FinalWin Prob.pScore
1532%92
87
868%99
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.48585.1
MEM logo MEM
124.18382.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MEMPrince 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MEMMISS Leuer 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MEMMISS Lee 17' Fadeaway Jumper84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03MEMConley 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MEMMISS Gasol 19' Fadeaway Jumper84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MEMPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Wade 18' Step Back Jump Shot84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02MEMMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29MEMUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)84
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 3:42MIAMcRoberts 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)84
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 3:44MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01MEMLeuer Dunk (20 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06MIALee STEAL (2 STL)82
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:18MEMUdrih 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)82
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 4:38MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)82
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot82
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:55MEMLeuer 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Udrih 6 AST)82
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 5:18MIALeuer STEAL (2 STL)82
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 5:30MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 5:31MEMMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot82
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 5:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)82
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 5:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 281
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 6:01MEMAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)81
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 6:05MIAAllen STEAL (2 STL)81
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 6:32MEMLeuer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)81
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 6:48MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)81
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot81
3.5%
90
96.5%
Q4 - 7:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)81
5.2%
90
94.8%
Q4 - 7:11MEMMISS Allen Driving Layup81
4.7%
90
95.3%
Q4 - 7:34MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)81
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q4 - 7:48MEMAllen 3' Reverse Layup (14 PTS)79
3.0%
90
97.0%
Q4 - 7:50MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
3.8%
88
96.2%
Q4 - 7:53MEMMISS Leuer Alley Oop Dunk79
4.7%
88
95.3%
Q4 - 7:57MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)79
3.8%
88
96.2%
Q4 - 8:29MEMPrince 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)79
5.9%
88
94.1%
Q4 - 8:37MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
9.5%
85
90.5%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot79
10.2%
85
89.8%
Q4 - 8:54MEMLeuer Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
11.9%
85
88.1%
Q4 - 8:54MEMLeuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
12.7%
84
87.3%
Q4 - 8:58MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
14.9%
83
85.1%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot79
15.9%
83
84.1%
Q4 - 9:18MEMAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
19.4%
83
80.6%
Q4 - 9:18MEMMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 279
20.4%
82
79.6%
Q4 - 9:32MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
19.3%
82
80.7%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot79
20.5%
82
79.5%
Q4 - 9:50MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
23.4%
82
76.6%
Q4 - 9:52MEMMISS Leuer 21' Jump Shot79
22.0%
82
78.0%
Q4 - 10:03MIAWade Dunk (24 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)79
19.7%
82
80.3%
Q4 - 10:06MEMUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)77
16.5%
82
83.5%
Q4 - 10:12MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
13.5%
82
86.5%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup77
14.4%
82
85.6%
Q4 - 10:31MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
16.5%
82
83.5%
Q4 - 10:32MEMMISS Koufos 8' Hook Shot77
15.5%
82
84.5%
Q4 - 10:56MIAWade 1' Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)77
13.5%
82
86.5%
Q4 - 11:02MEMLeuer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)75
11.8%
82
88.2%
Q4 - 11:10MEMPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
9.7%
82
90.3%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup75
10.3%
82
89.7%
Q4 - 11:35MEMKoufos Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)75
11.8%
82
88.2%
Q4 - 11:42MEMUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
9.7%
82
90.3%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot75
10.3%
82
89.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
11.8%
82
88.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound75
11.8%
82
88.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 44' 3PT Jump Shot75
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
12.3%
82
87.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0MEMMISS Randolph 8' Jump Shot75
11.7%
82
88.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAChalmers 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)75
10.3%
82
89.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAKoufos BLOCK (2 BLK)73
7.5%
82
92.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Jump Shot73
7.5%
82
92.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0MEMKoufos 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)73
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q3 - 1:05MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)73
10.7%
80
89.3%
Q3 - 1:31MEMConley 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)71
9.0%
80
91.0%
Q3 - 1:42MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)71
10.7%
78
89.3%
Q3 - 1:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q3 - 1:54MEMMISS Randolph 21' Jump Shot68
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q3 - 2:15MIALee STEAL (1 STL)68
6.7%
78
93.3%
Q3 - 2:40MEMRandolph 6' Running Hook Shot (17 PTS)68
8.0%
78
92.0%
Q3 - 3:02MIAChalmers 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)68
9.9%
76
90.1%
Q3 - 3:25MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q3 - 3:25MEMRandolph 1' Layup (15 PTS)66
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q3 - 3:26MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
9.9%
74
90.1%
Q3 - 3:26MEMMISS Randolph 1' Layup66
11.1%
74
88.9%
Q3 - 3:27MEMMISS Randolph Reverse Layup66
11.1%
74
88.9%
Q3 - 3:42MIAMcRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)66
9.9%
74
90.1%
Q3 - 4:09MEMConley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)63
7.7%
74
92.3%
Q3 - 4:30MIADeng 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)63
10.1%
71
89.9%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
9.0%
71
91.0%
Q3 - 4:35MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup61
7.9%
71
92.1%
Q3 - 4:41MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)61
9.0%
71
91.0%
Q3 - 5:07MIABosh 6' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)61
7.8%
71
92.2%
Q3 - 5:23MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q3 - 5:24MEMMISS Gasol 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot59
6.5%
71
93.5%
Q3 - 5:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)59
5.7%
71
94.3%
Q3 - 6:02MEMConley 13' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 6:16MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q3 - 6:17MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot56
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 6:31MEMLee 28' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)56
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 6:55MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)56
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 7:09MEMRandolph 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMcRoberts Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
11.1%
64
88.9%
Q3 - 7:35MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)54
9.8%
64
90.2%
Q3 - 7:52MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)54
8.4%
64
91.6%
Q3 - 8:13MEMLee 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gasol 7 AST)52
7.7%
64
92.3%
Q3 - 8:30MIADeng 1' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)52
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 8:39MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q3 - 8:40MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot50
7.9%
61
92.1%
Q3 - 9:04MEMConley 21' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
8.9%
61
91.1%
Q3 - 9:30MIACole 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)50
10.1%
59
89.9%
Q3 - 9:36MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)48
8.9%
59
91.1%
Q3 - 9:49MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
7.8%
59
92.2%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Deng 1' Layup48
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q3 - 9:52MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
8.9%
59
91.1%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS Deng 6' Jump Shot48
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q3 - 10:18MEMLee 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)48
9.0%
59
91.0%
Q3 - 10:20MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound48
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q3 - 10:20MEMMISS Randolph 1' Layup48
11.2%
57
88.8%
Q3 - 10:37MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q3 - 10:38MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup48
10.6%
57
89.4%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q3 - 10:51MEMMISS Gasol 19' Turnaround Jump Shot48
11.2%
57
88.8%
Q3 - 11:06MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q3 - 11:07MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot48
10.9%
57
89.1%
Q3 - 11:17MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
11.9%
57
88.1%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
10.9%
57
89.1%
Q3 - 11:43MEMGasol 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)48
11.8%
57
88.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
13.3%
55
86.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
15.2%
55
84.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Lee 15' Pullup Jump Shot48
14.9%
55
85.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAWade 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)48
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)46
12.1%
55
87.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)46
15.6%
52
84.4%
Q2 - 1:13MEMAllen 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)46
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q2 - 1:21MIARandolph STEAL (1 STL)46
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q2 - 1:23MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)46
21.1%
50
78.9%
Q2 - 1:46MIAWade 1' Layup (13 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)46
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q2 - 2:03MEMRandolph 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)44
17.6%
50
82.4%
Q2 - 2:13MEMKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS Cole 29' 3PT Jump Shot44
20.1%
48
79.9%
Q2 - 2:44MEMLee 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
21.5%
48
78.5%
Q2 - 2:50MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
23.8%
46
76.2%
Q2 - 2:52MIAKoufos BLOCK (1 BLK)44
24.4%
46
75.6%
Q2 - 3:01MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
26.0%
46
74.0%
Q2 - 3:02MEMMISS Randolph 20' Jump Shot44
25.2%
46
74.8%
Q2 - 3:22MIABosh 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)44
23.4%
46
76.6%
Q2 - 3:46MEMRandolph 1' Layup (6 PTS)42
21.7%
46
78.3%
Q2 - 4:05MIAChalmers 2' Driving Reverse Layup (3 PTS)42
23.5%
44
76.5%
Q2 - 4:19MEMConley 10' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 4:46MIAEnnis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)40
23.5%
42
76.5%
Q2 - 4:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
19.7%
42
80.3%
Q2 - 4:53MEMMISS Pondexter 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 5:08MIABosh 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)37
18.0%
42
82.0%
Q2 - 5:30MIAHeat Rebound35
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 5:31MEMMISS Pondexter 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
15.9%
42
84.1%
Q2 - 5:48MIAWade 18' Turnaround Bank Shot (11 PTS)35
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 6:05MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)33
14.0%
42
86.0%
Q2 - 6:28MEMPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 233
12.6%
42
87.4%
Q2 - 6:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
13.4%
42
86.6%
Q2 - 6:44MEMUdrih 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
12.7%
42
87.3%
Q2 - 7:05MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 7:06MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot32
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 7:33MEMLee Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)32
15.5%
40
84.5%
Q2 - 7:42MEMKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
16.8%
38
83.2%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
17.3%
38
82.7%
Q2 - 8:13MEMLeuer 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pondexter 1 AST)32
18.4%
38
81.6%
Q2 - 8:30MIAShaw. Williams 1' Layup (4 PTS)32
19.9%
36
80.1%
Q2 - 8:31MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
18.4%
36
81.6%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 1' Driving Layup30
17.3%
36
82.7%
Q2 - 8:52MEMLeuer 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)30
18.4%
36
81.6%
Q2 - 9:04MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)30
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 9:16MEMUdrih Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)30
23.4%
33
76.6%
Q2 - 9:40MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)30
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 9:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
20.0%
33
80.0%
Q2 - 9:49MEMMISS Leuer 19' Jump Shot28
19.4%
33
80.6%
Q2 - 10:15MIAShaw. Williams 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
18.4%
33
81.6%
Q2 - 10:28MIAHeat Rebound26
17.2%
33
82.8%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Wade Finger Roll Layup26
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q2 - 10:36MEMLee 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)26
17.2%
33
82.8%
Q2 - 10:45MEMUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
19.9%
30
80.1%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Napier 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
20.5%
30
79.5%
Q2 - 11:09MEMLeuer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
21.8%
30
78.2%
Q2 - 11:09MEMLeuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
22.2%
29
77.8%
Q2 - 11:09MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q2 - 11:10MEMMISS Leuer 2' Layup26
24.7%
28
75.3%
Q2 - 11:26MIALeuer STEAL (1 STL)26
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q2 - 11:34MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
25.3%
28
74.7%
Q2 - 11:35MEMMISS Udrih 16' Jump Shot26
24.7%
28
75.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM26
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot26
24.0%
28
76.0%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)26
25.0%
28
75.0%
Q1 - 0:17.0MEMLeuer 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)25
23.2%
28
76.8%
Q1 - 0:17.0MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
25.4%
26
74.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0MEMMISS Gasol 2' Layup25
26.4%
26
73.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
25.4%
26
74.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
23.2%
26
76.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot23
22.4%
26
77.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0MEMLeuer Dunk (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)23
23.2%
26
76.8%
Q1 - 1:11MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
25.3%
24
74.7%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot23
25.8%
24
74.2%
Q1 - 1:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
26.7%
24
73.3%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup23
25.8%
24
74.2%
Q1 - 1:33MEMPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
26.7%
24
73.3%
Q1 - 1:33MEMPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
27.2%
23
72.8%
Q1 - 1:41MIADeng 1' Layup (6 PTS)23
29.0%
22
71.0%
Q1 - 2:07MEMConley Layup (5 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)21
26.9%
22
73.1%
Q1 - 2:10MEMLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 2:12MIALeuer BLOCK (1 BLK)21
29.4%
20
70.6%
Q1 - 2:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
30.6%
20
69.4%
Q1 - 2:37MEMMISS Prince 9' Hook Shot21
30.1%
20
69.9%
Q1 - 2:40MEMPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 2:41MEMMISS Prince 8' Hook Shot21
30.1%
20
69.9%
Q1 - 2:57MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot21
29.4%
20
70.6%
Q1 - 3:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
30.5%
20
69.5%
Q1 - 3:23MEMMISS Gasol 6' Running Hook Shot21
29.9%
20
70.1%
Q1 - 3:47MIADeng Layup (4 PTS)21
28.4%
20
71.6%
Q1 - 3:50MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
26.9%
20
73.1%
Q1 - 3:57MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
25.0%
20
75.0%
Q1 - 4:22MEMLee 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leuer 1 AST)17
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 4:38MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
24.8%
18
75.2%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 217
25.0%
18
75.0%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 217
26.1%
18
73.9%
Q1 - 4:55MEMConley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)17
26.7%
18
73.3%
Q1 - 4:59MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot17
30.7%
15
69.3%
Q1 - 5:25MEMAllen Layup (9 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)17
31.6%
15
68.4%
Q1 - 5:42MIACole 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)17
33.2%
13
66.8%
Q1 - 6:09MEMRandolph 2' Layup (4 PTS)15
31.0%
13
69.0%
Q1 - 6:09MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
32.6%
11
67.4%
Q1 - 6:11MEMMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot15
33.9%
11
66.1%
Q1 - 6:20MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
32.6%
11
67.4%
Q1 - 6:21MIAMISS Deng 19' Fadeaway Jumper15
33.2%
11
66.8%
Q1 - 6:45MEMPrince 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)15
34.5%
11
65.5%
Q1 - 7:03MIABosh Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)15
35.6%
9
64.4%
Q1 - 7:16MEMAllen 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)13
34.2%
9
65.8%
Q1 - 7:26MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
35.6%
7
64.4%
Q1 - 7:32MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
34.2%
7
65.8%
Q1 - 7:35MEMMISS Allen 16' Pullup Jump Shot11
33.6%
7
66.4%
Q1 - 8:04MIAMcRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
32.0%
7
68.0%
Q1 - 8:31MEMAllen 14' Pullup Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)8
28.9%
7
71.1%
Q1 - 8:41MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
30.4%
5
69.6%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot8
30.9%
5
69.1%
Q1 - 9:08MEMRandolph 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)8
31.9%
5
68.1%
Q1 - 9:36MIAMcRoberts Dunk (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)8
33.5%
3
66.5%
Q1 - 9:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
31.9%
3
68.1%
Q1 - 9:53MEMMISS Randolph 17' Jump Shot6
31.4%
3
68.6%
Q1 - 10:11MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)6
30.0%
3
70.0%
Q1 - 10:17MEMAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
28.6%
3
71.4%
Q1 - 10:24MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.0%
3
73.0%
Q1 - 10:25MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Bank Shot4
27.5%
3
72.5%
Q1 - 10:40MEMAllen 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)4
28.6%
3
71.4%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMcRoberts Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
29.9%
1
70.1%
Q1 - 11:22MEMAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
28.2%
1
71.8%
Q1 - 11:22MEMMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 22
28.6%
0
71.4%
Q1 - 11:42MIADeng 1' Layup (2 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)2
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Bosh: Tip to Cole0
26.8%
0
73.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
MEM
1.27 63.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
23
38
61%
MEM
17
24
71%
Midrange
MIA
11
26
42%
MEM
18
36
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
MEM
8
12.0
13
62%
92%
Free Throws
MIA
4
8
50%
MEM
9
11
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2557%12.5 / 22
J. McRoberts1488%7.0 / 8
L. Deng1354%6.5 / 12
C. Bosh1246%6.0 / 13
M. Chalmers1260%6.0 / 10
N. Cole433%2.0 / 6
S. Williams429%2.0 / 7
J. Ennis III3150%1.5 / 1
S. Napier0-0.0 / 1
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Leuer2071%10.0 / 14
M. Conley18113%9.0 / 8
C. Lee1794%8.5 / 9
Z. Randolph1757%8.5 / 15
T. Allen1470%7.0 / 10
T. Prince950%4.5 / 9
B. Udrih467%2.0 / 3
M. Gasol217%1.0 / 6
K. Koufos250%1.0 / 2
Q. Pondexter0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+12
-11
86
MEM
71
+9
-12
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
MEM
1.27 63.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
106.0
MIA 102.4
MEM 124.1 +21.7
Pace
91.0
91.7
MIA 85.1 +2.1
MEM 82.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.9
MIA 16.9 +0.4
MEM 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.9%
MIA 51.9%
MEM 64.4% +12.5%
TO %
15.2%
14.0%
MIA 11.6% +3.6%
MEM 15.2%
ORB %
23.3%
24.6%
MIA 24.4%
MEM 25.9% +1.5%
FTrt
30.6
27.6
MIA 10.0
MEM 15.1 +5.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
57.4%
MIA 53.8%
MEM 55.8% +2.0%
STL %
8.6%
9.2%
MIA 11.8% +3.4%
MEM 8.4%
BLK %
8.0%
7.2%
MIA 3.3%
MEM 6.3% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
51.9%
MIA 50.6%
MEM 63.6% +13.0%
Rim FG%
59.7%
57.9%
MIA 60.5%
MEM 70.8% +10.3%
Mid FG%
40.9%
40.1%
MIA 42.3%
MEM 50.0% +7.7%
3P %
33.5%
33.9%
MIA 31.3%
MEM 61.5% +30.2%
FT %
74.1%
77.3%
MIA 50.0%
MEM 81.8% +31.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
38.4%
MIA 47.5% +14.6%
MEM 32.9%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
43.2%
MIA 32.5% +16.8%
MEM 49.3%
3P Att. %
26.2%
18.4%
MIA 20.0% +2.2%
MEM 17.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions8583
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points87103
Rebounds3038
Assists2124
Steals107
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (1)31 (0)
Field Goals39-8043-73
At-the-Rim FG23-3817-24
Midrange FG11-2618-36
2-Point FG34-6435-60
3-Point FG5-168-13
Free Throws4-89-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
35.5
12
46%
2
2
3
1
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
35.0
25
57%
2
6
1
0
5
2
1
1
3-5
60%
11-20
55%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 28
27.8
14
88%
5
5
0
0
3
3
3
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
27.5
13
54%
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-11
45%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
24.6
4
33%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
31.4
12
60%
3
2
4
0
2
3
0
3
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
18.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
18.1
0
0%
8
1
0
0
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
12.2
4
29%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
F · 6'7" 210 · 24
7.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 25
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · G · 6'5" 219 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
51%
30
21
10
2
11
0
10
20
4-8
50%
34-64
53%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.