CHAMISS Zeller 1' Tip Shot28
29.7%
34
70.3%
Q2 - 4:40CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)28
28.0%
34
72.0%
Q2 - 4:40CHAMISS Biyombo 1' Layup28
29.7%
34
70.3%
Q2 - 4:43CHAMISS Zeller 20' Jump Shot28
29.7%
34
70.3%
Q2 - 4:55CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
28.0%
34
72.0%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
28.8%
34
71.2%
Q2 - 5:25CHANeal 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
30.8%
34
69.2%
Q2 - 5:40CHANeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
33.2%
32
66.8%
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot28
34.0%
32
66.0%
Q2 - 5:49MIAHeat Rebound28
35.8%
32
64.2%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot28
34.0%
32
66.0%
Q2 - 6:09CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
36.4%
32
63.6%
Q2 - 6:28MIAShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)28
33.4%
32
66.6%
Q2 - 6:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
29.1%
32
70.9%
Q2 - 6:46CHAMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
28.3%
32
71.7%
Q2 - 6:49CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
26.5%
32
73.5%
Q2 - 6:51CHAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot25
28.3%
32
71.7%
Q2 - 7:14CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
27.1%
32
72.9%
Q2 - 7:16MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
27.8%
32
72.2%
Q2 - 7:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
29.4%
32
70.6%
Q2 - 7:25CHAMISS Jefferson 7' Hook Shot25
28.7%
32
71.3%
Q2 - 7:59MIABosh 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
27.0%
32
73.0%
Q2 - 8:04MIAHeat Rebound23
25.4%
32
74.6%
Q2 - 8:04MIAZeller BLOCK (1 BLK)23
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q2 - 8:22CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
25.4%
32
74.6%
Q2 - 8:22CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)23
25.8%
31
74.2%
Q2 - 8:33CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
27.3%
30
72.7%
Q2 - 8:35MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 1' Layup23
28.0%
30
72.0%
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot23
28.0%
30
72.0%
Q2 - 8:58CHAJefferson 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Zeller 3 AST)23
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q2 - 9:12MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
31.7%
28
68.3%
Q2 - 9:12MIAEnnis 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)23
31.7%
28
68.3%
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Ennis 1' Layup21
28.3%
28
71.7%
Q2 - 9:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
29.9%
28
70.1%
Q2 - 9:34CHAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot21
29.2%
28
70.8%
Q2 - 9:52MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
27.5%
28
72.5%
Q2 - 10:08CHAStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)19
26.1%
28
73.9%
Q2 - 10:18CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
23.9%
28
76.1%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 219
24.2%
28
75.8%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 219
25.4%
28
74.6%
Q2 - 10:34MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
26.1%
28
73.9%
Q2 - 10:35CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup19
25.4%
28
74.6%
Q2 - 10:52MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)19
23.9%
28
76.1%
Q2 - 11:03CHAWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T4)17
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q2 - 11:19MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)17
20.9%
28
79.1%
Q2 - 11:22MIAHeat Rebound17
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q2 - 11:22MIAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)17
21.4%
28
78.6%
Q2 - 11:40CHARoberts 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)17
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
26.1%
25
73.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound17
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Napier 3' Jump Shot17
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
28.2%
25
71.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0CHAMISS Stephenson 4' Jump Shot17
27.8%
25
72.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0CHANeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
26.8%
25
73.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup17
27.2%
25
72.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0CHAStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)17
28.2%
25
71.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
26.8%
25
73.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup17
27.2%
25
72.8%
Q1 - 1:00CHAJefferson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)17
28.2%
25
71.8%
Q1 - 1:17CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
30.9%
23
69.1%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
31.4%
23
68.6%
Q1 - 1:29CHARoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
32.4%
23
67.6%
Q1 - 1:29CHARoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
32.6%
22
67.4%
Q1 - 1:33MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
35.0%
21
65.0%
Q1 - 1:33MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
34.6%
21
65.4%
Q1 - 1:35CHAStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
32.4%
21
67.6%
Q1 - 1:47MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
30.9%
21
69.1%
Q1 - 1:47MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
30.5%
21
69.5%
Q1 - 2:02CHAJefferson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)13
28.9%
21
71.1%
Q1 - 2:21MIAChalmers 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
30.9%
19
69.1%
Q1 - 2:36CHAStephenson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)11
28.9%
19
71.1%
Q1 - 2:56MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
30.9%
17
69.1%
Q1 - 3:19CHAStephenson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Roberts 2 AST)11
33.2%
17
66.8%
Q1 - 3:25CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)11
34.9%
15
65.1%
Q1 - 3:27CHAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot11
36.5%
15
63.5%
Q1 - 3:38CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)11
34.9%
15
65.1%
Q1 - 3:39MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup11
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 3:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
37.2%
15
62.8%
Q1 - 3:43MIARoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)11
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 3:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
37.2%
15
62.8%
Q1 - 3:54CHAMISS Stephenson 2' Driving Layup11
36.5%
15
63.5%
Q1 - 4:08CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
35.0%
15
65.0%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
35.7%
15
64.3%
Q1 - 4:17MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
37.3%
15
62.7%
Q1 - 4:19CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup11
36.6%
15
63.4%
Q1 - 4:25CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
35.0%
15
65.0%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
35.7%
15
64.3%
Q1 - 4:47CHAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)11
37.3%
15
62.7%
Q1 - 5:10CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
39.2%
13
60.8%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot11
39.8%
13
60.2%
Q1 - 5:21CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
41.4%
13
58.6%
Q1 - 5:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)11
45.3%
10
54.7%
Q1 - 5:54CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)8
41.4%
10
58.6%
Q1 - 5:54CHABiyombo Putback Layup (2 PTS)8
41.4%
10
58.6%
Q1 - 5:56CHAMISS Henderson 3' Driving Layup8
44.8%
8
55.2%
Q1 - 6:22MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
43.1%
8
56.9%
Q1 - 6:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 6:36CHAMISS Henderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 6:53MIAWade 16' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)8
43.1%
8
56.9%
Q1 - 7:19CHAWalker Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)6
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 7:24CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 7:27CHAMISS Walker 18' Step Back Jump Shot6
44.5%
6
55.5%
Q1 - 7:39CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Reverse Layup6
43.7%
6
56.3%
Q1 - 7:57CHAHenderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)6
45.2%
6
54.8%
Q1 - 8:08MIAAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
49.0%
3
51.0%
Q1 - 8:27CHAKidd-Gilchrist Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
47.2%
3
52.8%
Q1 - 8:38CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
45.1%
3
54.9%
Q1 - 8:39MIAMISS Granger 7' Running Hook Shot4
45.7%
3
54.3%
Q1 - 8:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
47.2%
3
52.8%
Q1 - 8:53CHAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot4
46.5%
3
53.5%
Q1 - 8:56CHAHORNETS Rebound4
45.1%
3
54.9%
Q1 - 8:58CHAMISS Zeller 14' Jump Shot4
46.5%
3
53.5%
Q1 - 9:03CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
45.1%
3
54.9%
Q1 - 9:05CHAMISS Zeller 18' Jump Shot4
46.5%
3
53.5%
Q1 - 9:22CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
45.1%
3
54.9%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup4
45.7%
3
54.3%
Q1 - 9:46CHAHenderson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 1 AST)4
47.1%
3
52.9%
Q1 - 9:49CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
48.9%
1
51.1%
Q1 - 9:52CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
48.9%
1
51.1%
Q1 - 9:52CHAMISS Biyombo Tip Shot4
50.3%
1
49.7%
Q1 - 9:54CHAMISS Henderson 14' Jump Shot4
50.3%
1
49.7%
Q1 - 10:09MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
48.7%
1
51.3%
Q1 - 10:09MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
48.4%
1
51.6%
Q1 - 10:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
47.1%
1
52.9%
Q1 - 10:11MIABiyombo BLOCK (1 BLK)2
45.6%
1
54.4%
Q1 - 10:28CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
47.1%
1
52.9%
Q1 - 10:28CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 22
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 10:28CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 10:28CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup2
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 10:35CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot2
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 10:48MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.9%
0
51.1%
Q1 - 10:50CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 11:13CHAHORNETS Rebound2
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot2
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 11:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.6%
0
51.4%
Q1 - 11:28CHAMISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot2
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 11:47MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Biyombo vs. Bosh: Tip to Chalmers0
44.9%
0
55.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.82 40.9%
CHA
0.81 40.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
35
37%
CHA
15
32
47%
Midrange
MIA
11
31
35%
CHA
8
29
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
CHA
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
Free Throws
MIA
13
15
87%
CHA
20
30
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh1740%8.5 / 21
D. Wade1740%8.5 / 21
M. Chalmers1350%6.5 / 13
J. Ennis III840%4.0 / 10
S. Williams844%4.0 / 9
C. Andersen650%3.0 / 6
D. Granger350%1.5 / 3
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
N. Cole250%1.0 / 2
S. Napier0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker1538%7.5 / 20
B. Biyombo1255%6.0 / 11
A. Jefferson1255%6.0 / 11
G. Henderson1139%5.5 / 14
M. Kidd-Gilchrist836%4.0 / 11
C. Zeller627%3.0 / 11
B. Roberts583%2.5 / 3
L. Stephenson450%2.0 / 4
M. Williams338%1.5 / 4
G. Neal220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+16
-7
92
CHA
67
+26
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.82 40.9%
CHA
0.81 40.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
100.5
MIA 91.6
CHA 96.3 +4.7
Pace
91.0
92.7
MIA 79.6
CHA 84.6 +5.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.9
MIA 18.1
CHA 17.0 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
45.6%
MIA 37.5% +1.2%
CHA 36.3%
TO %
15.2%
11.9%
MIA 7.2% +5.9%
CHA 13.1%
ORB %
23.3%
22.2%
MIA 21.7%
CHA 39.2% +17.5%
FTrt
30.6
26.9
MIA 17.9
CHA 37.5 +19.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
56.8%
MIA 48.3%
CHA 70.4% +22.1%
STL %
8.6%
6.5%
MIA 8.4% +4.7%
CHA 3.7%
BLK %
8.0%
8.9%
MIA 13.1% +1.0%
CHA 12.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
48.3%
MIA 40.9% +0.3%
CHA 40.6%
Rim FG%
59.7%
53.5%
MIA 37.1%
CHA 46.9% +9.8%
Mid FG%
40.9%
39.2%
MIA 35.5% +7.9%
CHA 27.6%
3P %
33.5%
31.8%
MIA 27.8% +6.7%
CHA 21.1%
FT %
74.1%
74.8%
MIA 86.7% +20.0%
CHA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
31.3%
MIA 41.7% +1.7%
CHA 40.0%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
46.1%
MIA 36.9%
CHA 36.3% +0.7%
3P Att. %
26.2%
22.6%
MIA 21.4%
CHA 23.8% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions8381
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points7678
Rebounds4156
Assists1419
Steals73
Blocks88
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (6)20 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)36 (4)
Field Goals29-8427-80
At-the-Rim FG13-3515-32
Midrange FG11-318-29
2-Point FG24-6623-61
3-Point FG5-184-19
Free Throws13-1520-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
34.4
17
40%
7
2
0
1
1
2
0
7
2-2
100%
6-14
43%
1-6
17%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
33.3
17
40%
7
4
2
0
1
4
1
6
1-1
100%
8-21
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
32.0
13
50%
3
1
0
0
2
5
2
1
4-6
67%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 245 · 37
19.9
6
50%
4
2
0
3
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 222 · 32
19.9
3
50%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
28.1
8
40%
7
0
1
1
0
1
3
4
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
26.9
8
44%
3
0
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
22.3
0
0%
5
4
2
0
3
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
14.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
8.4
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F · 6'9" 220 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
41%
41
14
7
8
7
0
10
31
13-15
87%
24-66
36%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.