FinalWin Prob.pScore
1941%95
95
1459%98
107
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
103.39297.1
MIA logo MIA
116.39287.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS95
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)95
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0WASPorter Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0WASPorter Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0WASMISS Porter Free Throw 1 of 393
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0WASPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Bosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0WASMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01MIAWade 25' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)93
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 1:19WASMISS Wall 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 1:27MIADeng 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)93
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 1:46MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)93
3.3%
99
96.7%
Q4 - 1:47WASMISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 293
3.5%
99
96.5%
Q4 - 1:47WASGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)93
4.6%
99
95.4%
Q4 - 1:55MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)92
3.5%
99
96.5%
Q4 - 2:20WASGooden 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wall 11 AST)92
5.6%
97
94.4%
Q4 - 2:40MIACole 28' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)90
4.6%
97
95.4%
Q4 - 3:01WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)90
10.3%
94
89.7%
Q4 - 3:01WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
9.6%
94
90.4%
Q4 - 3:12MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (26 PTS)88
8.0%
94
92.0%
Q4 - 3:27WASPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)88
10.1%
92
89.9%
Q4 - 3:27WASPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)87
9.5%
92
90.5%
Q4 - 3:45MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)86
10.0%
92
90.0%
Q4 - 4:01WASGortat Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)86
13.2%
90
86.8%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
6.8%
90
93.2%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)83
7.4%
89
92.6%
Q4 - 4:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)83
9.3%
88
90.7%
Q4 - 4:25WASMISS Wall 2' Driving Layup83
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q4 - 4:45MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 3 AST)83
13.2%
88
86.8%
Q4 - 4:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
23.8%
85
76.2%
Q4 - 4:57WASMISS Porter 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
26.2%
85
73.8%
Q4 - 5:11MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)83
33.2%
85
66.8%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 283
34.6%
84
65.4%
Q4 - 5:22WASPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)83
32.5%
84
67.5%
Q4 - 5:22WASMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 282
31.4%
84
68.6%
Q4 - 5:39WASPorter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
33.2%
84
66.8%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot82
30.8%
84
69.2%
Q4 - 5:48WASGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
25.7%
84
74.3%
Q4 - 5:48WASMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 281
24.7%
84
75.3%
Q4 - 5:59MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)81
26.2%
84
73.8%
Q4 - 6:13WASWall 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)81
21.3%
84
78.7%
Q4 - 6:22WASPorter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
17.3%
84
82.7%
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot79
15.9%
84
84.1%
Q4 - 6:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)79
12.9%
84
87.1%
Q4 - 6:38WASMISS Gortat 6' Hook Shot79
14.1%
84
85.9%
Q4 - 6:58MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)79
17.2%
84
82.8%
Q4 - 7:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)79
14.6%
84
85.4%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
17.4%
84
82.6%
Q4 - 7:22WASPorter 14' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)79
14.5%
84
85.5%
Q4 - 7:27WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
11.7%
84
88.3%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Ennis 3PT Jump Shot77
10.7%
84
89.3%
Q4 - 7:54WASPorter 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS)77
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q4 - 7:55WASPorter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
7.0%
84
93.0%
Q4 - 7:56WASMISS Gooden 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 8:03WASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
8.3%
84
91.7%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Bosh 15' Turnaround Jump Shot75
7.7%
84
92.3%
Q4 - 8:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
6.5%
84
93.5%
Q4 - 8:17WASMISS Wall 2' Driving Layup75
7.0%
84
93.0%
Q4 - 8:35MIANapier 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)75
8.2%
84
91.8%
Q4 - 8:40WASNapier STEAL (1 STL)75
10.3%
82
89.7%
Q4 - 8:51MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)75
12.9%
82
87.1%
Q4 - 8:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
19.8%
79
80.2%
Q4 - 8:56WASMISS Seraphin 17' Jump Shot75
21.1%
79
78.9%
Q4 - 9:17MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)75
25.5%
79
74.5%
Q4 - 9:36WASButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (A. Miller 1 AST)75
35.3%
76
64.7%
Q4 - 9:52MIABosh 6' Driving Bank Shot (21 PTS)72
25.4%
76
74.6%
Q4 - 10:09WASHumphries 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)72
30.5%
74
69.5%
Q4 - 10:33MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T12)70
26.1%
74
73.9%
Q4 - 10:36MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
21.9%
74
78.1%
Q4 - 10:38WASMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot70
23.1%
74
76.9%
Q4 - 10:58MIAEnnis 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)70
26.1%
74
73.9%
Q4 - 11:11MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
30.8%
72
69.2%
Q4 - 11:12WASMISS Seraphin 8' Jump Hook Shot70
32.3%
72
67.7%
Q4 - 11:32WASA. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
35.8%
72
64.2%
Q4 - 11:33MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot70
34.2%
72
65.8%
Q4 - 11:39MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
30.8%
72
69.2%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup70
34.2%
72
65.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS70
30.8%
72
69.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound70
35.8%
72
64.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASMISS Temple 54' 3PT Jump Shot70
32.3%
72
67.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)70
35.9%
72
64.1%
Q3 - 0:14.0WASPorter Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)70
45.7%
69
54.3%
Q3 - 0:14.0WASPorter Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)69
44.4%
69
55.6%
Q3 - 0:14.0WASMISS Porter Free Throw 1 of 368
42.9%
69
57.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
40.7%
69
59.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 268
42.0%
68
58.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
40.7%
68
59.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0WASMISS Wall 18' Jump Shot68
42.2%
68
57.8%
Q3 - 1:03MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)68
45.4%
68
54.6%
Q3 - 1:21WASHumphries 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)68
40.5%
68
59.5%
Q3 - 1:39MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)68
45.4%
68
54.6%
Q3 - 1:47WASAndersen STEAL (2 STL)68
40.5%
68
59.5%
Q3 - 1:54WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
45.4%
68
54.6%
Q3 - 1:55MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup68
43.9%
68
56.1%
Q3 - 2:20MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
40.1%
68
59.9%
Q3 - 2:21WASMISS Temple 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
41.5%
68
58.5%
Q3 - 2:28WASWizards Rebound68
44.8%
68
55.2%
Q3 - 2:29WASMISS Humphries 17' Jump Shot68
41.5%
68
58.5%
Q3 - 2:40WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
44.8%
68
55.2%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
43.4%
68
56.6%
Q3 - 3:01MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
40.0%
68
60.0%
Q3 - 3:02WASDeng BLOCK (1 BLK)68
41.4%
68
58.6%
Q3 - 3:29MIACole 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)68
44.7%
68
55.3%
Q3 - 3:48MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
48.7%
66
51.3%
Q3 - 3:49WASMISS Gortat 7' Turnaround Hook Shot68
50.2%
66
49.8%
Q3 - 4:03WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
53.0%
66
47.0%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup68
51.5%
66
48.5%
Q3 - 4:12WASShaw. Williams STEAL (2 STL)68
47.9%
66
52.1%
Q3 - 4:21MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T9)68
53.1%
66
46.9%
Q3 - 4:42WASGortat 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)68
48.0%
66
52.0%
Q3 - 5:05MIACole 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)66
44.1%
66
55.9%
Q3 - 5:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
47.6%
64
52.4%
Q3 - 5:31WASMISS Wall 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
49.0%
64
51.0%
Q3 - 5:54WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
52.3%
64
47.7%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
50.9%
64
49.1%
Q3 - 6:13WASTemple Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)66
47.1%
64
52.9%
Q3 - 6:15MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)66
51.6%
64
48.4%
Q3 - 6:21MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
47.1%
64
52.9%
Q3 - 6:22MIAMISS Wade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot66
50.3%
64
49.7%
Q3 - 6:40WASWall 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)66
47.1%
64
52.9%
Q3 - 6:45MIADeng Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)64
43.8%
64
56.2%
Q3 - 7:05WASWall 11' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS)64
39.1%
64
60.9%
Q3 - 7:11WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
36.0%
64
64.0%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
34.8%
64
65.2%
Q3 - 7:35WASGortat 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Temple 1 AST)62
32.1%
64
67.9%
Q3 - 7:59MIACole 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 2 AST)60
29.2%
64
70.8%
Q3 - 8:20WASPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)60
32.1%
62
67.9%
Q3 - 8:30MIACole 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)57
26.5%
62
73.5%
Q3 - 8:38MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
29.0%
60
71.0%
Q3 - 8:39WASMISS Wall 20' Jump Shot57
30.1%
60
69.9%
Q3 - 8:45WASTemple REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
32.7%
60
67.3%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot57
31.5%
60
68.5%
Q3 - 9:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
29.0%
60
71.0%
Q3 - 9:01WASMISS Temple 16' Jump Shot57
30.2%
60
69.8%
Q3 - 9:17MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)57
32.4%
60
67.6%
Q3 - 9:31WASPierce Foul Turnover (P1.T9)57
38.9%
57
61.1%
Q3 - 9:41MIAShaw. Williams 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)57
42.6%
57
57.4%
Q3 - 9:51MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
46.0%
55
54.0%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot57
48.6%
55
51.4%
Q3 - 10:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
45.6%
55
54.4%
Q3 - 10:04MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot57
48.1%
55
51.9%
Q3 - 10:22WASGooden 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)57
45.7%
55
54.3%
Q3 - 10:45MIACole 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)55
42.2%
55
57.8%
Q3 - 11:02WASTemple 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
45.3%
53
54.7%
Q3 - 11:21WASPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 1' Layup52
37.8%
53
62.2%
Q3 - 11:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
35.5%
53
64.5%
Q3 - 11:42WASMISS Pierce 14' Jump Shot52
36.5%
53
63.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound52
35.5%
53
64.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cole 30' 3PT Jump Shot52
37.8%
53
62.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0WASTemple 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wall 9 AST)52
36.2%
53
63.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)49
29.6%
53
70.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0WASGortat 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Wall 8 AST)49
36.1%
50
63.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
32.4%
50
67.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
33.2%
49
66.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0WASPierce 12' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Wall 7 AST)47
36.1%
48
63.9%
Q2 - 1:12MIAWade 6' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
32.5%
48
67.5%
Q2 - 1:35WASGooden 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)45
36.6%
46
63.4%
Q2 - 1:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)43
32.4%
46
67.6%
Q2 - 2:01MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
38.8%
43
61.2%
Q2 - 2:02WASMISS Gortat 9' Turnaround Jump Shot43
39.7%
43
60.3%
Q2 - 2:09WASTemple REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
41.7%
43
58.3%
Q2 - 2:10WASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)43
39.7%
43
60.3%
Q2 - 2:26MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
41.7%
43
58.3%
Q2 - 2:26MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
42.4%
42
57.6%
Q2 - 2:29WASWade STEAL (2 STL)43
44.9%
41
55.1%
Q2 - 2:39WASGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
47.8%
41
52.2%
Q2 - 2:40MIAMISS Wade 7' Floating Jump Shot43
46.9%
41
53.1%
Q2 - 2:57MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
44.9%
41
55.1%
Q2 - 2:58WASMISS Gooden Free Throw 2 of 243
45.3%
41
54.7%
Q2 - 2:58WASMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 243
47.5%
41
52.5%
Q2 - 3:13WASPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
47.7%
41
52.3%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
46.7%
41
53.3%
Q2 - 3:39WASPierce Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Wall 6 AST)43
44.3%
41
55.7%
Q2 - 3:44WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
41.8%
41
58.2%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Reverse Layup41
40.8%
41
59.2%
Q2 - 3:54WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
38.5%
41
61.5%
Q2 - 3:54WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
38.0%
41
62.0%
Q2 - 3:57WASTemple REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
36.1%
41
63.9%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
35.2%
41
64.8%
Q2 - 4:08WASWall 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)39
33.2%
41
66.8%
Q2 - 4:16WASPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
30.8%
41
69.2%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot37
30.0%
41
70.0%
Q2 - 4:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
28.3%
41
71.7%
Q2 - 4:26WASMISS Pierce 2' Layup37
29.0%
41
71.0%
Q2 - 4:41MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)37
30.8%
41
69.2%
Q2 - 4:46MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
28.3%
41
71.7%
Q2 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 8' Driving Jump Shot37
30.0%
41
70.0%
Q2 - 5:04WASGooden 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)37
28.6%
41
71.4%
Q2 - 5:22MIAAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)37
30.9%
41
69.1%
Q2 - 5:39WASGooden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)37
33.3%
39
66.7%
Q2 - 6:05MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)34
29.1%
39
70.9%
Q2 - 6:10MIANapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
33.3%
36
66.7%
Q2 - 6:11MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
35.4%
36
64.6%
Q2 - 6:32WASGooden 2' Tip Shot (8 PTS)34
33.3%
36
66.7%
Q2 - 6:33WASGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
31.4%
36
68.6%
Q2 - 6:34WASMISS Gortat 9' Turnaround Jump Shot32
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 6:59MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)32
31.4%
36
68.6%
Q2 - 7:22WASGooden 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)32
33.5%
34
66.5%
Q2 - 7:35WASPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
31.4%
34
68.6%
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot30
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 7:49MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
29.0%
34
71.0%
Q2 - 7:50WASMISS Porter 19' Jump Shot30
29.7%
34
70.3%
Q2 - 8:07MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)30
31.3%
34
68.7%
Q2 - 8:13MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
33.5%
32
66.5%
Q2 - 8:14WASMISS Gortat 7' Hook Shot30
34.2%
32
65.8%
Q2 - 8:32MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)30
36.0%
32
64.0%
Q2 - 8:32MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)30
36.4%
31
63.6%
Q2 - 8:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
38.3%
30
61.7%
Q2 - 8:41WASMISS Porter 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
39.0%
30
61.0%
Q2 - 9:00MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)30
40.9%
30
59.1%
Q2 - 9:00MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)30
41.3%
29
58.7%
Q2 - 9:20MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
42.8%
28
57.2%
Q2 - 9:21WASMISS Humphries 2' Driving Layup30
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 9:29MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)30
45.6%
28
54.4%
Q2 - 9:40WASHumphries 11' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Seraphin 1 AST)30
42.8%
28
57.2%
Q2 - 9:58MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)28
40.7%
28
59.3%
Q2 - 10:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
42.7%
26
57.3%
Q2 - 10:10WASMISS A. Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
43.6%
26
56.4%
Q2 - 10:33MIABosh 1' Tip Shot (5 PTS)28
45.6%
26
54.4%
Q2 - 10:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
47.6%
24
52.4%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup28
49.7%
24
50.3%
Q2 - 10:48WASHumphries Foul Turnover (P1.T6)28
47.6%
24
52.4%
Q2 - 10:55WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
50.6%
24
49.4%
Q2 - 10:56WASMISS Humphries 20' Jump Shot28
48.5%
24
51.5%
Q2 - 11:23MIAAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)28
50.0%
24
50.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
52.3%
22
47.7%
Q2 - 11:37WASMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot28
53.1%
22
46.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
54.9%
22
45.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound28
52.3%
22
47.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
54.1%
22
45.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0WASGortat 12' Turnaround Bank Shot (8 PTS)28
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
49.2%
22
50.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
47.5%
22
52.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
48.7%
22
51.3%
Q1 - 1:12WASPorter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wall 5 AST)26
47.3%
22
52.7%
Q1 - 1:17WASHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
42.1%
22
57.9%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup23
41.6%
22
58.4%
Q1 - 1:43WASWall 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
40.5%
22
59.5%
Q1 - 1:49WASHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
37.7%
22
62.3%
Q1 - 1:50MIAMISS Cole 3' Driving Reverse Layup21
37.2%
22
62.8%
Q1 - 1:55WASChalmers STEAL (1 STL)21
36.1%
22
63.9%
Q1 - 2:12MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
38.0%
22
62.0%
Q1 - 2:27WASWall 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
40.2%
20
59.8%
Q1 - 2:37MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)19
37.9%
20
62.1%
Q1 - 3:01WASPorter 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)19
42.1%
17
57.9%
Q1 - 3:12WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
40.2%
17
59.8%
Q1 - 3:13WASMISS Humphries 21' Jump Shot17
38.5%
17
61.5%
Q1 - 3:38WASTemple REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
40.2%
17
59.8%
Q1 - 3:39MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup17
39.5%
17
60.5%
Q1 - 3:55WASGortat Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)17
37.8%
17
62.2%
Q1 - 4:15WASGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
35.9%
17
64.1%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Shaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 215
35.6%
17
64.4%
Q1 - 4:16MIAShaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
34.4%
17
65.6%
Q1 - 4:19WASShaw. Williams STEAL (1 STL)15
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 4:38MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 1 AST)15
38.0%
16
62.0%
Q1 - 5:05WASGortat 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)15
41.5%
13
58.5%
Q1 - 5:13MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
39.7%
13
60.3%
Q1 - 5:18WASAndersen STEAL (1 STL)13
41.5%
11
58.5%
Q1 - 5:32MIADeng Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)13
43.7%
11
56.3%
Q1 - 5:35MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
41.5%
11
58.5%
Q1 - 5:36WASMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
42.2%
11
57.8%
Q1 - 5:54MIADeng 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)13
43.8%
11
56.2%
Q1 - 6:09WASPierce 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)13
45.0%
9
55.0%
Q1 - 6:26MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)11
43.2%
9
56.8%
Q1 - 6:36WASGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
41.1%
9
58.9%
Q1 - 6:36WASGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
40.6%
9
59.4%
Q1 - 6:43WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
39.4%
9
60.6%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
38.8%
9
61.2%
Q1 - 7:00WASGooden 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)9
37.3%
9
62.7%
Q1 - 7:01WASGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
35.7%
9
64.3%
Q1 - 7:02WASMISS Gortat 17' Jump Shot7
34.3%
9
65.7%
Q1 - 7:20MIAWade 6' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
35.7%
9
64.3%
Q1 - 7:36MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
37.2%
7
62.8%
Q1 - 7:37WASBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)7
37.9%
7
62.1%
Q1 - 7:40WASTemple REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
39.3%
7
60.7%
Q1 - 7:41WASMISS Temple 3PT Jump Shot7
37.9%
7
62.1%
Q1 - 7:56MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
39.3%
7
60.7%
Q1 - 8:00WASBosh STEAL (1 STL)7
37.2%
7
62.8%
Q1 - 8:07WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
39.3%
7
60.7%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
38.7%
7
61.3%
Q1 - 8:29WASGooden 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)7
37.3%
7
62.7%
Q1 - 8:42WASTemple REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
35.7%
7
64.3%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 8:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
33.8%
7
66.2%
Q1 - 8:56WASMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot5
34.4%
7
65.6%
Q1 - 9:15MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
35.7%
7
64.3%
Q1 - 9:29WASPierce 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)5
37.3%
5
62.7%
Q1 - 9:40WASPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
35.7%
5
64.3%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
35.1%
5
64.9%
Q1 - 9:48MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
33.8%
5
66.2%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
35.1%
5
64.9%
Q1 - 9:54WASWade STEAL (1 STL)3
33.8%
5
66.2%
Q1 - 10:00WASTemple REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
35.7%
5
64.3%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot3
35.1%
5
64.9%
Q1 - 10:09MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
33.8%
5
66.2%
Q1 - 10:10WASMISS Temple 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
34.3%
5
65.7%
Q1 - 10:19WASGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
35.6%
5
64.4%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 1' Driving Layup3
35.1%
5
64.9%
Q1 - 10:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
33.8%
5
66.2%
Q1 - 10:27WASMISS Gooden 10' Hook Shot3
34.3%
5
65.7%
Q1 - 10:47MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
35.6%
5
64.4%
Q1 - 10:47MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
36.0%
4
64.0%
Q1 - 10:47MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
37.2%
3
62.8%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
38.6%
3
61.4%
Q1 - 11:05WASPierce 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)3
37.2%
3
62.8%
Q1 - 11:31MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)0
33.7%
3
66.3%
Q1 - 11:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Deng 4' Jump Shot0
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Gortat: Tip to Cole0
37.2%
0
62.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.09 54.6%
MIA
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
15
22
68%
MIA
16
27
59%
Midrange
WAS
15
34
44%
MIA
14
26
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
MIA
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
Free Throws
WAS
17
24
71%
MIA
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Gortat1856%9.0 / 16
D. Gooden1869%9.0 / 13
P. Pierce1771%8.5 / 12
J. Wall1653%8.0 / 15
O. Porter Jr.1372%6.5 / 9
G. Temple638%3.0 / 8
K. Humphries433%2.0 / 6
R. Butler350%1.5 / 3
A. Miller0-0.0 / 1
K. Seraphin0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2665%13.0 / 20
N. Cole2372%11.5 / 16
D. Wade2162%10.5 / 17
L. Deng1260%6.0 / 10
M. Chalmers857%4.0 / 7
C. Andersen788%3.5 / 4
J. Ennis III563%2.5 / 4
S. Williams315%1.5 / 10
S. Napier250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
78
+9
-14
87
MIA
78
+14
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.09 54.6%
MIA
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
103.9
WAS 103.3
MIA 116.3 +13.0
Pace
93.6
91.0
WAS 97.1 +9.6
MIA 87.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.3
WAS 14.8 +1.6
MIA 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
50.0%
WAS 52.0%
MIA 53.7% +1.7%
TO %
15.2%
15.2%
WAS 14.1%
MIA 13.3% +0.8%
ORB %
25.0%
23.3%
WAS 17.9%
MIA 29.3% +11.4%
FTrt
25.9
30.6
WAS 32.0 +3.6
MIA 28.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
56.4%
WAS 55.6% +4.3%
MIA 51.3%
STL %
7.7%
8.6%
WAS 7.6%
MIA 9.8% +2.2%
BLK %
7.6%
8.0%
WAS 3.8%
MIA 5.4% +1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
52.2%
WAS 54.6%
MIA 58.2% +3.6%
Rim FG%
61.2%
59.7%
WAS 68.2% +8.9%
MIA 59.3%
Mid FG%
39.6%
40.9%
WAS 44.1%
MIA 53.8% +9.7%
3P %
36.0%
33.5%
WAS 31.6%
MIA 32.1% +0.5%
FT %
74.2%
74.1%
WAS 70.8%
MIA 87.0% +16.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.0%
35.1%
WAS 29.3%
MIA 33.3% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
45.6%
38.7%
WAS 45.3%
MIA 32.1% +13.2%
3P Att. %
20.3%
26.2%
WAS 25.3%
MIA 34.6% +9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes22.825.3
Points95107
Rebounds3644
Assists2020
Steals79
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)32 (0)
Field Goals36-7539-81
At-the-Rim FG15-2216-27
Midrange FG15-3414-26
2-Point FG30-5630-53
3-Point FG6-199-28
Free Throws17-2420-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
40.2
18
56%
7
0
0
1
0
3
1
6
4-5
80%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 24
37.4
16
53%
3
11
2
0
6
3
0
3
4-4
100%
6-11
55%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 250 · 33
33.6
18
69%
5
1
0
0
2
3
2
3
1-4
25%
7-9
78%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 235 · 37
32.7
17
71%
6
5
2
0
1
3
0
6
4-5
80%
5-7
71%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 195 · 28
30.9
6
38%
7
1
2
1
3
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 198 · 21
23.5
13
72%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
4-6
67%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 235 · 30
13.3
4
33%
2
0
0
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 39
10.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 35
10.3
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25
7.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 24
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 207 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
55%
36
20
7
2
14
0
7
29
17-24
71%
30-56
54%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.