FinalWin Prob.pScore
1847%100
84
1953%101
100
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
92.391101.6
MIA logo MIA
112.48981.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS84
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAChalmers 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS)84
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0BOSMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIACole 12' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01BOSMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33BOSGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)84
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 1:39MIAAndersen Reverse Dunk (7 PTS)81
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:43BOSChalmers STEAL (1 STL)81
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 1:48MIAEnnis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)81
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 2:10BOSGreen 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)81
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 2:23MIADeng 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)79
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 2:49BOSZeller 1' Layup (22 PTS)79
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 2:50BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)77
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 2:51BOSMISS Turner 14' Jump Shot77
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 3:07MIADeng 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)77
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 3:11MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 3:12BOSMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot77
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 3:17BOSCeltics Rebound77
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 3:17BOSCole BLOCK (1 BLK)77
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 3:23BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Ennis 4' Jump Shot77
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 3:28MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 3:29MIAMISS Cole Layup77
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 3:43BOSTurner Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 3:43BOSTurner Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)76
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 3:43BOSCeltics Rebound75
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot75
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 4:10MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 4:11BOSMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 4:19MIACole 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)75
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 4:46BOSZeller Dunk (20 PTS) (Green 3 AST)75
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 5:04MIAEnnis Putback Dunk (14 PTS)73
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 5:05MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMISS Andersen 6' Jump Shot73
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q4 - 5:21MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 5:22BOSMISS Green 2' Layup73
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 5:35MIAEnnis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 10 AST)73
2.9%
84
97.1%
Q4 - 5:54BOSGreen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)73
5.3%
81
94.7%
Q4 - 6:05MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)70
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 6:24BOSBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)70
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q4 - 6:27MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)70
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q4 - 6:38MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q4 - 6:39BOSMISS Olynyk Free Throw 2 of 270
5.3%
79
94.7%
Q4 - 6:39BOSOlynyk Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)70
6.4%
79
93.6%
Q4 - 6:47BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)69
5.3%
79
94.7%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot69
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q4 - 7:12BOSZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)69
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q4 - 7:12BOSMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 268
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q4 - 7:34MIAEnnis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)68
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q4 - 7:56BOSNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)68
8.2%
76
91.8%
Q4 - 7:58BOSNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
10.9%
76
89.1%
Q4 - 7:59BOSMISS Zeller Tip Shot68
9.0%
76
91.0%
Q4 - 8:00BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)68
10.9%
76
89.1%
Q4 - 8:01BOSMISS Nelson 3' Driving Jump Shot68
10.7%
76
89.3%
Q4 - 8:12BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
12.5%
76
87.5%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot68
11.6%
76
88.4%
Q4 - 8:27BOSOlynyk Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
9.9%
76
90.1%
Q4 - 8:27BOSOlynyk Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
9.4%
76
90.6%
Q4 - 8:44BOSCeltics Rebound66
7.8%
76
92.2%
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS Ennis 16' Jump Shot66
7.2%
76
92.8%
Q4 - 9:03BOSWright 9' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Olynyk 4 AST)66
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q4 - 9:17MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)64
5.9%
76
94.1%
Q4 - 9:17MIAHEAT Rebound64
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
5.5%
76
94.5%
Q4 - 9:45BOSTurner 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Olynyk 3 AST)64
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q4 - 9:59MIAChalmers 6' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q4 - 10:06MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 10:07BOSMISS Turner Layup61
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q4 - 10:13BOSWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q4 - 10:14BOSMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q4 - 10:22BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q4 - 10:34BOSOlynyk Foul Turnover (P1.T12)61
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 10:46MIAShaw. Williams 4' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)61
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q4 - 11:01MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
7.5%
72
92.5%
Q4 - 11:02BOSMISS Turner 17' Jump Shot61
8.0%
72
92.0%
Q4 - 11:09BOSNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
9.2%
72
90.8%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
8.6%
72
91.4%
Q4 - 11:16BOSEnnis STEAL (1 STL)61
7.5%
72
92.5%
Q4 - 11:19BOSWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
9.2%
72
90.8%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
8.6%
72
91.4%
Q4 - 11:38MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q4 - 11:39BOSMISS Olynyk 6' Turnaround Jump Shot61
7.9%
72
92.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS61
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound61
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Smart 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
10.0%
72
90.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Granger 12' Fadeaway Jumper61
9.5%
72
90.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0BOSMISS Olynyk 20' Jump Shot61
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
10.0%
72
90.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Ennis 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q3 - 1:03MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q3 - 1:20BOSDeng STEAL (2 STL)61
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 1:30BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Deng 13' Jump Shot61
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q3 - 1:45MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 1:46MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup61
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q3 - 2:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
10.0%
72
90.0%
Q3 - 2:02BOSMISS Wright 5' Hook Shot61
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q3 - 2:18MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)61
11.8%
72
88.2%
Q3 - 2:18MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)61
12.2%
71
87.8%
Q3 - 2:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
13.8%
70
86.2%
Q3 - 2:28BOSMISS Zeller 3' Layup61
14.5%
70
85.5%
Q3 - 2:35BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
16.2%
70
83.8%
Q3 - 2:36MIAMISS Cole 7' Jump Shot61
15.4%
70
84.6%
Q3 - 2:46MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
13.7%
70
86.3%
Q3 - 2:47BOSMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
14.5%
70
85.5%
Q3 - 2:57MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)61
16.2%
70
83.8%
Q3 - 3:21BOSZeller 5' Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)61
14.6%
70
85.4%
Q3 - 3:34BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
12.7%
70
87.3%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot59
12.0%
70
88.0%
Q3 - 3:46BOSZeller 1' Layup (15 PTS)59
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 3:50BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
9.2%
70
90.8%
Q3 - 3:51BOSMISS Bradley 20' Jump Shot57
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q3 - 4:04MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
10.0%
70
90.0%
Q3 - 4:04MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)57
10.3%
69
89.7%
Q3 - 4:15BOSZeller 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Turner 3 AST)57
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q3 - 4:29MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)55
10.0%
68
90.0%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 255
10.4%
67
89.6%
Q3 - 4:39MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
9.7%
67
90.3%
Q3 - 4:40BOSMISS Zeller 1' Layup55
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 4:42BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q3 - 4:43BOSMISS Olynyk 1' Layup55
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 4:57BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
11.0%
67
89.0%
Q3 - 5:24BOSZeller Layup (11 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)55
10.4%
67
89.6%
Q3 - 5:34BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
9.1%
67
90.9%
Q3 - 5:35MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 13' Jump Shot53
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 5:42MIAHEAT Rebound53
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Cole 3' Driving Layup53
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q3 - 6:02MIAHEAT Rebound53
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q3 - 6:03BOSMISS Sullinger 20' Jump Shot53
8.8%
67
91.2%
Q3 - 6:24MIADeng 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)53
9.8%
67
90.2%
Q3 - 6:37BOSSullinger 4' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Bradley 4 AST)53
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q3 - 6:52MIACole 4' Driving Layup (11 PTS)51
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 7:11MIAShaw. Williams Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)51
11.6%
63
88.4%
Q3 - 7:11BOSSullinger Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)51
13.3%
62
86.7%
Q3 - 7:28MIADeng 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)51
15.3%
62
84.7%
Q3 - 7:33BOSAndersen STEAL (2 STL)51
17.2%
60
82.8%
Q3 - 7:50MIADeng 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
19.8%
60
80.2%
Q3 - 8:10BOSShaw. Williams STEAL (2 STL)51
22.4%
58
77.6%
Q3 - 8:31MIAChalmers 6' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS)51
25.6%
58
74.4%
Q3 - 8:45MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
28.0%
56
72.0%
Q3 - 8:46BOSMISS Bradley 1' Driving Layup51
29.1%
56
70.9%
Q3 - 8:53MIAShaw. Williams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)51
31.7%
56
68.3%
Q3 - 9:13BOSZeller Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)51
28.6%
56
71.4%
Q3 - 9:25MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)48
23.1%
56
76.9%
Q3 - 9:56BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
20.5%
56
79.5%
Q3 - 9:56BOSSullinger Tip Shot (7 PTS)48
20.5%
56
79.5%
Q3 - 9:57BOSMISS Green 9' Jump Shot46
16.8%
56
83.2%
Q3 - 10:04BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
18.9%
56
81.1%
Q3 - 10:05MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
18.2%
56
81.8%
Q3 - 10:32BOSZeller 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Smart 3 AST)46
16.7%
56
83.3%
Q3 - 10:40MIAAndersen 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)44
14.9%
56
85.1%
Q3 - 10:55BOSBradley 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
16.7%
54
83.3%
Q3 - 11:10BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
15.7%
54
84.3%
Q3 - 11:11MIAMISS Andersen 6' Jump Shot42
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q3 - 11:23MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
13.9%
54
86.1%
Q3 - 11:24BOSMISS Bradley 8' Jump Shot42
14.4%
54
85.6%
Q3 - 11:42MIAChalmers 9' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)42
15.7%
54
84.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
17.5%
52
82.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound42
17.5%
52
82.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 44' 3PT Jump Shot42
19.8%
52
80.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Rebound42
18.8%
52
81.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0BOSMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
19.2%
52
80.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
20.2%
52
79.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot42
19.7%
52
80.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0BOSOlynyk 3' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
16.3%
52
83.7%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
16.8%
51
83.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
18.6%
50
81.4%
Q2 - 1:00BOSShaw. Williams BLOCK (2 BLK)40
19.1%
50
80.9%
Q2 - 1:07BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
20.7%
50
79.3%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Chalmers 14' Step Back Jump Shot40
20.3%
50
79.7%
Q2 - 1:31BOSSullinger 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)40
19.5%
50
80.5%
Q2 - 1:44MIAJump Ball Shaw. Williams vs. Green: Tip to Sullinger38
16.8%
50
83.2%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup38
16.5%
50
83.5%
Q2 - 2:01BOSSullinger Foul Turnover (P2.T6)38
16.0%
50
84.0%
Q2 - 2:12BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
17.7%
50
82.3%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot38
17.2%
50
82.8%
Q2 - 2:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
16.0%
50
84.0%
Q2 - 2:28MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
17.1%
50
82.9%
Q2 - 2:48BOSOlynyk 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Green 2 AST)38
16.0%
50
84.0%
Q2 - 3:04MIACole 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS)36
15.3%
50
84.7%
Q2 - 3:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
16.6%
48
83.4%
Q2 - 3:19BOSMISS Sullinger 3' Driving Layup36
17.2%
48
82.8%
Q2 - 3:35BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
18.6%
48
81.4%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
17.9%
48
82.1%
Q2 - 3:55BOSSullinger Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
16.5%
48
83.5%
Q2 - 3:55BOSMISS Sullinger Free Throw 1 of 235
16.2%
48
83.8%
Q2 - 3:55MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)35
16.8%
48
83.2%
Q2 - 3:58MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q2 - 3:59BOSMISS Smart 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
15.5%
48
84.5%
Q2 - 4:15MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
17.4%
48
82.6%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 235
17.8%
47
82.2%
Q2 - 4:36BOSSmart 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)35
17.3%
47
82.7%
Q2 - 4:57MIACole 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)32
14.3%
47
85.7%
Q2 - 5:06MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
16.3%
45
83.7%
Q2 - 5:07BOSMISS Crowder 17' Jump Shot32
16.8%
45
83.2%
Q2 - 5:15MIAGranger 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)32
17.9%
45
82.1%
Q2 - 5:36MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 5:37BOSMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
20.1%
43
79.9%
Q2 - 5:53MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
21.4%
43
78.6%
Q2 - 5:53MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 5:53MIAHEAT Rebound32
23.4%
41
76.6%
Q2 - 5:54MIAMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot32
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 6:08BOSWright Dunk (4 PTS) (Bradley 3 AST)32
23.8%
41
76.2%
Q2 - 6:29BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
22.2%
41
77.8%
Q2 - 6:30BOSMISS Smart 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
20.7%
41
79.3%
Q2 - 6:47MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
22.2%
41
77.8%
Q2 - 6:47MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 6:58MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
23.7%
39
76.3%
Q2 - 6:59BOSMISS Turner 18' Jump Shot30
24.5%
39
75.5%
Q2 - 7:14BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
26.6%
39
73.4%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 230
26.3%
39
73.7%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 230
25.0%
39
75.0%
Q2 - 7:36BOSGranger STEAL (1 STL)30
24.4%
39
75.6%
Q2 - 7:56MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)30
26.6%
39
73.4%
Q2 - 8:18BOSTurner 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
24.8%
39
75.2%
Q2 - 8:33BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
23.0%
39
77.0%
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot28
22.4%
39
77.6%
Q2 - 8:54MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
21.1%
39
78.9%
Q2 - 8:55BOSMISS Crowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
21.7%
39
78.3%
Q2 - 9:07MIAGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
23.5%
39
76.5%
Q2 - 9:07MIAGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)28
23.7%
38
76.3%
Q2 - 9:21MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
25.1%
37
74.9%
Q2 - 9:22BOSMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 9:33MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)28
27.3%
37
72.7%
Q2 - 9:54BOSOlynyk 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)28
29.0%
35
71.0%
Q2 - 10:00BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
27.3%
35
72.7%
Q2 - 10:02BOSMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
25.9%
35
74.1%
Q2 - 10:19MIAGranger 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)26
27.6%
35
72.4%
Q2 - 10:52BOSNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
31.3%
32
68.7%
Q2 - 11:02MIAChalmers 20' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
27.7%
32
72.3%
Q2 - 11:27BOSWright 1' Layup (2 PTS)23
29.6%
30
70.4%
Q2 - 11:28BOSWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
27.7%
30
72.3%
Q2 - 11:30BOSMISS Wright 1' Layup21
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q2 - 11:33BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
27.7%
30
72.3%
Q2 - 11:34BOSMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q2 - 11:45MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
27.7%
30
72.3%
Q2 - 11:45MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
28.2%
29
71.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS21
29.6%
28
70.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound21
31.7%
28
68.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Olynyk 20' Jump Shot21
30.2%
28
69.8%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)21
31.7%
28
68.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0BOSOlynyk 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)21
36.5%
25
63.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0BOSCeltics Rebound19
33.8%
25
66.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Deng 28' 3PT Jump Shot19
33.3%
25
66.7%
Q1 - 1:18BOSGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
32.6%
25
67.4%
Q1 - 1:18BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
32.2%
25
67.8%
Q1 - 1:25MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS)17
30.1%
25
69.9%
Q1 - 1:38BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
32.6%
23
67.4%
Q1 - 1:38BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
32.3%
23
67.7%
Q1 - 1:38BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
30.1%
23
69.9%
Q1 - 1:39BOSMISS Green 2' Alley Oop Layup15
29.1%
23
70.9%
Q1 - 1:44MIADeng Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
30.1%
23
69.9%
Q1 - 2:12BOSOlynyk 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turner 2 AST)15
28.6%
23
71.4%
Q1 - 2:27MIAEnnis 1' Layup (2 PTS)13
26.7%
23
73.3%
Q1 - 2:31MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q1 - 2:32MIAMISS Ennis 2' Layup13
29.9%
21
70.1%
Q1 - 2:41MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q1 - 2:42BOSMISS Olynyk 1' Driving Layup13
29.2%
21
70.8%
Q1 - 2:59MIADeng 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
30.4%
21
69.6%
Q1 - 3:17MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
32.7%
19
67.3%
Q1 - 3:18BOSMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
33.3%
19
66.7%
Q1 - 3:25BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
34.9%
19
65.1%
Q1 - 3:26BOSMISS Green 1' Layup13
33.3%
19
66.7%
Q1 - 3:34MIACole 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)13
34.9%
19
65.1%
Q1 - 3:54BOSBass 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)13
36.7%
17
63.3%
Q1 - 4:07BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
35.1%
17
64.9%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 19' Jump Shot11
34.4%
17
65.6%
Q1 - 4:27MIAHEAT Rebound11
32.8%
17
67.2%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Deng 16' Fadeaway Jumper11
34.3%
17
65.7%
Q1 - 4:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
32.8%
17
67.2%
Q1 - 4:47BOSMISS Bass 14' Jump Shot11
33.5%
17
66.5%
Q1 - 5:07MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)11
35.3%
17
64.7%
Q1 - 5:23MIAHEAT Rebound11
37.1%
15
62.9%
Q1 - 5:23MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Jump Shot11
38.5%
15
61.5%
Q1 - 5:29MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
37.0%
15
63.0%
Q1 - 5:30BOSMISS Bradley 21' Jump Shot11
37.7%
15
62.3%
Q1 - 5:56MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)11
39.2%
15
60.8%
Q1 - 6:16BOSZeller 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Smart 2 AST)11
37.3%
15
62.7%
Q1 - 6:22BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
35.7%
15
64.3%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot9
35.1%
15
64.9%
Q1 - 6:38BOSZeller 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)9
33.7%
15
66.3%
Q1 - 6:42BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
32.1%
15
67.9%
Q1 - 6:43BOSMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
30.8%
15
69.2%
Q1 - 6:52MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
32.1%
15
67.9%
Q1 - 6:58MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
30.2%
15
69.8%
Q1 - 6:59BOSShaw. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)7
30.8%
15
69.2%
Q1 - 7:14MIAShaw. Williams 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)7
32.5%
15
67.5%
Q1 - 7:33BOSSullinger 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bradley 2 AST)7
33.9%
13
66.1%
Q1 - 7:48BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
32.4%
13
67.6%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 25
32.2%
13
67.8%
Q1 - 7:49MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
31.1%
13
68.9%
Q1 - 7:57MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
32.2%
12
67.8%
Q1 - 7:58BOSMISS Sullinger 24' Jump Shot5
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 8:26MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)5
34.4%
12
65.6%
Q1 - 8:41BOSGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)5
37.8%
9
62.2%
Q1 - 9:03BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
33.9%
9
66.1%
Q1 - 9:18MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.7%
9
67.3%
Q1 - 9:19BOSMISS Sullinger 15' Fadeaway Jumper2
33.2%
9
66.8%
Q1 - 9:40MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 9:45BOSAndersen STEAL (1 STL)2
36.1%
7
63.9%
Q1 - 9:53BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.0%
7
62.0%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Andersen 13' Jump Shot2
37.4%
7
62.6%
Q1 - 10:15BOSGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)2
36.1%
7
63.9%
Q1 - 10:28MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
38.1%
7
61.9%
Q1 - 10:37BOSShaw. Williams STEAL (1 STL)2
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 10:46BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.5%
4
56.5%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Reverse Layup2
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 10:56MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 11:00BOSMISS Bradley 3' Layup2
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 11:09MIADeng 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)2
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 11:14BOSDeng STEAL (1 STL)2
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 11:23BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.9%
2
53.1%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 12
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 11:43BOSBradley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smart 1 AST)2
48.9%
0
51.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Andersen vs. Zeller: Tip to Smart0
47.0%
0
53.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.90 45.2%
MIA
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
17
35
49%
MIA
16
23
70%
Midrange
BOS
10
25
40%
MIA
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
MIA
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
Free Throws
BOS
12
15
80%
MIA
20
26
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Zeller2269%11.0 / 16
J. Green1350%6.5 / 13
K. Olynyk1343%6.5 / 15
J. Sullinger950%4.5 / 9
E. Turner750%3.5 / 7
B. Wright660%3.0 / 5
A. Bradley420%2.0 / 10
B. Bass467%2.0 / 3
M. Smart338%1.5 / 4
J. Nelson325%1.5 / 6
J. Crowder0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng2368%11.5 / 17
J. Ennis III1673%8.0 / 11
N. Cole1554%7.5 / 14
M. Chalmers1137%5.5 / 15
S. Williams1150%5.5 / 11
U. Haslem1083%5.0 / 6
C. Andersen750%3.5 / 7
D. Granger744%3.5 / 8
J. Hamilton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
76
+17
-15
93
MIA
81
+12
-8
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.90 45.2%
MIA
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
103.9
BOS 92.3 +20.1
MIA 112.4
Pace
95.8
91.0
BOS 101.6 +20.5
MIA 81.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
16.3
BOS 14.2 +3.6
MIA 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
50.0%
BOS 43.4%
MIA 51.3% +7.9%
TO %
13.7%
15.2%
BOS 14.3%
MIA 11.0% +3.3%
ORB %
24.7%
23.3%
BOS 30.4% +12.8%
MIA 17.6%
FTrt
23.3
30.6
BOS 18.1
MIA 33.3 +15.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.9%
56.4%
BOS 66.7% +18.1%
MIA 48.6%
STL %
8.5%
8.6%
BOS 6.6%
MIA 10.1% +3.5%
BLK %
5.7%
8.0%
BOS 7.0% +2.0%
MIA 5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.1%
52.2%
BOS 45.2%
MIA 53.2% +8.0%
Rim FG%
57.3%
59.7%
BOS 48.6%
MIA 69.6% +21.0%
Mid FG%
40.9%
40.9%
BOS 40.0%
MIA 44.1% +4.1%
3P %
32.7%
33.5%
BOS 26.1%
MIA 28.6% +2.5%
FT %
75.4%
74.1%
BOS 80.0% +3.1%
MIA 76.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.7%
35.1%
BOS 42.2% +12.7%
MIA 29.5%
Mid Att. %
37.3%
38.7%
BOS 30.1% +13.5%
MIA 43.6%
3P Att. %
28.0%
26.2%
BOS 27.7% +0.8%
MIA 26.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9189
Possession Minutes21.526.4
Points84100
Rebounds4238
Assists2218
Steals69
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)8 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)6 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (4)32 (2)
Field Goals33-8337-78
At-the-Rim FG17-3516-23
Midrange FG10-2515-34
2-Point FG27-6031-57
3-Point FG6-236-21
Free Throws12-1520-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
33.1
13
50%
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
3-7
43%
G · 6'2" 180 · 24
32.8
4
20%
7
4
2
0
2
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 220 · 21
28.4
3
38%
4
4
1
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 250 · 25
24.5
22
69%
8
0
0
2
2
3
5
3
2-3
67%
10-15
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 260 · 23
20.7
9
50%
6
0
1
0
3
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24
28.1
13
43%
3
4
0
1
1
5
0
3
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-3
0%
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26
26.4
7
50%
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
G · 6'0" 190 · 33
20.4
3
25%
2
3
1
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27
13.4
6
60%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 24
7.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 250 · 30
5.0
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 175 · 24
F · 6'7" 220 · 32
#13 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
45%
42
22
6
4
15
0
14
28
12-15
80%
27-60
45%
6-23
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.