FinalWin Prob.pScore
444%94
102
756%96
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
120.08586.0
MEM logo MEM
121.68887.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM102
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)102
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHeat Rebound102
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 0:07.0MEMMISS Allen 1' Layup102
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)102
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:23.0MEMRandolph Foul Turnover (P3.T14)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAChalmers 1' Running Layup (12 PTS)99
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)97
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:27MEMAllen 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:50MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)95
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot95
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 2:04MEMRandolph Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)95
1.0%
105
99.0%
Q4 - 2:18MEMConley Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (26 PTS)95
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 2:18MEMConley Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (25 PTS)95
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 2:19MIAConley STEAL (2 STL)95
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 2:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
2.8%
103
97.2%
Q4 - 2:31MEMMISS Randolph 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
2.3%
103
97.7%
Q4 - 2:52MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
2.1%
103
97.9%
Q4 - 2:55MEMMISS Gasol 5' Fadeaway Jumper95
2.9%
103
97.1%
Q4 - 3:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)95
2.0%
103
98.0%
Q4 - 3:14MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)94
1.8%
103
98.2%
Q4 - 3:34MEMConley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Calathes 2 AST)93
2.7%
103
97.3%
Q4 - 3:39MIARandolph STEAL (1 STL)93
5.1%
100
94.9%
Q4 - 4:04MEMConley 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Calathes 1 AST)93
7.1%
100
92.9%
Q4 - 4:11MIAGasol STEAL (2 STL)93
13.6%
97
86.4%
Q4 - 4:26MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)93
19.1%
97
80.9%
Q4 - 4:26MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)93
20.2%
96
79.8%
Q4 - 4:45MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (35 PTS)93
25.0%
95
75.0%
Q4 - 5:11MEMCalathes 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)91
21.4%
95
78.6%
Q4 - 5:17MIACalathes STEAL (1 STL)91
27.0%
93
73.0%
Q4 - 5:26MEMGasol 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)91
34.8%
93
65.2%
Q4 - 5:43MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)91
42.1%
91
57.9%
Q4 - 6:04MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
23.5%
91
76.5%
Q4 - 6:06MEMMISS Randolph 13' Fadeaway Jumper87
21.6%
91
78.4%
Q4 - 6:28MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)87
17.8%
91
82.2%
Q4 - 6:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)86
16.9%
91
83.1%
Q4 - 6:43MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
14.2%
91
85.8%
Q4 - 6:45MEMMISS Conley 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot85
12.9%
91
87.1%
Q4 - 6:53MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)85
10.5%
91
89.5%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup85
11.5%
91
88.5%
Q4 - 7:10MIAHeat Rebound85
16.0%
91
84.0%
Q4 - 7:11MEMMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot85
14.7%
91
85.3%
Q4 - 7:30MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
12.2%
91
87.8%
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS Bosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot85
13.2%
91
86.8%
Q4 - 7:54MEMRandolph 5' Jump Shot (25 PTS)85
15.8%
91
84.2%
Q4 - 7:56MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
19.5%
89
80.5%
Q4 - 7:58MEMMISS Lee 6' Running Jump Shot85
23.1%
89
76.9%
Q4 - 8:02MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
21.4%
89
78.6%
Q4 - 8:04MEMMISS Lee 6' Jump Shot85
24.5%
89
75.5%
Q4 - 8:24MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)85
21.3%
89
78.7%
Q4 - 8:47MEMAllen Layup (4 PTS)82
13.8%
89
86.2%
Q4 - 8:51MIAAllen STEAL (3 STL)82
17.2%
87
82.8%
Q4 - 9:12MEMAllen Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)82
22.5%
87
77.5%
Q4 - 9:15MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)82
27.0%
85
73.0%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup82
28.4%
85
71.6%
Q4 - 9:42MEMConley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)82
31.9%
85
68.1%
Q4 - 10:06MIAJames 1' Layup (31 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)82
42.9%
82
57.1%
Q4 - 10:12MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
37.5%
82
62.5%
Q4 - 10:13MEMMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
35.9%
82
64.1%
Q4 - 10:30MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
32.3%
82
67.7%
Q4 - 10:31MEMMISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot80
35.9%
82
64.1%
Q4 - 10:49MEMLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
32.3%
82
67.7%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS James 21' Step Back Jump Shot80
33.9%
82
66.1%
Q4 - 11:14MEMLee Foul Turnover (P4.T12)80
37.8%
82
62.2%
Q4 - 11:21MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
32.8%
82
67.2%
Q4 - 11:23MIAMISS Lewis 6' Running Jump Shot80
34.2%
82
65.8%
Q4 - 11:49MEMGasol 1' Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)80
37.7%
82
62.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
42.8%
80
57.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMLee 3PT Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)80
48.3%
80
51.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)80
58.9%
77
41.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMGasol Driving Layup (14 PTS)80
63.0%
77
37.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAJames 20' Jump Bank Shot (29 PTS)80
67.8%
75
32.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0MEMConley Layup (15 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)78
63.1%
75
36.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
67.9%
73
32.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)78
69.2%
73
30.8%
Q3 - 1:08MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
70.7%
73
29.3%
Q3 - 1:09MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 278
70.2%
73
29.8%
Q3 - 1:09MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 278
67.3%
73
32.7%
Q3 - 1:18MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
66.7%
73
33.3%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS James 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot78
68.0%
73
32.0%
Q3 - 1:48MEMRandolph 7' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)78
70.8%
73
29.2%
Q3 - 1:57MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)78
74.9%
71
25.1%
Q3 - 2:08MEMRandolph Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)78
76.6%
71
23.4%
Q3 - 2:29MIAJames 1' Reverse Slam Dunk (27 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)78
73.1%
71
26.9%
Q3 - 2:46MEMConley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)76
69.4%
71
30.6%
Q3 - 2:58MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)76
65.2%
71
34.8%
Q3 - 3:09MEMLee Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)74
60.3%
71
39.7%
Q3 - 3:11MIAGasol STEAL (1 STL)74
68.1%
68
31.9%
Q3 - 3:28MEMGasol 9' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)74
72.2%
68
27.8%
Q3 - 3:53MIAHamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)74
75.4%
66
24.6%
Q3 - 4:05MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
67.8%
66
32.2%
Q3 - 4:05MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 1 of 271
68.3%
65
31.7%
Q3 - 4:20MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
66.9%
65
33.1%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
68.4%
65
31.6%
Q3 - 4:32MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)71
71.4%
65
28.6%
Q3 - 4:49MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
67.0%
65
33.0%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
68.4%
65
31.6%
Q3 - 5:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
70.2%
65
29.8%
Q3 - 5:11MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot71
69.0%
65
31.0%
Q3 - 5:23MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
66.1%
65
33.9%
Q3 - 5:24MIALee BLOCK (1 BLK)71
67.4%
65
32.6%
Q3 - 5:52MEMConley 5' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)71
70.3%
65
29.7%
Q3 - 5:53MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
73.1%
63
26.9%
Q3 - 5:56MEMMISS Conley 10' Floating Jump Shot71
75.7%
63
24.3%
Q3 - 6:13MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
72.1%
63
27.9%
Q3 - 6:14MIAMISS James 21' Pullup Jump Shot71
73.1%
63
26.9%
Q3 - 6:34MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
75.5%
63
24.5%
Q3 - 6:36MEMMISS Gasol 1' Reverse Layup71
74.5%
63
25.5%
Q3 - 6:41MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound71
72.1%
63
27.9%
Q3 - 6:41MEMMISS Johnson 3' Reverse Layup71
74.5%
63
25.5%
Q3 - 6:43MEMJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
72.1%
63
27.9%
Q3 - 6:45MEMMISS Lee 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
74.5%
63
25.5%
Q3 - 6:50MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
72.1%
63
27.9%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot71
73.2%
63
26.8%
Q3 - 6:53MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
75.6%
63
24.4%
Q3 - 6:54MIAMISS Chalmers Layup71
73.2%
63
26.8%
Q3 - 7:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
74.3%
63
25.7%
Q3 - 7:09MEMMISS Gasol 1' Layup71
73.3%
63
26.7%
Q3 - 7:10MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
71.0%
63
29.0%
Q3 - 7:11MEMMISS Conley 1' Running Layup71
73.3%
63
26.7%
Q3 - 7:27MIAJames Backcourt Turnover (P2.T7)71
71.0%
63
29.0%
Q3 - 7:38MEMLee Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)71
74.4%
63
25.6%
Q3 - 8:02MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS)71
70.2%
63
29.8%
Q3 - 8:26MEMRandolph 2' Putback Layup (21 PTS)69
67.5%
63
32.5%
Q3 - 8:28MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
70.3%
61
29.7%
Q3 - 8:28MEMMISS Conley 17' Jump Shot69
72.7%
61
27.3%
Q3 - 8:43MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)69
70.3%
61
29.7%
Q3 - 8:56MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
67.5%
61
32.5%
Q3 - 8:58MEMMISS Randolph 5' Turnaround Jump Shot67
66.4%
61
33.6%
Q3 - 9:06MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
63.0%
61
37.0%
Q3 - 9:08MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot67
64.1%
61
35.9%
Q3 - 9:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
66.5%
61
33.5%
Q3 - 9:16MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot67
65.5%
61
34.5%
Q3 - 9:33MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Douglas 5 AST)67
63.1%
61
36.9%
Q3 - 9:49MEMJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)64
56.2%
61
43.8%
Q3 - 9:49MEMJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)64
57.0%
60
43.0%
Q3 - 10:04MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)64
59.1%
59
40.9%
Q3 - 10:24MEMConley 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)60
48.6%
59
51.4%
Q3 - 10:43MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
52.1%
57
47.9%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Battier 7' Running Jump Shot60
53.2%
57
46.8%
Q3 - 11:16MEMLee 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)60
55.3%
57
44.7%
Q3 - 11:38MIAChalmers 11' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)60
61.9%
54
38.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM58
58.7%
54
41.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound58
55.2%
54
44.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Johnson 63' 3PT Jump Shot58
56.8%
54
43.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0MEMJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
55.1%
54
44.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
55.8%
54
44.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0MEMJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)58
57.6%
54
42.4%
Q2 - 0:21.0MEMMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 258
58.3%
53
41.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
58.3%
53
41.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
59.1%
53
40.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0MEMConley 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)58
60.8%
53
39.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAJames Dunk (16 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)58
64.6%
51
35.4%
Q2 - 1:03MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)56
60.1%
51
39.9%
Q2 - 1:05MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
58.1%
51
41.9%
Q2 - 1:07MEMMISS Conley 2' Layup56
59.5%
51
40.5%
Q2 - 1:12MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
58.1%
51
41.9%
Q2 - 1:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
60.1%
51
39.9%
Q2 - 1:14MIAMISS Bosh Layup56
58.7%
51
41.3%
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot56
58.7%
51
41.3%
Q2 - 1:18MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
60.1%
51
39.9%
Q2 - 1:21MIAJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)56
58.7%
51
41.3%
Q2 - 1:45MEMGasol 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)56
60.1%
51
39.9%
Q2 - 1:56MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
64.2%
49
35.8%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot56
64.8%
49
35.2%
Q2 - 2:15MEMLee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)56
65.8%
49
34.2%
Q2 - 2:38MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
71.1%
46
28.9%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 256
71.5%
46
28.5%
Q2 - 2:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)56
73.1%
46
26.9%
Q2 - 2:42MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)55
71.1%
46
28.9%
Q2 - 3:07MIABosh Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (James 5 AST)55
67.4%
46
32.6%
Q2 - 3:24MEMJohnson Driving Dunk (2 PTS)53
65.3%
46
34.7%
Q2 - 3:43MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)53
67.5%
44
32.5%
Q2 - 4:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
64.0%
44
36.0%
Q2 - 4:07MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 251
63.7%
44
36.3%
Q2 - 4:07MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
61.8%
44
38.2%
Q2 - 4:10MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
64.0%
43
36.0%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
64.8%
43
35.2%
Q2 - 4:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
66.7%
43
33.3%
Q2 - 4:23MEMMISS Miller 28' 3PT Jump Shot51
65.9%
43
34.1%
Q2 - 4:43MIAJames 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)51
64.1%
43
35.9%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHeat Rebound49
61.5%
43
38.5%
Q2 - 4:49MIAJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)49
59.5%
43
40.5%
Q2 - 5:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
60.9%
43
39.1%
Q2 - 5:04MEMMISS Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
60.1%
43
39.9%
Q2 - 5:17MIABosh 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 3 AST)49
58.3%
43
41.7%
Q2 - 5:34MEMGasol 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)47
55.4%
43
44.6%
Q2 - 5:44MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
58.3%
41
41.7%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
59.1%
41
40.9%
Q2 - 6:04MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
60.7%
41
39.3%
Q2 - 6:05MEMMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 247
60.3%
41
39.7%
Q2 - 6:05MEMDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
59.0%
41
41.0%
Q2 - 6:35MIALewis 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)47
60.2%
40
39.8%
Q2 - 6:49MEMConley 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)45
58.1%
40
41.9%
Q2 - 7:11MIAJames Driving Slam Dunk (11 PTS)45
59.7%
38
40.3%
Q2 - 7:33MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
57.5%
38
42.5%
Q2 - 7:34MEMMISS Conley 3PT Jump Shot43
56.6%
38
43.4%
Q2 - 7:46MEMDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
54.5%
38
45.5%
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot43
55.4%
38
44.6%
Q2 - 8:02MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
56.7%
38
43.3%
Q2 - 8:03MEMMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot43
55.9%
38
44.1%
Q2 - 8:26MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)43
54.1%
38
45.9%
Q2 - 8:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
49.0%
38
51.0%
Q2 - 8:45MEMMISS Gasol 21' Jump Shot40
48.2%
38
51.8%
Q2 - 8:54MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
46.3%
38
53.7%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Chalmers Reverse Layup40
47.1%
38
52.9%
Q2 - 9:35MEMDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
48.7%
38
51.3%
Q2 - 9:35MEMDavis 1' Layup (2 PTS)40
48.7%
38
51.3%
Q2 - 9:37MEMDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
51.0%
36
49.0%
Q2 - 9:37MEMMISS Davis 1' Tip Shot40
52.9%
36
47.1%
Q2 - 9:39MEMMISS Gasol 12' Running Hook Shot40
52.9%
36
47.1%
Q2 - 9:59MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)40
51.0%
36
49.0%
Q2 - 10:12MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
46.2%
36
53.8%
Q2 - 10:25MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
50.7%
33
49.3%
Q2 - 10:25MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
50.2%
33
49.8%
Q2 - 10:30MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
48.6%
33
51.4%
Q2 - 10:31MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
47.7%
33
52.3%
Q2 - 10:44MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
45.7%
33
54.3%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Cole 18' Pullup Jump Shot35
46.6%
33
53.4%
Q2 - 11:13MEMRandolph 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)35
48.2%
33
51.8%
Q2 - 11:34MIAAllen 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)35
50.5%
31
49.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM32
45.9%
31
54.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound32
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Allen 66' 3PT Jump Shot32
45.1%
31
54.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAAllen STEAL (2 STL)32
43.6%
31
56.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0MEMRandolph 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)32
45.3%
31
54.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAHamilton Dunk (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)32
48.2%
29
51.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0MEMKoufos Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MEMKoufos Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
46.1%
28
53.9%
Q1 - 1:12MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)30
48.1%
27
51.9%
Q1 - 1:35MEMRandolph 1' Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)27
42.9%
27
57.1%
Q1 - 1:36MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
45.8%
25
54.2%
Q1 - 1:37MEMMISS Koufos 6' Hook Shot27
47.0%
25
53.0%
Q1 - 1:51MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)27
45.8%
25
54.2%
Q1 - 2:05MEMConley 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)27
47.7%
25
52.3%
Q1 - 2:21MIADouglas Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)27
50.1%
23
49.9%
Q1 - 2:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
52.2%
23
47.8%
Q1 - 2:37MEMMISS Allen 4' Running Jump Shot27
51.5%
23
48.5%
Q1 - 3:00MIAJames 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)27
50.1%
23
49.9%
Q1 - 3:13MEMRandolph Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)25
47.6%
23
52.4%
Q1 - 3:29MIAJames 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Douglas 4 AST)25
49.7%
21
50.3%
Q1 - 3:50MEMRandolph 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)23
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 4:11MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)23
51.4%
18
48.6%
Q1 - 4:17MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)23
53.8%
18
46.2%
Q1 - 4:26MIAConley STEAL (1 STL)23
51.4%
18
48.6%
Q1 - 4:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
53.9%
18
46.1%
Q1 - 4:44MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 123
53.5%
18
46.5%
Q1 - 4:56MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Douglas 3 AST)23
55.7%
16
44.3%
Q1 - 5:01MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
50.9%
16
49.1%
Q1 - 5:02MIAMISS Douglas 5' Running Jump Shot20
49.4%
16
50.6%
Q1 - 5:12MEMJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)20
50.9%
16
49.1%
Q1 - 5:20MEMJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
48.7%
16
51.3%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot20
49.4%
16
50.6%
Q1 - 5:46MEMRandolph 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)20
51.0%
16
49.0%
Q1 - 5:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
52.9%
14
47.1%
Q1 - 5:59MIAJames 1' Putback Reverse Dunk (5 PTS)20
52.9%
14
47.1%
Q1 - 6:01MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)18
48.8%
14
51.2%
Q1 - 6:06MEMJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
50.3%
14
49.7%
Q1 - 6:11MEMJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
48.2%
14
51.8%
Q1 - 6:12MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
48.9%
14
51.1%
Q1 - 6:40MEMConley 17' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
50.4%
14
49.6%
Q1 - 7:06MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST)18
51.5%
12
48.5%
Q1 - 7:21MEMLee Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)15
48.1%
12
51.9%
Q1 - 7:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
45.9%
12
54.1%
Q1 - 7:48MIAChalmers 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)15
45.9%
12
54.1%
Q1 - 7:50MIARandolph BLOCK (1 BLK)13
42.8%
12
57.2%
Q1 - 8:03MIAHeat Rebound13
44.2%
12
55.8%
Q1 - 8:04MEMMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup13
43.6%
12
56.4%
Q1 - 8:12MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)13
42.2%
12
57.8%
Q1 - 8:34MEMLee 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
38.8%
12
61.2%
Q1 - 8:54MIABattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)10
40.4%
10
59.6%
Q1 - 9:18MEMGasol 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)7
37.3%
10
62.7%
Q1 - 9:24MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)7
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 9:26MEMLee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
40.7%
8
59.3%
Q1 - 9:40MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS James 19' Pullup Jump Shot7
39.4%
8
60.6%
Q1 - 9:51MEMLee 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
40.7%
8
59.3%
Q1 - 10:18MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)7
42.2%
6
57.8%
Q1 - 10:29MEMLee 11' Pullup Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
39.1%
6
60.9%
Q1 - 10:49MIAChalmers Running Layup (2 PTS)4
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 11:14MEMRandolph 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)2
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 11:27MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 11:41MEMRandolph 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)0
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Bosh: Tip to Randolph0
40.6%
0
59.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.29 64.6%
MEM
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
24
58%
MEM
23
34
68%
Midrange
MIA
9
24
38%
MEM
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
25
60%
90%
MEM
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
MIA
11
12
92%
MEM
14
21
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3771%18.5 / 26
R. Lewis1794%8.5 / 9
C. Bosh1346%6.5 / 14
M. Chalmers1255%6.0 / 11
S. Battier975%4.5 / 6
R. Allen675%3.0 / 4
J. Hamilton5125%2.5 / 2
N. Cole338%1.5 / 4
T. Douglas0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Conley2668%13.0 / 19
Z. Randolph2583%12.5 / 15
M. Gasol2053%10.0 / 19
C. Lee1882%9.0 / 11
T. Allen643%3.0 / 7
J. Johnson536%2.5 / 7
E. Davis350%1.5 / 3
N. Calathes2100%1.0 / 1
K. Koufos250%1.0 / 2
M. Miller0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+7
-15
77
MEM
74
+15
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.29 64.6%
MEM
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
106.7
MIA 120.0
MEM 121.6 +1.6
Pace
91.5
89.6
MIA 86.0
MEM 87.9 +1.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.5
MIA 16.7
MEM 16.4 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
49.4%
MIA 62.3% +2.7%
MEM 59.6%
TO %
15.4%
14.3%
MIA 16.1%
MEM 13.8% +2.3%
ORB %
20.6%
28.3%
MIA 17.1%
MEM 36.4% +19.3%
FTrt
30.0
24.8
MIA 16.4
MEM 26.9 +10.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
57.4%
MIA 63.2% +9.7%
MEM 53.5%
STL %
9.7%
8.5%
MIA 12.9% +1.5%
MEM 11.4%
BLK %
8.1%
7.9%
MIA 3.4%
MEM 12.5% +9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
51.3%
MIA 64.6% +4.5%
MEM 60.1%
Rim FG%
66.7%
57.9%
MIA 58.3%
MEM 67.6% +9.3%
Mid FG%
42.8%
40.5%
MIA 37.5%
MEM 54.2% +16.7%
3P %
36.4%
35.3%
MIA 60.0% +25.0%
MEM 35.0%
FT %
76.0%
74.1%
MIA 91.7% +25.0%
MEM 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
39.2%
MIA 32.9%
MEM 43.6% +10.7%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
43.8%
MIA 32.9%
MEM 30.8% +2.1%
3P Att. %
29.2%
17.1%
MIA 34.2% +8.6%
MEM 25.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions8588
Possession Minutes23.724.0
Points102107
Rebounds2741
Assists2423
Steals1110
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (3)29 (0)
Field Goals38-7343-78
At-the-Rim FG14-2423-34
Midrange FG9-2413-24
2-Point FG23-4836-58
3-Point FG15-257-20
Free Throws11-1214-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
41.4
37
71%
6
5
2
0
5
1
1
5
6-7
86%
11-18
61%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
35.8
12
55%
4
3
1
0
1
4
2
2
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
35.3
13
46%
6
0
2
2
4
5
1
5
0-0
-
5-11
45%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
23.6
9
75%
3
1
2
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
17.0
0
0%
1
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
25.5
6
75%
0
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
24.7
3
38%
4
5
0
0
3
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
24.0
17
94%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
C · 7'0" 255 · 24
12.7
5
125%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
65%
27
24
11
2
15
0
6
21
11-12
92%
23-48
48%
15-25
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.