FinalWin Prob.pScore
2439%92
93
1461%96
94
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
104.58994.9
MIA logo MIA
105.68984.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA93
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0CHAHornets Rebound93
3.3%
94
96.7%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)93
10.1%
94
89.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHAMISS Jefferson 1' Tip Shot93
5.4%
94
94.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHAMISS Walker 13' Jump Shot93
5.4%
94
94.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)93
38.4%
94
61.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
16.7%
94
83.3%
Q4 - 0:25.0CHAMISS Walker 8' Driving Jump Shot93
22.0%
94
78.0%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIABosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)93
36.8%
94
63.2%
Q4 - 0:48.0CHAWalker Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)93
52.4%
92
47.6%
Q4 - 1:01CHAHornets Rebound93
68.3%
92
31.7%
Q4 - 1:02CHADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)93
56.7%
92
43.3%
Q4 - 1:11MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)93
66.7%
92
33.3%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 293
69.3%
91
30.7%
Q4 - 1:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
64.4%
91
35.6%
Q4 - 1:17CHAMISS Jefferson 9' Jump Shot93
68.7%
91
31.3%
Q4 - 1:36CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
74.7%
91
25.3%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot93
71.1%
91
28.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)93
61.6%
91
38.4%
Q4 - 1:57CHAMISS Neal 18' Pullup Jump Shot93
65.4%
91
34.6%
Q4 - 2:18CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)93
74.4%
91
25.6%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Deng 3' Turnaround Jump Shot93
70.4%
91
29.6%
Q4 - 2:31CHANeal 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)93
59.8%
91
40.2%
Q4 - 2:54MIANapier Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T16)91
51.4%
91
48.6%
Q4 - 3:05CHAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)91
37.4%
91
62.6%
Q4 - 3:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
23.1%
91
76.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
24.6%
90
75.4%
Q4 - 3:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
30.6%
89
69.4%
Q4 - 3:40CHAShaw. Williams BLOCK (2 BLK)88
33.2%
89
66.8%
Q4 - 3:59CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
39.5%
89
60.5%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
36.6%
89
63.4%
Q4 - 4:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
30.2%
89
69.8%
Q4 - 4:12CHAMISS Stephenson 21' Jump Shot88
32.9%
89
67.1%
Q4 - 4:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)88
39.5%
89
60.5%
Q4 - 4:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
41.4%
88
58.6%
Q4 - 4:45CHAStephenson 12' Driving Jump Shot (17 PTS)88
48.0%
87
52.0%
Q4 - 5:12MIANapier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 10 AST)86
39.3%
87
60.7%
Q4 - 5:25CHANeal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)86
55.0%
84
45.0%
Q4 - 5:42MIANapier Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
63.7%
84
36.3%
Q4 - 5:42MIANapier Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)86
65.4%
83
34.6%
Q4 - 5:44CHANapier STEAL (2 STL)86
70.4%
82
29.6%
Q4 - 5:55MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Napier 3 AST)86
77.4%
82
22.6%
Q4 - 6:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
83.5%
79
16.5%
Q4 - 6:13CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 2 of 286
84.1%
79
15.9%
Q4 - 6:13CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
86.4%
79
13.6%
Q4 - 6:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)85
84.2%
79
15.8%
Q4 - 6:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)85
85.0%
78
15.0%
Q4 - 6:42CHARoberts 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)85
87.4%
77
12.6%
Q4 - 6:54CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)83
84.3%
77
15.7%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot83
82.9%
77
17.1%
Q4 - 7:17CHAJefferson 2' Layup (22 PTS) (Zeller 3 AST)83
76.7%
77
23.3%
Q4 - 7:28MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)81
72.0%
77
28.0%
Q4 - 7:28MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)81
73.1%
76
26.9%
Q4 - 7:43CHANeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)81
76.8%
75
23.2%
Q4 - 7:52CHANeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
66.2%
75
33.8%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
64.1%
75
35.9%
Q4 - 8:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
57.9%
75
42.1%
Q4 - 8:06CHABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)78
59.8%
75
40.2%
Q4 - 8:24CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
64.1%
75
35.9%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
62.2%
75
37.8%
Q4 - 8:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
57.9%
75
42.1%
Q4 - 8:46CHAMISS Neal 12' Jump Shot78
59.9%
75
40.1%
Q4 - 9:06MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)78
62.5%
75
37.5%
Q4 - 9:25CHABiyombo 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)78
72.8%
72
27.2%
Q4 - 9:41MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)78
77.4%
72
22.6%
Q4 - 10:02MIAHEAT Rebound78
70.8%
72
29.2%
Q4 - 10:03CHAMISS Neal 19' Jump Shot78
72.3%
72
27.7%
Q4 - 10:16MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P5.T14)78
75.4%
72
24.6%
Q4 - 10:35CHANeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Roberts 2 AST)78
71.0%
72
29.0%
Q4 - 10:46MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)75
61.1%
72
38.9%
Q4 - 10:58CHANeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)75
71.0%
69
29.0%
Q4 - 11:02CHARoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
59.8%
69
40.2%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot72
58.2%
69
41.8%
Q4 - 11:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
54.4%
69
45.6%
Q4 - 11:24CHAMISS Roberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
56.1%
69
43.9%
Q4 - 11:38MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
59.9%
69
40.1%
Q4 - 11:38MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
61.0%
68
39.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
64.8%
67
35.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound72
64.8%
67
35.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
66.7%
67
33.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
63.6%
67
36.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0CHAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot72
65.0%
67
35.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
68.2%
67
31.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
66.8%
67
33.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0CHAWilliams 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)72
63.7%
67
36.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)70
58.8%
67
41.2%
Q3 - 1:13CHAWalker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
52.8%
67
47.2%
Q3 - 1:26CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
48.1%
67
51.9%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Napier 20' Jump Shot68
46.6%
67
53.4%
Q3 - 1:41CHABiyombo Foul Turnover (P1.T7)68
43.1%
67
56.9%
Q3 - 1:57CHAHornets Rebound68
48.1%
67
51.9%
Q3 - 1:58MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
46.6%
67
53.4%
Q3 - 2:18CHAChalmers STEAL (1 STL)68
42.4%
67
57.6%
Q3 - 2:29MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)68
47.2%
67
52.8%
Q3 - 2:29MIAHEAT Rebound68
42.4%
67
57.6%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS Napier 9' Jump Shot68
45.8%
67
54.2%
Q3 - 2:54CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
42.4%
67
57.6%
Q3 - 2:54CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
41.3%
67
58.7%
Q3 - 3:01MIAEnnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)66
38.2%
67
61.8%
Q3 - 3:20CHAWalker 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Henderson 3 AST)66
33.8%
67
66.2%
Q3 - 3:36MIANapier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)64
30.2%
67
69.8%
Q3 - 3:48CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
37.9%
64
62.1%
Q3 - 3:48CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
37.2%
64
62.8%
Q3 - 4:04MIANapier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)62
34.3%
64
65.7%
Q3 - 4:31CHAJefferson 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)62
41.5%
61
58.5%
Q3 - 4:48CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
38.2%
61
61.8%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot60
36.8%
61
63.2%
Q3 - 5:06MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
33.6%
61
66.4%
Q3 - 5:07CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
34.9%
61
65.1%
Q3 - 5:20MIADeng 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)60
37.9%
61
62.1%
Q3 - 5:37MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
41.2%
59
58.8%
Q3 - 5:38CHAMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot60
42.6%
59
57.4%
Q3 - 5:57CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
45.9%
59
54.1%
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot60
44.5%
59
55.5%
Q3 - 6:08MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
40.8%
59
59.2%
Q3 - 6:09CHAMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot60
42.2%
59
57.8%
Q3 - 6:30MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)60
45.3%
59
54.7%
Q3 - 6:51CHAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stephenson 5 AST)60
48.7%
57
51.3%
Q3 - 7:11CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
40.9%
57
59.1%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Brown 2' Driving Layup57
39.7%
57
60.3%
Q3 - 7:35MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
36.8%
57
63.2%
Q3 - 7:36CHAMISS Stephenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q3 - 7:51CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
41.0%
57
59.0%
Q3 - 7:52MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup57
39.7%
57
60.3%
Q3 - 8:13CHAStephenson 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
36.7%
57
63.3%
Q3 - 8:37MIAShaw. Williams 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)55
33.8%
57
66.2%
Q3 - 8:57CHAJefferson 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)55
36.7%
55
63.3%
Q3 - 9:07CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
33.4%
55
66.6%
Q3 - 9:08MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot53
32.4%
55
67.6%
Q3 - 9:24CHAStephenson 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)53
30.1%
55
69.9%
Q3 - 9:39CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
27.3%
55
72.7%
Q3 - 9:40MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot51
26.4%
55
73.6%
Q3 - 10:01MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
24.5%
55
75.5%
Q3 - 10:02CHAShaw. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)51
25.3%
55
74.7%
Q3 - 10:14MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)51
27.3%
55
72.7%
Q3 - 10:27CHAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST)51
30.1%
53
69.9%
Q3 - 10:34MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)48
24.5%
53
75.5%
Q3 - 10:50CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)48
22.0%
53
78.0%
Q3 - 10:59MIABrown Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)45
17.5%
53
82.5%
Q3 - 11:19CHAStephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
16.0%
53
84.0%
Q3 - 11:19CHAMISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 244
15.5%
53
84.5%
Q3 - 11:22MIABrown Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)44
16.0%
53
84.0%
Q3 - 11:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
14.2%
53
85.8%
Q3 - 11:34CHAMISS Stephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
16.0%
53
84.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
15.2%
53
84.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
15.6%
53
84.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)44
16.4%
53
83.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
20.9%
50
79.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0CHAMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot44
21.4%
50
78.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
22.5%
50
77.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Deng 8' Fadeaway Jumper44
22.0%
50
78.0%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
21.6%
50
78.4%
Q2 - 1:11CHAMISS Jefferson Tip Shot44
21.9%
50
78.1%
Q2 - 1:12CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
22.8%
50
77.2%
Q2 - 1:13CHAMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot44
21.9%
50
78.1%
Q2 - 1:30CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
22.8%
50
77.2%
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot44
22.4%
50
77.6%
Q2 - 1:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
21.5%
50
78.5%
Q2 - 2:00CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Driving Layup44
21.9%
50
78.1%
Q2 - 2:11MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)44
23.4%
50
76.6%
Q2 - 2:32CHAStephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)44
21.4%
50
78.6%
Q2 - 2:59MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)41
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 3:19CHAStephenson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)41
21.5%
47
78.5%
Q2 - 3:32MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)41
23.9%
47
76.1%
Q2 - 3:48CHAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)41
25.8%
45
74.2%
Q2 - 3:48CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)40
25.2%
45
74.8%
Q2 - 4:00MIADeng 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)39
23.9%
45
76.1%
Q2 - 4:18CHAStephenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)39
26.1%
43
73.9%
Q2 - 4:20CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 4:21CHAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot36
20.6%
43
79.4%
Q2 - 4:28CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 4:29CHAMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
20.6%
43
79.4%
Q2 - 4:38CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 4:39CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
20.6%
43
79.4%
Q2 - 4:56MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)36
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 5:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
24.2%
41
75.8%
Q2 - 5:14CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 5:22CHAHornets Rebound36
26.3%
41
73.7%
Q2 - 5:23CHAMISS Roberts 9' Floating Jump Shot36
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 5:41MIABosh 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)36
26.3%
41
73.7%
Q2 - 5:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
28.5%
39
71.5%
Q2 - 5:43MIAMISS Bosh 8' Hook Shot36
30.1%
39
69.8%
Q2 - 6:01CHAStephenson 14' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
28.5%
39
71.5%
Q2 - 6:17MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)34
26.8%
39
73.2%
Q2 - 6:30MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
30.8%
36
69.2%
Q2 - 6:31CHAMISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 134
31.2%
36
68.8%
Q2 - 6:40MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)32
29.0%
36
71.0%
Q2 - 6:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
26.4%
36
73.6%
Q2 - 6:48CHAMISS Zeller 2' Reverse Layup32
27.1%
36
72.9%
Q2 - 7:02CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
29.0%
36
71.0%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 232
28.7%
36
71.3%
Q2 - 7:03MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)32
27.2%
36
72.8%
Q2 - 7:03MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
28.8%
35
71.2%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS McRoberts 19' Jump Shot32
30.5%
35
69.5%
Q2 - 7:28CHAZeller 8' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Roberts 1 AST)32
28.8%
35
71.2%
Q2 - 7:45MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)30
26.9%
35
73.1%
Q2 - 7:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
31.0%
32
69.0%
Q2 - 7:57CHAMISS Neal 19' Jump Shot30
31.8%
32
68.2%
Q2 - 8:18MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
33.3%
32
66.7%
Q2 - 8:43CHAZeller 2' Layup (6 PTS)30
31.0%
32
69.0%
Q2 - 9:09MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)28
29.0%
32
71.0%
Q2 - 9:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
30.8%
30
69.2%
Q2 - 9:24CHAMISS Neal 21' Jump Shot28
31.5%
30
68.5%
Q2 - 9:41MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)28
33.3%
30
66.7%
Q2 - 9:48MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
37.6%
27
62.4%
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
39.5%
27
60.5%
Q2 - 10:07CHANeal 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)28
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q2 - 10:19MIADeng 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)26
35.7%
27
64.3%
Q2 - 10:41CHAZeller 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)26
37.5%
25
62.5%
Q2 - 10:56MIAHaslem 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)24
35.7%
25
64.3%
Q2 - 11:11CHAStephenson Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)24
37.5%
23
62.5%
Q2 - 11:13CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
39.9%
23
60.1%
Q2 - 11:14MIAMISS McRoberts 6' Hook Shot24
39.2%
23
60.8%
Q2 - 11:36CHAZeller 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
37.6%
23
62.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA22
35.4%
23
64.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAHornets Rebound22
35.4%
23
64.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Roberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
33.8%
23
66.2%
Q1 - 0:16.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
35.0%
23
65.0%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Napier 22' Jump Shot22
34.5%
23
65.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0CHAJefferson 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)22
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
30.8%
23
69.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
30.4%
23
69.6%
Q1 - 1:12CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
29.4%
23
70.6%
Q1 - 1:20CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
27.1%
23
72.9%
Q1 - 1:21MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot18
26.7%
23
73.3%
Q1 - 1:37CHAJefferson 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)18
25.7%
23
74.3%
Q1 - 1:55MIANapier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)16
23.6%
23
76.4%
Q1 - 2:14CHANeal Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)16
27.5%
20
72.5%
Q1 - 2:26MIAChalmers 4' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q1 - 2:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
31.3%
18
68.7%
Q1 - 2:40CHAMISS Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
31.8%
18
68.2%
Q1 - 2:59MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
33.1%
18
66.9%
Q1 - 2:59MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
33.6%
17
66.4%
Q1 - 3:02MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 3:03CHAMISS Neal 1' Driving Reverse Layup16
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q1 - 3:21MIABrown Foul Turnover (P1.T4)16
37.3%
16
62.7%
Q1 - 3:43CHAJefferson 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)16
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 3:53CHANeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
33.3%
16
66.7%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
32.6%
16
67.4%
Q1 - 4:04CHANapier STEAL (1 STL)14
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 4:22MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)14
33.2%
16
66.8%
Q1 - 4:42CHAHenderson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)14
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 4:56MIADeng 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)11
27.6%
16
72.4%
Q1 - 5:09MIAHEAT Rebound11
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 5:10CHAMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot11
29.9%
14
70.1%
Q1 - 5:31MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)11
31.2%
14
68.8%
Q1 - 5:42MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
32.9%
12
67.1%
Q1 - 5:43CHAMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
33.5%
12
66.5%
Q1 - 5:54CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
34.9%
12
65.1%
Q1 - 5:55MIAMISS Napier 17' Jump Shot11
34.3%
12
65.7%
Q1 - 6:15CHAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Henderson 2 AST)11
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 6:29CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
31.2%
12
68.8%
Q1 - 6:30MIAMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot9
30.6%
12
69.4%
Q1 - 6:42MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
29.4%
12
70.6%
Q1 - 6:43CHAMISS Henderson 3PT Jump Shot9
29.9%
12
70.1%
Q1 - 6:56MIANapier Foul Turnover (P1.T2)9
31.2%
12
68.8%
Q1 - 7:07MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
29.3%
12
70.7%
Q1 - 7:08CHAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot9
29.9%
12
70.1%
Q1 - 7:20MIADeng 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)9
31.2%
12
68.8%
Q1 - 7:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
32.7%
10
67.3%
Q1 - 7:27CHAMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 7:43MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)9
34.6%
10
65.4%
Q1 - 7:56CHAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
36.1%
8
63.9%
Q1 - 7:56CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 28
35.7%
8
64.3%
Q1 - 8:10MIAChalmers 8' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
36.3%
8
63.7%
Q1 - 8:36CHAHenderson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 8:47CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
36.3%
6
63.7%
Q1 - 8:48MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot6
35.7%
6
64.3%
Q1 - 9:08MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 9:09CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
34.9%
6
65.1%
Q1 - 9:19CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
36.2%
6
63.8%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Deng 1' Driving Layup6
35.7%
6
64.3%
Q1 - 9:34CHAWalker 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 9:55MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)4
32.8%
6
67.2%
Q1 - 10:01MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 10:02CHAChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)4
34.9%
4
65.1%
Q1 - 10:17MIAChalmers 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 10:36CHABrown STEAL (1 STL)4
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 10:43CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot4
39.1%
2
60.9%
Q1 - 10:56CHAJefferson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 11:11MIABosh 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 11:28CHAJefferson 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)2
37.7%
0
62.3%
Q1 - 11:43MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Jefferson: Tip to Chalmers0
34.2%
0
65.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.07 53.4%
MIA
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
12
22
55%
MIA
9
13
69%
Midrange
CHA
18
36
50%
MIA
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
MIA
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
Free Throws
CHA
12
16
75%
MIA
17
19
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson2258%11.0 / 19
L. Stephenson1757%8.5 / 15
K. Walker1650%8.0 / 16
G. Neal1359%6.5 / 11
C. Zeller1161%5.5 / 9
M. Williams770%3.5 / 5
G. Henderson550%2.5 / 5
B. Roberts220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng2681%13.0 / 16
M. Chalmers2077%10.0 / 13
C. Bosh2048%10.0 / 21
S. Napier1470%7.0 / 10
S. Williams563%2.5 / 4
U. Haslem467%2.0 / 3
J. McRoberts330%1.5 / 5
J. Ennis III2100%1.0 / 1
S. Brown0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
78
+9
-11
87
MIA
73
+5
-16
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.07 53.4%
MIA
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.5
103.9
CHA 104.5
MIA 105.6 +1.1
Pace
92.7
91.0
CHA 94.9 +10.2
MIA 84.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.3
CHA 15.2 +1.8
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.6%
50.0%
CHA 51.3%
MIA 58.3% +7.0%
TO %
11.9%
15.2%
CHA 11.3% +7.3%
MIA 18.6%
ORB %
22.2%
23.3%
CHA 13.2% +3.5%
MIA 9.7%
FTrt
26.9
30.6
CHA 20.3
MIA 28.8 +8.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.8%
56.4%
CHA 48.6%
MIA 57.6% +9.0%
STL %
6.5%
8.6%
CHA 10.1% +5.6%
MIA 4.5%
BLK %
8.9%
8.0%
CHA 2.3%
MIA 8.6% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
52.2%
CHA 53.4%
MIA 60.3% +6.9%
Rim FG%
53.5%
59.7%
CHA 54.5%
MIA 69.2% +14.7%
Mid FG%
39.2%
40.9%
CHA 50.0% +6.7%
MIA 43.3%
3P %
31.8%
33.5%
CHA 33.3%
MIA 47.8% +14.5%
FT %
74.8%
74.1%
CHA 75.0%
MIA 89.5% +14.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
35.1%
CHA 27.8% +8.2%
MIA 19.7%
Mid Att. %
46.1%
38.7%
CHA 45.6%
MIA 45.5% +0.1%
3P Att. %
22.6%
26.2%
CHA 26.6%
MIA 34.8% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes22.525.2
Points9394
Rebounds3336
Assists1819
Steals94
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)3 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)33 (2)
Field Goals37-7933-66
At-the-Rim FG12-229-13
Midrange FG18-3613-30
2-Point FG30-5822-43
3-Point FG7-2111-23
Free Throws12-1617-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 184 · 25
35.8
16
50%
7
4
3
0
3
3
2
5
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
2-6
33%
C · 6'10" 280 · 30
34.1
22
58%
12
0
2
0
0
0
3
9
4-5
80%
9-17
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 230 · 24
33.4
17
57%
6
5
1
0
3
5
0
6
2-4
50%
6-8
75%
1-6
17%
F · 6'9" 237 · 28
24.5
7
70%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'5" 215 · 27
21.0
5
50%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 210 · 30
31.1
13
59%
2
0
0
0
3
5
0
2
1-1
100%
3-9
33%
2-2
100%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22
30.9
11
61%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 173 · 29
15.6
2
20%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
C · 6'9" 255 · 22
13.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 32
· 6'7" 225 · 26
G · 6'1" 185 · 35
F · 6'9" 245 · 19
#14 · F · 6'7" 232 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#19 · F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
53%
33
18
9
1
11
0
5
28
12-16
75%
30-58
52%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.