| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 97.8 | 91 | 85.0 |
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Scoring Opportunities
MIA
74
+14
-17
88
GSW
78
+11
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.00 50.0%
GSW
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | GSW |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | GSW | 89 0% | 104 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 89 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 88 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:26.0 | GSW | Curry 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Iguodala 7 AST) | 87 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:45.0 | GSW | Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 87 0.1% | 101 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | MIA | Ennis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 87 0.1% | 101 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | MIA | MISS Ennis 3' Putback Layup | 87 0.1% | 101 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:49.0 | MIA | MISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot | 87 0.1% | 101 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:00 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 87 0.1% | 101 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:01 | GSW | MISS Thompson 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 87 0.1% | 101 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:16 | GSW | Curry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 87 0.1% | 101 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:17 | MIA | MISS Hamilton 3' Running Jump Shot | 87 0.1% | 101 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:30 | GSW | Green Foul Turnover (P2.T13) | 87 0.1% | 101 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:44 | MIA | Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 87 0.1% | 101 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:44 | MIA | MISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 | 86 0.1% | 101 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:00 | GSW | Iguodala 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) | 86 0.1% | 101 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:13 | GSW | Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 86 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:14 | MIA | MISS Napier 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 86 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:20 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 86 0.2% | 99 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | GSW | MISS Thompson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:37 | MIA | Deng 1' Reverse Layup (18 PTS) | 86 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:39 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 84 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:40 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:46 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 84 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:48 | MIA | MISS Deng 11' Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:06 | GSW | Curry Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS) | 84 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:22 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 84 0.2% | 96 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:22 | MIA | Bosh Putback Slam Dunk (26 PTS) | 84 0.2% | 96 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:23 | MIA | MISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 82 0.1% | 96 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:36 | GSW | Thompson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12) | 82 0.3% | 96 99.7% |
| Q4 - 3:54 | GSW | Bogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 82 0.2% | 96 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:55 | MIA | MISS Bosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper | 82 0.2% | 96 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:16 | GSW | Bogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 82 0.3% | 96 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:16 | GSW | Bogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 82 0.4% | 95 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:23 | MIA | Bosh 12' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Napier 6 AST) | 82 0.4% | 94 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:33 | GSW | Bogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 80 0.3% | 94 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:33 | GSW | Bogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 80 0.3% | 93 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:35 | MIA | Chalmers 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) | 80 0.4% | 92 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:46 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 78 0.3% | 92 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:47 | GSW | MISS Curry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 78 0.3% | 92 99.7% |
| Q4 - 5:04 | GSW | Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 78 0.4% | 92 99.6% |
| Q4 - 5:05 | MIA | MISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 0.4% | 92 99.6% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 78 0.5% | 92 99.5% |
| Q4 - 5:17 | GSW | MISS Green 11' Pullup Bank Shot | 78 0.5% | 92 99.5% |
| Q4 - 5:33 | MIA | Deng 7' Jump Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST) | 78 0.4% | 92 99.6% |
| Q4 - 5:52 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 76 0.3% | 92 99.7% |
| Q4 - 5:53 | GSW | MISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 2 | 76 0.2% | 92 99.8% |
| Q4 - 5:53 | GSW | MISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 2 | 76 0.2% | 92 99.8% |
| Q4 - 6:07 | MIA | Napier 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 76 0.3% | 92 99.7% |
| Q4 - 6:13 | GSW | Green Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 74 0.2% | 92 99.8% |
| Q4 - 6:13 | GSW | MISS Green Free Throw 1 of 2 | 74 0.2% | 91 99.8% |
| Q4 - 6:22 | MIA | Deng Foul Turnover (P1.T19) | 74 0.2% | 91 99.8% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | GSW | Thompson 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Green 3 AST) | 74 0.3% | 91 99.7% |
| Q4 - 6:48 | MIA | Napier Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 74 0.5% | 88 99.5% |
| Q4 - 6:48 | MIA | Napier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 73 0.5% | 88 99.5% |
| Q4 - 7:16 | GSW | Thompson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Iguodala 6 AST) | 72 0.5% | 88 99.5% |
| Q4 - 7:33 | GSW | Bogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 72 0.7% | 86 99.3% |
| Q4 - 7:34 | MIA | MISS Cole 17' Pullup Jump Shot | 72 0.7% | 86 99.3% |
| Q4 - 8:00 | MIA | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 72 0.9% | 86 99.1% |
| Q4 - 8:01 | GSW | MISS Lee 2' Reverse Layup | 72 1.1% | 86 98.9% |
| Q4 - 8:21 | MIA | Cole Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18) | 72 0.9% | 86 99.1% |
| Q4 - 8:37 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 72 1.2% | 86 98.8% |
| Q4 - 8:39 | GSW | MISS Holiday Free Throw 1 of 1 | 72 1.1% | 86 98.9% |
| Q4 - 8:43 | MIA | Barbosa STEAL (1 STL) | 72 1.5% | 84 98.5% |
| Q4 - 9:03 | GSW | Holiday 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST) | 72 2.4% | 84 97.6% |
| Q4 - 9:20 | MIA | Shaw. Williams 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 4 AST) | 72 3.7% | 81 96.3% |
| Q4 - 9:31 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 69 2.4% | 81 97.6% |
| Q4 - 9:32 | GSW | MISS Speights 12' Running Hook Shot | 69 2.2% | 81 97.8% |
| Q4 - 9:45 | GSW | Speights REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 69 1.8% | 81 98.2% |
| Q4 - 9:46 | MIA | MISS Shaw. Williams 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 69 2.0% | 81 98.0% |
| Q4 - 9:54 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 69 2.3% | 81 97.7% |
| Q4 - 9:55 | GSW | MISS Barbosa 7' Running Jump Shot | 69 2.2% | 81 97.8% |
| Q4 - 10:16 | MIA | Shaw. Williams 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST) | 69 2.1% | 81 97.9% |
| Q4 - 10:26 | MIA | Ennis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 67 1.7% | 81 98.3% |
| Q4 - 10:26 | GSW | MISS Barbosa 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 67 1.6% | 81 98.4% |
| Q4 - 10:54 | MIA | Ennis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 67 1.4% | 81 98.6% |
| Q4 - 10:54 | MIA | Ennis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 66 1.3% | 81 98.7% |
| Q4 - 11:03 | MIA | Ennis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 65 1.3% | 81 98.7% |
| Q4 - 11:03 | GSW | MISS Speights 15' Fadeaway Jumper | 65 1.2% | 81 98.8% |
| Q4 - 11:24 | MIA | Shaw. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16) | 65 1.0% | 81 99.0% |
| Q4 - 11:38 | GSW | Speights Foul Turnover (P1.T11) | 65 1.3% | 81 98.7% |
| Q4 - 11:47 | MIA | Cole 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 1 AST) | 65 1.0% | 81 99.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 63 0.8% | 81 99.2% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 63 0.8% | 81 99.2% |
| Q3 - 0:03.0 | MIA | MISS Cole 8' Driving Jump Shot | 63 0.9% | 81 99.1% |
| Q3 - 0:23.0 | GSW | Barbosa 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lee 5 AST) | 63 1.0% | 81 99.0% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | MIA | Whiteside Foul Turnover (P3.T15) | 63 1.5% | 78 98.5% |
| Q3 - 0:40.0 | GSW | Iguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10) | 63 1.8% | 78 98.2% |
| Q3 - 0:51.0 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 63 1.5% | 78 98.5% |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | MIA | MISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 | 63 1.5% | 78 98.5% |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | MIA | MISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 | 63 1.7% | 78 98.3% |
| Q3 - 1:01 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9) | 63 2.0% | 78 98.0% |
| Q3 - 1:03 | GSW | MISS Curry 16' Pullup Bank Shot | 63 1.9% | 78 98.1% |
| Q3 - 1:19 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 63 1.6% | 78 98.4% |
| Q3 - 1:19 | MIA | Whiteside Tip Shot (10 PTS) | 63 1.6% | 78 98.4% |
| Q3 - 1:20 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 10' Driving Jump Shot | 61 1.2% | 78 98.8% |
| Q3 - 1:38 | GSW | Speights Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 61 1.3% | 78 98.7% |
| Q3 - 1:38 | GSW | Speights Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 61 1.4% | 77 98.6% |
| Q3 - 1:50 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14) | 61 1.6% | 76 98.4% |
| Q3 - 2:18 | GSW | Curry 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST) | 61 2.2% | 76 97.8% |
| Q3 - 2:22 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 61 3.1% | 73 96.9% |
| Q3 - 2:23 | GSW | MISS Speights 18' Step Back Jump Shot | 61 3.6% | 73 96.4% |
| Q3 - 2:31 | GSW | WARRIORS Rebound | 61 3.1% | 73 96.9% |
| Q3 - 2:32 | GSW | MISS Curry 3' Jump Shot | 61 3.6% | 73 96.4% |
| Q3 - 2:43 | MIA | Deng 6' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 61 3.1% | 73 96.9% |
| Q3 - 2:57 | GSW | Speights 13' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Curry 3 AST) | 59 2.6% | 73 97.4% |
| Q3 - 3:14 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 59 3.4% | 71 96.6% |
| Q3 - 3:14 | MIA | Whiteside 2' Putback Layup (8 PTS) | 59 3.4% | 71 96.6% |
| Q3 - 3:15 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 5' Running Jump Shot | 57 2.6% | 71 97.4% |
| Q3 - 3:32 | GSW | Curry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST) | 57 2.9% | 71 97.1% |
| Q3 - 3:56 | MIA | Whiteside Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T13) | 57 4.0% | 68 96.0% |
| Q3 - 4:11 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 57 5.1% | 68 94.9% |
| Q3 - 4:12 | GSW | MISS Curry 21' Pullup Jump Shot | 57 4.8% | 68 95.2% |
| Q3 - 4:19 | MIA | Curry STEAL (2 STL) | 57 4.2% | 68 95.8% |
| Q3 - 4:36 | GSW | Thompson 11' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lee 4 AST) | 57 5.1% | 68 94.9% |
| Q3 - 4:49 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 57 5.8% | 66 94.2% |
| Q3 - 4:49 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 56 5.6% | 66 94.4% |
| Q3 - 4:59 | GSW | Bogut Foul Turnover (P1.T9) | 55 5.1% | 66 94.9% |
| Q3 - 5:10 | GSW | Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 55 4.4% | 66 95.6% |
| Q3 - 5:11 | MIA | MISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 4.7% | 66 95.3% |
| Q3 - 5:31 | GSW | Iguodala Foul Turnover (P2.T8) | 55 5.3% | 66 94.7% |
| Q3 - 5:44 | MIA | Napier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 55 4.4% | 66 95.6% |
| Q3 - 6:01 | GSW | Lee 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Curry 2 AST) | 55 5.4% | 66 94.6% |
| Q3 - 6:12 | GSW | Bogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 55 6.1% | 64 93.9% |
| Q3 - 6:13 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 2' Alley Oop Layup | 55 6.5% | 64 93.5% |
| Q3 - 6:25 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 55 7.3% | 64 92.7% |
| Q3 - 6:26 | GSW | MISS Thompson 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 6.9% | 64 93.1% |
| Q3 - 6:38 | MIA | Deng 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Napier 5 AST) | 55 6.1% | 64 93.9% |
| Q3 - 6:50 | GSW | Curry Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS) | 52 4.7% | 64 95.3% |
| Q3 - 7:03 | MIA | Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 52 6.3% | 61 93.7% |
| Q3 - 7:03 | MIA | Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 51 6.1% | 61 93.9% |
| Q3 - 7:19 | GSW | Green Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 50 5.5% | 61 94.5% |
| Q3 - 7:27 | MIA | Whiteside 15' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Napier 4 AST) | 50 4.7% | 61 95.3% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 48 4.1% | 61 95.9% |
| Q3 - 7:42 | GSW | MISS Green 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 48 3.9% | 61 96.1% |
| Q3 - 7:50 | GSW | Barnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 48 3.5% | 61 96.5% |
| Q3 - 7:51 | MIA | MISS Bosh 16' Pullup Jump Shot | 48 3.7% | 61 96.3% |
| Q3 - 8:05 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 48 4.3% | 61 95.7% |
| Q3 - 8:06 | GSW | MISS Thompson 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 48 4.1% | 61 95.9% |
| Q3 - 8:26 | MIA | Napier 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 48 3.6% | 61 96.4% |
| Q3 - 8:47 | GSW | Thompson 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Green 2 AST) | 45 2.8% | 61 97.2% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | MIA | Bogut STEAL (1 STL) | 45 3.1% | 59 96.9% |
| Q3 - 9:06 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 45 3.8% | 59 96.2% |
| Q3 - 9:07 | GSW | MISS Thompson 15' Pullup Jump Shot | 45 3.6% | 59 96.4% |
| Q3 - 9:31 | MIA | Napier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 45 3.3% | 59 96.7% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | GSW | Barnes 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) | 45 3.8% | 59 96.2% |
| Q3 - 10:00 | GSW | Barnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 45 4.3% | 57 95.7% |
| Q3 - 10:01 | GSW | MISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 4.8% | 57 95.2% |
| Q3 - 10:18 | MIA | Deng 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 45 4.3% | 57 95.7% |
| Q3 - 10:28 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 42 3.3% | 57 96.7% |
| Q3 - 10:29 | GSW | MISS Thompson 16' Pullup Jump Shot | 42 3.2% | 57 96.8% |
| Q3 - 10:41 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 42 2.9% | 57 97.1% |
| Q3 - 10:41 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 41 2.8% | 57 97.2% |
| Q3 - 10:59 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 40 2.5% | 57 97.5% |
| Q3 - 11:01 | GSW | MISS Green 16' Step Back Jump Shot | 40 2.5% | 57 97.5% |
| Q3 - 11:17 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 40 2.3% | 57 97.7% |
| Q3 - 11:17 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 39 2.2% | 57 97.8% |
| Q3 - 11:37 | GSW | Curry 15' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST) | 38 2.0% | 57 98.0% |
| Q3 - 11:42 | GSW | Barnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 38 2.3% | 55 97.7% |
| Q3 - 11:44 | GSW | MISS Barnes 21' Jump Shot | 38 2.5% | 55 97.5% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 38 2.3% | 55 97.7% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 38 2.6% | 55 97.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Thompson BLOCK (2 BLK) | 38 2.4% | 55 97.6% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 38 2.8% | 55 97.2% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 6' Jump Hook Shot | 38 2.7% | 55 97.3% |
| Q2 - 0:19.0 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 38 2.8% | 55 97.2% |
| Q2 - 0:20.0 | GSW | MISS Thompson 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 2.7% | 55 97.3% |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Napier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 38 2.6% | 55 97.4% |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Napier 2' Putback Layup (3 PTS) | 38 2.6% | 55 97.4% |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 14' Jump Shot | 36 2.0% | 55 98.0% |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | GSW | Speights REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 36 2.2% | 55 97.8% |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | GSW | Speights 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS) | 36 2.2% | 55 97.8% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | GSW | MISS Barnes 2' Driving Layup | 36 2.7% | 53 97.3% |
| Q2 - 0:57.0 | GSW | Curry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 36 2.5% | 53 97.5% |
| Q2 - 0:58.0 | MIA | MISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 2.6% | 53 97.4% |
| Q2 - 1:15 | GSW | Speights REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 36 3.0% | 53 97.0% |
| Q2 - 1:15 | GSW | Speights Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS) | 36 3.0% | 53 97.0% |
| Q2 - 1:16 | GSW | MISS Green 3' Jump Shot | 36 3.7% | 51 96.3% |
| Q2 - 1:36 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 36 3.5% | 51 96.5% |
| Q2 - 1:36 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 35 3.4% | 51 96.6% |
| Q2 - 1:51 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 34 3.0% | 51 97.0% |
| Q2 - 1:52 | GSW | MISS Curry 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 34 2.9% | 51 97.1% |
| Q2 - 2:04 | MIA | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Deng 1 AST) | 34 2.8% | 51 97.2% |
| Q2 - 2:24 | GSW | Curry 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 32 2.5% | 51 97.5% |
| Q2 - 2:40 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 32 3.2% | 48 96.8% |
| Q2 - 2:40 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 31 3.1% | 48 96.9% |
| Q2 - 3:06 | GSW | Curry 28' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST) | 30 3.0% | 48 97.0% |
| Q2 - 3:09 | GSW | Curry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 30 3.7% | 45 96.3% |
| Q2 - 3:11 | GSW | MISS Barnes 5' Jump Shot | 30 4.0% | 45 96.0% |
| Q2 - 3:13 | GSW | Barnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 30 3.7% | 45 96.3% |
| Q2 - 3:15 | GSW | MISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 30 4.0% | 45 96.0% |
| Q2 - 3:26 | MIA | Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 30 3.7% | 45 96.3% |
| Q2 - 3:26 | MIA | Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 29 3.6% | 45 96.4% |
| Q2 - 3:41 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 28 3.3% | 45 96.7% |
| Q2 - 3:42 | GSW | MISS Green 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 28 3.2% | 45 96.8% |
| Q2 - 4:03 | MIA | Napier Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 28 3.1% | 45 96.9% |
| Q2 - 4:03 | MIA | MISS Napier Free Throw 1 of 2 | 27 3.0% | 45 97.0% |
| Q2 - 4:22 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 27 3.1% | 45 96.9% |
| Q2 - 4:24 | GSW | MISS Barbosa 23' Pullup Jump Shot | 27 3.0% | 45 97.0% |
| Q2 - 4:33 | GSW | Barbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 27 2.8% | 45 97.2% |
| Q2 - 4:34 | MIA | Holiday BLOCK (1 BLK) | 27 2.9% | 45 97.1% |
| Q2 - 4:59 | GSW | Iguodala Driving Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST) | 27 3.1% | 45 96.9% |
| Q2 - 5:13 | MIA | Deng 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Napier 3 AST) | 27 3.6% | 43 96.4% |
| Q2 - 5:27 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 25 3.2% | 43 96.8% |
| Q2 - 5:28 | GSW | MISS Holiday 17' Pullup Jump Shot | 25 3.1% | 43 96.9% |
| Q2 - 5:47 | MIA | Whiteside Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8) | 25 2.9% | 43 97.1% |
| Q2 - 5:48 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 25 3.2% | 43 96.8% |
| Q2 - 5:49 | MIA | MISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 25 3.0% | 43 97.0% |
| Q2 - 6:06 | GSW | Holiday 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST) | 25 3.4% | 43 96.6% |
| Q2 - 6:13 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 25 3.7% | 41 96.3% |
| Q2 - 6:14 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 3.8% | 41 96.2% |
| Q2 - 6:42 | GSW | Iguodala 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lee 2 AST) | 25 4.2% | 41 95.8% |
| Q2 - 7:03 | MIA | Chalmers 13' Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 25 5.2% | 38 94.8% |
| Q2 - 7:17 | GSW | Barbosa 10' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST) | 23 4.8% | 38 95.2% |
| Q2 - 7:30 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 23 5.2% | 36 94.8% |
| Q2 - 7:32 | MIA | Iguodala BLOCK (1 BLK) | 23 5.4% | 36 94.6% |
| Q2 - 7:49 | GSW | Lee 5' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 23 5.8% | 36 94.2% |
| Q2 - 7:51 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 23 6.4% | 34 93.6% |
| Q2 - 7:53 | GSW | MISS Lee 4' Jump Shot | 23 6.9% | 34 93.1% |
| Q2 - 8:11 | GSW | WARRIORS Rebound | 23 6.5% | 34 93.5% |
| Q2 - 8:12 | MIA | MISS Bosh 18' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 23 6.7% | 34 93.3% |
| Q2 - 8:23 | MIA | Ennis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 7.1% | 34 92.9% |
| Q2 - 8:24 | GSW | MISS Holiday 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 23 6.9% | 34 93.1% |
| Q2 - 8:38 | MIA | Granger Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 23 6.5% | 34 93.5% |
| Q2 - 8:54 | GSW | Barbosa 9' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Speights 2 AST) | 23 7.1% | 34 92.9% |
| Q2 - 9:15 | MIA | Bosh 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 3 AST) | 23 7.8% | 32 92.2% |
| Q2 - 9:25 | MIA | Granger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 20 6.5% | 32 93.5% |
| Q2 - 9:26 | GSW | MISS Speights 20' Jump Shot | 20 6.3% | 32 93.7% |
| Q2 - 9:38 | GSW | Speights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 20 5.9% | 32 94.1% |
| Q2 - 9:40 | GSW | MISS Iguodala 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 20 6.3% | 32 93.7% |
| Q2 - 9:50 | MIA | Bosh 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS) (Cole 2 AST) | 20 5.9% | 32 94.1% |
| Q2 - 10:12 | GSW | Iguodala 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lee 1 AST) | 18 5.6% | 32 94.4% |
| Q2 - 10:31 | MIA | Cole Foul Turnover (P1.T6) | 18 6.0% | 30 94.0% |
| Q2 - 10:54 | GSW | Lee 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Holiday 2 AST) | 18 6.7% | 30 93.3% |
| Q2 - 11:13 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5) | 18 7.4% | 28 92.6% |
| Q2 - 11:40 | GSW | Barbosa 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST) | 18 8.1% | 28 91.9% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 18 8.9% | 26 91.1% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 9.7% | 26 90.3% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | GSW | MISS Thompson 14' Jump Shot | 18 9.5% | 26 90.5% |
| Q1 - 0:06.0 | MIA | Bosh 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 18 9.1% | 26 90.9% |
| Q1 - 0:24.0 | GSW | Iguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 16 8.2% | 26 91.8% |
| Q1 - 0:36.0 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 7.7% | 26 92.3% |
| Q1 - 0:37.0 | MIA | MISS Cole 12' Pullup Jump Shot | 16 7.8% | 26 92.2% |
| Q1 - 0:47.0 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 16 8.2% | 26 91.8% |
| Q1 - 0:47.0 | GSW | MISS Speights 18' Pullup Jump Shot | 16 8.0% | 26 92.0% |
| Q1 - 1:00 | MIA | Ennis 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 16 7.7% | 26 92.3% |
| Q1 - 1:11 | GSW | Lee Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 14 6.9% | 26 93.1% |
| Q1 - 1:11 | GSW | Lee Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 14 7.0% | 25 93.0% |
| Q1 - 1:16 | GSW | Speights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 7.7% | 24 92.3% |
| Q1 - 1:18 | MIA | MISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot | 14 7.9% | 24 92.1% |
| Q1 - 1:37 | GSW | Barbosa Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5) | 14 8.2% | 24 91.8% |
| Q1 - 1:41 | GSW | Barbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 7.7% | 24 92.3% |
| Q1 - 1:42 | MIA | MISS Granger 14' Fadeaway Jumper | 14 7.9% | 24 92.1% |
| Q1 - 1:46 | MIA | Granger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 14 8.2% | 24 91.8% |
| Q1 - 1:47 | MIA | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 14 7.9% | 24 92.1% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | GSW | Thompson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST) | 14 8.4% | 24 91.6% |
| Q1 - 2:22 | MIA | Cole 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 14 9.9% | 21 90.1% |
| Q1 - 2:45 | GSW | Thompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 12 9.1% | 21 90.9% |
| Q1 - 2:45 | GSW | Thompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 12 9.2% | 20 90.8% |
| Q1 - 3:02 | MIA | Andersen 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Napier 2 AST) | 12 9.8% | 19 90.2% |
| Q1 - 3:18 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 10 9.2% | 19 90.8% |
| Q1 - 3:19 | GSW | MISS Speights 17' Pullup Jump Shot | 10 8.9% | 19 91.1% |
| Q1 - 3:23 | GSW | Speights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 8.4% | 19 91.6% |
| Q1 - 3:27 | MIA | MISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 10 8.6% | 19 91.4% |
| Q1 - 3:43 | GSW | Green Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 10 9.2% | 19 90.8% |
| Q1 - 3:43 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 10 9.1% | 18 90.9% |
| Q1 - 3:45 | GSW | Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 9 9.9% | 16 90.1% |
| Q1 - 3:47 | MIA | Thompson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 9 10.1% | 16 89.9% |
| Q1 - 4:04 | GSW | Green Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Speights 1 AST) | 9 10.7% | 16 89.3% |
| Q1 - 4:21 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4) | 9 11.5% | 14 88.5% |
| Q1 - 4:39 | GSW | Thompson Driving Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST) | 9 12.5% | 14 87.5% |
| Q1 - 4:44 | MIA | Thompson STEAL (1 STL) | 9 13.4% | 12 86.6% |
| Q1 - 5:00 | GSW | Barnes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4) | 9 14.6% | 12 85.4% |
| Q1 - 5:11 | GSW | Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 13.4% | 12 86.6% |
| Q1 - 5:12 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 9' Jump Shot | 9 13.7% | 12 86.3% |
| Q1 - 5:31 | GSW | Thompson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Curry 1 AST) | 9 14.5% | 12 85.5% |
| Q1 - 5:36 | GSW | Curry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 9 16.6% | 9 83.4% |
| Q1 - 5:38 | MIA | Barnes BLOCK (1 BLK) | 9 17.0% | 9 83.0% |
| Q1 - 5:54 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 9 17.9% | 9 82.1% |
| Q1 - 5:55 | GSW | MISS Curry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 9 17.5% | 9 82.5% |
| Q1 - 6:10 | GSW | WARRIORS Rebound | 9 16.3% | 9 83.7% |
| Q1 - 6:12 | MIA | MISS Napier 9' Floating Jump Shot | 9 16.7% | 9 83.3% |
| Q1 - 6:24 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 9 17.6% | 9 82.4% |
| Q1 - 6:26 | GSW | MISS Bogut 2' Alley Oop Layup | 9 17.2% | 9 82.8% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | MIA | Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2) | 9 16.4% | 9 83.6% |
| Q1 - 7:01 | GSW | Curry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3) | 9 17.3% | 9 82.7% |
| Q1 - 7:11 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 9 16.1% | 9 83.9% |
| Q1 - 7:11 | MIA | Bosh Tip Shot (5 PTS) | 9 16.1% | 9 83.9% |
| Q1 - 7:13 | MIA | MISS Bosh 2' Layup | 7 14.4% | 9 85.6% |
| Q1 - 7:25 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 15.2% | 9 84.8% |
| Q1 - 7:27 | GSW | MISS Barnes 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 7 14.9% | 9 85.1% |
| Q1 - 7:33 | MIA | Curry STEAL (1 STL) | 7 14.1% | 9 85.9% |
| Q1 - 7:57 | GSW | Curry 31' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 7 15.2% | 9 84.8% |
| Q1 - 8:03 | GSW | Barnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 16.9% | 6 83.1% |
| Q1 - 8:04 | MIA | MISS Deng 12' Jump Shot | 7 17.3% | 6 82.7% |
| Q1 - 8:30 | GSW | Curry 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST) | 7 18.1% | 6 81.9% |
| Q1 - 8:46 | MIA | Bosh 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Napier 1 AST) | 7 20.4% | 3 79.6% |
| Q1 - 9:01 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 4 17.9% | 3 82.1% |
| Q1 - 9:02 | MIA | MISS Deng 1' Driving Reverse Layup | 4 17.1% | 3 82.9% |
| Q1 - 9:21 | GSW | Curry 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 4 17.9% | 3 82.1% |
| Q1 - 9:26 | GSW | Curry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 4 19.0% | 1 81.0% |
| Q1 - 9:26 | GSW | MISS Thompson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 4 19.9% | 1 80.1% |
| Q1 - 9:35 | GSW | Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 19.0% | 1 81.0% |
| Q1 - 9:36 | MIA | MISS Napier 3PT Jump Shot | 4 19.4% | 1 80.6% |
| Q1 - 9:50 | GSW | Curry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2) | 4 20.3% | 1 79.7% |
| Q1 - 9:54 | GSW | Curry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 4 19.0% | 1 81.0% |
| Q1 - 10:04 | GSW | Bogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 20.0% | 0 80.0% |
| Q1 - 10:05 | MIA | MISS Bosh 7' Turnaround Hook Shot | 4 20.5% | 0 79.5% |
| Q1 - 10:19 | MIA | Napier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 21.4% | 0 78.6% |
| Q1 - 10:20 | GSW | MISS Curry 1' Driving Layup | 4 21.0% | 0 79.0% |
| Q1 - 10:33 | MIA | Whiteside Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 4 20.1% | 0 79.9% |
| Q1 - 10:46 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 19.0% | 0 81.0% |
| Q1 - 10:47 | GSW | MISS Barnes 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot | 2 18.6% | 0 81.4% |
| Q1 - 11:00 | GSW | Bogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 17.8% | 0 82.2% |
| Q1 - 11:07 | MIA | MISS Bosh 12' Jump Hook Shot | 2 17.9% | 0 82.1% |
| Q1 - 11:22 | GSW | Curry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 18.6% | 0 81.4% |
| Q1 - 11:42 | MIA | Whiteside 3' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 2 17.6% | 0 82.4% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | GSW | Jump Ball Bogut vs. Whiteside: Tip to Bosh | 0 16.5% | 0 83.5% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.00 50.0%
GSW
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
19
53%
GSW
15
24
63%
Midrange
MIA
14
34
41%
GSW
10
28
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
GSW
13
19.5
29
45%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
23
27
85%
GSW
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bosh | 26 | 59% | 13.0 / 22 | |
| L. Deng | 19 | 63% | 9.5 / 15 | |
| S. Napier | 10 | 56% | 5.0 / 9 | |
| H. Whiteside | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| M. Chalmers | 7 | 35% | 3.5 / 10 | |
| S. Williams | 5 | 63% | 2.5 / 4 | |
| N. Cole | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| J. Ennis III | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| C. Andersen | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| T. Johnson | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| D. Granger | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 | |
| J. Hamilton | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Warriors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Curry | 32 | 80% | 16.0 / 20 | |
| K. Thompson | 19 | 53% | 9.5 / 18 | |
| A. Iguodala | 9 | 90% | 4.5 / 5 | |
| L. Barbosa | 9 | 64% | 4.5 / 7 | |
| D. Lee | 8 | 67% | 4.0 / 6 | |
| M. Speights | 8 | 40% | 4.0 / 10 | |
| J. Holiday | 7 | 70% | 3.5 / 5 | |
| D. Green | 6 | 38% | 3.0 / 8 | |
| A. Bogut | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| H. Barnes | 2 | 17% | 1.0 / 6 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
74
+14
-17
88
GSW
78
+11
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.00 50.0%
GSW
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 103.9 111.6 | MIA 97.8 +16.5 GSW 114.3 |
| Pace | 91.0 98.3 | MIA 85.0 GSW 97.9 +12.8 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.3 14.2 | MIA 16.9 GSW 14.7 +2.2 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.0% 54.0% | MIA 46.5% GSW 54.9% +8.4% |
| TO % | 15.2% 14.3% | MIA 18.6% GSW 12.7% +5.9% |
| ORB % | 23.3% 24.2% | MIA 29.7% +4.7% GSW 25.0% |
| FTrt | 30.6 23.9 | MIA 38.0 +14.5 GSW 23.5 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 56.4% 65.9% | MIA 63.3% GSW 76.3% +13.0% |
| STL % | 8.6% 9.4% | MIA 5.5% GSW 5.5% |
| BLK % | 8.0% 9.3% | MIA 7.7% GSW 9.4% +1.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.2% 55.7% | MIA 50.0% GSW 58.4% +8.4% |
| Rim FG% | 59.7% 62.0% | MIA 52.6% GSW 62.5% +9.9% |
| Mid FG% | 40.9% 41.0% | MIA 41.2% +5.5% GSW 35.7% |
| 3P % | 33.5% 39.8% | MIA 33.3% GSW 44.8% +11.5% |
| FT % | 74.1% 76.9% | MIA 85.2% +6.3% GSW 78.9% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 35.1% 34.1% | MIA 26.8% GSW 29.6% +2.9% |
| Mid Att. % | 38.7% 34.8% | MIA 47.9% GSW 34.6% +13.3% |
| 3P Att. % | 26.2% 31.1% | MIA 25.4% GSW 35.8% +10.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
| Game Totals | MIA | GSW |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 91 | 91 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.7 | 22.3 |
| Points | 89 | 104 |
| Rebounds | 41 | 36 |
| Assists | 19 | 29 |
| Steals | 5 | 5 |
| Blocks | 4 | 5 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 17 (2) | 13 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 11 (3) | 10 (1) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 30 (4) | 26 (2) |
| Field Goals | 30-71 | 38-81 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 10-19 | 15-24 |
| Midrange FG | 14-34 | 10-28 |
| 2-Point FG | 24-53 | 25-52 |
| 3-Point FG | 6-18 | 13-29 |
| Free Throws | 23-27 | 15-19 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.