| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
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 MIA | 115.3 | 85 | 85.0 |
Scoring Opportunities
IND
66
+6
-16
72
MIA
76
+15
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
IND
1.16 58.1%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | IND | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 86 0% | 98 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | IND | Copeland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 1 AST) | 86 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 83 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | MIA | MISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 83 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:56.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 83 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:57.0 | IND | MISS George Free Throw 1 of 1 | 83 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:10 | MIA | Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 81 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:30 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 81 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:31 | IND | MISS Hibbert 20' Jump Shot | 81 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:46 | MIA | Allen 14' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 81 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:10 | IND | Stephenson 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST) | 81 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:19 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 79 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:20 | MIA | MISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper | 79 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:40 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 79 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:41 | IND | MISS Copeland 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:59 | MIA | James 6' Jump Hook Shot (36 PTS) | 79 0.2% | 93 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:17 | IND | George Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 79 0.2% | 91 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:17 | IND | George Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 78 0.2% | 91 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:19 | MIA | Haslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 77 0.2% | 91 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:40 | IND | Stephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 77 0.2% | 91 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:40 | IND | Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 76 0.2% | 91 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:54 | MIA | James 1' Layup (34 PTS) | 75 0.2% | 91 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:55 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 75 0.2% | 89 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:56 | MIA | MISS James 2' Driving Layup | 75 0.3% | 89 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:08 | IND | West 5' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (George 5 AST) | 75 0.2% | 89 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:32 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 73 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:33 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 | 73 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:33 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 | 73 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:55 | IND | West 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (George 4 AST) | 73 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:13 | MIA | James 1' Dunk (32 PTS) (Cole 2 AST) | 71 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:17 | IND | Cole STEAL (2 STL) | 71 0.2% | 87 99.8% |
| Q4 - 5:28 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 71 0.3% | 87 99.7% |
| Q4 - 5:29 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 5' Driving Hook Shot | 71 0.2% | 87 99.8% |
| Q4 - 5:49 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 71 0.2% | 87 99.8% |
| Q4 - 5:50 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 71 0.2% | 87 99.8% |
| Q4 - 6:11 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 71 0.3% | 87 99.7% |
| Q4 - 6:12 | IND | MISS Stephenson 18' Jump Shot | 71 0.3% | 87 99.7% |
| Q4 - 6:33 | MIA | Allen 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 71 0.4% | 87 99.6% |
| Q4 - 6:52 | IND | West 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 71 0.6% | 85 99.4% |
| Q4 - 7:09 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 69 0.6% | 85 99.4% |
| Q4 - 7:10 | MIA | MISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 0.6% | 85 99.4% |
| Q4 - 7:27 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 69 0.4% | 85 99.6% |
| Q4 - 7:28 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 1' Tip Shot | 69 0.6% | 85 99.4% |
| Q4 - 7:29 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 69 0.4% | 85 99.6% |
| Q4 - 7:30 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 5' Jump Shot | 69 0.6% | 85 99.4% |
| Q4 - 7:51 | IND | West Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 69 0.4% | 85 99.6% |
| Q4 - 7:51 | IND | West Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 68 0.4% | 85 99.6% |
| Q4 - 8:05 | MIA | Lewis 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST) | 67 0.5% | 85 99.5% |
| Q4 - 8:09 | IND | Chalmers STEAL (2 STL) | 67 0.6% | 83 99.4% |
| Q4 - 8:23 | MIA | Chalmers 8' Driving Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Allen 2 AST) | 67 0.8% | 83 99.2% |
| Q4 - 8:33 | MIA | Lewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 67 1.1% | 81 98.9% |
| Q4 - 8:34 | IND | MISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 1.1% | 81 98.9% |
| Q4 - 8:49 | MIA | Allen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 67 1.4% | 81 98.6% |
| Q4 - 8:49 | MIA | Allen Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS) | 67 1.4% | 80 98.6% |
| Q4 - 8:53 | MIA | Lewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 67 1.8% | 79 98.2% |
| Q4 - 8:54 | IND | MISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 1.9% | 79 98.1% |
| Q4 - 9:12 | MIA | Haslem Dunk (11 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 67 2.7% | 79 97.3% |
| Q4 - 9:37 | MIA | Allen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 67 3.4% | 77 96.6% |
| Q4 - 9:38 | IND | Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 67 4.3% | 76 95.7% |
| Q4 - 9:43 | IND | Watson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 64 2.7% | 76 97.3% |
| Q4 - 9:44 | MIA | MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot | 64 2.5% | 76 97.5% |
| Q4 - 9:57 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 64 2.1% | 76 97.9% |
| Q4 - 9:58 | IND | Bosh BLOCK (2 BLK) | 64 2.3% | 76 97.7% |
| Q4 - 10:08 | IND | Scola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 64 3.1% | 76 96.9% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | MIA | MISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 64 2.9% | 76 97.1% |
| Q4 - 10:18 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 64 2.5% | 76 97.5% |
| Q4 - 10:19 | IND | MISS Scola 19' Jump Shot | 64 2.6% | 76 97.4% |
| Q4 - 10:29 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 64 3.1% | 76 96.9% |
| Q4 - 10:30 | MIA | MISS Allen 16' Jump Shot | 64 2.9% | 76 97.1% |
| Q4 - 10:50 | IND | Scola 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (George 3 AST) | 64 2.4% | 76 97.6% |
| Q4 - 11:20 | IND | Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 62 2.3% | 76 97.7% |
| Q4 - 11:21 | MIA | MISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 2.1% | 76 97.9% |
| Q4 - 11:33 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 62 1.8% | 76 98.2% |
| Q4 - 11:34 | IND | MISS Turner 9' Floating Jump Shot | 62 2.0% | 76 98.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 62 2.3% | 76 97.7% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 62 1.8% | 76 98.2% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS James 15' Jump Shot | 62 2.1% | 76 97.9% |
| Q3 - 0:05.0 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 62 2.1% | 76 97.9% |
| Q3 - 0:06.0 | IND | MISS George 29' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 2.2% | 76 97.8% |
| Q3 - 0:30.0 | MIA | Andersen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8) | 62 2.5% | 76 97.5% |
| Q3 - 0:44.0 | IND | George Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS) | 62 2.1% | 76 97.9% |
| Q3 - 0:57.0 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 59 1.4% | 76 98.6% |
| Q3 - 0:58.0 | MIA | MISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 1.3% | 76 98.7% |
| Q3 - 1:18 | IND | Turner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mahinmi 1 AST) | 59 1.3% | 76 98.7% |
| Q3 - 1:33 | MIA | Andersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 56 0.9% | 76 99.1% |
| Q3 - 1:42 | IND | Watson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 56 0.7% | 76 99.3% |
| Q3 - 1:42 | IND | Watson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 55 0.7% | 76 99.3% |
| Q3 - 1:56 | MIA | James 15' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS) | 54 0.6% | 76 99.4% |
| Q3 - 2:06 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 54 0.9% | 74 99.1% |
| Q3 - 2:07 | IND | MISS Hibbert 7' Hook Shot | 54 0.9% | 74 99.1% |
| Q3 - 2:26 | MIA | James 18' Jump Shot (28 PTS) | 54 1.0% | 74 99.0% |
| Q3 - 2:49 | IND | Hibbert 2' Layup (5 PTS) (George 2 AST) | 54 1.2% | 72 98.8% |
| Q3 - 2:56 | MIA | Lewis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 52 1.0% | 72 99.0% |
| Q3 - 3:21 | IND | Lewis STEAL (1 STL) | 52 1.0% | 72 99.0% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | MIA | Lewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 52 1.2% | 72 98.8% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | MIA | MISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 2 | 52 1.2% | 71 98.8% |
| Q3 - 3:40 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 52 1.2% | 71 98.8% |
| Q3 - 3:41 | IND | MISS George Free Throw 1 of 1 | 52 1.2% | 71 98.8% |
| Q3 - 3:48 | IND | Scola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 50 1.0% | 71 99.0% |
| Q3 - 3:50 | MIA | MISS Bosh 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 50 0.9% | 71 99.1% |
| Q3 - 4:08 | IND | Hibbert 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Scola 1 AST) | 50 0.9% | 71 99.1% |
| Q3 - 4:29 | MIA | Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 48 0.8% | 71 99.2% |
| Q3 - 4:53 | IND | Scola 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (G. Hill 4 AST) | 48 1.1% | 68 98.9% |
| Q3 - 5:16 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS) | 46 1.1% | 68 98.9% |
| Q3 - 5:16 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS) | 46 1.1% | 67 98.9% |
| Q3 - 5:19 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 46 1.2% | 66 98.8% |
| Q3 - 5:20 | MIA | MISS Andersen 2' Driving Layup | 46 1.4% | 66 98.6% |
| Q3 - 5:25 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 46 1.2% | 66 98.8% |
| Q3 - 5:26 | IND | Bosh BLOCK (1 BLK) | 46 1.3% | 66 98.7% |
| Q3 - 5:45 | MIA | Andersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 46 1.5% | 66 98.5% |
| Q3 - 5:45 | MIA | MISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 2 | 46 1.5% | 65 98.5% |
| Q3 - 6:00 | IND | Scola 1' Layup (8 PTS) (G. Hill 3 AST) | 46 1.4% | 65 98.6% |
| Q3 - 6:09 | MIA | Douglas 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 44 1.4% | 65 98.6% |
| Q3 - 6:15 | IND | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 44 1.6% | 63 98.4% |
| Q3 - 6:29 | MIA | Chalmers 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) | 44 1.9% | 63 98.1% |
| Q3 - 6:38 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 44 2.1% | 61 97.9% |
| Q3 - 6:39 | IND | MISS Scola 19' Jump Shot | 44 2.3% | 61 97.7% |
| Q3 - 6:58 | MIA | Chalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 44 2.5% | 61 97.5% |
| Q3 - 7:15 | IND | Scola Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 44 2.3% | 61 97.7% |
| Q3 - 7:15 | IND | Scola Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 43 2.2% | 61 97.8% |
| Q3 - 7:33 | MIA | James 21' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Douglas 3 AST) | 42 2.0% | 61 98.0% |
| Q3 - 7:58 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 42 2.3% | 59 97.7% |
| Q3 - 7:59 | IND | MISS West 17' Jump Shot | 42 2.4% | 59 97.6% |
| Q3 - 8:16 | MIA | Haslem 2' Layup (9 PTS) | 42 2.8% | 59 97.2% |
| Q3 - 8:17 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 42 3.2% | 57 96.8% |
| Q3 - 8:18 | MIA | MISS James 1' Driving Layup | 42 3.6% | 57 96.4% |
| Q3 - 8:21 | IND | James STEAL (1 STL) | 42 3.2% | 57 96.8% |
| Q3 - 8:38 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 42 3.8% | 57 96.2% |
| Q3 - 8:38 | MIA | Haslem Tip Shot (7 PTS) | 42 3.8% | 57 96.2% |
| Q3 - 8:40 | MIA | MISS James 3' Driving Layup | 42 4.8% | 55 95.2% |
| Q3 - 8:45 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 42 4.3% | 55 95.7% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 42 5.1% | 55 94.9% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | IND | MISS West 1' Tip Shot | 42 4.5% | 55 95.5% |
| Q3 - 8:47 | IND | MISS West 7' Jump Shot | 42 4.5% | 55 95.5% |
| Q3 - 9:08 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS) | 42 5.1% | 55 94.9% |
| Q3 - 9:10 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 42 6.7% | 52 93.3% |
| Q3 - 9:12 | IND | MISS George 16' Jump Shot | 42 7.0% | 52 93.0% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | IND | Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 42 7.8% | 52 92.2% |
| Q3 - 9:34 | MIA | MISS James 12' Pullup Jump Shot | 42 7.4% | 52 92.6% |
| Q3 - 9:51 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 6.7% | 52 93.3% |
| Q3 - 9:52 | IND | MISS Hibbert 9' Turnaround Hook Shot | 42 7.0% | 52 93.0% |
| Q3 - 10:12 | MIA | Douglas 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 42 7.8% | 52 92.2% |
| Q3 - 10:16 | IND | Douglas STEAL (1 STL) | 42 8.8% | 50 91.2% |
| Q3 - 10:30 | MIA | James Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4) | 42 10.1% | 50 89.9% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 42 8.8% | 50 91.2% |
| Q3 - 10:44 | IND | MISS George 18' Jump Shot | 42 9.2% | 50 90.8% |
| Q3 - 11:01 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 42 10.2% | 50 89.8% |
| Q3 - 11:01 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 42 10.5% | 49 89.5% |
| Q3 - 11:03 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 42 11.5% | 48 88.5% |
| Q3 - 11:04 | IND | MISS Hibbert 6' Hook Shot | 42 12.0% | 48 88.0% |
| Q3 - 11:37 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST) | 42 13.0% | 48 87.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | IND | 42 16.4% | 45 83.6% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 42 18.5% | 45 81.5% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 42 18.9% | 44 81.1% |
| Q2 - 0:07.0 | IND | George 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST) | 42 20.9% | 43 79.1% |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | MIA | Allen Foul Turnover (P2.T3) | 39 16.4% | 43 83.6% |
| Q2 - 0:39.0 | IND | Stephenson Foul Turnover (P3.T10) | 39 15.1% | 43 84.9% |
| Q2 - 0:48.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 39 16.4% | 43 83.6% |
| Q2 - 0:48.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 39 16.8% | 42 83.2% |
| Q2 - 0:57.0 | IND | Stephenson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9) | 39 18.8% | 41 81.2% |
| Q2 - 1:16 | MIA | Haslem 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 39 20.4% | 41 79.6% |
| Q2 - 1:39 | IND | George 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST) | 39 23.3% | 39 76.7% |
| Q2 - 1:49 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 36 18.4% | 39 81.6% |
| Q2 - 1:50 | IND | MISS West 20' Jump Shot | 36 17.5% | 39 82.5% |
| Q2 - 2:11 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 36 18.6% | 39 81.4% |
| Q2 - 2:12 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 36 18.4% | 39 81.6% |
| Q2 - 2:12 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 36 17.2% | 39 82.8% |
| Q2 - 2:16 | IND | Allen STEAL (2 STL) | 36 18.6% | 38 81.4% |
| Q2 - 2:28 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 36 20.6% | 38 79.4% |
| Q2 - 2:28 | IND | MISS George 1' Tip Shot | 36 19.2% | 38 80.8% |
| Q2 - 2:29 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 36 20.6% | 38 79.4% |
| Q2 - 2:30 | IND | MISS Stephenson 21' Jump Shot | 36 19.2% | 38 80.8% |
| Q2 - 2:58 | MIA | Chalmers 9' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 36 20.6% | 38 79.4% |
| Q2 - 3:06 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 36 22.1% | 36 77.9% |
| Q2 - 3:07 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 | 36 24.3% | 36 75.7% |
| Q2 - 3:07 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 36 23.1% | 36 76.9% |
| Q2 - 3:24 | IND | George Traveling Turnover (P2.T7) | 36 24.3% | 35 75.7% |
| Q2 - 3:42 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 36 27.0% | 35 73.0% |
| Q2 - 3:43 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 8' Driving Jump Shot | 36 26.2% | 35 73.8% |
| Q2 - 4:00 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 36 24.3% | 35 75.7% |
| Q2 - 4:01 | IND | MISS Stephenson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 36 24.7% | 35 75.3% |
| Q2 - 4:25 | IND | Scola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 36 26.3% | 35 73.7% |
| Q2 - 4:26 | MIA | MISS James 15' Turnaround Jump Shot | 36 25.6% | 35 74.4% |
| Q2 - 4:52 | IND | Stephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 36 24.0% | 35 76.0% |
| Q2 - 5:08 | MIA | Bosh 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 36 26.0% | 35 74.0% |
| Q2 - 5:31 | IND | Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 36 28.3% | 33 71.7% |
| Q2 - 5:51 | MIA | Haslem Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 33 23.8% | 33 76.2% |
| Q2 - 5:52 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 33 26.1% | 31 73.9% |
| Q2 - 5:53 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 2' Layup | 33 27.5% | 31 72.5% |
| Q2 - 6:03 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 33 25.6% | 31 74.4% |
| Q2 - 6:04 | MIA | MISS Lewis 3' Hook Shot | 33 27.4% | 31 72.6% |
| Q2 - 6:29 | IND | Scola 2' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 33 25.6% | 31 74.4% |
| Q2 - 6:30 | IND | Scola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 31 24.0% | 31 76.0% |
| Q2 - 6:31 | IND | MISS Watson 2' Driving Layup | 31 22.3% | 31 77.7% |
| Q2 - 6:35 | IND | Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 31 24.0% | 31 76.0% |
| Q2 - 6:36 | MIA | MISS Bosh 1' Driving Reverse Layup | 31 23.2% | 31 76.8% |
| Q2 - 6:46 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 31 21.7% | 31 78.3% |
| Q2 - 6:47 | IND | MISS Watson 12' Floating Jump Shot | 31 22.3% | 31 77.7% |
| Q2 - 7:11 | MIA | Chalmers 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 31 23.6% | 31 76.4% |
| Q2 - 7:31 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 31 25.4% | 29 74.6% |
| Q2 - 7:32 | MIA | MISS Lewis 9' Turnaround Hook Shot | 31 27.0% | 29 73.0% |
| Q2 - 7:43 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 31 25.4% | 29 74.6% |
| Q2 - 7:44 | IND | MISS Turner 2' Driving Layup | 31 26.1% | 29 73.9% |
| Q2 - 8:03 | IND | Scola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 27.2% | 29 72.8% |
| Q2 - 8:04 | MIA | MISS Andersen 4' Jump Shot | 31 26.5% | 29 73.5% |
| Q2 - 8:28 | IND | Watson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST) | 31 25.1% | 29 74.9% |
| Q2 - 8:33 | MIA | Allen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 29 23.3% | 29 76.7% |
| Q2 - 8:53 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 29 21.4% | 29 78.6% |
| Q2 - 8:54 | IND | MISS Scola 19' Jump Shot | 29 22.0% | 29 78.0% |
| Q2 - 9:17 | MIA | Andersen 1' Layup (4 PTS) | 29 22.9% | 29 77.1% |
| Q2 - 9:18 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 29 24.6% | 27 75.4% |
| Q2 - 9:19 | MIA | MISS Cole 2' Driving Layup | 29 26.0% | 27 74.0% |
| Q2 - 9:38 | IND | Scola 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turner 2 AST) | 29 24.6% | 27 75.4% |
| Q2 - 9:53 | IND | Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 27 22.9% | 27 77.1% |
| Q2 - 9:54 | MIA | MISS Andersen 19' Jump Shot | 27 22.3% | 27 77.7% |
| Q2 - 10:04 | IND | Cole STEAL (1 STL) | 27 21.0% | 27 79.0% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | MIA | Andersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 27 23.0% | 27 77.0% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | MIA | Andersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 27 23.5% | 26 76.5% |
| Q2 - 10:34 | IND | Stephenson 22' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 27 24.5% | 25 75.5% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | IND | Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 25 23.0% | 25 77.0% |
| Q2 - 10:59 | MIA | MISS Lewis 2' Layup | 25 22.4% | 25 77.6% |
| Q2 - 11:00 | MIA | Lewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 25 21.0% | 25 79.0% |
| Q2 - 11:01 | MIA | MISS Allen 9' Driving Jump Shot | 25 22.3% | 25 77.7% |
| Q2 - 11:17 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 25 21.1% | 25 78.9% |
| Q2 - 11:18 | MIA | MISS Lewis 9' Jump Shot | 25 22.3% | 25 77.7% |
| Q2 - 11:33 | IND | Scola Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 25 21.1% | 25 78.9% |
| Q2 - 11:47 | MIA | Bosh 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 25 22.9% | 25 77.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 25 24.5% | 23 75.5% | |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | IND | George Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 25 24.7% | 23 75.3% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | IND | George Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 24 24.4% | 23 75.6% |
| Q1 - 0:21.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 23 22.5% | 23 77.5% |
| Q1 - 0:21.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 23 22.9% | 22 77.1% |
| Q1 - 0:39.0 | IND | West Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 23 24.6% | 21 75.4% |
| Q1 - 0:39.0 | IND | West Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 22 24.3% | 21 75.7% |
| Q1 - 0:46.0 | IND | Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 21 22.5% | 21 77.5% |
| Q1 - 0:47.0 | MIA | MISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 22.1% | 21 77.9% |
| Q1 - 1:11 | IND | Mahinmi 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Turner 1 AST) | 21 21.1% | 21 78.9% |
| Q1 - 1:32 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 19 19.3% | 21 80.7% |
| Q1 - 1:32 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 19 19.6% | 20 80.4% |
| Q1 - 1:49 | IND | Allen STEAL (1 STL) | 19 21.2% | 19 78.8% |
| Q1 - 1:58 | IND | Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 19 22.3% | 19 77.7% |
| Q1 - 1:59 | IND | MISS Turner 3' Layup | 19 21.5% | 19 78.5% |
| Q1 - 2:15 | IND | Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 22.5% | 19 77.5% |
| Q1 - 2:16 | MIA | MISS Lewis 1' Driving Layup | 19 22.0% | 19 78.0% |
| Q1 - 2:34 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 19 21.0% | 19 79.0% |
| Q1 - 2:35 | IND | Andersen BLOCK (1 BLK) | 19 21.4% | 19 78.6% |
| Q1 - 2:46 | IND | Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 22.4% | 19 77.6% |
| Q1 - 2:47 | MIA | MISS James 3PT Jump Shot | 19 22.0% | 19 78.0% |
| Q1 - 3:05 | IND | Mahinmi 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2) | 19 20.6% | 19 79.4% |
| Q1 - 3:23 | MIA | Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST) | 19 22.3% | 19 77.7% |
| Q1 - 3:46 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 25.4% | 16 74.6% |
| Q1 - 3:47 | IND | MISS West 18' Jump Shot | 19 26.0% | 16 74.0% |
| Q1 - 3:57 | MIA | Bosh 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 19 27.3% | 16 72.7% |
| Q1 - 4:11 | IND | West 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST) | 19 28.2% | 14 71.8% |
| Q1 - 4:25 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 17 26.7% | 14 73.3% |
| Q1 - 4:26 | MIA | MISS James 24' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot | 17 26.1% | 14 73.9% |
| Q1 - 4:43 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 17 24.8% | 14 75.2% |
| Q1 - 4:44 | IND | MISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 25.4% | 14 74.6% |
| Q1 - 4:58 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 17 26.7% | 14 73.3% |
| Q1 - 4:59 | MIA | MISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 26.2% | 14 73.8% |
| Q1 - 5:09 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 17 24.5% | 14 75.5% |
| Q1 - 5:09 | IND | MISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 | 16 24.2% | 14 75.8% |
| Q1 - 5:33 | MIA | Bosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 16 24.7% | 14 75.3% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | IND | George 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 16 26.1% | 12 73.9% |
| Q1 - 6:02 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 22.7% | 12 77.3% |
| Q1 - 6:03 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 12' Floating Jump Shot | 13 22.2% | 12 77.8% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | IND | West 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 13 21.3% | 12 78.7% |
| Q1 - 6:37 | MIA | James 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 11 20.1% | 12 79.9% |
| Q1 - 6:53 | IND | West 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (George 1 AST) | 11 22.6% | 9 77.4% |
| Q1 - 7:15 | MIA | James 19' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) | 9 21.1% | 9 78.9% |
| Q1 - 7:39 | MIA | Douglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 22.2% | 7 77.8% |
| Q1 - 7:40 | IND | James BLOCK (1 BLK) | 9 22.7% | 7 77.3% |
| Q1 - 7:45 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 9 23.8% | 7 76.2% |
| Q1 - 7:56 | IND | Stephenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST) | 9 22.2% | 7 77.8% |
| Q1 - 8:17 | MIA | Chalmers 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 6 19.6% | 7 80.4% |
| Q1 - 8:41 | IND | George 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST) | 6 20.7% | 5 79.3% |
| Q1 - 8:56 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 19.7% | 5 80.3% |
| Q1 - 8:57 | MIA | MISS Haslem 2' Layup | 4 19.3% | 5 80.7% |
| Q1 - 9:06 | IND | Stephenson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 4 18.3% | 5 81.7% |
| Q1 - 9:28 | IND | Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 17.4% | 5 82.6% |
| Q1 - 9:29 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 17.1% | 5 82.9% |
| Q1 - 9:41 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 16.3% | 5 83.7% |
| Q1 - 9:43 | IND | MISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 16.6% | 5 83.4% |
| Q1 - 10:08 | MIA | James 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST) | 2 17.4% | 5 82.6% |
| Q1 - 10:38 | IND | West 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST) | 2 19.4% | 2 80.6% |
| Q1 - 10:50 | IND | Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 18.4% | 2 81.6% |
| Q1 - 10:51 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup | 0 18.1% | 2 81.9% |
| Q1 - 11:01 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 17.3% | 2 82.7% |
| Q1 - 11:02 | IND | MISS West 4' Jump Shot | 0 17.5% | 2 82.5% |
| Q1 - 11:22 | MIA | James 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 0 18.1% | 2 81.9% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | IND | Haslem STEAL (1 STL) | 0 19.3% | 0 80.7% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Bosh vs. Hibbert: Tip to West | 0 20.2% | 0 79.8% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
IND
1.16 58.1%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
11
20
55%
MIA
14
31
45%
Midrange
IND
12
31
39%
MIA
15
28
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
IND
16
19
84%
MIA
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Pacers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. George | 22 | 58% | 11.0 / 19 | |
| D. West | 18 | 60% | 9.0 / 15 | |
| L. Scola | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| L. Stephenson | 11 | 69% | 5.5 / 8 | |
| C. Watson | 10 | 83% | 5.0 / 6 | |
| R. Hibbert | 5 | 31% | 2.5 / 8 | |
| E. Turner | 3 | 30% | 1.5 / 5 | |
| C. Copeland | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| I. Mahinmi | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| G. Hill | 0 | - | 0.0 / 0 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 36 | 69% | 18.0 / 26 | |
| M. Chalmers | 13 | 46% | 6.5 / 14 | |
| U. Haslem | 11 | 61% | 5.5 / 9 | |
| C. Bosh | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| R. Allen | 10 | 63% | 5.0 / 8 | |
| T. Douglas | 7 | 117% | 3.5 / 3 | |
| C. Andersen | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| N. Cole | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| R. Lewis | 3 | 17% | 1.5 / 9 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
IND
66
+6
-16
72
MIA
76
+15
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
IND
1.16 58.1%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 104.5 110.7 | IND 104.9 MIA 115.3 +10.4 |
| Pace | 92.2 91.5 | IND 82.5 MIA 85.0 +2.5 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.1 15.8 | IND 17.5 MIA 16.9 +0.5 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.0% 55.4% | IND 53.8% +3.1% MIA 50.7% |
| TO % | 15.6% 15.4% | IND 17.9% MIA 9.3% +8.6% |
| ORB % | 24.9% 20.6% | IND 14.7% MIA 29.7% +15.0% |
| FTrt | 29.0 30.0 | IND 29.2 MIA 37.3 +8.1 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 56.0% 58.8% | IND 64.5% +24.5% MIA 40.0% |
| STL % | 7.3% 9.7% | IND 6.1% MIA 11.8% +5.7% |
| BLK % | 8.5% 8.1% | IND 5.1% MIA 7.8% +2.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.0% 57.5% | IND 58.1% +4.3% MIA 53.8% |
| Rim FG% | 56.4% 66.7% | IND 55.0% +9.8% MIA 45.2% |
| Mid FG% | 41.0% 42.8% | IND 38.7% MIA 53.6% +14.9% |
| 3P % | 35.7% 36.4% | IND 57.1% +19.6% MIA 37.5% |
| FT % | 77.9% 76.0% | IND 84.2% +5.6% MIA 78.6% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 33.3% 38.3% | IND 30.8% MIA 41.3% +10.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 43.3% 32.5% | IND 47.7% MIA 37.3% +10.4% |
| 3P Att. % | 23.5% 29.2% | IND 21.5% +0.2% MIA 21.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
| Game Totals | IND | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 82 | 85 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.9 | 24.0 |
| Points | 86 | 98 |
| Rebounds | 31 | 40 |
| Assists | 20 | 14 |
| Steals | 5 | 10 |
| Blocks | 3 | 4 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 16 (0) | 9 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 5 (1) | 11 (4) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 26 (2) | 29 (1) |
| Field Goals | 31-65 | 35-75 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 11-20 | 14-31 |
| Midrange FG | 12-31 | 15-28 |
| 2-Point FG | 23-51 | 29-59 |
| 3-Point FG | 8-14 | 6-16 |
| Free Throws | 16-19 | 22-28 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.