FinalWin Prob.pScore
1736%102
84
1264%107
96
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
92.39194.9
ATL logo ATL
105.59187.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL84
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENMISS Green 19' Jump Shot84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLKorver Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Antic 1 AST)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENHarris 1' Driving Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Arthur 6 AST)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Layup82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DENMISS Arthur 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42ATLMillsap 9' Driving Jump Shot (23 PTS)82
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:57DENGee 1' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Arthur 5 AST)82
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 2:01ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)80
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 2:20DENHarris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T14)80
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 2:21DENHarris REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)80
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 2:23DENMISS Harris 3' Driving Layup80
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 2:38ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)80
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 2:53ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)80
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 2:55DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 3:13ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)80
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 3:35DENChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
4.4%
87
95.6%
Q4 - 3:35DENChandler 1' Tip Shot (29 PTS)80
4.4%
87
95.6%
Q4 - 3:37DENMISS Afflalo 2' Running Layup78
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 3:42ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)78
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q4 - 3:54DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Gee 2 AST)78
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 4:14ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)75
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 4:30DENGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 4:30DENGee 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)75
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 4:31DENMISS Arthur 1' Putback Layup73
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 4:34DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 4:35DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot73
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 4:39DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 4:41DENMISS Gee 19' Jump Shot73
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 4:57DENNuggets Rebound73
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 4:57DENHorford BLOCK (3 BLK)73
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 5:01DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 5:03ATLMISS Millsap 16' Turnaround Jump Shot73
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 5:24DENCarroll STEAL (2 STL)73
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 5:31DENGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 5:32ATLMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 5:53DENGee 5' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 6:00ATLSefolosha Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)71
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 6:08ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 6:09ATLMISS Teague 12' Floating Jump Shot71
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 6:20ATLHAWKS Rebound71
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 6:20DENHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)71
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 6:27DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 6:29ATLMISS Scott 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot71
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 6:43ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 6:45ATLMISS Scott 13' Jump Shot71
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 6:59ATLHAWKS Rebound71
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 6:59DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot71
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 7:05DENNuggets Rebound71
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 7:05DENHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)71
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 7:15DENNuggets Rebound71
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 7:15ATLMISS Horford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot71
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 7:35ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 7:37DENMISS Hickson 16' Jump Shot71
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 7:53ATLSefolosha 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)71
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 8:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 8:17DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q4 - 8:23DENHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)71
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 8:25DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q4 - 8:29DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 8:33DENMISS Lawson 1' Driving Layup71
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q4 - 8:46DENNuggets Rebound71
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 8:47DENMISS Gallinari 3PT Jump Shot71
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q4 - 8:53DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 8:55ATLMISS Schroder 2' Driving Layup71
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q4 - 9:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 9:14DENSefolosha BLOCK (1 BLK)71
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q4 - 9:26DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 9:27DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q4 - 9:39ATLScott Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)71
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 9:47ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 9:48DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q4 - 10:01ATLMack 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)71
5.7%
82
94.3%
Q4 - 10:16DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Lawson 10 AST)71
7.0%
80
93.0%
Q4 - 10:31ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)68
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q4 - 10:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q4 - 10:31ATLMISS Schroder 3' Driving Layup68
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q4 - 11:03DENMozgov 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)68
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q4 - 11:17DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)66
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q4 - 11:18ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q4 - 11:18ATLMISS Sefolosha 1' Tip Shot66
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q4 - 11:21ATLMISS Schroder 6' Driving Jump Shot66
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q4 - 11:28DENSchroder STEAL (1 STL)66
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q4 - 11:42DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q4 - 11:43ATLMISS Sefolosha 3PT Jump Shot66
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL66
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound66
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Antic 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper66
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q3 - 0:14.0DENArthur 3' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)66
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)64
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENChandler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)64
6.8%
74
93.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0ATLMillsap Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)64
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 1:15DENGee Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Arthur 4 AST)64
7.3%
74
92.7%
Q3 - 1:19ATLSchroder Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)62
6.1%
74
93.9%
Q3 - 1:31DENGee 1' Layup (6 PTS)62
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q3 - 1:35DENGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q3 - 1:36DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 1:40DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q3 - 1:42DENMISS Gee 17' Pullup Jump Shot60
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 1:50DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q3 - 1:51ATLMISS Mack 18' Jump Shot60
4.0%
74
96.0%
Q3 - 1:56ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 1:58DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 2:26ATLCarroll 1' Putback Layup (11 PTS)60
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q3 - 2:27ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)60
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q3 - 2:28ATLMISS Antic 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 2:48DENArthur 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)60
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q3 - 3:04ATLMillsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)58
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q3 - 3:23DENGee Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)58
7.1%
69
92.9%
Q3 - 3:30ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)56
6.1%
69
93.9%
Q3 - 3:39DENMozgov 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)56
5.1%
69
94.9%
Q3 - 3:44DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)54
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q3 - 3:47ATLMISS Teague 6' Driving Jump Shot54
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 4:10ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 4:12ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 4:28DENChandler 1' Running Layup (21 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)54
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 4:33ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)52
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 4:41ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q3 - 4:44DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 152
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 4:49DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 4:52ATLMISS Teague 10' Floating Jump Shot50
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 5:17ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 5:18DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q3 - 5:34DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
2.7%
69
97.3%
Q3 - 5:35ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q3 - 5:43ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 5:45DENMISS Lawson 21' Pullup Jump Shot50
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q3 - 6:10ATLHorford 4' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)50
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q3 - 6:28DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)50
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 6:32ATLCarroll Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)47
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 6:46DENMozgov 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Arthur 3 AST)47
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 7:05ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)45
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 7:10DENTeague STEAL (1 STL)45
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 7:27DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)45
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 7:28ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 145
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 7:44ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 7:45DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 7:53DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 7:55ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot45
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 8:02ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 8:03DENMISS Arthur 20' Jump Shot45
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 8:13DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 8:16ATLMISS Carroll 16' Step Back Jump Shot45
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 8:42DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Arthur 2 AST)45
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 8:56ATLCarroll 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)42
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 9:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q3 - 9:05DENMISS Afflalo 1' Layup42
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q3 - 9:08DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q3 - 9:09ATLMISS Carroll 2' Putback Layup42
3.0%
62
97.0%
Q3 - 9:11ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q3 - 9:13ATLMISS Millsap 7' Jump Shot42
3.0%
62
97.0%
Q3 - 9:27DENChandler 13' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)42
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q3 - 9:37DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q3 - 9:40ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q3 - 10:05ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q3 - 10:06DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q3 - 10:10DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q3 - 10:12DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q3 - 10:19DENNuggets Rebound40
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q3 - 10:19ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q3 - 10:35DENChandler 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)40
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q3 - 10:53ATLMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)38
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 10:54DENCarroll STEAL (1 STL)38
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 11:14ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)38
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q3 - 11:14ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)38
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q3 - 11:23ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q3 - 11:24ATLMISS Carroll 1' Driving Reverse Layup38
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q3 - 11:26DENHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q3 - 11:26DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q3 - 11:37ATLMillsap 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)36
2.1%
60
97.9%
Q3 - 11:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
2.7%
57
97.3%
Q3 - 11:47DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
2.8%
57
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN36
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLCarroll 1' Running Layup (7 PTS)36
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
4.4%
55
95.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
4.4%
55
95.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)36
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0ATLHAWKS Rebound36
5.1%
53
94.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENMISS Chandler 7' Driving Jump Shot36
5.2%
53
94.8%
Q2 - 1:13ATLTeague 4' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
5.9%
53
94.1%
Q2 - 1:28ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 1:29DENMISS Afflalo 17' Pullup Jump Shot36
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q2 - 1:46ATLBazemore Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)36
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q2 - 1:59ATLHAWKS Rebound36
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 2:00DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q2 - 2:10ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
8.0%
51
92.0%
Q2 - 2:10ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
8.2%
50
91.8%
Q2 - 2:10DENMillsap STEAL (4 STL)36
8.9%
49
91.1%
Q2 - 2:23DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)36
10.0%
49
90.0%
Q2 - 2:24ATLMISS Antic Free Throw 2 of 236
9.8%
49
90.2%
Q2 - 2:24ATLAntic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q2 - 2:24ATLHAWKS Rebound36
10.0%
48
90.0%
Q2 - 2:24ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
10.8%
48
89.2%
Q2 - 2:37DENMillsap STEAL (3 STL)36
10.0%
48
90.0%
Q2 - 2:43DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
11.1%
48
88.9%
Q2 - 2:44ATLMISS Millsap 10' Step Back Jump Shot36
10.8%
48
89.2%
Q2 - 3:06DENMozgov 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gee 1 AST)36
10.3%
48
89.7%
Q2 - 3:15DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q2 - 3:17ATLMISS Teague 10' Floating Jump Shot34
9.0%
48
91.0%
Q2 - 3:29DENChandler 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)34
8.3%
48
91.7%
Q2 - 3:44DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
7.5%
48
92.5%
Q2 - 3:45ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 232
7.4%
48
92.6%
Q2 - 3:45ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
6.9%
48
93.1%
Q2 - 3:59DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
7.4%
47
92.6%
Q2 - 3:59DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q2 - 4:10DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 4:12ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 4:23DENChandler 10' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)30
6.3%
47
93.7%
Q2 - 4:44ATLScott 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
5.7%
47
94.3%
Q2 - 4:59DENGee 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
6.3%
45
93.7%
Q2 - 5:13ATLScott Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)26
5.9%
45
94.1%
Q2 - 5:13ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
6.1%
44
93.9%
Q2 - 5:26ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
6.6%
43
93.4%
Q2 - 5:30DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot26
6.8%
43
93.2%
Q2 - 5:54ATLTeague 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Scott 2 AST)26
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 5:58DENScott STEAL (1 STL)26
8.1%
41
91.9%
Q2 - 6:05DENNuggets Rebound26
9.5%
41
90.5%
Q2 - 6:05DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
8.7%
41
91.3%
Q2 - 6:22DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
9.5%
41
90.5%
Q2 - 6:26ATLMISS Korver 2' Reverse Layup26
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 6:36ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
8.4%
41
91.6%
Q2 - 6:38DENMISS Afflalo 15' Running Jump Shot26
8.7%
41
91.3%
Q2 - 6:48DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)26
9.5%
41
90.5%
Q2 - 6:50ATLMISS Schroder 19' Pullup Jump Shot26
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 7:14DENMozgov 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)26
8.8%
41
91.2%
Q2 - 7:30ATLSchroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)24
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 7:34ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
9.7%
38
90.3%
Q2 - 7:35ATLMISS Horford 3PT Jump Shot24
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 7:55DENLawson 4' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
9.7%
38
90.3%
Q2 - 8:05DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 8:06DENMISS Lawson 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
8.5%
38
91.5%
Q2 - 8:14DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw Technical22
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 8:23DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 8:24ATLMISS Carroll 9' Driving Hook Shot22
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 8:40ATLHAWKS Rebound22
8.2%
38
91.8%
Q2 - 8:40DENMISS Hickson 12' Floating Jump Shot22
8.5%
38
91.5%
Q2 - 8:56ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)22
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 9:14ATLHAWKS Rebound22
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 9:14DENMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
10.4%
36
89.6%
Q2 - 9:38ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)22
11.2%
36
88.8%
Q2 - 9:43ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
12.1%
34
87.9%
Q2 - 9:46DENMISS Harris 14' Fadeaway Jumper22
12.5%
34
87.5%
Q2 - 10:10ATLMack 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)22
13.6%
34
86.4%
Q2 - 10:15ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
14.6%
32
85.4%
Q2 - 10:16DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q2 - 10:34DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
16.1%
32
83.9%
Q2 - 10:36ATLMISS Scott 15' Turnaround Hook Shot22
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 10:59DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
14.6%
32
85.4%
Q2 - 10:59DENMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 221
14.3%
32
85.7%
Q2 - 10:59DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
14.8%
32
85.2%
Q2 - 11:02DENMISS Gallinari 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot21
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 11:15DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q2 - 11:17ATLMISS Scott 20' Jump Shot21
14.6%
32
85.4%
Q2 - 11:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
13.7%
32
86.3%
Q2 - 11:42DENMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot21
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN21
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound21
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Lawson 36' 3PT Jump Shot21
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLKorver 1' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Mack 4 AST)21
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0ATLHAWKS Rebound21
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Schroder 2' Driving Layup21
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q1 - 0:10.0ATLMISS Sefolosha 3PT Jump Shot21
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0DENArthur 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)21
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
15.1%
30
84.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
15.4%
29
84.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
16.7%
28
83.3%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
17.0%
28
83.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLAntic 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mack 3 AST)19
17.7%
28
82.3%
Q1 - 1:07ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
19.6%
26
80.4%
Q1 - 1:08DENMISS Arthur 3PT Jump Shot19
20.0%
26
80.0%
Q1 - 1:31ATLScott 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)19
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q1 - 1:45ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
24.4%
23
75.6%
Q1 - 1:46DENMISS Hickson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot19
24.8%
23
75.2%
Q1 - 2:01ATLAntic 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)19
25.9%
23
74.1%
Q1 - 2:26DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
27.8%
21
72.2%
Q1 - 2:26DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
27.5%
21
72.5%
Q1 - 2:29DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
25.9%
21
74.1%
Q1 - 2:30ATLMISS Antic 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
25.4%
21
74.6%
Q1 - 2:49ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
24.3%
21
75.7%
Q1 - 2:51DENMISS Arthur 20' Jump Shot17
24.8%
21
75.2%
Q1 - 2:59DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
25.9%
21
74.1%
Q1 - 3:00ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
25.4%
21
74.6%
Q1 - 3:16DENHickson 4' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)17
24.2%
21
75.8%
Q1 - 3:30DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
22.8%
21
77.2%
Q1 - 3:31ATLMISS Korver 22' Jump Shot15
22.2%
21
77.8%
Q1 - 3:40ATLHAWKS Rebound15
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 3:41ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 215
22.5%
21
77.5%
Q1 - 3:41ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 215
21.6%
21
78.4%
Q1 - 3:47ATLHAWKS Rebound15
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 3:47ATLMISS Millsap 2' Driving Reverse Layup15
22.2%
21
77.8%
Q1 - 3:53DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 3:53DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 4:07ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)13
19.9%
21
80.1%
Q1 - 4:12ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
22.6%
18
77.4%
Q1 - 4:14DENMISS Hickson 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot13
23.1%
18
76.9%
Q1 - 4:31ATLAntic 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)13
24.4%
18
75.6%
Q1 - 4:32ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
25.8%
16
74.2%
Q1 - 4:34ATLMISS Antic 2' Layup13
27.2%
16
72.8%
Q1 - 4:50DENChandler Foul Turnover (P2.T5)13
25.8%
16
74.2%
Q1 - 5:13ATLCarroll 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)13
27.7%
16
72.3%
Q1 - 5:18DENMillsap STEAL (2 STL)13
29.2%
14
70.8%
Q1 - 5:36ATLKorver 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)13
31.2%
14
68.8%
Q1 - 5:42DENMillsap STEAL (1 STL)13
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 5:51DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
34.9%
12
65.1%
Q1 - 5:52ATLMISS Carroll 18' Pullup Jump Shot13
34.2%
12
65.8%
Q1 - 6:13DENAfflalo 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)13
32.5%
12
67.5%
Q1 - 6:29DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
30.9%
12
69.1%
Q1 - 6:32ATLMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
30.4%
12
69.6%
Q1 - 6:49DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
29.1%
12
70.9%
Q1 - 6:58ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)11
30.9%
12
69.1%
Q1 - 7:03ATLHAWKS Rebound11
34.0%
9
66.0%
Q1 - 7:03ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup11
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 7:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
34.0%
9
66.0%
Q1 - 7:15DENMISS Chandler 6' Floating Jump Shot11
34.6%
9
65.4%
Q1 - 7:27DENNuggets Rebound11
36.0%
9
64.0%
Q1 - 7:27DENMISS Hickson Driving Slam Dunk11
34.6%
9
65.4%
Q1 - 7:44ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)11
36.0%
9
64.0%
Q1 - 8:00DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)11
37.5%
7
62.5%
Q1 - 8:06DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
34.0%
7
66.0%
Q1 - 8:08ATLMISS Horford 4' Running Hook Shot8
33.5%
7
66.5%
Q1 - 8:22DENMozgov Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
32.2%
7
67.8%
Q1 - 8:24DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
34.0%
7
66.0%
Q1 - 8:26DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
34.0%
7
66.0%
Q1 - 8:26DENMISS Mozgov Putback Dunk8
32.8%
7
67.2%
Q1 - 8:28DENMISS Lawson 6' Jump Shot8
32.8%
7
67.2%
Q1 - 8:52ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)8
34.1%
7
65.9%
Q1 - 9:06DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hickson 2 AST)8
35.5%
5
64.5%
Q1 - 9:28ATLMillsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)5
32.2%
5
67.8%
Q1 - 9:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
35.5%
2
64.5%
Q1 - 9:40DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 10:07ATLCarroll 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)5
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 10:18ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
38.9%
0
61.1%
Q1 - 10:20DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot5
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 10:24DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 10:26DENMISS Chandler 27' 3PT Jump Shot5
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 10:44DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 10:45ATLMISS Korver 27' 3PT Jump Shot5
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 10:58DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)5
38.9%
0
61.1%
Q1 - 11:11DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:12ATLMISS Millsap 1' Layup2
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 11:21DENChandler 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)2
33.5%
0
66.5%
Q1 - 11:33DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 11:34ATLMISS Millsap 20' Pullup Jump Shot0
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Mozgov: Tip to Millsap0
30.3%
0
69.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.84 42.0%
ATL
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
31
65%
ATL
17
30
57%
Midrange
DEN
8
27
30%
ATL
9
30
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
35
17%
26%
ATL
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
Free Throws
DEN
10
13
77%
ATL
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Chandler2966%14.5 / 22
T. Mozgov1488%7.0 / 8
A. Gee1478%7.0 / 9
A. Afflalo1036%5.0 / 14
D. Arthur627%3.0 / 11
T. Lawson418%2.0 / 11
J. Hickson429%2.0 / 7
G. Harris317%1.5 / 9
D. Gallinari0-0.0 / 6
E. Green0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap2368%11.5 / 17
K. Korver1563%7.5 / 12
D. Carroll1139%5.5 / 14
A. Horford1161%5.5 / 9
J. Teague935%4.5 / 13
D. Schröder744%3.5 / 8
M. Scott750%3.5 / 7
P. Antic744%3.5 / 8
S. Mack467%2.0 / 3
T. Sefolosha225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
77
+22
-14
99
ATL
79
+17
-12
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.84 42.0%
ATL
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
108.9
DEN 92.3 +13.2
ATL 105.5
Pace
95.9
94.0
DEN 94.9 +7.5
ATL 87.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.1
DEN 15.2 +1.3
ATL 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
52.7%
DEN 39.8%
ATL 47.1% +7.3%
TO %
14.3%
14.3%
DEN 12.4%
ATL 11.2% +1.2%
ORB %
26.5%
21.4%
DEN 33.3% +9.9%
ATL 23.4%
FTrt
27.8
25.9
DEN 14.0
ATL 21.8 +7.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.7%
67.6%
DEN 73.5% +1.3%
ATL 72.2%
STL %
8.0%
9.6%
DEN 9.9%
ATL 9.9%
BLK %
7.2%
8.1%
DEN 6.7%
ATL 6.9% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
54.7%
DEN 42.0%
ATL 49.5% +7.5%
Rim FG%
56.1%
58.1%
DEN 64.5% +7.8%
ATL 56.7%
Mid FG%
37.9%
42.2%
DEN 29.6%
ATL 30.0% +0.4%
3P %
32.5%
38.0%
DEN 17.1%
ATL 37.0% +19.9%
FT %
73.5%
77.8%
DEN 76.9% +3.2%
ATL 73.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.2%
36.1%
DEN 33.3%
ATL 34.5% +1.1%
Mid Att. %
33.4%
31.8%
DEN 29.0% +5.5%
ATL 34.5%
3P Att. %
28.4%
32.1%
DEN 37.6% +6.6%
ATL 31.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENATL
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points8496
Rebounds5243
Assists2526
Steals99
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (6)11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)32 (6)
Field Goals34-9336-87
At-the-Rim FG20-3117-30
Midrange FG8-279-30
2-Point FG28-5826-60
3-Point FG6-3510-27
Free Throws10-1314-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 5'11" 195 · 27
43.6
4
18%
6
10
2
0
3
2
1
5
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-5
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
37.0
29
66%
10
2
0
0
5
2
3
7
1-1
100%
8-10
80%
4-12
33%
C · 7'1" 275 · 28
32.8
14
88%
11
0
1
2
1
5
2
9
4-4
100%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 29
30.4
10
36%
5
2
1
0
2
2
2
3
0-2
0%
2-7
29%
2-7
29%
F · 6'9" 242 · 26
19.9
4
29%
9
2
0
1
0
5
1
8
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
26.1
6
27%
2
6
2
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-4
0%
F · 6'6" 225 · 28
21.2
14
78%
4
2
3
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
7-9
78%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 26
14.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 20
10.3
3
17%
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-4
0%
G · 6'4" 185 · 24
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 25
G · 5'9" 180 · 31
C · 7'0" 270 · 27
#23 · C · 7'0" 290 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'4" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
42%
52
25
9
4
14
0
16
36
10-13
77%
28-58
48%
6-35
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.