ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
---|---|---|---|
114.6 | 89 | 88.3 | |
118.9 | 90 | 90.8 |
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
Score / WinProb | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Clock | Team | Event | TOR | MIA |
Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 102 0% | 107 100% | |
Q4 - 0:02.0 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 102 0.1% | 107 99.9% |
Q4 - 0:03.0 | TOR | MISS Ross 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 102 0.1% | 107 99.9% |
Q4 - 0:10.0 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 102 0.8% | 107 99.2% |
Q4 - 0:11.0 | TOR | MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 102 0.4% | 107 99.6% |
Q4 - 0:16.0 | MIA | Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 102 1.2% | 107 98.8% |
Q4 - 0:16.0 | MIA | MISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 | 102 1.4% | 106 98.6% |
Q4 - 0:21.0 | TOR | Lowry 8' Driving Hook Shot (22 PTS) | 102 1.3% | 106 98.7% |
Q4 - 0:24.0 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 100 0.8% | 106 99.2% |
Q4 - 0:24.0 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 100 0.9% | 105 99.1% |
Q4 - 0:37.0 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 100 0.7% | 105 99.3% |
Q4 - 0:37.0 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 99 0.7% | 105 99.3% |
Q4 - 0:37.0 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 98 0.4% | 105 99.6% |
Q4 - 0:38.0 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot | 98 0.4% | 105 99.6% |
Q4 - 0:48.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 98 0.9% | 105 99.1% |
Q4 - 0:48.0 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 98 1.1% | 104 98.9% |
Q4 - 1:03 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 98 1.3% | 104 98.7% |
Q4 - 1:04 | MIA | MISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 98 2.2% | 104 97.8% |
Q4 - 1:23 | TOR | DeRozan 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS) | 98 2.1% | 104 97.9% |
Q4 - 1:33 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 96 1.7% | 104 98.3% |
Q4 - 1:33 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 96 1.9% | 103 98.1% |
Q4 - 1:48 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 96 2.0% | 103 98.0% |
Q4 - 1:49 | TOR | MISS Lowry Free Throw 3 of 3 | 96 2.2% | 103 97.8% |
Q4 - 1:49 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 2 of 3 (18 PTS) | 96 3.0% | 103 97.0% |
Q4 - 1:49 | TOR | MISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 3 | 95 2.7% | 103 97.3% |
Q4 - 1:56 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 95 2.0% | 103 98.0% |
Q4 - 1:56 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 95 2.2% | 102 97.8% |
Q4 - 2:11 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 95 2.2% | 102 97.8% |
Q4 - 2:12 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas 4' Hook Shot | 95 2.7% | 102 97.3% |
Q4 - 2:31 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 95 4.3% | 102 95.7% |
Q4 - 2:32 | MIA | MISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot | 95 3.5% | 102 96.5% |
Q4 - 2:51 | TOR | Vasquez Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10) | 95 2.9% | 102 97.1% |
Q4 - 2:55 | TOR | Vasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 95 5.0% | 102 95.0% |
Q4 - 2:56 | MIA | MISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 95 4.3% | 102 95.7% |
Q4 - 3:12 | TOR | Shaw. Williams STEAL (1 STL) | 95 2.9% | 102 97.1% |
Q4 - 3:22 | MIA | Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 95 5.1% | 102 94.9% |
Q4 - 3:22 | MIA | MISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 | 95 5.5% | 101 94.5% |
Q4 - 3:38 | TOR | DeRozan 16' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST) | 95 6.7% | 101 93.3% |
Q4 - 3:47 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17) | 93 4.8% | 101 95.2% |
Q4 - 4:04 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 93 3.1% | 101 96.9% |
Q4 - 4:05 | TOR | MISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 93 3.5% | 101 96.5% |
Q4 - 4:29 | MIA | Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Deng 3 AST) | 93 4.5% | 101 95.5% |
Q4 - 4:41 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 93 8.7% | 98 91.3% |
Q4 - 4:42 | TOR | Deng BLOCK (1 BLK) | 93 9.8% | 98 90.2% |
Q4 - 4:58 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 93 12.6% | 98 87.4% |
Q4 - 4:59 | MIA | MISS Bosh 12' Step Back Jump Shot | 93 11.2% | 98 88.8% |
Q4 - 5:23 | TOR | DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 93 10.8% | 98 89.2% |
Q4 - 5:45 | MIA | Shaw. Williams Tip Shot (13 PTS) | 90 6.0% | 98 94.0% |
Q4 - 5:47 | MIA | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 90 8.0% | 96 92.0% |
Q4 - 5:48 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 10.0% | 96 90.0% |
Q4 - 5:50 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 90 7.9% | 96 92.1% |
Q4 - 5:51 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 90 10.0% | 96 90.0% |
Q4 - 6:17 | TOR | Vasquez 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 90 9.4% | 96 90.6% |
Q4 - 6:33 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 88 7.4% | 96 92.6% |
Q4 - 6:33 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 88 7.8% | 95 92.2% |
Q4 - 6:34 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 88 9.3% | 94 90.7% |
Q4 - 6:36 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 88 11.6% | 94 88.4% |
Q4 - 6:43 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 88 9.3% | 94 90.7% |
Q4 - 6:44 | MIA | MISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 88 11.6% | 94 88.4% |
Q4 - 6:48 | TOR | Napier STEAL (2 STL) | 88 9.3% | 94 90.7% |
Q4 - 6:49 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 88 12.7% | 94 87.3% |
Q4 - 6:50 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 88 11.6% | 94 88.4% |
Q4 - 7:05 | TOR | Johnson 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 88 10.8% | 94 89.2% |
Q4 - 7:18 | TOR | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 86 8.6% | 94 91.4% |
Q4 - 7:19 | MIA | MISS Napier 3PT Jump Shot | 86 7.9% | 94 92.1% |
Q4 - 7:32 | TOR | Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 86 6.5% | 94 93.5% |
Q4 - 7:32 | TOR | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 85 6.2% | 94 93.8% |
Q4 - 7:38 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 84 5.1% | 94 94.9% |
Q4 - 7:38 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 | 84 5.4% | 93 94.6% |
Q4 - 7:40 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 84 5.0% | 93 95.0% |
Q4 - 7:41 | MIA | MISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 84 6.1% | 93 93.9% |
Q4 - 8:01 | TOR | DeRozan Traveling Turnover (P2.T7) | 84 6.1% | 93 93.9% |
Q4 - 8:14 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 84 7.7% | 93 92.3% |
Q4 - 8:15 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 84 6.6% | 93 93.4% |
Q4 - 8:27 | MIA | Napier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16) | 84 7.7% | 93 92.3% |
Q4 - 8:46 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 84 6.0% | 93 94.0% |
Q4 - 8:47 | TOR | MISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 | 84 6.2% | 93 93.8% |
Q4 - 8:47 | TOR | MISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 | 84 7.4% | 93 92.6% |
Q4 - 8:57 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15) | 84 7.7% | 93 92.3% |
Q4 - 9:21 | TOR | Johnson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 84 7.1% | 93 92.9% |
Q4 - 9:28 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 82 5.7% | 93 94.3% |
Q4 - 9:29 | MIA | MISS McRoberts 2' Layup | 82 5.3% | 93 94.7% |
Q4 - 9:50 | TOR | Williams 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 82 4.5% | 93 95.5% |
Q4 - 9:59 | TOR | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 80 3.6% | 93 96.4% |
Q4 - 10:03 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 80 4.1% | 93 95.9% |
Q4 - 10:03 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 80 3.5% | 93 96.5% |
Q4 - 10:13 | MIA | McRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 80 4.2% | 92 95.8% |
Q4 - 10:14 | TOR | MISS Lowry 12' Jump Shot | 80 4.5% | 92 95.5% |
Q4 - 10:34 | MIA | Napier Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 80 5.2% | 92 94.8% |
Q4 - 10:39 | TOR | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 80 7.8% | 89 92.2% |
Q4 - 10:40 | TOR | Hayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 80 9.7% | 89 90.3% |
Q4 - 10:41 | TOR | MISS Hayes 9' Jump Shot | 80 8.3% | 89 91.7% |
Q4 - 11:01 | TOR | Hayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 80 10.5% | 89 89.5% |
Q4 - 11:02 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 80 9.9% | 89 90.1% |
Q4 - 11:19 | TOR | Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST) | 80 8.5% | 89 91.5% |
Q4 - 11:26 | TOR | Hayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 77 5.8% | 89 94.2% |
Q4 - 11:27 | TOR | McRoberts BLOCK (1 BLK) | 77 5.0% | 89 95.0% |
Q4 - 11:42 | MIA | Bosh 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Napier 2 AST) | 77 5.8% | 89 94.2% |
Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 77 7.0% | 87 93.0% | |
Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 77 8.6% | 87 91.4% |
Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 8.0% | 87 92.0% |
Q3 - 0:04.0 | TOR | Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 77 7.7% | 87 92.3% |
Q3 - 0:04.0 | TOR | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 76 7.5% | 87 92.5% |
Q3 - 0:19.0 | MIA | Chalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14) | 75 6.4% | 87 93.6% |
Q3 - 0:33.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 75 5.2% | 87 94.8% |
Q3 - 0:34.0 | TOR | MISS Lowry 22' Jump Shot | 75 5.6% | 87 94.4% |
Q3 - 0:53.0 | TOR | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 75 6.3% | 87 93.7% |
Q3 - 0:54.0 | TOR | MISS Hayes 7' Turnaround Jump Shot | 75 5.5% | 87 94.5% |
Q3 - 1:11 | TOR | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 75 7.0% | 87 93.0% |
Q3 - 1:12 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot | 75 6.6% | 87 93.4% |
Q3 - 1:35 | TOR | Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 75 5.7% | 87 94.3% |
Q3 - 1:36 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 75 6.9% | 87 93.1% |
Q3 - 1:37 | MIA | MISS Deng 10' Jump Shot | 75 6.5% | 87 93.5% |
Q3 - 1:51 | TOR | Lowry 9' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 75 5.7% | 87 94.3% |
Q3 - 2:04 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 73 5.4% | 87 94.6% |
Q3 - 2:05 | MIA | MISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 5.1% | 87 94.9% |
Q3 - 2:30 | TOR | Lowry 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 73 4.5% | 87 95.5% |
Q3 - 2:43 | MIA | Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13) | 71 3.8% | 87 96.2% |
Q3 - 2:55 | TOR | Vasquez Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 71 3.1% | 87 96.9% |
Q3 - 3:17 | MIA | Chalmers 9' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) | 71 4.2% | 87 95.8% |
Q3 - 3:27 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 71 4.9% | 85 95.1% |
Q3 - 3:28 | TOR | MISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 5.2% | 85 94.8% |
Q3 - 3:41 | MIA | Deng 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 71 5.9% | 85 94.1% |
Q3 - 3:54 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 71 6.9% | 83 93.1% |
Q3 - 3:54 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 70 6.7% | 83 93.3% |
Q3 - 4:06 | MIA | Cole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12) | 69 6.4% | 83 93.6% |
Q3 - 4:29 | TOR | Valanciunas 4' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS) | 69 5.3% | 83 94.7% |
Q3 - 4:32 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 67 4.6% | 83 95.4% |
Q3 - 4:34 | TOR | MISS Vasquez 4' Driving Layup | 67 4.0% | 83 96.0% |
Q3 - 4:53 | MIA | Wade 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) | 67 4.6% | 83 95.4% |
Q3 - 5:11 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 67 6.7% | 80 93.3% |
Q3 - 5:12 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas 2' Layup | 67 7.1% | 80 92.9% |
Q3 - 5:42 | MIA | Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 7 AST) | 67 7.9% | 80 92.1% |
Q3 - 5:59 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS) | 67 10.4% | 77 89.6% |
Q3 - 6:02 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 64 8.4% | 77 91.6% |
Q3 - 6:25 | TOR | DeRozan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 64 7.1% | 77 92.9% |
Q3 - 6:45 | MIA | Shaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 62 6.3% | 77 93.7% |
Q3 - 6:45 | MIA | Shaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 62 6.5% | 76 93.5% |
Q3 - 6:48 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 62 7.1% | 75 92.9% |
Q3 - 6:49 | TOR | Shaw. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK) | 62 7.5% | 75 92.5% |
Q3 - 7:01 | MIA | Deng 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cole 3 AST) | 62 8.8% | 75 91.2% |
Q3 - 7:16 | TOR | DeRozan 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST) | 62 9.9% | 73 90.1% |
Q3 - 7:17 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 60 8.8% | 73 91.2% |
Q3 - 7:18 | TOR | Wade BLOCK (2 BLK) | 60 7.8% | 73 92.2% |
Q3 - 7:41 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 60 8.7% | 73 91.3% |
Q3 - 7:42 | TOR | MISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 7.8% | 73 92.2% |
Q3 - 7:49 | TOR | Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 60 8.7% | 73 91.3% |
Q3 - 7:50 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot | 60 7.8% | 73 92.2% |
Q3 - 8:06 | MIA | Shaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 60 9.2% | 73 90.8% |
Q3 - 8:06 | MIA | MISS Shaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 | 60 9.4% | 72 90.6% |
Q3 - 8:21 | TOR | DeRozan 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS) | 60 8.9% | 72 91.1% |
Q3 - 8:33 | TOR | Ross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 58 8.0% | 72 92.0% |
Q3 - 8:34 | MIA | MISS Shaw. Williams 1' Layup | 58 7.6% | 72 92.4% |
Q3 - 8:42 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 58 6.8% | 72 93.2% |
Q3 - 8:43 | TOR | MISS Lowry 20' Fadeaway Jumper | 58 7.1% | 72 92.9% |
Q3 - 9:02 | MIA | Cole 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 2 AST) | 58 8.3% | 72 91.7% |
Q3 - 9:22 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 58 10.7% | 69 89.3% |
Q3 - 9:23 | TOR | MISS Ross 10' Driving Jump Shot | 58 11.1% | 69 88.9% |
Q3 - 9:44 | MIA | Wade 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST) | 58 12.2% | 69 87.8% |
Q3 - 10:04 | TOR | Valanciunas 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST) | 58 14.0% | 67 86.0% |
Q3 - 10:25 | MIA | Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Cole 2 AST) | 56 12.4% | 67 87.6% |
Q3 - 10:37 | MIA | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 56 15.8% | 64 84.2% |
Q3 - 10:38 | TOR | MISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 56 16.4% | 64 83.6% |
Q3 - 10:53 | MIA | Cole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10) | 56 17.8% | 64 82.2% |
Q3 - 11:09 | MIA | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 56 16.3% | 64 83.7% |
Q3 - 11:10 | TOR | MISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 56 16.8% | 64 83.2% |
Q3 - 11:21 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 56 18.2% | 64 81.8% |
Q3 - 11:22 | MIA | MISS Cole 19' Jump Shot | 56 17.6% | 64 82.4% |
Q3 - 11:39 | TOR | Ross 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST) | 56 16.2% | 64 83.8% |
Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 54 14.5% | 64 85.5% | |
Q2 - 0:00.0 | TOR | Vasquez 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST) | 54 12.8% | 64 87.2% |
Q2 - 0:14.0 | MIA | Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 52 11.9% | 64 88.1% |
Q2 - 0:14.0 | MIA | MISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 | 52 12.2% | 63 87.8% |
Q2 - 0:19.0 | TOR | Napier STEAL (1 STL) | 52 12.3% | 63 87.7% |
Q2 - 0:31.0 | MIA | Bosh 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 52 13.3% | 63 86.7% |
Q2 - 0:40.0 | TOR | Lowry 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 52 15.4% | 61 84.6% |
Q2 - 0:54.0 | MIA | Deng 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST) | 50 13.3% | 61 86.7% |
Q2 - 1:13 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 50 16.1% | 59 83.9% |
Q2 - 1:14 | TOR | MISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 | 50 16.2% | 59 83.8% |
Q2 - 1:14 | TOR | MISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 | 50 17.5% | 59 82.5% |
Q2 - 1:17 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 50 17.0% | 59 83.0% |
Q2 - 1:18 | MIA | MISS Bosh 2' Layup | 50 16.7% | 59 83.3% |
Q2 - 1:28 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 50 16.0% | 59 84.0% |
Q2 - 1:29 | TOR | MISS Vasquez 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 16.3% | 59 83.7% |
Q2 - 1:39 | MIA | Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 50 17.0% | 59 83.0% |
Q2 - 1:56 | TOR | Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS) | 50 21.8% | 56 78.2% |
Q2 - 2:11 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 47 17.7% | 56 82.3% |
Q2 - 2:18 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 47 21.7% | 53 78.3% |
Q2 - 2:19 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas 5' Hook Shot | 47 22.3% | 53 77.7% |
Q2 - 2:38 | MIA | Deng Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 47 23.7% | 53 76.3% |
Q2 - 2:51 | TOR | Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 47 26.2% | 51 73.8% |
Q2 - 2:51 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 44 21.5% | 51 78.5% |
Q2 - 2:52 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas 1' Dunk | 44 20.2% | 51 79.8% |
Q2 - 3:09 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 44 22.1% | 51 77.9% |
Q2 - 3:09 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 44 22.6% | 50 77.4% |
Q2 - 3:17 | MIA | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 44 23.9% | 49 76.1% |
Q2 - 3:18 | TOR | MISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 | 44 24.2% | 49 75.8% |
Q2 - 3:18 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 44 25.8% | 49 74.2% |
Q2 - 3:26 | TOR | Vasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 43 24.2% | 49 75.8% |
Q2 - 3:27 | MIA | MISS Deng 20' Jump Shot | 43 23.5% | 49 76.5% |
Q2 - 3:42 | MIA | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 43 21.8% | 49 78.2% |
Q2 - 3:43 | TOR | MISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 | 43 22.1% | 49 77.9% |
Q2 - 3:43 | TOR | MISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 | 43 23.5% | 49 76.5% |
Q2 - 3:50 | MIA | Deng 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 43 24.2% | 49 75.8% |
Q2 - 4:07 | MIA | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 43 26.4% | 47 73.6% |
Q2 - 4:08 | MIA | MISS Wade 9' Jump Shot | 43 28.1% | 47 71.9% |
Q2 - 4:35 | TOR | Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 43 26.4% | 47 73.6% |
Q2 - 4:56 | MIA | Napier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 40 22.3% | 47 77.7% |
Q2 - 4:56 | MIA | Napier Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 40 22.7% | 46 77.3% |
Q2 - 5:20 | TOR | Lowry 3' Driving Bank Shot (6 PTS) | 40 24.5% | 45 75.5% |
Q2 - 5:42 | MIA | Deng Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Napier 1 AST) | 38 22.5% | 45 77.5% |
Q2 - 5:48 | MIA | Jump Ball Hamilton vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Napier | 38 24.5% | 43 75.5% |
Q2 - 5:51 | TOR | MISS Vasquez 2' Layup | 38 25.2% | 43 74.8% |
Q2 - 6:13 | MIA | Deng 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 38 27.2% | 43 72.8% |
Q2 - 6:27 | TOR | Vasquez 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Valanciunas 2 AST) | 38 28.9% | 41 71.1% |
Q2 - 6:45 | MIA | Wade 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS) | 35 25.1% | 41 74.9% |
Q2 - 6:46 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 35 26.7% | 39 73.3% |
Q2 - 6:47 | MIA | MISS Deng 20' Jump Shot | 35 28.6% | 39 71.4% |
Q2 - 7:01 | TOR | Johnson Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Valanciunas 1 AST) | 35 27.1% | 39 72.9% |
Q2 - 7:07 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 33 25.2% | 39 74.8% |
Q2 - 7:08 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Step Back Jump Shot | 33 24.5% | 39 75.5% |
Q2 - 7:25 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw Technical (8 PTS) | 33 23.1% | 39 76.9% |
Q2 - 7:29 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 33 25.0% | 38 75.0% |
Q2 - 7:30 | MIA | MISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 26.6% | 38 73.4% |
Q2 - 7:37 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 33 25.0% | 38 75.0% |
Q2 - 7:38 | TOR | MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 25.7% | 38 74.3% |
Q2 - 7:57 | MIA | McRoberts Foul Turnover (P1.T9) | 33 27.3% | 38 72.7% |
Q2 - 8:07 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 33 25.1% | 38 74.9% |
Q2 - 8:08 | MIA | MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot | 33 26.6% | 38 73.4% |
Q2 - 8:25 | TOR | Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 33 25.1% | 38 74.9% |
Q2 - 8:25 | TOR | MISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 | 32 24.9% | 38 75.1% |
Q2 - 8:37 | MIA | Bosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8) | 32 25.2% | 38 74.8% |
Q2 - 8:38 | MIA | Napier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 32 23.2% | 38 76.8% |
Q2 - 8:39 | MIA | MISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot | 32 24.6% | 38 75.4% |
Q2 - 8:58 | TOR | Hansbrough 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 32 23.2% | 38 76.8% |
Q2 - 8:59 | TOR | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 30 21.5% | 38 78.5% |
Q2 - 9:00 | TOR | MISS Johnson 2' Reverse Layup | 30 20.3% | 38 79.7% |
Q2 - 9:08 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 30 21.8% | 38 78.2% |
Q2 - 9:09 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 30 21.2% | 38 78.8% |
Q2 - 9:15 | TOR | Deng STEAL (1 STL) | 30 19.9% | 38 80.1% |
Q2 - 9:29 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 30 21.7% | 38 78.3% |
Q2 - 9:29 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 30 22.1% | 37 77.9% |
Q2 - 9:32 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 30 23.3% | 36 76.7% |
Q2 - 9:33 | TOR | MISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 30 23.9% | 36 76.1% |
Q2 - 9:53 | MIA | Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 30 25.4% | 36 74.6% |
Q2 - 10:04 | TOR | Johnson 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 30 29.2% | 33 70.8% |
Q2 - 10:23 | MIA | McRoberts Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 28 27.5% | 33 72.5% |
Q2 - 10:32 | MIA | Napier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 29.2% | 31 70.8% |
Q2 - 10:33 | TOR | MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 29.9% | 31 70.1% |
Q2 - 10:52 | MIA | Napier Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 28 31.7% | 31 68.3% |
Q2 - 11:08 | TOR | Vasquez 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 28 29.4% | 31 70.6% |
Q2 - 11:17 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6) | 26 27.5% | 31 72.5% |
Q2 - 11:41 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 25.5% | 31 74.5% |
Q2 - 11:42 | TOR | MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot | 26 26.1% | 31 73.9% |
Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 26 27.5% | 31 72.5% | |
Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 26 25.5% | 31 74.5% |
Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 34' 3PT Jump Shot | 26 26.9% | 31 73.1% |
Q1 - 0:03.0 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 26 26.0% | 31 74.0% |
Q1 - 0:03.0 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 25 25.7% | 31 74.3% |
Q1 - 0:21.0 | MIA | Hamilton Foul Turnover (P2.T5) | 24 23.8% | 31 76.2% |
Q1 - 0:29.0 | TOR | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 24 22.5% | 31 77.5% |
Q1 - 0:35.0 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 24 23.8% | 31 76.2% |
Q1 - 0:36.0 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot | 24 22.9% | 31 77.1% |
Q1 - 0:55.0 | MIA | Chalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 24 23.8% | 31 76.2% |
Q1 - 1:12 | TOR | DeRozan 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 24 26.1% | 29 73.9% |
Q1 - 1:34 | MIA | Ennis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 22 24.0% | 29 76.0% |
Q1 - 1:41 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 28.0% | 26 72.0% |
Q1 - 1:42 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 19' Fadeaway Jumper | 22 28.4% | 26 71.6% |
Q1 - 2:00 | TOR | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 29.4% | 26 70.6% |
Q1 - 2:01 | MIA | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 22 29.1% | 26 70.9% |
Q1 - 2:23 | TOR | DeRozan Driving Dunk (11 PTS) | 22 27.9% | 26 72.1% |
Q1 - 2:40 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 20 26.0% | 26 74.0% |
Q1 - 2:40 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 20 26.3% | 25 73.7% |
Q1 - 2:51 | MIA | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 20 27.9% | 24 72.1% |
Q1 - 2:53 | TOR | MISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 | 20 28.1% | 24 71.9% |
Q1 - 2:53 | TOR | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 20 29.5% | 24 70.5% |
Q1 - 3:01 | MIA | Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 19 28.0% | 24 72.0% |
Q1 - 3:19 | MIA | Ennis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 26.0% | 24 74.0% |
Q1 - 3:20 | TOR | MISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 | 19 26.3% | 24 73.7% |
Q1 - 3:20 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 19 27.5% | 24 72.5% |
Q1 - 3:35 | MIA | Ennis Foul Turnover (P1.T3) | 18 26.2% | 24 73.8% |
Q1 - 3:49 | TOR | Ross Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 18 24.4% | 24 75.6% |
Q1 - 3:49 | TOR | Ross Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 17 24.1% | 24 75.9% |
Q1 - 4:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Hamilton vs. Patterson: Tip to Ross | 16 22.9% | 24 77.1% |
Q1 - 4:04 | MIA | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 16 21.3% | 24 78.7% |
Q1 - 4:06 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 18' Fadeaway Jumper | 16 21.8% | 24 78.2% |
Q1 - 4:12 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 16 23.1% | 24 76.9% |
Q1 - 4:13 | TOR | Hamilton BLOCK (1 BLK) | 16 21.8% | 24 78.2% |
Q1 - 4:24 | TOR | MISS DeRozan Free Throw Technical | 16 23.1% | 24 76.9% |
Q1 - 4:30 | MIA | Wade 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Deng 1 AST) | 16 23.1% | 24 76.9% |
Q1 - 4:43 | TOR | Ross Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST) | 16 24.4% | 22 75.6% |
Q1 - 4:48 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 14 23.1% | 22 76.9% |
Q1 - 5:01 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 14 21.9% | 22 78.1% |
Q1 - 5:01 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 13 21.6% | 22 78.4% |
Q1 - 5:18 | MIA | Hamilton 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 12 20.6% | 22 79.4% |
Q1 - 5:31 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 12 21.8% | 20 78.2% |
Q1 - 5:32 | TOR | MISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 | 12 22.0% | 20 78.0% |
Q1 - 5:32 | TOR | MISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 | 12 23.0% | 20 77.0% |
Q1 - 5:41 | MIA | Wade 8' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS) | 12 23.4% | 20 76.6% |
Q1 - 5:51 | MIA | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 24.8% | 18 75.2% |
Q1 - 5:52 | TOR | MISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 25.3% | 18 74.7% |
Q1 - 6:00 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 12 26.5% | 18 73.5% |
Q1 - 6:01 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup | 12 25.6% | 18 74.4% |
Q1 - 6:30 | MIA | Wade 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) | 12 26.7% | 18 73.3% |
Q1 - 6:51 | TOR | Lowry 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 12 28.2% | 16 71.8% |
Q1 - 7:14 | MIA | Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 10 26.9% | 16 73.1% |
Q1 - 7:18 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 10 29.8% | 13 70.2% |
Q1 - 7:19 | MIA | MISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 10 31.1% | 13 68.9% |
Q1 - 7:25 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 10 29.8% | 13 70.2% |
Q1 - 7:26 | TOR | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 10 30.4% | 13 69.6% |
Q1 - 7:42 | MIA | Wade 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 10 31.7% | 13 68.3% |
Q1 - 7:49 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw Technical (5 PTS) | 10 33.1% | 11 66.9% |
Q1 - 8:00 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 34.9% | 10 65.1% |
Q1 - 8:01 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot | 10 35.5% | 10 64.5% |
Q1 - 8:15 | MIA | Cole 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 10 36.8% | 10 63.2% |
Q1 - 8:29 | TOR | DeRozan 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) | 10 38.5% | 8 61.5% |
Q1 - 8:56 | MIA | Shaw. Williams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 8 36.8% | 8 63.2% |
Q1 - 9:24 | TOR | Valanciunas Slam Dunk (4 PTS) | 8 38.4% | 6 61.6% |
Q1 - 9:25 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 36.7% | 6 63.3% |
Q1 - 9:26 | TOR | MISS Ross 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 6 35.4% | 6 64.6% |
Q1 - 9:43 | MIA | Deng 1' Layup (2 PTS) | 6 36.7% | 6 63.3% |
Q1 - 9:44 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 6 38.4% | 4 61.6% |
Q1 - 9:45 | MIA | MISS Deng 1' Tip Shot | 6 39.7% | 4 60.3% |
Q1 - 9:47 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 38.4% | 4 61.6% |
Q1 - 9:48 | MIA | MISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 39.7% | 4 60.3% |
Q1 - 9:57 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 6 38.4% | 4 61.6% |
Q1 - 9:57 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 5 38.1% | 4 61.9% |
Q1 - 10:06 | TOR | Lowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 36.7% | 4 63.3% |
Q1 - 10:07 | MIA | MISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 36.1% | 4 63.9% |
Q1 - 10:23 | TOR | DeRozan 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 4 34.8% | 4 65.2% |
Q1 - 10:38 | MIA | Bosh 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 2 33.3% | 4 66.7% |
Q1 - 10:49 | TOR | Valanciunas 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 2 34.8% | 2 65.2% |
Q1 - 10:59 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 0 33.3% | 2 66.7% |
Q1 - 11:00 | MIA | MISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 32.7% | 2 67.3% |
Q1 - 11:19 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 31.5% | 2 68.5% |
Q1 - 11:20 | TOR | MISS Patterson 20' Jump Shot | 0 31.9% | 2 68.1% |
Q1 - 11:38 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 0 33.0% | 2 67.0% |
Q1 - 11:38 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 0 33.3% | 1 66.7% |
Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Bosh vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Cole | 0 34.7% | 0 65.3% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
Scoring by Shot Type
Total Points
|PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
---|---|---|---|---|
D. DeRozan | 30 | 56% | 15.0 / 27 | |
K. Lowry | 22 | 65% | 11.0 / 17 | |
J. Valančiūnas | 14 | 58% | 7.0 / 12 | |
G. Vasquez | 12 | 55% | 6.0 / 11 | |
L. Williams | 8 | 44% | 4.0 / 9 | |
J. Johnson | 8 | 67% | 4.0 / 6 | |
T. Ross | 6 | 38% | 3.0 / 8 | |
T. Hansbrough | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
P. Patterson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 | |
C. Hayes | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 |
Total Points
|PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
---|---|---|---|---|
C. Bosh | 21 | 58% | 10.5 / 18 | |
D. Wade | 19 | 68% | 9.5 / 14 | |
L. Deng | 18 | 56% | 9.0 / 16 | |
S. Williams | 16 | 67% | 8.0 / 12 | |
M. Chalmers | 12 | 46% | 6.0 / 13 | |
S. Napier | 8 | 100% | 4.0 / 4 | |
N. Cole | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
J. Ennis III | 3 | 150% | 1.5 / 1 | |
J. Hamilton | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
J. McRoberts | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
S. Brown | 1 | 50% | 0.5 / 1 |
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
---|---|---|
Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
Efficiency | 111.2 103.9 | TOR 114.6 MIA 118.9 +4.3 |
Pace | 92.8 91.0 | TOR 88.3 MIA 90.8 +2.5 |
Avg. Poss. Time | 15.8 16.3 | TOR 16.3 MIA 15.9 +0.4 |
Four Factors | This Game | |
EFG % | 50.8% 50.0% | TOR 49.4% MIA 56.4% +7.0% |
TO % | 13.0% 15.2% | TOR 9.4% +7.0% MIA 16.4% |
ORB % | 25.6% 23.3% | TOR 22.0% MIA 36.7% +14.7% |
FTrt | 29.5 30.6 | TOR 49.4 MIA 54.3 +4.9 |
Misc. Stats | This Game | |
AST % | 54.7% 56.4% | TOR 29.7% MIA 62.9% +33.2% |
STL % | 8.0% 8.6% | TOR 9.0% +2.3% MIA 6.7% |
BLK % | 7.2% 8.0% | TOR 10.9% +1.4% MIA 9.5% |
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
---|---|---|
Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
TS% | 53.8% 52.2% | TOR 52.6% MIA 58.8% +6.2% |
Rim FG% | 59.4% 59.7% | TOR 54.8% MIA 75.0% +20.2% |
Mid FG% | 40.5% 40.9% | TOR 50.0% +7.7% MIA 42.3% |
3P % | 35.2% 33.5% | TOR 25.0% MIA 37.5% +12.5% |
FT % | 78.7% 74.1% | TOR 61.5% MIA 73.7% +12.2% |
Shot Distribution | This Game | |
Rim Att. % | 35.0% 35.1% | TOR 39.2% +10.7% MIA 28.6% |
Mid Att. % | 34.9% 38.7% | TOR 40.5% MIA 37.1% +3.4% |
3P Att. % | 30.2% 26.2% | TOR 20.3% MIA 34.3% +14.0% |
Game Totals | TOR | MIA |
---|---|---|
Possessions | 89 | 90 |
Possession Minutes | 24.2 | 23.8 |
Points | 102 | 107 |
Rebounds | 28 | 43 |
Assists | 11 | 22 |
Steals | 8 | 6 |
Blocks | 5 | 6 |
Turnovers (Team) | 10 (0) | 16 (1) |
Fouls | ||
Off. Rebounds (Team) | 9 (7) | 11 (4) |
Def. Rebounds (Team) | 19 (2) | 32 (3) |
Field Goals | 37-79 | 35-70 |
At-the-Rim FG | 17-31 | 15-20 |
Midrange FG | 16-32 | 11-26 |
2-Point FG | 33-63 | 26-46 |
3-Point FG | 4-16 | 9-24 |
Free Throws | 24-39 | 28-38 |
Fast Break Pts | ||
2nd Chance Pts | ||
Points in Paint | ||
Pts off Turnovers | ||
Bench Points | ||
Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.