FinalWin Prob.pScore
2815%87
100
285%101
106
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
104.29694.0
SAS logo SAS
110.49698.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS100
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 298
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)98
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)98
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDMISS Miles 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)98
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 298
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)98
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0INDMISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 298
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0INDScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 297
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 297
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDSloan Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T15)97
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)97
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 1:01INDMISS Copeland 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot97
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 1:13INDPacers Rebound97
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 1:13SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot97
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 1:36INDCopeland Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)97
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 1:52SASLeonard 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS)93
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 2:07SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)93
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 2:08INDMISS Sloan 22' Jump Shot93
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 2:20SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)93
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 2:42INDScola 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Sloan 5 AST)93
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 2:53INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 2:54SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 3:12INDStuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T12)91
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 3:14INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 3:15SASMISS Parker 14' Fadeaway Jumper91
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 3:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 3:33INDMISS Stuckey 8' Jump Shot91
1.9%
99
98.1%
Q4 - 3:54SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)91
2.4%
99
97.6%
Q4 - 4:14SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
4.6%
96
95.4%
Q4 - 4:15INDMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot91
5.2%
96
94.8%
Q4 - 4:41SASDuncan 2' Running Layup (16 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)91
6.6%
96
93.4%
Q4 - 4:58SASSPURS Rebound91
9.1%
94
90.9%
Q4 - 4:59INDMISS Price 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
10.2%
94
89.8%
Q4 - 5:15SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Green 3 AST)91
13.8%
94
86.2%
Q4 - 5:32SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)91
23.2%
91
76.8%
Q4 - 5:33INDMISS Rudez 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
25.2%
91
74.8%
Q4 - 5:35INDPacers Rebound91
30.2%
91
69.8%
Q4 - 5:36INDGreen BLOCK (3 BLK)91
25.2%
91
74.8%
Q4 - 5:54SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Green 2 AST)91
30.3%
91
69.7%
Q4 - 6:10SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)91
41.0%
88
59.0%
Q4 - 6:11INDMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot91
43.6%
88
56.4%
Q4 - 6:34SASLeonard 3' Jump Shot (15 PTS)91
49.8%
88
50.2%
Q4 - 6:41SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)91
56.1%
86
43.9%
Q4 - 6:42INDMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot91
58.7%
86
41.3%
Q4 - 6:53INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
64.5%
86
35.5%
Q4 - 6:54SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot91
62.0%
86
38.0%
Q4 - 7:16SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
51.7%
86
48.3%
Q4 - 7:16INDMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 191
52.7%
86
47.3%
Q4 - 7:29INDAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)89
45.7%
86
54.3%
Q4 - 7:29SASMISS Baynes Free Throw 2 of 289
44.7%
86
55.3%
Q4 - 7:29SASBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)89
40.2%
86
59.8%
Q4 - 7:37INDLeonard STEAL (1 STL)89
45.0%
85
55.0%
Q4 - 7:41SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)89
52.7%
85
47.3%
Q4 - 7:55INDRudez 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)89
45.1%
85
54.9%
Q4 - 8:19SASBaynes 4' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)87
36.8%
85
63.2%
Q4 - 8:42SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
42.9%
83
57.1%
Q4 - 8:42INDMISS Miles Free Throw 2 of 287
43.8%
83
56.2%
Q4 - 8:42INDMISS Miles Free Throw 1 of 287
48.3%
83
51.7%
Q4 - 8:59SASGinobili 4' Driving Jump Shot (22 PTS)87
49.4%
83
50.6%
Q4 - 9:17SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
52.5%
81
47.5%
Q4 - 9:18INDMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
54.4%
81
45.6%
Q4 - 9:26INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
58.7%
81
41.3%
Q4 - 9:27SASMISS Leonard 13' Jump Shot87
56.8%
81
43.2%
Q4 - 9:42INDPrice 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)87
52.7%
81
47.3%
Q4 - 9:59SASGinobili 1' Layup (20 PTS)84
41.1%
81
58.9%
Q4 - 10:02INDGinobili STEAL (2 STL)84
44.2%
79
55.8%
Q4 - 10:04INDAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
49.9%
79
50.1%
Q4 - 10:05SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot84
48.2%
79
51.8%
Q4 - 10:17INDAllen 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rudez 1 AST)84
44.3%
79
55.7%
Q4 - 10:38SASBaynes 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)82
39.1%
79
60.9%
Q4 - 11:04INDPrice 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)82
42.8%
77
57.2%
Q4 - 11:23SASBaynes Foul Turnover (P1.T13)79
33.0%
77
67.0%
Q4 - 11:33INDRudez 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Price 5 AST)79
28.3%
77
71.7%
Q4 - 11:47SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)76
20.6%
77
79.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS76
17.2%
77
82.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMiles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Price 4 AST)76
17.2%
77
82.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)73
12.0%
77
88.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0INDCopeland Foul Turnover (P1.T9)73
14.4%
75
85.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
17.1%
75
82.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)73
17.6%
74
82.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
20.2%
73
79.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0INDMISS Price 12' Fadeaway Jumper73
21.2%
73
78.8%
Q3 - 1:05SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)73
22.9%
73
77.1%
Q3 - 1:23INDCopeland Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)73
30.5%
70
69.5%
Q3 - 1:40SASBaynes 3' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)70
23.0%
70
77.0%
Q3 - 2:01INDStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)70
25.3%
68
74.7%
Q3 - 2:01INDStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)69
24.8%
68
75.2%
Q3 - 2:21SASGinobili 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)68
22.2%
68
77.8%
Q3 - 2:29SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
25.4%
66
74.6%
Q3 - 2:30SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
28.1%
66
71.9%
Q3 - 2:42INDCopeland 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)68
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q3 - 3:06INDAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
21.9%
66
78.1%
Q3 - 3:06SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 266
21.4%
66
78.6%
Q3 - 3:06SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 266
19.5%
66
80.5%
Q3 - 3:10SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
18.8%
66
81.2%
Q3 - 3:11INDMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot66
19.7%
66
80.3%
Q3 - 3:22INDAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
21.9%
66
78.1%
Q3 - 3:22INDMISS Scola 11' Jump Shot66
19.7%
66
80.3%
Q3 - 3:47SASLeonard 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)66
21.9%
66
78.1%
Q3 - 4:02INDBelinelli STEAL (1 STL)66
23.8%
64
76.2%
Q3 - 4:24SASGinobili 7' Driving Bank Shot (9 PTS)66
27.8%
64
72.2%
Q3 - 4:40SASSPURS Rebound66
30.7%
62
69.3%
Q3 - 4:42INDMISS S. Hill 16' Jump Shot66
32.0%
62
68.0%
Q3 - 4:56INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
35.2%
62
64.8%
Q3 - 4:57SASMISS Leonard 11' Jump Shot66
33.8%
62
66.2%
Q3 - 5:20SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
29.7%
62
70.3%
Q3 - 5:20INDMISS Stuckey 2' Layup66
30.9%
62
69.1%
Q3 - 5:27INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
33.8%
62
66.2%
Q3 - 5:28SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup66
32.5%
62
67.5%
Q3 - 5:43INDSloan Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)66
29.7%
62
70.3%
Q3 - 5:43INDMISS Sloan Free Throw 1 of 265
29.0%
62
71.0%
Q3 - 6:02SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T11)65
28.9%
62
71.1%
Q3 - 6:08INDS. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)65
25.3%
62
74.7%
Q3 - 6:11SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)62
20.2%
62
79.8%
Q3 - 6:16INDGreen STEAL (1 STL)62
17.5%
62
82.5%
Q3 - 6:28SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)62
20.3%
62
79.7%
Q3 - 6:50INDStuckey 15' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)62
22.6%
60
77.4%
Q3 - 7:10SASDuncan 2' Layup (12 PTS)60
19.7%
60
80.3%
Q3 - 7:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)60
21.9%
58
78.1%
Q3 - 7:13SASMISS Diaw 13' Turnaround Jump Shot60
24.0%
58
76.0%
Q3 - 7:32INDScola 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Sloan 4 AST)60
21.9%
58
78.1%
Q3 - 7:43INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
19.7%
58
80.3%
Q3 - 7:44SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot58
18.9%
58
81.1%
Q3 - 7:50INDDuncan STEAL (1 STL)58
17.1%
58
82.9%
Q3 - 8:12SASParker 2' Layup (18 PTS)58
19.3%
58
80.7%
Q3 - 8:17INDParker STEAL (1 STL)58
21.4%
56
78.6%
Q3 - 8:36SASParker 6' Driving Jump Shot (16 PTS)58
24.4%
56
75.6%
Q3 - 8:50SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
26.8%
54
73.2%
Q3 - 8:52INDMISS Scola 4' Driving Layup58
27.9%
54
72.1%
Q3 - 9:02SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)58
28.9%
54
71.1%
Q3 - 9:15SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
25.9%
54
74.1%
Q3 - 9:16INDMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot58
26.8%
54
73.2%
Q3 - 9:29SASParker 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)58
29.0%
54
71.0%
Q3 - 9:45INDMahinmi Dunk (8 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)58
31.9%
52
68.1%
Q3 - 10:05INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
27.6%
52
72.4%
Q3 - 10:07SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot56
26.7%
52
73.3%
Q3 - 10:25INDScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
24.9%
52
75.1%
Q3 - 10:25INDMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 255
24.2%
52
75.8%
Q3 - 10:34INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
24.9%
52
75.1%
Q3 - 10:35SASMISS Parker 5' Running Jump Shot55
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q3 - 10:56INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)55
22.4%
52
77.6%
Q3 - 11:23SASDuncan 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)55
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q3 - 11:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
26.3%
50
73.7%
Q3 - 11:39INDMISS S. Hill 7' Jump Shot55
27.2%
50
72.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND55
29.2%
50
70.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
27.9%
50
72.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)55
28.3%
49
71.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
31.4%
48
68.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDMISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 255
31.7%
48
68.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
33.5%
48
66.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDPacers Rebound54
30.6%
48
69.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDMISS Copeland 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
29.2%
48
70.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
30.7%
48
69.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
31.2%
47
68.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0INDStuckey 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)54
34.3%
46
65.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
30.7%
46
69.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
30.1%
46
69.9%
Q2 - 1:12INDMahinmi 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)52
28.5%
46
71.5%
Q2 - 1:25INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
24.9%
46
75.1%
Q2 - 1:27INDMISS Stuckey 3PT Jump Shot50
24.0%
46
76.0%
Q2 - 1:50SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
24.9%
46
75.1%
Q2 - 1:50SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 250
25.5%
45
74.5%
Q2 - 1:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
26.0%
45
74.0%
Q2 - 2:00INDMISS Mahinmi 6' Jump Hook Shot50
26.4%
45
73.6%
Q2 - 2:24SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
27.0%
45
73.0%
Q2 - 2:24SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
27.5%
44
72.5%
Q2 - 2:30INDGinobili STEAL (1 STL)50
29.7%
43
70.3%
Q2 - 2:50SASDuncan 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)50
32.2%
43
67.8%
Q2 - 2:55SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
35.2%
41
64.8%
Q2 - 2:56INDMISS Scola 2' Layup50
36.0%
41
64.0%
Q2 - 3:02INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
36.3%
41
63.7%
Q2 - 3:04SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot50
35.3%
41
64.7%
Q2 - 3:21INDStuckey 3' Running Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Price 3 AST)50
33.2%
41
66.8%
Q2 - 3:28INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
31.1%
41
68.9%
Q2 - 3:29SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Bank Shot48
30.2%
41
69.8%
Q2 - 3:39INDStuckey 20' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
28.2%
41
71.8%
Q2 - 3:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
26.2%
41
73.8%
Q2 - 3:57SASDuncan 3' Layup (5 PTS)46
26.2%
41
73.8%
Q2 - 3:58SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
28.2%
39
71.8%
Q2 - 3:58SASMISS Belinelli 4' Jump Shot46
30.2%
39
69.8%
Q2 - 4:00SASMISS Belinelli 15' Floating Jump Shot46
30.2%
39
69.8%
Q2 - 4:19INDRudez 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)46
27.2%
39
72.8%
Q2 - 4:41INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
23.0%
39
77.0%
Q2 - 4:42SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot43
22.4%
39
77.6%
Q2 - 5:01SASSPURS Rebound43
20.6%
39
79.4%
Q2 - 5:02INDMISS Price 21' Jump Shot43
21.1%
39
78.9%
Q2 - 5:15INDPacers Rebound43
22.5%
39
77.5%
Q2 - 5:15INDMISS Stuckey 11' Fadeaway Jumper43
21.2%
39
78.8%
Q2 - 5:33SASBelinelli 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)43
22.5%
39
77.5%
Q2 - 5:43INDAllen 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Price 2 AST)43
24.5%
37
75.5%
Q2 - 5:53SASDiaw Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)41
22.5%
37
77.5%
Q2 - 6:15INDPrice 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
20.1%
37
79.9%
Q2 - 6:23INDCopeland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
17.2%
37
82.8%
Q2 - 6:24SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
16.6%
37
83.4%
Q2 - 6:28SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
15.4%
37
84.6%
Q2 - 6:29SASMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
16.6%
37
83.4%
Q2 - 6:47INDStuckey 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
15.4%
37
84.6%
Q2 - 7:05SASDiaw 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)36
14.0%
37
86.0%
Q2 - 7:11SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
15.2%
35
84.8%
Q2 - 7:12INDMISS Copeland Layup36
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 7:30SASParker 3' Layup (8 PTS)36
16.8%
35
83.2%
Q2 - 7:51SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q2 - 7:52INDMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 136
18.4%
33
81.6%
Q2 - 8:02SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q2 - 8:02SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)34
16.6%
32
83.4%
Q2 - 8:15INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q2 - 8:15INDAllen 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)34
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q2 - 8:16INDMISS Copeland 4' Jump Shot32
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q2 - 8:19INDCopeland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 8:21INDMISS Copeland 8' Jump Shot32
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q2 - 8:43INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 8:44SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 8:49SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
15.0%
31
85.0%
Q2 - 8:50SASMISS Parker 8' Floating Jump Shot32
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 9:03INDRudez Foul Turnover (P1.T2)32
14.4%
31
85.6%
Q2 - 9:13SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)32
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 9:21SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q2 - 9:22INDMISS Rudez 1' Layup32
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q2 - 9:27SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)32
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q2 - 9:33SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q2 - 9:34INDMISS Rudez 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q2 - 9:53INDCopeland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q2 - 9:54SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
15.5%
31
84.5%
Q2 - 10:12INDPrice 6' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q2 - 10:27SASGinobili 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)30
13.6%
31
86.4%
Q2 - 10:30SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
14.6%
29
85.4%
Q2 - 10:31SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot30
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q2 - 10:40SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
14.6%
29
85.4%
Q2 - 10:41INDMISS Miles 3PT Jump Shot30
15.0%
29
85.0%
Q2 - 10:59SASBelinelli 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)30
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q2 - 11:13INDCopeland 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Price 1 AST)30
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q2 - 11:28SASBaynes 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)27
14.7%
27
85.3%
Q2 - 11:44SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q2 - 11:45INDMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot27
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS27
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound27
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Green 28' 3PT Jump Shot27
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0INDS. Hill 2' Layup (7 PTS)27
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 225
14.2%
25
85.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
14.7%
24
85.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0INDMISS S. Hill 16' Jump Shot25
14.9%
24
85.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASGinobili 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)25
15.6%
24
84.4%
Q1 - 1:11INDS. Hill 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)25
16.9%
22
83.1%
Q1 - 1:26INDSloan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
15.3%
22
84.7%
Q1 - 1:27SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
15.1%
22
84.9%
Q1 - 1:38INDS. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sloan 3 AST)23
14.5%
22
85.5%
Q1 - 1:54SASBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
12.1%
22
87.9%
Q1 - 1:54SASBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
12.2%
21
87.8%
Q1 - 2:02SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13.2%
20
86.8%
Q1 - 2:03INDMISS Miles 18' Jump Shot20
13.5%
20
86.5%
Q1 - 2:09SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)20
14.3%
20
85.7%
Q1 - 2:15SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13.2%
20
86.8%
Q1 - 2:16INDMISS Copeland 22' Jump Shot20
13.5%
20
86.5%
Q1 - 2:37INDSloan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
14.3%
20
85.7%
Q1 - 2:38SASMISS Leonard 11' Jump Shot20
13.9%
20
86.1%
Q1 - 3:04INDSloan 2' Layup (2 PTS)20
12.9%
20
87.1%
Q1 - 3:18INDPacers Rebound18
12.1%
20
87.9%
Q1 - 3:18INDGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)18
11.4%
20
88.6%
Q1 - 3:23SASDiaw Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)18
12.1%
20
87.9%
Q1 - 3:38INDScola 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Sloan 2 AST)18
11.1%
20
88.9%
Q1 - 3:55SASLeonard 20' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)16
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 4:07SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
10.9%
18
89.1%
Q1 - 4:08INDMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot16
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 4:16INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
11.9%
18
88.1%
Q1 - 4:17SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot16
11.6%
18
88.4%
Q1 - 4:38INDStuckey 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (S. Hill 1 AST)16
10.9%
18
89.1%
Q1 - 4:44INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
10.2%
18
89.8%
Q1 - 4:45INDMISS Sloan 19' Jump Shot14
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 4:52SASParker 11' Fadeaway Bank Shot (6 PTS)14
10.2%
18
89.8%
Q1 - 5:12INDStuckey 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
10.9%
16
89.1%
Q1 - 5:31SASDuncan 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)12
10.2%
16
89.8%
Q1 - 5:42INDMahinmi 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)12
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 6:04SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)10
10.1%
14
89.9%
Q1 - 6:20INDScola 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sloan 1 AST)10
11.5%
11
88.5%
Q1 - 6:34SASLeonard 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)8
10.8%
11
89.2%
Q1 - 6:47SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
11.6%
9
88.4%
Q1 - 6:49INDMISS Stuckey 3PT Jump Shot8
11.8%
9
88.2%
Q1 - 6:55SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
12.5%
9
87.5%
Q1 - 7:00INDDiaw STEAL (1 STL)8
11.6%
9
88.4%
Q1 - 7:11INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
12.3%
9
87.7%
Q1 - 7:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 28
12.1%
9
87.9%
Q1 - 7:12SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
11.6%
9
88.4%
Q1 - 7:27INDStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
12.1%
8
87.9%
Q1 - 7:27INDStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
12.0%
8
88.0%
Q1 - 7:37SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
11.5%
8
88.5%
Q1 - 7:55INDMahinmi 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)6
10.6%
8
89.4%
Q1 - 8:14SASParker 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
9.7%
8
90.3%
Q1 - 8:20SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.4%
6
89.6%
Q1 - 8:21INDMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot4
10.6%
6
89.4%
Q1 - 8:28INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11.2%
6
88.8%
Q1 - 8:29SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot4
10.9%
6
89.1%
Q1 - 8:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
10.4%
6
89.6%
Q1 - 8:38SASMISS Green 18' Jump Shot4
10.9%
6
89.1%
Q1 - 8:56INDStuckey 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
10.4%
6
89.6%
Q1 - 8:59INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
9.8%
6
90.2%
Q1 - 9:01INDMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot2
9.2%
6
90.8%
Q1 - 9:19INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.7%
6
90.3%
Q1 - 9:20SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot2
9.4%
6
90.6%
Q1 - 9:35SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
9.0%
6
91.0%
Q1 - 9:36INDMISS Scola 2' Finger Roll Layup2
9.2%
6
90.8%
Q1 - 9:49INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.7%
6
90.3%
Q1 - 9:50SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
9.4%
6
90.6%
Q1 - 9:57SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.0%
6
91.0%
Q1 - 9:58INDDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)2
9.2%
6
90.8%
Q1 - 10:13SASGreen 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)2
9.6%
6
90.4%
Q1 - 10:27SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
10.2%
4
89.8%
Q1 - 10:28INDMISS Sloan 29' 3PT Jump Shot2
10.5%
4
89.5%
Q1 - 10:34INDPacers Rebound2
11.0%
4
89.0%
Q1 - 10:34INDDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)2
10.5%
4
89.5%
Q1 - 10:51SASParker 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
11.0%
4
89.0%
Q1 - 11:07INDScola 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mahinmi 1 AST)2
11.6%
2
88.4%
Q1 - 11:24SASLeonard 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
10.8%
2
89.2%
Q1 - 11:33SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.6%
0
88.4%
Q1 - 11:35INDMISS Sloan 2' Layup0
11.8%
0
88.2%
Q1 - 11:37INDSloan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
12.3%
0
87.7%
Q1 - 11:38INDGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)0
11.8%
0
88.2%
Q1 - 11:41SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
12.3%
0
87.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Mahinmi: Tip to Parker0
11.6%
0
88.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.04 52.1%
SAS
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
17
30
57%
SAS
21
24
88%
Midrange
IND
13
36
36%
SAS
15
35
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
SAS
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
IND
10
18
56%
SAS
19
29
66%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Stuckey2252%11.0 / 21
L. Scola1343%6.5 / 15
C. Copeland1275%6.0 / 8
A. Price1179%5.5 / 7
S. Hill1063%5.0 / 8
I. Mahinmi880%4.0 / 5
L. Allen857%4.0 / 7
D. Rudez867%4.0 / 6
C. Miles536%2.5 / 7
D. Sloan321%1.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2867%14.0 / 21
K. Leonard2170%10.5 / 15
T. Parker2155%10.5 / 19
T. Duncan1765%8.5 / 13
A. Baynes990%4.5 / 5
M. Belinelli650%3.0 / 6
B. Diaw233%1.0 / 3
D. Green225%1.0 / 4
M. Bonner0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
84
+12
-12
96
SAS
81
+9
-15
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.04 52.1%
SAS
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
108.5
IND 104.2
SAS 110.4 +6.3
Pace
92.9
93.9
IND 94.0
SAS 98.0 +4.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.7
IND 15.3
SAS 14.7 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
51.7%
IND 51.7%
SAS 58.8% +7.1%
TO %
14.2%
14.2%
IND 12.0% +2.7%
SAS 14.7%
ORB %
24.0%
23.4%
IND 15.9%
SAS 21.6% +5.7%
FTrt
26.6
25.6
IND 20.7
SAS 39.2 +18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.6%
62.3%
IND 57.5% +6.3%
SAS 51.2%
STL %
6.6%
8.5%
IND 9.4% +1.1%
SAS 8.3%
BLK %
7.4%
8.4%
IND 1.7%
SAS 7.6% +5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
54.0%
IND 52.1%
SAS 58.2% +6.1%
Rim FG%
55.7%
59.6%
IND 56.7%
SAS 87.5% +30.8%
Mid FG%
40.6%
42.1%
IND 36.1%
SAS 42.9% +6.8%
3P %
35.2%
36.7%
IND 47.6% +14.3%
SAS 33.3%
FT %
75.6%
78.0%
IND 55.6%
SAS 65.5% +9.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.2%
35.3%
IND 34.5% +2.1%
SAS 32.4%
Mid Att. %
43.3%
37.8%
IND 41.4% +5.9%
SAS 47.3%
3P Att. %
25.5%
26.9%
IND 24.1% +3.9%
SAS 20.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDSAS
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points100106
Rebounds3645
Assists2321
Steals98
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)37 (3)
Field Goals40-8741-74
At-the-Rim FG17-3021-24
Midrange FG13-3615-35
2-Point FG30-6636-59
3-Point FG10-215-15
Free Throws10-1819-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 205 · 29
35.0
22
52%
4
4
2
0
2
3
1
3
4-5
80%
9-18
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 24
28.9
10
63%
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 205 · 27
26.8
3
21%
3
6
0
0
2
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 241 · 35
26.1
13
43%
6
1
1
0
2
2
1
5
3-6
50%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
23.3
8
80%
5
1
1
1
0
5
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26
23.8
8
57%
9
2
0
0
1
3
2
7
0-1
0%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 239 · 31
23.1
12
75%
3
1
1
0
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
20.8
11
79%
2
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-4
75%
F · 6'10" 228 · 28
17.6
8
67%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'6" 220 · 28
14.6
5
36%
1
1
2
0
1
2
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
C · 7'2" 270 · 28
F · 6'9" 250 · 34
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24
#32 · G · 6'2" 175 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · F · 6'8" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'3" 188 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
52%
36
23
9
1
12
0
7
29
10-18
56%
30-66
45%
10-21
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.