| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
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 MIA | 104.6 | 87 | 85.2 |
Scoring Opportunities
HOU
71
+14
-16
85
MIA
72
+19
-15
91
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
HOU
1.27 63.5%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | HOU | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | HOU | 108 100% | 91 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Shaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 108 99.9% | 91 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Shaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 108 99.9% | 90 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 108 99.9% | 89 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | HOU | MISS Beverley 3PT Jump Shot | 108 99.9% | 89 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | HOU | Beverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 108 99.9% | 89 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:34.0 | MIA | MISS Dawkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 108 99.9% | 89 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:46.0 | HOU | Howard 1' Layup (26 PTS) (Ariza 5 AST) | 108 99.9% | 89 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | HOU | Beverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 106 99.9% | 89 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:54.0 | HOU | MISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 106 99.9% | 89 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:14 | MIA | Shaw. Williams 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 106 99.9% | 89 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | HOU | Papanikolaou 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 10 AST) | 106 99.9% | 87 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:51 | HOU | Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 103 99.9% | 87 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:52 | MIA | MISS Ennis 2' Driving Layup | 103 99.9% | 87 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:06 | HOU | Harden Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T18) | 103 99.9% | 87 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:25 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 103 99.9% | 87 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:26 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 103 99.9% | 87 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:41 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 103 99.9% | 87 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:42 | HOU | MISS Papanikolaou 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 103 99.9% | 87 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:03 | HOU | Harden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 103 99.9% | 87 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:04 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 103 99.9% | 87 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:04 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 103 99.9% | 87 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:25 | HOU | Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 103 99.9% | 86 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:31 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19) | 100 99.4% | 86 0.6% |
| Q4 - 3:44 | HOU | Beverley 1' Running Layup (15 PTS) (Harden 9 AST) | 100 99.2% | 86 0.8% |
| Q4 - 3:48 | HOU | Harden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 98 98.9% | 86 1.1% |
| Q4 - 3:49 | MIA | MISS Napier 4' Running Hook Shot | 98 98.7% | 86 1.3% |
| Q4 - 3:53 | MIA | Napier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 98 98.4% | 86 1.6% |
| Q4 - 3:54 | HOU | MISS Howard 6' Hook Shot | 98 98.6% | 86 1.4% |
| Q4 - 4:19 | HOU | Papanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 98 99.0% | 86 1.0% |
| Q4 - 4:20 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 98 98.8% | 86 1.2% |
| Q4 - 4:42 | HOU | Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 98 98.5% | 86 1.5% |
| Q4 - 5:05 | HOU | Harden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 95 95.1% | 86 4.9% |
| Q4 - 5:06 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup | 95 94.6% | 86 5.4% |
| Q4 - 5:19 | HOU | Harden Tip Shot (25 PTS) | 95 93.3% | 86 6.7% |
| Q4 - 5:20 | HOU | Harden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 93 91.2% | 86 8.8% |
| Q4 - 5:21 | HOU | MISS Harden 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 93 88.9% | 86 11.1% |
| Q4 - 5:37 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 93 91.2% | 86 8.8% |
| Q4 - 5:38 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 93 90.3% | 86 9.7% |
| Q4 - 6:02 | HOU | Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harden 8 AST) | 93 85.2% | 86 14.8% |
| Q4 - 6:24 | HOU | Beverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 90 77.0% | 86 23.0% |
| Q4 - 6:25 | MIA | MISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 75.0% | 86 25.0% |
| Q4 - 6:39 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 90 70.3% | 86 29.7% |
| Q4 - 6:40 | HOU | MISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 72.5% | 86 27.5% |
| Q4 - 7:00 | MIA | Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 90 77.1% | 86 22.9% |
| Q4 - 7:06 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 90 83.3% | 83 16.7% |
| Q4 - 7:07 | HOU | MISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 84.6% | 83 15.4% |
| Q4 - 7:37 | MIA | Napier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 90 87.3% | 83 12.7% |
| Q4 - 7:40 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 90 92.0% | 80 8.0% |
| Q4 - 7:41 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup | 90 93.5% | 80 6.5% |
| Q4 - 7:47 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 90 92.1% | 80 7.9% |
| Q4 - 7:48 | HOU | MISS Papanikolaou 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 92.7% | 80 7.3% |
| Q4 - 8:00 | HOU | Harden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 90 94.0% | 80 6.0% |
| Q4 - 8:01 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 91.9% | 80 8.1% |
| Q4 - 8:19 | HOU | Napier STEAL (1 STL) | 90 90.5% | 80 9.5% |
| Q4 - 8:37 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18) | 90 92.5% | 80 7.5% |
| Q4 - 8:37 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 90 90.6% | 80 9.4% |
| Q4 - 8:38 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 92.0% | 80 8.0% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | HOU | Canaan 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) | 90 88.9% | 80 11.1% |
| Q4 - 9:14 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17) | 88 86.4% | 80 13.6% |
| Q4 - 9:28 | HOU | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 88 83.3% | 80 16.7% |
| Q4 - 9:28 | HOU | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 87 82.0% | 80 18.0% |
| Q4 - 9:42 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 86 79.9% | 80 20.1% |
| Q4 - 9:43 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 78.7% | 80 21.3% |
| Q4 - 9:54 | HOU | Howard Foul Turnover (P4.T16) | 86 75.7% | 80 24.3% |
| Q4 - 9:54 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 86 79.9% | 80 20.1% |
| Q4 - 9:55 | MIA | MISS Bosh 4' Driving Layup | 86 78.7% | 80 21.3% |
| Q4 - 10:05 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 86 73.9% | 80 26.1% |
| Q4 - 10:06 | HOU | MISS Howard 1' Driving Reverse Layup | 86 75.2% | 80 24.8% |
| Q4 - 10:22 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16) | 86 78.2% | 80 21.8% |
| Q4 - 10:52 | HOU | Canaan 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST) | 86 74.0% | 80 26.0% |
| Q4 - 11:06 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 83 63.4% | 80 36.6% |
| Q4 - 11:07 | MIA | MISS Hamilton 1' Layup | 83 61.9% | 80 38.1% |
| Q4 - 11:21 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 83 58.2% | 80 41.8% |
| Q4 - 11:22 | HOU | MISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot | 83 59.8% | 80 40.2% |
| Q4 - 11:33 | MIA | Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 83 63.5% | 80 36.5% |
| Q4 - 11:37 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 83 72.6% | 77 27.4% |
| Q4 - 11:38 | MIA | MISS Hamilton 5' Jump Shot | 83 75.6% | 77 24.4% |
| Q4 - 11:39 | MIA | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2) | 83 72.6% | 77 27.4% |
| Q4 - 11:40 | MIA | MISS Ennis 1' Driving Layup | 83 75.6% | 77 24.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | HOU | 83 72.6% | 77 27.4% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 83 76.8% | 77 23.2% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | HOU | MISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 83 72.7% | 77 27.3% |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | MIA | Bosh 1' Layup (17 PTS) | 83 75.4% | 77 24.6% |
| Q3 - 0:28.0 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 83 79.0% | 75 21.0% |
| Q3 - 0:29.0 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 83 81.8% | 75 18.2% |
| Q3 - 0:29.0 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 83 79.6% | 75 20.4% |
| Q3 - 0:40.0 | HOU | Dorsey Foul Turnover (P1.T15) | 83 82.2% | 74 17.8% |
| Q3 - 0:54.0 | HOU | Dorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 83 85.0% | 74 15.0% |
| Q3 - 0:55.0 | MIA | MISS Ennis 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 83 84.2% | 74 15.8% |
| Q3 - 1:22 | HOU | Rockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14) | 83 80.9% | 74 19.1% |
| Q3 - 1:47 | MIA | Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST) | 83 83.8% | 74 16.2% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | MIA | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 83 88.4% | 71 11.6% |
| Q3 - 1:56 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 | 83 90.1% | 71 9.9% |
| Q3 - 1:56 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 83 88.9% | 71 11.1% |
| Q3 - 2:10 | HOU | Harden 4' Driving Bank Shot (23 PTS) | 83 88.7% | 70 11.3% |
| Q3 - 2:29 | HOU | Papanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 81 87.0% | 70 13.0% |
| Q3 - 2:30 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 | 81 86.7% | 70 13.3% |
| Q3 - 2:30 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 81 85.2% | 70 14.8% |
| Q3 - 2:40 | HOU | Dorsey 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Papanikolaou 5 AST) | 81 86.9% | 69 13.1% |
| Q3 - 2:58 | HOU | Papanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 79 84.8% | 69 15.2% |
| Q3 - 2:59 | MIA | MISS Napier Free Throw 2 of 2 | 79 84.5% | 69 15.5% |
| Q3 - 2:59 | MIA | MISS Napier Free Throw 1 of 2 | 79 82.7% | 69 17.3% |
| Q3 - 3:09 | HOU | Ariza Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 79 80.8% | 69 19.2% |
| Q3 - 3:09 | HOU | Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 78 80.3% | 69 19.7% |
| Q3 - 3:09 | HOU | Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 77 78.2% | 69 21.8% |
| Q3 - 3:10 | HOU | MISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 75.8% | 69 24.2% |
| Q3 - 3:27 | MIA | Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Napier 4 AST) | 77 78.2% | 69 21.8% |
| Q3 - 3:42 | HOU | Bosh STEAL (2 STL) | 77 83.5% | 66 16.5% |
| Q3 - 3:47 | MIA | Bosh Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15) | 77 85.9% | 66 14.1% |
| Q3 - 4:00 | MIA | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 77 83.5% | 66 16.5% |
| Q3 - 4:01 | HOU | MISS Howard 8' Turnaround Hook Shot | 77 83.0% | 66 17.0% |
| Q3 - 4:27 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Napier 3 AST) | 77 85.0% | 66 15.0% |
| Q3 - 4:54 | HOU | Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harden 7 AST) | 77 86.7% | 64 13.3% |
| Q3 - 5:19 | MIA | Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 74 81.5% | 64 18.5% |
| Q3 - 5:19 | MIA | MISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 | 74 81.9% | 63 18.1% |
| Q3 - 5:35 | HOU | Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST) | 74 81.1% | 63 18.9% |
| Q3 - 5:45 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS) | 71 76.1% | 63 23.9% |
| Q3 - 6:00 | HOU | Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 6 AST) | 71 78.5% | 61 21.5% |
| Q3 - 6:19 | MIA | Shaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 68 71.8% | 61 28.2% |
| Q3 - 6:19 | MIA | MISS Shaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 | 68 72.5% | 60 27.5% |
| Q3 - 6:22 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 68 71.4% | 60 28.6% |
| Q3 - 6:23 | HOU | MISS Motiejunas 3PT Jump Shot | 68 72.5% | 60 27.5% |
| Q3 - 6:35 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 68 74.9% | 60 25.1% |
| Q3 - 6:36 | HOU | MISS Motiejunas 2' Layup | 68 72.5% | 60 27.5% |
| Q3 - 6:52 | MIA | Cole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14) | 68 75.0% | 60 25.0% |
| Q3 - 7:00 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw Technical (9 PTS) | 68 71.4% | 60 28.6% |
| Q3 - 7:15 | HOU | Motiejunas 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST) | 68 73.4% | 59 26.6% |
| Q3 - 7:24 | HOU | Harden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 66 70.8% | 59 29.2% |
| Q3 - 7:25 | MIA | MISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup | 66 69.7% | 59 30.3% |
| Q3 - 7:31 | MIA | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 66 67.1% | 59 32.9% |
| Q3 - 7:32 | MIA | MISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 69.7% | 59 30.3% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | HOU | Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 66 66.3% | 59 33.7% |
| Q3 - 8:29 | MIA | Deng Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13) | 63 60.0% | 59 40.0% |
| Q3 - 8:38 | HOU | Howard Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Harden 5 AST) | 63 55.7% | 59 44.3% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | MIA | Bosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12) | 61 52.6% | 59 47.4% |
| Q3 - 9:06 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 61 48.0% | 59 52.0% |
| Q3 - 9:07 | MIA | MISS Deng 1' Driving Layup | 61 50.6% | 59 49.4% |
| Q3 - 9:20 | HOU | Howard 9' Jump Hook Shot (20 PTS) | 61 48.0% | 59 52.0% |
| Q3 - 9:35 | MIA | Wade 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 59 44.6% | 59 55.4% |
| Q3 - 9:43 | HOU | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 59 48.0% | 57 52.0% |
| Q3 - 10:00 | MIA | Bosh 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 59 51.8% | 57 48.2% |
| Q3 - 10:21 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 59 54.8% | 55 45.2% |
| Q3 - 10:22 | HOU | MISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 55.9% | 55 44.1% |
| Q3 - 10:27 | HOU | Harden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 59 58.4% | 55 41.6% |
| Q3 - 10:28 | MIA | MISS Deng 13' Jump Shot | 59 57.3% | 55 42.7% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | HOU | Ariza Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 59 54.9% | 55 45.1% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | HOU | Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 58 54.1% | 55 45.9% |
| Q3 - 11:03 | HOU | Harden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 57 51.0% | 55 48.9% |
| Q3 - 11:04 | MIA | MISS Bosh 14' Step Back Jump Shot | 57 50.0% | 55 50.0% |
| Q3 - 11:18 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 57 47.5% | 55 52.5% |
| Q3 - 11:19 | HOU | MISS Motiejunas 1' Driving Layup | 57 48.6% | 55 51.4% |
| Q3 - 11:29 | MIA | Deng Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 57 51.1% | 55 48.9% |
| Q3 - 11:36 | HOU | Rockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11) | 57 47.6% | 55 52.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 57 51.1% | 55 48.9% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 57 47.6% | 55 52.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Cole 39' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 50.0% | 55 50.0% |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | HOU | Ariza Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10) | 57 47.9% | 55 52.1% |
| Q2 - 0:05.0 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10) | 57 50.2% | 55 49.8% |
| Q2 - 0:09.0 | MIA | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 57 47.8% | 55 52.2% |
| Q2 - 0:10.0 | HOU | MISS Howard 3' Layup | 57 48.6% | 55 51.4% |
| Q2 - 0:11.0 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 57 50.2% | 55 49.8% |
| Q2 - 0:12.0 | HOU | MISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 48.6% | 55 51.4% |
| Q2 - 0:35.0 | HOU | Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 57 50.2% | 55 49.8% |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | MIA | MISS Deng 20' Jump Shot | 57 49.5% | 55 50.5% |
| Q2 - 0:50.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw Technical (15 PTS) | 57 47.8% | 55 52.2% |
| Q2 - 0:50.0 | HOU | Harden 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS) | 57 51.1% | 54 48.9% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 55 47.0% | 54 53.0% |
| Q2 - 1:12 | MIA | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 55 44.9% | 54 55.1% |
| Q2 - 1:13 | MIA | MISS Deng 10' Jump Shot | 55 46.1% | 54 53.9% |
| Q2 - 1:25 | HOU | Harden Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 55 44.9% | 54 55.1% |
| Q2 - 1:25 | HOU | Harden Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 54 44.5% | 54 55.5% |
| Q2 - 1:27 | MIA | Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cole 2 AST) | 53 40.4% | 54 59.6% |
| Q2 - 1:33 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 53 48.1% | 51 51.9% |
| Q2 - 1:34 | MIA | MISS Deng 16' Turnaround Jump Shot | 53 49.3% | 51 50.7% |
| Q2 - 1:59 | HOU | Harden Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 53 48.0% | 51 52.0% |
| Q2 - 1:59 | HOU | Harden Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 52 47.7% | 51 52.3% |
| Q2 - 2:04 | HOU | Harden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 51 43.9% | 51 56.1% |
| Q2 - 2:05 | HOU | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 1 | 51 41.3% | 51 58.7% |
| Q2 - 2:19 | MIA | Chalmers 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 49 37.9% | 51 62.1% |
| Q2 - 2:38 | HOU | Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 4 AST) | 49 41.0% | 49 59.0% |
| Q2 - 2:50 | HOU | Harden Free Throw Technical (12 PTS) | 46 35.0% | 49 65.0% |
| Q2 - 3:00 | HOU | Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 45 32.3% | 49 67.7% |
| Q2 - 3:01 | MIA | MISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 31.9% | 49 68.1% |
| Q2 - 3:15 | HOU | Howard Dunk (16 PTS) | 45 29.8% | 49 70.2% |
| Q2 - 3:16 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 43 27.8% | 49 72.2% |
| Q2 - 3:17 | HOU | MISS Papanikolaou 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 43 25.9% | 49 74.1% |
| Q2 - 3:29 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 43 27.8% | 49 72.2% |
| Q2 - 3:29 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 43 28.3% | 48 71.7% |
| Q2 - 3:43 | HOU | Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 43 29.8% | 47 70.2% |
| Q2 - 4:08 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 40 25.7% | 47 74.3% |
| Q2 - 4:08 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 40 26.2% | 46 73.8% |
| Q2 - 4:13 | HOU | Ariza Traveling Turnover (P2.T9) | 40 27.8% | 45 72.2% |
| Q2 - 4:33 | MIA | Chalmers Foul Turnover (P4.T8) | 40 30.3% | 45 69.7% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | HOU | Papanikolaou 1' Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Harden 3 AST) | 40 27.8% | 45 72.2% |
| Q2 - 4:50 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7) | 38 25.7% | 45 74.3% |
| Q2 - 5:02 | HOU | Howard Traveling Turnover (P3.T8) | 38 23.9% | 45 76.1% |
| Q2 - 5:17 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 38 26.0% | 45 74.0% |
| Q2 - 5:22 | MIA | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 38 28.2% | 43 71.8% |
| Q2 - 5:23 | HOU | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 38 28.9% | 43 71.1% |
| Q2 - 5:44 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 38 30.5% | 43 69.5% |
| Q2 - 5:46 | HOU | MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 | 38 28.5% | 43 71.5% |
| Q2 - 5:46 | HOU | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 38 29.5% | 43 70.5% |
| Q2 - 6:06 | MIA | Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 38 31.1% | 43 68.9% |
| Q2 - 6:06 | MIA | MISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 | 38 31.6% | 42 68.4% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 38 30.6% | 42 69.4% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | MIA | MISS Shaw. Williams 1' Tip Shot | 38 32.6% | 42 67.4% |
| Q2 - 6:22 | MIA | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 38 30.6% | 42 69.4% |
| Q2 - 6:23 | MIA | MISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 32.6% | 42 67.4% |
| Q2 - 6:42 | HOU | Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 38 30.6% | 42 69.4% |
| Q2 - 6:55 | MIA | Wade 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 35 26.6% | 42 73.4% |
| Q2 - 6:56 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 35 28.3% | 40 71.7% |
| Q2 - 6:57 | MIA | MISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 30.2% | 40 69.8% |
| Q2 - 7:16 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 35 28.8% | 40 71.2% |
| Q2 - 7:16 | HOU | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 35 28.8% | 40 71.2% |
| Q2 - 7:16 | HOU | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 34 27.9% | 40 72.1% |
| Q2 - 7:28 | MIA | Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Napier 2 AST) | 34 28.9% | 40 71.1% |
| Q2 - 7:41 | HOU | Harden Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 34 33.3% | 37 66.7% |
| Q2 - 7:41 | HOU | Harden Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 33 33.0% | 37 67.0% |
| Q2 - 7:43 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6) | 32 31.2% | 37 68.8% |
| Q2 - 7:47 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 32 28.7% | 37 71.3% |
| Q2 - 7:48 | HOU | MISS Motiejunas 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 29.5% | 37 70.5% |
| Q2 - 8:02 | MIA | Wade 16' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST) | 32 31.2% | 37 68.8% |
| Q2 - 8:26 | HOU | Beverley Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 32 33.3% | 35 66.7% |
| Q2 - 8:31 | HOU | Motiejunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 35.8% | 35 64.2% |
| Q2 - 8:32 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 32 35.0% | 35 65.0% |
| Q2 - 8:42 | HOU | Hamilton STEAL (1 STL) | 32 33.3% | 35 66.7% |
| Q2 - 8:55 | HOU | Beverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 35.8% | 35 64.2% |
| Q2 - 8:56 | MIA | MISS Napier 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 35.0% | 35 65.0% |
| Q2 - 9:22 | HOU | Howard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 32 33.3% | 35 66.7% |
| Q2 - 9:24 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 35.9% | 35 64.1% |
| Q2 - 9:25 | MIA | MISS Napier 19' Step Back Jump Shot | 32 35.1% | 35 64.9% |
| Q2 - 9:39 | HOU | Beverley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 32 33.3% | 35 66.7% |
| Q2 - 9:39 | HOU | MISS Beverley Free Throw 1 of 2 | 31 32.9% | 35 67.1% |
| Q2 - 9:44 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 31 33.6% | 35 66.4% |
| Q2 - 9:45 | HOU | MISS Terry 16' Jump Shot | 31 31.8% | 35 68.2% |
| Q2 - 10:03 | MIA | Bosh 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 31 33.8% | 35 66.2% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 31 35.6% | 33 64.4% |
| Q2 - 10:17 | HOU | MISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 36.4% | 33 63.6% |
| Q2 - 10:35 | MIA | Chalmers 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 31 38.3% | 33 61.7% |
| Q2 - 10:37 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 31 40.2% | 31 59.8% |
| Q2 - 10:38 | MIA | MISS Napier Driving Layup | 31 42.2% | 31 57.8% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 31 40.2% | 31 59.8% |
| Q2 - 10:46 | HOU | MISS Papanikolaou 2' Tip Shot | 31 41.1% | 31 58.9% |
| Q2 - 10:47 | HOU | Papanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 31 43.1% | 31 56.9% |
| Q2 - 10:48 | HOU | MISS Howard 2' Driving Reverse Layup | 31 41.1% | 31 58.9% |
| Q2 - 11:02 | HOU | Papanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 31 42.7% | 31 57.3% |
| Q2 - 11:03 | MIA | MISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 42.0% | 31 58.0% |
| Q2 - 11:19 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Free Throw Technical | 31 40.3% | 31 59.7% |
| Q2 - 11:19 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 31 40.3% | 31 59.7% |
| Q2 - 11:20 | HOU | MISS Papanikolaou 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 41.0% | 31 59.0% |
| Q2 - 11:34 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#5) | 31 42.7% | 31 57.3% |
| Q2 - 11:46 | MIA | Ennis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 31 40.3% | 31 59.7% |
| Q2 - 11:47 | HOU | MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 | 31 40.6% | 31 59.4% |
| Q2 - 11:47 | HOU | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 31 41.7% | 31 58.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | HOU | 30 40.4% | 31 59.6% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Chalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4) | 30 40.4% | 31 59.6% |
| Q1 - 0:29.0 | HOU | Harden Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 30 38.3% | 31 61.7% |
| Q1 - 0:29.0 | HOU | Harden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 29 38.1% | 31 61.9% |
| Q1 - 0:41.0 | MIA | Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Napier 1 AST) | 28 35.6% | 31 64.4% |
| Q1 - 0:48.0 | MIA | Ennis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 40.6% | 28 59.4% |
| Q1 - 0:49.0 | HOU | MISS Papanikolaou 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 41.1% | 28 58.9% |
| Q1 - 0:59.0 | MIA | Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 28 42.3% | 28 57.7% |
| Q1 - 1:23 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 28 47.4% | 25 52.6% |
| Q1 - 1:24 | HOU | MISS Harden 12' Jump Shot | 28 47.9% | 25 52.1% |
| Q1 - 1:41 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 28 49.2% | 25 50.8% |
| Q1 - 1:42 | HOU | MISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 48.0% | 25 52.0% |
| Q1 - 1:54 | MIA | Napier Traveling Turnover (P1.T3) | 28 49.2% | 25 50.8% |
| Q1 - 1:55 | MIA | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 28 47.4% | 25 52.6% |
| Q1 - 1:56 | MIA | MISS Bosh Layup | 28 48.6% | 25 51.4% |
| Q1 - 2:15 | HOU | Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST) | 28 47.1% | 25 52.9% |
| Q1 - 2:33 | MIA | Napier 20' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 25 42.5% | 25 57.5% |
| Q1 - 2:49 | HOU | Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 25 44.9% | 23 55.1% |
| Q1 - 2:53 | HOU | Terry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 22 40.3% | 23 59.7% |
| Q1 - 2:54 | HOU | Hamilton BLOCK (1 BLK) | 22 38.8% | 23 61.2% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIA | Deng Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 22 40.4% | 23 59.6% |
| Q1 - 3:17 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 38.0% | 23 62.0% |
| Q1 - 3:18 | HOU | MISS Howard 7' Hook Shot | 22 38.8% | 23 61.2% |
| Q1 - 3:40 | HOU | Papanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 22 40.4% | 23 59.6% |
| Q1 - 3:41 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 13' Turnaround Jump Shot | 22 39.7% | 23 60.3% |
| Q1 - 3:55 | MIA | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 22 38.0% | 23 62.0% |
| Q1 - 3:56 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 39.7% | 23 60.3% |
| Q1 - 4:21 | HOU | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 22 37.9% | 23 62.1% |
| Q1 - 4:40 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#1) | 22 40.4% | 23 59.6% |
| Q1 - 4:52 | HOU | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 22 37.9% | 23 62.1% |
| Q1 - 4:52 | HOU | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 21 37.2% | 23 62.8% |
| Q1 - 5:10 | MIA | Wade 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 20 36.2% | 23 63.8% |
| Q1 - 5:27 | HOU | Howard 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Papanikolaou 4 AST) | 20 37.9% | 21 62.1% |
| Q1 - 5:38 | HOU | Harden Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 18 36.2% | 21 63.8% |
| Q1 - 5:57 | MIA | Deng 15' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) | 17 34.3% | 21 65.7% |
| Q1 - 6:15 | MIA | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 36.0% | 19 64.0% |
| Q1 - 6:16 | HOU | MISS Papanikolaou 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 36.6% | 19 63.4% |
| Q1 - 6:31 | MIA | Wade 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 17 38.0% | 19 62.0% |
| Q1 - 6:51 | HOU | Howard Dunk (8 PTS) (Papanikolaou 3 AST) | 17 39.8% | 17 60.2% |
| Q1 - 7:14 | MIA | Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 15 38.1% | 17 61.9% |
| Q1 - 7:33 | HOU | Howard 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Papanikolaou 2 AST) | 15 41.5% | 14 58.5% |
| Q1 - 7:51 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 39.9% | 14 60.1% |
| Q1 - 7:52 | MIA | MISS Cole 19' Jump Shot | 13 39.3% | 14 60.7% |
| Q1 - 8:15 | HOU | Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST) | 13 38.0% | 14 62.0% |
| Q1 - 8:27 | MIA | Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 10 34.6% | 14 65.4% |
| Q1 - 8:43 | HOU | Ariza Foul Turnover (P1.T3) | 10 38.0% | 11 62.0% |
| Q1 - 8:50 | HOU | Papanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 40.0% | 11 60.0% |
| Q1 - 8:51 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 10 39.3% | 11 60.7% |
| Q1 - 8:54 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 10 38.0% | 11 62.0% |
| Q1 - 8:55 | MIA | MISS Cole 2' Driving Layup | 10 39.3% | 11 60.7% |
| Q1 - 8:58 | HOU | Deng STEAL (1 STL) | 10 38.0% | 11 62.0% |
| Q1 - 9:13 | MIA | Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 10 39.9% | 11 60.1% |
| Q1 - 9:34 | HOU | Papanikolaou 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST) | 10 43.5% | 8 56.5% |
| Q1 - 9:42 | HOU | Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 39.9% | 8 60.1% |
| Q1 - 9:43 | MIA | MISS Cole 19' Pullup Jump Shot | 7 39.3% | 8 60.7% |
| Q1 - 9:58 | HOU | Howard Dunk (4 PTS) (Papanikolaou 1 AST) | 7 38.0% | 8 62.0% |
| Q1 - 10:14 | MIA | Bosh Putback Dunk (4 PTS) | 5 36.4% | 8 63.6% |
| Q1 - 10:15 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 5 37.9% | 6 62.1% |
| Q1 - 10:16 | MIA | MISS Deng 2' Driving Layup | 5 39.3% | 6 60.7% |
| Q1 - 10:43 | HOU | Beverley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 2 AST) | 5 37.9% | 6 62.1% |
| Q1 - 11:00 | MIA | Deng Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 1 AST) | 2 34.6% | 6 65.4% |
| Q1 - 11:06 | HOU | Cole STEAL (1 STL) | 2 36.2% | 4 63.8% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | MIA | Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 2 37.8% | 4 62.2% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | MIA | Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 2 38.2% | 3 61.8% |
| Q1 - 11:27 | HOU | Howard 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST) | 2 39.7% | 2 60.3% |
| Q1 - 11:43 | MIA | Bosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 0 37.8% | 2 62.2% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Bosh vs. Howard: Tip to Cole | 0 39.7% | 0 60.3% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
HOU
1.27 63.5%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
15
23
65%
MIA
7
23
30%
Midrange
HOU
3
8
38%
MIA
12
23
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
17
25.5
37
46%
69%
MIA
12
18.0
28
43%
64%
Free Throws
HOU
21
27
78%
MIA
17
27
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Rockets| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Howard | 26 | 62% | 13.0 / 21 | |
| J. Harden | 25 | 74% | 12.5 / 17 | |
| T. Ariza | 19 | 95% | 9.5 / 10 | |
| P. Beverley | 15 | 83% | 7.5 / 9 | |
| K. Papanikolaou | 8 | 40% | 4.0 / 10 | |
| I. Canaan | 8 | 133% | 4.0 / 3 | |
| J. Terry | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 | |
| D. Motiejunas | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| J. Dorsey | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bosh | 21 | 66% | 10.5 / 16 | |
| D. Wade | 19 | 73% | 9.5 / 13 | |
| S. Williams | 14 | 88% | 7.0 / 8 | |
| M. Chalmers | 12 | 43% | 6.0 / 14 | |
| L. Deng | 11 | 46% | 5.5 / 12 | |
| J. Hamilton | 9 | 56% | 4.5 / 8 | |
| S. Napier | 5 | 36% | 2.5 / 7 | |
| N. Cole | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 | |
| J. Ennis III | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 | |
| A. Dawkins | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
HOU
71
+14
-16
85
MIA
72
+19
-15
91
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
HOU
1.27 63.5%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.0 103.9 | HOU 124.1 +19.5 MIA 104.6 |
| Pace | 96.6 91.0 | HOU 88.9 +3.7 MIA 85.2 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 14.6 16.3 | HOU 16.2 +0.7 MIA 16.9 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 51.2% 50.0% | HOU 64.0% +14.0% MIA 50.0% |
| TO % | 16.4% 15.2% | HOU 18.4% MIA 18.1% +0.3% |
| ORB % | 26.8% 23.3% | HOU 30.0% MIA 31.0% +1.0% |
| FTrt | 31.2 30.6 | HOU 39.7 +3.2 MIA 36.5 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 60.0% 56.4% | HOU 62.9% +11.3% MIA 51.6% |
| STL % | 9.8% 8.6% | HOU 9.2% +1.2% MIA 8.0% |
| BLK % | 8.0% 8.0% | HOU 10.9% +4.4% MIA 6.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.3% 52.2% | HOU 63.5% +13.5% MIA 50.0% |
| Rim FG% | 58.0% 59.7% | HOU 65.2% +34.8% MIA 30.4% |
| Mid FG% | 37.1% 40.9% | HOU 37.5% MIA 52.2% +14.7% |
| 3P % | 34.8% 33.5% | HOU 45.9% +3.0% MIA 42.9% |
| FT % | 71.5% 74.1% | HOU 77.8% +14.8% MIA 63.0% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 39.2% 35.1% | HOU 33.8% +2.7% MIA 31.1% |
| Mid Att. % | 21.6% 38.7% | HOU 11.8% +19.3% MIA 31.1% |
| 3P Att. % | 39.2% 26.2% | HOU 54.4% +16.6% MIA 37.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
| Game Totals | HOU | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 87 | 87 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.5 | 24.5 |
| Points | 108 | 91 |
| Rebounds | 38 | 34 |
| Assists | 22 | 16 |
| Steals | 8 | 7 |
| Blocks | 5 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 16 (2) | 15 (4) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 9 (5) | 13 (6) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 29 (0) | 21 (2) |
| Field Goals | 35-68 | 31-74 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 15-23 | 7-23 |
| Midrange FG | 3-8 | 12-23 |
| 2-Point FG | 18-31 | 19-46 |
| 3-Point FG | 17-37 | 12-28 |
| Free Throws | 21-27 | 17-27 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.