FinalWin Prob.pScore
1241%94
86
1659%97
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
96.68992.0
WAS logo WAS
120.28986.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA86
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIANapier 21' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)86
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0WASMISS Blair 6' Jump Shot84
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0WASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 284
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 284
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAHeat Rebound84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Ennis 29' 3PT Jump Shot84
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot84
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:15WASPorter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15WASPorter Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30WASBlair 3' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Porter 2 AST)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01MIAMISS Napier 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20WASMISS Blair 3' Jump Shot82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46WASMISS Blair 4' Jump Shot82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14WASPorter Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29WASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Hamilton 4' Jump Shot82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41WASMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33WASSeraphin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33WASMISS Seraphin Free Throw 1 of 280
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54WASButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59MIAPorter STEAL (1 STL)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07WASSeraphin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)78
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27WASMISS Porter 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:36WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52WASButler 5' Turnaround Bank Shot (18 PTS)75
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10MIAChalmers 2' Running Layup (9 PTS)75
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:15MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16WASMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot73
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)73
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55WASA. Miller 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)70
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)70
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39WASSeraphin 1' Layup (5 PTS) (A. Miller 4 AST)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49WASPorter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS McRoberts 28' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)68
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:05WASMISS Gooden 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 8:22WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot68
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 8:39WASButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (A. Miller 3 AST)68
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 8:58WASWIZARDS Rebound68
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 9:22WASSeraphin Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Gooden 3 AST)68
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 9:40MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T10)68
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 9:51MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot68
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 10:12WASA. Miller 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Seraphin 1 AST)68
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 10:26WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 10:28MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot68
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 10:57WASGooden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (A. Miller 2 AST)68
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 11:22MIAGooden STEAL (2 STL)68
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q4 - 11:38WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)68
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 11:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)68
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q4 - 11:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)67
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS66
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAGooden STEAL (1 STL)66
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 0:08.0WASMISS Porter 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0WASPorter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup66
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0WASBeal Foul Turnover (P2.T10)66
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 1:01MIAChalmers 2' Layup (7 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)66
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 1:22WASButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)64
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 1:30MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T7)64
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q3 - 1:52MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 1:53WASMISS Wall 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 2:01WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Cole 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q3 - 2:05MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 2:07MIAWall BLOCK (1 BLK)64
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q3 - 2:25WASWall 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)64
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 2:36WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)64
4.7%
78
95.3%
Q3 - 2:38WASMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot64
5.4%
78
94.6%
Q3 - 2:50WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)64
4.7%
78
95.3%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot64
5.0%
78
95.0%
Q3 - 3:11WASGortat 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Wall 13 AST)64
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q3 - 3:30MIAChalmers 1' Layup (5 PTS)64
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q3 - 3:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
5.5%
76
94.5%
Q3 - 3:45MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 262
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q3 - 3:46MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)62
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q3 - 4:09WASGortat 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Humphries 1 AST)61
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q3 - 4:20WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)61
6.5%
74
93.5%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot61
6.9%
74
93.1%
Q3 - 4:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
7.9%
74
92.1%
Q3 - 4:35WASMISS Pierce 14' Jump Shot61
7.5%
74
92.5%
Q3 - 4:57MIAShaw. Williams 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)61
6.5%
74
93.5%
Q3 - 5:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q3 - 5:09WASMISS Wall 29' 3PT Jump Shot59
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q3 - 5:17WASWIZARDS Rebound59
5.2%
74
94.8%
Q3 - 5:18WASMISS Pierce 3PT Jump Shot59
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q3 - 5:31MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T6)59
5.2%
74
94.8%
Q3 - 5:48WASHumphries Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Wall 12 AST)59
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q3 - 5:58WASHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
7.0%
72
93.0%
Q3 - 5:59WASMISS Beal 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
7.9%
72
92.1%
Q3 - 6:15MIACole 1' Running Layup (7 PTS)59
7.5%
72
92.5%
Q3 - 6:25MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
6.6%
72
93.4%
Q3 - 6:26WASMISS Gortat 10' Jump Shot57
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 6:44MIAWade 4' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q3 - 6:51WASWall Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)55
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q3 - 6:57MIAWall STEAL (2 STL)55
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 7:23WASGortat 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)55
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q3 - 7:40WASBeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q3 - 7:41WASMISS Beal 16' Jump Shot55
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q3 - 7:59MIAWade 6' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q3 - 8:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 8:10WASMISS Wall 21' Jump Shot53
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 8:30MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 8:30MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)52
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 8:44WASHumphries Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Wall 11 AST)51
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 8:47WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot51
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 9:12WASGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)51
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q3 - 9:12WASGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)51
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 9:24WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot51
5.3%
68
94.7%
Q3 - 9:38WASWall 18' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
5.8%
68
94.2%
Q3 - 9:58WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
6.6%
66
93.4%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup51
6.9%
66
93.1%
Q3 - 10:11WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
7.9%
66
92.1%
Q3 - 10:11WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 10:20MIADeng 2' Running Layup (7 PTS)51
9.0%
64
91.0%
Q3 - 10:25MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
7.9%
64
92.1%
Q3 - 10:28WASMISS Beal 1' Layup49
7.6%
64
92.4%
Q3 - 10:38WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
6.9%
64
93.1%
Q3 - 10:39MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot49
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 10:48WASPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)49
7.9%
64
92.1%
Q3 - 11:06WASWIZARDS Rebound49
7.4%
64
92.6%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot49
7.7%
64
92.3%
Q3 - 11:31WASHumphries Foul Turnover (P1.T5)49
8.4%
64
91.6%
Q3 - 11:42WASWIZARDS Rebound49
7.4%
64
92.6%
Q3 - 11:47WASMISS Humphries 17' Jump Shot49
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASWall 20' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)49
8.4%
64
91.6%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIACole 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)49
10.4%
62
89.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0WASGortat 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wall 10 AST)46
7.9%
62
92.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIABosh Layup (17 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)46
9.2%
60
90.8%
Q2 - 1:04WASWall Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)44
8.3%
60
91.7%
Q2 - 1:09MIABosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)44
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q2 - 1:30WASGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
6.5%
60
93.5%
Q2 - 1:30WASMISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 242
6.8%
59
93.2%
Q2 - 1:41MIAChalmers 3' Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 1 AST)42
6.9%
59
93.1%
Q2 - 1:59WASButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)40
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q2 - 2:13WASHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 240
8.0%
56
92.0%
Q2 - 2:14MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
8.7%
56
91.3%
Q2 - 2:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q2 - 2:20WASMISS Gortat 3' Layup39
7.6%
56
92.4%
Q2 - 2:28MIAHumphries STEAL (1 STL)39
7.1%
56
92.9%
Q2 - 2:38MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q2 - 2:39WASMISS Humphries 1' Layup39
7.6%
56
92.4%
Q2 - 2:46WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
7.1%
56
92.9%
Q2 - 2:47MIAGortat BLOCK (2 BLK)39
7.3%
56
92.7%
Q2 - 3:09WASGortat Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wall 9 AST)39
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q2 - 3:23MIABosh 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)39
9.3%
54
90.7%
Q2 - 3:47WASWall 16' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)37
8.4%
54
91.6%
Q2 - 3:54WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
9.2%
52
90.8%
Q2 - 3:56MIAMISS Cole 14' Jump Shot37
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q2 - 4:06WASHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
10.9%
52
89.1%
Q2 - 4:06WASHumphries Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q2 - 4:10MIAWall STEAL (1 STL)37
12.1%
50
87.9%
Q2 - 4:29WASPorter 2' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Wall 8 AST)37
13.4%
50
86.6%
Q2 - 4:44WASPorter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
14.7%
48
85.3%
Q2 - 4:46WASMISS Gortat 15' Jump Shot37
15.8%
48
84.2%
Q2 - 5:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)37
15.1%
48
84.9%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 236
14.8%
48
85.2%
Q2 - 5:25WASWall Running Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)36
15.1%
48
84.9%
Q2 - 5:56MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)36
16.6%
46
83.4%
Q2 - 6:10WASButler 17' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Wall 7 AST)33
14.4%
46
85.6%
Q2 - 6:22MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)33
15.4%
44
84.6%
Q2 - 6:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 6:32WASMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 231
14.1%
44
85.9%
Q2 - 6:32WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)31
13.3%
44
86.7%
Q2 - 6:52MIAWade 14' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
14.0%
43
86.0%
Q2 - 7:18WASGooden 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wall 6 AST)29
13.4%
43
86.6%
Q2 - 7:37MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
14.6%
41
85.4%
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 228
14.3%
41
85.7%
Q2 - 7:52WASBeal Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T3)28
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 8:08MIAWade 21' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)28
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 8:23WASSeraphin Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
12.5%
41
87.5%
Q2 - 8:23WASMISS Seraphin Free Throw 1 of 226
12.8%
40
87.2%
Q2 - 8:34MIAWade 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)26
12.4%
40
87.6%
Q2 - 8:49WASBeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)24
11.4%
40
88.6%
Q2 - 9:08WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
13.9%
37
86.1%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Napier 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
14.3%
37
85.7%
Q2 - 9:19WASWIZARDS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)24
15.3%
37
84.7%
Q2 - 9:52WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
13.9%
37
86.1%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS McRoberts Free Throw 1 of 124
14.1%
37
85.9%
Q2 - 10:10WASGooden 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (A. Miller 1 AST)22
13.1%
37
86.9%
Q2 - 10:20WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
15.3%
34
84.7%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot22
15.8%
34
84.2%
Q2 - 10:51WASA. Miller 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)22
16.9%
34
83.1%
Q2 - 11:13WASPorter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
18.5%
32
81.5%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS McRoberts 11' Jump Shot22
19.0%
32
81.0%
Q2 - 11:35WASGooden 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)22
20.1%
32
79.9%
Q2 - 11:39WASGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
21.6%
30
78.4%
Q2 - 11:40WASMISS Seraphin 13' Jump Shot22
22.8%
30
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
21.6%
30
78.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASMISS Wall Free Throw 1 of 122
23.1%
30
76.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIANapier 22' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
27.5%
27
72.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
25.1%
27
74.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0WASMISS Seraphin 18' Jump Shot20
24.7%
27
75.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T2)20
23.8%
27
76.2%
Q1 - 1:11WASPorter 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wall 5 AST)20
25.4%
27
74.6%
Q1 - 1:33MIANapier 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
29.5%
24
70.5%
Q1 - 1:43MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
27.1%
24
72.9%
Q1 - 1:44WASMISS Gooden 20' Jump Shot18
26.7%
24
73.3%
Q1 - 1:55WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
25.8%
24
74.2%
Q1 - 1:56MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot18
26.2%
24
73.8%
Q1 - 2:22WASButler 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)18
27.4%
24
72.6%
Q1 - 2:37WASPorter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
31.3%
21
68.7%
Q1 - 2:38WASMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot18
32.6%
21
67.4%
Q1 - 2:58WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
31.3%
21
68.7%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 118
31.6%
21
68.4%
Q1 - 3:16WASHumphries 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)16
29.6%
21
70.4%
Q1 - 3:36MIABosh 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)16
31.2%
19
68.8%
Q1 - 3:52MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
29.6%
19
70.4%
Q1 - 3:53WASMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot14
28.9%
19
71.1%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMcRoberts 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)14
27.6%
19
72.4%
Q1 - 4:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
26.1%
19
73.9%
Q1 - 4:18WASMISS Wall 21' Jump Shot12
25.5%
19
74.5%
Q1 - 4:27WASHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
24.2%
19
75.8%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
24.8%
19
75.2%
Q1 - 4:39WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
26.1%
19
73.9%
Q1 - 4:39WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
26.4%
18
73.6%
Q1 - 4:40WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
27.6%
17
72.4%
Q1 - 4:42MIAGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)12
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q1 - 5:02WASButler 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)12
29.8%
17
70.2%
Q1 - 5:14WASHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
31.4%
15
68.6%
Q1 - 5:15MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 112
31.6%
15
68.4%
Q1 - 5:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
29.7%
15
70.3%
Q1 - 5:26WASMISS Butler 3' Jump Shot10
29.2%
15
70.8%
Q1 - 5:53WASWIZARDS Rebound10
27.9%
15
72.1%
Q1 - 5:54MIAMISS Deng 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 6:03MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
29.9%
15
70.1%
Q1 - 6:04WASMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot10
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 6:21MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
28.1%
15
71.9%
Q1 - 6:37WASPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
26.7%
15
73.3%
Q1 - 6:37WASPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
26.9%
14
73.1%
Q1 - 6:41WASHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
28.1%
13
71.9%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 6:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
29.9%
13
70.1%
Q1 - 7:00WASMISS Humphries 17' Jump Shot8
29.4%
13
70.6%
Q1 - 7:11WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
28.2%
13
71.8%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
28.8%
13
71.2%
Q1 - 7:35WASButler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)8
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw Technical8
31.4%
11
68.6%
Q1 - 7:49WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
31.4%
11
68.6%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 28
31.7%
11
68.3%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 28
32.8%
11
67.2%
Q1 - 8:09WASBeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)8
33.4%
11
66.6%
Q1 - 8:21WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
36.8%
8
63.2%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
37.3%
8
62.7%
Q1 - 8:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
38.7%
8
61.3%
Q1 - 8:34WASMISS Beal 20' Jump Shot8
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 8:46MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
36.8%
8
63.2%
Q1 - 8:46MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
36.4%
8
63.6%
Q1 - 9:07WASBeal 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)6
35.1%
8
64.9%
Q1 - 9:13MIABeal STEAL (1 STL)6
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 9:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.6%
6
61.4%
Q1 - 9:17WASMISS Humphries 17' Jump Shot6
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 9:29MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)6
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 9:50WASGortat 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)4
35.1%
6
64.9%
Q1 - 10:02WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.6%
4
63.4%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
37.2%
4
62.8%
Q1 - 10:16WASPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
38.6%
4
61.4%
Q1 - 10:30MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
36.6%
4
63.4%
Q1 - 10:42WASGortat 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)2
35.1%
4
64.9%
Q1 - 11:01MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 11:26WASPierce 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 11:36WASPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Deng 1' Layup0
37.1%
0
62.9%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball Gortat vs. Bosh: Tip to0
38.3%
0
61.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.4%
WAS
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
19
63%
WAS
17
23
74%
Midrange
MIA
19
31
61%
WAS
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
22
9%
14%
WAS
10
15.0
19
53%
79%
Free Throws
MIA
18
30
60%
WAS
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2170%10.5 / 15
D. Wade2067%10.0 / 15
M. Chalmers1142%5.5 / 13
L. Deng945%4.5 / 10
J. McRoberts867%4.0 / 6
N. Cole750%3.5 / 7
S. Napier638%3.0 / 8
S. Williams233%1.0 / 3
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
J. Ennis III0-0.0 / 1
J. Hamilton0-0.0 / 2
H. Whiteside0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Butler2372%11.5 / 16
J. Wall1875%9.0 / 12
M. Gortat1568%7.5 / 11
D. Gooden1083%5.0 / 6
K. Humphries850%4.0 / 8
B. Beal857%4.0 / 7
O. Porter Jr.770%3.5 / 5
K. Seraphin650%3.0 / 6
A. Miller6100%3.0 / 3
P. Pierce440%2.0 / 5
D. Blair225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+8
-11
86
WAS
77
+9
-12
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.4%
WAS
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
103.9
MIA 96.6 +23.6
WAS 120.2
Pace
91.0
93.6
MIA 92.0 +5.5
WAS 86.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.3
MIA 15.7 +1.0
WAS 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
49.9%
MIA 47.2%
WAS 61.1% +13.9%
TO %
15.2%
15.2%
MIA 11.4% +3.1%
WAS 14.5%
ORB %
23.3%
25.0%
MIA 16.7%
WAS 21.2% +4.5%
FTrt
30.6
25.9
MIA 41.7 +8.4
WAS 33.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
62.7%
MIA 36.4%
WAS 74.4% +38.0%
STL %
8.6%
7.7%
MIA 5.6%
WAS 7.9% +2.3%
BLK %
8.0%
7.6%
MIA 3.8%
WAS 6.0% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
51.8%
MIA 49.4%
WAS 62.2% +12.8%
Rim FG%
59.7%
61.2%
MIA 63.2%
WAS 73.9% +10.7%
Mid FG%
40.9%
39.6%
MIA 61.3% +21.3%
WAS 40.0%
3P %
33.5%
36.0%
MIA 9.1%
WAS 52.6% +43.5%
FT %
74.1%
74.2%
MIA 60.0%
WAS 79.2% +19.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
34.0%
MIA 26.4%
WAS 31.9% +5.6%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
45.6%
MIA 43.1%
WAS 41.7% +1.4%
3P Att. %
26.2%
20.3%
MIA 30.6% +4.2%
WAS 26.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes23.224.7
Points86107
Rebounds3342
Assists1229
Steals57
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)35 (4)
Field Goals33-7239-72
At-the-Rim FG12-1917-23
Midrange FG19-3112-30
2-Point FG31-5029-53
3-Point FG2-2210-19
Free Throws18-3019-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
33.5
21
70%
8
3
0
2
4
1
0
8
2-5
40%
8-11
73%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
27.6
20
67%
3
0
1
0
2
2
0
3
2-5
40%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
23.6
9
45%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
5-7
71%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
23.5
7
50%
3
0
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
19.2
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
30.6
11
42%
2
2
0
0
2
3
1
1
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
24.5
6
38%
2
2
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-5
0%
· 6'10" 240 · 28
24.1
8
67%
4
4
1
0
0
2
2
2
4-5
80%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 210 · 24
14.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
12.2
2
33%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
4.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 25
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
#24 · G · 6'5" 219 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
49%
33
12
5
2
11
0
7
26
18-30
60%
31-50
62%
2-22
9%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.