FinalWin Prob.pScore
1456%99
85
2244%97
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
91.49391.1
MIL logo MIL
118.59294.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA85
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Shot85
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILKnight 15' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 285
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 284
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57MILMiddleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P5.T25)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAShaw. Williams 1' Layup (2 PTS)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MILMiddleton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T24)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Granger Free Throw 3 of 382
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 382
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 382
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56MILMarshall 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00MIAParker STEAL (2 STL)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16MILPachulia 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18MILMISS Middleton Layup82
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:24MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS Bosh Layup82
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:35MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T23)82
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 3:42MILMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot82
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 4:03MILKnight 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Middleton 2 AST)82
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 4:18MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot82
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 4:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 4:31MILMISS Dudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 4:44MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)81
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 5:02MILMarshall Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T22)80
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 5:20MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 5:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 280
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)80
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 5:31MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 5:32MILMISS Knight 16' Jump Shot79
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 5:51MIAPachulia STEAL (2 STL)79
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 6:02MILMarshall 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)79
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 6:30MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)79
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q4 - 6:44MILMarshall Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T21)77
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q4 - 6:56MIAWade 14' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS)77
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 7:12MILMarshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)75
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 7:26MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)75
3.0%
88
97.0%
Q4 - 8:03MILMarshall 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 8:14MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
3.4%
86
96.6%
Q4 - 8:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q4 - 8:25MILMISS Middleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 8:43MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot72
3.4%
86
96.6%
Q4 - 9:04MILSanders Dunk (6 PTS) (Marshall 4 AST)72
5.2%
86
94.8%
Q4 - 9:18MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Ennis 5' Jump Shot72
6.9%
84
93.1%
Q4 - 9:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
8.0%
84
92.0%
Q4 - 9:34MILMISS Sanders 1' Layup72
7.5%
84
92.5%
Q4 - 9:46MIAWade Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T16)72
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q4 - 10:01MILSanders 1' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)72
9.3%
84
90.7%
Q4 - 10:18MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
11.3%
82
88.7%
Q4 - 10:18MIAMISS Ennis Free Throw 1 of 271
10.8%
82
89.2%
Q4 - 10:39MILMiddleton 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)71
11.3%
82
88.7%
Q4 - 10:50MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
13.6%
80
86.4%
Q4 - 10:51MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
14.5%
80
85.5%
Q4 - 10:59MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
16.6%
80
83.4%
Q4 - 11:00MILMISS Bayless 17' Jump Shot71
15.6%
80
84.4%
Q4 - 11:21MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
14.8%
80
85.2%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot71
15.6%
80
84.4%
Q4 - 11:42MILMarshall Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)71
17.8%
80
82.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
14.7%
80
85.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)71
17.7%
80
82.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSanders 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)71
17.7%
80
82.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
20.9%
78
79.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Sanders 1' Tip Shot71
23.6%
78
76.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
22.5%
78
77.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Layup71
25.1%
78
74.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0MILMISS Sanders 1' Layup71
25.1%
78
74.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0MILBUCKS Rebound71
22.4%
78
77.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
23.5%
78
76.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)71
26.1%
78
73.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
26.6%
77
73.4%
Q3 - 1:03MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)71
31.4%
76
68.6%
Q3 - 1:11MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
35.9%
76
64.1%
Q3 - 1:11MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
36.5%
75
63.5%
Q3 - 1:17MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
40.3%
74
59.7%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
41.8%
74
58.2%
Q3 - 1:38MILMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
45.2%
74
54.8%
Q3 - 1:38MILMarshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
47.0%
73
53.0%
Q3 - 1:47MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
49.9%
72
50.1%
Q3 - 2:04MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
45.7%
72
54.3%
Q3 - 2:04MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
46.3%
71
53.7%
Q3 - 2:22MILBUCKS Rebound69
50.0%
70
50.0%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Napier 9' Jump Shot69
51.5%
70
48.5%
Q3 - 2:48MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)69
54.9%
70
45.1%
Q3 - 2:52MIABayless STEAL (2 STL)69
63.6%
67
36.4%
Q3 - 2:57MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)69
68.0%
67
32.0%
Q3 - 3:19MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)69
63.3%
67
36.7%
Q3 - 3:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
59.4%
67
40.6%
Q3 - 3:39MILMISS Bayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
58.0%
67
42.0%
Q3 - 3:58MIANapier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)67
54.8%
67
45.2%
Q3 - 4:10MILBayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)64
47.0%
67
53.0%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMcRoberts 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)64
54.6%
64
45.4%
Q3 - 4:52MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
51.2%
64
48.8%
Q3 - 4:53MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 262
50.5%
64
49.5%
Q3 - 4:53MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 262
47.9%
64
52.1%
Q3 - 5:16MIAWade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS)62
46.5%
64
53.5%
Q3 - 5:40MILParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)60
43.1%
64
56.9%
Q3 - 5:58MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
38.5%
64
61.5%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Napier 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
39.8%
64
60.2%
Q3 - 6:10MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
43.7%
64
56.3%
Q3 - 6:10MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
44.7%
63
55.3%
Q3 - 6:19MIAHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)60
47.1%
62
52.9%
Q3 - 6:19MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
39.9%
62
60.1%
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS Napier 3' Layup57
36.9%
62
63.1%
Q3 - 6:46MILMayo 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)57
39.8%
62
60.2%
Q3 - 7:08MILBUCKS Rebound57
43.5%
60
56.5%
Q3 - 7:08MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot57
44.8%
60
55.2%
Q3 - 7:28MILBayless 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)57
47.8%
60
52.2%
Q3 - 7:47MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)57
51.1%
58
48.9%
Q3 - 8:03MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)57
55.7%
58
44.3%
Q3 - 8:25MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
51.3%
58
48.7%
Q3 - 8:26MILMISS Mayo 18' Jump Shot57
54.3%
58
45.7%
Q3 - 8:43MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)57
51.3%
58
48.7%
Q3 - 9:01MILMayo 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)57
55.3%
58
44.7%
Q3 - 9:17MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)57
58.8%
56
41.2%
Q3 - 9:43MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (8 PTS)55
55.4%
56
44.6%
Q3 - 9:48MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
58.8%
54
41.2%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS Bosh Layup55
59.9%
54
40.1%
Q3 - 9:54MILMayo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)55
62.4%
54
37.6%
Q3 - 10:09MIAGranger 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)55
59.2%
54
40.8%
Q3 - 10:34MILKnight Foul Turnover (P5.T15)52
52.2%
54
47.8%
Q3 - 10:39MILBUCKS Rebound52
48.6%
54
51.4%
Q3 - 10:39MILMISS Mayo 18' Jump Shot52
51.1%
54
48.9%
Q3 - 10:44MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
48.6%
54
51.4%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Bosh 6' Hook Shot52
49.7%
54
50.3%
Q3 - 10:59MIAHeat Rebound52
52.2%
54
47.8%
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot52
50.5%
54
49.5%
Q3 - 11:07MIAHeat Rebound52
52.9%
54
47.1%
Q3 - 11:07MIAPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)52
50.5%
54
49.5%
Q3 - 11:23MILParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)52
52.9%
54
47.1%
Q3 - 11:45MIAWade Layup (23 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)52
49.3%
54
50.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL50
46.0%
54
54.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMiddleton STEAL (3 STL)50
42.5%
54
57.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)50
46.1%
54
53.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)50
43.8%
54
56.2%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)49
43.0%
54
57.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
39.7%
54
60.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
40.2%
53
59.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAKnight STEAL (1 STL)48
43.7%
52
56.3%
Q2 - 0:55.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
46.2%
52
53.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
47.0%
51
53.0%
Q2 - 0:55.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
50.2%
50
49.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Layup48
51.9%
50
48.1%
Q2 - 1:04MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
50.9%
50
49.1%
Q2 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot48
51.4%
50
48.6%
Q2 - 1:13MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
52.7%
50
47.3%
Q2 - 1:15MILMISS Knight 19' Jump Shot48
52.1%
50
47.9%
Q2 - 1:31MIAWade Layup (19 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)48
50.9%
50
49.1%
Q2 - 1:50MILBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)46
46.3%
50
53.7%
Q2 - 1:53MIABayless STEAL (1 STL)46
44.5%
50
55.5%
Q2 - 2:14MILMiddleton 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
47.3%
50
52.7%
Q2 - 2:28MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
50.5%
48
49.5%
Q2 - 2:29MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot46
51.4%
48
48.6%
Q2 - 2:52MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)46
53.4%
48
46.6%
Q2 - 2:57MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
59.7%
45
40.3%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Granger 1' Layup46
60.6%
45
39.4%
Q2 - 3:10MILKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)46
62.8%
45
37.2%
Q2 - 3:20MIAWade 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)46
59.5%
45
40.5%
Q2 - 3:31MILParker 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)44
57.1%
45
42.9%
Q2 - 3:42MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
59.5%
43
40.5%
Q2 - 3:43MILMISS Knight 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
61.8%
43
38.2%
Q2 - 4:04MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
59.5%
43
40.5%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot44
60.4%
43
39.6%
Q2 - 4:22MILKnight Layup (6 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST)44
62.4%
43
37.6%
Q2 - 4:26MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
64.9%
41
35.1%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot44
65.8%
41
34.2%
Q2 - 4:50MILKnight Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)44
67.7%
41
32.3%
Q2 - 4:55MIAMiddleton STEAL (2 STL)44
70.0%
39
30.0%
Q2 - 5:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
72.3%
39
27.7%
Q2 - 5:13MILMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot44
71.6%
39
28.4%
Q2 - 5:29MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
70.0%
39
30.0%
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS Ennis Free Throw 2 of 244
70.3%
39
29.7%
Q2 - 5:30MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
71.8%
39
28.2%
Q2 - 5:38MILDudley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)43
70.0%
39
30.0%
Q2 - 6:02MIAEnnis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)43
73.9%
36
26.1%
Q2 - 6:23MILMiddleton 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
70.0%
36
30.0%
Q2 - 6:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)40
71.8%
34
28.2%
Q2 - 6:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)39
71.3%
34
28.7%
Q2 - 6:49MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)38
70.1%
34
29.9%
Q2 - 7:16MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)38
67.2%
34
32.8%
Q2 - 7:36MILMarshall 28' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)36
65.0%
34
35.0%
Q2 - 7:56MIADudley STEAL (1 STL)36
69.5%
31
30.5%
Q2 - 8:18MILMarshall Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)36
71.4%
31
28.6%
Q2 - 8:22MIAMiddleton STEAL (1 STL)36
69.2%
31
30.8%
Q2 - 8:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
71.4%
31
28.6%
Q2 - 8:33MILMISS Sanders Layup36
70.8%
31
29.2%
Q2 - 8:36MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
69.2%
31
30.8%
Q2 - 8:37MILMISS Middleton 19' Jump Shot36
70.8%
31
29.2%
Q2 - 8:43MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
69.2%
31
30.8%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot36
69.9%
31
30.1%
Q2 - 9:09MILDudley 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marshall 3 AST)36
71.3%
31
28.7%
Q2 - 9:26MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
73.0%
29
27.0%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS Chalmers Layup36
73.7%
29
26.3%
Q2 - 9:52MILMiddleton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST)36
75.2%
29
24.8%
Q2 - 10:03MIAShaw. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
76.5%
27
23.5%
Q2 - 10:33MILDudley 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)36
78.5%
27
21.4%
Q2 - 10:37MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
79.9%
25
20.1%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Chalmers Layup36
80.5%
25
19.5%
Q2 - 10:46MILPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)36
81.7%
25
18.3%
Q2 - 11:05MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Napier 4 AST)36
79.4%
25
20.6%
Q2 - 11:15MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
76.1%
25
23.9%
Q2 - 11:17MILMISS Dudley 4' Jump Shot33
75.6%
25
24.4%
Q2 - 11:42MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)33
74.3%
25
25.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL30
70.5%
25
29.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound30
68.4%
25
31.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Marshall 37' 3PT Jump Shot30
69.9%
25
30.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABosh Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)30
68.4%
25
31.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0MILDudley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
65.7%
25
34.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0MILMISS Dudley Free Throw 1 of 228
66.2%
24
33.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
66.3%
24
33.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup28
66.7%
24
33.3%
Q1 - 0:59.0MILMarshall 3' Hook Shot (5 PTS)28
67.8%
24
32.2%
Q1 - 1:13MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
70.3%
22
29.7%
Q1 - 1:15MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (2 BLK)28
70.7%
22
29.3%
Q1 - 1:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
71.7%
22
28.3%
Q1 - 1:26MILMISS Bayless 15' Jump Shot28
71.3%
22
28.7%
Q1 - 1:46MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
70.3%
22
29.7%
Q1 - 1:46MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
69.9%
22
30.1%
Q1 - 1:46MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)26
67.8%
22
32.2%
Q1 - 2:00MIAEnnis 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Napier 3 AST)26
66.3%
22
33.7%
Q1 - 2:18MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
63.8%
22
36.2%
Q1 - 2:20MILMISS Antetokounmpo 18' Jump Shot24
63.2%
22
36.8%
Q1 - 2:32MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
61.8%
22
38.2%
Q1 - 2:32MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 223
61.4%
22
38.6%
Q1 - 2:42MILParker Layup (10 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)23
61.7%
22
38.3%
Q1 - 2:46MILMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
64.0%
20
36.0%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot23
64.6%
20
35.4%
Q1 - 3:03MILBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)23
66.0%
20
34.0%
Q1 - 3:08MILMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
63.7%
20
36.3%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
64.4%
20
35.6%
Q1 - 3:19MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
66.0%
20
34.0%
Q1 - 3:19MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
66.5%
19
33.5%
Q1 - 3:42MIAGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)23
67.8%
18
32.2%
Q1 - 4:10MILMarshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)20
64.0%
18
36.0%
Q1 - 4:25MILBayless Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)20
67.6%
15
32.4%
Q1 - 4:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)20
69.5%
14
30.5%
Q1 - 4:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 219
69.1%
14
30.9%
Q1 - 4:41MILKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)19
69.8%
14
30.2%
Q1 - 4:56MIANapier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)19
67.6%
14
32.4%
Q1 - 5:22MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)16
63.4%
14
36.6%
Q1 - 5:22MILParker Tip Shot (8 PTS)16
63.4%
14
36.6%
Q1 - 5:24MILMISS Parker 1' Layup16
66.6%
12
33.4%
Q1 - 5:28MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
65.2%
12
34.8%
Q1 - 5:29MILMISS Antetokounmpo 18' Jump Shot16
66.6%
12
33.4%
Q1 - 5:49MIAWade 4' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)16
65.2%
12
34.8%
Q1 - 5:59MILSanders 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)14
63.5%
12
36.5%
Q1 - 6:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
61.1%
12
38.9%
Q1 - 6:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
60.7%
12
39.3%
Q1 - 6:30MILAntetokounmpo Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)12
59.4%
12
40.6%
Q1 - 6:47MIABosh 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
61.1%
10
38.9%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
59.4%
10
40.6%
Q1 - 6:58MILMISS Knight 19' Jump Shot10
58.8%
10
41.2%
Q1 - 7:15MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)10
57.4%
10
42.6%
Q1 - 7:19MIAHeat Rebound8
55.8%
10
44.2%
Q1 - 7:19MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (1 BLK)8
54.3%
10
45.7%
Q1 - 7:42MILParker 1' Layup (6 PTS)8
55.8%
10
44.2%
Q1 - 7:46MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)8
57.4%
8
42.6%
Q1 - 8:04MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
59.9%
8
40.1%
Q1 - 8:04MILParker Dunk (4 PTS)8
59.9%
8
40.1%
Q1 - 8:06MILMISS Knight 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
62.9%
6
37.1%
Q1 - 8:23MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)8
61.6%
6
38.4%
Q1 - 8:41MIAHeat Rebound6
59.9%
6
40.1%
Q1 - 8:41MILMISS Antetokounmpo 18' Jump Shot6
59.3%
6
40.7%
Q1 - 8:55MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
57.9%
6
42.1%
Q1 - 8:59MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
56.2%
6
43.8%
Q1 - 9:03MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)4
54.3%
6
45.7%
Q1 - 9:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
56.3%
6
43.7%
Q1 - 9:14MILMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
55.7%
6
44.3%
Q1 - 9:21MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
54.3%
6
45.7%
Q1 - 9:23MILMISS Parker 6' Hook Shot4
55.7%
6
44.3%
Q1 - 9:37MILJump Ball Pachulia vs. Granger: Tip to Parker4
54.3%
6
45.7%
Q1 - 9:51MILKnight Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)4
56.3%
6
43.7%
Q1 - 9:53MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.3%
6
45.7%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup4
54.9%
6
45.1%
Q1 - 10:02MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
56.3%
6
43.7%
Q1 - 10:04MILMISS Knight 1' Layup4
55.7%
6
44.3%
Q1 - 10:10MIAWade Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
54.3%
6
45.7%
Q1 - 10:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
52.6%
6
47.4%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
51.1%
6
48.9%
Q1 - 10:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
52.6%
6
47.4%
Q1 - 10:19MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot2
51.1%
6
48.9%
Q1 - 10:32MILPachulia 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
52.6%
6
47.4%
Q1 - 10:50MIAChalmers Layup (2 PTS)2
54.3%
4
45.7%
Q1 - 10:53MILKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
52.6%
4
47.4%
Q1 - 11:04MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.8%
4
49.2%
Q1 - 11:05MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot0
51.3%
4
48.7%
Q1 - 11:18MILKnight 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
52.5%
4
47.5%
Q1 - 11:27MIAGranger Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
54.5%
2
45.5%
Q1 - 11:44MILParker Dunk (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)0
56.2%
2
43.8%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Pachulia vs. Bosh: Tip to Parker0
58.1%
0
41.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 51.8%
MIL
1.30 64.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
25
52%
MIL
19
29
66%
Midrange
MIA
10
25
40%
MIL
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
MIL
9
13.5
16
56%
84%
Free Throws
MIA
18
27
67%
MIL
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2861%14.0 / 23
C. Bosh2144%10.5 / 24
M. Chalmers941%4.5 / 11
D. Granger758%3.5 / 6
J. Ennis III758%3.5 / 6
S. Napier660%3.0 / 5
J. Hamilton3150%1.5 / 1
J. McRoberts2100%1.0 / 1
S. Williams233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Marshall20111%10.0 / 9
G. Antetokounmpo1454%7.0 / 13
J. Parker1470%7.0 / 10
K. Middleton1478%7.0 / 9
B. Knight1354%6.5 / 12
J. Bayless1275%6.0 / 8
J. Dudley867%4.0 / 6
L. Sanders643%3.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia4100%2.0 / 2
O. Mayo440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+6
-18
81
MIL
68
+14
-24
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 51.8%
MIL
1.30 64.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
103.1
MIA 91.4 +27.1
MIL 118.5
Pace
91.0
93.7
MIA 91.1
MIL 94.0 +2.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.8
MIA 15.8
MIL 15.3 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
49.9%
MIA 49.3%
MIL 63.0% +13.7%
TO %
15.2%
16.8%
MIA 18.4% +5.3%
MIL 23.7%
ORB %
23.3%
25.5%
MIA 8.3%
MIL 41.4% +33.1%
FTrt
30.6
25.8
MIA 39.7 +2.0
MIL 37.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
62.7%
MIA 70.0% +16.2%
MIL 53.8%
STL %
8.6%
10.1%
MIA 17.2% +5.2%
MIL 12.0%
BLK %
8.0%
8.6%
MIA 5.7%
MIL 6.0% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
52.1%
MIA 51.8%
MIL 64.9% +13.1%
Rim FG%
59.7%
56.4%
MIA 52.0%
MIL 65.5% +13.5%
Mid FG%
40.9%
40.4%
MIA 40.0%
MIL 45.8% +5.8%
3P %
33.5%
36.3%
MIA 38.9%
MIL 56.3% +17.4%
FT %
74.1%
75.7%
MIA 66.7%
MIL 84.6% +17.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
39.8%
MIA 36.8%
MIL 42.0% +5.3%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
37.8%
MIA 36.8%
MIL 34.8% +2.0%
3P Att. %
26.2%
22.3%
MIA 26.5% +3.3%
MIL 23.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points85109
Rebounds2045
Assists2121
Steals1611
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)24 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)17 (1)33 (3)
Field Goals30-6839-69
At-the-Rim FG13-2519-29
Midrange FG10-2511-24
2-Point FG23-5030-53
3-Point FG7-189-16
Free Throws18-2722-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
38.5
21
44%
6
1
2
0
5
1
1
5
2-3
67%
8-17
47%
1-6
17%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
35.5
9
41%
3
6
6
0
3
4
0
3
4-4
100%
1-7
14%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
33.5
28
61%
3
8
0
0
4
0
1
2
8-10
80%
10-18
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 222 · 32
27.3
7
58%
0
1
0
2
2
5
0
0
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 240 · 28
21.8
2
100%
1
0
2
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
24.9
6
60%
1
4
3
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 210 · 24
24.2
7
58%
3
0
2
0
0
3
0
3
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
20.5
3
150%
1
1
0
1
0
3
1
0
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
13.8
2
33%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
C · 7'0" 265 · 25
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · G · 6'5" 219 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
52%
20
21
16
3
18
0
3
17
18-27
67%
23-50
46%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.