FinalWin Prob.pScore
931%93
92
169%100
94
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
95.896101.3
SAS logo SAS
96.99792.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS92
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLDiaw BLOCK (1 BLK)92
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)92
7.0%
94
93.0%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)92
8.1%
93
91.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLTeague 6' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS)92
28.7%
92
71.3%
Q4 - 0:17.0ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
16.8%
92
83.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 290
14.5%
92
85.5%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)90
8.6%
92
91.4%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)90
14.3%
91
85.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLDuncan BLOCK (6 BLK)90
19.2%
91
80.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T21)90
32.9%
91
67.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
18.7%
91
81.3%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Horford 12' Jump Shot90
22.6%
91
77.4%
Q4 - 1:01SASGinobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)90
33.9%
91
66.1%
Q4 - 1:01SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)90
36.0%
90
64.0%
Q4 - 1:01SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)90
38.6%
89
61.4%
Q4 - 1:16ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)90
60.1%
88
39.9%
Q4 - 1:27ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
47.1%
88
52.9%
Q4 - 1:28SASMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
42.5%
88
57.5%
Q4 - 1:48ATLCarroll 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Horford 6 AST)88
32.8%
88
67.2%
Q4 - 2:04ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
26.2%
88
73.8%
Q4 - 2:05SASMISS Duncan 1' Tip Shot86
22.6%
88
77.4%
Q4 - 2:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)86
15.7%
88
84.3%
Q4 - 2:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)86
15.7%
88
84.3%
Q4 - 2:05SASMISS Duncan 2' Tip Shot86
22.6%
88
77.4%
Q4 - 2:07SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot86
22.6%
88
77.4%
Q4 - 2:34SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
15.6%
88
84.4%
Q4 - 2:35ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
18.6%
88
81.4%
Q4 - 2:42SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T20)86
27.0%
88
73.0%
Q4 - 3:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)86
17.0%
88
83.0%
Q4 - 3:03ATLHorford 2' Tip Shot (8 PTS)86
17.0%
88
83.0%
Q4 - 3:04ATLMISS Teague 7' Running Jump Shot84
9.4%
88
90.6%
Q4 - 3:23ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
13.6%
88
86.4%
Q4 - 3:23SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 284
12.7%
88
87.3%
Q4 - 3:23SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 284
10.1%
88
89.9%
Q4 - 3:42SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
10.5%
88
89.5%
Q4 - 3:43ATLMISS Teague 3' Layup84
11.6%
88
88.4%
Q4 - 3:56SASGreen 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)84
14.6%
88
85.4%
Q4 - 4:13ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)84
19.2%
86
80.8%
Q4 - 4:24SASDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)81
10.3%
86
89.7%
Q4 - 4:24SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 281
11.2%
85
88.8%
Q4 - 4:27ATLDuncan STEAL (3 STL)81
10.0%
85
90.0%
Q4 - 4:30SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T19)81
14.4%
85
85.6%
Q4 - 4:51ATLCarroll Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)81
9.9%
85
90.1%
Q4 - 4:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
14.3%
85
85.7%
Q4 - 5:01ATLMISS Korver 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
12.9%
85
87.1%
Q4 - 5:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
15.9%
85
84.1%
Q4 - 5:15SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
14.5%
85
85.5%
Q4 - 5:28SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
11.6%
85
88.4%
Q4 - 5:30ATLMISS Korver 19' Jump Shot81
12.8%
85
87.2%
Q4 - 5:49SASDiaw 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)81
15.9%
85
84.1%
Q4 - 5:58SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
20.4%
83
79.6%
Q4 - 5:59ATLMISS Scott 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
22.2%
83
77.8%
Q4 - 6:08ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
27.3%
83
72.7%
Q4 - 6:09SASMISS Ginobili 9' Floating Jump Shot81
25.2%
83
74.8%
Q4 - 6:34ATLScott 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)81
20.9%
83
79.1%
Q4 - 6:47SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
13.1%
83
86.9%
Q4 - 6:47SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
13.7%
82
86.3%
Q4 - 6:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)78
16.3%
81
83.7%
Q4 - 6:59ATLMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
17.8%
81
82.2%
Q4 - 7:06ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
22.1%
81
77.9%
Q4 - 7:07SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot78
20.5%
81
79.5%
Q4 - 7:16ATLSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)78
17.3%
81
82.7%
Q4 - 7:16ATLSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)77
16.5%
81
83.5%
Q4 - 7:27SASLeonard 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)76
14.0%
81
86.0%
Q4 - 7:38ATLHorford Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)76
17.2%
79
82.8%
Q4 - 7:51SASDuncan 3' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)76
22.0%
79
78.0%
Q4 - 7:59ATLSchroder Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)76
26.6%
77
73.4%
Q4 - 8:11SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
22.6%
77
77.4%
Q4 - 8:11SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 274
23.4%
76
76.6%
Q4 - 8:32ATLSchroder 4' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS)74
22.5%
76
77.5%
Q4 - 8:50ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
18.3%
76
81.7%
Q4 - 8:51SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot72
17.2%
76
82.8%
Q4 - 9:13ATLScott 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)72
15.7%
76
84.3%
Q4 - 9:25ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
12.9%
76
87.1%
Q4 - 9:26SASMISS Daye 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
12.1%
76
87.9%
Q4 - 9:38SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q4 - 9:39ATLMISS Schroder 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
11.1%
76
88.9%
Q4 - 9:47ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
12.8%
76
87.2%
Q4 - 9:48SASMISS Ginobili 11' Running Jump Shot70
12.0%
76
88.0%
Q4 - 10:09ATLSchroder 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)70
11.0%
76
89.0%
Q4 - 10:20SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
9.1%
76
90.9%
Q4 - 10:20SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
9.4%
75
90.6%
Q4 - 10:39ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)68
11.0%
74
89.0%
Q4 - 10:46SASDaye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)65
7.3%
74
92.7%
Q4 - 10:56ATLScott 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)65
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q4 - 11:01ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 11:02ATLMISS Horford 6' Jump Shot62
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q4 - 11:20SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)62
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 11:24ATLGreen STEAL (1 STL)62
6.5%
71
93.5%
Q4 - 11:36SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)62
7.9%
71
92.1%
Q4 - 11:40SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
11.6%
68
88.4%
Q4 - 11:42SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot62
13.3%
68
86.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL62
11.6%
68
88.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
14.1%
68
85.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Joseph 4' Floating Jump Shot62
13.3%
68
86.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)62
12.2%
68
87.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLAyres BLOCK (1 BLK)62
12.9%
68
87.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
13.8%
68
86.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
12.2%
68
87.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Bazemore 2' Layup62
12.9%
68
87.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASDiaw Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)62
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLSchroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)62
12.2%
68
87.8%
Q3 - 1:14SASJoseph 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ayres 1 AST)59
8.9%
68
91.1%
Q3 - 1:35SASAyres REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
12.6%
65
87.4%
Q3 - 1:36SASMISS Ayres 3' Layup59
14.2%
65
85.8%
Q3 - 2:00ATLAntic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)59
12.5%
65
87.5%
Q3 - 2:21ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 2:22SASMISS Diaw 4' Jump Shot56
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 2:31SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 2:32ATLMISS Millsap 4' Jump Bank Shot56
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q3 - 2:43SASGreen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T16)56
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 2:57SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 2:58ATLMISS Bazemore Free Throw 2 of 256
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 2:58ATLMISS Bazemore Free Throw 1 of 256
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 3:02ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q3 - 3:03SASMISS Diaw 2' Reverse Layup56
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 3:23ATLMillsap Dunk (14 PTS) (Bazemore 1 AST)56
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 3:29ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 3:30SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot54
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 3:53SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 3:54ATLMISS Antic 3' Layup54
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q3 - 4:12ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
7.6%
65
92.4%
Q3 - 4:13SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 254
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 4:13SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)54
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 4:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)54
7.4%
64
92.6%
Q3 - 4:25ATLMISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot54
7.8%
64
92.2%
Q3 - 4:32ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
8.9%
64
91.1%
Q3 - 4:32ATLMISS Millsap 2' Finger Roll Layup54
7.8%
64
92.2%
Q3 - 4:45SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)54
8.9%
64
91.1%
Q3 - 5:02ATLCarroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)54
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 5:12ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
7.9%
62
92.1%
Q3 - 5:13SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 5:35ATLAntic 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)51
6.6%
62
93.4%
Q3 - 5:54SASDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 5:54SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 249
6.0%
61
94.0%
Q3 - 6:08SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
6.0%
61
94.0%
Q3 - 6:09ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
6.3%
61
93.7%
Q3 - 6:28SASParker 13' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)49
7.1%
61
92.9%
Q3 - 6:35SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
8.0%
59
92.0%
Q3 - 6:36SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
9.0%
59
91.0%
Q3 - 6:41SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
8.0%
59
92.0%
Q3 - 6:42ATLMISS Millsap Layup49
8.4%
59
91.6%
Q3 - 7:01SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)49
9.7%
59
90.3%
Q3 - 7:15ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q3 - 7:15ATLCarroll 3' Layup (12 PTS)49
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q3 - 7:17ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q3 - 7:41SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)47
7.3%
59
92.7%
Q3 - 7:46ATLMillsap 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)47
9.5%
56
90.5%
Q3 - 8:12SASLeonard 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)45
8.7%
56
91.3%
Q3 - 8:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
9.7%
54
90.3%
Q3 - 8:20ATLMISS Horford 11' Jump Bank Shot45
10.2%
54
89.8%
Q3 - 8:37SASGinobili 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)45
11.4%
54
88.6%
Q3 - 8:55SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q3 - 8:56ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot45
13.3%
52
86.7%
Q3 - 9:06SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
14.7%
52
85.3%
Q3 - 9:06SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 245
15.1%
51
84.9%
Q3 - 9:14SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
14.7%
51
85.3%
Q3 - 9:15ATLMISS Millsap 8' Jump Shot45
15.2%
51
84.8%
Q3 - 9:29SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)45
16.6%
51
83.4%
Q3 - 9:29SASSPURS Rebound45
14.7%
51
85.3%
Q3 - 9:29SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q3 - 9:54ATLMillsap 8' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)45
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q3 - 10:18SASLeonard 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)43
13.0%
51
87.0%
Q3 - 10:34ATLCarroll 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)43
14.7%
49
85.3%
Q3 - 10:38ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
13.0%
49
87.0%
Q3 - 10:39SASMISS Leonard 13' Jump Shot41
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q3 - 10:50ATLMillsap 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)41
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q3 - 11:00ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q3 - 11:01SASMISS Duncan 8' Running Bank Shot39
10.0%
49
90.0%
Q3 - 11:25ATLTeague Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)39
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q3 - 11:28SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)39
10.4%
49
89.6%
Q3 - 11:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)39
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q3 - 11:42ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
9.5%
49
90.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS39
10.4%
49
89.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0ATLTeague 3' Driving Layup (3 PTS)39
9.8%
49
90.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
8.4%
49
91.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot37
8.2%
49
91.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLMillsap Dunk (6 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)37
7.7%
49
92.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)35
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 235
6.8%
48
93.2%
Q2 - 1:22ATLCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)35
7.2%
48
92.8%
Q2 - 1:34SASParker 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)32
5.4%
48
94.6%
Q2 - 1:53ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)32
6.4%
46
93.6%
Q2 - 2:10SASLeonard 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)30
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 2:32ATLKorver 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)30
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 2:50SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)28
5.8%
44
94.2%
Q2 - 2:56SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 2:56ATLMISS Horford 7' Jump Shot28
5.3%
44
94.7%
Q2 - 3:17ATLHawks Rebound28
6.1%
44
93.9%
Q2 - 3:19SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot28
5.9%
44
94.1%
Q2 - 3:31ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P3.T8)28
5.4%
44
94.6%
Q2 - 3:33SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)28
6.1%
44
93.9%
Q2 - 3:45ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
5.4%
44
94.6%
Q2 - 3:45ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 227
5.3%
44
94.7%
Q2 - 4:01SASGreen Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)27
5.7%
44
94.3%
Q2 - 4:18SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
5.1%
44
94.9%
Q2 - 4:20ATLDuncan BLOCK (5 BLK)27
5.3%
44
94.7%
Q2 - 4:33SASParker 3' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)27
5.7%
44
94.3%
Q2 - 4:40ATLSplitter STEAL (1 STL)27
6.3%
42
93.7%
Q2 - 4:49ATLHawks Rebound27
7.1%
42
92.9%
Q2 - 4:49ATLDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)27
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 5:03SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
7.3%
42
92.7%
Q2 - 5:03SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
7.5%
41
92.5%
Q2 - 5:16ATLMillsap 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)27
8.1%
40
91.9%
Q2 - 5:17ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
7.3%
40
92.7%
Q2 - 5:19ATLMISS Carroll 2' Layup25
6.8%
40
93.2%
Q2 - 5:37SASSplitter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)25
7.3%
40
92.7%
Q2 - 5:53SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
6.6%
40
93.4%
Q2 - 5:53ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
6.8%
40
93.2%
Q2 - 6:02SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
7.7%
40
92.3%
Q2 - 6:02SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
7.9%
39
92.1%
Q2 - 6:09SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 6:10ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot25
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 6:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)25
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 6:22SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)25
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 6:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 6:24SASMISS Duncan 1' Tip Shot25
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 6:25SASMISS Parker 4' Running Jump Shot25
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 6:42SASSPURS Rebound25
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 6:43ATLMISS Korver 19' Jump Shot25
10.5%
36
89.5%
Q2 - 6:50SASSPURS Turnover: Backcourt (T#8)25
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 6:55SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 6:56SASMISS Leonard 20' Jump Shot25
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 7:22ATLScott 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)25
10.5%
36
89.5%
Q2 - 7:31SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)23
9.6%
36
90.4%
Q2 - 7:38SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
8.6%
36
91.4%
Q2 - 7:39ATLMISS Scott 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
8.9%
36
91.1%
Q2 - 7:47ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
9.6%
36
90.4%
Q2 - 7:48SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 8:04ATLSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 8:04ATLSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 8:19SASJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
8.0%
36
92.0%
Q2 - 8:19SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
8.2%
35
91.8%
Q2 - 8:19SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
8.8%
34
91.2%
Q2 - 8:19SASMISS Joseph 5' Running Jump Shot21
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q2 - 8:37SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
8.8%
34
91.2%
Q2 - 8:38ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
9.1%
34
90.9%
Q2 - 8:43ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
9.7%
34
90.3%
Q2 - 8:44SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q2 - 9:03SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q2 - 9:04ATLMISS Bazemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
9.2%
34
90.8%
Q2 - 9:09SASAyres Foul Turnover (P1.T6)21
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q2 - 9:19ATLBazemore 3' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q2 - 9:32SASDiaw 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)19
8.2%
34
91.8%
Q2 - 9:52ATLMack Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
8.9%
32
91.1%
Q2 - 9:52ATLMack Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
8.8%
32
91.2%
Q2 - 10:06ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q2 - 10:07SASMISS Green 23' Jump Shot17
8.2%
32
91.8%
Q2 - 10:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
7.6%
32
92.4%
Q2 - 10:31ATLHorford 2' Layup (4 PTS)17
7.6%
32
92.4%
Q2 - 10:32ATLMISS Mack 4' Floating Jump Shot15
6.5%
32
93.5%
Q2 - 10:56SASDiaw 9' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)15
7.0%
32
93.0%
Q2 - 11:20ATLHorford Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)15
7.9%
30
92.1%
Q2 - 11:30SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)15
8.6%
30
91.4%
Q2 - 11:34SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
10.2%
27
89.8%
Q2 - 11:34ATLMISS Bazemore 20' Jump Shot15
10.5%
27
89.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS15
11.2%
27
88.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
10.7%
27
89.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Joseph 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
11.1%
27
88.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
10.6%
27
89.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Bazemore 1' Layup15
10.8%
27
89.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)15
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q1 - 1:00ATLMack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q1 - 1:19ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
14.6%
24
85.4%
Q1 - 1:21SASMISS Belinelli 2' Layup15
14.4%
24
85.6%
Q1 - 1:27SASAyres REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
13.8%
24
86.2%
Q1 - 1:28ATLMISS Mack 2' Driving Layup15
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q1 - 1:39SASJoseph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
14.6%
24
85.4%
Q1 - 1:49ATLScott 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)15
13.8%
24
86.2%
Q1 - 2:13SASBaynes 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)13
12.7%
24
87.3%
Q1 - 2:31ATLAntic Layup (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)13
11.7%
24
88.3%
Q1 - 2:36ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.8%
24
89.2%
Q1 - 2:37SASMISS Ginobili 16' Fadeaway Jumper11
10.5%
24
89.5%
Q1 - 2:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 2:53ATLMISS Teague 15' Pullup Jump Shot11
10.2%
24
89.8%
Q1 - 3:19SASJoseph 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)11
11.0%
24
89.0%
Q1 - 3:25SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
11.8%
22
88.2%
Q1 - 3:28ATLMISS Millsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
12.1%
22
87.9%
Q1 - 3:41ATLHawks Rebound11
12.9%
22
87.1%
Q1 - 3:42SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup11
12.6%
22
87.4%
Q1 - 3:47ATLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)11
11.8%
22
88.2%
Q1 - 3:54ATLHawks Rebound11
12.9%
22
87.1%
Q1 - 3:55ATLMISS Teague 3' Layup11
12.1%
22
87.9%
Q1 - 4:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 4:04SASDuncan 3' Layup (4 PTS)11
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 4:06SASMISS Diaw 2' Running Layup11
14.7%
20
85.3%
Q1 - 4:26ATLDuncan STEAL (2 STL)11
13.8%
20
86.2%
Q1 - 4:35SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
15.1%
20
84.9%
Q1 - 4:41SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
13.8%
20
86.2%
Q1 - 4:42ATLMISS Millsap 17' Jump Shot11
14.2%
20
85.8%
Q1 - 5:06SASBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
15.4%
20
84.6%
Q1 - 5:06SASMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 211
15.5%
19
84.5%
Q1 - 5:14SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 5:15ATLMISS Antic 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 5:28SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)11
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 5:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 5:34ATLMISS Teague 16' Pullup Jump Shot11
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q1 - 5:46ATLHawks Rebound11
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 5:46ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot11
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q1 - 6:01SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)11
16.7%
19
83.3%
Q1 - 6:23SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
17.7%
17
82.3%
Q1 - 6:24ATLDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)11
18.1%
17
81.9%
Q1 - 6:37SASParker 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)11
19.0%
17
81.0%
Q1 - 6:53ATLMillsap 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)11
20.2%
15
79.8%
Q1 - 7:07ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
19.1%
15
80.9%
Q1 - 7:08SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot9
18.7%
15
81.3%
Q1 - 7:19ATLLeonard STEAL (1 STL)9
17.7%
15
82.3%
Q1 - 7:41SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)9
19.1%
15
80.9%
Q1 - 8:06ATLHorford 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
21.3%
12
78.7%
Q1 - 8:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
20.2%
12
79.8%
Q1 - 8:12ATLMISS Millsap 12' Step Back Jump Shot7
19.3%
12
80.7%
Q1 - 8:22ATLHawks Rebound7
20.2%
12
79.8%
Q1 - 8:23ATLGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)7
19.3%
12
80.7%
Q1 - 8:36SASParker 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)7
20.2%
12
79.8%
Q1 - 8:55ATLCarroll 2' Layup (5 PTS)7
21.3%
10
78.7%
Q1 - 9:00SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 9:13SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
18.8%
10
81.2%
Q1 - 9:14ATLMISS Teague 14' Pullup Jump Shot5
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 9:30SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)5
20.1%
10
79.9%
Q1 - 9:30SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 25
20.4%
9
79.6%
Q1 - 9:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
20.0%
9
80.0%
Q1 - 9:37ATLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)5
20.4%
9
79.6%
Q1 - 9:40ATLHawks Rebound5
21.4%
9
78.6%
Q1 - 9:41ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
21.4%
9
78.6%
Q1 - 9:41ATLMISS Carroll 3' Tip Shot5
20.4%
9
79.6%
Q1 - 9:42ATLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)5
20.4%
9
79.6%
Q1 - 10:01SASParker Layup (2 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST)5
21.4%
9
78.6%
Q1 - 10:12SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 10:13ATLMISS Horford 7' Jump Bank Shot5
23.0%
7
77.0%
Q1 - 10:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
24.0%
7
76.0%
Q1 - 10:26SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot5
23.5%
7
76.5%
Q1 - 10:37ATLDuncan STEAL (1 STL)5
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 10:42SASSplitter 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)5
24.0%
7
76.0%
Q1 - 10:57ATLCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)5
25.2%
5
74.8%
Q1 - 11:11SASSplitter 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
22.3%
5
77.7%
Q1 - 11:23ATLKorver 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)2
23.8%
3
76.2%
Q1 - 11:43SASGreen 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)0
22.4%
3
77.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Horford: Tip to Parker0
25.1%
0
74.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.93 46.5%
SAS
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
17
35
49%
SAS
17
30
57%
Midrange
ATL
13
32
41%
SAS
9
22
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
SAS
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
ATL
8
11
73%
SAS
27
38
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap1747%8.5 / 18
D. Carroll1765%8.5 / 13
M. Scott1286%6.0 / 7
A. Horford1036%5.0 / 14
D. Schröder975%4.5 / 6
K. Korver735%3.5 / 10
P. Antic750%3.5 / 7
J. Teague528%2.5 / 9
T. Sefolosha467%2.0 / 3
K. Bazemore217%1.0 / 6
S. Mack225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker1761%8.5 / 14
T. Duncan1747%8.5 / 18
M. Ginobili1260%6.0 / 10
K. Leonard1155%5.5 / 10
B. Diaw1146%5.5 / 12
D. Green1063%5.0 / 8
C. Joseph1071%5.0 / 7
T. Splitter583%2.5 / 3
M. Belinelli125%0.5 / 2
J. Ayres0-0.0 / 1
A. Daye0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
83
+15
-13
98
SAS
78
+12
-19
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.93 46.5%
SAS
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.9
108.5
ATL 95.8
SAS 96.9 +1.1
Pace
94.0
93.9
ATL 101.3 +9.2
SAS 92.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.7
ATL 14.2 +1.4
SAS 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.7%
ATL 45.7%
SAS 48.6% +2.9%
TO %
14.3%
14.2%
ATL 12.6% +7.1%
SAS 19.7%
ORB %
21.4%
23.4%
ATL 20.4%
SAS 28.9% +8.5%
FTrt
25.9
25.6
ATL 12.0
SAS 55.1 +43.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.6%
62.3%
ATL 68.4%
SAS 80.6% +12.2%
STL %
9.6%
8.5%
ATL 14.6% +7.4%
SAS 7.2%
BLK %
8.1%
8.4%
ATL 9.6%
SAS 13.4% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
54.0%
ATL 46.5%
SAS 51.6% +5.1%
Rim FG%
58.1%
59.6%
ATL 48.6%
SAS 56.7% +8.1%
Mid FG%
42.2%
42.1%
ATL 40.6%
SAS 40.9% +0.3%
3P %
38.0%
36.7%
ATL 32.0% +2.6%
SAS 29.4%
FT %
77.8%
78.0%
ATL 72.7% +1.6%
SAS 71.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
35.3%
ATL 38.0%
SAS 43.5% +5.4%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
37.8%
ATL 34.8%
SAS 31.9% +2.9%
3P Att. %
32.1%
26.9%
ATL 27.2% +2.5%
SAS 24.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLSAS
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points9294
Rebounds3750
Assists2625
Steals147
Blocks59
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)19 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)39 (1)
Field Goals38-9231-69
At-the-Rim FG17-3517-30
Midrange FG13-329-22
2-Point FG30-6726-52
3-Point FG8-255-17
Free Throws8-1127-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 212 · 34
36.4
7
35%
4
3
2
0
1
5
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 246 · 30
35.5
17
47%
7
3
5
2
1
4
2
5
1-1
100%
8-16
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 26
33.6
5
28%
0
7
1
0
5
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 28
31.3
17
65%
5
1
1
0
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
3-5
60%
C · 6'10" 245 · 28
30.9
10
36%
7
6
2
1
2
5
4
3
0-0
-
5-14
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 31
17.1
4
67%
4
2
2
2
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32
15.7
7
50%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 237 · 26
14.0
12
86%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 201 · 25
11.1
2
17%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 21
8.2
9
75%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 203 · 25
6.2
2
25%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 254 · 36
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23
#33 · · 6'10" 237 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'4" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
47%
37
26
14
5
13
0
10
27
8-11
73%
30-67
45%
8-25
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.