FinalWin Prob.pScore
2838%97
95
2462%102
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
104.49197.4
DET logo DET
108.99085.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET95
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)93
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 293
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILSmith STEAL (2 STL)93
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETSmith 1' Layup (14 PTS)93
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)93
5.9%
95
94.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 1' Layup93
13.3%
95
86.7%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILKnight 1' Layup (15 PTS)93
8.2%
95
91.8%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILKnight REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILMISS Parker 2' Tip Shot91
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
5.8%
95
94.2%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Driving Layup91
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 0:44.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
6.4%
95
93.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
5.2%
95
94.8%
Q4 - 1:07MILParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)91
4.6%
95
95.4%
Q4 - 1:13DETMonroe 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)91
9.5%
95
90.5%
Q4 - 1:28MILParker Dunk (18 PTS)91
16.4%
93
83.6%
Q4 - 1:30DETCaldwell-Pope Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)89
11.1%
93
88.9%
Q4 - 1:49MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)89
7.8%
93
92.2%
Q4 - 1:49MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)88
7.0%
93
93.0%
Q4 - 1:54MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
5.1%
93
94.9%
Q4 - 1:55DETMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot87
4.4%
93
95.6%
Q4 - 2:12DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
3.3%
93
96.7%
Q4 - 2:13MILMISS Knight 20' Jump Shot87
4.0%
93
96.0%
Q4 - 2:27DETCaldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)87
6.5%
93
93.5%
Q4 - 2:49MILParker Layup (16 PTS) (Marshall 4 AST)87
12.3%
90
87.7%
Q4 - 2:54MILMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
10.8%
90
89.2%
Q4 - 2:55DETMISS Drummond 3' Layup85
9.2%
90
90.8%
Q4 - 3:19MILAntetokounmpo Driving Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Knight 9 AST)85
6.3%
90
93.7%
Q4 - 3:32MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
6.9%
90
93.1%
Q4 - 3:33DETMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
6.1%
90
93.9%
Q4 - 4:02MILJennings STEAL (2 STL)83
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q4 - 4:04MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
6.3%
90
93.7%
Q4 - 4:04MILMISS Sanders 1' Layup83
4.9%
90
95.1%
Q4 - 4:08MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
6.3%
90
93.7%
Q4 - 4:10MILMISS Knight 15' Jump Shot83
4.8%
90
95.2%
Q4 - 4:18MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
6.3%
90
93.7%
Q4 - 4:19DETMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot83
5.6%
90
94.4%
Q4 - 4:39MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Knight 8 AST)83
4.2%
90
95.8%
Q4 - 4:56DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)81
3.0%
90
97.0%
Q4 - 4:59DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q4 - 5:00MILSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)81
4.7%
88
95.3%
Q4 - 5:21DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
8.0%
88
92.0%
Q4 - 5:21DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 281
8.9%
87
91.1%
Q4 - 5:25DETSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)81
7.7%
87
92.3%
Q4 - 5:27DETMISS Smith 1' Layup81
9.7%
87
90.3%
Q4 - 5:40MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)81
7.7%
87
92.3%
Q4 - 5:40MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)80
7.4%
87
92.6%
Q4 - 6:07DETButler 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)79
7.2%
87
92.8%
Q4 - 6:22DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q4 - 6:23MILMISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot79
9.9%
85
90.1%
Q4 - 6:44DETAugustin Traveling Turnover (P2.T18)79
12.3%
85
87.7%
Q4 - 6:45DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q4 - 6:47MILMISS Bayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
9.9%
85
90.1%
Q4 - 6:56MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
12.2%
85
87.8%
Q4 - 6:57DETMISS Monroe 4' Hook Shot79
11.1%
85
88.9%
Q4 - 7:15DETPISTONS Rebound79
10.4%
85
89.6%
Q4 - 7:16MILSingler BLOCK (1 BLK)79
11.3%
85
88.7%
Q4 - 7:32DETMonroe Layup (8 PTS)79
13.5%
85
86.5%
Q4 - 7:33DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)79
16.7%
83
83.3%
Q4 - 7:34DETMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot79
19.9%
83
80.1%
Q4 - 7:52DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
16.6%
83
83.4%
Q4 - 7:53MILMISS Mayo 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
18.0%
83
82.0%
Q4 - 8:10MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
22.4%
83
77.6%
Q4 - 8:11DETMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
21.0%
83
79.0%
Q4 - 8:22MILDudley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)79
18.2%
83
81.8%
Q4 - 8:22MILMISS Dudley Free Throw 1 of 278
17.3%
83
82.7%
Q4 - 8:37DETButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)78
18.2%
83
81.8%
Q4 - 9:04MILMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)78
27.8%
80
72.2%
Q4 - 9:27DETMonroe 6' Hook Bank Shot (6 PTS)75
19.4%
80
80.6%
Q4 - 9:52MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)75
23.2%
78
76.8%
Q4 - 9:52MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 274
22.1%
78
77.9%
Q4 - 9:56MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
23.4%
78
76.6%
Q4 - 9:57DETMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
22.0%
78
78.0%
Q4 - 10:11DETPISTONS Rebound74
20.0%
78
80.0%
Q4 - 10:11DETMISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
22.7%
78
77.3%
Q4 - 10:22DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
20.0%
78
80.0%
Q4 - 10:23MILMISS Mayo 8' Jump Shot74
21.2%
78
78.8%
Q4 - 10:37DETAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)74
24.0%
78
76.0%
Q4 - 10:52MILBayless 1' Layup (6 PTS)74
20.0%
78
80.0%
Q4 - 11:10MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
17.5%
78
82.5%
Q4 - 11:11DETMISS Jerebko 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
16.5%
78
83.5%
Q4 - 11:20MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T10)72
14.5%
78
85.5%
Q4 - 11:45DETMonroe 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)72
17.4%
78
82.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL72
20.6%
76
79.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound72
24.5%
76
75.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 15' Running Jump Shot72
22.4%
76
77.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETJennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)72
24.9%
76
75.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0MILPachulia 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)72
33.3%
73
66.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0MILBucks Rebound70
28.9%
73
71.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0MILDrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)70
26.1%
73
73.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0DETJerebko 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)70
28.9%
73
71.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0MILJerebko STEAL (1 STL)70
33.2%
71
66.8%
Q3 - 1:18DETDrummond Layup (11 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)70
37.8%
71
62.2%
Q3 - 1:40MILKnight 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
42.4%
69
57.6%
Q3 - 1:57DETJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
37.8%
69
62.2%
Q3 - 2:08DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)68
46.1%
66
53.9%
Q3 - 2:09MILMISS Parker 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
47.6%
66
52.4%
Q3 - 2:30DETJennings 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)68
51.0%
66
49.0%
Q3 - 2:47MILKnight 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)68
59.9%
63
40.1%
Q3 - 3:03MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
50.4%
63
49.6%
Q3 - 3:04DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 265
49.8%
63
50.2%
Q3 - 3:04DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 265
47.7%
63
52.3%
Q3 - 3:19MILKnight 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)65
45.7%
63
54.3%
Q3 - 3:31DETButler Foul Turnover (P2.T16)63
41.6%
63
58.4%
Q3 - 3:53MILIlyasova 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)63
37.1%
63
62.9%
Q3 - 3:59DETButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)61
33.3%
63
66.7%
Q3 - 4:20MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
29.1%
63
70.9%
Q3 - 4:20MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
28.5%
63
71.5%
Q3 - 4:30MILKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
26.4%
63
73.6%
Q3 - 4:31DETMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot59
25.2%
63
74.8%
Q3 - 4:54MILSanders Dunk (7 PTS) (Marshall 3 AST)59
22.6%
63
77.4%
Q3 - 5:00DETSmith 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS)57
20.3%
63
79.7%
Q3 - 5:20MILMarshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)57
23.0%
61
77.0%
Q3 - 5:35DETCaldwell-Pope 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)54
18.0%
61
82.0%
Q3 - 5:50MILIlyasova Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Sanders 2 AST)54
20.2%
59
79.8%
Q3 - 6:06MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
18.4%
59
81.6%
Q3 - 6:07MILMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot52
16.6%
59
83.4%
Q3 - 6:21DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)52
18.4%
59
81.6%
Q3 - 6:21DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 252
19.6%
58
80.4%
Q3 - 6:31MILIlyasova 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)52
18.0%
58
82.0%
Q3 - 6:34MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q3 - 6:35MILMISS Marshall 4' Jump Shot50
14.5%
58
85.5%
Q3 - 6:56DETMonroe Foul Turnover (P4.T14)50
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q3 - 6:56DETSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
13.8%
58
86.2%
Q3 - 6:56DETMISS Monroe 1' Tip Shot50
15.4%
58
84.6%
Q3 - 6:56DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)50
13.8%
58
86.2%
Q3 - 6:56DETMISS Drummond 6' Jump Shot50
15.4%
58
84.6%
Q3 - 7:20MILKnight Foul Turnover (P3.T8)50
14.2%
58
85.8%
Q3 - 7:36DETSmith 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
16.4%
58
83.6%
Q3 - 7:54MILParker Dunk (14 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST)50
18.3%
56
81.7%
Q3 - 8:01MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
16.8%
56
83.2%
Q3 - 8:02DETMISS Jennings 7' Jump Shot48
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q3 - 8:25MILParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)48
14.5%
56
85.5%
Q3 - 8:35MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
16.7%
56
83.3%
Q3 - 8:36DETMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot48
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q3 - 8:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)48
14.4%
56
85.6%
Q3 - 8:49MILMISS Ilyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
15.1%
56
84.9%
Q3 - 9:09DETCaldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)48
16.9%
56
83.1%
Q3 - 9:39MILSanders Reverse Dunk (5 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)48
21.2%
53
78.8%
Q3 - 9:45DETMonroe Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)46
19.0%
53
81.0%
Q3 - 10:01MILParker Driving Dunk (12 PTS)46
17.0%
53
83.0%
Q3 - 10:14DETSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)44
15.1%
53
84.9%
Q3 - 10:20DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
13.3%
53
86.7%
Q3 - 10:21MILMISS Ilyasova 19' Jump Shot44
13.9%
53
86.1%
Q3 - 10:33DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)44
15.1%
53
84.9%
Q3 - 10:50DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
13.3%
53
86.7%
Q3 - 10:51MILMISS Marshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
13.9%
53
86.1%
Q3 - 11:15DETSmith 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS)44
15.5%
53
84.5%
Q3 - 11:18DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
17.3%
51
82.7%
Q3 - 11:21DETMISS Jennings 7' Floating Jump Shot44
18.8%
51
81.2%
Q3 - 11:43DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
17.3%
51
82.7%
Q3 - 11:44MILMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot44
17.9%
51
82.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL44
19.4%
51
80.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound44
19.4%
51
80.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
18.7%
51
81.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)44
19.7%
51
80.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
22.5%
49
77.5%
Q2 - 0:08.0MILMISS Parker 18' Fadeaway Jumper44
23.0%
49
77.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0MILKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0DETMISS Butler 6' Running Jump Shot44
23.6%
49
76.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0MILKnight 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)44
22.4%
49
77.6%
Q2 - 1:03MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
20.0%
49
80.0%
Q2 - 1:04DETMISS Augustin Free Throw 2 of 242
19.8%
49
80.2%
Q2 - 1:04DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
18.2%
49
81.8%
Q2 - 1:20MILKnight Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)42
20.9%
48
79.1%
Q2 - 1:38DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q2 - 1:38DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
22.6%
47
77.4%
Q2 - 1:40MILButler STEAL (1 STL)42
25.4%
46
74.6%
Q2 - 2:05DETButler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)42
27.4%
46
72.6%
Q2 - 2:09DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
32.6%
43
67.4%
Q2 - 2:10MILMISS Knight 4' Jump Shot42
33.4%
43
66.6%
Q2 - 2:19DETMonroe Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)42
35.3%
43
64.7%
Q2 - 2:40MILBayless 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)42
32.6%
43
67.4%
Q2 - 2:55MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
29.8%
43
70.2%
Q2 - 2:55DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 240
29.5%
43
70.5%
Q2 - 2:55DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 240
28.3%
43
71.7%
Q2 - 3:21MILBayless Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)40
27.3%
43
72.7%
Q2 - 3:29DETAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
25.4%
43
74.6%
Q2 - 3:29DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
25.6%
42
74.4%
Q2 - 3:29DETAugustin Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)38
27.3%
41
72.7%
Q2 - 3:32MILAugustin STEAL (1 STL)38
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 3:36DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)38
32.7%
40
67.3%
Q2 - 3:50MILDudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)38
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 3:57MILKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
25.3%
40
74.7%
Q2 - 3:58DETMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
24.5%
40
75.5%
Q2 - 4:17DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
23.2%
40
76.8%
Q2 - 4:18MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Driving Layup35
23.8%
40
76.2%
Q2 - 4:36DETAugustin 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)35
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 4:53DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
29.8%
37
70.2%
Q2 - 4:54DETMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot35
31.6%
37
68.4%
Q2 - 5:21MILPachulia 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)35
30.0%
37
70.0%
Q2 - 5:42DETSingler Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Monroe 3 AST)33
27.7%
37
72.3%
Q2 - 5:53DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)33
30.0%
35
70.0%
Q2 - 5:54MILMISS Bayless 22' Jump Shot33
30.7%
35
69.3%
Q2 - 6:04DETDrummond Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)33
32.8%
35
67.2%
Q2 - 6:16DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
29.9%
35
70.1%
Q2 - 6:18MILMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
30.8%
35
69.2%
Q2 - 6:34MILMayo Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)33
32.8%
35
67.2%
Q2 - 6:45MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
30.4%
35
69.6%
Q2 - 6:46DETMISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot32
29.6%
35
70.4%
Q2 - 7:08MILMayo 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)32
28.0%
35
72.0%
Q2 - 7:33DETAugustin 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
26.0%
35
74.0%
Q2 - 7:47DETMISS Augustin Free Throw Technical30
27.9%
33
72.1%
Q2 - 8:05MILPachulia 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)30
27.9%
33
72.1%
Q2 - 8:19DETDrummond 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)28
26.0%
33
74.0%
Q2 - 8:44MILDudley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)28
27.9%
31
72.1%
Q2 - 8:48MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
24.0%
31
76.0%
Q2 - 8:49MILDrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)25
22.7%
31
77.3%
Q2 - 9:06DETJerebko Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)25
24.2%
31
75.8%
Q2 - 9:23DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)25
22.1%
31
77.9%
Q2 - 9:25MILMISS Mayo 15' Fadeaway Jumper25
22.7%
31
77.3%
Q2 - 9:33MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
24.2%
31
75.8%
Q2 - 9:35DETMISS Singler 7' Turnaround Jump Shot25
23.5%
31
76.5%
Q2 - 9:59MILHenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
22.1%
31
77.9%
Q2 - 9:59MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
21.4%
31
78.6%
Q2 - 9:59MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 10:00MILMISS Henson Alley Oop Layup23
19.4%
31
80.6%
Q2 - 10:12DETDrummond 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)23
20.9%
31
79.1%
Q2 - 10:30DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)23
22.3%
29
77.7%
Q2 - 10:30MILMISS Mayo 13' Jump Shot23
22.9%
29
77.1%
Q2 - 10:43MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
24.4%
29
75.6%
Q2 - 10:44DETMISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot23
23.7%
29
76.3%
Q2 - 10:55DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
22.3%
29
77.7%
Q2 - 10:56MILMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
22.9%
29
77.1%
Q2 - 11:19DETJerebko 5' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)23
24.4%
29
75.6%
Q2 - 11:48MILDudley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)23
26.2%
27
73.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET21
24.4%
27
75.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound21
22.6%
27
77.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Augustin 53' 3PT Jump Shot21
23.9%
27
76.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILHenson Layup (2 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)21
23.1%
27
76.9%
Q1 - 0:09.0MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.0%
27
79.0%
Q1 - 0:10.0DETMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
20.7%
27
79.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILDudley Foul Turnover (P1.T3)19
19.9%
27
80.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETSingler Foul Turnover (P2.T6)19
21.0%
27
79.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19.9%
27
80.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0MILMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
20.2%
27
79.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0MILKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
21.0%
27
79.0%
Q1 - 1:01MILAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)19
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q1 - 1:14DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)19
21.2%
27
78.8%
Q1 - 1:15DETPISTONS Rebound19
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q1 - 1:15DETMISS Augustin 4' Jump Shot19
20.9%
27
79.1%
Q1 - 1:38DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q1 - 1:39MILMISS Dudley 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q1 - 1:48DETSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)19
21.2%
27
78.8%
Q1 - 2:03MILAntetokounmpo Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q1 - 2:15DETSingler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)17
18.6%
27
81.4%
Q1 - 2:28MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
17.3%
27
82.7%
Q1 - 2:28MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
17.1%
27
82.9%
Q1 - 2:38DETJennings Foul Turnover (P1.T2)15
16.0%
27
84.0%
Q1 - 2:51DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
14.8%
27
85.2%
Q1 - 2:52MILMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 215
15.0%
27
85.0%
Q1 - 2:52MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)15
15.7%
27
84.3%
Q1 - 3:07DETJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q1 - 3:07DETMISS Jennings Free Throw 1 of 214
15.4%
26
84.6%
Q1 - 3:07DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q1 - 3:10MILMISS Henson 10' Jump Shot14
15.4%
26
84.6%
Q1 - 3:35DETSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T1)14
16.3%
26
83.7%
Q1 - 3:40DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q1 - 3:41MILMISS Ilyasova 18' Jump Shot14
15.4%
26
84.6%
Q1 - 3:57DETButler 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)14
16.3%
26
83.7%
Q1 - 4:13DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
17.6%
24
82.4%
Q1 - 4:14MILMISS Sanders 16' Jump Shot14
18.0%
24
82.0%
Q1 - 4:30DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)14
19.1%
24
80.9%
Q1 - 4:48MILParker Dunk (9 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)14
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q1 - 5:10DETButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)12
19.5%
22
80.5%
Q1 - 5:25MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)12
22.1%
19
77.9%
Q1 - 5:25MILMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 211
21.7%
19
78.3%
Q1 - 5:39DETJennings Layup (5 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)11
22.2%
19
77.8%
Q1 - 5:48DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
23.6%
17
76.4%
Q1 - 5:49MILMISS Knight 21' Jump Shot11
24.1%
17
75.9%
Q1 - 6:00DETCaldwell-Pope 5' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS)11
25.2%
17
74.8%
Q1 - 6:09DETPISTONS Rebound11
26.9%
15
73.1%
Q1 - 6:09DETMISS Monroe Layup11
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 6:10DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
26.9%
15
73.1%
Q1 - 6:11DETMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot11
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 6:14DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
26.9%
15
73.1%
Q1 - 6:15DETMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot11
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 6:34MILParker 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
26.9%
15
73.1%
Q1 - 6:43DETMonroe Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)9
25.5%
15
74.5%
Q1 - 7:10MILIlyasova 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)9
26.9%
13
73.1%
Q1 - 7:27MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
25.6%
13
74.4%
Q1 - 7:28DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
25.1%
13
74.9%
Q1 - 7:49MILSanders Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
23.9%
13
76.1%
Q1 - 7:49MILMISS Sanders Free Throw 1 of 26
23.4%
13
76.6%
Q1 - 7:49MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
24.1%
13
75.9%
Q1 - 7:51DETMISS Drummond Alley Oop Dunk6
23.6%
13
76.4%
Q1 - 7:54MILJennings STEAL (1 STL)6
22.5%
13
77.5%
Q1 - 7:56MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
24.1%
13
75.9%
Q1 - 8:00DETMISS Jennings 11' Jump Shot6
23.6%
13
76.4%
Q1 - 8:06MILSmith STEAL (1 STL)6
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 8:08MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
24.2%
13
75.8%
Q1 - 8:09DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 19' Jump Shot6
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 8:28DETPISTONS Rebound6
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 8:29MILMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
23.1%
13
76.9%
Q1 - 8:49DETDrummond 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)6
24.2%
13
75.8%
Q1 - 8:50DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)6
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 8:51DETMISS Smith 5' Floating Jump Shot6
26.6%
11
73.4%
Q1 - 9:12MILParker 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)6
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 9:29MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.2%
11
75.8%
Q1 - 9:30DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 24
24.0%
11
76.0%
Q1 - 9:30DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
23.3%
11
76.7%
Q1 - 9:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
24.1%
10
75.9%
Q1 - 9:35DETMISS Jennings 3PT Jump Shot4
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 9:50DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.1%
10
75.9%
Q1 - 9:50MILMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
24.5%
10
75.5%
Q1 - 10:03DETCaldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)4
25.6%
10
74.4%
Q1 - 10:21MILSanders Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)4
28.4%
7
71.6%
Q1 - 10:36DETDrummond Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
27.1%
7
72.9%
Q1 - 10:38DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
28.4%
5
71.6%
Q1 - 10:39DETMISS Smith 5' Hook Shot2
29.6%
5
70.4%
Q1 - 10:50DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.4%
5
71.6%
Q1 - 10:51MILMISS Marshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
29.0%
5
71.0%
Q1 - 11:10DETJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)2
29.9%
5
70.1%
Q1 - 11:30MILParker Dunk (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)2
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 11:43DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 11:43DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
32.1%
1
67.9%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Sanders: Tip to Smith0
33.2%
0
66.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.06 52.8%
DET
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
21
32
66%
DET
20
30
67%
Midrange
MIL
10
25
40%
DET
6
22
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
DET
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
Free Throws
MIL
18
23
78%
DET
13
24
54%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Parker1856%9.0 / 16
B. Knight1761%8.5 / 14
G. Antetokounmpo945%4.5 / 10
J. Dudley990%4.5 / 5
E. Ilyasova844%4.0 / 9
J. Bayless850%4.0 / 8
L. Sanders758%3.5 / 6
O. Mayo633%3.0 / 9
Z. Pachulia6100%3.0 / 3
J. Henson450%2.0 / 4
K. Marshall338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Caldwell-Pope1979%9.5 / 12
B. Jennings1558%7.5 / 13
J. Smith1437%7.0 / 19
C. Butler1478%7.0 / 9
A. Drummond1150%5.5 / 11
G. Monroe1063%5.0 / 8
D. Augustin950%4.5 / 9
J. Jerebko467%2.0 / 3
K. Singler250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
78
+12
-13
90
DET
72
+16
-18
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.06 52.8%
DET
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.1
105.1
MIL 104.4
DET 108.9 +4.5
Pace
93.7
93.1
MIL 97.4 +12.3
DET 85.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.6
MIL 14.8 +2.1
DET 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
48.2%
MIL 50.0%
DET 56.7% +6.7%
TO %
16.8%
13.5%
MIL 13.0% +5.2%
DET 18.2%
ORB %
25.5%
27.7%
MIL 24.3%
DET 31.6% +7.3%
FTrt
25.8
26.1
MIL 29.9
DET 32.0 +2.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
58.2%
MIL 72.2% +23.6%
DET 48.6%
STL %
10.1%
8.1%
MIL 11.0% +3.2%
DET 7.8%
BLK %
8.6%
7.6%
MIL 11.5% +2.7%
DET 8.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
50.0%
MIL 52.8%
DET 55.1% +2.3%
Rim FG%
56.4%
53.4%
MIL 65.6%
DET 66.7% +1.1%
Mid FG%
40.4%
37.8%
MIL 40.0% +12.7%
DET 27.3%
3P %
36.3%
34.4%
MIL 25.0%
DET 47.8% +22.8%
FT %
75.7%
70.3%
MIL 78.3% +24.1%
DET 54.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.8%
40.8%
MIL 41.6% +1.6%
DET 40.0%
Mid Att. %
37.8%
30.1%
MIL 32.5%
DET 29.3% +3.1%
3P Att. %
22.3%
29.0%
MIL 26.0%
DET 30.7% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes22.425.4
Points9598
Rebounds3540
Assists2618
Steals107
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)28 (2)
Field Goals36-7737-75
At-the-Rim FG21-3220-30
Midrange FG10-256-22
2-Point FG31-5726-52
3-Point FG5-2011-23
Free Throws18-2313-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 182 · 23
33.8
17
61%
6
9
0
0
5
2
2
4
6-6
100%
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 250 · 20
28.0
18
56%
5
1
3
0
4
1
2
3
2-4
50%
8-12
67%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 230 · 26
24.6
7
58%
5
2
3
3
1
5
2
3
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 23
21.3
3
38%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
20.8
8
44%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 243 · 20
27.2
9
45%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
21.6
8
50%
3
4
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 240 · 29
20.0
9
90%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
19.3
6
33%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 270 · 31
16.9
6
100%
4
1
2
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 229 · 24
6.4
4
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 222 · 23
· 6'4" 190 · 23
#17 · F · 6'8" 246 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
53%
35
26
10
6
13
0
9
26
18-23
78%
31-57
54%
5-20
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.