FinalWin Prob.pScore
2917%94
77
483%107
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
91.78484.8
MIA logo MIA
112.98584.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA77
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot75
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0MILAdrien 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)75
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAHEAT Rebound73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Beasley 2' Driving Layup73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0MILMISS Stephens 7' Driving Jump Shot73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:05MILAdrien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:30MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#21)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54MILStephens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIAChalmers 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52MILBeasley STEAL (1 STL)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIABeasley 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27MILKnight 16' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32MILKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48MILKnight 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Sessions 6 AST)71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03MIAHamilton 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)68
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08MILBattier STEAL (1 STL)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22MILAdrien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23MIAMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47MILRaduljica 1' Layup (2 PTS)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49MILRaduljica REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50MILMISS Sessions 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16MILAntetokounmpo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sessions 5 AST)66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)63
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48MILMISS Sessions 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14MIAChalmers 1' Reverse Layup (12 PTS)63
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24MILMISS Antetokounmpo 13' Jump Shot63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40MIACole 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56MILMISS Knight 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (6 PTS)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38MILMISS Sessions 1' Layup63
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 7:54MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)63
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 8:18MILAndersen STEAL (1 STL)63
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 8:34MIACole 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)63
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 8:58MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 8:59MILMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 9:20MILKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot63
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q4 - 9:38MILHenson 1' Dunk (10 PTS)63
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 9:56MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)61
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 10:20MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 10:21MILMISS Henson 9' Hook Shot61
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 10:43MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 10:44MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot61
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 11:05MILHenson 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Udoh 1 AST)61
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 11:22MIALewis Foul Turnover (P2.T8)59
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 11:43MILSessions 6' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)59
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL57
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)57
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 0:19.0MILAdrien 8' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)57
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)55
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILBucks Rebound55
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0MILMISS Henson 10' Jump Shot55
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 1:18MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 1:19MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 1:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 1:31MILBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)55
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 1:32MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 1:33MILMISS Knight 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 1:43MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)55
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Douglas 2' Layup55
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 1:48MILDouglas STEAL (2 STL)55
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 2:00MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)55
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 2:28MILKnight 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Middleton 2 AST)55
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 2:34MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)53
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 2:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 2:49MILMISS Adrien 6' Turnaround Hook Shot53
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 3:08MIAJames 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)53
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 3:38MILPachulia 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)53
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 3:39MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)51
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 3:40MILMISS Adrien 1' Layup51
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 4:00MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)51
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 4:01MIAMISS Haslem 1' Alley Oop Dunk51
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 4:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 4:07MILMISS Middleton 12' Jump Shot51
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 4:27MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 8 AST)51
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 4:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
1.5%
67
98.5%
Q3 - 4:34MILMISS Adrien 4' Driving Jump Shot51
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 4:53MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)51
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 4:54MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot51
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 5:00MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
1.5%
67
98.5%
Q3 - 5:01MIAMISS Douglas 8' Floating Jump Shot51
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 5:31MILPachulia 3' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)51
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 5:33MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)49
1.4%
67
98.6%
Q3 - 5:34MILMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
1.3%
67
98.7%
Q3 - 5:58MIABosh 1' Layup (15 PTS) (James 7 AST)49
1.4%
67
98.6%
Q3 - 6:22MILMiddleton 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)49
1.8%
65
98.2%
Q3 - 6:26MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)47
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q3 - 6:50MILAdrien 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Pachulia 4 AST)47
1.3%
65
98.7%
Q3 - 7:03MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)45
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 7:21MILMiddleton Foul Turnover (P3.T14)45
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q3 - 7:43MIADouglas Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 7:43MIADouglas Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q3 - 7:48MILBosh STEAL (1 STL)45
1.4%
63
98.6%
Q3 - 7:56MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)45
1.6%
63
98.4%
Q3 - 8:08MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 8:09MILJames BLOCK (1 BLK)45
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q3 - 8:17MILKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper45
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q3 - 8:43MILAdrien 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)45
1.9%
61
98.1%
Q3 - 8:59MILBucks Rebound43
1.7%
61
98.3%
Q3 - 9:01MILMISS Adrien 18' Jump Shot43
1.6%
61
98.4%
Q3 - 9:12MILKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
1.8%
61
98.2%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
1.7%
61
98.3%
Q3 - 9:33MILMiddleton Foul Turnover (P2.T12)43
1.5%
61
98.5%
Q3 - 9:46MIADouglas 1' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)43
1.8%
61
98.2%
Q3 - 10:09MILSessions 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Adrien 2 AST)43
2.1%
59
97.9%
Q3 - 10:24MILAdrien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
1.6%
59
98.4%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
1.5%
59
98.5%
Q3 - 10:50MILSessions 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)40
1.4%
59
98.6%
Q3 - 11:05MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)38
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 138
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q3 - 11:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q3 - 11:18MILMISS Adrien 18' Jump Shot38
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q3 - 11:43MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)38
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q3 - 11:44MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot38
1.8%
56
98.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA38
1.6%
56
98.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
1.6%
56
98.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAJames 1' Reverse Dunk (12 PTS)38
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILKnight Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)38
2.4%
54
97.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)37
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)36
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIADouglas Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Douglas Free Throw 1 of 235
1.8%
53
98.2%
Q2 - 1:03MILPachulia 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)35
2.0%
53
98.0%
Q2 - 1:24MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)33
1.7%
53
98.3%
Q2 - 1:43MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)33
2.0%
51
98.0%
Q2 - 1:43MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)32
2.0%
51
98.0%
Q2 - 2:04MIADouglas 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)31
1.8%
51
98.2%
Q2 - 2:16MIAJump Ball James vs. Adrien: Tip to Chalmers31
2.1%
49
97.9%
Q2 - 2:35MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 5 AST)31
2.3%
49
97.7%
Q2 - 2:52MILMiddleton 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Adrien 1 AST)31
2.6%
47
97.4%
Q2 - 3:15MIAJames Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Douglas 3 AST)29
2.5%
47
97.5%
Q2 - 3:20MILDouglas STEAL (1 STL)29
2.7%
45
97.3%
Q2 - 3:30MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)29
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 3:53MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)29
2.7%
45
97.3%
Q2 - 3:54MILMISS Pachulia Tip Shot29
2.8%
45
97.2%
Q2 - 3:55MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)29
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 3:56MILMISS Pachulia Tip Shot29
2.8%
45
97.2%
Q2 - 3:57MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)29
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 3:58MILMISS Sessions 2' Running Layup29
2.8%
45
97.2%
Q2 - 4:02MILAdrien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
3.2%
45
96.8%
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS Douglas 1' Layup29
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 4:06MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)29
2.9%
45
97.1%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 4:22MILCole STEAL (1 STL)29
2.9%
45
97.1%
Q2 - 4:43MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
3.2%
45
96.8%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 229
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 229
2.9%
45
97.1%
Q2 - 4:51MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
2.8%
45
97.2%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot29
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 5:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
3.0%
45
97.0%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS Cole 16' Jump Shot29
3.2%
45
96.8%
Q2 - 5:21MILAdrien Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)29
3.0%
45
97.0%
Q2 - 5:40MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST)29
3.3%
45
96.7%
Q2 - 5:59MILAdrien 1' Layup (6 PTS)29
4.1%
42
95.9%
Q2 - 6:01MILAdrien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
3.8%
42
96.2%
Q2 - 6:02MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
3.5%
42
96.5%
Q2 - 6:16MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)27
3.8%
42
96.2%
Q2 - 6:17MIAMISS Andersen 4' Jump Shot27
3.7%
42
96.3%
Q2 - 6:18MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
3.4%
42
96.6%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Dunk27
3.7%
42
96.3%
Q2 - 6:47MILSessions 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)27
3.4%
42
96.6%
Q2 - 6:55MIALewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
3.1%
42
96.9%
Q2 - 7:11MILAntetokounmpo 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
2.9%
42
97.1%
Q2 - 7:17MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
2.6%
42
97.4%
Q2 - 7:19MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
2.5%
42
97.5%
Q2 - 7:35MILSessions Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)23
2.3%
42
97.7%
Q2 - 7:42MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
2.6%
42
97.4%
Q2 - 7:43MILMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
2.4%
42
97.6%
Q2 - 7:58MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T2)23
2.6%
42
97.4%
Q2 - 8:14MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)23
2.4%
42
97.6%
Q2 - 8:14MILBucks Rebound23
2.7%
42
97.3%
Q2 - 8:15MILAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)23
2.5%
42
97.5%
Q2 - 8:38MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
2.7%
42
97.3%
Q2 - 8:38MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
2.8%
41
97.2%
Q2 - 8:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
3.0%
40
97.0%
Q2 - 8:43MILAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)23
3.1%
40
96.9%
Q2 - 9:00MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
3.3%
40
96.7%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Cole 8' Running Hook Shot23
3.3%
40
96.7%
Q2 - 9:26MILJones STEAL (1 STL)23
3.0%
40
97.0%
Q2 - 9:45MIALewis 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)23
3.4%
40
96.6%
Q2 - 10:09MILSessions 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
3.8%
38
96.2%
Q2 - 10:28MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
3.5%
38
96.5%
Q2 - 10:35MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
4.2%
35
95.8%
Q2 - 10:36MILCole BLOCK (1 BLK)21
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q2 - 10:50MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
4.6%
35
95.4%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q2 - 11:12MILUdoh 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)21
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q2 - 11:32MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
4.0%
35
96.0%
Q2 - 11:32MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
4.1%
34
95.9%
Q2 - 11:34MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
4.3%
33
95.7%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Lewis 8' Jump Shot19
4.6%
33
95.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
4.3%
33
95.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound19
4.3%
33
95.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Andersen 85' 3PT Jump Shot19
4.6%
33
95.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
4.5%
33
95.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0MILMISS Middleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
4.6%
33
95.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS)19
4.8%
33
95.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0MILMISS Henson 1' Driving Layup19
5.5%
31
94.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
5.9%
30
94.1%
Q1 - 1:01MILHenson 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)19
6.5%
29
93.5%
Q1 - 1:14MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)17
5.8%
29
94.2%
Q1 - 1:35MILHenson 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)17
5.5%
29
94.5%
Q1 - 1:48MILKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
4.9%
29
95.1%
Q1 - 1:49MILMISS Antetokounmpo 17' Jump Shot15
4.7%
29
95.3%
Q1 - 2:09MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)15
5.0%
29
95.0%
Q1 - 2:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
6.0%
26
94.0%
Q1 - 2:19MILMISS Henson 5' Turnaround Hook Shot15
6.1%
26
93.9%
Q1 - 2:40MIALewis 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)15
6.5%
26
93.5%
Q1 - 3:02MILHenson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)15
7.0%
24
93.0%
Q1 - 3:10MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)13
6.5%
24
93.5%
Q1 - 3:11MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
6.3%
24
93.7%
Q1 - 3:17MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
5.9%
24
94.1%
Q1 - 3:18MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
6.1%
24
93.9%
Q1 - 3:39MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
6.5%
24
93.5%
Q1 - 3:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
7.0%
22
93.0%
Q1 - 3:49MILMISS Knight 20' Jump Shot13
7.2%
22
92.8%
Q1 - 3:55MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
7.7%
22
92.3%
Q1 - 3:56MILMISS Sessions 3PT Jump Shot13
7.2%
22
92.8%
Q1 - 4:14MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)13
7.6%
22
92.4%
Q1 - 4:27MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
8.9%
19
91.1%
Q1 - 4:27MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 4:43MIABosh 1' Layup (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)11
8.3%
19
91.7%
Q1 - 4:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
8.9%
17
91.1%
Q1 - 4:52MILMISS Adrien 17' Jump Shot11
9.1%
17
90.9%
Q1 - 5:14MIABosh 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)11
9.8%
17
90.2%
Q1 - 5:33MILSessions 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
10.5%
15
89.5%
Q1 - 5:45MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
9.8%
15
90.2%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
9.6%
15
90.4%
Q1 - 5:58MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
9.0%
15
91.0%
Q1 - 5:58MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
8.9%
15
91.1%
Q1 - 6:12MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)7
8.5%
15
91.5%
Q1 - 6:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
9.0%
13
91.0%
Q1 - 6:22MILMISS Sessions 20' Step Back Jump Shot7
9.3%
13
90.7%
Q1 - 6:41MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
9.8%
13
90.2%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
9.5%
13
90.5%
Q1 - 6:49MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
9.0%
13
91.0%
Q1 - 6:50MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
9.3%
13
90.7%
Q1 - 7:04MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)7
9.7%
13
90.3%
Q1 - 7:25MILKnight 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)7
10.3%
11
89.7%
Q1 - 7:41MIAChalmers 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)4
9.1%
11
90.9%
Q1 - 7:49MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
9.6%
9
90.4%
Q1 - 7:50MILMISS Adrien 4' Hook Shot4
9.9%
9
90.1%
Q1 - 8:03MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
10.3%
9
89.7%
Q1 - 8:04MILMISS Middleton 13' Jump Shot4
9.8%
9
90.2%
Q1 - 8:25MIADouglas 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
10.3%
9
89.7%
Q1 - 8:29MILChalmers STEAL (2 STL)4
10.9%
7
89.1%
Q1 - 8:48MILAdrien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11.7%
7
88.3%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 14
11.6%
7
88.4%
Q1 - 9:02MILHaslem STEAL (1 STL)4
12.4%
5
87.6%
Q1 - 9:12MILAdrien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.2%
5
86.8%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
13.0%
5
87.0%
Q1 - 9:24MILAdrien 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)4
12.4%
5
87.6%
Q1 - 9:32MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
11.7%
5
88.3%
Q1 - 9:33MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot2
11.4%
5
88.6%
Q1 - 9:48MILMiddleton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
10.9%
5
89.1%
Q1 - 10:00MIAChalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
11.7%
5
88.3%
Q1 - 10:16MILChalmers STEAL (1 STL)2
12.3%
3
87.7%
Q1 - 10:26MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.2%
3
86.8%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup2
12.9%
3
87.1%
Q1 - 10:56MILAdrien 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)2
12.3%
3
87.7%
Q1 - 11:12MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)0
11.5%
3
88.5%
Q1 - 11:18MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS James 15' Fadeaway Jumper0
13.4%
0
86.6%
Q1 - 11:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:35MILMISS Middleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
13.2%
0
86.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Pachulia: Tip to Adrien0
13.7%
0
86.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.94 47.0%
MIA
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
19
32
59%
MIA
19
26
73%
Midrange
MIL
9
23
39%
MIA
11
25
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
MIA
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
Free Throws
MIL
9
9
100%
MIA
9
14
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Sessions1963%9.5 / 15
J. Adrien1447%7.0 / 15
B. Knight1150%5.5 / 11
J. Henson1056%5.0 / 9
Z. Pachulia867%4.0 / 6
G. Antetokounmpo550%2.5 / 5
K. Middleton420%2.0 / 10
E. Udoh233%1.0 / 3
M. Raduljica2100%1.0 / 1
D. Stephens250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James1761%8.5 / 14
C. Bosh1558%7.5 / 13
M. Chalmers1488%7.0 / 8
T. Douglas950%4.5 / 9
J. Jones975%4.5 / 6
C. Andersen867%4.0 / 6
N. Cole739%3.5 / 9
R. Lewis758%3.5 / 6
U. Haslem660%3.0 / 5
M. Beasley220%1.0 / 5
J. Hamilton250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
67
+14
-17
81
MIA
76
+10
-9
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.94 47.0%
MIA
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.2
110.7
MIL 91.7 +21.3
MIA 112.9
Pace
91.7
91.5
MIL 84.8 +0.6
MIA 84.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.8
MIL 17.0 +0.1
MIA 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
55.4%
MIL 46.6%
MIA 56.5% +9.9%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
MIL 21.4%
MIA 10.7% +10.7%
ORB %
27.1%
20.6%
MIL 28.9% +8.4%
MIA 20.5%
FTrt
27.4
30.0
MIL 12.3
MIA 18.2 +5.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
58.8%
MIL 56.3%
MIA 56.4% +0.1%
STL %
7.1%
9.7%
MIL 3.6%
MIA 14.1% +10.5%
BLK %
8.2%
8.1%
MIL 5.9%
MIA 9.1% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.4%
57.5%
MIL 47.0%
MIA 55.2% +8.2%
Rim FG%
54.2%
66.7%
MIL 59.4%
MIA 73.1% +13.7%
Mid FG%
38.3%
42.8%
MIL 39.1%
MIA 44.0% +4.9%
3P %
35.3%
36.4%
MIL 22.2%
MIA 34.6% +12.4%
FT %
74.7%
76.0%
MIL 100.0% +35.7%
MIA 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
38.3%
MIL 43.8% +10.1%
MIA 33.8%
Mid Att. %
37.9%
32.5%
MIL 31.5% +1.0%
MIA 32.5%
3P Att. %
23.1%
29.2%
MIL 24.7%
MIA 33.8% +9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points7796
Rebounds4235
Assists1822
Steals312
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)17 (4)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)27 (0)
Field Goals32-7339-77
At-the-Rim FG19-3219-26
Midrange FG9-2311-25
2-Point FG28-5530-51
3-Point FG4-189-26
Free Throws9-99-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 28
45.4
19
63%
3
6
1
0
5
1
0
3
6-6
100%
5-8
63%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 182 · 22
41.7
11
50%
5
2
1
1
5
2
1
4
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
2-8
25%
F · 6'7" 245 · 28
34.5
14
47%
7
2
0
1
2
2
1
6
0-0
-
7-15
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 222 · 23
32.6
4
20%
4
2
1
0
3
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-5
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 30
25.4
8
67%
16
4
0
0
0
2
6
10
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 243 · 19
21.8
5
50%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 27
15.6
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 229 · 23
15.0
10
56%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 26
5.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 188 · 23
2.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
· 6'4" 190 · 23
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
#8 · F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G-F · 6'6" 230 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
47%
42
18
3
3
17
0
11
31
9-9
100%
28-55
51%
4-18
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.