FinalWin Prob.pScore
1457%98
117
2243%96
103
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
128.69182.7
MIL logo MIL
113.291101.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL117
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)117
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0HOUMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot117
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILAntetokounmpo 2' Layup (17 PTS)117
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)117
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0HOUMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot117
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05MILDudley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)117
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28HOUDaniels 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Papanikolaou 4 AST)117
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)114
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)114
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53HOUPapanikolaou Dunk (12 PTS)114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55MILMarshall Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)112
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01HOUPapanikolaou 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)112
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20MILParker Dunk (17 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)109
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)109
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32HOUMISS Terry 27' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)109
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)109
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59MILMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 2109
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)109
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:19HOUHarden Free Throw Technical (34 PTS)109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 3:19HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P5.T13)108
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 3:37MILSanders Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)108
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 3:47HOUHarden Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T12)108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:53HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55MILMISS Marshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 4:20HOUAriza 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44MILMarshall Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)106
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 4:52MILBUCKS Rebound106
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 4:53HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 5:00HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)106
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 5:02MILMISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot106
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 5:16HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)106
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 5:34MILIlyasova 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)103
99.1%
90
0.9%
Q4 - 5:40MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)103
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 5:41HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 6:00MILKnight 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)103
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 6:21HOUHarden 18' Jump Shot (33 PTS)103
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 6:44HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)101
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 6:46MILMISS Ilyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.4%
85
0.6%
Q4 - 6:55HOUMotiejunas 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)101
99.3%
85
0.7%
Q4 - 7:10MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)99
98.7%
85
1.3%
Q4 - 7:36HOUMotiejunas 5' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)99
99.3%
82
0.7%
Q4 - 7:50HOURockets Rebound97
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 7:50HOUAntetokounmpo BLOCK (2 BLK)97
98.8%
82
1.2%
Q4 - 7:55HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)97
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 7:59MILMISS Ilyasova 3' Jump Shot97
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 8:14MILBUCKS Rebound97
98.3%
82
1.7%
Q4 - 8:14HOUMISS Garcia 3PT Jump Shot97
98.4%
82
1.6%
Q4 - 8:36MILMiddleton 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)97
98.7%
82
1.3%
Q4 - 8:44HOUMarshall STEAL (1 STL)97
99.0%
80
1.0%
Q4 - 8:55HOUGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
99.2%
80
0.8%
Q4 - 8:56MILMISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 9:10HOUPapanikolaou 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Motiejunas 5 AST)97
98.6%
80
1.4%
Q4 - 9:31MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
98.3%
80
1.7%
Q4 - 9:31MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
98.4%
79
1.6%
Q4 - 9:38HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)95
98.6%
78
1.4%
Q4 - 10:02MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
97.3%
78
2.7%
Q4 - 10:02MILAntetokounmpo 2' Tip Shot (12 PTS)92
97.3%
78
2.7%
Q4 - 10:04MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Layup92
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q4 - 10:16HOUTerry 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)92
97.9%
76
2.1%
Q4 - 10:27HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)89
96.7%
76
3.3%
Q4 - 10:29MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
96.5%
76
3.5%
Q4 - 10:50HOUPapanikolaou 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Motiejunas 4 AST)89
95.9%
76
4.1%
Q4 - 11:13MILAntetokounmpo Dunk (10 PTS)87
94.3%
76
5.7%
Q4 - 11:21HOUGarcia 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)87
95.3%
74
4.7%
Q4 - 11:42MILBayless Slam Dunk (4 PTS)85
94.3%
74
5.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU85
95.3%
72
4.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOURockets Rebound85
95.6%
72
4.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Garcia 62' 3PT Running Jump Shot85
95.0%
72
5.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
95.6%
72
4.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
95.9%
71
4.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILBUCKS Rebound85
96.4%
70
3.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Garcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
97.1%
70
2.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0HOUMISS Garcia 3PT Jump Shot85
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
97.1%
70
2.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILIlyasova 3' Tip Shot (14 PTS)85
97.1%
70
2.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILMISS Ilyasova 5' Jump Shot85
97.9%
68
2.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
97.6%
68
2.4%
Q3 - 0:52.0HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 285
97.7%
68
2.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)85
98.0%
68
2.0%
Q3 - 1:06MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
97.2%
68
2.8%
Q3 - 1:06MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (6 PTS)84
97.2%
68
2.8%
Q3 - 1:10MILMISS Antetokounmpo 3' Layup84
98.0%
66
2.0%
Q3 - 1:24HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)84
97.7%
66
2.3%
Q3 - 1:24HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)83
97.7%
66
2.3%
Q3 - 1:28MILMarshall Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)82
97.3%
66
2.7%
Q3 - 1:42HOUHarden 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Papanikolaou 3 AST)82
96.7%
66
3.3%
Q3 - 2:07MILIlyasova 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Marshall 3 AST)79
94.4%
66
5.6%
Q3 - 2:28HOUHarden 16' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)79
95.3%
64
4.7%
Q3 - 2:56MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)77
94.5%
64
5.5%
Q3 - 2:56MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)77
94.6%
63
5.4%
Q3 - 2:57MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
95.4%
62
4.6%
Q3 - 2:59MILMISS Sanders Free Throw 2 of 277
96.0%
62
4.0%
Q3 - 2:59MILSanders Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)77
95.7%
62
4.3%
Q3 - 3:02MILBUCKS Rebound77
95.6%
61
4.4%
Q3 - 3:03MILMISS Marshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
96.1%
61
3.9%
Q3 - 3:23HOUDorsey 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)77
95.6%
61
4.4%
Q3 - 3:37MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
94.9%
61
5.1%
Q3 - 3:37MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)75
95.0%
60
5.0%
Q3 - 3:55MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
95.6%
59
4.4%
Q3 - 3:56HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
95.9%
59
4.1%
Q3 - 4:13HOUJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
96.0%
59
4.0%
Q3 - 4:14MILMISS Bayless 18' Jump Shot75
95.7%
59
4.3%
Q3 - 4:31MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
95.1%
59
4.9%
Q3 - 4:32HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
95.4%
59
4.6%
Q3 - 4:41MILJump Ball Parker vs. Harden: Tip to Dorsey75
96.0%
59
4.0%
Q3 - 5:04HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)75
94.7%
59
5.3%
Q3 - 5:10HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
92.9%
59
7.1%
Q3 - 5:11MILMISS Middleton 18' Jump Shot72
92.5%
59
7.5%
Q3 - 5:27HOUHarden 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)72
91.6%
59
8.4%
Q3 - 5:38MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
90.5%
59
9.5%
Q3 - 5:38MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)70
90.8%
58
9.2%
Q3 - 5:39MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
91.6%
57
8.4%
Q3 - 5:40MILMISS Mayo 11' Jump Shot70
92.6%
57
7.4%
Q3 - 5:58HOUBlack 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Papanikolaou 2 AST)70
91.6%
57
8.4%
Q3 - 6:13MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
89.9%
57
10.1%
Q3 - 6:13MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
90.3%
56
9.7%
Q3 - 6:18MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
91.0%
55
9.0%
Q3 - 6:19HOUMISS Ariza 12' Jump Shot68
91.5%
55
8.5%
Q3 - 6:43MILMayo Dunk (6 PTS) (Middleton 3 AST)68
92.4%
55
7.6%
Q3 - 6:48HOUKnight STEAL (2 STL)68
93.3%
53
6.7%
Q3 - 7:09HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
93.9%
53
6.1%
Q3 - 7:10MILMISS Sanders Free Throw 2 of 268
93.8%
53
6.2%
Q3 - 7:10MILSanders Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
93.3%
53
6.7%
Q3 - 7:20HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)68
93.8%
52
6.2%
Q3 - 7:23HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
90.7%
52
9.3%
Q3 - 7:24HOUMISS Harden 2' Layup64
89.6%
52
10.4%
Q3 - 7:28HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
90.7%
52
9.3%
Q3 - 7:30HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
89.6%
52
10.4%
Q3 - 7:48MILMayo 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)64
90.7%
52
9.3%
Q3 - 8:05HOUTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Motiejunas 3 AST)64
91.3%
50
8.7%
Q3 - 8:18MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
88.9%
50
11.1%
Q3 - 8:18MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
89.3%
49
10.7%
Q3 - 8:32HOUTerry 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Motiejunas 2 AST)61
90.1%
48
9.9%
Q3 - 8:50HOURockets Rebound59
88.9%
48
11.1%
Q3 - 8:51MILMISS Middleton 21' Jump Shot59
88.4%
48
11.6%
Q3 - 8:58MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
87.1%
48
12.9%
Q3 - 8:59HOUMISS Motiejunas 3PT Jump Shot59
87.7%
48
12.3%
Q3 - 9:16HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
88.3%
48
11.7%
Q3 - 9:17MILMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
87.8%
48
12.2%
Q3 - 9:28HOUMotiejunas 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS)59
86.6%
48
13.4%
Q3 - 9:41MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
85.0%
48
15.0%
Q3 - 9:41MILParker Dunk (8 PTS)57
85.0%
48
15.0%
Q3 - 9:45MILMISS Mayo 1' Layup57
87.8%
46
12.2%
Q3 - 10:03HOUMotiejunas 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)57
86.4%
46
13.6%
Q3 - 10:07MILParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)55
84.7%
46
15.3%
Q3 - 10:23HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)55
82.8%
46
17.2%
Q3 - 10:41HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
84.7%
46
15.3%
Q3 - 10:42MILMISS Knight 5' Jump Shot55
84.2%
46
15.8%
Q3 - 11:02HOUHarden 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
82.4%
46
17.6%
Q3 - 11:13HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
80.5%
46
19.5%
Q3 - 11:14MILMISS Antetokounmpo 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
79.8%
46
20.2%
Q3 - 11:34MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
78.2%
46
21.8%
Q3 - 11:36HOUMISS Harden 1' Layup53
78.9%
46
21.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU53
80.5%
46
19.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
80.5%
46
19.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
79.0%
46
21.0%
Q2 - 0:21.0HOUParker STEAL (2 STL)53
77.9%
46
22.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
79.5%
46
20.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
78.4%
46
21.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0MILAntetokounmpo Dunk (4 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)53
79.6%
46
20.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
82.1%
44
17.9%
Q2 - 1:19MILMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)50
76.8%
44
23.2%
Q2 - 1:19MILMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)50
77.1%
43
22.9%
Q2 - 1:19MILMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
79.9%
42
20.1%
Q2 - 1:20MILMISS Mayo 2' Layup50
80.7%
42
19.3%
Q2 - 1:29HOUTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)50
79.9%
42
20.1%
Q2 - 1:48MILKnight 1' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
74.4%
42
25.6%
Q2 - 2:01HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)47
76.9%
40
23.1%
Q2 - 2:26MILKnight 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)44
72.1%
40
27.9%
Q2 - 2:41HOUMotiejunas 2' Layup (9 PTS)44
77.0%
37
23.0%
Q2 - 2:42HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
74.6%
37
25.4%
Q2 - 2:44HOUMISS Terry 2' Running Layup42
73.0%
37
27.0%
Q2 - 2:48MILIlyasova Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)42
74.6%
37
25.4%
Q2 - 3:05HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
71.9%
37
28.1%
Q2 - 3:05HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
71.6%
37
28.4%
Q2 - 3:17MILIlyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)40
69.8%
37
30.2%
Q2 - 3:24HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
74.2%
34
25.8%
Q2 - 3:24HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
74.0%
34
26.0%
Q2 - 3:27HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
72.2%
34
27.8%
Q2 - 3:29MILMISS Antetokounmpo Dunk38
71.4%
34
28.6%
Q2 - 3:47HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)38
69.4%
34
30.6%
Q2 - 4:07MILIlyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)36
66.7%
34
33.3%
Q2 - 4:11MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
71.5%
31
28.5%
Q2 - 4:14HOUAntetokounmpo BLOCK (1 BLK)36
72.3%
31
27.7%
Q2 - 4:17HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
73.9%
31
26.1%
Q2 - 4:19HOUMISS Motiejunas 8' Jump Shot36
72.3%
31
27.7%
Q2 - 4:35HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
73.9%
31
26.1%
Q2 - 4:36MILMISS Knight 20' Jump Shot36
73.2%
31
26.8%
Q2 - 4:58HOUMotiejunas 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS)36
71.6%
31
28.4%
Q2 - 5:18HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
69.2%
31
30.8%
Q2 - 5:19MILMISS Knight 6' Jump Shot34
68.5%
31
31.5%
Q2 - 5:40MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
66.7%
31
33.3%
Q2 - 5:41HOUMISS Harden 16' Jump Shot34
67.5%
31
32.5%
Q2 - 5:58HOURockets Rebound34
69.2%
31
30.8%
Q2 - 5:59HOUMISS Ariza 3' Layup34
67.5%
31
32.5%
Q2 - 6:11HOUHarden Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)34
69.4%
31
30.6%
Q2 - 6:23MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
67.0%
31
33.0%
Q2 - 6:23MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
67.6%
30
32.4%
Q2 - 6:34HOUAriza Foul Turnover (P3.T7)33
68.9%
29
31.1%
Q2 - 6:42HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
71.6%
29
28.4%
Q2 - 6:43MILMISS Parker 2' Layup33
70.8%
29
29.2%
Q2 - 6:51MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
68.9%
29
31.1%
Q2 - 6:52HOUMISS Ariza 16' Jump Shot33
69.7%
29
30.3%
Q2 - 7:04MILParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)33
71.2%
29
28.8%
Q2 - 7:29HOUTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)33
68.8%
29
31.2%
Q2 - 7:43MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
64.3%
29
35.7%
Q2 - 7:43MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
64.7%
28
35.3%
Q2 - 7:49MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
66.5%
27
33.5%
Q2 - 7:50HOUMISS Ariza 2' Layup30
67.3%
27
32.7%
Q2 - 7:58HOURockets Rebound30
69.0%
27
31.0%
Q2 - 7:58HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
67.3%
27
32.7%
Q2 - 8:02HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
68.7%
27
31.3%
Q2 - 8:03HOUMISS Garcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
67.0%
27
33.0%
Q2 - 8:25MILSanders Dunk (6 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)30
68.7%
27
31.3%
Q2 - 8:40MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
70.8%
25
29.2%
Q2 - 8:41HOUMISS Garcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
71.5%
25
28.5%
Q2 - 9:04MILBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
72.8%
25
27.2%
Q2 - 9:08MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
70.5%
25
29.5%
Q2 - 9:09HOUMISS Terry 5' Jump Shot30
71.2%
25
28.8%
Q2 - 9:35MILAntetokounmpo Dunk (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)30
72.8%
25
27.2%
Q2 - 9:43MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
74.5%
23
25.5%
Q2 - 9:45HOUMISS Motiejunas 6' Hook Shot30
75.2%
23
24.8%
Q2 - 10:04HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
76.4%
23
23.6%
Q2 - 10:05MILMISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
75.8%
23
24.2%
Q2 - 10:27HOUTerry 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Motiejunas 1 AST)30
74.2%
23
25.8%
Q2 - 10:39HOUGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
72.7%
23
27.3%
Q2 - 10:40MILMISS Dudley 1' Layup28
72.0%
23
28.0%
Q2 - 11:00MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
70.3%
23
29.7%
Q2 - 11:02HOUSanders BLOCK (3 BLK)28
70.6%
23
29.4%
Q2 - 11:25HOURockets Rebound28
72.1%
23
27.9%
Q2 - 11:26MILMISS Bayless 19' Jump Shot28
71.5%
23
28.5%
Q2 - 11:45MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
70.0%
23
30.0%
Q2 - 11:47HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot28
70.7%
23
29.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL28
72.1%
23
27.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound28
70.0%
23
30.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Marshall 8' Hook Shot28
71.5%
23
28.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0HOUMotiejunas 5' Hook Shot (5 PTS)28
70.0%
23
30.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0MILBayless 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)26
67.5%
23
32.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0HOUJohnson Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T6)26
70.0%
21
30.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
71.5%
21
28.5%
Q1 - 1:01MILMISS Ilyasova 4' Jump Shot26
71.0%
21
29.0%
Q1 - 1:20HOUJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Papanikolaou 1 AST)26
70.0%
21
30.0%
Q1 - 1:28HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
67.5%
21
32.5%
Q1 - 1:30MILMISS Ilyasova 5' Jump Shot24
67.0%
21
33.0%
Q1 - 1:52HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
66.0%
21
34.0%
Q1 - 1:52HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
65.7%
21
34.3%
Q1 - 2:06MILDudley 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Middleton 2 AST)22
63.6%
21
36.4%
Q1 - 2:13MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
65.7%
19
34.3%
Q1 - 2:14HOUMISS Papanikolaou 7' Jump Shot22
66.3%
19
33.7%
Q1 - 2:33MILIlyasova 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST)22
67.7%
19
32.3%
Q1 - 2:44HOUMotiejunas 4' Hook Shot (3 PTS)22
69.8%
17
30.2%
Q1 - 3:01MILIlyasova 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)20
67.8%
17
32.2%
Q1 - 3:18MILBUCKS Rebound20
69.5%
15
30.5%
Q1 - 3:19HOUMISS Johnson 3' Layup20
70.1%
15
29.9%
Q1 - 3:31MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)20
71.6%
15
28.4%
Q1 - 3:34MILBUCKS Rebound20
69.5%
15
30.5%
Q1 - 3:34MILMISS Bayless 4' Jump Shot20
70.9%
15
29.1%
Q1 - 3:58HOUAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)20
69.5%
15
30.5%
Q1 - 4:13HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
65.8%
15
34.2%
Q1 - 4:14MILMISS Dudley 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
65.1%
15
34.9%
Q1 - 4:20HOUMiddleton STEAL (2 STL)17
63.5%
15
36.5%
Q1 - 4:37MILMiddleton 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)17
65.8%
15
34.2%
Q1 - 4:43HOUMiddleton STEAL (1 STL)17
67.5%
13
32.5%
Q1 - 5:03MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)17
68.9%
13
31.1%
Q1 - 5:30HOUPapanikolaou 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)17
72.3%
10
27.7%
Q1 - 5:37HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
69.0%
10
31.0%
Q1 - 5:40MILMISS Mayo 5' Jump Shot14
68.4%
10
31.6%
Q1 - 5:56MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
67.0%
10
33.0%
Q1 - 5:58HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
67.6%
10
32.4%
Q1 - 6:13MILParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)14
68.5%
10
31.5%
Q1 - 6:26HOUTerry Dunk (2 PTS)14
66.7%
10
33.3%
Q1 - 6:34HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
65.0%
10
35.0%
Q1 - 6:35HOUMISS Ariza 16' Jump Shot12
63.7%
10
36.3%
Q1 - 6:40HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
65.0%
10
35.0%
Q1 - 6:43MILMISS Mayo 3PT Jump Shot12
64.4%
10
35.6%
Q1 - 6:51HOUKnight STEAL (1 STL)12
63.0%
10
37.0%
Q1 - 6:56HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
65.0%
10
35.0%
Q1 - 6:58MILMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot12
64.4%
10
35.6%
Q1 - 7:06HOUParker STEAL (1 STL)12
63.1%
10
36.9%
Q1 - 7:10MILSanders Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)12
65.1%
10
34.9%
Q1 - 7:13HOUDorsey 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
63.1%
10
36.9%
Q1 - 7:31HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
61.5%
10
38.5%
Q1 - 7:32HOUMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
60.1%
10
39.9%
Q1 - 7:47MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
61.5%
10
38.5%
Q1 - 7:47MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
62.0%
9
38.0%
Q1 - 7:57MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
63.1%
8
36.9%
Q1 - 7:59HOUMISS Motiejunas Free Throw 2 of 210
63.4%
8
36.6%
Q1 - 7:59HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
64.3%
8
35.7%
Q1 - 7:59HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
63.3%
8
36.7%
Q1 - 8:00MILMISS Knight Layup9
62.7%
8
37.3%
Q1 - 8:03MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
61.8%
8
38.2%
Q1 - 8:07MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Layup9
63.1%
8
36.9%
Q1 - 8:18MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
61.8%
8
38.2%
Q1 - 8:22HOUSanders BLOCK (2 BLK)9
62.4%
8
37.6%
Q1 - 8:25HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
63.7%
8
36.3%
Q1 - 8:26HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot9
62.4%
8
37.6%
Q1 - 8:40MILSanders Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
63.7%
8
36.3%
Q1 - 8:40MILSanders Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
64.4%
7
35.6%
Q1 - 8:47HOUBlack Dunk (6 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)9
65.3%
6
34.7%
Q1 - 9:05HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
63.7%
6
36.3%
Q1 - 9:11MILMISS Mayo 18' Jump Shot7
63.2%
6
36.8%
Q1 - 9:23HOUBlack 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)7
61.9%
6
38.1%
Q1 - 9:24HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
60.2%
6
39.8%
Q1 - 9:25HOUSanders BLOCK (1 BLK)5
58.8%
6
41.2%
Q1 - 9:29HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
60.2%
6
39.8%
Q1 - 9:30MILMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
59.6%
6
40.4%
Q1 - 9:51HOUAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Black 1 AST)5
58.2%
6
41.8%
Q1 - 10:02HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
54.7%
6
45.3%
Q1 - 10:03MILMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot2
54.1%
6
45.9%
Q1 - 10:13HOUAriza Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
52.6%
6
47.4%
Q1 - 10:24MILKnight 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)2
54.7%
6
45.3%
Q1 - 10:39HOUBlack 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)2
56.4%
4
43.6%
Q1 - 10:50HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
54.7%
4
45.3%
Q1 - 10:51HOUMISS Terry 11' Jump Shot0
53.3%
4
46.7%
Q1 - 10:59HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.7%
4
45.3%
Q1 - 11:06MILMISS Sanders Free Throw 1 of 10
54.4%
4
45.6%
Q1 - 11:11MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.6%
2
43.4%
Q1 - 11:14HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
57.1%
2
42.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.23 61.6%
MIL
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
21
32
66%
MIL
22
39
56%
Midrange
HOU
8
17
47%
MIL
5
16
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
15
22.5
38
39%
59%
MIL
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
HOU
14
16
88%
MIL
31
35
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3489%17.0 / 19
D. Motiejunas2071%10.0 / 14
J. Terry1860%9.0 / 15
T. Ariza1439%7.0 / 18
K. Papanikolaou12100%6.0 / 6
T. Black867%4.0 / 6
J. Dorsey4100%2.0 / 2
T. Daniels3150%1.5 / 1
F. Garcia214%1.0 / 7
N. Johnson220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Parker1968%9.5 / 14
E. Ilyasova1860%9.0 / 15
G. Antetokounmpo1765%8.5 / 13
B. Knight1267%6.0 / 9
L. Sanders1192%5.5 / 6
K. Middleton1179%5.5 / 7
O. Mayo627%3.0 / 11
J. Dudley563%2.5 / 4
J. Bayless425%2.0 / 8
K. Marshall0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
78
+17
-13
95
MIL
81
+12
-10
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.23 61.6%
MIL
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.0
103.1
HOU 128.6 +15.4
MIL 113.2
Pace
96.6
93.7
HOU 82.7
MIL 101.1 +18.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.8
HOU 17.4
MIL 14.2 +3.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
49.9%
HOU 59.2% +10.6%
MIL 48.6%
TO %
16.4%
16.8%
HOU 12.1%
MIL 11.0% +1.1%
ORB %
26.8%
25.5%
HOU 35.1% +14.6%
MIL 20.5%
FTrt
31.2
25.8
HOU 18.4
MIL 47.3 +28.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
62.7%
HOU 59.1%
MIL 69.7% +10.6%
STL %
9.8%
10.1%
HOU 7.7%
MIL 7.7%
BLK %
8.0%
8.6%
HOU 9.1%
MIL 10.2% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
52.1%
HOU 61.6% +6.2%
MIL 55.4%
Rim FG%
58.0%
56.4%
HOU 65.6% +9.2%
MIL 56.4%
Mid FG%
37.1%
40.4%
HOU 47.1% +15.8%
MIL 31.3%
3P %
34.8%
36.3%
HOU 39.5% +7.9%
MIL 31.6%
FT %
71.5%
75.7%
HOU 87.5%
MIL 88.6% +1.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
39.8%
HOU 36.8%
MIL 52.7% +15.9%
Mid Att. %
21.6%
37.8%
HOU 19.5% +2.1%
MIL 21.6%
3P Att. %
39.2%
22.3%
HOU 43.7% +18.0%
MIL 25.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsHOUMIL
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points117103
Rebounds4432
Assists2623
Steals77
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)24 (4)
Field Goals44-8733-74
At-the-Rim FG21-3222-39
Midrange FG8-175-16
2-Point FG29-4927-55
3-Point FG15-386-19
Free Throws14-1631-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 215 · 29
40.5
14
39%
10
3
2
0
3
4
1
9
0-0
-
1-6
17%
4-12
33%
G · 6'5" 220 · 25
38.3
34
89%
6
7
4
1
5
4
2
4
12-13
92%
5-9
56%
4-5
80%
G · 6'2" 185 · 37
34.8
18
60%
6
5
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
4-8
50%
F · 7'0" 220 · 24
31.0
20
71%
6
5
0
0
0
3
2
4
2-3
67%
9-12
75%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 250 · 23
21.1
8
67%
5
1
0
0
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
28.6
12
100%
3
4
1
0
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33
18.3
2
14%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-6
0%
G · 6'3" 202 · 22
13.2
2
20%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
· 6'8" 268 · 31
12.5
4
100%
5
0
0
3
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 23
1.8
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 6'0" 200 · 24
C · 6'11" 265 · 29
#2 · G · 6'1" 185 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · F · 6'9" 252 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
62%
44
26
7
5
13
0
13
31
14-16
88%
29-49
59%
15-38
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.