FinalWin Prob.pScore
1054%97
89
2446%96
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
96.79299.0
CHA logo CHA
106.79084.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA89
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)89
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (25 PTS)89
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0CHANeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)87
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0CHAMISS Neal Free Throw 1 of 287
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0CHAHORNETS Rebound87
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 0:21.0CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)87
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)87
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup87
3.4%
91
96.6%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)87
6.2%
91
93.8%
Q4 - 0:38.0CHAMISS Stephenson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot87
6.3%
91
93.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)87
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q4 - 1:05MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
12.0%
91
88.0%
Q4 - 1:06CHAMISS Williams 2' Layup87
10.1%
91
89.9%
Q4 - 1:09CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
6.8%
91
93.2%
Q4 - 1:11CHAMISS Stephenson 2' Layup87
11.0%
91
89.0%
Q4 - 1:30MIAWade Dunk (23 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)87
9.5%
91
90.5%
Q4 - 1:53CHAWalker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)85
7.8%
91
92.2%
Q4 - 2:17MIANapier 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)85
18.0%
88
82.0%
Q4 - 2:32MIAHeat Rebound83
14.8%
88
85.2%
Q4 - 2:33CHAMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot83
12.3%
88
87.7%
Q4 - 2:47CHANeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
8.0%
88
92.0%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot83
9.7%
88
90.3%
Q4 - 2:59MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
16.1%
88
83.9%
Q4 - 3:00CHAMISS Neal 32' 3PT Jump Shot83
13.8%
88
86.2%
Q4 - 3:19MIANapier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)83
9.6%
88
90.4%
Q4 - 3:19MIANapier Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
8.9%
88
91.1%
Q4 - 3:30CHAStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)81
7.6%
88
92.4%
Q4 - 3:44MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Napier 3 AST)81
7.1%
88
92.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIAHeat Rebound79
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q4 - 3:52CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup79
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 4:04MIABosh 11' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)79
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q4 - 4:15CHAStephenson 2' Putback Layup (8 PTS)77
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 4:15CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)77
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q4 - 4:17CHAMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 4:32CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)77
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 4:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
4.7%
86
95.3%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Napier 2' Layup77
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 4:57CHAWilliams Foul Turnover (P3.T12)77
4.7%
86
95.3%
Q4 - 5:18MIAWade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q4 - 5:37CHAStephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 5:37CHAMISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 275
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q4 - 5:37CHAHORNETS Rebound75
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q4 - 5:37CHAMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot75
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q4 - 5:57MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (19 PTS)75
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q4 - 6:16CHAJefferson 12' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Walker 7 AST)73
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q4 - 6:30CHAHORNETS Rebound73
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot73
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q4 - 6:47CHAJefferson 8' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)73
6.6%
83
93.4%
Q4 - 6:56CHAHORNETS Rebound73
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q4 - 6:56CHAMISS Stephenson 2' Layup73
10.4%
81
89.6%
Q4 - 7:09MIAWade 2' Layup (17 PTS)73
10.6%
81
89.4%
Q4 - 7:15CHANeal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)71
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q4 - 7:24MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T7)71
6.3%
81
93.7%
Q4 - 7:39MIAHeat Rebound71
8.3%
81
91.7%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Napier 1' Layup71
6.9%
81
93.1%
Q4 - 7:46MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
8.3%
81
91.7%
Q4 - 7:50CHAMISS Jefferson 9' Jump Shot71
7.6%
81
92.4%
Q4 - 8:13CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)71
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
8.5%
81
91.5%
Q4 - 8:24CHAStephenson Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T10)71
10.0%
81
90.0%
Q4 - 8:24MIAChalmers Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 270
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q4 - 8:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q4 - 8:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
5.9%
81
94.1%
Q4 - 8:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 8:35CHAMISS Roberts 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q4 - 8:57MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)68
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q4 - 9:12CHARoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q4 - 9:12CHARoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q4 - 9:22MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)66
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q4 - 9:22MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)65
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q4 - 9:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)64
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot64
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 9:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Napier 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 9:51CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q4 - 9:51CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 10:03CHAHairston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q4 - 10:06MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot64
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q4 - 10:26CHAMaxiell 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Roberts 2 AST)64
7.1%
77
92.9%
Q4 - 10:54MIAMaxiell STEAL (1 STL)64
8.6%
75
91.4%
Q4 - 11:18CHAHairston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)64
11.7%
75
88.3%
Q4 - 11:29MIADeng 2' Layup (9 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)64
16.8%
72
83.2%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
14.1%
72
85.9%
Q4 - 11:48CHAMISS Neal 18' Jump Shot62
13.3%
72
86.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
11.6%
72
88.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Roberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
14.6%
72
85.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
12.8%
72
87.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Napier 3' Driving Layup62
13.5%
72
86.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0CHAMaxiell 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Roberts 1 AST)62
15.2%
72
84.8%
Q3 - 1:00MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T5)62
18.0%
70
82.0%
Q3 - 1:08CHAZeller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)62
22.6%
70
77.4%
Q3 - 1:17CHAHairston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
19.3%
70
80.7%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Shot62
20.3%
70
79.7%
Q3 - 1:31CHARoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)62
22.6%
70
77.4%
Q3 - 1:31CHARoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
22.8%
69
77.2%
Q3 - 1:47MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)62
26.0%
68
74.0%
Q3 - 1:47MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)61
25.4%
68
74.6%
Q3 - 1:59CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
22.5%
68
77.5%
Q3 - 1:59CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 260
23.3%
67
76.7%
Q3 - 1:59CHAHORNETS Rebound60
22.4%
67
77.6%
Q3 - 1:59CHAMISS Hairston 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
24.9%
67
75.1%
Q3 - 2:03CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
23.7%
67
76.3%
Q3 - 2:04MIAHairston BLOCK (3 BLK)60
24.8%
67
75.2%
Q3 - 2:34CHAHairston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST)60
27.3%
67
72.7%
Q3 - 2:55CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)60
35.0%
64
65.0%
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
36.3%
64
63.7%
Q3 - 3:09CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
40.3%
64
59.7%
Q3 - 3:09CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
41.3%
63
58.7%
Q3 - 3:14CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
44.3%
62
55.7%
Q3 - 3:17CHAMISS Maxiell 11' Jump Shot60
47.6%
62
52.4%
Q3 - 3:32CHAHORNETS Rebound60
44.3%
62
55.7%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 260
44.9%
62
55.1%
Q3 - 3:34MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
47.7%
62
52.3%
Q3 - 3:36MIAHeat Rebound59
44.6%
62
55.4%
Q3 - 3:36MIAJefferson BLOCK (3 BLK)59
41.3%
62
58.7%
Q3 - 3:47MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
44.6%
62
55.4%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
41.3%
62
58.7%
Q3 - 4:15CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)59
45.2%
62
54.8%
Q3 - 4:15CHAJefferson 1' Tip Shot (24 PTS)59
45.2%
62
54.8%
Q3 - 4:16CHAMISS Hairston 4' Running Jump Shot59
52.2%
60
47.8%
Q3 - 4:31CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
48.6%
60
51.4%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 19' Jump Shot59
50.2%
60
49.8%
Q3 - 4:46MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
53.7%
60
46.3%
Q3 - 4:47CHAMISS Hairston 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
52.2%
60
47.8%
Q3 - 5:01MIAHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
48.9%
60
51.1%
Q3 - 5:01MIAHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
48.0%
60
52.0%
Q3 - 5:16CHAJefferson 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Hairston 2 AST)57
45.4%
60
54.6%
Q3 - 5:30CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
48.9%
58
51.1%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Wade 23' Jump Shot57
50.3%
58
49.7%
Q3 - 5:56CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)57
53.6%
58
46.4%
Q3 - 5:56CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)57
54.3%
57
45.7%
Q3 - 5:56CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)57
57.0%
56
43.0%
Q3 - 5:57MIAStephenson BLOCK (1 BLK)57
58.5%
56
41.5%
Q3 - 6:11MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
61.5%
56
38.5%
Q3 - 6:12CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 257
60.9%
56
39.1%
Q3 - 6:12CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 257
58.6%
56
41.4%
Q3 - 6:37MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)57
57.1%
56
42.9%
Q3 - 6:56CHAStephenson 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)55
53.7%
56
46.3%
Q3 - 7:03CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
56.9%
54
43.1%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
58.2%
54
41.8%
Q3 - 7:24CHAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)55
61.1%
54
38.9%
Q3 - 7:44MIACole 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)55
56.9%
54
43.1%
Q3 - 7:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)53
53.6%
54
46.4%
Q3 - 7:50CHAMISS Stephenson 2' Layup53
52.3%
54
47.7%
Q3 - 7:59CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
49.3%
54
50.7%
Q3 - 8:00MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot53
50.6%
54
49.4%
Q3 - 8:19CHAJefferson 6' Jump Shot (20 PTS)53
53.8%
54
46.2%
Q3 - 8:36MIABosh Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)53
56.9%
52
43.1%
Q3 - 8:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)51
53.8%
52
46.2%
Q3 - 8:47CHAMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot51
52.5%
52
47.5%
Q3 - 8:50CHAHORNETS Rebound51
49.4%
52
50.6%
Q3 - 8:53CHAMISS Stephenson 2' Driving Layup51
52.5%
52
47.5%
Q3 - 9:04MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)51
49.8%
52
50.2%
Q3 - 9:16CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)49
46.3%
52
53.7%
Q3 - 9:34CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)49
53.4%
49
46.6%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
54.5%
49
45.5%
Q3 - 9:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
57.1%
49
42.9%
Q3 - 9:45CHAMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot49
56.0%
49
44.0%
Q3 - 10:03MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)49
53.8%
49
46.2%
Q3 - 10:17CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)46
46.8%
49
53.2%
Q3 - 10:17CHAJefferson 2' Layup (15 PTS)46
46.8%
49
53.2%
Q3 - 10:21CHAMISS Jefferson 3' Layup46
52.7%
47
47.3%
Q3 - 10:41CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
50.2%
47
49.8%
Q3 - 10:42MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot46
51.3%
47
48.7%
Q3 - 10:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
53.8%
47
46.2%
Q3 - 11:00CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 246
53.3%
47
46.7%
Q3 - 11:00CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)46
51.1%
47
48.9%
Q3 - 11:00CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
53.7%
46
46.3%
Q3 - 11:00CHAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot46
56.2%
46
43.8%
Q3 - 11:13MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
54.2%
46
45.8%
Q3 - 11:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
50.9%
46
49.1%
Q3 - 11:26CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup44
49.8%
46
50.2%
Q3 - 11:36CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
47.3%
46
52.7%
Q3 - 11:39MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
48.4%
46
51.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
50.9%
46
49.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound44
50.9%
46
49.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot44
48.4%
46
51.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0CHAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T7)44
50.6%
46
49.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
48.3%
46
51.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
49.0%
46
51.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
50.7%
46
49.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0CHAMISS Hairston 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
49.9%
46
50.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
48.2%
46
51.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
49.0%
46
51.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0CHAHenderson 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)44
50.7%
46
49.3%
Q2 - 1:08CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)44
55.2%
44
44.8%
Q2 - 1:09MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot44
55.8%
44
44.2%
Q2 - 1:29CHAWalker 12' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
57.0%
44
43.0%
Q2 - 1:50MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
61.4%
42
38.6%
Q2 - 1:50MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)43
60.8%
42
39.2%
Q2 - 2:22MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
57.5%
42
42.5%
Q2 - 2:30CHAMISS Neal 19' Jump Shot39
47.4%
42
52.6%
Q2 - 2:33CHANeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
45.4%
42
54.6%
Q2 - 2:38CHAMISS Neal 3' Jump Shot39
47.4%
42
52.6%
Q2 - 3:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
45.4%
42
54.6%
Q2 - 3:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
44.7%
42
55.3%
Q2 - 3:12CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
43.2%
42
56.8%
Q2 - 3:12CHAZeller 2' Tip Shot (8 PTS)37
43.2%
42
56.8%
Q2 - 3:13CHAMISS Jefferson 6' Hook Shot37
48.0%
40
52.0%
Q2 - 3:31CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
45.6%
40
54.4%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 137
46.1%
40
53.9%
Q2 - 3:49CHAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)35
43.1%
40
56.9%
Q2 - 4:01CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
48.9%
37
51.1%
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS Chalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot35
49.8%
37
50.2%
Q2 - 4:28CHAJefferson 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)35
51.9%
37
48.1%
Q2 - 4:42MIANapier Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
54.7%
35
45.3%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS Napier Free Throw 1 of 234
54.1%
35
45.9%
Q2 - 5:03CHAJefferson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)34
55.0%
35
45.0%
Q2 - 5:19MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)34
57.7%
33
42.3%
Q2 - 5:41CHAWilliams 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Henderson 3 AST)31
52.1%
33
47.9%
Q2 - 5:42MIAHenderson STEAL (1 STL)31
54.9%
31
45.1%
Q2 - 5:53CHAJefferson 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
57.7%
31
42.3%
Q2 - 6:08MIAWade 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)31
60.2%
29
39.8%
Q2 - 6:14CHAStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
58.1%
29
41.9%
Q2 - 6:27MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
54.8%
29
45.2%
Q2 - 6:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
54.4%
29
45.6%
Q2 - 6:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
52.7%
29
47.3%
Q2 - 6:45CHAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
51.7%
29
48.3%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMcRoberts Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)27
49.8%
29
50.2%
Q2 - 7:11CHAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
47.4%
29
52.6%
Q2 - 7:20CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)25
45.4%
29
54.6%
Q2 - 7:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
47.4%
29
52.6%
Q2 - 7:31CHAMISS Stephenson 10' Jump Shot25
46.5%
29
53.5%
Q2 - 7:52MIAChalmers 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)25
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 8:06CHAWilliams 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)23
42.3%
29
57.7%
Q2 - 8:23CHAMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
44.7%
27
55.3%
Q2 - 8:24MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
45.6%
27
54.4%
Q2 - 8:37CHANeal Foul Turnover (P1.T3)23
47.4%
27
52.6%
Q2 - 8:51MIANapier 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
44.7%
27
55.3%
Q2 - 9:01MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
42.9%
27
57.1%
Q2 - 9:02CHAMISS Stephenson Free Throw 2 of 221
42.5%
27
57.5%
Q2 - 9:02CHAStephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
41.0%
27
59.0%
Q2 - 9:21MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)21
42.5%
26
57.5%
Q2 - 9:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
40.4%
26
59.6%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
38.5%
26
61.5%
Q2 - 9:50MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
40.4%
26
59.6%
Q2 - 9:51CHAMISS Stephenson 18' Jump Shot19
39.5%
26
60.5%
Q2 - 10:08MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)19
37.7%
26
62.3%
Q2 - 10:33MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
35.9%
26
64.1%
Q2 - 10:34CHAMISS Maxiell 18' Jump Shot17
35.1%
26
64.9%
Q2 - 10:58CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
33.2%
26
66.8%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup17
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q2 - 11:14CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q2 - 11:14CHAZeller Putback Dunk (6 PTS)17
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q2 - 11:15CHAMISS Maxiell 3' Layup17
39.8%
24
60.2%
Q2 - 11:48MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA17
40.6%
24
59.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAHORNETS Rebound17
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Hairston 54' 3PT Jump Shot17
39.8%
24
60.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHamilton 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)17
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
36.2%
24
63.8%
Q1 - 0:14.0CHAMISS Zeller 2' Layup15
35.7%
24
64.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
34.5%
24
65.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Ennis 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
35.0%
24
65.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0CHAZeller 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)15
36.1%
24
63.9%
Q1 - 1:12MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
39.4%
22
60.6%
Q1 - 1:12MIAHamilton Putback Dunk (2 PTS)15
39.4%
22
60.6%
Q1 - 1:14MIAMISS Cole 6' Jump Shot13
35.6%
22
64.4%
Q1 - 1:29CHAWalker 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Hairston 1 AST)13
36.7%
22
63.3%
Q1 - 1:34MIAWalker STEAL (2 STL)13
39.4%
20
60.6%
Q1 - 1:53MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
41.0%
20
59.0%
Q1 - 1:55CHAMISS Neal 17' Jump Shot13
40.5%
20
59.5%
Q1 - 1:59CHANeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
39.4%
20
60.6%
Q1 - 2:01MIAHairston BLOCK (2 BLK)13
40.0%
20
60.0%
Q1 - 2:17CHAZeller 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)13
41.5%
20
58.5%
Q1 - 2:38MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 2:38MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
43.5%
18
56.5%
Q1 - 2:53CHAWalker 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)11
41.5%
18
58.5%
Q1 - 2:56CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
43.8%
16
56.2%
Q1 - 2:58MIAZeller BLOCK (1 BLK)11
44.5%
16
55.5%
Q1 - 3:13CHANeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
46.5%
16
53.5%
Q1 - 3:28CHAHORNETS Rebound11
50.7%
13
49.3%
Q1 - 3:28MIAHairston BLOCK (1 BLK)11
51.5%
13
48.5%
Q1 - 3:37MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
53.2%
13
46.8%
Q1 - 3:40CHAMISS Hairston 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
52.4%
13
47.6%
Q1 - 3:59MIADeng 3' Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
50.7%
13
49.3%
Q1 - 4:19CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
48.9%
13
51.1%
Q1 - 4:19CHAStephenson 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)9
48.9%
13
51.1%
Q1 - 4:22CHAMISS Zeller 20' Jump Shot9
52.5%
11
47.5%
Q1 - 4:35CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot9
51.5%
11
48.5%
Q1 - 4:51CHAZeller Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)9
53.3%
11
46.7%
Q1 - 4:51CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 4:52CHAMISS Hairston 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
52.5%
11
47.5%
Q1 - 5:08CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
50.9%
11
49.1%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 29
51.2%
11
48.8%
Q1 - 5:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
52.5%
11
47.5%
Q1 - 5:22MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
51.1%
11
48.9%
Q1 - 5:23CHAMISS Hairston Free Throw 2 of 28
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 5:23CHAHairston Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
49.5%
11
50.5%
Q1 - 5:30CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
50.9%
10
49.1%
Q1 - 5:35CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
50.9%
10
49.1%
Q1 - 5:35CHAMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot8
52.5%
10
47.5%
Q1 - 5:37CHAMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot8
52.5%
10
47.5%
Q1 - 5:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
50.9%
10
49.1%
Q1 - 5:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
50.4%
10
49.6%
Q1 - 6:11CHAWilliams 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)6
49.3%
10
50.7%
Q1 - 6:16CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
51.1%
8
48.9%
Q1 - 6:20MIAMISS Cole 5' Running Hook Shot6
51.7%
8
48.3%
Q1 - 6:35MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
53.2%
8
46.8%
Q1 - 6:36CHAMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Hook Shot6
52.6%
8
47.4%
Q1 - 6:53MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
51.1%
8
48.9%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 25
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 7:04MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
51.6%
8
48.4%
Q1 - 7:05CHAMISS Henderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
50.9%
8
49.1%
Q1 - 7:32MIABosh 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
49.3%
8
50.7%
Q1 - 7:53CHAJefferson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)3
47.7%
8
52.3%
Q1 - 8:08CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 8:10MIAJefferson BLOCK (2 BLK)3
50.5%
6
49.5%
Q1 - 8:27CHAJefferson 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Henderson 2 AST)3
51.9%
6
48.1%
Q1 - 8:42CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
53.7%
4
46.3%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot3
54.3%
4
45.7%
Q1 - 9:04CHAJefferson 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)3
55.8%
4
44.2%
Q1 - 9:10CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
57.5%
2
42.5%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot3
58.1%
2
41.9%
Q1 - 9:20CHAJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
59.5%
2
40.5%
Q1 - 9:43CHAHORNETS Rebound3
57.5%
2
42.5%
Q1 - 9:43MIAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)3
58.1%
2
41.9%
Q1 - 9:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
59.5%
2
40.5%
Q1 - 9:56CHAMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
58.9%
2
41.1%
Q1 - 10:03CHAHORNETS Rebound3
57.4%
2
42.6%
Q1 - 10:05CHAMISS Stephenson 3' Driving Jump Shot3
58.8%
2
41.2%
Q1 - 10:20MIAShaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)3
57.4%
2
42.6%
Q1 - 10:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.9%
2
46.1%
Q1 - 10:29CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup0
53.3%
2
46.7%
Q1 - 10:49MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)0
51.9%
2
48.1%
Q1 - 11:11CHAHenderson Dunk (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)0
53.8%
2
46.2%
Q1 - 11:26CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.7%
0
44.3%
Q1 - 11:27MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot0
56.3%
0
43.7%
Q1 - 11:37MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.5%
0
42.5%
Q1 - 11:38CHAMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot0
56.9%
0
43.1%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Jefferson vs. Bosh: Tip to Walker0
55.7%
0
44.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.8%
CHA
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
33
58%
CHA
17
32
53%
Midrange
MIA
7
22
32%
CHA
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
22
18%
27%
CHA
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
MIA
25
31
81%
CHA
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2557%12.5 / 22
C. Bosh2352%11.5 / 22
S. Williams990%4.5 / 5
L. Deng941%4.5 / 11
S. Napier739%3.5 / 9
M. Chalmers633%3.0 / 9
J. Hamilton675%3.0 / 4
N. Cole217%1.0 / 6
J. McRoberts2100%1.0 / 1
J. Ennis III0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson2852%14.0 / 27
K. Walker18100%9.0 / 9
C. Zeller1372%6.5 / 9
L. Stephenson829%4.0 / 14
P. Hairston735%3.5 / 10
M. Williams650%3.0 / 6
G. Henderson450%2.0 / 4
G. Neal425%2.0 / 8
J. Maxiell440%2.0 / 5
B. Roberts450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+9
-8
93
CHA
78
+19
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.8%
CHA
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
100.5
MIA 96.7 +9.9
CHA 106.7
Pace
91.0
92.7
MIA 99.0 +15.0
CHA 84.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.9
MIA 14.5 +2.6
CHA 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
45.6%
MIA 41.6%
CHA 45.7% +4.1%
TO %
15.2%
11.9%
MIA 8.1% +4.0%
CHA 12.1%
ORB %
23.3%
22.2%
MIA 14.3%
CHA 30.2% +15.9%
FTrt
30.6
26.9
MIA 40.3 +4.9
CHA 35.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
56.8%
MIA 63.3%
CHA 65.7% +2.4%
STL %
8.6%
6.5%
MIA 6.5% +2.1%
CHA 4.4%
BLK %
8.0%
8.9%
MIA 6.3%
CHA 16.4% +10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
48.3%
MIA 47.8%
CHA 48.5% +0.7%
Rim FG%
59.7%
53.5%
MIA 57.6% +4.5%
CHA 53.1%
Mid FG%
40.9%
39.2%
MIA 31.8%
CHA 40.6% +8.8%
3P %
33.5%
31.8%
MIA 18.2%
CHA 27.8% +9.6%
FT %
74.1%
74.8%
MIA 80.6% +8.2%
CHA 72.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
31.3%
MIA 42.9% +3.8%
CHA 39.0%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
46.1%
MIA 28.6% +10.5%
CHA 39.0%
3P Att. %
26.2%
22.6%
MIA 28.6% +6.6%
CHA 22.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points8996
Rebounds3649
Assists1923
Steals64
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)36 (5)
Field Goals30-7735-82
At-the-Rim FG19-3317-32
Midrange FG7-2213-32
2-Point FG26-5530-64
3-Point FG4-225-18
Free Throws25-3121-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
37.6
23
52%
13
1
1
0
2
1
2
11
8-8
100%
6-12
50%
1-6
17%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
33.2
25
57%
4
7
1
1
3
3
2
2
7-8
88%
9-16
56%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
29.8
9
90%
5
1
0
3
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
27.7
9
41%
3
0
2
0
0
1
1
2
3-5
60%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
22.0
2
17%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
32.0
6
33%
1
3
1
0
2
4
0
1
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
26.0
7
39%
2
3
1
0
0
5
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
18.0
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
· 6'10" 240 · 28
7.7
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 210 · 24
6.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 219 · 23
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
G · 6'3" 215 · 29
#22 · F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
48%
36
19
6
4
8
0
6
30
25-31
81%
26-55
47%
4-22
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.