FinalWin Prob.pScore
355%101
85
1645%100
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
91.49388.7
ATL logo ATL
105.49398.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL85
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 3 of 385
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 3 (27 PTS)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 3 (26 PTS)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)83
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)83
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLWilliams 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) (Scott 2 AST)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11ATLJump Ball Millsap vs. Haslem: Tip to80
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 1:18ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)80
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 1:33ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 1:34MIAMISS Douglas 2' Driving Layup80
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 1:46ATLWilliams 9' Driving Jump Shot (15 PTS)80
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 2:03ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 180
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 2:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS James 2' Layup78
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot78
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 2:12MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 2:14ATLMISS Teague 12' Jump Shot78
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 2:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)78
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 277
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 2:30MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 2:32ATLMISS Teague 3' Driving Jump Shot77
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 2:39ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 2:41MIAMISS Haslem 1' Driving Layup77
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 2:54ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)77
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 2:54ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)77
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 3:05MIACarroll STEAL (2 STL)77
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 3:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
3.0%
86
97.0%
Q4 - 3:12ATLMISS Carroll 7' Driving Jump Shot77
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 3:37MIABosh Dunk (11 PTS) (James 5 AST)77
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 3:50ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P2.T13)75
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 4:02ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 4:18ATLTeague 4' Driving Jump Shot (25 PTS)75
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 4:29MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)75
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 4:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 4:40MIACarroll BLOCK (1 BLK)72
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 4:54ATLMISS Scott 3PT Jump Shot72
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 5:11MIAScott STEAL (2 STL)72
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 5:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)72
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 5:29ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 2 of 272
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 5:29ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)72
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 5:45ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot72
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q4 - 6:09ATLScott Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Carroll 4 AST)72
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 6:14MIACarroll STEAL (1 STL)72
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q4 - 6:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
8.8%
81
91.2%
Q4 - 6:27ATLMISS Scott 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
8.0%
81
92.0%
Q4 - 6:40ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 272
6.6%
81
93.4%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 272
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q4 - 6:43MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
8.7%
81
91.3%
Q4 - 6:45ATLMISS Teague 1' Running Layup72
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q4 - 6:50ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
6.3%
81
93.7%
Q4 - 6:51MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
8.7%
81
91.3%
Q4 - 6:51MIAMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot72
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q4 - 6:52MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup72
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q4 - 7:19ATLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)72
10.8%
81
89.2%
Q4 - 7:43MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)72
16.9%
78
83.1%
Q4 - 7:57MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
13.7%
78
86.3%
Q4 - 7:59ATLMISS Teague 16' Jump Shot70
12.6%
78
87.4%
Q4 - 8:12MIACole Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T16)70
12.6%
78
87.4%
Q4 - 8:15MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
15.6%
78
84.4%
Q4 - 8:16ATLMISS Millsap 4' Driving Jump Shot70
14.6%
78
85.4%
Q4 - 8:27ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot70
13.4%
78
86.6%
Q4 - 8:40ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)70
15.5%
78
84.5%
Q4 - 8:40ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)70
16.3%
77
83.7%
Q4 - 8:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)70
19.2%
76
80.8%
Q4 - 9:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
12.4%
76
87.6%
Q4 - 9:02ATLMISS Scott 11' Jump Shot67
13.5%
76
86.5%
Q4 - 9:17ATLMack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
11.6%
76
88.4%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
12.3%
76
87.7%
Q4 - 9:35MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
14.2%
76
85.8%
Q4 - 9:36ATLMISS Brand 17' Jump Shot67
13.3%
76
86.7%
Q4 - 9:53MIAWade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)67
11.5%
76
88.5%
Q4 - 10:06ATLScott Foul Turnover (P1.T12)65
10.6%
76
89.4%
Q4 - 10:18ATLMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
8.6%
76
91.4%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
9.2%
76
90.8%
Q4 - 10:37ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)65
10.6%
76
89.4%
Q4 - 10:40MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)65
15.6%
73
84.4%
Q4 - 10:48MIAHeat Rebound65
18.9%
73
81.1%
Q4 - 10:48MIAMISS Wade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot65
16.5%
73
83.5%
Q4 - 11:07ATLScott 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)65
20.2%
73
79.8%
Q4 - 11:29MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)65
23.7%
71
76.3%
Q4 - 11:46ATLBrand 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)62
16.8%
71
83.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
20.0%
69
80.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound62
23.7%
69
76.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 5' Driving Jump Shot62
21.1%
69
78.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
25.0%
69
75.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0ATLMISS Brand 2' Layup62
23.9%
69
76.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T14)62
21.5%
69
78.5%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
25.0%
69
75.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
23.9%
69
76.1%
Q3 - 1:09MIAJames 5' Driving Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
22.7%
69
77.3%
Q3 - 1:19ATLCarroll Foul Turnover (P5.T11)60
19.3%
69
80.7%
Q3 - 1:23ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
16.5%
69
83.5%
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
17.4%
69
82.6%
Q3 - 1:43ATLScott 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)60
19.3%
69
80.7%
Q3 - 1:45MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)60
22.6%
67
77.4%
Q3 - 2:06ATLTeague 4' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)60
27.4%
67
72.6%
Q3 - 2:12MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)60
31.1%
65
68.9%
Q3 - 2:39ATLCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Millsap 5 AST)58
27.3%
65
72.7%
Q3 - 2:43ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
35.1%
62
64.9%
Q3 - 2:45ATLMISS Mack 3PT Jump Shot58
38.3%
62
61.7%
Q3 - 3:03ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
36.1%
62
63.9%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot58
37.5%
62
62.5%
Q3 - 3:18MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
40.6%
62
59.4%
Q3 - 3:19ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
39.2%
62
60.8%
Q3 - 3:49MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)58
36.0%
62
64.0%
Q3 - 4:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
33.5%
62
66.5%
Q3 - 4:06ATLMISS Mack 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
32.0%
62
68.0%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMillsap STEAL (1 STL)56
28.9%
62
71.1%
Q3 - 4:28ATLTeague 1' Running Layup (20 PTS) (Carroll 3 AST)56
33.4%
62
66.6%
Q3 - 4:35ATLMack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
36.4%
60
63.6%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
37.9%
60
62.1%
Q3 - 4:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
41.4%
60
58.6%
Q3 - 4:46ATLMISS Scott 20' Jump Shot56
39.9%
60
60.1%
Q3 - 5:12MIABosh 2' Layup (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)56
37.1%
60
62.9%
Q3 - 5:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
33.8%
60
66.2%
Q3 - 5:42ATLMISS Teague 2' Running Layup54
32.5%
60
67.5%
Q3 - 5:47ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
29.6%
60
70.4%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
30.9%
60
69.1%
Q3 - 6:06ATLTeague 6' Driving Jump Shot (18 PTS)54
34.7%
60
65.3%
Q3 - 6:32MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)54
37.9%
58
62.1%
Q3 - 6:42ATLMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)52
34.6%
58
65.4%
Q3 - 6:50ATLHAWKS Rebound52
30.7%
58
69.3%
Q3 - 6:50ATLMISS Carroll 2' Layup52
33.4%
58
66.6%
Q3 - 6:57ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
30.7%
58
69.3%
Q3 - 7:00MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Fadeaway Jumper52
31.9%
58
68.1%
Q3 - 7:26ATLCarroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)52
35.1%
58
64.9%
Q3 - 7:44ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
42.1%
55
57.9%
Q3 - 7:45MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot52
43.3%
55
56.7%
Q3 - 7:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
46.2%
55
53.8%
Q3 - 7:58ATLMISS Korver 19' Jump Shot52
44.9%
55
55.1%
Q3 - 8:11MIATeague STEAL (4 STL)52
42.3%
55
57.7%
Q3 - 8:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
46.6%
55
53.4%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
43.6%
55
56.4%
Q3 - 8:43ATLMillsap 8' Driving Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)52
46.6%
55
53.4%
Q3 - 8:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)52
49.8%
53
50.2%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 251
49.0%
53
51.0%
Q3 - 9:12ATLTeague 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS)51
50.2%
53
49.8%
Q3 - 9:17ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
53.8%
51
46.2%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
54.9%
51
45.1%
Q3 - 9:33ATLCarroll 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)51
57.5%
51
42.5%
Q3 - 9:41ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
60.9%
49
39.1%
Q3 - 9:42ATLMISS Millsap 5' Driving Jump Shot51
63.4%
49
36.6%
Q3 - 10:05ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
61.2%
49
38.8%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot51
62.2%
49
37.8%
Q3 - 10:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
64.5%
49
35.5%
Q3 - 10:19ATLMISS Carroll 3' Jump Shot51
63.5%
49
36.5%
Q3 - 10:29ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
61.1%
49
38.9%
Q3 - 10:31MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot51
62.2%
49
37.8%
Q3 - 10:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
64.5%
49
35.5%
Q3 - 10:48ATLMISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot51
63.5%
49
36.5%
Q3 - 10:55ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
61.1%
49
38.9%
Q3 - 10:56MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot51
62.2%
49
37.8%
Q3 - 11:06ATLCarroll Foul Turnover (P4.T9)51
64.6%
49
35.4%
Q3 - 11:22MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)51
61.2%
49
38.8%
Q3 - 11:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
58.0%
49
42.0%
Q3 - 11:34ATLMISS Brand 15' Jump Shot49
57.0%
49
43.0%
Q3 - 11:50MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T10)49
54.5%
49
45.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL49
58.0%
49
42.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
54.5%
49
45.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 19' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot49
55.6%
49
44.4%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
57.6%
49
42.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
55.9%
49
44.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
57.6%
49
42.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Scott 16' Jump Shot49
56.9%
49
43.1%
Q2 - 0:53.0ATLMack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
55.1%
49
44.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 249
55.5%
49
44.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 249
57.7%
49
42.3%
Q2 - 1:09ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)49
57.5%
49
42.5%
Q2 - 1:12ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
64.6%
46
35.4%
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
65.2%
46
34.8%
Q2 - 1:33ATLScott 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)49
66.5%
46
33.5%
Q2 - 1:45ATLHAWKS Rebound49
70.3%
44
29.7%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot49
70.8%
44
29.2%
Q2 - 1:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
72.0%
44
28.0%
Q2 - 1:57ATLMISS Mack 19' Jump Shot49
71.5%
44
28.5%
Q2 - 2:13ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
69.3%
44
30.7%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
70.2%
44
29.8%
Q2 - 2:44ATLMillsap 21' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Mack 4 AST)49
72.0%
44
28.0%
Q2 - 3:10MIAJames 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)49
73.9%
42
26.1%
Q2 - 3:27ATLCarroll Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)47
72.0%
42
28.0%
Q2 - 3:31ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
69.0%
42
31.0%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS Douglas 7' Jump Shot47
69.9%
42
30.1%
Q2 - 3:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
72.0%
42
28.0%
Q2 - 3:59ATLMISS Scott 14' Jump Shot47
71.1%
42
28.9%
Q2 - 4:23MIAChalmers Running Layup (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)47
68.7%
42
31.3%
Q2 - 4:28ATLKorver Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)45
66.3%
42
33.7%
Q2 - 4:45MIAChalmers 6' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)45
63.6%
42
36.4%
Q2 - 5:03MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
60.9%
42
39.1%
Q2 - 5:05ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
60.1%
42
39.9%
Q2 - 5:10MIABrand STEAL (1 STL)43
58.3%
42
41.7%
Q2 - 5:18MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
60.9%
42
39.1%
Q2 - 5:19ATLMISS Carroll 1' Putback Layup43
60.1%
42
39.9%
Q2 - 5:21ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
58.3%
42
41.7%
Q2 - 5:23ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
60.1%
42
39.9%
Q2 - 5:31MIAChalmers 4' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
58.3%
42
41.7%
Q2 - 5:44ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
55.4%
42
44.6%
Q2 - 5:44ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
55.7%
41
44.3%
Q2 - 6:03MIAJames 2' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)41
57.9%
40
42.1%
Q2 - 6:06MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
55.8%
40
44.2%
Q2 - 6:10ATLMISS Teague 5' Driving Jump Shot39
54.8%
40
45.2%
Q2 - 6:33MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)39
52.5%
40
47.5%
Q2 - 6:46ATLMillsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mack 3 AST)37
50.3%
40
49.7%
Q2 - 7:11MIAAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)37
55.4%
37
44.6%
Q2 - 7:41ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
53.1%
37
46.9%
Q2 - 7:53MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)35
50.1%
37
49.9%
Q2 - 8:12ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)32
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 8:22MIAWade 4' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)32
50.3%
34
49.7%
Q2 - 8:26MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
47.8%
34
52.2%
Q2 - 8:29ATLMISS Williams 5' Driving Jump Shot30
47.0%
34
53.0%
Q2 - 8:49MIAWade 12' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)30
45.1%
34
54.9%
Q2 - 9:05ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)28
43.2%
34
56.8%
Q2 - 9:19ATLKorver Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)28
40.6%
34
59.4%
Q2 - 9:38MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)28
43.0%
33
57.0%
Q2 - 9:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
40.7%
33
59.3%
Q2 - 9:43ATLMISS Mack 2' Driving Layup26
39.9%
33
60.1%
Q2 - 10:01MIAWade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)26
38.2%
33
61.8%
Q2 - 10:22ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)24
36.3%
33
63.7%
Q2 - 10:28MIALewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)24
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 10:30MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
43.4%
30
56.6%
Q2 - 10:31ATLMISS Mack 2' Putback Layup24
42.5%
30
57.5%
Q2 - 10:32ATLMack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 10:34ATLMISS Scott 1' Running Layup24
42.5%
30
57.5%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMack STEAL (1 STL)24
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 10:57ATLMack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
43.4%
30
56.6%
Q2 - 11:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
41.0%
30
59.0%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 223
40.5%
30
59.5%
Q2 - 11:26ATLScott 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)23
41.1%
30
58.9%
Q2 - 11:31ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
43.3%
28
56.7%
Q2 - 11:34ATLMISS Scott 3PT Jump Shot23
45.1%
28
54.9%
Q2 - 11:44ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
43.3%
28
56.7%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
44.1%
28
55.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
45.8%
28
54.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound23
45.8%
28
54.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 36' 3PT Jump Shot23
44.1%
28
55.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
45.6%
28
54.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Brand 16' Jump Shot23
45.1%
28
54.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAJames 9' Driving Jump Shot (9 PTS)23
43.9%
28
56.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLCarroll 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)21
41.0%
28
59.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)21
43.9%
26
56.1%
Q1 - 1:10ATLWilliams Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)18
39.3%
26
60.7%
Q1 - 1:13ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
42.1%
24
57.9%
Q1 - 1:15MIABrand BLOCK (1 BLK)18
42.6%
24
57.4%
Q1 - 1:20MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
43.8%
24
56.2%
Q1 - 1:22ATLMISS Williams 6' Running Jump Shot18
43.2%
24
56.8%
Q1 - 1:40MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
42.1%
24
57.9%
Q1 - 1:40MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
41.6%
24
58.4%
Q1 - 1:58MIAHeat Rebound16
39.2%
24
60.8%
Q1 - 2:01ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 116
39.6%
24
60.4%
Q1 - 2:15MIAScott STEAL (1 STL)16
42.2%
22
57.8%
Q1 - 2:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
44.2%
22
55.8%
Q1 - 2:45ATLMISS Millsap 7' Running Jump Shot16
43.6%
22
56.4%
Q1 - 3:01ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
42.3%
22
57.7%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot16
43.1%
22
56.9%
Q1 - 3:23ATLTeague 2' Running Layup (7 PTS)16
44.7%
22
55.3%
Q1 - 3:29MIATeague STEAL (3 STL)16
46.7%
20
53.3%
Q1 - 3:42ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
49.1%
20
50.9%
Q1 - 3:42ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
49.4%
19
50.6%
Q1 - 4:01MIAHaslem 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)16
51.3%
18
48.7%
Q1 - 4:18ATLTeague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carroll 2 AST)14
49.4%
18
50.6%
Q1 - 4:35MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)14
53.5%
15
46.5%
Q1 - 4:59ATLScott 6' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
55.9%
15
44.1%
Q1 - 5:19ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
57.5%
13
42.5%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot14
58.2%
13
41.8%
Q1 - 5:43ATLCarroll 3' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)14
59.7%
13
40.3%
Q1 - 5:59ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
61.5%
11
38.5%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot14
62.2%
11
37.8%
Q1 - 6:11ATLCarroll Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
63.3%
11
36.7%
Q1 - 6:28ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
61.3%
11
38.7%
Q1 - 6:31MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
61.9%
11
38.1%
Q1 - 6:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
63.3%
11
36.7%
Q1 - 6:45ATLMISS Carroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
62.7%
11
37.3%
Q1 - 7:08ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
61.1%
11
38.9%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 214
61.3%
11
38.7%
Q1 - 7:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)14
62.5%
11
37.5%
Q1 - 7:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
61.4%
11
38.6%
Q1 - 7:27ATLMISS Millsap 19' Fadeaway Jumper13
60.7%
11
39.3%
Q1 - 7:50MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)13
59.3%
11
40.7%
Q1 - 8:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
57.9%
11
42.1%
Q1 - 8:03ATLMISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 111
57.6%
11
42.4%
Q1 - 8:11MIATeague STEAL (2 STL)11
59.5%
9
40.5%
Q1 - 8:28ATLBrand 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)11
61.4%
9
38.6%
Q1 - 8:41MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
63.0%
7
37.0%
Q1 - 9:06ATLMillsap 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)9
61.6%
7
38.4%
Q1 - 9:22MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
63.0%
5
37.0%
Q1 - 9:26ATLBrand Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
64.9%
5
35.1%
Q1 - 9:48MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)9
63.0%
5
37.0%
Q1 - 9:58ATLCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)7
61.5%
5
38.5%
Q1 - 9:58ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)7
61.9%
4
38.1%
Q1 - 10:13MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)7
62.9%
3
37.1%
Q1 - 10:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
59.8%
3
40.2%
Q1 - 10:26ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
59.2%
3
40.8%
Q1 - 10:50MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
57.9%
3
42.1%
Q1 - 11:10ATLCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)2
56.2%
3
43.8%
Q1 - 11:26MIATeague STEAL (1 STL)2
59.6%
0
40.4%
Q1 - 11:29ATLCarroll Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
61.1%
0
38.9%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
59.6%
0
40.4%
Q1 - 11:47MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.8%
0
42.2%
Q1 - 11:49ATLMISS Millsap 9' Driving Jump Shot0
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Brand vs. Bosh: Tip to0
56.4%
0
43.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.2%
ATL
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
27
67%
ATL
16
30
53%
Midrange
MIA
11
21
52%
ATL
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
25
24%
36%
ATL
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
Free Throws
MIA
9
19
47%
ATL
16
19
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2754%13.5 / 25
D. Wade2467%12.0 / 18
C. Bosh1169%5.5 / 8
M. Chalmers941%4.5 / 11
U. Haslem660%3.0 / 5
R. Allen375%1.5 / 2
R. Lewis338%1.5 / 4
C. Andersen250%1.0 / 2
N. Cole0-0.0 / 3
T. Douglas0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Teague2563%12.5 / 20
L. Williams23105%11.5 / 11
D. Carroll1765%8.5 / 13
M. Scott1243%6.0 / 14
P. Millsap1150%5.5 / 11
E. Brand643%3.0 / 7
K. Korver467%2.0 / 3
S. Mack0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+9
-20
82
ATL
81
+6
-12
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.2%
ATL
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
105.6
MIA 91.4 +14.0
ATL 105.4
Pace
91.5
95.0
MIA 88.7
ATL 98.6 +9.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
14.9
MIA 16.2
ATL 14.6 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
51.5%
MIA 52.1%
ATL 52.6% +0.5%
TO %
15.4%
15.2%
MIA 19.7%
ATL 13.1% +6.6%
ORB %
20.6%
21.0%
MIA 15.4% +3.8%
ATL 11.6%
FTrt
30.0
26.6
MIA 26.0 +1.6
ATL 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
66.7%
MIA 51.4%
ATL 66.7% +15.3%
STL %
9.7%
8.7%
MIA 5.4%
ATL 14.0% +8.6%
BLK %
8.1%
6.5%
MIA 8.9% +4.7%
ATL 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
53.7%
MIA 51.2%
ATL 55.7% +4.5%
Rim FG%
66.7%
59.2%
MIA 66.7% +13.4%
ATL 53.3%
Mid FG%
42.8%
41.3%
MIA 52.4% +13.9%
ATL 38.5%
3P %
36.4%
36.3%
MIA 24.0%
ATL 45.5% +21.5%
FT %
76.0%
78.1%
MIA 47.4%
ATL 84.2% +36.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
33.9%
MIA 37.0%
ATL 38.5% +1.5%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
34.5%
MIA 28.8% +4.6%
ATL 33.3%
3P Att. %
29.2%
31.6%
MIA 34.2% +6.0%
ATL 28.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes25.222.6
Points8598
Rebounds4438
Assists1824
Steals513
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)33 (1)
Field Goals35-7336-78
At-the-Rim FG18-2716-30
Midrange FG11-2110-26
2-Point FG29-4826-56
3-Point FG6-2510-22
Free Throws9-1916-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
37.4
27
54%
8
5
0
1
3
2
3
5
4-8
50%
7-15
47%
3-7
43%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
29.5
9
41%
5
4
1
0
3
4
0
5
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-5
0%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
28.0
11
69%
4
2
3
0
5
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
24.5
6
60%
8
0
0
0
3
3
0
8
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
23.3
24
67%
3
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
4-9
44%
10-13
77%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
23.7
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
22.1
0
0%
0
3
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
19.6
2
50%
7
0
0
2
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
18.7
3
38%
6
1
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
13.2
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
51%
44
18
5
5
20
0
6
38
9-19
47%
29-48
60%
6-25
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.