FinalWin Prob.pScore
2545%97
104
2455%99
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
113.09298.5
DET logo DET
95.79286.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET104
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:13)104
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILMISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)104
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0DETMISS Drummond 4' Jump Shot104
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILBayless 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Marshall 8 AST)104
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08DETSingler 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)101
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12MILSmith STEAL (1 STL)101
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33DETSingler 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Augustin 6 AST)101
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53MILDudley Palming Turnover (P1.T18)101
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11DETDrummond 1' Tip Shot (26 PTS)101
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:12DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:12)101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 6' Jump Shot101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34MILBayless 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01DETDrummond 1' Layup (24 PTS) (Smith 9 AST)98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:13DETPISTONS Rebound98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 28' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:20DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:21MILMISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:45MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:46DETMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:03MILDudley 17' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)98
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 4:28MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 4:29DETMISS Dinwiddie 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 4:44MILDudley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)96
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 5:10DETDrummond Dunk (22 PTS) (Dinwiddie 3 AST)93
98.7%
80
1.3%
Q4 - 5:22MILIlyasova Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)93
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 5:46DETCaldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)93
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 6:02MILMarshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)93
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 6:15DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T14)90
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 6:26DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)90
98.6%
75
1.4%
Q4 - 6:29MILMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
98.7%
75
1.3%
Q4 - 6:41MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 6:42DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 290
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 6:42DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)90
98.7%
75
1.3%
Q4 - 6:42DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)90
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 6:44DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 1' Driving Layup90
99.2%
74
0.8%
Q4 - 6:51DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)90
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 6:52MILMISS Middleton 19' Jump Shot90
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 7:18MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 7:19DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 7:35MILMarshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)90
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 7:44MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 7:45DETMISS Dinwiddie 1' Layup87
97.2%
74
2.8%
Q4 - 7:53DETDinwiddie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
96.6%
74
3.4%
Q4 - 7:54MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
96.9%
74
3.1%
Q4 - 8:10MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
96.6%
74
3.4%
Q4 - 8:11DETMISS Jerebko Tip Shot87
96.3%
74
3.7%
Q4 - 8:11DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
95.6%
74
4.4%
Q4 - 8:12DETMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot87
96.3%
74
3.7%
Q4 - 8:26MILIlyasova 1' Layup (22 PTS)87
95.7%
74
4.3%
Q4 - 8:27MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
94.5%
74
5.5%
Q4 - 8:29MILJerebko BLOCK (1 BLK)85
93.5%
74
6.5%
Q4 - 8:56DETSingler 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)85
94.5%
74
5.5%
Q4 - 8:59DETPISTONS Rebound85
95.7%
72
4.3%
Q4 - 9:00DETMISS Jerebko 3' Layup85
96.4%
72
3.6%
Q4 - 9:12MILJerebko STEAL (2 STL)85
94.6%
72
5.4%
Q4 - 9:16MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
95.7%
72
4.3%
Q4 - 9:17DETMISS Butler 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
95.4%
72
4.6%
Q4 - 9:22DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
94.6%
72
5.4%
Q4 - 9:23DETMISS Jerebko 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
95.4%
72
4.6%
Q4 - 9:38MILIlyasova 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Marshall 7 AST)85
94.7%
72
5.3%
Q4 - 9:51DETJerebko Foul Turnover (P1.T13)83
93.4%
72
6.6%
Q4 - 10:13MILMiddleton 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Marshall 6 AST)83
90.4%
72
9.6%
Q4 - 10:30DETSingler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)80
85.8%
72
14.2%
Q4 - 10:46MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)80
90.4%
69
9.6%
Q4 - 11:13MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
84.5%
69
15.5%
Q4 - 11:14DETMISS Singler 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
83.6%
69
16.4%
Q4 - 11:29MILIlyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Marshall 4 AST)77
81.4%
69
18.6%
Q4 - 11:41MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
74.2%
69
25.8%
Q4 - 11:43DETMISS Monroe 6' Hook Shot74
72.9%
69
27.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL74
69.8%
69
30.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
72.9%
69
27.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot74
71.7%
69
28.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
68.8%
69
31.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
70.1%
69
29.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
73.0%
69
27.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0DETMISS Augustin 28' 3PT Jump Shot74
71.8%
69
28.2%
Q3 - 0:49.0DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
68.8%
69
31.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
70.1%
69
29.9%
Q3 - 1:10DETDrummond 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)74
71.9%
69
28.1%
Q3 - 1:28MILMiddleton Layup (9 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)74
75.6%
67
24.4%
Q3 - 1:44MILKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
72.0%
67
28.0%
Q3 - 1:45DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup72
70.7%
67
29.3%
Q3 - 1:46DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)72
67.8%
67
32.2%
Q3 - 1:47DETMISS Smith 4' Hook Shot72
70.7%
67
29.3%
Q3 - 2:00MILMiddleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)72
67.8%
67
32.2%
Q3 - 2:21DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
57.8%
67
42.2%
Q3 - 2:21DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 269
59.5%
66
40.5%
Q3 - 2:28MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
57.6%
66
42.4%
Q3 - 2:28MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
56.3%
66
43.7%
Q3 - 2:44DETDrummond 1' Layup (18 PTS)67
53.3%
66
46.7%
Q3 - 2:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)67
57.6%
64
42.4%
Q3 - 2:48DETMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot67
60.9%
64
39.1%
Q3 - 3:03MILParker Putback Dunk (6 PTS)67
57.0%
64
43.0%
Q3 - 3:04MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
52.9%
64
47.1%
Q3 - 3:05MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
49.6%
64
50.4%
Q3 - 3:20DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)65
52.9%
64
47.1%
Q3 - 3:35MILKnight Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)65
57.0%
62
43.0%
Q3 - 3:47DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)65
61.6%
62
38.4%
Q3 - 4:06MILIlyasova Layup (12 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)65
64.2%
60
35.8%
Q3 - 4:11DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)63
61.1%
60
38.9%
Q3 - 4:22DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
56.1%
60
43.9%
Q3 - 4:23DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
59.6%
60
40.4%
Q3 - 4:36DETPISTONS Rebound63
56.1%
60
43.9%
Q3 - 4:36DETMISS Smith 1' Layup63
59.6%
60
40.4%
Q3 - 4:53MILParker Dunk (4 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)63
56.2%
60
43.8%
Q3 - 5:03DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)61
52.1%
60
47.9%
Q3 - 5:13MILMonroe STEAL (2 STL)61
47.5%
60
52.5%
Q3 - 5:29DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)61
52.2%
60
47.8%
Q3 - 5:35DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
55.7%
58
44.3%
Q3 - 5:36MILMISS Knight 1' Layup61
57.1%
58
42.9%
Q3 - 5:40DETAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)61
60.3%
58
39.7%
Q3 - 6:04MILKnight 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
55.1%
58
44.9%
Q3 - 6:18DETDrummond 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T9)59
51.8%
58
48.2%
Q3 - 6:32MILAntetokounmpo Palming Turnover (P3.T13)59
47.3%
58
52.7%
Q3 - 6:44DETCaldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)59
51.8%
58
48.2%
Q3 - 7:04MILIlyasova 19' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)59
58.3%
55
41.7%
Q3 - 7:08MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)57
55.0%
55
45.0%
Q3 - 7:11DETMISS Augustin 1' Layup57
53.7%
55
46.3%
Q3 - 7:34DETAugustin Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)57
50.8%
55
49.2%
Q3 - 7:34DETPISTONS Rebound57
54.6%
54
45.4%
Q3 - 7:35MILMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot57
55.9%
54
44.1%
Q3 - 7:54DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)57
58.9%
54
41.1%
Q3 - 8:00DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)57
65.6%
51
34.4%
Q3 - 8:02MILSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)57
66.1%
51
33.9%
Q3 - 8:07MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)57
68.8%
51
31.2%
Q3 - 8:08DETMISS Augustin Layup57
67.6%
51
32.4%
Q3 - 8:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)57
64.9%
51
35.1%
Q3 - 8:29MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 257
65.5%
51
34.5%
Q3 - 8:29MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 257
67.4%
51
32.6%
Q3 - 8:34MILMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
68.8%
51
31.2%
Q3 - 8:35MILMISS Antetokounmpo 19' Jump Shot57
66.1%
51
33.9%
Q3 - 8:58DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
68.8%
51
31.2%
Q3 - 8:58DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
70.3%
50
29.7%
Q3 - 9:11MILKnight Foul Turnover (P3.T12)57
70.6%
49
29.4%
Q3 - 9:24DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)57
73.7%
49
26.3%
Q3 - 9:39DETPISTONS Rebound57
76.3%
47
23.7%
Q3 - 9:42MILDrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)57
77.1%
47
22.9%
Q3 - 9:47MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
78.9%
47
21.1%
Q3 - 9:48DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
78.2%
47
21.8%
Q3 - 10:01MILKnight Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)57
75.7%
47
24.3%
Q3 - 10:04MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)57
78.2%
47
21.8%
Q3 - 10:06MILMISS Mayo Free Throw 1 of 157
76.0%
47
24.0%
Q3 - 10:18MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
73.0%
47
27.0%
Q3 - 10:18DETMISS Augustin Free Throw 2 of 255
72.7%
47
27.3%
Q3 - 10:18DETMISS Augustin Free Throw 1 of 255
70.5%
47
29.5%
Q3 - 10:29DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
70.1%
47
29.9%
Q3 - 10:30MILMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
71.0%
47
29.0%
Q3 - 10:48DETCaldwell-Pope 16' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)55
73.0%
47
27.0%
Q3 - 11:06MILSanders Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)55
74.8%
45
25.2%
Q3 - 11:12MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
77.4%
45
22.6%
Q3 - 11:14DETMISS Drummond 10' Hook Shot55
76.6%
45
23.4%
Q3 - 11:33MILMayo 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)55
74.9%
45
25.1%
Q3 - 11:46MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
72.3%
45
27.7%
Q3 - 11:47DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 253
71.9%
45
28.1%
Q3 - 11:47DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 253
70.2%
45
29.8%
Q3 - 11:50MILCaldwell-Pope STEAL (1 STL)53
69.4%
45
30.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET53
72.3%
45
27.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILMarshall Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)53
68.9%
45
31.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
62.1%
45
37.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0MILSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)50
60.6%
45
39.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0DETSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)50
62.2%
45
37.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P2.T8)50
59.9%
45
40.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
62.3%
45
37.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
63.0%
44
37.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
66.0%
43
34.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0MILMISS Mayo 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
66.7%
43
33.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0MILKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
68.2%
43
31.8%
Q2 - 1:01MILSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)50
66.3%
43
33.7%
Q2 - 1:12MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
67.4%
43
32.6%
Q2 - 1:14DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup50
66.9%
43
33.1%
Q2 - 1:15DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)50
65.8%
43
34.2%
Q2 - 1:16DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 2' Tip Shot50
66.9%
43
33.1%
Q2 - 1:17DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
65.8%
43
34.2%
Q2 - 1:18DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 250
67.2%
43
32.8%
Q2 - 1:18DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 250
65.7%
43
34.3%
Q2 - 1:36MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)50
65.8%
43
34.2%
Q2 - 1:42MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
58.5%
43
41.5%
Q2 - 1:43DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 14' Jump Shot47
58.0%
43
42.0%
Q2 - 1:51DETPISTONS Rebound47
56.8%
43
43.2%
Q2 - 1:51DETMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot47
58.0%
43
42.0%
Q2 - 2:01DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)47
55.6%
43
44.4%
Q2 - 2:02MILMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot47
56.5%
43
43.5%
Q2 - 2:19DETSmith 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Singler 4 AST)47
58.6%
43
41.4%
Q2 - 2:37DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
61.7%
41
38.3%
Q2 - 2:38MILMISS Antetokounmpo 18' Jump Shot47
62.6%
41
37.4%
Q2 - 2:49MILBucks Rebound47
64.4%
41
35.6%
Q2 - 2:49MILMISS Mayo 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
62.6%
41
37.4%
Q2 - 2:55MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
64.4%
41
35.6%
Q2 - 2:56DETMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot47
63.6%
41
36.4%
Q2 - 3:16MILDudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)47
60.8%
41
39.2%
Q2 - 3:38DETSmith 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Singler 3 AST)44
55.5%
41
44.5%
Q2 - 3:58MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
58.0%
39
42.0%
Q2 - 3:58MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
57.5%
39
42.5%
Q2 - 4:03MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
54.6%
39
45.4%
Q2 - 4:05DETMISS Singler 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
53.7%
39
46.3%
Q2 - 4:21MILMiddleton Foul Turnover (P1.T7)42
51.7%
39
48.3%
Q2 - 4:36DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)42
54.7%
39
45.3%
Q2 - 4:58MILDudley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST)42
51.7%
39
48.3%
Q2 - 5:12DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Dinwiddie 2 AST)39
46.0%
39
54.0%
Q2 - 5:32MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
48.8%
37
51.2%
Q2 - 5:32MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
48.5%
37
51.5%
Q2 - 5:43MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
46.0%
37
54.0%
Q2 - 5:44DETMISS Jerebko 28' 3PT Jump Shot37
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 6:02MILDinwiddie STEAL (1 STL)37
43.0%
37
57.0%
Q2 - 6:14MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
46.3%
37
53.7%
Q2 - 6:15DETMISS Dinwiddie 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
45.3%
37
54.7%
Q2 - 6:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)37
43.1%
37
56.9%
Q2 - 6:29MILMISS Dudley 28' 3PT Jump Shot37
44.1%
37
55.9%
Q2 - 6:39MILMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
46.3%
37
53.7%
Q2 - 6:40DETMISS Drummond 7' Jump Shot37
45.3%
37
54.7%
Q2 - 7:07MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)37
43.2%
37
56.8%
Q2 - 7:15MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
38.3%
37
61.7%
Q2 - 7:15MILMISS Bayless Reverse Layup34
36.4%
37
63.6%
Q2 - 7:33DETDinwiddie 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
38.3%
37
61.7%
Q2 - 7:40DETDinwiddie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
40.6%
35
59.4%
Q2 - 7:41MILMISS Middleton 3PT Jump Shot34
41.5%
35
58.5%
Q2 - 7:54MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
43.5%
35
56.5%
Q2 - 7:55DETMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot34
42.6%
35
57.4%
Q2 - 8:03DETDinwiddie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
40.5%
35
59.5%
Q2 - 8:06MILMISS Middleton Reverse Layup34
41.3%
35
58.7%
Q2 - 8:23DETDrummond Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Singler 2 AST)34
43.2%
35
56.8%
Q2 - 8:42MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
45.6%
33
54.4%
Q2 - 8:42MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
45.3%
33
54.7%
Q2 - 8:55DETSingler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dinwiddie 1 AST)32
43.2%
33
56.8%
Q2 - 9:02DETPISTONS Rebound32
45.3%
31
54.7%
Q2 - 9:02DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup32
47.3%
31
52.7%
Q2 - 9:02DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)32
45.3%
31
54.7%
Q2 - 9:03DETMISS Singler 13' Jump Shot32
47.3%
31
52.7%
Q2 - 9:22MILMiddleton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
45.3%
31
54.7%
Q2 - 9:42MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
43.2%
31
56.8%
Q2 - 9:42DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 230
42.8%
31
57.2%
Q2 - 9:42DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 230
41.9%
31
58.1%
Q2 - 9:52MILJerebko STEAL (1 STL)30
40.4%
31
59.6%
Q2 - 10:04MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q2 - 10:05MILMISS Dudley 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
41.3%
31
58.7%
Q2 - 10:13DETButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)30
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q2 - 10:44MILDudley 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)30
40.4%
31
59.6%
Q2 - 10:56DETDrummond 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)28
38.5%
31
61.5%
Q2 - 11:09DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
40.5%
29
59.5%
Q2 - 11:10MILMISS Ilyasova 18' Jump Shot28
41.2%
29
58.8%
Q2 - 11:21MILBucks Rebound28
42.9%
29
57.1%
Q2 - 11:22DETMISS Singler 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
42.2%
29
57.8%
Q2 - 11:47MILDudley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)28
40.5%
29
59.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL25
36.0%
29
64.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound25
36.0%
29
64.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMISS Knight 5' Jump Shot25
34.7%
29
65.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0DETMonroe Driving Dunk (5 PTS)25
35.8%
29
64.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
38.6%
27
61.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
38.2%
27
61.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0DETAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)23
35.8%
27
64.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)23
36.1%
26
63.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0MILMonroe STEAL (1 STL)23
38.6%
25
61.4%
Q1 - 1:03MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
40.4%
25
59.6%
Q1 - 1:04DETMISS Augustin 3PT Jump Shot23
39.9%
25
60.1%
Q1 - 1:28MILMayo 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)23
38.7%
25
61.3%
Q1 - 1:46DETCaldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)21
36.0%
25
64.0%
Q1 - 2:13MILIlyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)21
40.8%
22
59.2%
Q1 - 2:22MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
36.3%
22
63.7%
Q1 - 2:23DETMISS Butler 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
35.7%
22
64.3%
Q1 - 2:47MILParker Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)18
34.3%
22
65.7%
Q1 - 3:06DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)16
32.6%
22
67.4%
Q1 - 3:22MILAntetokounmpo Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
34.3%
20
65.7%
Q1 - 3:28DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)14
32.6%
20
67.4%
Q1 - 3:38MILAntetokounmpo Palming Turnover (P1.T3)14
30.4%
20
69.6%
Q1 - 3:58DETMonroe 1' Layup (3 PTS)14
32.6%
20
67.4%
Q1 - 4:03DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 4:04DETMISS Augustin 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
36.0%
18
64.0%
Q1 - 4:18DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 4:19MILMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
35.1%
18
64.9%
Q1 - 4:35DETAugustin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)14
36.7%
18
63.3%
Q1 - 4:43DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)14
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 4:44MILMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
35.1%
18
64.9%
Q1 - 4:52MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
36.7%
18
63.3%
Q1 - 4:53DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot14
36.0%
18
64.0%
Q1 - 5:18MILIlyasova Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)14
34.7%
18
65.3%
Q1 - 5:23DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
33.0%
18
67.0%
Q1 - 5:34MILDrummond STEAL (1 STL)12
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q1 - 5:45DETAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)12
33.0%
18
67.0%
Q1 - 5:45DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)12
33.2%
17
66.8%
Q1 - 6:00MILKnight 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
34.6%
16
65.4%
Q1 - 6:11DETDrummond Tip Shot (4 PTS)10
33.3%
16
66.7%
Q1 - 6:12DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)10
34.9%
14
65.1%
Q1 - 6:12DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup10
36.3%
14
63.7%
Q1 - 6:13DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)10
34.9%
14
65.1%
Q1 - 6:16DETMISS Smith 2' Layup10
36.3%
14
63.7%
Q1 - 6:36MILMayo Layup (2 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)10
34.9%
14
65.1%
Q1 - 6:40MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
33.3%
14
66.7%
Q1 - 6:43DETMISS Augustin 7' Running Jump Shot8
32.7%
14
67.3%
Q1 - 7:06MILSanders 1' Layup (6 PTS)8
31.6%
14
68.4%
Q1 - 7:07MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
30.2%
14
69.8%
Q1 - 7:08MILMISS Mayo 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
28.9%
14
71.1%
Q1 - 7:20DETAugustin 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)6
30.2%
14
69.8%
Q1 - 7:33DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)6
33.3%
11
66.7%
Q1 - 7:34MILMISS Antetokounmpo 19' Jump Shot6
33.9%
11
66.1%
Q1 - 7:49DETSmith 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)6
35.3%
11
64.7%
Q1 - 8:09MILSanders Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
37.1%
9
62.9%
Q1 - 8:24DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 8:37DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
40.7%
7
59.3%
Q1 - 8:38MILMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot6
41.3%
7
58.7%
Q1 - 8:49DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)6
42.7%
7
57.3%
Q1 - 8:55DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
44.4%
5
55.6%
Q1 - 8:56MILMISS Mayo 21' Jump Shot6
45.0%
5
55.0%
Q1 - 9:06DETAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
46.4%
5
53.6%
Q1 - 9:06DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
46.6%
4
53.4%
Q1 - 9:13DETPISTONS Rebound6
48.2%
3
51.8%
Q1 - 9:13MILMISS Sanders 5' Hook Shot6
48.8%
3
51.2%
Q1 - 9:29DETSmith 1' Layup (2 PTS)6
50.2%
3
49.8%
Q1 - 9:45MILSanders 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)6
52.0%
1
48.0%
Q1 - 9:54MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
50.2%
1
49.8%
Q1 - 9:55DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 18' Jump Shot4
49.6%
1
50.4%
Q1 - 10:13MILAntetokounmpo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)4
48.0%
1
52.0%
Q1 - 10:21MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.4%
1
53.6%
Q1 - 10:22DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
45.7%
1
54.3%
Q1 - 10:33DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
44.3%
1
55.7%
Q1 - 10:34MILMISS Sanders 1' Tip Shot2
44.9%
1
55.1%
Q1 - 10:35MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
46.4%
1
53.6%
Q1 - 10:36MILMISS Antetokounmpo 2' Layup2
44.9%
1
55.1%
Q1 - 10:42DETDrummond Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)2
46.4%
1
53.6%
Q1 - 10:56DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.3%
1
55.7%
Q1 - 10:57MILMISS Knight 23' Jump Shot2
44.9%
1
55.1%
Q1 - 11:10DETDrummond Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T1)2
46.0%
1
54.0%
Q1 - 11:25MILSanders 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
44.3%
1
55.7%
Q1 - 11:38DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
42.4%
1
57.6%
Q1 - 11:38DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 20
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Sanders: Tip to Smith0
42.5%
0
57.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.22 61.2%
DET
0.91 45.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
16
27
59%
DET
20
37
54%
Midrange
MIL
10
21
48%
DET
8
23
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
13
19.5
29
45%
67%
DET
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
Free Throws
MIL
13
16
81%
DET
14
25
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Ilyasova2279%11.0 / 14
J. Dudley16100%8.0 / 8
K. Middleton1275%6.0 / 8
J. Bayless1083%5.0 / 6
K. Marshall975%4.5 / 6
O. Mayo836%4.0 / 11
J. Parker844%4.0 / 9
G. Antetokounmpo744%3.5 / 8
B. Knight638%3.0 / 8
L. Sanders660%3.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond2662%13.0 / 21
K. Caldwell-Pope2148%10.5 / 22
J. Smith1338%6.5 / 17
K. Singler1161%5.5 / 9
D. Augustin1045%5.0 / 11
G. Monroe563%2.5 / 4
S. Dinwiddie225%1.0 / 4
C. Butler0-0.0 / 3
J. Jerebko0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
73
+12
-19
85
DET
78
+19
-14
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.22 61.2%
DET
0.91 45.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.1
105.1
MIL 113.0
DET 95.7 +17.4
Pace
93.7
93.1
MIL 98.5 +12.2
DET 86.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.6
MIL 14.6 +2.1
DET 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
48.2%
MIL 59.1% +14.5%
DET 44.6%
TO %
16.8%
13.5%
MIL 18.4%
DET 13.0% +5.4%
ORB %
25.5%
27.7%
MIL 28.6%
DET 29.2% +0.6%
FTrt
25.8
26.1
MIL 20.8
DET 30.1 +9.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
58.2%
MIL 76.9% +3.4%
DET 73.5%
STL %
10.1%
8.1%
MIL 9.8% +1.1%
DET 8.7%
BLK %
8.6%
7.6%
MIL 10.0%
DET 10.4% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
50.0%
MIL 61.2% +15.8%
DET 45.4%
Rim FG%
56.4%
53.4%
MIL 59.3% +5.2%
DET 54.1%
Mid FG%
40.4%
37.8%
MIL 47.6% +12.8%
DET 34.8%
3P %
36.3%
34.4%
MIL 44.8% +18.7%
DET 26.1%
FT %
75.7%
70.3%
MIL 81.3% +25.3%
DET 56.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.8%
40.8%
MIL 35.1%
DET 44.6% +9.5%
Mid Att. %
37.8%
30.1%
MIL 27.3% +0.4%
DET 27.7%
3P Att. %
22.3%
29.0%
MIL 37.7% +10.0%
DET 27.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points10488
Rebounds4439
Assists3025
Steals98
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)25 (3)
Field Goals39-7734-83
At-the-Rim FG16-2720-37
Midrange FG10-218-23
2-Point FG26-4828-60
3-Point FG13-296-23
Free Throws13-1614-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 182 · 23
26.8
6
38%
4
5
0
0
4
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 243 · 20
26.8
7
44%
9
2
0
2
3
3
0
9
1-3
33%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
26.6
8
36%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
0-5
0%
F · 6'8" 250 · 20
25.6
8
44%
5
5
2
0
3
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 26
10.7
6
60%
3
0
1
0
2
4
3
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
31.2
22
79%
8
2
2
1
2
1
3
5
1-1
100%
6-7
86%
3-7
43%
G · 6'4" 200 · 23
24.0
9
75%
1
8
2
0
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 222 · 23
23.4
12
75%
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
22.6
10
83%
0
3
0
1
3
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 240 · 29
22.4
16
100%
6
1
0
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
C · 6'11" 270 · 31
· 6'4" 190 · 24
C · 6'11" 229 · 24
#3 · F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · F · 6'8" 246 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
61%
44
30
9
6
19
0
10
34
13-16
81%
26-48
54%
13-29
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.