FinalWin Prob.pScore
1437%95
112
1163%100
102
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
117.99593.9
MIA logo MIA
107.49596.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL112
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T19)112
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLWade STEAL (2 STL)112
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade 2' Layup (28 PTS)112
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)112
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)111
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)110
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 1:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)110
99.4%
100
0.6%
Q4 - 1:18ATLMISS Millsap 17' Jump Shot110
99.5%
100
0.5%
Q4 - 1:40MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)110
99.3%
100
0.7%
Q4 - 1:52ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)110
99.5%
98
0.5%
Q4 - 2:09ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)108
99.2%
98
0.8%
Q4 - 2:10ATLMISS Millsap 10' Jump Shot108
98.7%
98
1.3%
Q4 - 2:31MIAWade 12' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)108
99.2%
98
0.8%
Q4 - 2:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)108
99.3%
96
0.7%
Q4 - 2:39ATLMISS Millsap 8' Jump Shot108
99.5%
96
0.5%
Q4 - 3:02MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Chalmers 11 AST)108
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 3:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)108
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 3:11ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 3:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)108
99.3%
94
0.7%
Q4 - 3:42ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)108
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 3:42ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 2107
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 4:00MIAChalmers 1' Driving Reverse Layup (17 PTS)107
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 4:14ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)107
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 4:21ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)104
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Wade 1' Finger Roll Layup104
99.5%
89
0.5%
Q4 - 4:27ATLNapier STEAL (2 STL)104
99.4%
89
0.6%
Q4 - 4:49MIAWade 6' Driving Jump Shot (19 PTS)104
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 5:01ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)104
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 5:12ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
98.8%
87
1.2%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
98.7%
87
1.3%
Q4 - 5:27ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)101
98.4%
87
1.6%
Q4 - 5:27ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)100
98.3%
87
1.7%
Q4 - 5:35MIABosh 2' Layup (27 PTS) (Chalmers 10 AST)99
97.8%
87
2.2%
Q4 - 5:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)99
98.4%
85
1.6%
Q4 - 5:52ATLMISS Schroder 3' Driving Layup99
98.6%
85
1.4%
Q4 - 6:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)99
98.2%
85
1.8%
Q4 - 6:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)99
98.3%
84
1.7%
Q4 - 6:22ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)99
98.6%
83
1.4%
Q4 - 6:22ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)98
98.6%
83
1.4%
Q4 - 6:25ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
98.2%
83
1.8%
Q4 - 6:26MIAMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot97
98.0%
83
2.0%
Q4 - 6:50ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)97
97.5%
83
2.5%
Q4 - 7:08ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
94.3%
83
5.7%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 294
94.1%
83
5.9%
Q4 - 7:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)94
93.0%
83
7.0%
Q4 - 7:24ATLAntic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)94
94.2%
82
5.8%
Q4 - 7:24ATLAntic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)93
93.9%
82
6.1%
Q4 - 7:33ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
92.7%
82
7.3%
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper92
92.1%
82
7.9%
Q4 - 7:46ATLMillsap Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)92
90.4%
82
9.6%
Q4 - 7:47ATLHawks Rebound92
92.8%
82
7.2%
Q4 - 7:48ATLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)92
91.2%
82
8.8%
Q4 - 8:00MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)92
92.8%
82
7.2%
Q4 - 8:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)92
88.5%
82
11.5%
Q4 - 8:05ATLMISS Korver 18' Jump Shot92
89.2%
82
10.8%
Q4 - 8:10ATLMack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
90.9%
82
9.1%
Q4 - 8:11ATLMISS Mack 13' Pullup Jump Shot92
89.3%
82
10.7%
Q4 - 8:33MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)92
91.0%
82
9.0%
Q4 - 8:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
94.4%
79
5.6%
Q4 - 8:43ATLMISS Mack 3PT Jump Shot92
94.8%
79
5.2%
Q4 - 9:01ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
94.3%
79
5.7%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 292
94.2%
79
5.8%
Q4 - 9:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)92
93.3%
79
6.7%
Q4 - 9:13ATLMack 7' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)92
94.3%
78
5.7%
Q4 - 9:40MIABosh Dunk (20 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)90
93.1%
78
6.9%
Q4 - 9:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
94.4%
76
5.6%
Q4 - 9:50ATLMISS Schroder 10' Floating Jump Shot90
94.8%
76
5.2%
Q4 - 10:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
94.5%
76
5.5%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup90
94.1%
76
5.9%
Q4 - 10:24ATLScott 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)90
93.2%
76
6.8%
Q4 - 10:40MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)88
91.8%
76
8.2%
Q4 - 10:48MIANapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
93.3%
74
6.7%
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
94.2%
74
5.8%
Q4 - 11:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
92.1%
74
7.9%
Q4 - 11:14ATLMISS Mack 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
92.6%
74
7.4%
Q4 - 11:38MIANapier Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)88
93.6%
74
6.4%
Q4 - 11:38MIANapier Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)88
93.9%
73
6.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA88
94.8%
72
5.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound88
94.8%
72
5.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Napier 63' 3PT Jump Shot88
95.5%
72
4.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLSchroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)88
93.9%
72
6.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
91.1%
72
8.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 1' Layup85
90.6%
72
9.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)85
89.3%
72
10.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)84
88.9%
72
11.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
87.3%
72
12.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 283
87.7%
71
12.3%
Q3 - 1:03ATLSchroder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)83
85.7%
71
14.3%
Q3 - 1:12ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
88.0%
71
12.0%
Q3 - 1:13MIAMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
87.4%
71
12.6%
Q3 - 1:40ATLMack 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)83
85.8%
71
14.2%
Q3 - 1:57ATLHawks Rebound80
80.5%
71
19.5%
Q3 - 1:59ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
78.2%
71
21.8%
Q3 - 2:14MIABosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)80
78.4%
71
21.6%
Q3 - 2:27ATLTeague 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)80
81.3%
69
18.7%
Q3 - 2:29MIAShaw. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)78
78.5%
69
21.5%
Q3 - 2:43ATLTeague 9' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)78
75.1%
69
24.9%
Q3 - 2:58MIAChalmers 10' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)76
71.7%
69
28.3%
Q3 - 3:23ATLAntic Foul Turnover (P2.T15)76
73.6%
67
26.4%
Q3 - 3:36ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
77.2%
67
22.8%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot76
76.2%
67
23.8%
Q3 - 3:59ATLSefolosha Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)76
73.7%
67
26.3%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMcRoberts Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)74
69.2%
67
30.8%
Q3 - 4:28ATLMillsap 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
64.7%
67
35.3%
Q3 - 4:43ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
61.6%
67
38.4%
Q3 - 4:44MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
60.1%
67
39.9%
Q3 - 5:07ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)72
55.7%
67
44.3%
Q3 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)70
52.2%
67
47.8%
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 270
53.1%
66
46.9%
Q3 - 5:31ATLMillsap 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)70
51.6%
66
48.4%
Q3 - 5:49MIAEnnis 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)68
48.2%
66
51.8%
Q3 - 6:10ATLMillsap 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)68
50.7%
64
49.3%
Q3 - 6:19MIANapier 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)66
47.4%
64
52.6%
Q3 - 6:27ATLKorver Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)66
50.8%
62
49.2%
Q3 - 6:27ATLKorver Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)65
50.5%
62
49.5%
Q3 - 6:27ATLKorver Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)64
50.1%
62
49.9%
Q3 - 6:36MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)63
43.5%
62
56.5%
Q3 - 6:39ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)63
39.1%
62
60.9%
Q3 - 6:50ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
43.5%
62
56.5%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Ennis 18' Jump Shot63
42.1%
62
57.9%
Q3 - 7:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
38.6%
62
61.4%
Q3 - 7:06ATLMISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot63
39.9%
62
60.1%
Q3 - 7:24MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)63
42.8%
62
57.2%
Q3 - 7:43ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)63
50.0%
59
50.0%
Q3 - 7:49MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)61
46.6%
59
53.4%
Q3 - 7:51MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
53.8%
56
46.2%
Q3 - 7:52ATLMISS Korver 15' Pullup Jump Shot61
55.1%
56
44.9%
Q3 - 8:11ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
57.3%
56
42.7%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS Bosh 15' Turnaround Jump Shot61
56.0%
56
44.0%
Q3 - 8:35ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)61
53.1%
56
46.9%
Q3 - 8:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
57.4%
56
42.6%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 261
58.2%
55
41.8%
Q3 - 9:18ATLTeague 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)61
55.9%
55
44.1%
Q3 - 9:32MIABosh 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)59
52.5%
55
47.5%
Q3 - 9:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
55.9%
53
44.1%
Q3 - 9:53ATLMISS Carroll 20' Jump Shot59
57.1%
53
42.9%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)59
58.7%
53
41.3%
Q3 - 10:12ATLMcRoberts STEAL (3 STL)59
55.1%
53
44.9%
Q3 - 10:29MIAChalmers 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)59
58.7%
53
41.3%
Q3 - 10:32MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
62.0%
51
38.0%
Q3 - 10:33MIAMISS Ennis 2' Driving Layup59
64.3%
51
35.7%
Q3 - 10:48ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
62.0%
51
38.0%
Q3 - 10:48ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
61.2%
51
38.8%
Q3 - 11:03MIAWade 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)57
57.6%
51
42.4%
Q3 - 11:17ATLKorver 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)57
60.9%
49
39.1%
Q3 - 11:30MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (McRoberts 5 AST)55
57.7%
49
42.3%
Q3 - 11:42ATLMcRoberts STEAL (2 STL)55
60.9%
47
39.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
64.3%
47
35.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLSchroder 9' Driving Bank Shot (9 PTS)55
60.3%
47
39.7%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#13)53
56.2%
47
43.8%
Q2 - 0:17.0ATLCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
53.9%
47
46.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
53.2%
47
46.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0ATLHawks Rebound51
49.7%
47
50.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0ATLMISS Carroll 12' Jump Shot51
48.1%
47
51.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
49.8%
47
50.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 251
49.5%
47
50.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 251
47.1%
47
52.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
47.3%
47
52.7%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)50
46.9%
47
53.1%
Q2 - 1:10MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)49
42.8%
47
57.2%
Q2 - 1:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
47.4%
45
52.6%
Q2 - 1:17ATLBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)49
47.9%
45
52.1%
Q2 - 1:22ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
49.1%
45
50.9%
Q2 - 1:23MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
48.6%
45
51.4%
Q2 - 1:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
47.4%
45
52.6%
Q2 - 1:34ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
47.9%
45
52.1%
Q2 - 1:40MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)49
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 2:02ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)49
46.1%
45
53.9%
Q2 - 2:15ATLHawks Rebound49
49.1%
45
50.9%
Q2 - 2:16ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)49
47.1%
45
52.9%
Q2 - 2:27MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
49.1%
45
50.9%
Q2 - 2:27MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
49.8%
44
50.2%
Q2 - 2:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
52.4%
43
47.6%
Q2 - 2:41ATLMISS Carroll 9' Running Jump Shot49
53.3%
43
46.7%
Q2 - 2:51MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)49
55.3%
43
44.7%
Q2 - 3:19MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
51.2%
43
48.8%
Q2 - 3:20ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 149
51.7%
43
48.3%
Q2 - 3:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
48.7%
43
51.3%
Q2 - 3:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
49.4%
42
50.6%
Q2 - 3:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
51.3%
41
48.7%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 21' Jump Shot47
53.7%
41
46.3%
Q2 - 3:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
51.3%
41
48.7%
Q2 - 3:43ATLMISS Teague 7' Driving Jump Shot47
52.3%
41
47.7%
Q2 - 3:57MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)47
54.7%
41
45.3%
Q2 - 4:13ATLKorver 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Millsap 5 AST)47
59.0%
38
41.0%
Q2 - 4:26MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)45
56.3%
38
43.7%
Q2 - 4:38MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
61.8%
35
38.2%
Q2 - 4:39ATLMISS Carroll 1' Driving Layup45
62.6%
35
37.4%
Q2 - 4:45MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)45
64.6%
35
35.4%
Q2 - 4:58ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)45
67.1%
33
32.9%
Q2 - 5:24MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)45
68.8%
33
31.2%
Q2 - 5:52ATLMillsap 4' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)45
71.2%
31
28.8%
Q2 - 6:01ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
68.2%
31
31.8%
Q2 - 6:02MIAMISS Deng 9' Driving Jump Shot43
67.3%
31
32.7%
Q2 - 6:21ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)43
65.3%
31
34.7%
Q2 - 6:40MIAWade 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)40
60.8%
31
39.2%
Q2 - 6:59ATLNapier STEAL (1 STL)40
62.9%
29
37.1%
Q2 - 7:05ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
64.6%
29
35.4%
Q2 - 7:06MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
63.9%
29
36.1%
Q2 - 7:26ATLHorford Dunk (4 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)40
62.0%
29
38.0%
Q2 - 7:29MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)38
59.7%
29
40.3%
Q2 - 7:48ATLSefolosha 2' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)38
56.9%
29
43.1%
Q2 - 8:04MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
53.6%
29
46.4%
Q2 - 8:04MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)36
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q2 - 8:31ATLSefolosha 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mack 3 AST)36
56.1%
27
43.9%
Q2 - 8:37MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)33
51.1%
27
48.9%
Q2 - 8:59ATLSchroder 15' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
48.4%
27
51.6%
Q2 - 9:26MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)31
45.4%
27
54.6%
Q2 - 9:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
50.1%
24
49.9%
Q2 - 9:34ATLChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)31
51.0%
24
49.0%
Q2 - 9:42MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q2 - 9:42MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
53.4%
23
46.6%
Q2 - 10:07ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)31
54.8%
22
45.2%
Q2 - 10:24MIAChalmers 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)29
52.8%
22
47.2%
Q2 - 10:39ATLEnnis STEAL (1 STL)29
54.8%
20
45.2%
Q2 - 10:46ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
57.7%
20
42.3%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Napier 3PT Jump Shot29
56.9%
20
43.1%
Q2 - 10:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
54.8%
20
45.2%
Q2 - 10:57ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
55.7%
20
44.3%
Q2 - 11:21MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
56.8%
20
43.2%
Q2 - 11:42ATLScott 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)29
59.2%
18
40.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL27
56.9%
18
43.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound27
56.9%
18
43.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Scott 20' Jump Shot27
54.5%
18
45.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)27
55.7%
18
44.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0ATLScott 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)27
54.0%
18
46.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAHamilton 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)24
48.7%
18
51.3%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
51.7%
16
48.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Antic 3PT Jump Shot24
52.2%
16
47.8%
Q1 - 1:21MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
53.0%
16
47.0%
Q1 - 1:21MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
53.5%
15
46.5%
Q1 - 1:30ATLSchroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)24
55.8%
14
44.2%
Q1 - 1:45MIAHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)21
50.7%
14
49.3%
Q1 - 1:51MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
48.9%
14
51.1%
Q1 - 1:52ATLMISS Antic 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
49.5%
14
50.5%
Q1 - 2:16MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)21
50.7%
14
49.3%
Q1 - 2:34ATLAntic 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)21
48.5%
14
51.5%
Q1 - 2:41ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
46.1%
14
53.9%
Q1 - 2:42ATLMISS Antic 21' Jump Shot19
44.6%
14
55.4%
Q1 - 2:56MIADeng Foul Turnover (P2.T5)19
46.1%
14
53.9%
Q1 - 3:09ATLScott 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)19
43.4%
14
56.6%
Q1 - 3:23MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
41.5%
14
58.5%
Q1 - 3:45ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P2.T6)17
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 3:55MIANapier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)17
41.5%
14
58.5%
Q1 - 4:07ATLAntic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)17
45.2%
11
54.8%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMcRoberts 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
47.7%
11
52.3%
Q1 - 4:44ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)17
49.5%
9
50.5%
Q1 - 4:57MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
45.5%
9
54.5%
Q1 - 4:57MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 214
45.9%
8
54.1%
Q1 - 5:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
44.3%
8
55.7%
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS McRoberts 1' Layup14
45.8%
8
54.2%
Q1 - 5:23ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)14
44.3%
8
55.7%
Q1 - 5:31ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 5:32ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
45.0%
8
55.0%
Q1 - 5:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot14
45.9%
8
54.1%
Q1 - 5:56ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
44.4%
8
55.6%
Q1 - 6:08ATLHawks Rebound14
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot14
45.0%
8
55.0%
Q1 - 6:27ATLMillsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)14
43.5%
8
56.5%
Q1 - 6:35ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
39.8%
8
60.2%
Q1 - 6:36MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot11
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 6:49MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
37.8%
8
62.2%
Q1 - 6:50ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 111
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 7:04ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
35.3%
8
64.7%
Q1 - 7:12MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
33.9%
8
66.1%
Q1 - 7:13ATLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)9
34.5%
8
65.5%
Q1 - 7:22ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Bosh 20' Step Back Jump Shot9
35.3%
8
64.7%
Q1 - 7:52ATLHorford Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)9
33.9%
8
66.1%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMcRoberts Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
32.3%
8
67.7%
Q1 - 8:17ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)7
33.9%
6
66.1%
Q1 - 8:33ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
30.7%
6
69.3%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot4
30.2%
6
69.8%
Q1 - 8:45ATLCarroll 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)4
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 9:02MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)2
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 9:05ATLMcRoberts STEAL (1 STL)2
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 9:20ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 9:21MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot2
27.0%
6
73.0%
Q1 - 9:40ATLDeng STEAL (1 STL)2
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 10:00MIADeng 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)2
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 10:24ATLKorver 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)2
28.9%
4
71.1%
Q1 - 10:38MIABosh 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)0
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 10:48MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.9%
2
71.1%
Q1 - 10:49ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 10:56ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 10:57ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 11:11MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 11:11MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
30.6%
1
69.4%
Q1 - 11:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.0%
0
68.0%
Q1 - 11:19ATLMISS Millsap 9' Jump Shot0
32.5%
0
67.5%
Q1 - 11:25MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
33.5%
0
66.5%
Q1 - 11:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.0%
0
68.0%
Q1 - 11:34ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.5%
0
67.5%
Q1 - 11:42MIADeng Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
33.5%
0
66.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Horford: Tip to McRoberts0
32.0%
0
68.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.26 62.9%
MIA
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
21
76%
MIA
21
26
81%
Midrange
ATL
12
28
43%
MIA
9
22
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
12
18.0
25
48%
72%
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
ATL
20
23
87%
MIA
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Teague2790%13.5 / 15
K. Korver1869%9.0 / 13
D. Schröder1680%8.0 / 10
P. Millsap1454%7.0 / 13
M. Scott990%4.5 / 5
T. Sefolosha788%3.5 / 4
A. Horford675%3.0 / 4
D. Carroll630%3.0 / 10
S. Mack550%2.5 / 5
P. Antic440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2858%14.0 / 24
C. Bosh2784%13.5 / 16
M. Chalmers1979%9.5 / 12
S. Napier770%3.5 / 5
S. Williams660%3.0 / 5
L. Deng550%2.5 / 5
J. McRoberts450%2.0 / 4
J. Ennis III233%1.0 / 3
U. Haslem2100%1.0 / 1
J. Hamilton250%1.0 / 2
D. Granger0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
79
+10
-16
89
MIA
77
+5
-18
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.26 62.9%
MIA
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.9
103.9
ATL 117.9 +10.5
MIA 107.4
Pace
94.0
91.0
ATL 93.9
MIA 96.1 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.3
ATL 15.3
MIA 15.0 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
50.0%
ATL 62.2% +1.3%
MIA 60.9%
TO %
14.3%
15.2%
ATL 18.4% +1.2%
MIA 19.6%
ORB %
21.4%
23.3%
ATL 16.1% +2.3%
MIA 13.8%
FTrt
25.9
30.6
ATL 31.1
MIA 50.0 +18.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.6%
56.4%
ATL 62.5%
MIA 69.4% +6.9%
STL %
9.6%
8.6%
ATL 9.5%
MIA 10.5% +1.0%
BLK %
8.1%
8.0%
ATL 2.1%
MIA 10.2% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
52.2%
ATL 62.9% +0.7%
MIA 62.2%
Rim FG%
58.1%
59.7%
ATL 76.2%
MIA 80.8% +4.6%
Mid FG%
42.2%
40.9%
ATL 42.9% +2.0%
MIA 40.9%
3P %
38.0%
33.5%
ATL 48.0% +10.5%
MIA 37.5%
FT %
77.8%
74.1%
ATL 87.0% +12.0%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
35.1%
ATL 28.4%
MIA 40.6% +12.2%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
38.7%
ATL 37.8%
MIA 34.4% +3.5%
3P Att. %
32.1%
26.2%
ATL 33.8% +8.8%
MIA 25.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points112102
Rebounds3030
Assists2525
Steals910
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)16 (3)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (5)4 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)26 (0)
Field Goals40-7436-64
At-the-Rim FG16-2121-26
Midrange FG12-289-22
2-Point FG28-4930-48
3-Point FG12-256-16
Free Throws20-2324-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 212 · 34
34.6
18
69%
6
2
1
0
2
4
0
6
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
3-7
43%
F · 6'8" 246 · 30
34.2
14
54%
6
5
2
0
4
4
2
4
1-3
33%
5-11
45%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 189 · 26
33.5
27
90%
5
6
3
0
2
1
0
5
8-8
100%
5-6
83%
3-5
60%
C · 6'10" 245 · 29
29.0
6
75%
2
3
0
1
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 28
21.9
6
30%
5
1
1
0
1
3
2
3
2-3
67%
2-7
29%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 21
22.4
16
80%
1
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32
19.6
4
40%
1
0
0
0
3
4
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 220 · 31
17.5
7
88%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 203 · 25
14.0
5
50%
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 237 · 26
13.2
9
90%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 201 · 25
0.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 36
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23
#33 · · 6'10" 237 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'4" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
63%
30
25
9
1
16
0
5
25
20-23
87%
28-49
57%
12-25
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.