FinalWin Prob.pScore
251%104
109
649%103
100
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
117.29398.7
DAL logo DAL
106.49489.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS109
100%
100
0%
Q4 - 0:12.0DALLarkin 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)109
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)107
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)107
99.6%
98
0.4%
Q4 - 1:17DALCalderon 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)104
97.9%
98
2.1%
Q4 - 1:28SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)104
99.1%
95
0.9%
Q4 - 1:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)104
99.5%
95
0.5%
Q4 - 1:28SASMISS Belinelli 5' Driving Jump Shot104
99.2%
95
0.8%
Q4 - 1:52DALCalderon 1' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)104
99.1%
95
0.9%
Q4 - 1:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)104
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 1:59SASMISS Mills 10' Fadeaway Jumper104
99.6%
93
0.4%
Q4 - 2:22SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)104
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 2:23SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 2:47DALHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)104
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 3:00SASSplitter 1' Putback Layup (12 PTS)104
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 3:02SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)102
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 3:03SASMarion BLOCK (2 BLK)102
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 3:22SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 3:26DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Layup102
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 3:45SASSplitter 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)102
98.7%
90
1.3%
Q4 - 4:01DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)100
98.3%
90
1.7%
Q4 - 4:01DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)100
98.4%
89
1.6%
Q4 - 4:19SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)100
98.8%
88
1.2%
Q4 - 4:19SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)99
98.7%
88
1.3%
Q4 - 4:35SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)98
98.4%
88
1.6%
Q4 - 4:36SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot98
97.9%
88
2.1%
Q4 - 4:52DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)98
98.4%
88
1.6%
Q4 - 5:02SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P2.T12)98
98.0%
86
2.0%
Q4 - 5:05DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)98
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 5:19SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)98
98.0%
86
2.0%
Q4 - 5:33SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)95
96.4%
86
3.6%
Q4 - 5:34SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
95.4%
86
4.6%
Q4 - 5:55DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)95
96.4%
86
3.6%
Q4 - 5:55DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)95
96.6%
85
3.4%
Q4 - 6:05DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)95
96.2%
84
3.8%
Q4 - 6:06SASMISS Leonard 9' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot95
96.5%
84
3.5%
Q4 - 6:18DALEllis 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)95
97.3%
84
2.7%
Q4 - 6:38SASMills 15' Jump Shot (26 PTS)95
97.9%
82
2.1%
Q4 - 6:55DALEllis 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS)93
97.3%
82
2.7%
Q4 - 7:07DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
97.2%
80
2.8%
Q4 - 7:08SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot93
97.5%
80
2.5%
Q4 - 7:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)93
97.9%
80
2.1%
Q4 - 7:24SASMISS Mills 20' Pullup Jump Shot93
97.5%
80
2.5%
Q4 - 7:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)93
98.0%
80
2.0%
Q4 - 7:36DALMISS Calderon 18' Pullup Jump Shot93
97.8%
80
2.2%
Q4 - 7:48SASSplitter 5' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)93
97.3%
80
2.7%
Q4 - 8:05DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)91
95.4%
80
4.6%
Q4 - 8:21SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mills 6 AST)91
96.5%
78
3.5%
Q4 - 8:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)88
94.2%
78
5.8%
Q4 - 8:29DALMISS Carter Running Finger Roll Layup88
93.8%
78
6.2%
Q4 - 8:39DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
92.7%
78
7.3%
Q4 - 8:41SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
93.2%
78
6.8%
Q4 - 9:01DALEllis Running Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)88
93.0%
78
7.0%
Q4 - 9:05SASEllis STEAL (1 STL)88
94.4%
76
5.6%
Q4 - 9:19DALWright 3' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)88
95.6%
76
4.4%
Q4 - 9:32SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P1.T10)88
96.5%
74
3.5%
Q4 - 9:42DALNowitzki 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (19 PTS)88
97.3%
74
2.7%
Q4 - 10:11SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mills 5 AST)88
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q4 - 10:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)85
95.8%
72
4.2%
Q4 - 10:19DALMISS Carter 3' Driving Layup85
95.5%
72
4.5%
Q4 - 10:46DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
94.8%
72
5.2%
Q4 - 10:47SASMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
95.1%
72
4.9%
Q4 - 11:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
95.1%
72
4.9%
Q4 - 11:02DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot85
94.7%
72
5.3%
Q4 - 11:22SASBelinelli 20' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)85
94.0%
72
6.0%
Q4 - 11:34SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
92.7%
72
7.3%
Q4 - 11:35DALMISS Carter 9' Running Jump Shot83
92.2%
72
7.8%
Q4 - 11:50SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P1.T9)83
91.1%
72
8.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL83
92.7%
72
7.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound83
91.1%
72
8.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris 41' 3PT Running Jump Shot83
92.3%
72
7.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASSplitter 2' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)83
90.2%
72
9.8%
Q3 - 0:14.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)81
88.2%
72
11.8%
Q3 - 0:15.0DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 281
87.9%
72
12.1%
Q3 - 0:15.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)81
86.1%
72
13.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)81
88.3%
71
11.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)78
83.2%
71
16.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
82.4%
71
17.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)78
80.3%
71
19.7%
Q3 - 1:00DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)76
76.8%
71
23.2%
Q3 - 1:00DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 276
77.5%
70
22.5%
Q3 - 1:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
75.8%
70
24.2%
Q3 - 1:07SASMISS Diaw 5' Jump Shot76
76.9%
70
23.1%
Q3 - 1:32DALWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
79.2%
70
20.8%
Q3 - 1:32DALWright 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)76
79.2%
70
20.8%
Q3 - 1:34DALMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup76
84.2%
68
15.8%
Q3 - 1:40DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
82.3%
68
17.7%
Q3 - 1:41SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
83.2%
68
16.8%
Q3 - 1:53DALMarion 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (12 PTS)76
85.0%
68
15.0%
Q3 - 2:07DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
86.0%
66
14.0%
Q3 - 2:07SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
86.7%
66
13.3%
Q3 - 2:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
88.2%
66
11.8%
Q3 - 2:22DALMISS Wright 6' Running Hook Shot76
87.6%
66
12.4%
Q3 - 2:33DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
86.0%
66
14.0%
Q3 - 2:35SASMISS Leonard 11' Driving Jump Shot76
86.7%
66
13.3%
Q3 - 2:55SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)76
88.2%
66
11.8%
Q3 - 2:56DALMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot76
87.6%
66
12.4%
Q3 - 3:02DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
85.0%
66
15.0%
Q3 - 3:03DALMISS Harris 11' Pullup Jump Shot76
86.7%
66
13.3%
Q3 - 3:20SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)76
85.1%
66
14.9%
Q3 - 3:37DALMarion 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)73
80.2%
66
19.8%
Q3 - 3:48DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
85.1%
63
14.9%
Q3 - 3:49SASHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)73
85.8%
63
14.2%
Q3 - 4:01SASSpurs Rebound73
86.7%
63
13.3%
Q3 - 4:01SASCarter BLOCK (1 BLK)73
84.8%
63
15.2%
Q3 - 4:06DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)73
86.7%
63
13.3%
Q3 - 4:11SASHarris STEAL (3 STL)73
84.0%
63
16.0%
Q3 - 4:32DALBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)73
86.7%
63
13.3%
Q3 - 4:32DALMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 273
87.3%
62
12.7%
Q3 - 4:32DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
86.3%
62
13.7%
Q3 - 4:33DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup73
87.9%
62
12.1%
Q3 - 4:51SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)73
86.3%
62
13.7%
Q3 - 5:08DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)71
83.5%
62
16.5%
Q3 - 5:31SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)71
85.4%
60
14.6%
Q3 - 5:37SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
81.2%
60
18.8%
Q3 - 5:38DALMISS Ellis 13' Fadeaway Jumper68
80.3%
60
19.7%
Q3 - 6:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
78.1%
60
21.9%
Q3 - 6:00SASDuncan Tip Shot (13 PTS)68
78.1%
60
21.9%
Q3 - 6:01SASMISS Mills 7' Running Jump Shot66
72.3%
60
27.7%
Q3 - 6:16DALEllis 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)66
74.8%
60
25.2%
Q3 - 6:40SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Leonard 5 AST)66
77.4%
58
22.6%
Q3 - 6:44SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)63
71.7%
58
28.3%
Q3 - 6:45SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup63
69.1%
58
30.9%
Q3 - 6:47SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)63
71.7%
58
28.3%
Q3 - 6:48SASMISS Mills 1' Running Layup63
69.1%
58
30.9%
Q3 - 6:52DALHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)63
71.7%
58
28.3%
Q3 - 7:02DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)63
67.1%
58
32.9%
Q3 - 7:03SASMISS Mills 14' Jump Shot63
68.2%
58
31.8%
Q3 - 7:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
70.7%
58
29.3%
Q3 - 7:07SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot63
68.3%
58
31.7%
Q3 - 7:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
70.7%
58
29.3%
Q3 - 7:15DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)63
67.2%
58
32.8%
Q3 - 7:15DALMISS Dalembert 1' Running Tip Shot63
69.7%
58
30.3%
Q3 - 7:17DALMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot63
69.7%
58
30.3%
Q3 - 7:23DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
67.2%
58
32.8%
Q3 - 7:24SASMISS Duncan 9' Driving Jump Shot63
68.3%
58
31.7%
Q3 - 7:42DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)63
70.8%
58
29.2%
Q3 - 7:47DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
76.5%
55
23.5%
Q3 - 7:48SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot63
77.4%
55
22.6%
Q3 - 8:02SASSpurs Rebound63
78.9%
55
21.1%
Q3 - 8:02SASMISS Mills 1' Driving Layup63
76.8%
55
23.2%
Q3 - 8:07DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)63
78.9%
55
21.1%
Q3 - 8:26SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)63
75.9%
55
24.1%
Q3 - 8:32SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
70.4%
55
29.6%
Q3 - 8:34DALMISS Ellis 4' Driving Jump Shot60
69.3%
55
30.7%
Q3 - 8:47DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
66.7%
55
33.3%
Q3 - 8:48SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
67.9%
55
32.1%
Q3 - 9:07DALCalderon 18' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)60
69.6%
55
30.4%
Q3 - 9:20SASMills 1' Running Layup (15 PTS)60
72.6%
53
27.4%
Q3 - 9:23DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)58
69.7%
53
30.3%
Q3 - 9:45SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)58
66.4%
53
33.6%
Q3 - 9:51SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
59.7%
53
40.3%
Q3 - 9:52DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Jump Shot55
58.6%
53
41.4%
Q3 - 10:07DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
56.0%
53
44.0%
Q3 - 10:08SASMISS Mills 15' Jump Shot55
57.1%
53
42.9%
Q3 - 10:17DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)55
59.6%
53
40.4%
Q3 - 10:32SASLeonard Running Slam Dunk (13 PTS)55
62.9%
51
37.1%
Q3 - 10:35SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
59.6%
51
40.4%
Q3 - 10:37DALMISS Dalembert 1' Driving Layup53
58.5%
51
41.5%
Q3 - 10:53SASDuncan 6' Driving Jump Shot (11 PTS)53
56.0%
51
44.0%
Q3 - 11:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
52.7%
51
47.3%
Q3 - 11:14DALMISS Ellis 4' Driving Jump Shot51
51.6%
51
48.4%
Q3 - 11:30SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)51
49.1%
51
50.9%
Q3 - 11:46DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)49
45.8%
51
54.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL49
42.3%
51
57.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
42.3%
51
57.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASDalembert BLOCK (1 BLK)49
43.9%
51
56.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
45.6%
51
54.4%
Q2 - 0:17.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
46.0%
50
54.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
49.7%
49
50.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 249
50.0%
49
50.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
52.2%
49
47.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
48.9%
49
51.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0DALMISS Harris 1' Driving Layup48
48.2%
49
51.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASHarris STEAL (2 STL)48
46.4%
49
53.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
48.9%
49
51.1%
Q2 - 1:01SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
47.4%
49
52.6%
Q2 - 1:17DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)48
48.9%
49
51.1%
Q2 - 1:19SASNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)48
56.4%
46
43.6%
Q2 - 1:21SASSpurs Rebound48
58.4%
46
41.6%
Q2 - 1:23SASMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)48
57.0%
46
43.0%
Q2 - 1:29SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
58.4%
46
41.6%
Q2 - 1:30DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot48
57.8%
46
42.2%
Q2 - 1:47SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)48
56.4%
46
43.6%
Q2 - 1:54DALWright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)45
48.9%
46
51.1%
Q2 - 2:05DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
46.3%
46
53.7%
Q2 - 2:06SASMISS Diaw 13' Jump Shot45
47.2%
46
52.8%
Q2 - 2:25DALEllis 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)45
49.4%
46
50.6%
Q2 - 2:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
52.5%
44
47.5%
Q2 - 2:32SASMISS Duncan 6' Running Hook Shot45
53.5%
44
46.5%
Q2 - 2:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
55.6%
44
44.4%
Q2 - 2:49DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Step Back Jump Shot45
54.7%
44
45.3%
Q2 - 3:11SASBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)45
52.3%
44
47.7%
Q2 - 3:11SASBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)44
51.9%
44
48.1%
Q2 - 3:20DALWright 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)43
49.9%
44
50.1%
Q2 - 3:32SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)43
52.3%
42
47.7%
Q2 - 3:47DALNowitzki 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)43
55.9%
42
44.1%
Q2 - 4:03DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
58.1%
40
41.9%
Q2 - 4:04SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
59.0%
40
41.0%
Q2 - 4:13DALNowitzki 2' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)43
60.9%
40
39.1%
Q2 - 4:41DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
63.6%
38
36.4%
Q2 - 4:42SASMISS Mills 10' Running Jump Shot43
64.5%
38
35.5%
Q2 - 4:57SASSpurs Rebound43
66.4%
38
33.6%
Q2 - 4:57DALMISS Calderon 19' Jump Shot43
65.5%
38
34.5%
Q2 - 5:12SASMills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
63.5%
38
36.5%
Q2 - 5:18SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
58.0%
38
42.0%
Q2 - 5:19DALMISS Ellis 13' Running Jump Shot40
57.2%
38
42.8%
Q2 - 5:32SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
55.3%
38
44.7%
Q2 - 5:32SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
55.0%
38
45.0%
Q2 - 5:49SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
52.4%
38
47.6%
Q2 - 5:50DALMISS Marion 15' Running Jump Shot38
51.6%
38
48.4%
Q2 - 6:12SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)38
49.4%
38
50.6%
Q2 - 6:16SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
44.5%
38
55.5%
Q2 - 6:17DALMISS Wright 6' Driving Hook Shot35
43.5%
38
56.5%
Q2 - 6:34SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)35
41.3%
38
58.7%
Q2 - 6:40SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
36.5%
38
63.5%
Q2 - 6:42SASMISS Leonard 21' Jump Shot32
34.4%
38
65.6%
Q2 - 6:51DALCarter 7' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)32
36.5%
38
63.5%
Q2 - 7:01DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
39.1%
36
60.9%
Q2 - 7:02SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
42.0%
36
58.0%
Q2 - 7:02SASMISS Splitter Tip Shot32
40.0%
36
60.0%
Q2 - 7:04SASMISS Mills 3' Driving Layup32
40.0%
36
60.0%
Q2 - 7:34DALNowitzki 13' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
42.0%
36
58.0%
Q2 - 7:46DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
44.2%
34
55.8%
Q2 - 7:47DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
46.3%
34
53.7%
Q2 - 8:02DALMAVERICKS Rebound32
44.4%
34
55.6%
Q2 - 8:03SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
45.2%
34
54.8%
Q2 - 8:28DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
47.1%
34
52.9%
Q2 - 8:28DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
47.6%
33
52.4%
Q2 - 8:33DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
49.6%
32
50.4%
Q2 - 8:34SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
50.4%
32
49.6%
Q2 - 8:51DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw Technical32
52.3%
32
47.7%
Q2 - 8:55DALWright 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)32
52.3%
32
47.7%
Q2 - 9:01SASHarris STEAL (1 STL)32
54.5%
30
45.5%
Q2 - 9:18SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
57.2%
30
42.8%
Q2 - 9:19DALMISS Blair 10' Jump Shot32
56.4%
30
43.6%
Q2 - 9:26DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
54.6%
30
45.4%
Q2 - 9:27SASMISS Belinelli 20' Jump Shot32
55.4%
30
44.6%
Q2 - 9:44DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
57.2%
30
42.8%
Q2 - 9:44DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
57.6%
29
42.4%
Q2 - 10:02SASGinobili 10' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)32
59.1%
28
40.9%
Q2 - 10:21DALCarter 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
57.1%
28
42.9%
Q2 - 10:42SASGinobili Backcourt Turnover (P2.T3)30
59.1%
26
40.9%
Q2 - 10:51DALBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)30
61.9%
26
38.1%
Q2 - 10:54DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
59.1%
26
40.9%
Q2 - 10:55SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 230
59.5%
26
40.5%
Q2 - 10:55SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 230
61.0%
26
39.0%
Q2 - 11:14DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)30
61.4%
26
38.6%
Q2 - 11:24SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)30
63.5%
24
36.5%
Q2 - 11:44DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)30
65.9%
24
34.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS30
67.9%
22
32.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0DALHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)30
69.2%
22
30.8%
Q1 - 0:12.0SASJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
67.7%
22
32.3%
Q1 - 0:12.0SASMISS Joseph Free Throw 1 of 229
67.3%
22
32.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASSpurs Rebound29
67.2%
22
32.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0DALMISS Harris 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot29
66.7%
22
33.3%
Q1 - 1:00SASDuncan 5' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)29
65.6%
22
34.4%
Q1 - 1:16SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
62.7%
22
37.3%
Q1 - 1:17DALMISS Crowder 20' Jump Shot27
62.2%
22
37.8%
Q1 - 1:34SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)27
61.1%
22
38.9%
Q1 - 1:50DALBlair 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)27
62.7%
22
37.3%
Q1 - 2:04DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
65.0%
20
35.0%
Q1 - 2:04SASMISS Ginobili 5' Driving Jump Shot27
65.6%
20
34.4%
Q1 - 2:16DALMarion 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)27
66.9%
20
33.1%
Q1 - 2:29DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
70.9%
17
29.1%
Q1 - 2:30SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 227
71.2%
17
28.8%
Q1 - 2:30SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
72.4%
17
27.6%
Q1 - 2:40DALBlair 13' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)26
70.8%
17
29.2%
Q1 - 3:00SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)26
72.8%
15
27.2%
Q1 - 3:00SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)25
72.5%
15
27.5%
Q1 - 3:04DALCalderon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)24
70.6%
15
29.4%
Q1 - 3:21DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
68.6%
15
31.4%
Q1 - 3:22SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot24
69.2%
15
30.8%
Q1 - 3:29SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
70.6%
15
29.4%
Q1 - 3:30DALMISS Ellis 7' Step Back Jump Shot24
70.0%
15
30.0%
Q1 - 3:47DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
68.6%
15
31.4%
Q1 - 3:48SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
70.6%
15
29.4%
Q1 - 3:48SASMISS Leonard 2' Tip Shot24
69.2%
15
30.8%
Q1 - 3:50SASMISS Splitter 6' Running Jump Shot24
69.2%
15
30.8%
Q1 - 3:55SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
70.6%
15
29.4%
Q1 - 3:56DALMISS Calderon 16' Pullup Jump Shot24
70.0%
15
30.0%
Q1 - 4:05DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
68.0%
15
32.0%
Q1 - 4:07SASMISS Splitter Reverse Layup24
68.7%
15
31.3%
Q1 - 4:21DALEllis 17' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
70.1%
15
29.9%
Q1 - 4:43SASMills 1' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)24
71.7%
13
28.3%
Q1 - 5:01DALCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
69.0%
13
31.0%
Q1 - 5:01DALCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
69.2%
12
30.8%
Q1 - 5:19SASSplitter 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)22
70.6%
11
29.4%
Q1 - 5:35DALCalderon 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
69.1%
11
30.9%
Q1 - 5:49SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
70.7%
9
29.3%
Q1 - 5:52SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
67.3%
9
32.7%
Q1 - 5:53SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
66.0%
9
34.0%
Q1 - 6:01SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
66.5%
9
33.5%
Q1 - 6:02DALMISS Dalembert 8' Turnaround Hook Shot17
65.9%
9
34.1%
Q1 - 6:10DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)17
64.6%
9
35.4%
Q1 - 6:11SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
65.2%
9
34.8%
Q1 - 6:19DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)17
66.5%
9
33.5%
Q1 - 6:19DALDalembert Tip Shot (2 PTS)17
66.5%
9
33.5%
Q1 - 6:20DALMISS Ellis 9' Driving Bank Shot17
69.4%
7
30.6%
Q1 - 6:43SASLeonard 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
68.1%
7
31.9%
Q1 - 6:51DALMarion 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)15
66.6%
7
33.4%
Q1 - 7:12SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)15
67.4%
5
32.6%
Q1 - 7:22SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
64.3%
5
35.7%
Q1 - 7:22DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot12
63.7%
5
36.3%
Q1 - 7:42SASGreen 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
62.3%
5
37.7%
Q1 - 7:48SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
58.9%
5
41.1%
Q1 - 7:49DALMISS Dalembert 7' Step Back Jump Shot9
58.3%
5
41.7%
Q1 - 8:02DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
56.9%
5
43.1%
Q1 - 8:02DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot9
58.2%
5
41.8%
Q1 - 8:14SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
56.8%
5
43.2%
Q1 - 8:14SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
56.4%
5
43.6%
Q1 - 8:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
55.2%
5
44.8%
Q1 - 8:37DALMISS Calderon 16' Jump Shot7
54.6%
5
45.4%
Q1 - 8:45DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
53.2%
5
46.8%
Q1 - 8:45SASMISS Splitter 5' Jump Hook Shot7
53.8%
5
46.2%
Q1 - 8:57SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
55.2%
5
44.8%
Q1 - 8:58DALMISS Ellis 17' Floating Jump Shot7
54.6%
5
45.4%
Q1 - 9:09DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
53.3%
5
46.7%
Q1 - 9:10SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot7
53.9%
5
46.1%
Q1 - 9:35DALMarion Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Dalembert 1 AST)7
55.2%
5
44.8%
Q1 - 9:38DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
56.8%
3
43.2%
Q1 - 9:39DALMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot7
58.2%
3
41.8%
Q1 - 9:49DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
56.8%
3
43.2%
Q1 - 9:51SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
57.4%
3
42.6%
Q1 - 10:04DALCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
58.4%
3
41.6%
Q1 - 10:29SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)7
61.6%
0
38.4%
Q1 - 10:58SASSpurs Rebound5
60.1%
0
39.9%
Q1 - 10:58DALMISS Calderon 16' Jump Shot5
59.6%
0
40.4%
Q1 - 11:17SASSplitter 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)5
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 11:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
56.3%
0
43.7%
Q1 - 11:30DALMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot3
55.8%
0
44.2%
Q1 - 11:50SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)3
54.8%
0
45.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dalembert vs. Duncan: Tip to Mills0
51.3%
0
48.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.08 54.0%
DAL
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
27
48%
DAL
17
27
63%
Midrange
SAS
9
27
33%
DAL
17
44
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
16
24.0
34
47%
71%
DAL
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
Free Throws
SAS
17
22
77%
DAL
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Mills2650%13.0 / 26
T. Duncan2063%10.0 / 16
K. Leonard1650%8.0 / 16
D. Green1583%7.5 / 9
T. Splitter1260%6.0 / 10
M. Ginobili1063%5.0 / 8
M. Belinelli744%3.5 / 8
C. Joseph375%1.5 / 2
B. Diaw0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2452%12.0 / 23
D. Nowitzki1959%9.5 / 16
J. Calderon1458%7.0 / 12
S. Marion1286%6.0 / 7
D. Harris836%4.0 / 11
B. Wright867%4.0 / 6
V. Carter650%3.0 / 6
D. Blair563%2.5 / 4
S. Dalembert220%1.0 / 5
S. Larkin2100%1.0 / 1
J. Crowder0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
81
+18
-12
99
DAL
84
+9
-10
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.08 54.0%
DAL
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
110.7
SAS 117.2 +10.8
DAL 106.4
Pace
95.2
94.1
SAS 98.7 +9.0
DAL 89.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.7
SAS 14.6 +1.5
DAL 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
52.6%
SAS 52.3% +2.3%
DAL 50.0%
TO %
14.7%
13.9%
SAS 11.7%
DAL 9.8% +1.9%
ORB %
22.8%
24.7%
SAS 30.6% +11.1%
DAL 19.5%
FTrt
24.0
25.3
SAS 25.0
DAL 25.3 +0.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
59.6%
SAS 57.9% +16.9%
DAL 41.0%
STL %
7.7%
9.1%
SAS 9.7% +4.4%
DAL 5.3%
BLK %
7.7%
7.4%
SAS 1.4%
DAL 9.3% +7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
55.0%
SAS 54.0% +0.8%
DAL 53.2%
Rim FG%
63.1%
60.9%
SAS 48.1%
DAL 63.0% +14.9%
Mid FG%
40.6%
42.4%
SAS 33.3%
DAL 38.6% +5.3%
3P %
39.7%
38.4%
SAS 47.1% +5.4%
DAL 41.7%
FT %
78.6%
79.5%
SAS 77.3%
DAL 81.0% +3.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.5%
32.8%
SAS 30.7%
DAL 32.5% +1.8%
Mid Att. %
37.8%
39.9%
SAS 30.7% +22.3%
DAL 53.0%
3P Att. %
25.7%
27.4%
SAS 38.6% +24.2%
DAL 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes22.625.2
Points109100
Rebounds4842
Assists2216
Steals95
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)34 (1)
Field Goals38-8839-83
At-the-Rim FG13-2717-27
Midrange FG9-2717-44
2-Point FG22-5434-71
3-Point FG16-345-12
Free Throws17-2217-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 38
39.3
20
63%
15
2
1
1
3
3
4
11
6-9
67%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 23
37.0
16
50%
16
5
2
0
2
2
6
10
4-5
80%
3-8
38%
2-6
33%
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
35.6
26
50%
2
6
2
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-14
21%
6-11
55%
C · 6'11" 245 · 29
28.1
12
60%
3
1
0
0
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
22.4
15
83%
5
1
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
5-9
56%
G · 6'6" 205 · 37
28.6
10
63%
2
7
2
0
5
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28
20.1
7
44%
1
0
0
0
0
4
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32
19.5
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 23
8.3
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 220 · 26
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34
C · 6'10" 260 · 27
#7 · F · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
54%
48
22
9
1
12
0
15
33
17-22
77%
22-54
41%
16-34
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.