FinalWin Prob.pScore
1434%96
104
466%101
97
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
110.69492.0
HOU logo HOU
105.49294.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL104
100%
97
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)104
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUMISS Terry 29' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot104
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLKorver Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)104
99.8%
97
0.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLKorver Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)103
99.8%
97
0.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Harden 14 AST)102
99.6%
97
0.4%
Q4 - 0:26.0ATLKorver Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)102
99.7%
94
0.3%
Q4 - 0:26.0ATLKorver Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)101
99.7%
94
0.3%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)100
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 2100
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)100
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 0:36.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 0:39.0HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot99
99.3%
92
0.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)99
98.5%
92
1.5%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
98.2%
92
1.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)97
97.0%
92
3.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)97
97.7%
91
2.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)97
97.7%
90
2.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)96
97.4%
90
2.6%
Q4 - 1:19ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
94.2%
90
5.8%
Q4 - 1:20HOUMISS Terry 9' Driving Jump Shot95
92.9%
90
7.1%
Q4 - 1:29ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Schroder 6 AST)95
88.3%
90
11.7%
Q4 - 1:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
72.3%
90
27.7%
Q4 - 1:37HOUMISS Harden 4' Driving Layup92
68.4%
90
31.6%
Q4 - 1:54ATLMillsap 3' Layup (14 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)92
58.3%
90
41.7%
Q4 - 2:11HOUTerry Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)90
49.7%
90
50.3%
Q4 - 2:31HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
33.7%
90
66.3%
Q4 - 2:32HOUMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
45.0%
90
55.0%
Q4 - 2:55ATLHarden STEAL (1 STL)90
34.3%
90
65.7%
Q4 - 3:08HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harden 12 AST)90
48.5%
90
51.5%
Q4 - 3:31ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)90
62.0%
87
38.0%
Q4 - 3:31ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 289
59.9%
87
40.1%
Q4 - 3:37ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
62.9%
87
37.1%
Q4 - 3:39ATLMISS Schroder 3PT Jump Shot89
56.4%
87
43.6%
Q4 - 3:51HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T15)89
63.4%
87
36.6%
Q4 - 4:14ATLCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)89
53.8%
87
46.2%
Q4 - 4:14ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)88
51.9%
87
48.1%
Q4 - 4:18ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
45.2%
87
54.8%
Q4 - 4:20HOUMISS Harden 4' Driving Layup87
42.2%
87
57.8%
Q4 - 4:34ATLMillsap 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)87
35.3%
87
64.7%
Q4 - 4:47HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)85
27.8%
87
72.2%
Q4 - 4:47HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)85
28.7%
86
71.3%
Q4 - 4:57HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
35.3%
85
64.7%
Q4 - 4:59ATLMISS Schroder 19' Pullup Jump Shot85
38.3%
85
61.7%
Q4 - 5:16HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)85
43.6%
85
56.4%
Q4 - 5:29ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)85
35.1%
85
64.9%
Q4 - 5:50ATLHawks Rebound85
43.7%
85
56.3%
Q4 - 5:50ATLMISS Millsap 4' Finger Roll Layup85
37.7%
85
62.3%
Q4 - 6:14HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)85
42.7%
85
57.3%
Q4 - 6:24HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
56.5%
82
43.5%
Q4 - 6:25HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
62.4%
82
37.6%
Q4 - 6:34HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
56.6%
82
43.4%
Q4 - 6:35ATLMISS Antic 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
59.2%
82
40.8%
Q4 - 6:48ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
64.9%
82
35.1%
Q4 - 6:51HOUMISS Beverley 6' Turnaround Jump Shot85
62.5%
82
37.5%
Q4 - 7:06HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
54.6%
82
45.4%
Q4 - 7:07HOUMISS Terry 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup85
59.8%
82
40.2%
Q4 - 7:22ATLMillsap 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Mack 4 AST)85
54.7%
82
45.3%
Q4 - 7:30HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)83
48.5%
82
51.5%
Q4 - 7:47ATLMillsap 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Bazemore 1 AST)83
54.8%
80
45.2%
Q4 - 8:06HOUTerry 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)81
47.1%
80
52.9%
Q4 - 8:14HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
53.5%
78
46.5%
Q4 - 8:15ATLMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot81
55.5%
78
44.5%
Q4 - 8:34ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
59.9%
78
40.1%
Q4 - 8:35HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
58.0%
78
42.0%
Q4 - 8:49ATLBazemore Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)81
53.6%
78
46.4%
Q4 - 8:52ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
60.0%
78
40.0%
Q4 - 8:53HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
58.0%
78
42.0%
Q4 - 8:57HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
53.6%
78
46.4%
Q4 - 8:59HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 181
59.1%
78
40.9%
Q4 - 9:21ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mack 3 AST)81
63.7%
76
36.3%
Q4 - 9:32ATLHawks Rebound78
52.4%
76
47.6%
Q4 - 9:34HOUMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
50.5%
76
49.5%
Q4 - 9:38HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
46.2%
76
53.8%
Q4 - 9:40ATLAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)78
48.1%
76
51.9%
Q4 - 9:47ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
52.4%
76
47.6%
Q4 - 9:48HOUMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot78
50.5%
76
49.5%
Q4 - 10:02ATLHorford 1' Putback Layup (12 PTS)78
45.2%
76
54.8%
Q4 - 10:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
39.9%
76
60.1%
Q4 - 10:05ATLMISS Bazemore 10' Running Jump Shot76
36.1%
76
63.9%
Q4 - 10:25HOUJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)76
39.9%
76
60.1%
Q4 - 10:36ATLAriza STEAL (2 STL)76
34.5%
76
65.5%
Q4 - 10:44HOUJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)76
39.9%
76
60.1%
Q4 - 11:07ATLSefolosha 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)76
34.4%
76
65.6%
Q4 - 11:31HOUJohnson 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)74
29.9%
76
70.1%
Q4 - 11:34HOUJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
34.4%
74
65.6%
Q4 - 11:35HOUMISS Beverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
37.9%
74
62.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU74
34.4%
74
65.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound74
34.4%
74
65.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Terry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot74
37.9%
74
62.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
34.3%
74
65.7%
Q3 - 0:07.0ATLMISS Scott 6' Jump Shot74
35.7%
74
64.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0HOUHarden 14' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)74
39.0%
74
61.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
44.0%
72
56.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Antic Free Throw 2 of 274
44.7%
72
55.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0ATLAntic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)74
47.9%
72
52.1%
Q3 - 0:48.0HOUJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 11 AST)73
44.0%
72
56.0%
Q3 - 1:02ATLSefolosha 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)73
52.8%
69
47.2%
Q3 - 1:23HOUTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)70
43.3%
69
56.7%
Q3 - 1:39HOUJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
52.9%
66
47.1%
Q3 - 1:40ATLMISS Scott 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
54.4%
66
45.6%
Q3 - 2:04HOUTerry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)70
56.0%
66
44.0%
Q3 - 2:19HOUROCKETS Rebound70
64.7%
63
35.3%
Q3 - 2:20ATLMISS Mack 6' Floating Jump Shot70
66.0%
63
34.0%
Q3 - 2:38HOUHoward 1' Dunk (15 PTS) (Papanikolaou 3 AST)70
69.0%
63
31.0%
Q3 - 2:42HOUROCKETS Rebound70
72.7%
61
27.3%
Q3 - 2:42HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot70
75.3%
61
24.7%
Q3 - 2:58ATLMack Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)70
72.7%
61
27.3%
Q3 - 2:59ATLMack 17' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)69
68.9%
61
31.1%
Q3 - 3:14HOUHarden 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)67
63.6%
61
36.4%
Q3 - 3:30HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
67.3%
59
32.7%
Q3 - 3:31ATLMISS Carroll 23' Jump Shot67
68.6%
59
31.4%
Q3 - 3:46ATLHawks Rebound67
71.4%
59
28.6%
Q3 - 3:46ATLMISS Millsap 18' Step Back Jump Shot67
68.6%
59
31.4%
Q3 - 4:06HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Papanikolaou 2 AST)67
70.0%
59
30.0%
Q3 - 4:11HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
76.0%
56
24.0%
Q3 - 4:13ATLMISS Schroder 18' Pullup Jump Shot67
77.1%
56
22.9%
Q3 - 4:23HOUAriza 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)67
79.6%
56
20.4%
Q3 - 4:47ATLAntic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Schroder 5 AST)67
81.8%
54
18.2%
Q3 - 5:02ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
75.1%
54
24.9%
Q3 - 5:04HOUMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot64
74.0%
54
26.0%
Q3 - 5:19HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
71.5%
54
28.5%
Q3 - 5:20ATLMISS Korver 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
72.6%
54
27.4%
Q3 - 5:45HOUMotiejunas 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Beverley 3 AST)64
75.2%
54
24.8%
Q3 - 6:04ATLHorford 5' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)64
76.1%
52
23.9%
Q3 - 6:18ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
73.6%
52
26.4%
Q3 - 6:20HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
72.5%
52
27.5%
Q3 - 6:26ATLBeverley STEAL (1 STL)62
69.9%
52
30.1%
Q3 - 6:46ATLCarroll Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
73.7%
52
26.3%
Q3 - 6:46ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 261
72.9%
52
27.1%
Q3 - 6:48HOUHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)61
70.5%
52
29.5%
Q3 - 7:03ATLHoward STEAL (2 STL)61
65.1%
52
34.9%
Q3 - 7:12ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
68.9%
52
31.1%
Q3 - 7:13HOUMISS Motiejunas 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
67.8%
52
32.2%
Q3 - 7:25ATLMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)61
65.2%
52
34.8%
Q3 - 7:29HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)61
69.0%
52
31.0%
Q3 - 7:41ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)61
65.2%
52
34.8%
Q3 - 7:52HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)58
58.5%
52
41.5%
Q3 - 8:07ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)58
64.0%
49
36.0%
Q3 - 8:18ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
61.2%
49
38.8%
Q3 - 8:20HOUMISS Motiejunas 5' Hook Shot56
59.9%
49
40.1%
Q3 - 8:44ATLKorver 3' Layup (9 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)56
57.0%
49
43.0%
Q3 - 8:49ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
53.9%
49
46.1%
Q3 - 8:51HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
52.6%
49
47.4%
Q3 - 9:15ATLSchroder 20' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)54
48.7%
49
51.3%
Q3 - 9:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
45.3%
49
54.7%
Q3 - 9:34HOUMISS Motiejunas 3PT Jump Shot52
44.2%
49
55.8%
Q3 - 9:44ATLHoward STEAL (1 STL)52
41.6%
49
58.4%
Q3 - 9:59HOUHoward Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)52
45.4%
49
54.6%
Q3 - 10:05ATLAriza STEAL (1 STL)52
47.9%
47
52.1%
Q3 - 10:19HOUAriza 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)52
51.5%
47
48.5%
Q3 - 10:27HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
55.0%
45
45.0%
Q3 - 10:29HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot52
57.5%
45
42.5%
Q3 - 10:35ATLMotiejunas STEAL (1 STL)52
55.0%
45
45.0%
Q3 - 10:51HOUHoward 5' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)52
58.6%
45
41.4%
Q3 - 11:07ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)52
60.4%
43
39.6%
Q3 - 11:25HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)52
63.8%
43
36.2%
Q3 - 11:41HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
69.8%
40
30.2%
Q3 - 11:42ATLMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
70.7%
40
29.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL52
72.8%
40
27.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound52
72.8%
40
27.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Horford 31' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot52
70.8%
40
29.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
72.8%
40
27.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
69.3%
40
30.7%
Q2 - 0:24.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
70.8%
40
29.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0HOUMISS Harden 20' Step Back Jump Shot52
70.2%
40
29.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Schroder 4 AST)52
68.8%
40
31.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
65.2%
40
34.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0HOUMISS Ariza 7' Fadeaway Jumper50
64.5%
40
35.5%
Q2 - 1:13HOUROCKETS Rebound50
62.4%
40
37.6%
Q2 - 1:13HOUMISS Harden 4' Driving Layup50
63.5%
40
36.5%
Q2 - 1:19ATLMillsap 4' Layup (5 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)50
62.4%
40
37.6%
Q2 - 1:27ATLHawks Rebound48
58.0%
40
42.0%
Q2 - 1:27ATLHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)48
56.8%
40
43.2%
Q2 - 1:36ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
58.0%
40
42.0%
Q2 - 1:37HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
57.5%
40
42.5%
Q2 - 1:46HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
56.3%
40
43.7%
Q2 - 1:47ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
56.8%
40
43.2%
Q2 - 2:00HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)48
58.0%
40
42.0%
Q2 - 2:11HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
63.5%
37
36.5%
Q2 - 2:12ATLMISS Schroder 3' Driving Layup48
64.4%
37
35.6%
Q2 - 2:33HOUPapanikolaou 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)48
66.3%
37
33.7%
Q2 - 2:46HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
71.8%
34
28.2%
Q2 - 2:47ATLMISS Korver 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
72.5%
34
27.5%
Q2 - 2:56ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
74.1%
34
25.9%
Q2 - 2:57HOUMISS Ariza 4' Jump Shot48
73.4%
34
26.6%
Q2 - 3:10ATLBazemore Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
70.0%
34
30.0%
Q2 - 3:10ATLMISS Bazemore Free Throw 1 of 247
69.2%
34
30.8%
Q2 - 3:32HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)47
70.4%
34
29.6%
Q2 - 3:36HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
74.8%
31
25.2%
Q2 - 3:39ATLMISS Korver 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot47
75.6%
31
24.4%
Q2 - 3:54ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
77.4%
31
22.6%
Q2 - 3:56HOUMISS Papanikolaou 6' Driving Jump Shot47
76.6%
31
23.4%
Q2 - 4:02HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
73.2%
31
26.8%
Q2 - 4:03HOUMISS Beverley 3PT Jump Shot47
74.8%
31
25.2%
Q2 - 4:14HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
73.3%
31
26.7%
Q2 - 4:16HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
73.3%
31
26.7%
Q2 - 4:16HOUMISS Howard 3' Tip Shot47
74.9%
31
25.1%
Q2 - 4:18HOUMISS Beverley 2' Layup47
74.9%
31
25.1%
Q2 - 4:37ATLSchroder 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)47
73.3%
31
26.7%
Q2 - 4:46ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
71.1%
31
28.9%
Q2 - 4:47HOUMISS Motiejunas 10' Jump Shot45
70.4%
31
29.6%
Q2 - 5:13ATLBazemore Dunk (3 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)45
67.8%
31
32.2%
Q2 - 5:32ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
65.3%
31
34.7%
Q2 - 5:33HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
64.5%
31
35.5%
Q2 - 5:48HOUROCKETS Rebound43
62.7%
31
37.3%
Q2 - 5:49ATLMISS Millsap 3PT Jump Shot43
63.5%
31
36.5%
Q2 - 5:59HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)43
65.3%
31
34.7%
Q2 - 6:12ATLBazemore Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)43
61.5%
31
38.5%
Q2 - 6:12ATLMISS Bazemore Free Throw 1 of 242
60.7%
31
39.3%
Q2 - 6:28HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T8)42
62.1%
31
37.9%
Q2 - 6:43ATLAntic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)42
59.0%
31
41.0%
Q2 - 7:00HOUJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
54.1%
31
45.9%
Q2 - 7:00HOUJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
54.7%
30
45.3%
Q2 - 7:00HOUJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
56.3%
29
43.7%
Q2 - 7:00HOUMISS Howard 6' Running Hook Shot39
58.5%
29
41.5%
Q2 - 7:16HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
55.5%
29
44.5%
Q2 - 7:17ATLMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
56.4%
29
43.6%
Q2 - 7:28ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
58.3%
29
41.7%
Q2 - 7:29HOUMISS Motiejunas 3' Layup39
57.5%
29
42.5%
Q2 - 7:31HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
55.5%
29
44.5%
Q2 - 7:32HOUMISS Motiejunas 4' Turnaround Hook Shot39
57.5%
29
42.5%
Q2 - 7:55HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
55.5%
29
44.5%
Q2 - 7:56ATLMISS Bazemore 4' Driving Layup39
56.4%
29
43.6%
Q2 - 8:18HOUBeverley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)39
57.3%
29
42.7%
Q2 - 8:37ATLMack 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)39
54.6%
29
45.4%
Q2 - 8:56HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Papanikolaou 1 AST)37
52.2%
29
47.8%
Q2 - 9:26ATLCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Sefolosha 3 AST)37
55.9%
26
44.1%
Q2 - 9:39ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
51.3%
26
48.7%
Q2 - 9:42HOUMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
50.4%
26
49.6%
Q2 - 9:44HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
48.4%
26
51.6%
Q2 - 9:45ATLMISS Mack 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
49.3%
26
50.7%
Q2 - 9:54ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
51.3%
26
48.7%
Q2 - 9:55HOUMISS Papanikolaou 3' Running Jump Shot34
50.4%
26
49.6%
Q2 - 10:05HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
48.2%
26
51.8%
Q2 - 10:06HOUMISS Beverley 3PT Jump Shot34
50.3%
26
49.7%
Q2 - 10:27ATLSefolosha Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)34
48.2%
26
51.8%
Q2 - 10:37ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
51.1%
26
48.9%
Q2 - 10:38HOUMISS Beverley 6' Running Jump Shot34
50.2%
26
49.8%
Q2 - 10:50HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
48.2%
26
51.8%
Q2 - 10:52ATLMISS Horford 5' Fadeaway Jumper34
49.1%
26
50.9%
Q2 - 11:12ATLHawks Rebound34
50.3%
26
49.7%
Q2 - 11:13HOUMISS Motiejunas Free Throw 2 of 234
49.9%
26
50.1%
Q2 - 11:13HOUMISS Motiejunas Free Throw 1 of 234
48.6%
26
51.4%
Q2 - 11:37ATLMack 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)34
47.8%
26
52.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL32
45.5%
26
54.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
45.5%
26
54.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Papanikolaou Free Throw 2 of 232
45.2%
26
54.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUPapanikolaou Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
43.7%
26
56.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0ATLKorver 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)32
45.1%
25
54.9%
Q1 - 0:08.0ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
42.2%
25
57.8%
Q1 - 0:09.0HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
41.7%
25
58.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLScott 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)30
40.5%
25
59.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
37.7%
25
62.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0HOUMISS Harden 20' Step Back Jump Shot28
37.2%
25
62.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
36.1%
25
63.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLMISS Sefolosha 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
36.6%
25
63.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
37.7%
25
62.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
38.0%
24
62.0%
Q1 - 1:15ATLKorver 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)28
40.2%
23
59.8%
Q1 - 1:22ATLHawks Rebound26
37.5%
23
62.5%
Q1 - 1:23HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
37.0%
23
63.0%
Q1 - 1:37ATLMack 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)26
35.9%
23
64.1%
Q1 - 1:49ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
33.2%
23
66.8%
Q1 - 1:50HOUMISS Papanikolaou 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
32.8%
23
67.2%
Q1 - 2:02ATLScott 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)24
31.5%
23
68.5%
Q1 - 2:21ATLHawks Rebound22
29.5%
23
70.5%
Q1 - 2:21HOUMISS Papanikolaou 3PT Jump Shot22
28.9%
23
71.1%
Q1 - 2:47ATLSefolosha 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)22
27.7%
23
72.3%
Q1 - 2:52HOUTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)20
25.8%
23
74.2%
Q1 - 2:56ATLTerry STEAL (1 STL)20
24.2%
23
75.8%
Q1 - 3:08HOUTerry Palming Turnover (P1.T5)20
25.9%
23
74.1%
Q1 - 3:12HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
24.0%
23
76.0%
Q1 - 3:13ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
24.6%
23
75.4%
Q1 - 3:25HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)20
25.9%
23
74.1%
Q1 - 3:30HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24.0%
23
76.0%
Q1 - 3:31ATLMISS Scott 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
24.6%
23
75.4%
Q1 - 3:54HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
25.9%
23
74.1%
Q1 - 3:54HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
26.1%
22
73.9%
Q1 - 4:04ATLSchroder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)20
27.3%
21
72.7%
Q1 - 4:16HOUMotiejunas 6' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)20
29.3%
21
70.7%
Q1 - 4:42ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
30.9%
19
69.1%
Q1 - 4:50ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
29.3%
19
70.7%
Q1 - 4:52HOUMISS Harden 19' Step Back Jump Shot18
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 5:11ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)18
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 5:19ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
24.2%
19
75.8%
Q1 - 5:20HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot15
23.7%
19
76.3%
Q1 - 5:39HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
22.6%
19
77.4%
Q1 - 5:40ATLMISS Horford 14' Jump Shot15
23.0%
19
77.0%
Q1 - 6:01HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)15
24.2%
19
75.8%
Q1 - 6:08HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
27.1%
16
72.9%
Q1 - 6:11HOUMISS Beverley 2' Layup15
28.3%
16
71.7%
Q1 - 6:18HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
27.1%
16
72.9%
Q1 - 6:19HOUMISS Motiejunas 3PT Jump Shot15
28.3%
16
71.7%
Q1 - 6:36ATLScott 2' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)15
27.1%
16
72.9%
Q1 - 6:56HOUHoward Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)13
25.7%
16
74.3%
Q1 - 7:01HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
26.9%
14
73.1%
Q1 - 7:02ATLHarden BLOCK (1 BLK)13
27.5%
14
72.5%
Q1 - 7:20HOUHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)13
28.7%
14
71.3%
Q1 - 7:30ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P1.T1)13
30.1%
12
69.9%
Q1 - 7:35HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
32.0%
12
68.0%
Q1 - 7:48HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
30.1%
12
69.9%
Q1 - 7:49ATLMISS Carroll 3' Layup13
30.7%
12
69.3%
Q1 - 7:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
32.0%
12
68.0%
Q1 - 7:55HOUMISS Ariza 4' Driving Layup13
31.4%
12
68.6%
Q1 - 8:03HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 8:05ATLMISS Millsap 17' Jump Shot13
30.5%
12
69.5%
Q1 - 8:16HOUMotiejunas 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
31.8%
12
68.2%
Q1 - 8:35ATLHorford 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 8:48HOUBeverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)11
31.8%
10
68.2%
Q1 - 9:06ATLCarroll 24' 3PT Running Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)11
34.9%
7
65.1%
Q1 - 9:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
31.6%
7
68.4%
Q1 - 9:11ATLMISS Schroder 8' Running Jump Shot8
30.4%
7
69.6%
Q1 - 9:23HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
31.6%
7
68.4%
Q1 - 9:23HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
32.3%
6
67.7%
Q1 - 9:36ATLCarroll 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)8
33.2%
5
66.8%
Q1 - 9:50HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)5
30.0%
5
70.0%
Q1 - 10:11ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
28.2%
5
71.8%
Q1 - 10:11ATLMillsap 10' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
26.7%
5
73.3%
Q1 - 10:30HOUBeverley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)2
25.5%
5
74.5%
Q1 - 10:34HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 10:35HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 10:50ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)2
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 10:59HOUBeverley Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 11:20HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 11:22ATLMotiejunas BLOCK (1 BLK)0
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 11:41HOUMotiejunas 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)0
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Howard vs. Horford: Tip to Beverley0
28.2%
0
71.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.18 59.1%
HOU
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
19
27
70%
HOU
14
27
52%
Midrange
ATL
9
21
43%
HOU
5
16
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
HOU
15
22.5
43
35%
52%
Free Throws
ATL
18
24
75%
HOU
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Korver2279%11.0 / 14
A. Horford1464%7.0 / 11
P. Millsap1454%7.0 / 13
D. Carroll1365%6.5 / 10
S. Mack956%4.5 / 8
D. Schröder840%4.0 / 10
P. Antic788%3.5 / 4
T. Sefolosha788%3.5 / 4
M. Scott650%3.0 / 6
K. Bazemore440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard1979%9.5 / 12
J. Harden1847%9.0 / 19
P. Beverley1454%7.0 / 13
J. Terry1454%7.0 / 13
T. Ariza1346%6.5 / 14
D. Motiejunas833%4.0 / 12
N. Johnson7117%3.5 / 3
K. Papanikolaou433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
79
+8
-15
87
HOU
76
+18
-16
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.18 59.1%
HOU
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.9
107.0
ATL 110.6 +5.2
HOU 105.4
Pace
94.0
96.6
ATL 92.0
HOU 94.0 +2.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.6
ATL 15.6
HOU 15.3 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.2%
ATL 58.1% +9.8%
HOU 48.3%
TO %
14.3%
16.4%
ATL 15.1%
HOU 14.6% +0.5%
ORB %
21.4%
26.8%
ATL 12.5%
HOU 31.3% +18.8%
FTrt
25.9
31.2
ATL 32.4 +11.5
HOU 20.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.6%
60.0%
ATL 68.4%
HOU 79.4% +11.0%
STL %
9.6%
9.8%
ATL 7.4%
HOU 8.7% +1.3%
BLK %
8.1%
8.0%
ATL 20.9% +12.6%
HOU 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
53.3%
ATL 59.1% +7.5%
HOU 51.6%
Rim FG%
58.1%
58.0%
ATL 70.4% +18.5%
HOU 51.9%
Mid FG%
42.2%
37.1%
ATL 42.9% +11.6%
HOU 31.3%
3P %
38.0%
34.8%
ATL 38.5% +3.6%
HOU 34.9%
FT %
77.8%
71.5%
ATL 75.0%
HOU 77.8% +2.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
39.2%
ATL 36.5% +5.1%
HOU 31.4%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
21.6%
ATL 28.4%
HOU 18.6% +9.8%
3P Att. %
32.1%
39.2%
ATL 35.1%
HOU 50.0% +14.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsATLHOU
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points10497
Rebounds3743
Assists2627
Steals78
Blocks94
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)28 (2)
Field Goals38-7434-86
At-the-Rim FG19-2714-27
Midrange FG9-215-16
2-Point FG28-4819-43
3-Point FG10-2615-43
Free Throws18-2414-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 212 · 34
38.3
22
79%
3
2
1
0
2
2
0
3
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
F · 6'8" 215 · 28
34.5
13
65%
2
1
0
2
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
3-5
60%
C · 6'10" 245 · 29
31.8
14
64%
8
5
1
3
1
2
3
5
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 21
30.4
8
40%
6
6
0
0
4
4
0
6
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 246 · 30
29.6
14
54%
6
3
2
3
4
2
1
5
2-3
67%
6-9
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 237 · 26
18.4
6
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 203 · 25
17.6
9
56%
3
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32
16.3
7
88%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 220 · 31
11.7
7
88%
5
3
2
1
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 201 · 25
11.6
4
40%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 36
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23
G · 6'4" 215 · 24
#0 · G · 6'2" 189 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · · 6'10" 237 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
59%
37
26
7
9
15
0
4
33
18-24
75%
28-48
58%
10-26
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.