FinalWin Prob.pScore
1052%100
93
1548%99
75
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
103.39084.4
MIA logo MIA
82.49197.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
100%
75
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0CHIMoore 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Snell 1 AST)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)90
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)90
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0CHIMohammed Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T20)90
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAHamilton 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 6 AST)90
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)90
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)89
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23CHIMISS Gasol 1' Layup88
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47CHIRose 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)88
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)86
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13CHICole STEAL (3 STL)86
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)86
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup86
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38CHIMISS Gasol 8' Running Hook Shot86
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:02MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)86
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26CHIRose 1' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)86
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42MIAWade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (14 PTS)84
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 3:54MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55CHIMISS Butler 1' Driving Reverse Layup84
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:01CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot84
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:18CHIChalmers STEAL (4 STL)84
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:40CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)84
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:59CHIRose 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)84
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:15CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 5:28MIAHEAT Rebound82
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 5:29MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 5:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 5:34CHIAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)82
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 5:57MIACole 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)82
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 6:15CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
99.5%
64
0.5%
Q4 - 6:15CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
99.5%
64
0.5%
Q4 - 6:31MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)80
99.4%
64
0.6%
Q4 - 6:38MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 6:40CHIMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.6%
62
0.4%
Q4 - 6:49CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
99.7%
62
0.3%
Q4 - 6:51MIAMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot80
99.6%
62
0.4%
Q4 - 7:08MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q4 - 7:09CHIMISS Gibson 7' Hook Shot80
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q4 - 7:41MIAChalmers 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)80
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 8:04CHIRose 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)80
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q4 - 8:13MIAGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)77
99.0%
60
1.0%
Q4 - 8:33CHIRose 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)77
98.7%
60
1.3%
Q4 - 8:48MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)75
98.4%
60
1.6%
Q4 - 8:54MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
99.0%
57
1.0%
Q4 - 8:55CHIDeng BLOCK (2 BLK)75
99.1%
57
0.9%
Q4 - 9:09CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)75
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q4 - 9:10CHIMISS Mirotic 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
98.7%
57
1.3%
Q4 - 9:28MIADeng 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)75
99.0%
57
1.0%
Q4 - 9:45CHIGibson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T17)75
99.2%
55
0.8%
Q4 - 9:52CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)75
99.4%
55
0.6%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot75
99.3%
55
0.7%
Q4 - 10:06MIADeng REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)75
98.9%
55
1.1%
Q4 - 10:07CHIMISS Mirotic 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
99.0%
55
1.0%
Q4 - 10:25MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)75
99.1%
55
0.9%
Q4 - 10:39CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)75
99.4%
52
0.6%
Q4 - 10:42CHIBulls Rebound75
99.6%
52
0.4%
Q4 - 10:42CHIMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
99.5%
52
0.5%
Q4 - 11:06MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
99.4%
52
0.6%
Q4 - 11:06MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)75
99.4%
51
0.6%
Q4 - 11:18CHIDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)75
99.5%
50
0.5%
Q4 - 11:41MIAGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
99.3%
50
0.7%
Q4 - 11:41MIAGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
99.3%
49
0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0CHIMISS Brooks 3' Driving Layup72
99.3%
48
0.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Jump Shot72
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0CHIBrooks Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)72
99.3%
48
0.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAGranger 2' Layup (2 PTS)72
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q3 - 1:00CHIDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)72
99.5%
46
0.5%
Q3 - 1:03CHIBrooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
99.1%
46
0.9%
Q3 - 1:04CHIMISS Mirotic 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
99.0%
46
1.0%
Q3 - 1:19MIACole 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)69
99.1%
46
0.9%
Q3 - 1:40CHIButler Driving Dunk (13 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)69
99.3%
44
0.7%
Q3 - 1:48CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
99.1%
44
0.9%
Q3 - 1:49MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot67
99.1%
44
0.9%
Q3 - 2:02CHIDunleavy 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)67
98.6%
44
1.4%
Q3 - 2:20CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
98.0%
44
2.0%
Q3 - 2:21MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 264
98.0%
44
2.0%
Q3 - 2:21MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 264
97.7%
44
2.3%
Q3 - 2:26MIADeng REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)64
97.6%
44
2.4%
Q3 - 2:27CHIMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot64
97.7%
44
2.3%
Q3 - 2:39MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)64
98.0%
44
2.0%
Q3 - 2:39MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
98.1%
43
1.9%
Q3 - 2:41MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
98.3%
42
1.7%
Q3 - 2:42MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot64
98.5%
42
1.5%
Q3 - 2:55CHIDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
98.3%
42
1.7%
Q3 - 2:55CHIDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)63
98.3%
42
1.7%
Q3 - 3:01CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
97.7%
42
2.3%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
97.6%
42
2.4%
Q3 - 3:19CHIDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)62
97.2%
42
2.8%
Q3 - 3:25CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
96.2%
42
3.8%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Deng 2' Tip Shot59
95.9%
42
4.1%
Q3 - 3:27MIADeng REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)59
95.4%
42
4.6%
Q3 - 3:28MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup59
95.9%
42
4.1%
Q3 - 3:37MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
95.4%
42
4.6%
Q3 - 3:38CHIMISS Gasol 12' Jump Shot59
95.6%
42
4.4%
Q3 - 3:55CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
96.2%
42
3.8%
Q3 - 3:56MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot59
96.0%
42
4.0%
Q3 - 4:18CHIButler 1' Alley Oop Layup (11 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)59
94.8%
42
5.2%
Q3 - 4:33MIAShaw. Williams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)57
94.1%
42
5.9%
Q3 - 4:38MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
92.9%
42
7.1%
Q3 - 4:39CHIMISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot57
93.3%
42
6.7%
Q3 - 5:04MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)57
93.5%
42
6.5%
Q3 - 5:23CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
94.3%
40
5.7%
Q3 - 5:23CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)56
94.1%
40
5.9%
Q3 - 5:43MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)55
93.5%
40
6.5%
Q3 - 5:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
94.3%
38
5.7%
Q3 - 5:58CHIMISS Gasol 8' Hook Shot55
94.6%
38
5.4%
Q3 - 6:12MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P6.T13)55
94.7%
38
5.3%
Q3 - 6:30CHIGibson 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
93.8%
38
6.2%
Q3 - 6:49MIADeng Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)53
92.9%
38
7.1%
Q3 - 7:03CHIDunleavy 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)53
91.0%
38
9.0%
Q3 - 7:21MIADeng 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)51
89.8%
38
10.2%
Q3 - 7:22MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
91.0%
36
9.0%
Q3 - 7:23MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup51
91.9%
36
8.1%
Q3 - 7:29CHIDeng STEAL (1 STL)51
91.0%
36
9.0%
Q3 - 7:42CHIBulls Rebound51
92.3%
36
7.7%
Q3 - 7:43MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
92.0%
36
8.0%
Q3 - 7:55CHIDunleavy 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)51
91.0%
36
9.0%
Q3 - 8:07MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)49
89.4%
36
10.6%
Q3 - 8:07MIAHEAT Rebound49
87.6%
36
12.4%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 16' Jump Shot49
88.8%
36
11.2%
Q3 - 8:35CHIGibson 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)49
87.6%
36
12.4%
Q3 - 8:48CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
86.2%
36
13.8%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot47
85.6%
36
14.4%
Q3 - 9:00MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
84.0%
36
16.0%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS Cole 17' Jump Shot47
84.7%
36
15.3%
Q3 - 9:15CHIDunleavy 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)47
83.4%
36
16.6%
Q3 - 9:19MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)45
81.3%
36
18.7%
Q3 - 9:35CHIDunleavy 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)45
79.0%
36
21.0%
Q3 - 9:52MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
76.6%
36
23.4%
Q3 - 10:12CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
78.7%
34
21.3%
Q3 - 10:12CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
78.2%
34
21.8%
Q3 - 10:29CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
76.2%
34
23.8%
Q3 - 10:30MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot41
75.4%
34
24.6%
Q3 - 10:46MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
73.5%
34
26.5%
Q3 - 10:47CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
74.4%
34
25.6%
Q3 - 10:55CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
76.2%
34
23.8%
Q3 - 10:56MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
75.4%
34
24.6%
Q3 - 11:06CHIButler 18' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
73.1%
34
26.9%
Q3 - 11:27MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
70.5%
34
29.5%
Q3 - 11:42MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
73.1%
32
26.9%
Q3 - 11:43CHIMISS Gasol 10' Jump Shot39
74.0%
32
26.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
75.8%
32
24.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound39
73.2%
32
26.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 31' 3PT Jump Shot39
74.1%
32
25.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0CHIButler Foul Turnover (P1.T13)39
72.8%
32
27.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIACole 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
74.7%
32
25.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0CHIGasol 9' Hook Shot (9 PTS)39
77.7%
30
22.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)37
74.7%
30
25.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Hamilton 9' Hook Shot37
74.2%
30
25.8%
Q2 - 1:16CHIGasol 2' Layup (7 PTS)37
72.6%
30
27.4%
Q2 - 1:18CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
68.8%
30
31.2%
Q2 - 1:19CHIMISS Gasol 9' Jump Shot35
67.8%
30
32.2%
Q2 - 1:37MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)35
68.8%
30
31.2%
Q2 - 2:01CHIRose 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)35
66.2%
30
33.8%
Q2 - 2:07CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)33
63.4%
30
36.6%
Q2 - 2:08MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot33
62.5%
30
37.5%
Q2 - 2:19MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
60.6%
30
39.4%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup33
62.5%
30
37.5%
Q2 - 2:25CHICole STEAL (2 STL)33
60.6%
30
39.4%
Q2 - 2:45MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
63.4%
30
36.6%
Q2 - 2:45MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
63.9%
29
36.1%
Q2 - 2:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
66.4%
28
33.6%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot33
68.2%
28
31.8%
Q2 - 3:17CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
65.8%
28
34.2%
Q2 - 3:17CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
65.1%
28
34.9%
Q2 - 3:27MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
63.5%
28
36.5%
Q2 - 3:47CHIButler 1' Tip Shot (5 PTS)31
65.8%
26
34.2%
Q2 - 3:50CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
63.5%
26
36.5%
Q2 - 3:51CHIMISS Rose 2' Driving Layup29
61.2%
26
38.8%
Q2 - 3:57CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)29
63.5%
26
36.5%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Jump Shot29
62.5%
26
37.5%
Q2 - 4:22CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
60.0%
26
40.0%
Q2 - 4:22CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 228
59.5%
26
40.5%
Q2 - 4:22CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
60.1%
26
39.9%
Q2 - 4:23MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
59.2%
26
40.8%
Q2 - 4:30MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
57.2%
26
42.8%
Q2 - 4:31CHIDeng BLOCK (1 BLK)28
58.1%
26
41.9%
Q2 - 4:46MIAHamilton 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)28
60.1%
26
39.9%
Q2 - 4:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
62.7%
24
37.3%
Q2 - 4:53CHIMISS Gibson 1' Layup28
63.6%
24
36.4%
Q2 - 5:12MIAHamilton 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)28
65.3%
24
34.7%
Q2 - 5:22CHICole STEAL (1 STL)28
67.8%
22
32.2%
Q2 - 5:40CHIBulls Rebound28
70.2%
22
29.8%
Q2 - 5:42CHIMISS Rose 9' Jump Shot28
68.5%
22
31.5%
Q2 - 5:43CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)28
70.2%
22
29.8%
Q2 - 5:44CHIMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot28
68.5%
22
31.5%
Q2 - 6:00CHIBulls Rebound28
70.2%
22
29.8%
Q2 - 6:01CHIMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot28
68.1%
22
31.9%
Q2 - 6:12CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
70.1%
22
29.9%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
69.2%
22
30.8%
Q2 - 6:30MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
67.3%
22
32.7%
Q2 - 6:31CHIMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot28
68.1%
22
31.9%
Q2 - 6:49MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)28
70.1%
22
29.9%
Q2 - 7:01CHIMirotic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)28
67.0%
22
33.0%
Q2 - 7:24MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)25
62.4%
22
37.6%
Q2 - 7:25MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
64.6%
20
35.4%
Q2 - 7:26MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot25
66.4%
20
33.6%
Q2 - 7:43CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)25
64.6%
20
35.4%
Q2 - 7:43CHIGibson 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
62.2%
20
37.8%
Q2 - 8:01MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T7)22
59.5%
20
40.5%
Q2 - 8:11CHIGranger STEAL (2 STL)22
56.9%
20
43.1%
Q2 - 8:14CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)22
59.5%
20
40.5%
Q2 - 8:15CHIGranger BLOCK (1 BLK)22
57.7%
20
42.3%
Q2 - 8:21MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)22
59.5%
20
40.5%
Q2 - 8:44CHIBrooks 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
56.9%
20
43.1%
Q2 - 9:04CHIBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
54.5%
20
45.5%
Q2 - 9:05MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
53.6%
20
46.4%
Q2 - 9:28CHIBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
51.6%
20
48.4%
Q2 - 9:36CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
46.9%
20
53.1%
Q2 - 9:37MIAMISS Granger 3' Layup17
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q2 - 9:43MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
44.1%
20
55.9%
Q2 - 9:44MIAMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q2 - 9:55CHIBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mirotic 1 AST)17
44.1%
20
55.9%
Q2 - 10:07CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
39.7%
20
60.3%
Q2 - 10:08MIAMISS Ennis 2' Layup14
38.9%
20
61.1%
Q2 - 10:09MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Ennis 1' Layup14
38.9%
20
61.1%
Q2 - 10:24MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
38.9%
20
61.1%
Q2 - 10:37CHIGranger STEAL (1 STL)14
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q2 - 10:45CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
39.7%
20
60.3%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMISS Granger 3' Layup14
38.9%
20
61.1%
Q2 - 11:07CHIChalmers STEAL (3 STL)14
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q2 - 11:27MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
39.7%
20
60.3%
Q2 - 11:46CHIBrooks Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)14
41.9%
18
58.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA14
44.4%
18
55.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound14
41.9%
18
58.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
43.7%
18
56.3%
Q1 - 0:19.0CHIChalmers STEAL (2 STL)14
42.5%
18
57.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)14
44.2%
18
55.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0CHIShaw. Williams STEAL (1 STL)14
42.5%
18
57.5%
Q1 - 1:08CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
44.5%
18
55.5%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Shaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 214
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q1 - 1:09MIAShaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
42.7%
18
57.3%
Q1 - 1:26CHIHamilton STEAL (2 STL)14
45.1%
17
54.9%
Q1 - 1:47MIAChalmers 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
46.8%
17
53.2%
Q1 - 1:53CHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)14
49.7%
15
50.3%
Q1 - 2:07CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
51.7%
15
48.3%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Cole 17' Jump Shot14
51.1%
15
48.9%
Q1 - 2:32CHIMirotic Dunk (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)14
49.5%
15
50.5%
Q1 - 2:44CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
47.1%
15
52.9%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Wade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot12
46.5%
15
53.5%
Q1 - 3:01MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
45.0%
15
55.0%
Q1 - 3:02CHIMISS Mirotic 3PT Jump Shot12
45.8%
15
54.2%
Q1 - 3:20CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
47.5%
15
52.5%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Hamilton 1' Layup12
46.8%
15
53.2%
Q1 - 3:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
45.0%
15
55.0%
Q1 - 3:27MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
46.8%
15
53.2%
Q1 - 3:34MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
45.0%
15
55.0%
Q1 - 3:35CHIMISS Mirotic 1' Driving Layup12
45.8%
15
54.2%
Q1 - 3:52CHIBulls Rebound12
47.5%
15
52.5%
Q1 - 3:53CHIMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
45.8%
15
54.2%
Q1 - 4:12MIAHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T4)12
47.6%
15
52.4%
Q1 - 4:24CHIGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
45.1%
15
54.9%
Q1 - 4:24CHIMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 211
44.7%
15
55.3%
Q1 - 4:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
45.5%
15
54.5%
Q1 - 4:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
46.0%
14
54.0%
Q1 - 4:40MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
47.3%
13
52.7%
Q1 - 4:41CHIMISS Dunleavy 12' Jump Shot11
48.1%
13
51.9%
Q1 - 5:07MIAWade 10' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)11
49.7%
13
50.3%
Q1 - 5:30CHIHamilton STEAL (1 STL)11
51.6%
11
48.4%
Q1 - 5:44MIAShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)11
53.9%
11
46.1%
Q1 - 5:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
57.8%
8
42.2%
Q1 - 5:53CHIMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot11
58.5%
8
41.5%
Q1 - 6:11MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
59.5%
8
40.5%
Q1 - 6:11MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
59.9%
7
40.1%
Q1 - 6:15MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
61.2%
6
38.8%
Q1 - 6:16CHIMISS Gasol 14' Jump Shot11
61.9%
6
38.1%
Q1 - 6:31CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
63.3%
6
36.7%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
62.7%
6
37.3%
Q1 - 6:48MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
61.3%
6
38.7%
Q1 - 6:49CHIMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 211
61.5%
6
38.5%
Q1 - 6:49CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
62.8%
6
37.2%
Q1 - 7:14MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)10
61.3%
6
38.7%
Q1 - 7:33CHIGasol 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)10
62.9%
4
37.1%
Q1 - 7:48MIAHamilton 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)10
64.9%
4
35.1%
Q1 - 8:07CHIGasol 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)10
66.6%
2
33.4%
Q1 - 8:24MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)8
65.0%
2
35.0%
Q1 - 8:24MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
63.1%
2
36.9%
Q1 - 8:25CHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)8
63.7%
2
36.3%
Q1 - 8:28CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
65.0%
2
35.0%
Q1 - 8:29CHIMISS Rose 10' Jump Shot8
63.7%
2
36.3%
Q1 - 8:39CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
65.0%
2
35.0%
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS Wade 4' Running Hook Shot8
64.4%
2
35.6%
Q1 - 8:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
63.1%
2
36.9%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Deng 6' Jump Shot8
64.4%
2
35.6%
Q1 - 9:17CHIGasol 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)8
63.1%
2
36.9%
Q1 - 9:24MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
61.4%
2
38.6%
Q1 - 9:37CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
59.5%
2
40.5%
Q1 - 9:37CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 9:39MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
57.8%
2
42.2%
Q1 - 9:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
55.8%
2
44.2%
Q1 - 9:50CHIMISS Gibson 15' Jump Shot4
56.4%
2
43.6%
Q1 - 10:03CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot4
57.1%
2
42.9%
Q1 - 10:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
55.7%
2
44.3%
Q1 - 10:14CHIMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot4
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 10:28MIAHamilton 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 10:30MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup4
60.7%
0
39.3%
Q1 - 10:47CHIGibson Dunk (4 PTS)4
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 10:52CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
57.7%
0
42.3%
Q1 - 10:53CHIMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
56.3%
0
43.7%
Q1 - 11:02CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Haslem 6' Turnaround Jump Shot2
56.9%
0
43.1%
Q1 - 11:23CHIGibson 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)2
55.8%
0
44.2%
Q1 - 11:39CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.8%
0
46.2%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Deng 13' Jump Shot0
53.3%
0
46.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Hamilton vs. Gasol: Tip to Cole0
52.1%
0
47.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.12 56.0%
MIA
0.79 39.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
15
25
60%
MIA
13
25
52%
Midrange
CHI
9
28
32%
MIA
11
33
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
9
13.5
18
50%
75%
MIA
4
6.0
22
18%
27%
Free Throws
CHI
18
21
86%
MIA
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Dunleavy2292%11.0 / 12
J. Butler1757%8.5 / 15
T. Gibson1568%7.5 / 11
D. Rose1447%7.0 / 15
P. Gasol932%4.5 / 14
A. Brooks867%4.0 / 6
N. Mirotic536%2.5 / 7
E. Moore3150%1.5 / 1
T. Snell0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng1753%8.5 / 16
D. Wade1745%8.5 / 19
M. Chalmers1139%5.5 / 14
N. Cole1042%5.0 / 12
J. Hamilton1045%5.0 / 11
S. Williams440%2.0 / 5
D. Granger429%2.0 / 7
C. Andersen2100%1.0 / 1
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 1
J. Ennis III0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
71
+12
-19
83
MIA
78
+17
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.12 56.0%
MIA
0.79 39.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.4
103.9
CHI 103.3
MIA 82.4 +20.9
Pace
92.9
91.0
CHI 84.4
MIA 97.6 +13.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.3
CHI 17.1
MIA 14.8 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
50.0%
CHI 52.8% +15.3%
MIA 37.5%
TO %
14.0%
15.2%
CHI 20.0%
MIA 14.6% +5.4%
ORB %
27.0%
23.3%
CHI 22.9%
MIA 26.5% +3.6%
FTrt
30.4
30.6
CHI 29.6 +7.1
MIA 22.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
56.4%
CHI 63.6% +20.7%
MIA 42.9%
STL %
6.7%
8.6%
CHI 4.4%
MIA 14.3% +9.9%
BLK %
8.6%
8.0%
CHI 13.8% +4.4%
MIA 9.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
52.2%
CHI 56.0% +16.5%
MIA 39.5%
Rim FG%
54.7%
59.7%
CHI 60.0% +8.0%
MIA 52.0%
Mid FG%
39.4%
40.9%
CHI 32.1%
MIA 33.3% +1.2%
3P %
35.3%
33.5%
CHI 50.0% +31.8%
MIA 18.2%
FT %
78.3%
74.1%
CHI 85.7% +2.4%
MIA 83.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.1%
35.1%
CHI 35.2% +4.0%
MIA 31.3%
Mid Att. %
35.0%
38.7%
CHI 39.4% +1.8%
MIA 41.3%
3P Att. %
26.9%
26.2%
CHI 25.4%
MIA 27.5% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points9375
Rebounds4440
Assists2112
Steals413
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)27 (0)
Field Goals33-7128-80
At-the-Rim FG15-2513-25
Midrange FG9-2811-33
2-Point FG24-5324-58
3-Point FG9-184-22
Free Throws18-2115-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
38.3
15
68%
9
1
1
1
3
1
5
4
5-5
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 34
36.4
9
32%
9
3
0
2
6
0
1
8
1-2
50%
4-13
31%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 230 · 25
36.3
17
57%
7
5
2
1
2
2
1
6
9-10
90%
4-9
44%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 34
29.9
22
92%
4
2
0
2
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
4-5
80%
G · 6'3" 190 · 26
27.2
14
47%
2
3
1
0
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
5-11
45%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 190 · 34
30.8
0
0%
4
4
0
0
2
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 238 · 24
20.2
5
36%
7
1
0
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
G · 6'0" 161 · 30
16.6
8
67%
2
1
0
1
3
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'7" 221 · 23
2.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 37
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26
0.4
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#3 · F · 6'6" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 6'11" 230 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
56%
44
21
4
8
19
0
8
36
18-21
86%
24-53
45%
9-18
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.