FinalWin Prob.pScore
2237%106
79
1563%110
89
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
83.29591.3
DEN logo DEN
93.795100.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN79
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0DETPistons Rebound79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0DETMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)79
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)79
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 277
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)77
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 277
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 0:49.0DENNUGGETS Rebound77
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 0:49.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 1:05DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 1:06DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 277
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 1:06DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)77
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 1:09DENFaried REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)77
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 1:12DENMISS Gee 3' Driving Layup77
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 1:18DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)77
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 1:20DETMozgov BLOCK (2 BLK)77
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 1:25DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)77
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 1:25DENMozgov 2' Tip Shot (13 PTS)77
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 1:25DENMISS Afflalo 3' Jump Shot77
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 1:42DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)77
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q4 - 1:44DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
5.4%
82
94.6%
Q4 - 1:55DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
7.9%
82
92.1%
Q4 - 1:55DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 1 of 277
8.7%
81
91.3%
Q4 - 1:55DENNUGGETS Rebound77
7.6%
81
92.4%
Q4 - 1:55DETMISS Singler 7' Turnaround Jump Shot77
8.8%
81
91.2%
Q4 - 2:16DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
14.5%
81
85.5%
Q4 - 2:17DENMISS Mozgov 14' Jump Shot77
12.1%
81
87.9%
Q4 - 2:37DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)77
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q4 - 2:39DETMISS Augustin 3PT Jump Shot77
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q4 - 2:58DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)77
15.5%
81
84.5%
Q4 - 2:58DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)77
17.2%
80
82.8%
Q4 - 2:59DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)77
19.6%
79
80.4%
Q4 - 3:00DENMISS Afflalo 10' Turnaround Jump Shot77
26.7%
79
73.3%
Q4 - 3:19DETAugustin 5' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)77
19.4%
79
80.6%
Q4 - 3:41DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
17.2%
79
82.8%
Q4 - 3:42DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
15.6%
79
84.4%
Q4 - 3:48DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
12.2%
79
87.8%
Q4 - 3:51DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
17.0%
79
83.0%
Q4 - 3:51DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 1' Tip Shot75
13.5%
79
86.5%
Q4 - 3:52DETMISS Drummond 2' Layup75
13.4%
79
86.6%
Q4 - 4:14DETPistons Rebound75
16.8%
79
83.2%
Q4 - 4:15DENMISS Lawson 6' Floating Jump Shot75
15.1%
79
84.9%
Q4 - 4:26DETDrummond Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T15)75
11.8%
79
88.2%
Q4 - 4:43DENMozgov 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T15)75
16.6%
79
83.4%
Q4 - 4:51DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
11.6%
79
88.4%
Q4 - 4:52DETMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot75
13.0%
79
87.0%
Q4 - 4:57DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
16.6%
79
83.4%
Q4 - 4:59DETMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot75
13.0%
79
87.0%
Q4 - 5:11DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
18.6%
79
81.4%
Q4 - 5:13DENMISS Mozgov 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
17.0%
79
83.0%
Q4 - 5:25DETDrummond 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)75
13.7%
79
86.3%
Q4 - 5:48DENFaried 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)73
10.5%
79
89.5%
Q4 - 6:00DENNUGGETS Rebound73
13.6%
77
86.4%
Q4 - 6:00DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
16.9%
77
83.1%
Q4 - 6:03DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)73
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q4 - 6:04DENMISS Mozgov 5' Hook Shot73
18.5%
77
81.5%
Q4 - 6:19DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)73
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q4 - 6:19DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 272
13.7%
77
86.3%
Q4 - 6:34DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
15.6%
77
84.4%
Q4 - 6:34DENMozgov Putback Dunk (10 PTS)72
15.6%
77
84.4%
Q4 - 6:36DENMISS Afflalo 9' Turnaround Jump Shot72
23.3%
75
76.7%
Q4 - 6:44DENNUGGETS Rebound72
19.3%
75
80.7%
Q4 - 6:45DENMISS Chandler 18' Jump Shot72
23.3%
75
76.7%
Q4 - 6:55DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
19.2%
75
80.8%
Q4 - 6:56DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 2' Driving Layup72
20.9%
75
79.1%
Q4 - 7:13DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
26.0%
75
74.0%
Q4 - 7:13DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)72
27.1%
74
72.9%
Q4 - 7:16DETGee STEAL (1 STL)72
31.0%
73
69.0%
Q4 - 7:36DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
37.9%
73
62.1%
Q4 - 7:37DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
35.7%
73
64.3%
Q4 - 7:56DETSmith 8' Jump Hook Shot (24 PTS)72
31.0%
73
69.0%
Q4 - 8:08DETButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
26.6%
73
73.4%
Q4 - 8:09DENMISS Foye 15' Jump Shot70
25.1%
73
74.9%
Q4 - 8:23DETDrummond 2' Layup (9 PTS)70
21.9%
73
78.1%
Q4 - 8:49DENGee 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)68
17.8%
73
82.2%
Q4 - 8:55DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
26.5%
70
73.5%
Q4 - 8:56DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3' Layup68
28.1%
70
71.9%
Q4 - 9:16DENFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)68
32.4%
70
67.6%
Q4 - 9:35DETJerebko 3' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 3 AST)68
43.4%
67
56.6%
Q4 - 9:56DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
37.8%
67
62.2%
Q4 - 9:56DENFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
38.6%
66
61.4%
Q4 - 10:04DETCaldwell-Pope Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)66
42.8%
65
57.2%
Q4 - 10:11DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)66
48.6%
65
51.4%
Q4 - 10:19DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
42.8%
65
57.2%
Q4 - 10:21DENMISS McGee 12' Turnaround Jump Shot66
46.8%
65
53.2%
Q4 - 10:38DETAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
42.9%
65
57.1%
Q4 - 10:46DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
32.5%
65
67.5%
Q4 - 10:47DENMISS Foye 13' Step Back Jump Shot63
31.0%
65
69.0%
Q4 - 10:57DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
27.6%
65
72.4%
Q4 - 10:59DETMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
29.1%
65
70.9%
Q4 - 11:16DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
32.6%
65
67.4%
Q4 - 11:17DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
31.2%
65
68.8%
Q4 - 11:23DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
27.9%
65
72.1%
Q4 - 11:25DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
29.3%
65
70.7%
Q4 - 11:50DETButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
32.6%
65
67.4%
Q4 - 11:52DENMISS Arthur 20' Jump Shot63
31.1%
65
68.9%
Q4 - 11:58DETAugustin Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)63
27.9%
65
72.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET63
32.6%
65
67.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound63
32.6%
65
67.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Butler 69' 3PT Jump Shot63
29.3%
65
70.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
32.7%
65
67.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 2 of 263
32.1%
65
67.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENNurkic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
29.6%
65
70.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENNUGGETS Rebound63
32.7%
64
67.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Arthur 19' Jump Shot63
35.9%
64
64.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0DETJerebko 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)63
32.7%
64
67.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0DENAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)61
28.3%
64
71.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENNUGGETS Rebound61
24.4%
64
75.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0DENMISS Afflalo 3' Jump Shot61
27.1%
64
72.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0DETAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)61
24.4%
64
75.6%
Q3 - 1:07DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
28.6%
64
71.4%
Q3 - 1:08DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
27.3%
64
72.7%
Q3 - 1:20DETAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
24.7%
64
75.3%
Q3 - 1:20DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
24.3%
64
75.7%
Q3 - 1:30DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
21.3%
64
78.7%
Q3 - 1:31DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
20.3%
64
79.7%
Q3 - 1:42DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
18.1%
64
81.9%
Q3 - 1:43DETMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot59
19.1%
64
80.9%
Q3 - 1:59DENLawson Foul Turnover (P2.T12)59
21.3%
64
78.7%
Q3 - 2:04DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
18.7%
64
81.3%
Q3 - 2:05DETMISS Smith 1' Layup59
19.6%
64
80.4%
Q3 - 2:23DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)59
21.7%
64
78.3%
Q3 - 2:23DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)59
22.4%
63
77.6%
Q3 - 2:26DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
24.9%
62
75.1%
Q3 - 2:27DETMISS Jennings 7' Floating Jump Shot59
26.0%
62
74.0%
Q3 - 2:46DENAfflalo 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)59
28.7%
62
71.3%
Q3 - 2:52DETChandler STEAL (2 STL)59
32.4%
60
67.6%
Q3 - 3:08DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
36.8%
60
63.2%
Q3 - 3:10DETMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot59
33.7%
60
66.3%
Q3 - 3:38DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)59
36.7%
60
63.3%
Q3 - 3:49DETChandler STEAL (1 STL)59
45.0%
57
55.0%
Q3 - 4:06DENNurkic 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)59
49.2%
57
50.8%
Q3 - 4:07DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
52.5%
55
47.5%
Q3 - 4:09DENMISS Nurkic 2' Layup59
56.1%
55
43.9%
Q3 - 4:20DETSingler 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)59
52.6%
55
47.4%
Q3 - 4:39DENNurkic Foul Turnover (P1.T11)56
45.0%
55
55.0%
Q3 - 4:41DENNUGGETS Rebound56
40.0%
55
60.0%
Q3 - 4:41DENMISS Chandler Dunk56
43.4%
55
56.6%
Q3 - 4:57DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)56
40.0%
55
60.0%
Q3 - 5:11DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
32.7%
55
67.3%
Q3 - 5:13DENMISS Arthur 19' Jump Shot53
31.4%
55
68.6%
Q3 - 5:23DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)53
28.7%
55
71.3%
Q3 - 5:23DETPistons Rebound53
32.7%
55
67.3%
Q3 - 5:24DETMISS Smith 3' Layup53
29.9%
55
70.1%
Q3 - 5:53DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arthur 3 AST)53
32.7%
55
67.3%
Q3 - 6:03DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
39.3%
52
60.7%
Q3 - 6:05DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot53
40.6%
52
59.4%
Q3 - 6:22DENFaried Foul Turnover (P3.T10)53
43.7%
52
56.3%
Q3 - 6:31DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)53
39.3%
52
60.7%
Q3 - 6:31DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)52
37.9%
52
62.1%
Q3 - 6:41DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
36.1%
52
63.9%
Q3 - 6:42DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
34.9%
52
65.1%
Q3 - 6:51DETSmith 10' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)51
32.1%
52
67.9%
Q3 - 7:15DENFaried 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)49
29.0%
52
71.0%
Q3 - 7:31DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)49
31.9%
50
68.1%
Q3 - 7:49DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
26.0%
50
74.0%
Q3 - 7:51DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 2 of 246
25.6%
50
74.4%
Q3 - 7:51DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)46
23.7%
50
76.3%
Q3 - 8:06DETDrummond Dunk (7 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)46
25.7%
49
74.3%
Q3 - 8:21DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Faried 4 AST)44
23.4%
49
76.6%
Q3 - 8:35DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)44
28.6%
46
71.4%
Q3 - 8:36DETMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
29.7%
46
70.3%
Q3 - 8:44DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
32.3%
46
67.7%
Q3 - 8:45DENMISS Gallinari 3PT Jump Shot44
31.2%
46
68.8%
Q3 - 8:51DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
28.6%
46
71.4%
Q3 - 8:52DENMISS Gallinari 5' Jump Shot44
31.2%
46
68.8%
Q3 - 9:02DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
28.7%
46
71.3%
Q3 - 9:04DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 19' Jump Shot44
29.7%
46
70.3%
Q3 - 9:26DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)44
31.9%
46
68.1%
Q3 - 9:26DENFaried Putback Dunk (13 PTS)44
31.9%
46
68.1%
Q3 - 9:27DENMISS Lawson 3' Layup44
37.4%
44
62.6%
Q3 - 9:35DETDrummond Reverse Dunk (5 PTS)44
35.0%
44
65.0%
Q3 - 9:39DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
31.9%
44
68.1%
Q3 - 9:40DETMISS Singler 3PT Jump Shot42
29.7%
44
70.3%
Q3 - 9:52DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
31.9%
44
68.1%
Q3 - 9:53DENMISS Mozgov 16' Jump Shot42
30.9%
44
69.1%
Q3 - 10:07DETSingler 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)42
28.6%
44
71.4%
Q3 - 10:20DETPistons Rebound40
25.9%
44
74.1%
Q3 - 10:20DETMISS Drummond 4' Jump Shot40
24.0%
44
76.0%
Q3 - 10:22DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
25.9%
44
74.1%
Q3 - 10:23DETMISS Smith 2' Layup40
24.0%
44
76.0%
Q3 - 10:41DENAfflalo 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
25.9%
44
74.1%
Q3 - 10:58DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)40
28.6%
42
71.4%
Q3 - 10:59DETMISS Drummond 11' Hook Shot40
29.5%
42
70.5%
Q3 - 11:17DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
31.6%
42
68.4%
Q3 - 11:19DENMISS Faried 6' Jump Hook Shot40
30.7%
42
69.3%
Q3 - 11:32DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
28.6%
42
71.4%
Q3 - 11:33DETMISS Drummond 9' Turnaround Hook Shot40
29.5%
42
70.5%
Q3 - 11:48DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
31.6%
42
68.4%
Q3 - 11:50DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
30.7%
42
69.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET40
28.6%
42
71.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound40
31.6%
42
68.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Jerebko 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
30.0%
42
70.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0DENLawson 17' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
31.3%
42
68.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0DETCaldwell-Pope Driving Layup (4 PTS)40
35.0%
40
65.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
31.4%
40
68.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENMISS Gallinari 18' Jump Shot38
30.7%
40
69.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0DETSingler Foul Turnover (P1.T7)38
29.3%
40
70.7%
Q2 - 1:00DENFaried 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)38
31.4%
40
68.6%
Q2 - 1:13DENMozgov Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)38
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 1:31DETAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)38
38.4%
37
61.6%
Q2 - 1:39DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
40.0%
37
60.0%
Q2 - 1:41DETMISS Singler 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
38.9%
37
61.1%
Q2 - 1:47DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
40.0%
37
60.0%
Q2 - 1:49DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
39.5%
37
60.5%
Q2 - 1:53DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)38
38.4%
37
61.6%
Q2 - 1:55DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot38
38.9%
37
61.1%
Q2 - 2:07DENMozgov Illegal Assist Turnover (P1.T9)38
40.3%
37
59.7%
Q2 - 2:18DETAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T5)38
37.5%
37
62.5%
Q2 - 2:31DETPistons Rebound38
40.3%
37
59.7%
Q2 - 2:34DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 9' Jump Shot38
38.3%
37
61.7%
Q2 - 2:50DENMozgov Dunk (6 PTS) (Faried 3 AST)38
40.3%
37
59.7%
Q2 - 3:05DENNUGGETS Rebound38
42.6%
35
57.4%
Q2 - 3:05DETMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
43.7%
35
56.3%
Q2 - 3:12DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
46.0%
35
54.0%
Q2 - 3:14DENMISS Faried 18' Jump Shot38
45.0%
35
55.0%
Q2 - 3:24DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
42.6%
35
57.4%
Q2 - 3:25DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
43.7%
35
56.3%
Q2 - 3:41DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
46.1%
35
53.9%
Q2 - 3:42DENMISS Afflalo 18' Step Back Jump Shot38
45.0%
35
55.0%
Q2 - 3:48DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)38
42.7%
35
57.3%
Q2 - 3:50DENMISS Faried 3' Layup38
45.0%
35
55.0%
Q2 - 4:05DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
42.2%
35
57.8%
Q2 - 4:06DETMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot38
43.1%
35
56.9%
Q2 - 4:20DENFaried 2' Layup (9 PTS)38
45.2%
35
54.8%
Q2 - 4:23DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)38
47.9%
33
52.1%
Q2 - 4:24DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
50.0%
33
50.0%
Q2 - 4:44DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
47.9%
33
52.1%
Q2 - 4:45DETMISS Smith 9' Running Hook Shot38
48.8%
33
51.2%
Q2 - 5:06DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
50.4%
33
49.6%
Q2 - 5:06DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 238
51.3%
32
48.7%
Q2 - 5:14DETSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T4)38
50.4%
32
49.6%
Q2 - 5:31DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)38
53.2%
32
46.8%
Q2 - 5:36DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
50.4%
32
49.6%
Q2 - 5:37DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
52.4%
32
47.6%
Q2 - 5:59DETSingler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 2 AST)38
50.4%
32
49.6%
Q2 - 6:07DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
44.8%
32
55.2%
Q2 - 6:09DENMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
43.8%
32
56.2%
Q2 - 6:22DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)35
41.6%
32
58.4%
Q2 - 6:27DENChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)33
39.5%
32
60.5%
Q2 - 6:44DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
36.4%
32
63.6%
Q2 - 6:44DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 232
35.2%
32
64.8%
Q2 - 6:57DENMcGee 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)32
36.9%
32
63.1%
Q2 - 7:15DETJerebko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)32
34.0%
32
66.0%
Q2 - 7:35DENRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
29.6%
32
70.4%
Q2 - 7:49DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
34.0%
29
66.0%
Q2 - 7:51DETMISS Augustin Free Throw 2 of 229
34.3%
29
65.7%
Q2 - 7:51DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
36.1%
29
63.9%
Q2 - 8:05DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q2 - 8:07DENMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot28
33.1%
29
66.9%
Q2 - 8:17DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
31.5%
29
68.5%
Q2 - 8:18DETMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot28
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q2 - 8:31DETButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q2 - 8:32DETMcGee BLOCK (1 BLK)28
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q2 - 8:53DENArthur 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)28
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q2 - 9:12DETAugustin 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)28
35.7%
27
64.3%
Q2 - 9:26DENMcGee 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Arthur 2 AST)26
33.7%
27
66.3%
Q2 - 9:52DETAugustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
35.7%
25
64.3%
Q2 - 10:07DENFoye 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
31.7%
25
68.3%
Q2 - 10:16DETFoye STEAL (2 STL)23
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q2 - 10:31DENArthur Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)23
36.1%
23
63.9%
Q2 - 10:32DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q2 - 10:33DETMISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q2 - 10:40DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
36.1%
23
63.9%
Q2 - 10:41DENMISS Robinson 1' Layup23
35.3%
23
64.7%
Q2 - 10:55DENNUGGETS Rebound23
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q2 - 10:55DETMISS Dinwiddie 20' Jump Shot23
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q2 - 11:15DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
35.8%
23
64.2%
Q2 - 11:17DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
35.1%
23
64.9%
Q2 - 11:35DETAugustin 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
33.5%
23
66.5%
Q2 - 11:51DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
31.5%
23
68.5%
Q2 - 11:52DENMISS Arthur 21' Jump Shot21
30.8%
23
69.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET21
29.3%
23
70.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
31.1%
23
68.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENMISS Foye 19' Turnaround Jump Shot21
30.7%
23
69.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0DETSmith 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dinwiddie 1 AST)21
29.6%
23
70.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
27.2%
23
72.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
26.8%
23
73.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
25.9%
23
74.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0DETMISS Augustin 21' Jump Shot19
26.3%
23
73.7%
Q1 - 1:10DENChandler Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)19
27.3%
23
72.7%
Q1 - 1:24DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
26.0%
23
74.0%
Q1 - 1:26DETMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
26.4%
23
73.6%
Q1 - 1:46DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
27.3%
23
72.7%
Q1 - 1:49DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 119
27.1%
23
72.9%
Q1 - 1:52DETFoye STEAL (1 STL)19
29.7%
21
70.3%
Q1 - 1:58DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
31.1%
21
68.9%
Q1 - 2:00DENMISS Arthur 20' Jump Shot19
30.7%
21
69.3%
Q1 - 2:09DETSmith 2' Layup (13 PTS)19
29.5%
21
70.5%
Q1 - 2:13DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
27.6%
21
72.4%
Q1 - 2:15DETMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot17
26.4%
21
73.6%
Q1 - 2:35DENChandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)17
27.6%
21
72.4%
Q1 - 2:41DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
31.5%
18
68.5%
Q1 - 2:43DETMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot17
32.1%
18
67.9%
Q1 - 2:55DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
33.4%
18
66.6%
Q1 - 2:56DENMISS Nurkic 3' Hook Shot17
32.8%
18
67.2%
Q1 - 3:14DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
31.2%
18
68.8%
Q1 - 3:15DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 217
31.5%
18
68.5%
Q1 - 3:15DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 217
32.2%
18
67.8%
Q1 - 3:26DENNurkic 2' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)17
33.4%
18
66.6%
Q1 - 3:45DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 3:48DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 217
35.5%
16
64.5%
Q1 - 3:48DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)17
36.5%
16
63.5%
Q1 - 4:01DENAfflalo 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)16
35.3%
16
64.7%
Q1 - 4:14DETJennings 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)16
37.0%
14
63.0%
Q1 - 4:25DENGallinari Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
35.3%
14
64.7%
Q1 - 4:27DETGallinari STEAL (1 STL)14
33.0%
14
67.0%
Q1 - 4:29DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
35.3%
14
64.7%
Q1 - 4:31DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup14
34.6%
14
65.4%
Q1 - 4:40DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
33.0%
14
67.0%
Q1 - 4:42DETGallinari BLOCK (1 BLK)14
33.7%
14
66.3%
Q1 - 4:49DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
35.3%
14
64.7%
Q1 - 5:13DETSmith 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)14
32.9%
14
67.1%
Q1 - 5:27DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
31.2%
14
68.8%
Q1 - 5:27DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
31.5%
13
68.5%
Q1 - 5:34DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
32.9%
12
67.1%
Q1 - 5:36DETMISS Singler 11' Step Back Jump Shot12
33.5%
12
66.5%
Q1 - 5:56DENFaried Layup (6 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)12
34.9%
12
65.1%
Q1 - 6:10DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
36.2%
10
63.8%
Q1 - 6:12DETMISS Drummond 3' Reverse Layup12
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 6:28DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
38.3%
10
61.7%
Q1 - 6:28DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
38.5%
9
61.5%
Q1 - 6:49DETSmith 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)12
40.0%
8
60.0%
Q1 - 7:02DETPistons Rebound10
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 7:02DETMozgov BLOCK (1 BLK)10
36.6%
8
63.4%
Q1 - 7:08DETPistons Rebound10
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 7:08DETMISS Jennings 20' Jump Shot10
36.6%
8
63.4%
Q1 - 7:18DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 7:19DENMISS Afflalo 17' Turnaround Jump Shot10
37.4%
8
62.6%
Q1 - 7:29DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
36.0%
8
64.0%
Q1 - 7:31DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 210
36.3%
8
63.7%
Q1 - 7:31DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 210
37.1%
8
62.9%
Q1 - 7:40DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 7:42DENMISS Mozgov 17' Jump Shot10
37.4%
8
62.6%
Q1 - 7:56DETSmith 2' Layup (6 PTS)10
36.0%
8
64.0%
Q1 - 8:09DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 8:10DENMISS Faried 4' Jump Hook Shot8
33.8%
8
66.2%
Q1 - 8:32DETDrummond 1' Layup (2 PTS)8
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 8:54DETPistons Rebound6
31.0%
8
69.0%
Q1 - 8:57DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
30.5%
8
69.5%
Q1 - 9:11DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
29.2%
8
70.8%
Q1 - 9:13DETMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot6
29.7%
8
70.3%
Q1 - 9:32DENFaried 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)6
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 9:39DETJennings 11' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)6
29.2%
8
70.8%
Q1 - 9:51DENMozgov 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)4
27.8%
8
72.2%
Q1 - 9:55DENNUGGETS Rebound4
29.2%
6
70.8%
Q1 - 9:55DENMISS Afflalo 13' Jump Shot4
30.4%
6
69.6%
Q1 - 9:55DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
29.2%
6
70.8%
Q1 - 9:55DENMISS Gallinari 19' Jump Shot4
30.4%
6
69.6%
Q1 - 10:16DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
29.2%
6
70.8%
Q1 - 10:16DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
28.6%
6
71.4%
Q1 - 10:31DENMozgov Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)2
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 10:41DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 10:44DETMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
29.7%
4
70.3%
Q1 - 10:55DENFaried 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)2
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 11:11DETSmith 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)2
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 11:23DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 11:23DENFaried 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)0
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 11:25DENMISS Mozgov 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
33.4%
0
66.6%
Q1 - 11:38DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:40DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Mozgov vs. Drummond: Tip to Caldwell-Pope0
33.9%
0
66.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.81 40.7%
DEN
0.89 44.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
16
28
57%
DEN
15
28
54%
Midrange
DET
9
30
30%
DEN
9
33
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
26
23%
35%
DEN
6
9.0
24
25%
38%
Free Throws
DET
11
19
58%
DEN
23
31
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2546%12.5 / 27
D. Augustin1563%7.5 / 12
A. Drummond1146%5.5 / 12
K. Singler857%4.0 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope718%3.5 / 19
J. Jerebko770%3.5 / 5
B. Jennings450%2.0 / 4
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
C. Butler0-0.0 / 5
S. Dinwiddie0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Faried2269%11.0 / 16
A. Afflalo1544%7.5 / 17
T. Mozgov1350%6.5 / 13
D. Gallinari735%3.5 / 10
W. Chandler744%3.5 / 8
R. Foye750%3.5 / 7
J. Nurkić550%2.5 / 5
T. Lawson319%1.5 / 8
A. Gee375%1.5 / 2
N. Robinson338%1.5 / 4
D. Arthur214%1.0 / 7
J. McGee250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
80
+16
-15
96
DEN
80
+20
-15
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.81 40.7%
DEN
0.89 44.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
104.8
DET 83.2
DEN 93.7 +10.5
Pace
93.1
95.9
DET 91.3
DEN 100.4 +9.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.4
DET 15.8
DEN 14.3 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
47.9%
DET 40.5% +1.7%
DEN 38.8%
TO %
13.5%
14.3%
DET 14.8%
DEN 13.2% +1.6%
ORB %
27.7%
26.5%
DET 17.8%
DEN 27.5% +9.7%
FTrt
26.1
27.8
DET 22.6
DEN 36.5 +13.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
57.7%
DET 48.4%
DEN 56.7% +8.3%
STL %
8.1%
8.0%
DET 4.2%
DEN 7.4% +3.2%
BLK %
7.6%
7.2%
DET 8.2% +1.3%
DEN 6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
50.8%
DET 40.7%
DEN 44.5% +3.8%
Rim FG%
53.4%
56.1%
DET 57.1% +3.5%
DEN 53.6%
Mid FG%
37.8%
37.9%
DET 30.0% +2.7%
DEN 27.3%
3P %
34.4%
32.5%
DET 23.1%
DEN 25.0% +1.9%
FT %
70.3%
73.5%
DET 57.9%
DEN 74.2% +16.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.8%
38.2%
DET 33.3% +0.4%
DEN 32.9%
Mid Att. %
30.1%
33.4%
DET 35.7% +3.1%
DEN 38.8%
3P Att. %
29.0%
28.4%
DET 31.0% +2.7%
DEN 28.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETDEN
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes25.022.7
Points7989
Rebounds4551
Assists1517
Steals47
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (8)14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)37 (4)
Field Goals31-8430-85
At-the-Rim FG16-2815-28
Midrange FG9-309-33
2-Point FG25-5824-61
3-Point FG6-266-24
Free Throws11-1923-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
35.8
25
46%
5
3
1
2
2
5
1
4
7-11
64%
9-19
47%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 204 · 22
35.6
7
18%
7
3
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-11
18%
1-8
13%
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
29.9
8
57%
2
1
0
0
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 279 · 21
27.1
11
46%
9
1
2
1
1
6
3
6
1-4
25%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 170 · 25
19.8
4
50%
4
2
0
0
3
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 183 · 27
28.2
15
63%
6
3
0
0
3
2
0
6
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
F · 6'7" 228 · 35
22.8
0
0%
6
1
1
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 32
20.9
2
100%
5
0
0
1
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 231 · 28
12.2
7
70%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 215 · 22
7.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24
· 6'8" 216 · 23
F · 6'8" 215 · 27
#20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · F · 6'7" 220 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
41%
45
15
4
5
15
0
8
37
11-19
58%
25-58
43%
6-26
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.