FinalWin Prob.pScore
1556%96
105
1944%94
103
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
119.38884.7
MIA logo MIA
119.88689.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS105
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWade 29' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)105
99.7%
103
0.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0WASBeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)105
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)104
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)103
99.2%
100
0.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0WASBeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)103
93.2%
100
6.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)102
92.0%
100
8.0%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)101
86.4%
100
13.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)101
97.1%
97
2.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0WASMISS Wall Free Throw 1 of 2100
96.6%
97
3.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)100
97.8%
97
2.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Wade 6' Driving Jump Shot100
95.9%
97
4.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)100
89.9%
97
10.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0WASMISS Wall Free Throw 1 of 299
88.4%
97
11.6%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAWade 4' Driving Jump Shot (22 PTS)99
86.5%
97
13.5%
Q4 - 1:01WASWall 20' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)99
91.3%
95
8.7%
Q4 - 1:23MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T15)97
83.7%
95
16.3%
Q4 - 1:32WASPierce 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)97
72.9%
95
27.1%
Q4 - 1:33WASPierce REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)95
62.9%
95
37.1%
Q4 - 1:34WASMISS Wall 1' Driving Layup95
53.1%
95
46.9%
Q4 - 1:47WASWizards Rebound95
62.4%
95
37.6%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
58.5%
95
41.5%
Q4 - 2:05MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
48.9%
95
51.1%
Q4 - 2:06WASMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
53.8%
95
46.2%
Q4 - 2:13WASBeal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)95
64.8%
95
35.2%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
60.1%
95
39.9%
Q4 - 2:35WASWall 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)95
48.7%
95
51.3%
Q4 - 2:46WASBeal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)93
42.6%
95
57.4%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot93
37.6%
95
62.4%
Q4 - 3:12MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
29.2%
95
70.8%
Q4 - 3:13WASMISS Beal 18' Jump Shot93
33.1%
95
66.9%
Q4 - 3:37MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)93
43.3%
95
56.7%
Q4 - 3:59WASPierce 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Wall 10 AST)93
60.6%
92
39.4%
Q4 - 4:06WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
52.2%
92
47.8%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot91
49.0%
92
51.0%
Q4 - 4:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
41.9%
92
58.1%
Q4 - 4:19WASMISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
45.0%
92
55.0%
Q4 - 4:41WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
52.1%
92
47.9%
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
48.9%
92
51.1%
Q4 - 5:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
43.7%
92
56.3%
Q4 - 5:05WASMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 291
44.8%
92
55.2%
Q4 - 5:05WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)91
50.1%
92
49.9%
Q4 - 5:09MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Nene: Tip to Wall90
44.3%
92
55.7%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Wade 4' Driving Layup90
41.7%
92
58.3%
Q4 - 5:27WASBeal 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)90
35.7%
92
64.3%
Q4 - 5:37WASWizards Rebound88
29.0%
92
71.0%
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 288
28.0%
92
72.0%
Q4 - 5:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)88
24.0%
92
76.0%
Q4 - 5:50WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)88
28.4%
91
71.6%
Q4 - 5:50WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)87
27.2%
91
72.8%
Q4 - 6:13MIAWhiteside Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)86
25.9%
91
74.1%
Q4 - 6:31WASWall 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)86
30.9%
89
69.1%
Q4 - 6:54MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)84
25.6%
89
74.4%
Q4 - 7:11WASNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)84
33.7%
87
66.3%
Q4 - 7:11WASMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 283
31.8%
87
68.2%
Q4 - 7:11WASNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
34.3%
87
65.7%
Q4 - 7:11WASMISS Beal 2' Layup83
29.7%
87
70.3%
Q4 - 7:29WASNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
34.3%
87
65.7%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 183
33.3%
87
66.7%
Q4 - 7:42WASNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)83
40.0%
85
60.0%
Q4 - 7:42WASMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 282
37.9%
85
62.1%
Q4 - 7:50MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)82
40.7%
85
59.3%
Q4 - 8:04MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
35.9%
85
64.1%
Q4 - 8:05WASMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot82
37.7%
85
62.3%
Q4 - 8:25MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)82
41.9%
85
58.1%
Q4 - 8:38MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
35.7%
85
64.3%
Q4 - 8:39WASMISS Gooden 20' Jump Shot82
37.6%
85
62.4%
Q4 - 8:53MIACole 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)82
41.9%
85
58.1%
Q4 - 9:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
49.0%
83
51.0%
Q4 - 9:06WASMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
50.9%
83
49.1%
Q4 - 9:23WASMISS Butler Free Throw Technical82
55.1%
83
44.9%
Q4 - 9:24WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
55.1%
83
44.9%
Q4 - 9:25MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
53.2%
83
46.8%
Q4 - 9:43WASSeraphin 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)82
48.9%
83
51.1%
Q4 - 10:04MIAHaslem Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)80
44.0%
83
56.0%
Q4 - 10:21WASGooden 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (A. Miller 1 AST)80
49.4%
81
50.6%
Q4 - 10:39MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)78
44.0%
81
56.0%
Q4 - 11:00WASSeraphin Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)78
49.4%
79
50.6%
Q4 - 11:06WASGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
55.0%
79
45.0%
Q4 - 11:07WASMISS Butler 1' Driving Jump Shot78
51.2%
79
48.8%
Q4 - 11:16WASA. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
55.0%
79
45.0%
Q4 - 11:17MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup78
53.3%
79
46.7%
Q4 - 11:42WASButler 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Seraphin 1 AST)78
49.5%
79
50.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA76
44.4%
79
55.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound76
38.9%
79
61.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cole 8' Driving Jump Shot76
42.7%
79
57.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
40.2%
79
59.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
39.3%
79
60.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
35.3%
79
64.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0WASMISS Wall 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
32.1%
79
67.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)74
35.2%
79
64.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
36.2%
78
63.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0WASCole STEAL (2 STL)74
40.0%
77
60.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAHamilton Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T12)74
45.0%
77
55.0%
Q3 - 1:01WASDeng STEAL (1 STL)74
40.9%
77
59.1%
Q3 - 1:12WASWizards Rebound74
45.8%
77
54.2%
Q3 - 1:13MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
44.3%
77
55.7%
Q3 - 1:32WASPorter 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Gortat 2 AST)74
40.9%
77
59.1%
Q3 - 1:44WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
36.3%
77
63.7%
Q3 - 1:45MIAMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
35.0%
77
65.0%
Q3 - 1:56MIAHEAT Rebound72
31.9%
77
68.1%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot72
34.9%
77
65.1%
Q3 - 2:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
32.9%
77
67.1%
Q3 - 2:09WASMISS Beal 3PT Jump Shot72
34.3%
77
65.7%
Q3 - 2:16WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
37.3%
77
62.7%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot72
36.0%
77
64.0%
Q3 - 2:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
32.9%
77
67.1%
Q3 - 2:31WASMISS Beal Free Throw 2 of 272
33.5%
77
66.5%
Q3 - 2:31WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
36.3%
77
63.7%
Q3 - 2:43MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)71
33.1%
77
66.9%
Q3 - 2:43MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
33.9%
76
66.1%
Q3 - 2:44MIAHEAT Rebound71
37.1%
75
62.9%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot71
40.3%
75
59.7%
Q3 - 3:04WASNene Reverse Dunk (18 PTS)71
38.0%
75
62.0%
Q3 - 3:22MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)69
34.2%
75
65.8%
Q3 - 3:40WASNene 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wall 9 AST)69
37.9%
73
62.1%
Q3 - 3:47WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
34.1%
73
65.9%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 20' Step Back Jump Shot67
32.8%
73
67.2%
Q3 - 4:12WASNene 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wall 8 AST)67
30.7%
73
69.3%
Q3 - 4:37MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)65
27.9%
73
72.1%
Q3 - 4:51WASBeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wall 7 AST)65
34.4%
70
65.6%
Q3 - 5:01WASBeal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
28.7%
70
71.3%
Q3 - 5:04WASMISS Nene 14' Jump Shot62
26.1%
70
73.9%
Q3 - 5:27MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)62
28.7%
70
71.3%
Q3 - 5:47WASNene 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wall 6 AST)62
31.6%
68
68.4%
Q3 - 5:57WASWizards Rebound60
28.6%
68
71.4%
Q3 - 5:57MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot60
27.5%
68
72.5%
Q3 - 6:05MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
26.1%
68
73.9%
Q3 - 6:06WASMISS Pierce 13' Turnaround Jump Shot60
27.2%
68
72.8%
Q3 - 6:24MIAWade 14' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)60
29.7%
68
70.3%
Q3 - 6:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
32.6%
66
67.4%
Q3 - 6:35WASMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
33.8%
66
66.2%
Q3 - 6:52MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)60
36.7%
66
63.3%
Q3 - 7:13WASBeal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)60
44.1%
63
55.9%
Q3 - 7:32MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)60
48.4%
63
51.6%
Q3 - 7:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
51.8%
61
48.2%
Q3 - 7:34MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot60
54.8%
61
45.2%
Q3 - 7:41MIAHEAT Rebound60
51.8%
61
48.2%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Andersen 2' Driving Layup60
54.8%
61
45.2%
Q3 - 8:01WASWall 1' Layup (8 PTS)60
52.0%
61
48.0%
Q3 - 8:06MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)58
48.9%
61
51.1%
Q3 - 8:33WASPierce Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Wall 5 AST)58
44.5%
61
55.5%
Q3 - 8:39WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
41.4%
61
58.6%
Q3 - 8:40MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Driving Jump Shot56
40.2%
61
59.8%
Q3 - 8:49MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
37.3%
61
62.7%
Q3 - 8:50WASMISS Humphries 17' Jump Shot56
38.5%
61
61.5%
Q3 - 9:10WASBeal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
41.7%
61
58.3%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
40.6%
61
59.4%
Q3 - 9:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
38.1%
61
61.9%
Q3 - 9:28WASMISS Gortat 1' Driving Layup56
39.2%
61
60.8%
Q3 - 9:47MIAWade 3' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)56
41.7%
61
58.3%
Q3 - 10:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
45.8%
59
54.2%
Q3 - 10:04WASMISS Humphries 12' Jump Shot56
46.9%
59
53.1%
Q3 - 10:20MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)56
49.4%
59
50.6%
Q3 - 10:20MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)56
50.4%
58
49.6%
Q3 - 10:38WASPierce 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Humphries 1 AST)56
52.8%
57
47.2%
Q3 - 11:03MIAWade 9' Driving Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
50.2%
57
49.8%
Q3 - 11:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
53.5%
55
46.5%
Q3 - 11:05MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot54
55.9%
55
44.1%
Q3 - 11:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
53.5%
55
46.5%
Q3 - 11:26WASMISS Humphries 11' Jump Shot54
54.5%
55
45.5%
Q3 - 11:42WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
57.0%
55
43.0%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Deng 6' Jump Shot54
55.9%
55
44.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS54
53.4%
55
46.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound54
56.9%
55
43.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot54
54.5%
55
45.5%
Q2 - 0:14.0WASPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
56.6%
55
43.4%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
55.9%
55
44.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
54.2%
55
45.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0WASMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot54
55.0%
55
45.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T10)54
56.7%
55
43.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
54.2%
55
45.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0WASMISS Pierce 3PT Jump Shot54
55.0%
55
45.0%
Q2 - 1:05WASPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
56.5%
55
43.5%
Q2 - 1:06WASDeng BLOCK (1 BLK)54
55.3%
55
44.7%
Q2 - 1:17MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)54
56.5%
55
43.5%
Q2 - 1:25MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
54.8%
55
45.2%
Q2 - 1:26WASMISS Beal 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
55.3%
55
44.7%
Q2 - 1:42MIADeng 2' Layup (9 PTS)54
56.5%
55
43.5%
Q2 - 1:56WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
61.0%
53
39.0%
Q2 - 1:56WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
60.4%
53
39.6%
Q2 - 2:06MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
57.2%
53
42.8%
Q2 - 2:06MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
57.8%
52
42.2%
Q2 - 2:15WASAndersen STEAL (1 STL)52
60.3%
51
39.7%
Q2 - 2:21MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)52
63.1%
51
36.9%
Q2 - 2:35MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
60.3%
51
39.7%
Q2 - 2:36WASMISS Wall 19' Jump Shot52
61.2%
51
38.8%
Q2 - 2:58MIAShaw. Williams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)52
63.1%
51
36.9%
Q2 - 3:20WASWall 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Beal 2 AST)52
65.8%
49
34.2%
Q2 - 3:31MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)50
63.5%
49
36.5%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw Technical50
60.2%
49
39.8%
Q2 - 3:52MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
60.2%
49
39.8%
Q2 - 3:53WASMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 250
60.7%
49
39.3%
Q2 - 3:53WASPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
62.6%
49
37.4%
Q2 - 4:08MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
60.4%
49
39.6%
Q2 - 4:22WASPierce 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)49
63.0%
47
37.0%
Q2 - 4:33WASBeal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
60.4%
47
39.6%
Q2 - 4:34WASWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)47
58.4%
47
41.6%
Q2 - 4:53MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)47
60.4%
47
39.6%
Q2 - 5:20WASA. Miller 10' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
65.7%
44
34.3%
Q2 - 5:35MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)45
63.2%
44
36.8%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
65.7%
42
34.3%
Q2 - 5:46WASMISS Beal 16' Jump Shot45
66.5%
42
33.5%
Q2 - 6:01MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)45
68.4%
42
31.6%
Q2 - 6:03WASWhiteside STEAL (2 STL)45
72.4%
39
27.6%
Q2 - 6:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
75.0%
39
25.0%
Q2 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 245
75.5%
38
24.5%
Q2 - 6:33WASA. Miller 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)45
74.6%
38
25.4%
Q2 - 6:49MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
72.9%
38
27.1%
Q2 - 6:58MIAHEAT Rebound43
74.6%
36
25.4%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup43
76.3%
36
23.7%
Q2 - 7:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
74.4%
36
25.6%
Q2 - 7:06WASMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot43
75.0%
36
25.0%
Q2 - 7:26MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T6)43
76.5%
36
23.5%
Q2 - 7:50WASPorter Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)43
74.4%
36
25.6%
Q2 - 7:54MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)41
72.5%
36
27.5%
Q2 - 8:20WASNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
69.8%
36
30.2%
Q2 - 8:20WASNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
69.1%
36
30.9%
Q2 - 8:41MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)39
67.7%
36
32.3%
Q2 - 8:54WASWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)39
69.8%
34
30.2%
Q2 - 9:05WASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
71.9%
34
28.1%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper39
71.2%
34
28.8%
Q2 - 9:24WASNene 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Porter 1 AST)39
69.5%
34
30.5%
Q2 - 9:46MIAWade 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)37
67.7%
34
32.3%
Q2 - 9:50WASWade STEAL (1 STL)37
69.5%
32
30.5%
Q2 - 10:01MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)37
71.7%
32
28.3%
Q2 - 10:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
75.2%
29
24.8%
Q2 - 10:12WASMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 137
75.5%
29
24.5%
Q2 - 10:13WASNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
73.7%
29
26.3%
Q2 - 10:14WASMISS Seraphin 17' Jump Shot35
72.1%
29
27.9%
Q2 - 10:34MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)35
73.7%
29
26.3%
Q2 - 10:46WASButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)35
75.2%
27
24.8%
Q2 - 10:57MIAWade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)32
71.7%
27
28.3%
Q2 - 11:17WASPorter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)32
73.0%
25
27.0%
Q2 - 11:41MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)29
69.1%
25
30.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
66.9%
25
33.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASWall 20' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
66.9%
25
33.1%
Q1 - 0:20.0WASNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
64.3%
25
35.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 227
64.1%
25
35.9%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
62.5%
25
37.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0WASNene Driving Dunk (4 PTS)27
64.8%
24
35.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
62.1%
24
37.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0WASMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot25
60.9%
24
39.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIACole 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)25
62.1%
24
37.9%
Q1 - 1:13WASSeraphin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
64.9%
22
35.1%
Q1 - 1:13WASSeraphin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
64.4%
22
35.6%
Q1 - 1:28MIADeng 8' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)23
62.2%
22
37.8%
Q1 - 1:44WASNene 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
64.9%
20
35.1%
Q1 - 1:57MIAChalmers Palming Turnover (P1.T3)21
62.2%
20
37.8%
Q1 - 2:16WASButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
60.4%
20
39.6%
Q1 - 2:36MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)19
58.1%
20
41.9%
Q1 - 2:58WASSeraphin 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)19
60.4%
18
39.6%
Q1 - 3:15WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
58.4%
18
41.6%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
57.7%
18
42.3%
Q1 - 3:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
56.0%
18
44.0%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot17
57.7%
18
42.3%
Q1 - 3:44WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)17
55.9%
18
44.1%
Q1 - 3:44WASBeal Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)16
56.2%
18
43.8%
Q1 - 3:55WASBeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
49.5%
18
50.5%
Q1 - 3:56WASMISS Wall 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
47.8%
18
52.2%
Q1 - 4:24MIAShaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)13
49.8%
18
50.2%
Q1 - 4:46MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
53.8%
15
46.2%
Q1 - 4:47WASMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
54.6%
15
45.4%
Q1 - 4:55WASNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
56.4%
15
43.6%
Q1 - 4:56MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup13
55.6%
15
44.4%
Q1 - 5:12MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
54.0%
15
46.0%
Q1 - 5:13MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup13
55.6%
15
44.4%
Q1 - 5:18WASCole STEAL (1 STL)13
54.0%
15
46.0%
Q1 - 5:51MIADeng 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)13
56.2%
15
43.8%
Q1 - 6:08WASHumphries 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)13
58.1%
13
41.9%
Q1 - 6:09WASHumphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
56.3%
13
43.7%
Q1 - 6:10WASMISS Beal 1' Driving Layup11
54.9%
13
45.1%
Q1 - 6:30MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
56.3%
13
43.7%
Q1 - 6:49MIAHEAT Rebound11
60.0%
10
40.0%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS Deng 5' Running Hook Shot11
61.4%
10
38.6%
Q1 - 7:08WASGortat 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)11
60.1%
10
39.9%
Q1 - 7:13WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
58.5%
10
41.5%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Wade 19' Pullup Jump Shot9
57.8%
10
42.2%
Q1 - 7:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
56.3%
10
43.7%
Q1 - 7:25WASMISS Beal 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
57.0%
10
43.0%
Q1 - 7:31WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
58.5%
10
41.5%
Q1 - 7:32MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Bank Shot9
57.8%
10
42.2%
Q1 - 7:42MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
56.3%
10
43.7%
Q1 - 7:43WASMISS Beal 18' Jump Shot9
57.0%
10
43.0%
Q1 - 7:55MIAAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)9
58.5%
10
41.5%
Q1 - 8:09WASHumphries Dunk (2 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)9
60.6%
8
39.4%
Q1 - 8:16MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)7
58.9%
8
41.1%
Q1 - 8:30WASBeal 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)7
60.6%
6
39.4%
Q1 - 8:43MIAShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)5
58.9%
6
41.1%
Q1 - 8:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
62.4%
3
37.6%
Q1 - 8:55WASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)5
62.9%
3
37.1%
Q1 - 9:09WASWizards Rebound5
64.3%
3
35.7%
Q1 - 9:10WASMISS Pierce 12' Driving Jump Shot5
63.0%
3
37.0%
Q1 - 9:20WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
64.3%
3
35.7%
Q1 - 9:21MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
63.8%
3
36.2%
Q1 - 9:43WASPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)5
62.4%
3
37.6%
Q1 - 9:58WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
59.0%
3
41.0%
Q1 - 9:59WASHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
59.0%
3
41.0%
Q1 - 9:59WASMISS Humphries 1' Tip Shot2
57.6%
3
42.4%
Q1 - 10:01WASMISS Beal 10' Jump Shot2
57.6%
3
42.4%
Q1 - 10:20MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
59.0%
3
41.0%
Q1 - 10:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 10:27WASMISS Gortat 16' Jump Shot2
62.9%
0
37.1%
Q1 - 10:41MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)2
64.3%
0
35.7%
Q1 - 10:41MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Driving Jump Shot2
63.7%
0
36.3%
Q1 - 11:08WASGortat 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beal 1 AST)2
62.5%
0
37.5%
Q1 - 11:23MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 11:37MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.9%
0
41.1%
Q1 - 11:38WASMISS Gortat 9' Turnaround Jump Shot0
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Andersen vs. Gortat: Tip to Wall0
60.6%
0
39.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.11 55.3%
MIA
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
18
26
69%
MIA
16
23
70%
Midrange
WAS
18
39
46%
MIA
15
33
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
MIA
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
WAS
24
33
73%
MIA
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Wall2067%10.0 / 15
Nene2077%10.0 / 13
B. Beal1644%8.0 / 18
P. Pierce1450%7.0 / 14
R. Butler850%4.0 / 8
O. Porter Jr.7117%3.5 / 3
K. Seraphin675%3.0 / 4
M. Gortat440%2.0 / 5
K. Humphries429%2.0 / 7
A. Miller4100%2.0 / 2
D. Gooden225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2850%14.0 / 28
L. Deng1968%9.5 / 14
M. Chalmers1464%7.0 / 11
U. Haslem11110%5.5 / 5
S. Williams867%4.0 / 6
C. Andersen788%3.5 / 4
N. Cole744%3.5 / 8
H. Whiteside6100%3.0 / 3
J. Ennis III3150%1.5 / 1
J. Hamilton0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
79
+15
-9
94
MIA
71
+11
-15
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.11 55.3%
MIA
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
103.9
WAS 119.3
MIA 119.8 +0.4
Pace
93.6
91.0
WAS 84.7
MIA 89.5 +4.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.3
WAS 17.0
MIA 16.1 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
50.0%
WAS 51.3%
MIA 59.3% +8.0%
TO %
15.2%
15.2%
WAS 8.8% +7.3%
MIA 16.1%
ORB %
25.0%
23.3%
WAS 31.0% +13.1%
MIA 17.9%
FTrt
25.9
30.6
WAS 41.8 +16.5
MIA 25.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
56.4%
WAS 61.5% +6.5%
MIA 55.0%
STL %
7.7%
8.6%
WAS 6.8%
MIA 8.1% +1.3%
BLK %
7.6%
8.0%
WAS 5.4% +0.8%
MIA 4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
52.2%
WAS 55.3%
MIA 60.6% +5.3%
Rim FG%
61.2%
59.7%
WAS 69.2%
MIA 69.6% +0.4%
Mid FG%
39.6%
40.9%
WAS 46.2% +0.7%
MIA 45.5%
3P %
36.0%
33.5%
WAS 21.4%
MIA 47.4% +26.0%
FT %
74.2%
74.1%
WAS 72.7%
MIA 73.7% +1.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.0%
35.1%
WAS 32.9% +2.2%
MIA 30.7%
Mid Att. %
45.6%
38.7%
WAS 49.4%
MIA 44.0% +5.4%
3P Att. %
20.3%
26.2%
WAS 17.7%
MIA 25.3% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions8886
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points105103
Rebounds3634
Assists2422
Steals67
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)5 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (4)29 (0)
Field Goals39-7940-75
At-the-Rim FG18-2616-23
Midrange FG18-3915-33
2-Point FG36-6531-56
3-Point FG3-149-19
Free Throws24-3314-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 210 · 24
37.8
20
67%
1
10
0
0
2
0
0
1
8-10
80%
6-8
75%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 207 · 21
34.6
16
44%
7
2
2
0
2
3
3
4
7-8
88%
3-10
30%
1-5
20%
F · 6'7" 235 · 37
31.9
14
50%
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
21.7
4
40%
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 30
13.5
4
29%
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 36
27.0
8
50%
6
1
0
0
1
2
1
5
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32
26.1
20
77%
6
2
1
0
0
3
2
4
4-7
57%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 198 · 22
13.4
7
117%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 250 · 33
13.1
2
25%
1
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25
10.6
6
75%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 39
10.2
4
100%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 29
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G-F · 6'6" 206 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
55%
36
24
6
3
9
0
13
23
24-33
73%
36-65
55%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.