FinalWin Prob.pScore
1141%101
110
659%104
89
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
122.29091.8
TOR logo TOR
97.89189.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL110
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLHawks Rebound110
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0TORMISS Hansbrough 6' Pullup Jump Shot110
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0TORRAPTORS Rebound110
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLMISS Mack 19' Pullup Jump Shot110
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)110
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0TORMISS Hansbrough 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05ATLScott Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)110
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)109
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26TORVasquez 28' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35ATLBazemore 5' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS)108
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54ATLMack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)106
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56ATLMISS Brand Running Layup106
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16TORVasquez 17' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)106
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22ATLHansbrough STEAL (2 STL)106
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)106
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38TORMISS Hansbrough 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot106
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54ATLMuscala 3' Putback Layup (4 PTS)106
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)104
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58ATLMISS Mack 19' Jump Shot104
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08TORRoss Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)104
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08TORRoss Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)104
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18ATLMISS Muscala 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:03ATLMuscala 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)104
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:20TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)102
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:20TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:30TORRAPTORS Rebound102
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:31TORMISS Ross 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:55ATLMuscala Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)102
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07TORJohnson Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS) (Vasquez 6 AST)102
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 5:10TORVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:12ATLJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:27TORDeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:45ATLMillsap 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Teague 9 AST)102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:52TORDeRozan 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (25 PTS)100
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:12ATLBazemore Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:12ATLBazemore Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)99
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:12TORWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:30ATLBazemore 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Carroll 3 AST)98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:35ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:37TORMISS Johnson 3' Layup96
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 6:47TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 6:48ATLMISS Teague 5' Driving Jump Shot96
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 7:04ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 7:05TORMISS Johnson 4' Hook Shot96
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 7:22TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 7:23ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 296
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 7:23ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)96
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 7:41TORJohnson 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Vasquez 5 AST)95
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 7:53ATLBazemore Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)95
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 8:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 8:09TORMISS Vasquez 18' Pullup Jump Shot95
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 8:15TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 8:16ATLMISS Schroder 12' Floating Jump Shot95
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 8:27ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 8:28TORMISS Ross 27' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 8:36TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)95
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 8:37TORMISS DeRozan 11' Pullup Jump Shot95
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 9:00ATLMillsap Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)95
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 9:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
99.2%
72
0.8%
Q4 - 9:10TORMISS Johnson 4' Driving Layup93
99.2%
72
0.8%
Q4 - 9:27ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)93
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 9:43TORJohnson Reverse Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Vasquez 4 AST)90
98.5%
72
1.5%
Q4 - 10:04ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)90
98.4%
70
1.6%
Q4 - 10:24ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
97.5%
70
2.5%
Q4 - 10:25TORMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot87
97.3%
70
2.7%
Q4 - 10:40TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
96.9%
70
3.1%
Q4 - 10:41ATLMISS Millsap 19' Jump Shot87
97.1%
70
2.9%
Q4 - 10:58ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
97.5%
70
2.5%
Q4 - 10:58TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 11:19ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)87
96.2%
70
3.8%
Q4 - 11:42TORLowry 2' Running Layup (11 PTS)85
95.5%
70
4.5%
Q4 - 11:45TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
96.3%
68
3.7%
Q4 - 11:46TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
96.8%
68
3.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR85
96.3%
68
3.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound85
96.3%
68
3.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Lowry 55' 3PT Running Jump Shot85
96.8%
68
3.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)85
95.6%
68
4.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0TORJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)85
96.4%
68
3.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
95.6%
68
4.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0ATLMISS Schroder Driving Dunk85
95.9%
68
4.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0TORWilliams 11' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)85
96.4%
68
3.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLSefolosha 1' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)85
97.1%
66
2.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0TORJohnson Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T16)83
96.4%
66
3.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0TORRAPTORS Rebound83
95.7%
66
4.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0TORMISS Williams 2' Running Layup83
96.2%
66
3.8%
Q3 - 1:10TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
94.9%
66
5.1%
Q3 - 1:11ATLMISS Millsap 6' Pullup Jump Shot83
95.2%
66
4.8%
Q3 - 1:35TORVasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)83
95.8%
66
4.2%
Q3 - 1:44ATLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)83
97.1%
63
2.9%
Q3 - 1:59TORLowry 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)83
97.6%
63
2.4%
Q3 - 2:06TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
97.4%
61
2.6%
Q3 - 2:07ATLMISS Antic 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q3 - 2:25TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)83
97.9%
61
2.1%
Q3 - 2:27TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
98.2%
59
1.8%
Q3 - 2:29TORMISS Williams 2' Driving Layup83
98.5%
59
1.5%
Q3 - 2:52ATLAntic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)83
98.3%
59
1.7%
Q3 - 3:06TORJohnson 4' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)80
97.0%
59
3.0%
Q3 - 3:23ATLCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)80
97.5%
57
2.5%
Q3 - 3:47TORJohnson 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)77
96.5%
57
3.5%
Q3 - 4:13ATLCarroll 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)77
96.5%
55
3.5%
Q3 - 4:26ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
95.3%
55
4.7%
Q3 - 4:27TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 274
95.2%
55
4.8%
Q3 - 4:27TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)74
94.6%
55
5.4%
Q3 - 4:34TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
95.2%
54
4.8%
Q3 - 4:35ATLMISS Teague 4' Layup74
95.5%
54
4.5%
Q3 - 4:42ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
96.0%
54
4.0%
Q3 - 4:43ATLMISS Teague 11' Floating Jump Shot74
95.5%
54
4.5%
Q3 - 5:04TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)74
95.4%
54
4.6%
Q3 - 5:15ATLAntic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)74
96.0%
52
4.0%
Q3 - 5:34ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
96.7%
52
3.3%
Q3 - 5:34TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 274
96.6%
52
3.4%
Q3 - 5:34TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)74
96.2%
52
3.8%
Q3 - 5:44ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)74
96.6%
51
3.4%
Q3 - 5:44ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)73
96.5%
51
3.5%
Q3 - 5:58TORDeRozan 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)72
96.1%
51
3.9%
Q3 - 6:22ATLTeague 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)72
96.6%
48
3.4%
Q3 - 6:39TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)70
96.2%
48
3.8%
Q3 - 6:54ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carroll 2 AST)70
95.5%
48
4.5%
Q3 - 6:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
94.0%
48
6.0%
Q3 - 7:00TORMISS DeRozan 12' Jump Shot67
93.7%
48
6.3%
Q3 - 7:23ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)67
92.2%
48
7.8%
Q3 - 7:36ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
91.2%
48
8.8%
Q3 - 7:36TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 265
91.0%
48
9.0%
Q3 - 7:36TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)65
90.2%
48
9.8%
Q3 - 7:58ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
91.0%
47
9.0%
Q3 - 7:58ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
90.7%
47
9.3%
Q3 - 8:08ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
89.1%
47
10.9%
Q3 - 8:09TORMISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
88.6%
47
11.4%
Q3 - 8:14TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
87.3%
47
12.7%
Q3 - 8:15TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
88.6%
47
11.4%
Q3 - 8:36ATLHorford Driving Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)63
87.4%
47
12.6%
Q3 - 8:55TORDeRozan 4' Driving Bank Shot (14 PTS)61
86.0%
47
14.0%
Q3 - 8:59ATLTeague Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)61
87.4%
45
12.6%
Q3 - 9:16TORValanciunas 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)61
88.1%
45
11.9%
Q3 - 9:19TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)61
89.5%
43
10.5%
Q3 - 9:20TORMISS Valanciunas 3' Tip Shot61
90.4%
43
9.6%
Q3 - 9:21TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
89.5%
43
10.5%
Q3 - 9:22TORMISS Lowry 9' Fadeaway Jumper61
90.5%
43
9.5%
Q3 - 9:34TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
89.5%
43
10.5%
Q3 - 9:35ATLMISS Carroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
90.0%
43
10.0%
Q3 - 9:57TORDeRozan 6' Driving Bank Shot (12 PTS)61
90.9%
43
9.1%
Q3 - 10:15ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)61
91.4%
41
8.6%
Q3 - 10:34ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
88.9%
41
11.1%
Q3 - 10:35TORMISS DeRozan 10' Fadeaway Jumper58
88.5%
41
11.5%
Q3 - 11:00ATLMillsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)58
87.5%
41
12.5%
Q3 - 11:17TORRoss 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)55
83.0%
41
17.0%
Q3 - 11:38ATLTeague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
86.5%
38
13.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR52
83.1%
38
16.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound52
81.0%
38
19.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Lowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
82.5%
38
17.5%
Q2 - 0:12.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
80.0%
38
20.0%
Q2 - 0:13.0ATLMISS Teague 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot52
80.5%
38
19.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
81.5%
38
18.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0TORMISS DeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot52
81.1%
38
18.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0ATLTeague 5' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
80.0%
38
20.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0TORLowry 9' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)50
77.3%
38
22.7%
Q2 - 1:06TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
79.4%
36
20.6%
Q2 - 1:07ATLMISS Carroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
79.8%
36
20.2%
Q2 - 1:19TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)50
80.6%
36
19.4%
Q2 - 1:37ATLCarroll Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)50
79.5%
36
20.5%
Q2 - 1:41TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)48
76.3%
36
23.7%
Q2 - 1:53ATLKorver 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)48
75.0%
36
25.0%
Q2 - 2:05TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)46
71.0%
36
29.0%
Q2 - 2:37ATLTeague Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)46
68.5%
36
31.5%
Q2 - 2:41TORJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)44
65.6%
36
34.4%
Q2 - 3:03ATLCarroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)44
61.7%
36
38.3%
Q2 - 3:13ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
56.4%
36
43.6%
Q2 - 3:13TORMISS Johnson 3' Driving Jump Shot41
55.4%
36
44.6%
Q2 - 3:33ATLDeRozan STEAL (2 STL)41
53.0%
36
47.0%
Q2 - 3:45TORLowry Foul Turnover (P1.T10)41
56.5%
36
43.5%
Q2 - 3:47TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
53.0%
36
47.0%
Q2 - 3:49ATLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)41
54.1%
36
45.9%
Q2 - 4:01TORJohnson 2' Running Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)41
55.3%
36
44.7%
Q2 - 4:09TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
58.1%
34
41.9%
Q2 - 4:10ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
58.9%
34
41.1%
Q2 - 4:16TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)41
61.0%
34
39.0%
Q2 - 4:37ATLTeague Driving Layup (4 PTS)41
58.1%
34
41.9%
Q2 - 4:54TORLowry 2' Layup (5 PTS)39
55.4%
34
44.6%
Q2 - 4:58ATLLowry STEAL (2 STL)39
58.1%
32
41.9%
Q2 - 5:01ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
60.5%
32
39.5%
Q2 - 5:02TORMISS Hansbrough 5' Turnaround Hook Shot39
59.6%
32
40.4%
Q2 - 5:23TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
57.8%
32
42.2%
Q2 - 5:24ATLMISS Bazemore Free Throw 2 of 239
58.1%
32
41.9%
Q2 - 5:24ATLBazemore Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
59.6%
32
40.4%
Q2 - 5:47TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)38
57.8%
32
42.2%
Q2 - 6:01TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
54.2%
32
45.8%
Q2 - 6:03ATLHansbrough BLOCK (1 BLK)38
55.3%
32
44.7%
Q2 - 6:20TORDeRozan 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)38
57.6%
32
42.4%
Q2 - 6:38ATLBazemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)38
59.7%
30
40.3%
Q2 - 7:04TORDeRozan 17' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)35
54.1%
30
45.9%
Q2 - 7:17TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
56.6%
28
43.4%
Q2 - 7:18TORMISS Johnson 5' Driving Jump Shot35
58.5%
28
41.5%
Q2 - 7:30ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
56.6%
28
43.4%
Q2 - 7:30ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
55.9%
28
44.1%
Q2 - 7:45TORHansbrough Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Vasquez 3 AST)33
54.2%
28
45.8%
Q2 - 7:56TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
56.6%
26
43.4%
Q2 - 7:57ATLMISS Scott 27' 3PT Jump Shot33
57.5%
26
42.5%
Q2 - 8:17TORHansbrough 4' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)33
58.6%
26
41.4%
Q2 - 8:34TORRAPTORS Rebound33
61.0%
24
39.0%
Q2 - 8:35TORMISS Patterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
62.7%
24
37.3%
Q2 - 8:49ATLScott Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)33
61.0%
24
39.0%
Q2 - 9:03TORJohnson 1' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)33
62.7%
24
37.3%
Q2 - 9:29ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)33
64.8%
22
35.2%
Q2 - 9:39TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)31
62.8%
22
37.2%
Q2 - 9:45TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
67.1%
19
32.9%
Q2 - 9:46TORMISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
68.8%
19
31.2%
Q2 - 10:10ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T7)31
66.7%
19
33.3%
Q2 - 10:21ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
69.3%
19
30.7%
Q2 - 10:22TORMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot31
68.5%
19
31.5%
Q2 - 10:39ATLSefolosha 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)31
66.7%
19
33.3%
Q2 - 10:46ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
62.6%
19
37.4%
Q2 - 10:47TORMISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
61.7%
19
38.3%
Q2 - 11:03ATLScott 3' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)28
59.3%
19
40.7%
Q2 - 11:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
57.0%
19
43.0%
Q2 - 11:20TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
56.2%
19
43.8%
Q2 - 11:41ATLSchroder 5' Driving Bank Shot (6 PTS)26
54.6%
19
45.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR24
52.3%
19
47.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound24
49.7%
19
50.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
51.5%
19
48.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
49.6%
19
50.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
50.2%
19
49.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0TORWilliams 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)24
51.4%
19
48.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)24
56.7%
16
43.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0TORVasquez Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)22
53.7%
16
46.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0ATLAntic Foul Turnover (P1.T6)22
52.0%
16
48.0%
Q1 - 1:12TORPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
53.4%
16
46.6%
Q1 - 1:12TORPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
54.0%
15
46.0%
Q1 - 1:12TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
56.3%
14
43.7%
Q1 - 1:14TORMISS Vasquez 7' Driving Jump Shot22
57.5%
14
42.5%
Q1 - 1:31ATLHansbrough STEAL (1 STL)22
56.3%
14
43.7%
Q1 - 1:40TORHansbrough Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)22
58.0%
14
42.0%
Q1 - 1:42TORRAPTORS Rebound22
56.3%
14
43.7%
Q1 - 1:42TORMISS DeRozan 4' Driving Layup22
57.5%
14
42.5%
Q1 - 2:02ATLSchroder 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
55.9%
14
44.1%
Q1 - 2:24TORJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T5)20
53.5%
14
46.5%
Q1 - 2:48ATLMillsap 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)20
51.4%
14
48.6%
Q1 - 3:10TORLowry 3' Driving Layup (3 PTS)17
46.5%
14
53.5%
Q1 - 3:33TORRAPTORS Rebound17
48.5%
12
51.5%
Q1 - 3:34ATLMISS Millsap 4' Driving Layup17
49.3%
12
50.7%
Q1 - 3:51TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
51.0%
12
49.0%
Q1 - 3:51TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 217
51.4%
11
48.6%
Q1 - 4:10ATLMillsap 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)17
50.3%
11
49.7%
Q1 - 4:13ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
48.5%
11
51.5%
Q1 - 4:14ATLMISS Carroll 2' Running Layup15
46.7%
11
53.3%
Q1 - 4:19TORJohnson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)15
48.5%
11
51.5%
Q1 - 4:33TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
46.0%
11
54.0%
Q1 - 4:34ATLMISS Sefolosha 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
46.7%
11
53.3%
Q1 - 4:48ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
48.5%
11
51.5%
Q1 - 4:49TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot15
47.7%
11
52.3%
Q1 - 4:55TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
46.0%
11
54.0%
Q1 - 4:56ATLMISS Carroll 15' Pullup Jump Shot15
46.8%
11
53.3%
Q1 - 5:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
47.6%
11
52.4%
Q1 - 5:18TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot15
46.9%
11
53.1%
Q1 - 5:24TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
45.4%
11
54.6%
Q1 - 5:25ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
46.1%
11
53.9%
Q1 - 5:34ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
47.7%
11
52.3%
Q1 - 5:34TORMISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot15
47.0%
11
53.0%
Q1 - 5:49ATLLowry STEAL (1 STL)15
45.4%
11
54.6%
Q1 - 6:04ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
46.9%
11
53.1%
Q1 - 6:05TORMISS Valanciunas 3' Tip Shot15
46.3%
11
53.7%
Q1 - 6:08TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
44.8%
11
55.2%
Q1 - 6:09TORMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot15
46.3%
11
53.7%
Q1 - 6:22TORRAPTORS Rebound15
44.8%
11
55.2%
Q1 - 6:23TORMISS Ross 11' Jump Shot15
46.3%
11
53.7%
Q1 - 6:35ATLCarroll 3' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)15
44.8%
11
55.2%
Q1 - 6:52TORJohnson 6' Driving Hook Shot (5 PTS)13
43.0%
11
57.0%
Q1 - 7:18ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)13
44.5%
9
55.5%
Q1 - 7:32TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)10
41.0%
9
59.0%
Q1 - 7:32TORRAPTORS Rebound10
38.8%
9
61.2%
Q1 - 7:32TORMISS Ross 21' Step Back Jump Shot10
40.3%
9
59.7%
Q1 - 7:36TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
38.8%
9
61.2%
Q1 - 7:38TORMISS Ross 15' Pullup Jump Shot10
40.3%
9
59.7%
Q1 - 7:58ATLHorford 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)10
38.8%
9
61.2%
Q1 - 8:11TORDeRozan Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)8
37.3%
9
62.7%
Q1 - 8:24ATLMillsap 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)8
38.9%
7
61.1%
Q1 - 8:30TORDeRozan 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)6
37.3%
7
62.7%
Q1 - 8:41TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.9%
5
61.1%
Q1 - 8:42ATLMISS Teague 15' Jump Shot6
39.5%
5
60.5%
Q1 - 8:53TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
40.9%
5
59.1%
Q1 - 8:58ATLKorver Traveling Turnover (P3.T3)6
38.9%
5
61.1%
Q1 - 9:20TORDeRozan 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)6
40.8%
5
59.2%
Q1 - 9:35ATLHorford 4' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)6
42.5%
3
57.5%
Q1 - 9:44ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
40.8%
3
59.2%
Q1 - 9:45TORMISS Lowry 6' Driving Hook Shot4
40.2%
3
59.8%
Q1 - 9:53ATLDeRozan STEAL (1 STL)4
38.9%
3
61.1%
Q1 - 10:03ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
40.7%
3
59.3%
Q1 - 10:04TORMISS Ross 18' Pullup Jump Shot4
40.1%
3
59.9%
Q1 - 10:21ATLKorver Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
38.8%
3
61.2%
Q1 - 10:34TORJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)4
40.7%
3
59.3%
Q1 - 11:00ATLTeague Driving Dunk (2 PTS)4
44.2%
0
55.8%
Q1 - 11:04TORValanciunas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
42.2%
0
57.8%
Q1 - 11:26ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)2
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 11:40ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 11:41TORMISS Valanciunas 2' Tip Shot0
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:43TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
37.0%
0
63.0%
Q1 - 11:44TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot0
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Valanciunas vs. Horford: Tip to Lowry0
37.0%
0
63.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.43 71.4%
TOR
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
21
29
72%
TOR
18
30
60%
Midrange
ATL
9
17
53%
TOR
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
12
18.0
23
52%
78%
TOR
6
9.0
25
24%
36%
Free Throws
ATL
14
16
88%
TOR
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Horford22100%11.0 / 11
P. Millsap1680%8.0 / 10
D. Carroll1365%6.5 / 10
J. Teague1354%6.5 / 12
K. Korver1192%5.5 / 6
K. Bazemore10100%5.0 / 5
D. Schröder975%4.5 / 6
T. Sefolosha583%2.5 / 3
M. Scott450%2.0 / 4
M. Muscala467%2.0 / 3
P. Antic350%1.5 / 3
S. Mack0-0.0 / 2
E. Brand0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2563%12.5 / 20
J. Johnson1771%8.5 / 12
K. Lowry1139%5.5 / 14
A. Johnson857%4.0 / 7
G. Vasquez857%4.0 / 7
T. Ross528%2.5 / 9
L. Williams542%2.5 / 6
J. Valančiūnas440%2.0 / 5
T. Hansbrough433%2.0 / 6
P. Patterson225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
73
+4
-17
77
TOR
74
+21
-17
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.43 71.4%
TOR
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.9
111.2
ATL 122.2
TOR 97.8 +24.4
Pace
94.0
92.8
ATL 91.8 +2.5
TOR 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.8
ATL 15.7 +0.4
TOR 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
50.8%
ATL 69.6% +23.3%
TOR 46.3%
TO %
14.3%
13.0%
ATL 18.3%
TOR 17.5% +0.8%
ORB %
21.4%
25.6%
ATL 14.8%
TOR 30.0% +15.2%
FTrt
25.9
29.5
ATL 23.2 +2.5
TOR 20.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.6%
54.7%
ATL 71.4% +14.3%
TOR 57.1%
STL %
9.6%
8.0%
ATL 7.8% +0.1%
TOR 7.7%
BLK %
8.1%
7.2%
ATL 10.5% +4.0%
TOR 6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
53.8%
ATL 71.4% +24.6%
TOR 46.8%
Rim FG%
58.1%
59.4%
ATL 72.4% +12.4%
TOR 60.0%
Mid FG%
42.2%
40.5%
ATL 52.9% +12.2%
TOR 40.7%
3P %
38.0%
35.2%
ATL 52.2% +28.2%
TOR 24.0%
FT %
77.8%
78.7%
ATL 87.5% +11.0%
TOR 76.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
35.0%
ATL 42.0% +5.4%
TOR 36.6%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
34.9%
ATL 24.6% +8.3%
TOR 32.9%
3P Att. %
32.1%
30.2%
ATL 33.3% +2.8%
TOR 30.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLTOR
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points11089
Rebounds3235
Assists3020
Steals77
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (0)12 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)23 (2)
Field Goals42-6935-82
At-the-Rim FG21-2918-30
Midrange FG9-1711-27
2-Point FG30-4629-57
3-Point FG12-236-25
Free Throws14-1613-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 246 · 30
33.1
16
80%
8
4
3
2
3
3
1
7
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
2-2
100%
F · 6'8" 215 · 28
30.1
13
65%
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
G · 6'7" 212 · 34
29.3
11
92%
1
2
1
0
5
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
C · 6'10" 245 · 29
27.8
22
100%
5
5
0
1
0
0
0
5
6-7
86%
8-8
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 27
25.4
13
54%
5
9
2
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
5-10
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 175 · 21
18.3
9
75%
0
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 31
16.9
5
83%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32
16.4
3
50%
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 201 · 26
15.0
10
100%
2
0
0
1
2
3
0
2
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 237 · 27
12.5
4
50%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24
6.2
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 203 · 25
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 36
4.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#33 · · 6'10" 237 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'4" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
71%
32
30
7
6
17
0
4
28
14-16
88%
30-46
65%
12-23
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.