FinalWin Prob.pScore
456%98
94
1544%96
86
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
102.29294.8
MIA logo MIA
93.59289.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0OKC94
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T21)94
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)94
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 0:33.0OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 293
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 0:38.0OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Granger 14' Jump Shot93
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 0:53.0OKCWestbrook Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)93
98.8%
86
1.2%
Q4 - 1:14MIAGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)93
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 1:19OKCAdams Dunk (10 PTS) (Westbrook 6 AST)93
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 1:36MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)91
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 1:36MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 291
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 1:49OKCWestbrook 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)91
98.7%
82
1.3%
Q4 - 1:51MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)89
98.0%
82
2.0%
Q4 - 1:54MIAHEAT Rebound89
96.7%
82
3.3%
Q4 - 1:55MIAMISS Andersen 2' Layup89
97.7%
82
2.3%
Q4 - 1:56MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
96.7%
82
3.3%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup89
97.7%
82
2.3%
Q4 - 2:11OKCWestbrook 8' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)89
96.1%
82
3.9%
Q4 - 2:30OKCThunder Rebound87
95.0%
82
5.0%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
94.0%
82
6.0%
Q4 - 2:54OKCJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST)87
89.2%
82
10.8%
Q4 - 3:05OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)84
80.3%
82
19.7%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot84
77.4%
82
22.6%
Q4 - 3:20OKCIbaka 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T10)84
69.5%
82
30.5%
Q4 - 3:38MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)84
76.4%
82
23.6%
Q4 - 3:51MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
82.2%
80
17.8%
Q4 - 3:52OKCMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
83.9%
80
16.1%
Q4 - 4:06MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)84
87.5%
80
12.5%
Q4 - 4:25MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
82.5%
80
17.5%
Q4 - 4:26OKCMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
84.2%
80
15.8%
Q4 - 4:44OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
87.8%
80
12.2%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot84
86.3%
80
13.7%
Q4 - 5:05OKCWestbrook 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
79.8%
80
20.2%
Q4 - 5:11OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)82
74.6%
80
25.4%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
72.5%
80
27.5%
Q4 - 5:31MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
67.3%
80
32.7%
Q4 - 5:32OKCMISS Durant 21' Jump Shot82
69.7%
80
30.3%
Q4 - 5:50OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
74.8%
80
25.2%
Q4 - 5:51MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot82
72.6%
80
27.4%
Q4 - 6:02MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
66.4%
80
33.6%
Q4 - 6:03OKCMISS Durant 16' Jump Shot82
68.7%
80
31.3%
Q4 - 6:17MIAAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)82
73.7%
80
26.3%
Q4 - 6:31MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
78.3%
78
21.7%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup82
82.2%
78
17.8%
Q4 - 6:52OKCIbaka 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST)82
78.4%
78
21.6%
Q4 - 7:00OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)80
73.7%
78
26.3%
Q4 - 7:01OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
68.6%
78
31.4%
Q4 - 7:29MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)80
73.0%
78
27.0%
Q4 - 7:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
77.6%
76
22.4%
Q4 - 7:40OKCMISS Durant 21' Jump Shot80
79.2%
76
20.8%
Q4 - 8:05MIACole 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
80.9%
76
19.1%
Q4 - 8:16MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
84.5%
74
15.5%
Q4 - 8:17OKCMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
85.5%
74
14.5%
Q4 - 8:37MIAWade 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)80
87.7%
74
12.3%
Q4 - 8:43OKCShaw. Williams STEAL (1 STL)80
90.2%
72
9.8%
Q4 - 8:54OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
92.3%
72
7.7%
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
91.7%
72
8.3%
Q4 - 9:07MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
88.9%
72
11.1%
Q4 - 9:08OKCMISS Morrow 19' Jump Shot80
89.6%
72
10.4%
Q4 - 9:14OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
91.1%
72
8.9%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
90.5%
72
9.5%
Q4 - 9:33OKCDurant Driving Dunk (19 PTS)80
89.0%
72
11.0%
Q4 - 9:38MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)78
86.5%
72
13.5%
Q4 - 9:59OKCJackson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)78
83.4%
72
16.6%
Q4 - 10:19MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)76
78.8%
72
21.2%
Q4 - 10:24MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
82.2%
70
17.8%
Q4 - 10:25OKCMISS Waiters 11' Floating Jump Shot76
83.2%
70
16.8%
Q4 - 10:44MIAShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)76
85.4%
70
14.6%
Q4 - 11:00OKCJackson 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)76
90.1%
67
9.9%
Q4 - 11:11OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
86.9%
67
13.1%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
86.1%
67
13.9%
Q4 - 11:40OKCMorrow 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)74
84.2%
67
15.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
81.3%
67
18.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
77.7%
67
22.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0OKCMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot72
78.1%
67
21.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
80.4%
67
19.6%
Q3 - 0:15.0OKCMISS Morrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
78.1%
67
21.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
80.4%
67
19.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot72
79.4%
67
20.6%
Q3 - 0:48.0OKCJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)72
77.0%
67
23.0%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIABosh Foul Turnover (P3.T17)72
80.4%
67
19.6%
Q3 - 1:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
76.3%
67
23.7%
Q3 - 1:03OKCMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot72
77.4%
67
22.6%
Q3 - 1:18MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)72
79.7%
67
20.3%
Q3 - 1:44OKCJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)72
76.4%
67
23.6%
Q3 - 2:06OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
67.9%
67
32.1%
Q3 - 2:07MIAMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 269
67.4%
67
32.6%
Q3 - 2:07MIAGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)69
64.4%
67
35.6%
Q3 - 2:16OKCWaiters 17' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)69
67.8%
66
32.2%
Q3 - 2:30OKCWestbrook Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)67
63.8%
66
36.2%
Q3 - 2:30MIADeng 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)66
59.5%
66
40.5%
Q3 - 2:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
63.6%
64
36.4%
Q3 - 2:46OKCMISS Perkins 4' Hook Shot66
65.0%
64
35.0%
Q3 - 2:59OKCMorrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
68.0%
64
32.0%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
66.7%
64
33.3%
Q3 - 3:22OKCDurant Driving Dunk (17 PTS)66
63.4%
64
36.6%
Q3 - 3:39MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)64
59.5%
64
40.5%
Q3 - 4:02MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
66.7%
61
33.3%
Q3 - 4:03OKCMISS Durant 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
68.1%
61
31.9%
Q3 - 4:18OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
71.2%
61
28.8%
Q3 - 4:19MIAMISS Napier 2' Driving Layup64
69.8%
61
30.2%
Q3 - 4:44OKCIbaka Foul Turnover (P3.T7)64
66.8%
61
33.2%
Q3 - 4:48OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
71.2%
61
28.8%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper64
69.9%
61
30.1%
Q3 - 5:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
66.5%
61
33.5%
Q3 - 5:06OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
67.7%
61
32.3%
Q3 - 5:12OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
70.5%
61
29.5%
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot64
69.3%
61
30.7%
Q3 - 5:36OKCWestbrook Dunk (11 PTS) (Durant 8 AST)64
66.5%
61
33.5%
Q3 - 5:41MIAChalmers Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)62
63.3%
61
36.7%
Q3 - 5:55MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
58.8%
61
41.2%
Q3 - 5:56OKCMISS Westbrook 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
60.2%
61
39.8%
Q3 - 6:20MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)62
63.2%
61
36.8%
Q3 - 6:20MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
63.9%
60
36.1%
Q3 - 6:33OKCAdams Foul Turnover (P1.T6)62
66.3%
59
33.7%
Q3 - 6:44MIABosh Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)62
70.2%
59
29.8%
Q3 - 7:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
73.0%
57
27.0%
Q3 - 7:01OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
73.5%
57
26.5%
Q3 - 7:06OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
75.7%
57
24.3%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup62
74.8%
57
25.2%
Q3 - 7:23OKCRoberson Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)62
72.5%
57
27.5%
Q3 - 7:27OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)60
69.7%
57
30.3%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup60
68.6%
57
31.4%
Q3 - 7:46MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
66.0%
57
34.0%
Q3 - 7:47OKCMISS Adams Free Throw 1 of 160
66.5%
57
33.5%
Q3 - 7:53OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)58
62.9%
57
37.1%
Q3 - 7:54MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
61.7%
57
38.3%
Q3 - 8:16OKCAdams Dunk (6 PTS) (Durant 6 AST)58
58.7%
57
41.3%
Q3 - 8:22OKCThunder Rebound56
55.7%
57
44.3%
Q3 - 8:23OKCMISS Westbrook 12' Jump Shot56
52.7%
57
47.3%
Q3 - 8:31OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
55.7%
57
44.3%
Q3 - 8:32OKCMISS Ibaka 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
52.7%
57
47.3%
Q3 - 8:42OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
55.7%
57
44.3%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
54.4%
57
45.6%
Q3 - 8:57OKCWestbrook 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
51.3%
57
48.7%
Q3 - 9:12MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)54
48.2%
57
51.8%
Q3 - 9:39OKCRoberson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)54
44.5%
57
55.5%
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)51
37.7%
57
62.3%
Q3 - 10:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
41.7%
55
58.3%
Q3 - 10:13OKCMISS Ibaka 6' Driving Hook Shot51
42.8%
55
57.2%
Q3 - 10:30MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)51
45.2%
55
54.8%
Q3 - 10:50OKCDurant 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)51
52.2%
52
47.8%
Q3 - 11:06OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
49.6%
52
50.4%
Q3 - 11:07OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
47.1%
52
52.9%
Q3 - 11:16OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)49
49.6%
52
50.4%
Q3 - 11:17OKCMISS Roberson 3PT Jump Shot49
47.1%
52
52.9%
Q3 - 11:38MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)49
49.5%
52
50.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKC49
52.8%
50
47.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCThunder Rebound49
56.3%
50
43.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0OKCMISS Durant 12' Jump Shot49
54.4%
50
45.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
56.0%
50
44.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 249
55.7%
50
44.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
53.4%
50
46.6%
Q2 - 0:09.0OKCHaslem STEAL (1 STL)49
56.9%
49
43.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)49
59.2%
49
40.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
56.8%
49
43.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0OKCMISS Waiters 20' Step Back Jump Shot49
57.6%
49
42.4%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAWade 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)49
59.2%
49
40.8%
Q2 - 1:02MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
63.4%
47
36.6%
Q2 - 1:03OKCMISS Westbrook 19' Pullup Jump Shot49
63.9%
47
36.1%
Q2 - 1:09OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
65.0%
47
35.0%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot49
64.5%
47
35.5%
Q2 - 1:27OKCCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)49
63.4%
47
36.6%
Q2 - 1:27OKCMISS Collison Free Throw 1 of 248
62.5%
47
37.5%
Q2 - 1:29OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
62.0%
47
38.0%
Q2 - 1:30OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Driving Layup48
60.9%
47
39.1%
Q2 - 1:43MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)48
62.0%
47
38.0%
Q2 - 1:49OKCWade STEAL (1 STL)48
66.3%
45
33.7%
Q2 - 1:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
67.8%
45
32.2%
Q2 - 1:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 248
68.5%
44
31.5%
Q2 - 2:18OKCDurant 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)48
68.2%
44
31.8%
Q2 - 2:32MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)46
65.3%
44
34.6%
Q2 - 2:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
68.3%
42
31.7%
Q2 - 2:44OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
69.0%
42
31.0%
Q2 - 2:59MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
70.7%
42
29.3%
Q2 - 2:59MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
71.2%
41
28.8%
Q2 - 3:20OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)46
72.8%
40
27.2%
Q2 - 3:24OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
75.5%
40
24.5%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
74.7%
40
25.3%
Q2 - 3:44OKCIbaka 8' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Durant 5 AST)46
72.8%
40
27.2%
Q2 - 3:51OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
70.8%
40
29.2%
Q2 - 3:52MIAMISS Bosh 9' Driving Jump Shot44
69.9%
40
30.1%
Q2 - 4:20OKCIbaka 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Durant 4 AST)44
67.6%
40
32.4%
Q2 - 4:26OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
62.5%
40
37.5%
Q2 - 4:27OKCWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)41
60.5%
40
39.5%
Q2 - 4:35OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
62.5%
40
37.5%
Q2 - 4:36MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
61.6%
40
38.4%
Q2 - 4:53OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)41
59.6%
40
40.4%
Q2 - 5:03OKCThunder Rebound38
54.4%
40
45.6%
Q2 - 5:04OKCMISS Westbrook 6' Jump Shot38
52.4%
40
47.6%
Q2 - 5:05OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)38
54.4%
40
45.6%
Q2 - 5:06OKCMISS Durant 11' Jump Shot38
52.4%
40
47.6%
Q2 - 5:17MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)38
54.4%
40
45.6%
Q2 - 5:25OKCDurant 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)38
51.5%
40
48.5%
Q2 - 5:26OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
48.7%
40
51.3%
Q2 - 5:27OKCMISS Durant 2' Driving Layup36
46.8%
40
53.2%
Q2 - 5:44MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)36
48.7%
40
51.3%
Q2 - 5:44MIAHEAT Rebound36
45.9%
40
54.1%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper36
47.9%
40
52.1%
Q2 - 6:13OKCDurant 14' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)36
46.2%
40
53.8%
Q2 - 6:26MIAGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Napier 4 AST)34
44.0%
40
56.0%
Q2 - 6:36MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
48.9%
37
51.1%
Q2 - 6:37OKCMISS Perkins 2' Layup34
49.9%
37
50.1%
Q2 - 6:54OKCThunder Rebound34
52.2%
37
47.8%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup34
51.2%
37
48.8%
Q2 - 7:02MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
49.4%
37
50.6%
Q2 - 7:03OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
50.3%
37
49.7%
Q2 - 7:21MIAWade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
52.3%
37
47.7%
Q2 - 7:46OKCMorrow 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)34
54.7%
35
45.3%
Q2 - 7:48OKCMorrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
52.3%
35
47.7%
Q2 - 7:49OKCMISS Morrow 9' Jump Shot32
50.2%
35
49.8%
Q2 - 7:55OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
52.3%
35
47.7%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot32
51.4%
35
48.6%
Q2 - 8:17OKCMorrow 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)32
49.6%
35
50.4%
Q2 - 8:27MIAGranger 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Napier 3 AST)30
47.1%
35
52.9%
Q2 - 8:43OKCJackson 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
49.6%
33
50.4%
Q2 - 9:00MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)28
47.1%
33
52.9%
Q2 - 9:09MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
52.3%
30
47.7%
Q2 - 9:17OKCMISS Morrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
53.2%
30
46.8%
Q2 - 9:22MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)28
55.1%
30
44.9%
Q2 - 9:33OKCJackson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
52.3%
30
47.7%
Q2 - 9:57OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
50.1%
30
49.9%
Q2 - 9:58MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
49.2%
30
50.8%
Q2 - 10:17MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
47.2%
30
52.8%
Q2 - 10:18OKCMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
48.1%
30
51.9%
Q2 - 10:45MIAAndersen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)26
50.2%
30
49.8%
Q2 - 11:04OKCDurant Driving Dunk (7 PTS)26
54.8%
27
45.2%
Q2 - 11:23OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
52.4%
27
47.6%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
51.7%
27
48.3%
Q2 - 11:32MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
49.9%
27
50.1%
Q2 - 11:33OKCAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)24
50.7%
27
49.3%
Q2 - 11:40OKCMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
52.4%
27
47.6%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot24
51.7%
27
48.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKC24
49.9%
27
50.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIANapier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)24
52.4%
27
47.6%
Q1 - 0:05.0OKCMorrow 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)24
57.5%
24
42.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)21
52.2%
24
47.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0OKCJackson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
50.4%
24
49.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)19
47.5%
24
52.5%
Q1 - 1:02OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
46.2%
24
53.8%
Q1 - 1:13MIABosh Dunk (6 PTS)16
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q1 - 1:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
43.9%
22
56.1%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Andersen 16' Jump Shot16
45.1%
22
54.9%
Q1 - 1:38OKCMorrow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)16
43.9%
22
56.1%
Q1 - 1:58MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
38.8%
22
61.2%
Q1 - 1:58MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
39.2%
21
60.8%
Q1 - 2:06MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
41.6%
20
58.4%
Q1 - 2:07OKCMISS Ibaka 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
42.3%
20
57.7%
Q1 - 2:33MIAGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)13
43.7%
20
56.3%
Q1 - 2:46OKCWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)13
41.6%
20
58.4%
Q1 - 2:46OKCMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 212
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q1 - 2:57MIANapier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
41.5%
20
58.5%
Q1 - 2:57MIANapier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
41.9%
19
58.1%
Q1 - 2:57MIAHEAT Rebound12
43.9%
18
56.1%
Q1 - 2:58OKCMISS Westbrook 3' Driving Jump Shot12
44.5%
18
55.5%
Q1 - 3:04OKCMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
46.6%
18
53.4%
Q1 - 3:05MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
45.9%
18
54.1%
Q1 - 3:22OKCWestbrook Driving Dunk (4 PTS)12
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 3:32MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
42.2%
18
57.8%
Q1 - 3:39MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
46.3%
15
53.7%
Q1 - 3:40OKCMISS Waiters 16' Jump Shot10
47.1%
15
52.9%
Q1 - 3:56MIAWhiteside 2' Tip Shot (10 PTS)10
48.8%
15
51.2%
Q1 - 3:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
50.8%
13
49.2%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS Deng 10' Hook Shot10
52.5%
13
47.5%
Q1 - 4:35MIAHEAT Rebound10
50.9%
13
49.1%
Q1 - 4:36OKCMISS Ibaka 10' Jump Shot10
51.7%
13
48.3%
Q1 - 4:50MIAWhiteside Dunk (8 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)10
53.5%
13
46.5%
Q1 - 5:09OKCAdams Dunk (4 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)10
55.3%
11
44.7%
Q1 - 5:15MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
53.5%
11
46.5%
Q1 - 5:36MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Adams: Tip to Deng8
55.3%
9
44.7%
Q1 - 5:37OKCMISS Adams Alley Oop Dunk8
56.0%
9
44.0%
Q1 - 5:48MIAWade 5 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)8
57.6%
9
42.4%
Q1 - 6:04OKCAdams 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)8
55.4%
9
44.6%
Q1 - 6:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
53.6%
9
46.4%
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 26
54.1%
8
45.9%
Q1 - 6:36MIAHEAT Rebound6
53.5%
8
46.5%
Q1 - 6:37OKCMISS Westbrook 3PT Jump Shot6
54.1%
8
45.9%
Q1 - 6:40OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
55.6%
8
44.4%
Q1 - 6:41OKCMISS Westbrook 17' Jump Bank Shot6
54.1%
8
45.9%
Q1 - 7:06MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
55.9%
8
44.1%
Q1 - 7:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
57.5%
6
42.5%
Q1 - 7:20OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
58.2%
6
41.8%
Q1 - 7:32MIABosh 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)6
59.6%
6
40.4%
Q1 - 7:44MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
61.2%
4
38.8%
Q1 - 7:45OKCMISS Ibaka 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
61.9%
4
38.1%
Q1 - 8:02OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
63.6%
4
36.4%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot6
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 8:16MIAHEAT Rebound6
61.7%
4
38.3%
Q1 - 8:17OKCMISS Ibaka 20' Jump Shot6
62.3%
4
37.7%
Q1 - 8:26MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)6
63.6%
4
36.4%
Q1 - 8:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
61.7%
4
38.3%
Q1 - 8:39OKCMISS Adams 1' Reverse Layup6
62.2%
4
37.8%
Q1 - 8:52MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)6
63.6%
4
36.4%
Q1 - 9:05OKCIbaka Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)6
61.7%
4
38.3%
Q1 - 9:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
60.0%
4
40.0%
Q1 - 9:34OKCWestbrook Layup (2 PTS)4
58.1%
4
41.9%
Q1 - 9:36OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
56.4%
4
43.6%
Q1 - 9:37OKCMISS Roberson 1' Layup2
55.0%
4
45.0%
Q1 - 9:39MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
56.4%
4
43.6%
Q1 - 9:44OKCIbaka Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
54.4%
4
45.6%
Q1 - 9:47MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
56.4%
4
43.6%
Q1 - 10:14OKCDurant 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
54.3%
4
45.7%
Q1 - 10:24OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.7%
4
47.3%
Q1 - 10:25MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
52.0%
4
48.0%
Q1 - 10:35OKCBosh STEAL (1 STL)0
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 10:51MIAWhiteside 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
52.7%
4
47.3%
Q1 - 11:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 11:03OKCMISS Durant 19' Jump Shot0
55.1%
2
44.9%
Q1 - 11:23MIAWhiteside Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)0
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 11:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.2%
0
41.8%
Q1 - 11:38OKCMISS Westbrook 12' Jump Shot0
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Adams: Tip to Ibaka0
59.9%
0
40.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
0.96 48.0%
MIA
1.07 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
21
30
70%
MIA
16
23
70%
Midrange
OKC
14
36
39%
MIA
8
23
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
6
9.0
26
23%
35%
MIA
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
Free Throws
OKC
6
10
60%
MIA
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant1940%9.5 / 24
R. Westbrook1953%9.5 / 18
R. Jackson1689%8.0 / 9
A. Morrow1267%6.0 / 9
S. Adams1071%5.0 / 7
S. Ibaka945%4.5 / 10
A. Roberson563%2.5 / 4
D. Waiters315%1.5 / 10
N. Collison150%0.5 / 1
K. Perkins0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1845%9.0 / 20
C. Bosh1653%8.0 / 15
H. Whiteside10100%5.0 / 5
D. Granger975%4.5 / 6
L. Deng850%4.0 / 8
C. Andersen758%3.5 / 6
M. Chalmers675%3.0 / 4
S. Napier563%2.5 / 4
N. Cole440%2.0 / 5
S. Williams338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
81
+15
-11
96
MIA
73
+6
-19
79
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
0.96 48.0%
MIA
1.07 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
103.9
OKC 102.2
MIA 93.5 +8.7
Pace
95.5
91.0
OKC 94.8 +5.4
MIA 89.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.3
OKC 15.2 +0.9
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
50.0%
OKC 47.8%
MIA 52.9% +5.1%
TO %
14.6%
15.2%
OKC 10.2% +11.4%
MIA 21.6%
ORB %
29.0%
23.3%
OKC 27.3% +15.5%
MIA 11.8%
FTrt
28.4
30.6
OKC 10.9
MIA 27.9 +17.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.8%
56.4%
OKC 36.6%
MIA 62.5% +25.9%
STL %
7.6%
8.6%
OKC 12.0% +7.7%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
9.0%
8.0%
OKC 6.5% +3.5%
MIA 3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
52.2%
OKC 48.0%
MIA 53.8% +5.8%
Rim FG%
55.9%
59.7%
OKC 70.0% +0.4%
MIA 69.6%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.9%
OKC 38.9% +4.1%
MIA 34.8%
3P %
33.9%
33.5%
OKC 23.1%
MIA 36.4% +13.3%
FT %
75.4%
74.1%
OKC 60.0%
MIA 73.7% +13.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.2%
35.1%
OKC 32.6%
MIA 33.8% +1.2%
Mid Att. %
35.6%
38.7%
OKC 39.1%
MIA 33.8% +5.3%
3P Att. %
26.2%
26.2%
OKC 28.3%
MIA 32.4% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points9486
Rebounds4236
Assists1520
Steals114
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)19 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)32 (5)
Field Goals41-9232-68
At-the-Rim FG21-3016-23
Midrange FG14-368-23
2-Point FG35-6624-46
3-Point FG6-268-22
Free Throws6-1014-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 240 · 26
39.3
19
40%
8
8
4
1
0
1
1
7
1-1
100%
9-16
56%
0-8
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
35.1
19
53%
10
6
4
0
3
2
5
5
3-4
75%
8-15
53%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
30.4
9
45%
4
0
0
1
4
5
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
18.6
10
71%
3
0
0
1
1
4
1
2
0-1
0%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 23
14.3
5
63%
4
0
2
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 215 · 23
26.4
3
15%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 208 · 25
25.9
16
89%
2
1
0
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
83%
2-3
67%
C · 6'10" 270 · 30
23.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 29
17.6
12
67%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 255 · 34
9.0
1
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 23
G · 6'5" 185 · 23
G · 6'0" 175 · 27
#7 · F · 6'10" 232 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'10" 255 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
48%
42
15
11
3
11
0
12
30
6-10
60%
35-66
53%
6-26
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.