FinalWin Prob.pScore
1733%104
89
1067%110
97
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
91.897105.9
DAL logo DAL
100.09789.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL89
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0DENMISS Gee 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0DALMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 286
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0DALMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 286
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0DENHickson 1' Tip Shot (13 PTS)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0DENMISS Nelson 8' Running Jump Shot84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15DENHickson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24DALChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 1:35DALMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot84
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 1:53DENNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)84
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 2:04DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04DALMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 281
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)81
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04DALChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04DALMISS Ellis 23' Jump Shot81
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 2:20DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41DALParsons Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)81
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 2:41DALParsons Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)81
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 2:44DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)81
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 2:45DENMISS Chandler 5' Driving Jump Shot81
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 3:04DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)81
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 3:19DENLawson 2' Layup (11 PTS)81
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 3:26DALEllis 1' Running Layup (12 PTS)79
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 3:44DENLawson Driving Layup (9 PTS)79
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 3:49DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 3:49DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot77
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 4:09DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 4:10DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 4:16DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 4:17DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 4:30DALNowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)77
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 4:51DENHickson 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)77
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 5:03DALChandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T14)75
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 5:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)75
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 5:24DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 5:47DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q4 - 5:48DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup75
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 5:59DENHickson 11' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 12 AST)75
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 6:23DALChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T13)73
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 6:30DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 6:31DENMISS Afflalo 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot73
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 6:56DALParsons Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 6:56DALParsons Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)73
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 7:13DALMAVERICKS Rebound73
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 7:14DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 273
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 7:14DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 7:30DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 7:31DALMISS Jefferson 3PT Step Back Jump Shot72
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 7:56DENJefferson STEAL (1 STL)72
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 8:05DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 8:06DENMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q4 - 8:21DALAminu Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 8:21DALAminu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q4 - 8:24DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)72
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q4 - 8:26DENChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)72
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 8:38DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
4.9%
82
95.1%
Q4 - 8:39DALMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot72
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q4 - 8:53DENNelson Foul Turnover (P3.T13)72
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q4 - 9:03DALAminu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
5.8%
82
94.2%
Q4 - 9:03DALAminu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q4 - 9:11DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)72
7.2%
80
92.8%
Q4 - 9:11DALMISS Aminu 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
8.4%
80
91.6%
Q4 - 9:27DENNelson 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Lawson 11 AST)72
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q4 - 9:34DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q4 - 9:35DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot70
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q4 - 9:46DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q4 - 9:47DALMISS Barea 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot70
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q4 - 9:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q4 - 10:00DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot70
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q4 - 10:19DALBarea Driving Layup (9 PTS)70
6.4%
80
93.6%
Q4 - 10:43DENArthur 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 10 AST)70
7.8%
78
92.2%
Q4 - 10:53DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)68
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q4 - 11:09DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
10.2%
75
89.8%
Q4 - 11:09DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 267
9.9%
75
90.1%
Q4 - 11:21DALPowell 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)67
10.3%
75
89.7%
Q4 - 11:36DENArthur 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)67
12.3%
73
87.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL65
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Chandler 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
10.8%
73
89.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper65
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)65
9.0%
73
91.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)62
6.2%
73
93.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0DENArthur Running Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)62
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
7.4%
70
92.6%
Q3 - 0:55.0DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
7.0%
70
93.0%
Q3 - 1:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q3 - 1:20DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 260
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 1:20DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)60
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q3 - 1:32DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)59
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q3 - 1:33DALMISS Parsons 3PT Jump Shot59
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q3 - 1:39DALMAVERICKS Rebound59
5.5%
70
94.5%
Q3 - 1:40DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot59
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q3 - 1:56DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
5.5%
70
94.5%
Q3 - 1:57DENMISS Lawson 12' Pullup Jump Shot59
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q3 - 2:11DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 2:12DALMISS Parsons Free Throw 2 of 259
7.0%
70
93.0%
Q3 - 2:12DALParsons Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q3 - 2:24DENNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)59
7.1%
69
92.9%
Q3 - 2:36DALBarea 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)56
5.1%
69
94.9%
Q3 - 3:01DENNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)56
7.6%
66
92.4%
Q3 - 3:04DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)53
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 3:06DALMISS Barea 5' Driving Jump Shot53
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 3:29DENNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)53
4.6%
66
95.4%
Q3 - 3:29DENMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 252
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 3:34DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)52
4.7%
66
95.3%
Q3 - 3:35DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Turnaround Jump Shot52
4.4%
66
95.6%
Q3 - 3:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
3.9%
66
96.1%
Q3 - 3:59DENMISS Hickson 12' Fadeaway Jumper52
4.1%
66
95.9%
Q3 - 4:22DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
5.1%
66
94.9%
Q3 - 4:23DALMISS Harris 16' Jump Shot52
4.8%
66
95.2%
Q3 - 4:41DALAminu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
4.1%
66
95.9%
Q3 - 4:42DALMISS Parsons 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
4.8%
66
95.2%
Q3 - 5:00DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)52
4.1%
66
95.9%
Q3 - 5:01DENMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot52
4.8%
66
95.2%
Q3 - 5:08DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
5.4%
66
94.6%
Q3 - 5:09DALMISS Rondo 10' Driving Jump Shot52
5.1%
66
94.9%
Q3 - 5:32DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 5:34DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
4.7%
66
95.3%
Q3 - 5:48DALAminu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
5.4%
66
94.6%
Q3 - 5:48DALAminu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
5.6%
65
94.4%
Q3 - 6:01DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)52
6.5%
64
93.5%
Q3 - 6:02DENMISS Lawson 16' Pullup Jump Shot52
6.8%
64
93.2%
Q3 - 6:15DALEllis Foul Turnover (P4.T12)52
7.6%
64
92.4%
Q3 - 6:33DENHickson 1' Putback Layup (5 PTS)52
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 6:35DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
5.7%
64
94.3%
Q3 - 6:36DENMISS Afflalo 18' Floating Jump Shot50
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 6:53DALParsons Driving Slam Dunk (13 PTS)50
5.7%
64
94.3%
Q3 - 7:12DALAminu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
6.7%
62
93.3%
Q3 - 7:13DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 250
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 7:13DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
7.4%
62
92.6%
Q3 - 7:15DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 7:16DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
6.5%
62
93.5%
Q3 - 7:40DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)49
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 7:41DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 249
5.9%
62
94.1%
Q3 - 7:41DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 249
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 7:53DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
6.8%
62
93.2%
Q3 - 7:54DALMISS Rondo 23' Jump Shot49
6.5%
62
93.5%
Q3 - 8:05DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
6.1%
62
93.9%
Q3 - 8:05DENFaried Putback Dunk (11 PTS)49
6.1%
62
93.9%
Q3 - 8:06DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup47
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q3 - 8:12DALEllis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)47
5.4%
62
94.6%
Q3 - 8:28DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)47
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 8:56DALRondo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)44
4.7%
60
95.3%
Q3 - 9:13DENParsons STEAL (1 STL)44
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q3 - 9:25DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)44
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 9:30DENEllis STEAL (1 STL)44
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q3 - 9:51DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)44
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 9:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q3 - 9:59DENMISS Lawson 19' Floating Jump Shot44
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q3 - 10:08DALParsons 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)44
9.6%
55
90.4%
Q3 - 10:20DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)44
10.9%
53
89.1%
Q3 - 10:21DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 244
11.1%
53
88.9%
Q3 - 10:21DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
12.1%
53
87.9%
Q3 - 10:25DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
10.9%
53
89.1%
Q3 - 10:26DALMISS Rondo 14' Driving Jump Shot43
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q3 - 10:51DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q3 - 10:51DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 242
9.3%
53
90.7%
Q3 - 11:15DALEllis 10' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q3 - 11:25DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P1.T10)42
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q3 - 11:43DALEllis 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)42
12.7%
51
87.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL42
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound42
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Rondo 46' 3PT Running Jump Shot42
15.4%
49
84.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
15.0%
49
85.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 241
14.7%
49
85.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0DALEllis 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST)41
14.5%
49
85.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
18.6%
46
81.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot41
19.0%
46
81.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)41
20.1%
46
79.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)41
20.3%
45
79.7%
Q2 - 1:11DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)41
23.4%
44
76.6%
Q2 - 1:17DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)38
18.3%
44
81.7%
Q2 - 1:18DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Step Back Jump Shot38
18.0%
44
82.0%
Q2 - 1:32DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)38
17.2%
44
82.8%
Q2 - 1:32DENMISS Nurkic 6' Turnaround Hook Shot38
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 1:52DALNowitzki 13' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)38
18.3%
44
81.7%
Q2 - 2:11DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)38
20.8%
42
79.2%
Q2 - 2:12DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)35
17.0%
42
83.0%
Q2 - 2:28DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 2:29DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 2:51DALParsons 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)35
16.9%
42
83.1%
Q2 - 2:57DENRondo STEAL (1 STL)35
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 3:12DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)35
21.0%
40
79.0%
Q2 - 3:16DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)35
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 3:16DENMISS Afflalo 10' Floating Jump Shot35
19.5%
40
80.5%
Q2 - 3:30DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
21.0%
40
79.0%
Q2 - 3:31DALMISS Ellis 17' Floating Jump Shot35
20.3%
40
79.7%
Q2 - 3:53DENChandler 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)35
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 3:59DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 4:00DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot32
15.1%
40
84.9%
Q2 - 4:16DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)32
14.3%
40
85.7%
Q2 - 4:17DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 3 of 332
14.5%
40
85.5%
Q2 - 4:17DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 332
15.5%
40
84.5%
Q2 - 4:17DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)32
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 4:37DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)31
14.3%
40
85.7%
Q2 - 4:38DALMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 231
14.1%
40
85.9%
Q2 - 4:38DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
13.2%
40
86.8%
Q2 - 4:44DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 4:44DENFaried Running Dunk (8 PTS)31
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 4:45DENMISS Lawson 7' Running Jump Shot29
12.1%
39
87.9%
Q2 - 4:50DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 4:51DENMISS Nurkic 6' Jump Shot29
12.1%
39
87.9%
Q2 - 5:11DALChandler 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)29
13.2%
39
86.8%
Q2 - 5:22DENFaried Foul Turnover (P1.T8)29
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 5:26DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 5:27DALMISS Aminu 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
15.5%
37
84.5%
Q2 - 5:45DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)29
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 5:46DENMISS Afflalo 7' Running Jump Shot29
14.9%
37
85.1%
Q2 - 6:10DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
16.5%
37
83.5%
Q2 - 6:11DALMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot29
15.9%
37
84.1%
Q2 - 6:33DENArthur 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)29
14.7%
37
85.3%
Q2 - 6:49DALChandler Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)27
13.6%
37
86.4%
Q2 - 6:56DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
14.7%
35
85.3%
Q2 - 6:57DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
15.2%
35
84.8%
Q2 - 7:18DALParsons 4' Driving Bank Shot (7 PTS)27
16.6%
35
83.4%
Q2 - 7:41DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
17.9%
33
82.1%
Q2 - 7:43DENMISS Arthur Free Throw 2 of 227
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q2 - 7:43DENArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
19.3%
33
80.7%
Q2 - 7:43DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
18.1%
33
81.9%
Q2 - 7:44DENMISS Nelson 19' Pullup Jump Shot26
16.9%
33
83.1%
Q2 - 7:56DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
18.1%
33
81.9%
Q2 - 7:57DALMISS Ellis 22' Pullup Jump Shot26
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q2 - 8:14DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)26
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q2 - 8:15DENMISS Arthur 20' Jump Shot26
17.0%
33
83.0%
Q2 - 8:22DALPowell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)26
18.1%
33
81.9%
Q2 - 8:24DENPowell STEAL (2 STL)26
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q2 - 8:28DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
18.1%
33
81.9%
Q2 - 8:29DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Step Back Jump Shot26
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q2 - 8:50DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q2 - 8:51DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
17.0%
33
83.0%
Q2 - 9:00DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
18.1%
33
81.9%
Q2 - 9:01DENMISS Chandler 15' Jump Shot26
17.0%
33
83.0%
Q2 - 9:21DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)26
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q2 - 9:25DENNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)26
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q2 - 9:39DALBarea 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)26
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q2 - 9:52DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 9:53DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot26
20.1%
31
79.9%
Q2 - 10:01DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)26
21.6%
31
78.4%
Q2 - 10:02DALMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
21.0%
31
79.0%
Q2 - 10:17DENHickson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)26
19.6%
31
80.4%
Q2 - 10:26DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)26
21.6%
31
78.4%
Q2 - 10:27DALMISS Barea Free Throw 1 of 126
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q2 - 10:40DENChandler 3' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)26
23.0%
29
77.0%
Q2 - 10:46DALBarea Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)24
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q2 - 10:53DENPowell STEAL (1 STL)24
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q2 - 11:03DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q2 - 11:04DALMISS Powell 6' Driving Hook Shot24
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q2 - 11:31DENArthur Foul Turnover (P1.T3)24
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q2 - 11:40DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q2 - 11:41DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot24
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN24
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot24
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
21.4%
29
78.6%
Q1 - 0:07.0DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
21.1%
29
78.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0DENNelson 22' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
20.3%
29
79.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
18.4%
29
81.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)22
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q1 - 1:05DENAfflalo 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)22
20.3%
27
79.7%
Q1 - 1:20DALAminu 1' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)20
18.5%
27
81.5%
Q1 - 1:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
20.3%
25
79.7%
Q1 - 1:27DENAminu BLOCK (1 BLK)20
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 1:46DALPowell 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)20
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q1 - 1:55DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
23.5%
23
76.5%
Q1 - 1:56DENMISS Nelson 29' 3PT Jump Shot20
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 2:08DALEllis Foul Turnover (P2.T5)20
25.0%
23
75.0%
Q1 - 2:23DENHickson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)20
23.4%
23
76.6%
Q1 - 2:26DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
25.0%
23
75.0%
Q1 - 2:27DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup20
24.5%
23
75.5%
Q1 - 2:33DALEllis Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)20
23.4%
23
76.6%
Q1 - 2:45DENFaried 6' Jump Bank Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)20
25.1%
22
74.9%
Q1 - 2:55DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
23.3%
22
76.7%
Q1 - 2:57DALMISS Aminu 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
22.8%
22
77.2%
Q1 - 3:10DENHickson Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)18
21.7%
22
78.3%
Q1 - 3:20DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 3:31DALAminu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
18.8%
22
81.2%
Q1 - 3:33DENMISS Hickson 6' Jump Hook Shot16
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 3:43DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 3:44DALMISS Aminu 1' Putback Layup16
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 3:45DALAminu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
18.8%
22
81.2%
Q1 - 3:46DALMISS Powell 18' Jump Shot16
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 3:57DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
18.8%
22
81.2%
Q1 - 3:58DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 4:06DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 4:07DALMISS Aminu 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 4:21DENFaried 3' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)16
18.8%
22
81.2%
Q1 - 4:40DALParsons 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Aminu 2 AST)14
17.7%
22
82.3%
Q1 - 4:42DALAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
18.8%
20
81.2%
Q1 - 4:43DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot14
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 4:48DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
18.8%
20
81.2%
Q1 - 4:50DENMISS Lawson 1' Driving Layup14
19.3%
20
80.7%
Q1 - 4:54DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q1 - 4:55DALMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup14
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 5:01DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
19.1%
20
80.9%
Q1 - 5:02DENMISS Nurkic 5' Turnaround Hook Shot14
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 5:16DALAminu Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)14
20.5%
20
79.5%
Q1 - 5:27DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
19.1%
20
80.9%
Q1 - 5:28DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
20.1%
20
79.9%
Q1 - 5:41DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
19.1%
20
80.9%
Q1 - 5:41DENFaried 1' Layup (2 PTS)14
19.1%
20
80.9%
Q1 - 5:42DENMISS Nurkic 2' Layup12
17.0%
20
83.0%
Q1 - 5:43DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
17.9%
20
82.1%
Q1 - 5:44DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
17.9%
20
82.1%
Q1 - 5:44DENMISS Nurkic Tip Shot12
17.0%
20
83.0%
Q1 - 5:45DENMISS Afflalo 12' Turnaround Jump Shot12
17.0%
20
83.0%
Q1 - 6:01DALHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Aminu 1 AST)12
18.2%
20
81.8%
Q1 - 6:20DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)12
20.6%
17
79.4%
Q1 - 6:37DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
18.2%
17
81.8%
Q1 - 6:38DALMISS Parsons Driving Finger Roll Layup9
17.8%
17
82.2%
Q1 - 6:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
16.9%
17
83.1%
Q1 - 6:44DENMISS Chandler 14' Jump Shot9
17.3%
17
82.7%
Q1 - 6:49DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)9
18.2%
17
81.8%
Q1 - 7:18DENChandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)9
17.0%
17
83.0%
Q1 - 7:23DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
15.1%
17
84.9%
Q1 - 7:24DALMISS Nowitzki 2' Layup6
14.7%
17
85.3%
Q1 - 7:43DENChandler Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS)6
14.0%
17
86.0%
Q1 - 8:01DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 8:01DALChandler 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)4
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 8:02DALMISS Rondo 7' Jump Shot4
14.8%
15
85.2%
Q1 - 8:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 8:13DENMISS Nurkic 9' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot4
14.4%
15
85.6%
Q1 - 8:34DALChandler Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)4
15.1%
15
84.9%
Q1 - 8:51DENAfflalo 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)4
16.0%
13
84.0%
Q1 - 9:09DALParsons 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)2
15.1%
13
84.9%
Q1 - 9:17DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
17.1%
10
82.9%
Q1 - 9:18DENMISS Afflalo 15' Fadeaway Jumper2
17.4%
10
82.6%
Q1 - 9:34DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)2
18.2%
10
81.8%
Q1 - 9:42DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.5%
7
79.5%
Q1 - 9:44DENMISS Lawson 13' Step Back Jump Shot2
20.9%
7
79.1%
Q1 - 9:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)2
21.9%
7
78.1%
Q1 - 9:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)2
22.0%
6
78.0%
Q1 - 9:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
23.1%
5
76.9%
Q1 - 10:01DALMISS Ellis Driving Layup2
24.1%
5
75.9%
Q1 - 10:14DENChandler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)2
23.1%
5
76.9%
Q1 - 10:34DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)2
24.6%
5
75.4%
Q1 - 10:44DENNurkic 6' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
25.8%
3
74.2%
Q1 - 11:04DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)0
24.3%
3
75.7%
Q1 - 11:11DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.2%
0
72.8%
Q1 - 11:12DENMISS Chandler 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
27.6%
0
72.4%
Q1 - 11:33DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
28.6%
0
71.4%
Q1 - 11:39DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.2%
0
72.8%
Q1 - 11:41DENMISS Chandler 1' Layup0
27.6%
0
72.4%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Chandler vs. Nurkic: Tip to Lawson0
28.6%
0
71.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.94 46.8%
DAL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
16
25
64%
DAL
15
23
65%
Midrange
DEN
9
33
27%
DAL
10
31
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
DAL
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
Free Throws
DEN
12
25
48%
DAL
23
29
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo1647%8.0 / 17
J. Nelson1447%7.0 / 15
J. Hickson1359%6.5 / 11
T. Lawson1132%5.5 / 17
K. Faried1192%5.5 / 6
W. Chandler1042%5.0 / 12
D. Arthur964%4.5 / 7
A. Gee375%1.5 / 2
J. Nurkić214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2563%12.5 / 20
C. Parsons1864%9.0 / 14
M. Ellis1447%7.0 / 15
T. Chandler1192%5.5 / 6
J. Barea964%4.5 / 7
A. Aminu844%4.0 / 9
D. Harris643%3.0 / 7
D. Powell450%2.0 / 4
R. Rondo214%1.0 / 7
R. Jefferson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
82
+13
-15
95
DAL
83
+12
-14
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.94 46.8%
DAL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
109.3
DEN 91.8 +8.2
DAL 100.0
Pace
95.9
95.4
DEN 105.9 +16.0
DAL 89.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.1
DEN 13.6 +2.4
DAL 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
51.5%
DEN 46.4%
DAL 46.8% +0.4%
TO %
14.3%
13.0%
DEN 13.8% +0.3%
DAL 14.1%
ORB %
26.5%
23.7%
DEN 23.6% +3.2%
DAL 20.4%
FTrt
27.8
26.2
DEN 30.1
DAL 36.7 +6.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.7%
56.7%
DEN 67.6% +0.9%
DAL 66.7%
STL %
8.0%
8.4%
DEN 6.2%
DAL 7.2% +1.0%
BLK %
7.2%
7.6%
DEN 5.6% +2.2%
DAL 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
53.7%
DEN 46.8%
DAL 50.5% +3.7%
Rim FG%
56.1%
60.3%
DEN 64.0%
DAL 65.2% +1.2%
Mid FG%
37.9%
41.5%
DEN 27.3%
DAL 32.3% +5.0%
3P %
32.5%
35.2%
DEN 36.0% +4.0%
DAL 32.0%
FT %
73.5%
75.2%
DEN 48.0%
DAL 79.3% +31.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.2%
35.3%
DEN 30.1% +1.0%
DAL 29.1%
Mid Att. %
33.4%
35.1%
DEN 39.8%
DAL 39.2% +0.5%
3P Att. %
28.4%
29.6%
DEN 30.1%
DAL 31.6% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes22.025.9
Points8997
Rebounds5252
Assists2322
Steals67
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (0)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (0)42 (1)
Field Goals34-8333-79
At-the-Rim FG16-2515-23
Midrange FG9-3310-31
2-Point FG25-5825-54
3-Point FG9-258-25
Free Throws12-2523-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 29
40.5
16
47%
5
0
1
0
1
2
0
5
1-1
100%
3-10
30%
3-7
43%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
40.1
10
42%
6
1
1
0
3
5
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-6
33%
G · 5'11" 195 · 27
39.2
11
32%
6
12
0
0
0
3
1
5
4-9
44%
2-10
20%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 228 · 25
27.6
11
92%
8
1
1
2
1
2
4
4
1-2
50%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 290 · 20
16.9
2
14%
6
0
1
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26
27.9
13
59%
14
1
0
0
5
3
3
11
3-8
38%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 33
27.8
14
47%
4
7
1
0
4
6
0
4
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
2-7
29%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
16.4
9
64%
3
0
1
1
1
4
1
2
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 20
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 185 · 24
1.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 225 · 28
0.7
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'4" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
47%
52
23
6
3
15
0
13
39
12-25
48%
25-58
43%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.