FinalWin Prob.pScore
1139%100
102
961%104
107
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
114.68988.3
MIA logo MIA
118.99090.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA102
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)102
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0TORMISS Ross 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0TORRaptors Rebound102
0.8%
107
99.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0TORMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)102
1.2%
107
98.8%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2102
1.4%
106
98.6%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORLowry 8' Driving Hook Shot (22 PTS)102
1.3%
106
98.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)100
0.8%
106
99.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2100
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)100
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 0:37.0TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)99
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 0:37.0TORRaptors Rebound98
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot98
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)98
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 298
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)98
1.3%
104
98.7%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
2.2%
104
97.8%
Q4 - 1:23TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS)98
2.1%
104
97.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)96
1.7%
104
98.3%
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 296
1.9%
103
98.1%
Q4 - 1:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)96
2.0%
103
98.0%
Q4 - 1:49TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 3 of 396
2.2%
103
97.8%
Q4 - 1:49TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 3 (18 PTS)96
3.0%
103
97.0%
Q4 - 1:49TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 395
2.7%
103
97.3%
Q4 - 1:56MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)95
2.0%
103
98.0%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 295
2.2%
102
97.8%
Q4 - 2:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)95
2.2%
102
97.8%
Q4 - 2:12TORMISS Valanciunas 4' Hook Shot95
2.7%
102
97.3%
Q4 - 2:31TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)95
4.3%
102
95.7%
Q4 - 2:32MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot95
3.5%
102
96.5%
Q4 - 2:51TORVasquez Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)95
2.9%
102
97.1%
Q4 - 2:55TORVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
5.0%
102
95.0%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
4.3%
102
95.7%
Q4 - 3:12TORShaw. Williams STEAL (1 STL)95
2.9%
102
97.1%
Q4 - 3:22MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)95
5.1%
102
94.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 295
5.5%
101
94.5%
Q4 - 3:38TORDeRozan 16' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)95
6.7%
101
93.3%
Q4 - 3:47MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)93
4.8%
101
95.2%
Q4 - 4:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)93
3.1%
101
96.9%
Q4 - 4:05TORMISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
3.5%
101
96.5%
Q4 - 4:29MIAShaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)93
4.5%
101
95.5%
Q4 - 4:41MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
8.7%
98
91.3%
Q4 - 4:42TORDeng BLOCK (1 BLK)93
9.8%
98
90.2%
Q4 - 4:58TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
12.6%
98
87.4%
Q4 - 4:59MIAMISS Bosh 12' Step Back Jump Shot93
11.2%
98
88.8%
Q4 - 5:23TORDeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)93
10.8%
98
89.2%
Q4 - 5:45MIAShaw. Williams Tip Shot (13 PTS)90
6.0%
98
94.0%
Q4 - 5:47MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
8.0%
96
92.0%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
10.0%
96
90.0%
Q4 - 5:50MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
7.9%
96
92.1%
Q4 - 5:51MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot90
10.0%
96
90.0%
Q4 - 6:17TORVasquez 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)90
9.4%
96
90.6%
Q4 - 6:33MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
7.4%
96
92.6%
Q4 - 6:33MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)88
7.8%
95
92.2%
Q4 - 6:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)88
9.3%
94
90.7%
Q4 - 6:36MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
11.6%
94
88.4%
Q4 - 6:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)88
9.3%
94
90.7%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
11.6%
94
88.4%
Q4 - 6:48TORNapier STEAL (2 STL)88
9.3%
94
90.7%
Q4 - 6:49TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
12.7%
94
87.3%
Q4 - 6:50MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot88
11.6%
94
88.4%
Q4 - 7:05TORJohnson 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)88
10.8%
94
89.2%
Q4 - 7:18TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
8.6%
94
91.4%
Q4 - 7:19MIAMISS Napier 3PT Jump Shot86
7.9%
94
92.1%
Q4 - 7:32TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)86
6.5%
94
93.5%
Q4 - 7:32TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
6.2%
94
93.8%
Q4 - 7:38MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)84
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 284
5.4%
93
94.6%
Q4 - 7:40MIAHEAT Rebound84
5.0%
93
95.0%
Q4 - 7:41MIAMISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot84
6.1%
93
93.9%
Q4 - 8:01TORDeRozan Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)84
6.1%
93
93.9%
Q4 - 8:14TORRaptors Rebound84
7.7%
93
92.3%
Q4 - 8:15TORMISS DeRozan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot84
6.6%
93
93.4%
Q4 - 8:27MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)84
7.7%
93
92.3%
Q4 - 8:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)84
6.0%
93
94.0%
Q4 - 8:47TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 284
6.2%
93
93.8%
Q4 - 8:47TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 284
7.4%
93
92.6%
Q4 - 8:57MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)84
7.7%
93
92.3%
Q4 - 9:21TORJohnson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)84
7.1%
93
92.9%
Q4 - 9:28TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
5.7%
93
94.3%
Q4 - 9:29MIAMISS McRoberts 2' Layup82
5.3%
93
94.7%
Q4 - 9:50TORWilliams 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)82
4.5%
93
95.5%
Q4 - 9:59TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
3.6%
93
96.4%
Q4 - 10:03MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 280
4.1%
93
95.9%
Q4 - 10:03MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)80
3.5%
93
96.5%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 10:14TORMISS Lowry 12' Jump Shot80
4.5%
92
95.5%
Q4 - 10:34MIANapier Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)80
5.2%
92
94.8%
Q4 - 10:39TORBosh STEAL (1 STL)80
7.8%
89
92.2%
Q4 - 10:40TORHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
9.7%
89
90.3%
Q4 - 10:41TORMISS Hayes 9' Jump Shot80
8.3%
89
91.7%
Q4 - 11:01TORHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
10.5%
89
89.5%
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
9.9%
89
90.1%
Q4 - 11:19TORLowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)80
8.5%
89
91.5%
Q4 - 11:26TORHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
5.8%
89
94.2%
Q4 - 11:27TORMcRoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)77
5.0%
89
95.0%
Q4 - 11:42MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)77
5.8%
89
94.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR77
7.0%
87
93.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound77
8.6%
87
91.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
8.0%
87
92.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)77
7.7%
87
92.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
7.5%
87
92.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)75
6.4%
87
93.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0TORMISS Lowry 22' Jump Shot75
5.6%
87
94.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
6.3%
87
93.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0TORMISS Hayes 7' Turnaround Jump Shot75
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q3 - 1:11TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
7.0%
87
93.0%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot75
6.6%
87
93.4%
Q3 - 1:35TORWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T5)75
5.7%
87
94.3%
Q3 - 1:36TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
6.9%
87
93.1%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Deng 10' Jump Shot75
6.5%
87
93.5%
Q3 - 1:51TORLowry 9' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)75
5.7%
87
94.3%
Q3 - 2:04TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
5.4%
87
94.6%
Q3 - 2:05MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
5.1%
87
94.9%
Q3 - 2:30TORLowry 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)73
4.5%
87
95.5%
Q3 - 2:43MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)71
3.8%
87
96.2%
Q3 - 2:55TORVasquez Foul Turnover (P1.T4)71
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q3 - 3:17MIAChalmers 9' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)71
4.2%
87
95.8%
Q3 - 3:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
4.9%
85
95.1%
Q3 - 3:28TORMISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
5.2%
85
94.8%
Q3 - 3:41MIADeng 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS)71
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q3 - 3:54TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
6.9%
83
93.1%
Q3 - 3:54TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q3 - 4:06MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)69
6.4%
83
93.6%
Q3 - 4:29TORValanciunas 4' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)69
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q3 - 4:32TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q3 - 4:34TORMISS Vasquez 4' Driving Layup67
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q3 - 4:53MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)67
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q3 - 5:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q3 - 5:12TORMISS Valanciunas 2' Layup67
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q3 - 5:42MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)67
7.9%
80
92.1%
Q3 - 5:59TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)67
10.4%
77
89.6%
Q3 - 6:02MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)64
8.4%
77
91.6%
Q3 - 6:25TORDeRozan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)64
7.1%
77
92.9%
Q3 - 6:45MIAShaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q3 - 6:45MIAShaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
6.5%
76
93.5%
Q3 - 6:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
7.1%
75
92.9%
Q3 - 6:49TORShaw. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)62
7.5%
75
92.5%
Q3 - 7:01MIADeng 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)62
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q3 - 7:16TORDeRozan 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)62
9.9%
73
90.1%
Q3 - 7:17TORRaptors Rebound60
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q3 - 7:18TORWade BLOCK (2 BLK)60
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q3 - 7:41TORRaptors Rebound60
8.7%
73
91.3%
Q3 - 7:42TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q3 - 7:49TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
8.7%
73
91.3%
Q3 - 7:50TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot60
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q3 - 8:06MIAShaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
9.2%
73
90.8%
Q3 - 8:06MIAMISS Shaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 260
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q3 - 8:21TORDeRozan 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)60
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 8:33TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
8.0%
72
92.0%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 1' Layup58
7.6%
72
92.4%
Q3 - 8:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
6.8%
72
93.2%
Q3 - 8:43TORMISS Lowry 20' Fadeaway Jumper58
7.1%
72
92.9%
Q3 - 9:02MIACole 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)58
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q3 - 9:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
10.7%
69
89.3%
Q3 - 9:23TORMISS Ross 10' Driving Jump Shot58
11.1%
69
88.9%
Q3 - 9:44MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)58
12.2%
69
87.8%
Q3 - 10:04TORValanciunas 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)58
14.0%
67
86.0%
Q3 - 10:25MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)56
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 10:37MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
15.8%
64
84.2%
Q3 - 10:38TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
16.4%
64
83.6%
Q3 - 10:53MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)56
17.8%
64
82.2%
Q3 - 11:09MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
16.3%
64
83.7%
Q3 - 11:10TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
16.8%
64
83.2%
Q3 - 11:21TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
18.2%
64
81.8%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot56
17.6%
64
82.4%
Q3 - 11:39TORRoss 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)56
16.2%
64
83.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
14.5%
64
85.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORVasquez 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)54
12.8%
64
87.2%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)52
11.9%
64
88.1%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 252
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0TORNapier STEAL (1 STL)52
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0TORLowry 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
15.4%
61
84.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIADeng 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)50
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q2 - 1:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
16.1%
59
83.9%
Q2 - 1:14TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 250
16.2%
59
83.8%
Q2 - 1:14TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 250
17.5%
59
82.5%
Q2 - 1:17TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
17.0%
59
83.0%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup50
16.7%
59
83.3%
Q2 - 1:28MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
16.0%
59
84.0%
Q2 - 1:29TORMISS Vasquez 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
16.3%
59
83.7%
Q2 - 1:39MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)50
17.0%
59
83.0%
Q2 - 1:56TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)50
21.8%
56
78.2%
Q2 - 2:11MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)47
17.7%
56
82.3%
Q2 - 2:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
21.7%
53
78.3%
Q2 - 2:19TORMISS Valanciunas 5' Hook Shot47
22.3%
53
77.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIADeng Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)47
23.7%
53
76.3%
Q2 - 2:51TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)47
26.2%
51
73.8%
Q2 - 2:51TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
21.5%
51
78.5%
Q2 - 2:52TORMISS Valanciunas 1' Dunk44
20.2%
51
79.8%
Q2 - 3:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
22.1%
51
77.9%
Q2 - 3:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
22.6%
50
77.4%
Q2 - 3:17MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
23.9%
49
76.1%
Q2 - 3:18TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 244
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q2 - 3:18TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)44
25.8%
49
74.2%
Q2 - 3:26TORVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot43
23.5%
49
76.5%
Q2 - 3:42MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
21.8%
49
78.2%
Q2 - 3:43TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 243
22.1%
49
77.9%
Q2 - 3:43TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 243
23.5%
49
76.5%
Q2 - 3:50MIADeng 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q2 - 4:07MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
26.4%
47
73.6%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot43
28.1%
47
71.9%
Q2 - 4:35TORVasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
26.4%
47
73.6%
Q2 - 4:56MIANapier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
22.3%
47
77.7%
Q2 - 4:56MIANapier Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
22.7%
46
77.3%
Q2 - 5:20TORLowry 3' Driving Bank Shot (6 PTS)40
24.5%
45
75.5%
Q2 - 5:42MIADeng Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)38
22.5%
45
77.5%
Q2 - 5:48MIAJump Ball Hamilton vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Napier38
24.5%
43
75.5%
Q2 - 5:51TORMISS Vasquez 2' Layup38
25.2%
43
74.8%
Q2 - 6:13MIADeng 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)38
27.2%
43
72.8%
Q2 - 6:27TORVasquez 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Valanciunas 2 AST)38
28.9%
41
71.1%
Q2 - 6:45MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)35
25.1%
41
74.9%
Q2 - 6:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
26.7%
39
73.3%
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot35
28.6%
39
71.4%
Q2 - 7:01TORJohnson Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Valanciunas 1 AST)35
27.1%
39
72.9%
Q2 - 7:07TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
25.2%
39
74.8%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Wade 18' Step Back Jump Shot33
24.5%
39
75.5%
Q2 - 7:25MIABosh Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)33
23.1%
39
76.9%
Q2 - 7:29MIAHEAT Rebound33
25.0%
38
75.0%
Q2 - 7:30MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
26.6%
38
73.4%
Q2 - 7:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
25.0%
38
75.0%
Q2 - 7:38TORMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
25.7%
38
74.3%
Q2 - 7:57MIAMcRoberts Foul Turnover (P1.T9)33
27.3%
38
72.7%
Q2 - 8:07MIAHEAT Rebound33
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot33
26.6%
38
73.4%
Q2 - 8:25TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 8:25TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 232
24.9%
38
75.1%
Q2 - 8:37MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)32
25.2%
38
74.8%
Q2 - 8:38MIANapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
23.2%
38
76.8%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot32
24.6%
38
75.4%
Q2 - 8:58TORHansbrough 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)32
23.2%
38
76.8%
Q2 - 8:59TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
21.5%
38
78.5%
Q2 - 9:00TORMISS Johnson 2' Reverse Layup30
20.3%
38
79.7%
Q2 - 9:08TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
21.8%
38
78.2%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup30
21.2%
38
78.8%
Q2 - 9:15TORDeng STEAL (1 STL)30
19.9%
38
80.1%
Q2 - 9:29MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
21.7%
38
78.3%
Q2 - 9:29MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
22.1%
37
77.9%
Q2 - 9:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
23.3%
36
76.7%
Q2 - 9:33TORMISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
23.9%
36
76.1%
Q2 - 9:53MIANapier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)30
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 10:04TORJohnson 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)30
29.2%
33
70.8%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMcRoberts Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)28
27.5%
33
72.5%
Q2 - 10:32MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
29.2%
31
70.8%
Q2 - 10:33TORMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q2 - 10:52MIANapier Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)28
31.7%
31
68.3%
Q2 - 11:08TORVasquez 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
29.4%
31
70.6%
Q2 - 11:17MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)26
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q2 - 11:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
25.5%
31
74.5%
Q2 - 11:42TORMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot26
26.1%
31
73.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound26
25.5%
31
74.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 34' 3PT Jump Shot26
26.9%
31
73.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
26.0%
31
74.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
25.7%
31
74.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAHamilton Foul Turnover (P2.T5)24
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0TORChalmers STEAL (1 STL)24
22.5%
31
77.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0TORRaptors Rebound24
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot24
22.9%
31
77.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)24
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q1 - 1:12TORDeRozan 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)24
26.1%
29
73.9%
Q1 - 1:34MIAEnnis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)22
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q1 - 1:41MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
28.0%
26
72.0%
Q1 - 1:42TORMISS DeRozan 19' Fadeaway Jumper22
28.4%
26
71.6%
Q1 - 2:00TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
29.4%
26
70.6%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot22
29.1%
26
70.9%
Q1 - 2:23TORDeRozan Driving Dunk (11 PTS)22
27.9%
26
72.1%
Q1 - 2:40MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)20
26.0%
26
74.0%
Q1 - 2:40MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
26.3%
25
73.7%
Q1 - 2:51MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
27.9%
24
72.1%
Q1 - 2:53TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 220
28.1%
24
71.9%
Q1 - 2:53TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
29.5%
24
70.5%
Q1 - 3:01MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
28.0%
24
72.0%
Q1 - 3:19MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
26.0%
24
74.0%
Q1 - 3:20TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 219
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q1 - 3:20TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)19
27.5%
24
72.5%
Q1 - 3:35MIAEnnis Foul Turnover (P1.T3)18
26.2%
24
73.8%
Q1 - 3:49TORRoss Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
24.4%
24
75.6%
Q1 - 3:49TORRoss Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
24.1%
24
75.9%
Q1 - 4:00MIAJump Ball Hamilton vs. Patterson: Tip to Ross16
22.9%
24
77.1%
Q1 - 4:04MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
21.3%
24
78.7%
Q1 - 4:06TORMISS DeRozan 18' Fadeaway Jumper16
21.8%
24
78.2%
Q1 - 4:12TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
23.1%
24
76.9%
Q1 - 4:13TORHamilton BLOCK (1 BLK)16
21.8%
24
78.2%
Q1 - 4:24TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw Technical16
23.1%
24
76.9%
Q1 - 4:30MIAWade 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)16
23.1%
24
76.9%
Q1 - 4:43TORRoss Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)16
24.4%
22
75.6%
Q1 - 4:48MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 5:01TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
21.9%
22
78.1%
Q1 - 5:01TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
21.6%
22
78.4%
Q1 - 5:18MIAHamilton 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)12
20.6%
22
79.4%
Q1 - 5:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q1 - 5:32TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 212
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 5:32TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 212
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q1 - 5:41MIAWade 8' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)12
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 5:51MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
24.8%
18
75.2%
Q1 - 5:52TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
25.3%
18
74.7%
Q1 - 6:00TORRaptors Rebound12
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 6:01TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup12
25.6%
18
74.4%
Q1 - 6:30MIAWade 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)12
26.7%
18
73.3%
Q1 - 6:51TORLowry 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
28.2%
16
71.8%
Q1 - 7:14MIAShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)10
26.9%
16
73.1%
Q1 - 7:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
31.1%
13
68.9%
Q1 - 7:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 7:26TORWade BLOCK (1 BLK)10
30.4%
13
69.6%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)10
31.7%
13
68.3%
Q1 - 7:49MIABosh Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)10
33.1%
11
66.9%
Q1 - 8:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 8:01TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot10
35.5%
10
64.5%
Q1 - 8:15MIACole 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 8:29TORDeRozan 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)10
38.5%
8
61.5%
Q1 - 8:56MIAShaw. Williams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
36.8%
8
63.2%
Q1 - 9:24TORValanciunas Slam Dunk (4 PTS)8
38.4%
6
61.6%
Q1 - 9:25TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 9:26TORMISS Ross 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup6
35.4%
6
64.6%
Q1 - 9:43MIADeng 1' Layup (2 PTS)6
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 9:44MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
38.4%
4
61.6%
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Deng 1' Tip Shot6
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 9:47MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
38.4%
4
61.6%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 9:57TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
38.4%
4
61.6%
Q1 - 9:57TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
38.1%
4
61.9%
Q1 - 10:06TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.7%
4
63.3%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
36.1%
4
63.9%
Q1 - 10:23TORDeRozan 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
34.8%
4
65.2%
Q1 - 10:38MIABosh 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 10:49TORValanciunas 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 10:59TORRaptors Rebound0
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 11:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 11:20TORMISS Patterson 20' Jump Shot0
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 11:38MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 11:38MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
33.3%
1
66.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Cole0
34.7%
0
65.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.05 52.6%
MIA
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
17
31
55%
MIA
15
20
75%
Midrange
TOR
16
32
50%
MIA
11
26
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
MIA
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
Free Throws
TOR
24
39
62%
MIA
28
38
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3056%15.0 / 27
K. Lowry2265%11.0 / 17
J. Valančiūnas1458%7.0 / 12
G. Vasquez1255%6.0 / 11
L. Williams844%4.0 / 9
J. Johnson867%4.0 / 6
T. Ross638%3.0 / 8
T. Hansbrough2100%1.0 / 1
P. Patterson0-0.0 / 2
C. Hayes0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2158%10.5 / 18
D. Wade1968%9.5 / 14
L. Deng1856%9.0 / 16
S. Williams1667%8.0 / 12
M. Chalmers1246%6.0 / 13
S. Napier8100%4.0 / 4
N. Cole550%2.5 / 5
J. Ennis III3150%1.5 / 1
J. Hamilton2100%1.0 / 1
J. McRoberts250%1.0 / 2
S. Brown150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
79
+16
-10
95
MIA
74
+15
-16
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.05 52.6%
MIA
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
103.9
TOR 114.6
MIA 118.9 +4.3
Pace
92.8
91.0
TOR 88.3
MIA 90.8 +2.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.3
TOR 16.3
MIA 15.9 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
50.0%
TOR 49.4%
MIA 56.4% +7.0%
TO %
13.0%
15.2%
TOR 9.4% +7.0%
MIA 16.4%
ORB %
25.6%
23.3%
TOR 22.0%
MIA 36.7% +14.7%
FTrt
29.5
30.6
TOR 49.4
MIA 54.3 +4.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.7%
56.4%
TOR 29.7%
MIA 62.9% +33.2%
STL %
8.0%
8.6%
TOR 9.0% +2.3%
MIA 6.7%
BLK %
7.2%
8.0%
TOR 10.9% +1.4%
MIA 9.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
52.2%
TOR 52.6%
MIA 58.8% +6.2%
Rim FG%
59.4%
59.7%
TOR 54.8%
MIA 75.0% +20.2%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.9%
TOR 50.0% +7.7%
MIA 42.3%
3P %
35.2%
33.5%
TOR 25.0%
MIA 37.5% +12.5%
FT %
78.7%
74.1%
TOR 61.5%
MIA 73.7% +12.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.0%
35.1%
TOR 39.2% +10.7%
MIA 28.6%
Mid Att. %
34.9%
38.7%
TOR 40.5%
MIA 37.1% +3.4%
3P Att. %
30.2%
26.2%
TOR 20.3%
MIA 34.3% +14.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points102107
Rebounds2843
Assists1122
Steals86
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (7)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (2)32 (3)
Field Goals37-7935-70
At-the-Rim FG17-3115-20
Midrange FG16-3211-26
2-Point FG33-6326-46
3-Point FG4-169-24
Free Throws24-3928-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 25
40.8
30
56%
3
1
4
0
2
1
1
2
7-12
58%
10-21
48%
1-1
100%
G · 6'0" 196 · 29
36.6
22
65%
2
3
0
0
2
4
1
1
7-13
54%
6-9
67%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
28.6
14
58%
8
2
0
2
0
4
3
5
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 206 · 24
17.1
6
38%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 26
14.8
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 217 · 28
25.1
12
55%
2
2
1
0
2
6
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-6
33%
· 6'9" 250 · 29
24.4
2
100%
6
0
1
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 28
20.6
8
44%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
6-10
60%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 28
20.3
8
67%
3
0
0
3
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31
11.5
0
0%
3
1
0
0
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 260 · 29
C · 7'0" 220 · 22
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26
#15 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F · 6'9" 205 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
53%
28
11
8
5
10
0
9
19
24-39
62%
33-63
52%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.