FinalWin Prob.pScore
1631%97
91
469%104
102
ORTG#PossPace
NYK logo NYK
111.08276.8
MIA logo MIA
121.48490.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNYKMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHEAT Rebound91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0NYKMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0NYKStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0NYKMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:15NYKMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:18NYKKnicks Rebound91
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 1:20NYKMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:32MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)91
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 1:51NYKSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)91
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 2:01NYKKnicks Rebound88
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 2:03NYKMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 2:12NYKShumpert REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)88
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 2:14NYKMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot88
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 2:35MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 6 AST)88
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 3:05NYKSmith 28' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)88
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q4 - 3:18MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (36 PTS)85
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 3:28MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 3:29NYKMISS Shumpert 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 3:52MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)85
5.2%
92
94.8%
Q4 - 4:14MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 4:15MIAMISS James 18' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot85
4.4%
92
95.6%
Q4 - 4:41NYKFelton 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)85
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 4:44MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)83
2.4%
92
97.6%
Q4 - 5:07NYKStoudemire 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)83
2.4%
92
97.6%
Q4 - 5:23NYKSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 5:39NYKStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)81
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 5:55MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS)78
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 6:16NYKFelton 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)78
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 6:28MIAAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)76
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 6:31NYKBattier STEAL (3 STL)76
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 6:46MIABosh 2' Layup (11 PTS) (James 5 AST)76
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 6:58MIAHEAT Rebound76
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 6:59NYKMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 7:07NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)76
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 7:23NYKSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Anthony 6 AST)76
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 7:37MIAHaslem 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)73
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 7:58MIAJump Ball James vs. Chandler: Tip to Haslem73
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 7:58NYKMISS Chandler 4' Jump Shot73
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 7:59NYKShumpert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)73
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 8:00NYKMISS Felton 2' Driving Layup73
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 8:09MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)73
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q4 - 8:30NYKFelton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)73
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 8:51MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)70
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 9:08NYKBattier STEAL (2 STL)70
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q4 - 9:11NYKAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 9:12NYKMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot70
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 9:38MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (31 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)70
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 9:57NYKSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)70
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q4 - 10:07MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)67
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q4 - 10:35NYKSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)67
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q4 - 10:59MIACole 8' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)64
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q4 - 11:05NYKJames STEAL (1 STL)64
4.3%
75
95.7%
Q4 - 11:30MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)64
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q4 - 11:37MIAHEAT Rebound64
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot64
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0NYK64
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0NYKKnicks Rebound64
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0NYKMISS Smith 33' 3PT Jump Shot64
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)64
8.3%
73
91.7%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0NYKMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot64
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q3 - 0:13.0NYKKnicks Rebound64
14.3%
70
85.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0NYKMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
12.7%
70
87.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)64
14.3%
70
85.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
20.3%
67
79.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0NYKMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
21.3%
67
78.7%
Q3 - 1:04NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)64
23.7%
67
76.3%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 264
23.2%
67
76.8%
Q3 - 1:05MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)64
21.0%
67
79.0%
Q3 - 1:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)64
23.8%
66
76.2%
Q3 - 1:13NYKMISS Stoudemire 4' Driving Jump Shot64
24.8%
66
75.2%
Q3 - 1:38NYKHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
27.4%
66
72.6%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
26.3%
66
73.7%
Q3 - 1:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
23.8%
66
76.2%
Q3 - 1:49NYKMISS Hardaway Jr. 16' Turnaround Jump Shot64
24.8%
66
75.2%
Q3 - 2:11MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)64
27.2%
66
72.8%
Q3 - 2:24NYKStoudemire 8' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)64
23.5%
66
76.5%
Q3 - 2:43MIAJames 1' Dunk (22 PTS) (Douglas 3 AST)62
20.5%
66
79.5%
Q3 - 2:58NYKShumpert 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)62
23.5%
64
76.5%
Q3 - 3:23MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST)59
17.9%
64
82.1%
Q3 - 3:39NYKShumpert 4' Driving Layup (6 PTS)59
23.6%
61
76.4%
Q3 - 4:07MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)57
21.1%
61
78.9%
Q3 - 4:16MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
17.8%
61
82.2%
Q3 - 4:17NYKMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
18.7%
61
81.3%
Q3 - 4:25NYKShumpert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)57
21.1%
61
78.9%
Q3 - 4:26NYKMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot57
18.7%
61
81.3%
Q3 - 4:47MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)57
21.1%
61
78.9%
Q3 - 4:47MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)57
21.6%
60
78.4%
Q3 - 4:54NYKChalmers STEAL (1 STL)57
23.4%
59
76.6%
Q3 - 5:11NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
27.1%
59
72.9%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS James 17' Fadeaway Jumper57
26.0%
59
74.0%
Q3 - 5:41NYKAnthony 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
23.5%
59
76.5%
Q3 - 6:01MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)55
21.0%
59
79.0%
Q3 - 6:01MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)55
21.6%
58
78.4%
Q3 - 6:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
23.5%
57
76.5%
Q3 - 6:09NYKMISS Anthony 1' Tip Shot55
24.4%
57
75.6%
Q3 - 6:10NYKAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
26.8%
57
73.2%
Q3 - 6:11NYKMISS Shumpert 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
24.5%
57
75.5%
Q3 - 6:23NYKAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
26.8%
57
73.2%
Q3 - 6:24MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
25.8%
57
74.2%
Q3 - 6:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
23.5%
57
76.5%
Q3 - 6:50NYKMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
24.5%
57
75.5%
Q3 - 6:56MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)55
26.8%
57
73.2%
Q3 - 7:12NYKFelton 20' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)55
29.3%
55
70.7%
Q3 - 7:36NYKAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
26.5%
55
73.5%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS Douglas Free Throw 2 of 253
26.1%
55
73.9%
Q3 - 7:37MIADouglas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
24.0%
55
76.0%
Q3 - 7:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
26.3%
54
73.7%
Q3 - 7:45NYKMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot53
27.3%
54
72.7%
Q3 - 8:14MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)53
29.5%
54
70.5%
Q3 - 8:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)53
32.2%
52
67.8%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
34.9%
52
65.1%
Q3 - 8:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
32.2%
52
67.8%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Douglas 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
34.9%
52
65.1%
Q3 - 8:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)53
32.2%
52
67.8%
Q3 - 8:41NYKMISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
33.4%
52
66.6%
Q3 - 8:57MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)53
36.1%
52
63.9%
Q3 - 9:10NYKChandler Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)53
38.6%
50
61.4%
Q3 - 9:25MIABosh 1' Dunk (7 PTS)53
42.3%
50
57.7%
Q3 - 9:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
45.8%
48
54.2%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot53
48.4%
48
51.6%
Q3 - 9:44NYKStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)53
45.8%
48
54.2%
Q3 - 9:45NYKStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
38.8%
48
61.2%
Q3 - 9:46NYKMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot50
36.3%
48
63.7%
Q3 - 10:07NYKSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot50
36.9%
48
63.1%
Q3 - 10:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
34.6%
48
65.4%
Q3 - 10:42NYKMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
35.6%
48
64.4%
Q3 - 10:51NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q3 - 10:52MIAMISS Douglas 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup50
36.9%
48
63.1%
Q3 - 11:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
34.0%
48
66.0%
Q3 - 11:10NYKMISS Felton 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
35.0%
48
65.0%
Q3 - 11:32NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
37.3%
48
62.7%
Q3 - 11:33MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot50
36.3%
48
63.7%
Q3 - 11:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
34.0%
48
66.0%
Q3 - 11:42NYKMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot50
35.0%
48
65.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
37.3%
48
62.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0NYKKnicks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)50
34.1%
48
65.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0NYKKnicks Rebound50
36.3%
48
63.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0NYKMISS Hardaway Jr. 35' 3PT Jump Shot50
34.8%
48
65.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)50
36.4%
48
63.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0NYKChandler 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)50
43.5%
45
56.5%
Q2 - 1:00NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
39.6%
45
60.4%
Q2 - 1:01MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 248
38.7%
45
61.3%
Q2 - 1:01MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
36.5%
45
63.5%
Q2 - 1:05NYKAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
40.1%
44
59.9%
Q2 - 1:05NYKAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
39.6%
44
60.4%
Q2 - 1:18MIABosh Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)46
36.0%
44
64.0%
Q2 - 1:36NYKSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Shumpert 2 AST)46
34.1%
44
65.9%
Q2 - 1:49NYKShumpert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
27.7%
44
72.3%
Q2 - 1:50MIAMISS Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
27.2%
44
72.8%
Q2 - 2:03NYKSmith 12' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS)43
25.5%
44
74.5%
Q2 - 2:21MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 2:21MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
23.6%
43
76.4%
Q2 - 2:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
25.5%
42
74.5%
Q2 - 2:35NYKMISS Shumpert 3PT Jump Shot41
26.3%
42
73.7%
Q2 - 3:00MIAJames 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)41
27.9%
42
72.1%
Q2 - 3:22NYKFelton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)41
29.9%
40
70.1%
Q2 - 3:37MIADouglas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)38
25.6%
40
74.4%
Q2 - 3:52NYKAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
22.9%
40
77.1%
Q2 - 3:52NYKMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 237
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 3:52NYKAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
23.3%
40
76.7%
Q2 - 3:53NYKMISS Felton 2' Driving Layup37
21.6%
40
78.4%
Q2 - 4:10NYKSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
23.0%
40
77.0%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 237
22.8%
40
77.2%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 237
21.5%
40
78.5%
Q2 - 4:22NYKSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)37
21.0%
40
79.0%
Q2 - 4:38MIADouglas 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)34
17.5%
40
82.5%
Q2 - 4:59NYKAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)34
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 5:09NYKFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
16.0%
38
84.0%
Q2 - 5:10NYKMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
15.0%
38
85.0%
Q2 - 5:35MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)31
16.0%
38
84.0%
Q2 - 5:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
17.6%
36
82.4%
Q2 - 5:40NYKMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot31
18.1%
36
81.9%
Q2 - 5:49NYKKnicks Rebound31
19.2%
36
80.8%
Q2 - 5:50NYKMISS Felton 20' Jump Shot31
18.1%
36
81.9%
Q2 - 6:03NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)31
19.6%
36
80.4%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup31
19.0%
36
81.0%
Q2 - 6:27NYKSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)31
17.6%
36
82.4%
Q2 - 6:44NYKKnicks Rebound28
14.9%
36
85.1%
Q2 - 6:45NYKMISS Chandler 1' Tip Shot28
13.8%
36
86.2%
Q2 - 6:46NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)28
14.9%
36
85.1%
Q2 - 6:47NYKMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
13.8%
36
86.2%
Q2 - 6:48MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)28
14.9%
36
85.1%
Q2 - 6:52NYKBattier STEAL (1 STL)28
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 7:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
15.0%
36
85.0%
Q2 - 7:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
15.4%
35
84.6%
Q2 - 7:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)28
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 7:17MIAMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot28
17.5%
34
82.5%
Q2 - 7:45NYKChandler Dunk (8 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)28
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 7:57NYKStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
15.0%
34
85.0%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Driving Jump Shot26
14.6%
34
85.4%
Q2 - 8:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)26
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q2 - 8:10MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot26
14.7%
34
85.3%
Q2 - 8:18MIAHEAT Rebound26
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q2 - 8:19MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
14.7%
34
85.3%
Q2 - 8:32MIAHEAT Rebound26
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q2 - 8:33NYKMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot26
14.2%
34
85.8%
Q2 - 8:51MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)26
15.1%
34
84.9%
Q2 - 9:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q2 - 9:13NYKMISS Stoudemire 4' Jump Shot26
18.4%
31
81.6%
Q2 - 9:28NYKFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q2 - 9:37NYKAllen STEAL (1 STL)26
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q2 - 9:57MIALewis 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)26
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 10:00MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q2 - 10:01NYKMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
21.7%
29
78.3%
Q2 - 10:17NYKShumpert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)26
23.1%
29
76.9%
Q2 - 10:18NYKMISS Hardaway Jr. 19' Jump Shot26
21.7%
29
78.3%
Q2 - 10:35MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
23.1%
29
76.9%
Q2 - 10:35MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q2 - 10:57NYKStoudemire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)26
24.6%
27
75.4%
Q2 - 11:15MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
26.6%
27
73.4%
Q2 - 11:15MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
27.0%
26
73.0%
Q2 - 11:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
28.5%
25
71.5%
Q2 - 11:23NYKMISS Prigioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
29.1%
25
70.9%
Q2 - 11:40MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)26
30.6%
25
69.4%
Q2 - 11:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
28.5%
25
71.5%
Q2 - 11:43NYKMISS Hardaway Jr. 3PT Jump Shot26
29.1%
25
70.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0NYK26
30.6%
25
69.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames 1' Dunk (9 PTS)26
30.6%
25
69.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAHEAT Rebound26
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0NYKMISS Hardaway Jr. 1' Driving Layup26
33.1%
23
66.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0NYKShumpert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup26
33.8%
23
66.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0NYKShumpert Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0NYKMISS Shumpert Free Throw 1 of 225
32.3%
23
67.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0NYKShumpert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
32.2%
23
67.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0NYKMISS Shumpert 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
31.1%
23
68.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)25
32.2%
23
67.8%
Q1 - 1:03MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q1 - 1:04NYKMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot25
37.0%
20
63.0%
Q1 - 1:30MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)25
38.1%
20
61.9%
Q1 - 1:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
43.2%
17
56.8%
Q1 - 1:34NYKMISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot25
43.7%
17
56.3%
Q1 - 1:47NYKPrigioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
44.8%
17
55.2%
Q1 - 1:48MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
44.3%
17
55.7%
Q1 - 2:02NYKChandler 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Prigioni 1 AST)25
42.7%
17
57.3%
Q1 - 2:09NYKShumpert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 2:10NYKMISS Chandler Tip Shot23
38.9%
17
61.1%
Q1 - 2:11NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 2:12NYKMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
38.9%
17
61.1%
Q1 - 2:39NYKSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Battier Free Throw 2 of 223
40.0%
17
60.0%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 223
38.6%
17
61.4%
Q1 - 2:52MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
38.3%
17
61.7%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
39.7%
17
60.3%
Q1 - 3:15NYKShumpert 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)23
37.7%
17
62.3%
Q1 - 3:44MIADouglas 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
33.8%
17
66.2%
Q1 - 4:14NYKChandler 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Shumpert 1 AST)20
34.9%
15
65.1%
Q1 - 4:32MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)18
33.2%
15
66.8%
Q1 - 5:01NYKAnthony 2' Layup (5 PTS)18
36.2%
12
63.8%
Q1 - 5:18MIAJames 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)16
34.5%
12
65.5%
Q1 - 5:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
36.3%
10
63.7%
Q1 - 5:39NYKMISS Anthony 17' Pullup Jump Shot16
36.9%
10
63.1%
Q1 - 6:01MIAJames 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)16
37.4%
10
62.6%
Q1 - 6:07MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
39.0%
8
61.0%
Q1 - 6:08NYKMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
39.7%
8
60.3%
Q1 - 6:14MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)16
41.1%
8
58.9%
Q1 - 6:25MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
39.1%
8
60.9%
Q1 - 6:26NYKMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot16
39.7%
8
60.3%
Q1 - 6:44NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
41.2%
8
58.8%
Q1 - 6:45MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
40.6%
8
59.4%
Q1 - 7:07NYKSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T2)16
38.2%
8
61.8%
Q1 - 7:09NYKSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
40.3%
8
59.7%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup16
39.7%
8
60.3%
Q1 - 7:17NYKSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)16
38.2%
8
61.8%
Q1 - 7:36MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)16
40.3%
8
59.7%
Q1 - 7:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
43.8%
5
56.2%
Q1 - 7:46NYKMISS Stoudemire 16' Jump Shot16
44.4%
5
55.6%
Q1 - 8:00NYKStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
46.0%
5
54.0%
Q1 - 8:02NYKMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot16
43.7%
5
56.3%
Q1 - 8:20MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)16
45.1%
5
54.9%
Q1 - 8:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
43.1%
5
56.9%
Q1 - 8:28NYKMISS Stoudemire 20' Jump Shot16
43.7%
5
56.3%
Q1 - 8:52MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
45.1%
5
54.9%
Q1 - 8:52MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)16
45.5%
4
54.5%
Q1 - 9:09NYKFelton 6' Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS)16
45.9%
3
54.1%
Q1 - 9:26MIAJump Ball James vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Anthony14
44.4%
3
55.6%
Q1 - 9:37NYKSmith 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)14
42.4%
3
57.6%
Q1 - 9:41NYKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
39.1%
3
60.9%
Q1 - 9:42NYKMISS Smith 16' Fadeaway Jumper11
37.8%
3
62.2%
Q1 - 9:51NYKStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
39.1%
3
60.9%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot11
38.6%
3
61.4%
Q1 - 10:04NYKStoudemire 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
36.6%
3
63.4%
Q1 - 10:19MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
35.2%
3
64.8%
Q1 - 10:19MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 29
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 10:31NYKAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)9
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 10:46MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)6
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 10:50NYKSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)6
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 11:11MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)3
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 11:21NYKChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:21NYKChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 11:25MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)1
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 11:40NYKFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 11:40NYKMISS Felton Free Throw 1 of 20
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 11:43MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Chandler: Tip to James0
24.9%
0
75.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
0.95 47.4%
MIA
1.32 66.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
12
21
57%
MIA
17
21
81%
Midrange
NYK
6
25
24%
MIA
5
13
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
15
22.5
42
36%
54%
MIA
12
18.0
27
44%
67%
Free Throws
NYK
10
13
77%
MIA
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith3257%16.0 / 28
R. Felton1558%7.5 / 13
C. Anthony1334%6.5 / 19
A. Stoudemire1267%6.0 / 9
T. Chandler1063%5.0 / 8
I. Shumpert956%4.5 / 8
P. Prigioni0-0.0 / 1
T. Hardaway0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3870%19.0 / 27
M. Chalmers1575%7.5 / 10
C. Bosh1478%7.0 / 9
R. Allen1260%6.0 / 10
U. Haslem660%3.0 / 5
S. Battier6100%3.0 / 3
T. Douglas542%2.5 / 6
R. Lewis467%2.0 / 3
N. Cole250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NYK
72
+22
-10
94
MIA
68
+9
-16
77
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
0.95 47.4%
MIA
1.32 66.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
110.7
NYK 111.0
MIA 121.4 +10.5
Pace
90.6
91.5
NYK 76.8
MIA 90.4 +13.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.8
NYK 18.8
MIA 15.9 +2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
55.4%
NYK 46.0%
MIA 65.6% +19.6%
TO %
13.6%
15.4%
NYK 10.5% +7.2%
MIA 17.7%
ORB %
25.1%
20.6%
NYK 34.9% +11.6%
MIA 23.3%
FTrt
24.8
30.0
NYK 14.8
MIA 49.2 +34.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.2%
58.8%
NYK 54.5%
MIA 64.7% +10.2%
STL %
8.4%
9.7%
NYK 12.2% +5.1%
MIA 7.1%
BLK %
8.2%
8.1%
NYK 5.9% +5.9%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
57.5%
NYK 47.4%
MIA 66.2% +18.8%
Rim FG%
57.5%
66.7%
NYK 57.1%
MIA 81.0% +23.9%
Mid FG%
40.8%
42.8%
NYK 24.0%
MIA 38.5% +14.5%
3P %
37.2%
36.4%
NYK 35.7%
MIA 44.4% +8.7%
FT %
76.1%
76.0%
NYK 76.9% +3.6%
MIA 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.2%
38.3%
NYK 23.9%
MIA 34.4% +10.6%
Mid Att. %
38.5%
32.5%
NYK 28.4%
MIA 21.3% +7.1%
3P Att. %
30.2%
29.2%
NYK 47.7% +3.5%
MIA 44.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsNYKMIA
Possessions8284
Possession Minutes25.622.3
Points91102
Rebounds3835
Assists1822
Steals106
Blocks20
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (7)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (0)28 (5)
Field Goals33-8834-61
At-the-Rim FG12-2117-21
Midrange FG6-255-13
2-Point FG18-4622-34
3-Point FG15-4212-27
Free Throws10-1322-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
44.0
13
34%
5
6
2
1
1
2
3
2
4-5
80%
3-13
23%
1-4
25%
G · 6'6" 225 · 29
42.7
32
57%
5
3
2
0
2
5
0
5
0-0
-
1-6
17%
10-22
45%
C · 7'1" 240 · 32
34.2
10
63%
11
0
0
0
1
1
3
8
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 205 · 30
30.7
15
58%
2
5
4
0
3
4
1
1
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
2-5
40%
F · 6'10" 245 · 31
29.7
12
67%
5
1
1
1
2
3
2
3
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 212 · 24
28.3
9
56%
8
2
1
0
0
4
6
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
G · 6'3" 185 · 37
16.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 22
12.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-4
0%
G · 6'3" 215 · 28
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 253 · 25
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 23
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 195 · 24
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#77 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · F · 6'9" 225 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
47%
38
18
10
2
10
0
15
23
10-13
77%
18-46
39%
15-42
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.