FinalWin Prob.pScore
1443%101
82
1757%104
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
96.58579.2
DEN logo DEN
120.08591.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN82
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENMISS Nurkic 13' Fadeaway Jumper79
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENMISS Nurkic 5' Jump Shot79
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Ennis 20' Jump Shot79
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0DENNurkic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)79
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 20' Jump Shot79
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENJump Ball Faried vs. Shaw. Williams: Tip to Granger79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENMISS Faried 5' Jump Shot79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DENMISS Faried 5' Jump Hook Shot79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Ennis 2 AST)79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07DENNurkic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 1 of 277
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43DENGreen 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAWhiteside 3' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08MIAMISS Napier 14' Jump Shot73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Napier 20' Jump Shot73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39DENHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Green 3 AST)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15DENFaried 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIAGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48DENMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35MIAWhiteside 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55DENMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 268
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59DENMISS Arthur 18' Jump Shot68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22MIAWade 6' Running Bank Shot (10 PTS)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32DENMISS Faried 14' Jump Shot66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Granger 2' Layup66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13DENHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gee 1 AST)66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:18DENGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20DENMISS Arthur 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:30DENGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55DENGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55DENMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 266
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)66
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 8:15DENGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 8:15DENGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 8:18MIAArthur STEAL (1 STL)66
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 8:31MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw Technical66
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 8:40DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 8:40DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 8:52DENGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper66
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 9:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 9:11DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 9:26MIAHarris STEAL (1 STL)66
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 9:35MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 9:38DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 9:38DENMISS Arthur 1' Tip Shot66
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 9:40DENMISS Harris 5' Running Bank Shot66
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 9:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)66
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Chalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 10:19DENGee Dunk (6 PTS) (Green 2 AST)66
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 10:23MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)66
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 10:36DENFaried Dunk (9 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)66
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 10:50MIAChalmers 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)66
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 11:17DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q4 - 11:17DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)64
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q4 - 11:27DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)64
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q4 - 11:29DENMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q4 - 11:45MIAGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q4 - 11:45MIAGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q4 - 11:46MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot62
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)62
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
4.1%
76
95.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q3 - 0:12.0DENGreen 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)60
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAArthur BLOCK (2 BLK)60
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0DENFaried 1' Layup (5 PTS)60
4.9%
74
95.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)60
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENMISS Gee 4' Jump Shot60
6.9%
72
93.1%
Q3 - 1:02MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
6.7%
72
93.3%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 259
6.5%
72
93.5%
Q3 - 1:18DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)59
6.7%
72
93.3%
Q3 - 1:22DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
10.0%
69
90.0%
Q3 - 1:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
11.3%
69
88.7%
Q3 - 1:35DENMISS Lawson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot59
10.7%
69
89.3%
Q3 - 2:06DENNUGGETS Rebound59
10.3%
69
89.7%
Q3 - 2:08MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 259
10.5%
69
89.5%
Q3 - 2:08MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 259
11.7%
69
88.3%
Q3 - 2:10MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
12.2%
69
87.8%
Q3 - 2:12DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot59
11.6%
69
88.4%
Q3 - 2:23MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cole 8 AST)59
10.3%
69
89.7%
Q3 - 2:38DENGee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)57
8.7%
69
91.3%
Q3 - 2:57MIAHickson STEAL (1 STL)57
7.3%
69
92.7%
Q3 - 3:19DENGee Dunk (4 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)57
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q3 - 3:26DENNUGGETS Rebound57
11.0%
67
89.0%
Q3 - 3:26DENMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot57
12.3%
67
87.7%
Q3 - 3:42MIAChalmers 3' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)57
11.0%
67
89.0%
Q3 - 4:01DENGee 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)55
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 4:06DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
11.5%
65
88.5%
Q3 - 4:09MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
13.7%
65
86.3%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Hamilton 2' Tip Shot55
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot55
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q3 - 4:27MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
13.7%
65
86.3%
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q3 - 4:50DENMozgov Dunk (6 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)55
13.7%
65
86.3%
Q3 - 4:54DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
15.4%
63
84.6%
Q3 - 4:56DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot55
17.3%
63
82.7%
Q3 - 5:16DENNUGGETS Rebound55
16.0%
63
84.0%
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot55
16.8%
63
83.2%
Q3 - 5:41DENMozgov Foul Turnover (P1.T8)55
18.7%
63
81.3%
Q3 - 5:44DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
16.0%
63
84.0%
Q3 - 5:45MIAMISS Hamilton 6' Jump Shot55
16.8%
63
83.2%
Q3 - 6:07DENAfflalo 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (16 PTS)55
19.3%
63
80.7%
Q3 - 6:19DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
21.5%
61
78.5%
Q3 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot55
22.4%
61
77.6%
Q3 - 6:29MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
24.7%
61
75.3%
Q3 - 6:31DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot55
23.7%
61
76.3%
Q3 - 6:49MIADeng 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Cole 7 AST)55
21.5%
61
78.5%
Q3 - 6:54MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
19.3%
61
80.7%
Q3 - 6:56DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
18.4%
61
81.6%
Q3 - 7:04DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
17.1%
61
82.9%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
17.8%
61
82.2%
Q3 - 7:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
19.6%
61
80.4%
Q3 - 7:16DENMISS Mozgov 3' Jump Hook Shot53
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 7:25DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 7:27DENMISS Chandler 7' Jump Shot53
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 7:41MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 252
16.6%
61
83.4%
Q3 - 7:54DENChandler 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)52
17.3%
61
82.7%
Q3 - 8:07DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
19.7%
59
80.3%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot52
20.6%
59
79.4%
Q3 - 8:20MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
22.6%
59
77.4%
Q3 - 8:22DENMISS Chandler 4' Running Jump Shot52
21.7%
59
78.3%
Q3 - 8:32MIABosh 2' Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)52
19.7%
59
80.3%
Q3 - 8:49DENHickson Putback Dunk (6 PTS)50
17.8%
59
82.2%
Q3 - 8:50DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)50
19.7%
57
80.3%
Q3 - 8:51DENMISS Chandler 2' Layup50
21.7%
57
78.3%
Q3 - 8:55MIALawson STEAL (3 STL)50
19.7%
57
80.3%
Q3 - 9:10DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
22.7%
57
77.3%
Q3 - 9:10DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
23.1%
56
76.9%
Q3 - 9:20DENNUGGETS Rebound50
25.3%
55
74.7%
Q3 - 9:20DENMISS Lawson 20' Step Back Jump Shot50
27.3%
55
72.7%
Q3 - 9:34MIACole 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
25.2%
55
74.8%
Q3 - 9:57DENLawson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)48
22.7%
55
77.3%
Q3 - 10:03DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
28.3%
52
71.7%
Q3 - 10:05MIAHickson BLOCK (1 BLK)48
29.2%
52
70.8%
Q3 - 10:24DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)48
31.3%
52
68.7%
Q3 - 10:24DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
31.9%
51
68.1%
Q3 - 10:38MIALawson STEAL (2 STL)48
34.4%
50
65.6%
Q3 - 10:44DENChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)48
37.7%
50
62.3%
Q3 - 10:59DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
34.4%
50
65.6%
Q3 - 11:00MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot48
35.4%
50
64.6%
Q3 - 11:18DENChandler 2' Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS)48
37.9%
50
62.1%
Q3 - 11:26DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
41.0%
48
59.0%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
42.1%
48
57.9%
Q3 - 11:48DENAfflalo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)48
44.5%
48
55.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN48
41.0%
48
59.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 6 AST)48
41.0%
48
59.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
37.6%
48
62.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
37.6%
48
62.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup46
36.1%
48
63.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot46
36.1%
48
63.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
37.6%
48
62.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
36.9%
48
63.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
35.3%
48
64.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 245
34.7%
48
65.3%
Q2 - 0:55.0DENMozgov Putback Dunk (4 PTS)45
34.6%
48
65.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
38.4%
46
61.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup45
40.0%
46
60.0%
Q2 - 1:00DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
38.4%
46
61.6%
Q2 - 1:01MIAMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
39.4%
46
60.6%
Q2 - 1:09MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
40.6%
46
59.4%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Cole 2' Running Layup45
39.4%
46
60.6%
Q2 - 1:35DENHickson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)45
40.6%
46
59.4%
Q2 - 1:36DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
38.9%
46
61.1%
Q2 - 1:37DENMISS Hickson 16' Jump Shot45
40.1%
46
59.9%
Q2 - 1:52MIACole 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)45
38.9%
46
61.1%
Q2 - 1:56MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
34.6%
46
65.4%
Q2 - 1:58DENMISS Mozgov 14' Jump Shot43
34.1%
46
65.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIABosh 17' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)43
32.6%
46
67.4%
Q2 - 2:25MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
29.8%
46
70.2%
Q2 - 2:27DENMISS Hickson 4' Turnaround Jump Shot41
29.1%
46
70.9%
Q2 - 2:37MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)41
27.4%
46
72.6%
Q2 - 2:41MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
29.8%
46
70.2%
Q2 - 2:42MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 23' Jump Shot41
28.1%
46
71.9%
Q2 - 3:03DENChandler 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)41
30.4%
46
69.6%
Q2 - 3:16MIAShaw. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)41
32.6%
44
67.4%
Q2 - 3:30MIAHeat Rebound41
35.7%
44
64.3%
Q2 - 3:31DENMISS Lawson 18' Fadeaway Jumper41
34.7%
44
65.3%
Q2 - 3:57MIAShaw. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)41
32.6%
44
67.4%
Q2 - 4:19DENLawson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)38
28.1%
44
71.9%
Q2 - 4:26DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
25.7%
44
74.3%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Deng 3' Running Layup38
26.4%
44
73.6%
Q2 - 4:44DENChandler 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)38
28.1%
44
71.9%
Q2 - 4:53DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
30.4%
42
69.6%
Q2 - 4:55MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 1' Layup38
31.1%
42
68.9%
Q2 - 4:57MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
33.0%
42
67.0%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Bosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot38
31.1%
42
68.9%
Q2 - 5:15DENLawson 5' Running Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)38
33.1%
42
66.9%
Q2 - 5:35MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
35.7%
40
64.3%
Q2 - 5:35MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
35.2%
40
64.8%
Q2 - 5:41MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
33.1%
40
66.9%
Q2 - 5:43DENMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
32.4%
40
67.6%
Q2 - 6:07MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)36
30.8%
40
69.2%
Q2 - 6:27DENChandler 4' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
26.8%
40
73.2%
Q2 - 6:45DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
28.5%
38
71.5%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
29.3%
38
70.7%
Q2 - 7:01MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
31.3%
38
68.7%
Q2 - 7:03DENMISS Faried 18' Jump Shot33
30.6%
38
69.4%
Q2 - 7:13DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
29.0%
38
71.0%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot33
29.7%
38
70.3%
Q2 - 7:32DENGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)33
31.4%
38
68.6%
Q2 - 7:43MIAWade 2' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)33
35.9%
35
64.1%
Q2 - 7:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
33.7%
35
66.3%
Q2 - 7:51MIAArthur BLOCK (1 BLK)31
31.9%
35
68.1%
Q2 - 8:11DENAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Green 1 AST)31
33.6%
35
66.4%
Q2 - 8:31MIAShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)31
35.9%
33
64.1%
Q2 - 8:48DENAfflalo 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)28
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 9:10MIAWade 6' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)28
33.5%
31
66.5%
Q2 - 9:26MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
31.6%
31
68.4%
Q2 - 9:28DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 226
31.2%
31
68.8%
Q2 - 9:28DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 9:28DENNUGGETS Rebound26
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q2 - 9:28DENMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot26
33.0%
30
67.0%
Q2 - 9:41MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 1 AST)26
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q2 - 9:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
27.4%
30
72.6%
Q2 - 9:52DENMISS Faried 6' Jump Hook Shot23
26.7%
30
73.3%
Q2 - 10:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q2 - 10:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
24.9%
30
75.1%
Q2 - 10:28MIAHeat Rebound21
23.8%
30
76.2%
Q2 - 10:29DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 121
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q2 - 10:33DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
25.3%
28
74.7%
Q2 - 10:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
27.6%
28
72.4%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Haslem 1' Tip Shot21
26.0%
28
74.0%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Ennis 4' Running Jump Shot21
26.0%
28
74.0%
Q2 - 11:03DENArthur Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)21
27.6%
28
72.4%
Q2 - 11:10DENNUGGETS Rebound21
33.8%
24
66.2%
Q2 - 11:11MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Bank Shot21
34.4%
24
65.6%
Q2 - 11:25DENFaried 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)21
36.0%
24
64.0%
Q2 - 11:34DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
38.2%
22
61.8%
Q2 - 11:36DENMISS Arthur 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
39.9%
22
60.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
38.2%
22
61.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
40.6%
22
59.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot21
39.1%
22
60.9%
Q1 - 0:12.0DENHarris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)21
40.2%
22
59.8%
Q1 - 0:15.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
38.5%
22
61.5%
Q1 - 0:17.0DENMISS Gee 7' Jump Shot21
39.7%
22
60.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIALawson STEAL (1 STL)21
38.5%
22
61.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
40.2%
22
59.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENMISS Lawson 14' Fadeaway Jumper21
39.7%
22
60.3%
Q1 - 1:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
38.6%
22
61.4%
Q1 - 1:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
38.1%
22
61.9%
Q1 - 1:12MIAHeat Rebound19
35.9%
22
64.1%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q1 - 1:35DENChandler 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
35.9%
22
64.1%
Q1 - 1:39DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
38.6%
20
61.4%
Q1 - 1:40DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
39.7%
20
60.3%
Q1 - 1:50DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
38.6%
20
61.4%
Q1 - 1:51MIAMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot19
39.1%
20
60.9%
Q1 - 2:10DENChandler 1' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)19
40.5%
20
59.5%
Q1 - 2:14DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Cole 3' Layup19
43.5%
18
56.5%
Q1 - 2:40DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
45.0%
18
55.0%
Q1 - 2:40DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 219
45.4%
17
54.6%
Q1 - 2:48MIADeng 1' Layup (6 PTS)19
45.1%
17
54.9%
Q1 - 3:05MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
42.8%
17
57.2%
Q1 - 3:06DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
42.1%
17
57.9%
Q1 - 3:14DENNUGGETS Rebound17
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 3:15DENMISS Chandler 1' Driving Reverse Layup17
42.1%
17
57.9%
Q1 - 3:26DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 3:27DENMISS Lawson 3' Running Bank Shot17
42.1%
17
57.9%
Q1 - 3:50MIACole 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 3:54MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
38.5%
17
61.5%
Q1 - 3:56DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
37.8%
17
62.2%
Q1 - 4:07MIADeng 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)15
36.1%
17
63.9%
Q1 - 4:32DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)13
34.4%
17
65.6%
Q1 - 4:32DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 213
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 4:55MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)13
34.1%
16
65.9%
Q1 - 5:03MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
30.8%
16
69.2%
Q1 - 5:05DENMISS Mozgov 1' Layup10
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 5:21MIAWade 4' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)10
28.9%
16
71.1%
Q1 - 5:33DENHickson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
27.4%
16
72.6%
Q1 - 5:52MIABosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)8
25.6%
16
74.4%
Q1 - 6:14DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
24.7%
16
75.3%
Q1 - 6:27MIADeng 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)6
23.2%
16
76.8%
Q1 - 6:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
21.9%
16
78.1%
Q1 - 6:42DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
21.4%
16
78.6%
Q1 - 6:51DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.4%
16
79.6%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot4
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 7:08DENHickson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)4
22.3%
16
77.7%
Q1 - 7:22DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23.4%
14
76.6%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot4
23.9%
14
76.1%
Q1 - 7:45DENAfflalo 19' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)4
25.1%
14
74.9%
Q1 - 7:55DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
26.3%
12
73.7%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup4
26.8%
12
73.2%
Q1 - 8:00MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
28.1%
12
71.9%
Q1 - 8:02MIAAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)4
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 8:19DENHickson 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)4
28.2%
12
71.8%
Q1 - 8:27DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
29.7%
10
70.3%
Q1 - 8:29DENMISS Lawson 17' Jump Shot4
30.9%
10
69.1%
Q1 - 8:34DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.7%
10
70.3%
Q1 - 8:36MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup4
30.2%
10
69.8%
Q1 - 8:45MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
31.4%
10
68.6%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
30.2%
10
69.8%
Q1 - 9:14DENAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)4
31.5%
10
68.5%
Q1 - 9:32MIAHamilton 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)4
33.0%
8
67.0%
Q1 - 9:52DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)2
31.5%
8
68.5%
Q1 - 10:13DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
34.7%
5
65.3%
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot2
35.3%
5
64.7%
Q1 - 10:25MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.6%
5
63.4%
Q1 - 10:26DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 22
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 10:26DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 22
35.4%
5
64.6%
Q1 - 10:35MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
34.7%
5
65.3%
Q1 - 10:47DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)2
36.6%
5
63.4%
Q1 - 11:03DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot2
40.4%
2
59.6%
Q1 - 11:20DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 11:20DENMozgov 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 11:22DENMISS Chandler 3' Turnaround Jump Shot2
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 11:37MIAHamilton 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
43.5%
0
56.5%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Mozgov vs. Bosh: Tip to Cole0
41.6%
0
58.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.2%
DEN
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
30
47%
DEN
18
33
55%
Midrange
MIA
9
30
30%
DEN
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
DEN
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
Free Throws
MIA
15
21
71%
DEN
18
27
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh1450%7.0 / 14
L. Deng1250%6.0 / 12
M. Chalmers1169%5.5 / 8
D. Wade1031%5.0 / 16
S. Williams950%4.5 / 9
N. Cole633%3.0 / 9
H. Whiteside6100%3.0 / 3
D. Granger536%2.5 / 7
J. Hamilton440%2.0 / 5
S. Napier350%1.5 / 3
J. Ennis III225%1.0 / 4
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Chandler1750%8.5 / 17
A. Afflalo1680%8.0 / 10
K. Faried1354%6.5 / 12
E. Green1169%5.5 / 8
T. Lawson1036%5.0 / 14
T. Mozgov964%4.5 / 7
A. Gee867%4.0 / 6
G. Harris744%3.5 / 8
J. Hickson650%3.0 / 6
D. Arthur433%2.0 / 6
J. Nurkić117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+17
-10
92
DEN
75
+21
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.2%
DEN
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
104.8
MIA 96.5 +23.5
DEN 120.0
Pace
91.0
95.9
MIA 79.2
DEN 91.8 +12.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.4
MIA 18.2
DEN 15.7 +2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
47.9%
MIA 40.9%
DEN 49.4% +8.5%
TO %
15.2%
14.3%
MIA 10.8%
DEN 9.4% +1.4%
ORB %
23.3%
26.5%
MIA 32.7%
DEN 39.5% +6.8%
FTrt
30.6
27.8
MIA 25.6
DEN 31.8 +6.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
57.7%
MIA 60.0% +4.7%
DEN 55.3%
STL %
8.6%
8.0%
MIA 1.2%
DEN 8.2% +7.0%
BLK %
8.0%
7.2%
MIA 9.7% +3.0%
DEN 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
50.8%
MIA 43.2%
DEN 51.5% +8.3%
Rim FG%
59.7%
56.1%
MIA 46.7%
DEN 54.5% +7.8%
Mid FG%
40.9%
37.9%
MIA 30.0%
DEN 41.4% +11.4%
3P %
33.5%
32.5%
MIA 31.8%
DEN 34.8% +3.0%
FT %
74.1%
73.5%
MIA 71.4% +4.7%
DEN 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
38.2%
MIA 36.6%
DEN 38.8% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
33.4%
MIA 36.6%
DEN 34.1% +2.5%
3P Att. %
26.2%
28.4%
MIA 26.8%
DEN 27.1% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points82102
Rebounds4250
Assists1821
Steals17
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)17 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)33 (3)
Field Goals30-8238-85
At-the-Rim FG14-3018-33
Midrange FG9-3012-29
2-Point FG23-6030-62
3-Point FG7-228-23
Free Throws15-2118-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
33.5
14
50%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
3-5
60%
4-9
44%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
28.3
6
33%
8
8
1
0
2
2
2
6
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
28.1
10
31%
3
5
0
0
3
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-15
27%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
26.2
12
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-4
50%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
F · 7'0" 255 · 25
22.4
4
40%
7
0
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
24.0
9
50%
4
1
0
2
1
5
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
3-6
50%
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
21.0
5
36%
3
0
0
0
0
4
2
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
15.4
11
69%
2
0
0
0
2
5
1
1
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
13.1
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 210 · 24
12.3
2
25%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
9.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 25
5.9
6
100%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 28
#24 · G · 6'5" 219 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
43%
42
18
1
6
10
0
16
26
15-21
71%
23-60
38%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.