for complete access.
All Games Monday, March 31, 2014
FinalWin Prob.pScore
14
Raptors
31%96
83
3
Heat
69%102
93
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
102.58186.5
MIA logo MIA
112.08378.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0TORMISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAAndersen Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0TORDeRozan 13' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS James 20' Fadeaway Jumper81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 281
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 281
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)81
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 1:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 1:58TORMISS DeRozan 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 2:19MIADouglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 8 AST)81
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 2:50TORVasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (DeRozan 7 AST)81
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 3:11MIABosh 1' Running Dunk (18 PTS)78
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 3:15TORBosh STEAL (1 STL)78
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 3:18TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot78
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 3:37MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 3:39TORMISS Valanciunas 14' Jump Shot78
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q4 - 4:08MIABosh 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS)78
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q4 - 4:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)78
6.9%
83
93.1%
Q4 - 4:30TORMISS De Colo 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q4 - 4:42TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)78
10.1%
83
89.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS James 2' Layup78
9.0%
83
91.0%
Q4 - 4:59MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
6.8%
83
93.2%
Q4 - 5:01MIAMISS Douglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
10.7%
83
89.3%
Q4 - 5:25TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)78
8.4%
83
91.6%
Q4 - 5:51MIAAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)78
11.7%
83
88.3%
Q4 - 6:13TORVasquez 4' Driving Layup (14 PTS)78
16.3%
81
83.7%
Q4 - 6:21MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T14)76
13.0%
81
87.0%
Q4 - 6:33MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q4 - 6:35MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
11.8%
81
88.2%
Q4 - 6:50TORValanciunas Foul Turnover (P2.T13)76
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q4 - 7:10TORRaptors Rebound76
14.0%
81
86.0%
Q4 - 7:11MIAMISS Jones 1' Layup76
12.9%
81
87.1%
Q4 - 7:26TORVasquez Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
10.6%
81
89.4%
Q4 - 7:26TORMISS Vasquez Free Throw 1 of 275
10.3%
81
89.7%
Q4 - 7:50MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)75
10.9%
81
89.1%
Q4 - 8:05TORValanciunas 5' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (DeRozan 6 AST)75
18.5%
78
81.5%
Q4 - 8:19TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
14.8%
78
85.2%
Q4 - 8:21TORMISS DeRozan 15' Jump Shot73
12.7%
78
87.3%
Q4 - 8:42TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
14.8%
78
85.2%
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Driving Layup73
13.8%
78
86.2%
Q4 - 8:57TORNovak Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)73
11.8%
78
88.2%
Q4 - 9:06TORNovak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (DeRozan 5 AST)72
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q4 - 9:23MIALewis Foul Turnover (P1.T13)69
6.6%
78
93.4%
Q4 - 9:41TORDe Colo 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)69
5.3%
78
94.7%
Q4 - 10:03MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
4.7%
78
95.3%
Q4 - 10:03MIAAndersen Tip Shot (8 PTS)67
4.7%
78
95.3%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q4 - 10:20TORVasquez 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (De Colo 1 AST)67
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q4 - 10:25MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)65
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q4 - 10:40MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q4 - 10:43TORMISS Vasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q4 - 10:57TORHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q4 - 10:58MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q4 - 11:17MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q4 - 11:19TORMISS Novak 3PT Jump Shot65
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q4 - 11:42MIAChalmers 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound65
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
7.3%
74
92.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORCole STEAL (1 STL)65
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)65
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
6.9%
74
93.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0TORMISS De Colo 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
7.3%
74
92.7%
Q3 - 1:00TORDe Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 265
8.6%
74
91.4%
Q3 - 1:02MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)65
7.6%
74
92.4%
Q3 - 1:10MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
9.9%
73
90.1%
Q3 - 1:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q3 - 1:27TORAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)65
9.3%
73
90.7%
Q3 - 1:51MIAJames 4' Driving Layup (28 PTS)65
10.4%
73
89.6%
Q3 - 2:06TORVasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)65
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q3 - 2:19MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)62
9.2%
71
90.8%
Q3 - 2:34TORVasquez Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)62
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 2:45TORNovak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot59
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 3:12TORDeRozan 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)59
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 3:17MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)57
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 3:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 3:38TORMISS DeRozan 3PT Jump Shot57
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 3:56MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (26 PTS)57
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 4:12TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)57
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q3 - 4:25MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)57
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q3 - 4:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
8.4%
66
91.6%
Q3 - 4:48TORMISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
8.9%
66
91.1%
Q3 - 5:09MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)57
10.5%
66
89.5%
Q3 - 5:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
8.8%
66
91.2%
Q3 - 5:13TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
9.3%
66
90.7%
Q3 - 5:32MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)57
10.5%
66
89.5%
Q3 - 5:49TORDeRozan 1' Running Layup (12 PTS)57
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 5:54MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)55
10.5%
64
89.5%
Q3 - 5:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
8.8%
64
91.2%
Q3 - 6:01TORMISS Ross 14' Jump Shot55
9.6%
64
90.4%
Q3 - 6:18TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 255
10.5%
64
89.5%
Q3 - 6:20MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)55
9.6%
64
90.4%
Q3 - 6:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q3 - 6:22TORMISS Patterson 15' Jump Shot55
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 6:39TORRaptors Rebound55
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 6:51TORValanciunas 2' Dunk (12 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)55
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q3 - 7:17MIABosh 19' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)53
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 7:36MIAHEAT Rebound53
10.8%
61
89.2%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup53
12.0%
61
88.0%
Q3 - 7:56TORDeRozan Foul Turnover (P2.T10)53
10.8%
61
89.2%
Q3 - 8:10MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)53
12.8%
61
87.2%
Q3 - 8:20MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
11.0%
61
89.0%
Q3 - 8:23TORMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot53
11.5%
61
88.5%
Q3 - 8:38TORRaptors Rebound53
12.8%
61
87.2%
Q3 - 8:39TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 153
11.2%
61
88.8%
Q3 - 8:55MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)51
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 8:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q3 - 9:00TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.5%
59
88.5%
Q3 - 9:21MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)51
12.8%
59
87.2%
Q3 - 9:38TORLowry Foul Turnover (P4.T9)51
16.4%
56
83.6%
Q3 - 9:53MIADouglas 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)51
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q3 - 10:11TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)51
20.6%
54
79.4%
Q3 - 10:23TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
23.1%
54
76.9%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
22.3%
54
77.7%
Q3 - 10:36MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
20.6%
54
79.4%
Q3 - 10:38TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot51
21.4%
54
78.6%
Q3 - 10:52TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
23.1%
54
76.9%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
22.3%
54
77.7%
Q3 - 11:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
20.6%
54
79.4%
Q3 - 11:07TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot51
21.4%
54
78.6%
Q3 - 11:19MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)51
23.1%
54
76.9%
Q3 - 11:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
20.6%
54
79.4%
Q3 - 11:43TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
21.4%
54
78.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR51
23.1%
54
76.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound51
23.1%
54
76.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Lowry 20' Jump Shot51
21.4%
54
78.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)51
22.9%
54
77.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)51
23.4%
53
76.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
25.9%
52
74.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
26.5%
52
73.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)51
27.9%
52
72.1%
Q2 - 0:53.0TORLowry 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
34.2%
49
65.8%
Q2 - 1:15MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (19 PTS)49
30.5%
49
69.5%
Q2 - 1:19TORJames STEAL (1 STL)49
34.3%
47
65.7%
Q2 - 1:43MIAJames Driving Layup (17 PTS)49
36.1%
47
63.9%
Q2 - 2:09TORDeRozan 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)49
39.0%
45
61.0%
Q2 - 2:29MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)47
36.2%
45
63.8%
Q2 - 2:49TORValanciunas 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS)47
39.1%
43
60.9%
Q2 - 2:53TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
36.2%
43
63.8%
Q2 - 2:54TORMISS Valanciunas 15' Jump Shot45
34.2%
43
65.8%
Q2 - 3:15TORRaptors Rebound45
35.8%
43
64.2%
Q2 - 3:17TORMISS Ross 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
33.6%
43
66.4%
Q2 - 3:34MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)45
35.9%
43
64.1%
Q2 - 3:34MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)45
36.4%
42
63.6%
Q2 - 3:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
38.1%
41
61.9%
Q2 - 3:38TORMISS Ross 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
39.2%
41
60.8%
Q2 - 3:41TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
41.6%
41
58.4%
Q2 - 3:44TORMISS DeRozan 6' Jump Shot45
39.2%
41
60.8%
Q2 - 3:58TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
41.6%
41
58.4%
Q2 - 4:00TORMISS Lowry 16' Jump Shot45
39.2%
41
60.8%
Q2 - 4:22MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)45
40.4%
41
59.6%
Q2 - 4:38TORNovak 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)45
46.0%
38
54.0%
Q2 - 4:59MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
40.5%
38
59.5%
Q2 - 4:59MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
40.9%
37
59.1%
Q2 - 5:07MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
42.7%
36
57.3%
Q2 - 5:09TORMISS Salmons 2' Layup42
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q2 - 5:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)42
45.4%
36
54.6%
Q2 - 5:26MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)42
48.2%
35
51.8%
Q2 - 5:57TORValanciunas Dunk (8 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)42
54.0%
32
46.0%
Q2 - 6:04TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
50.6%
32
49.4%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Bosh 3' Reverse Layup40
49.6%
32
50.4%
Q2 - 6:30TORNovak 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)40
47.4%
32
52.6%
Q2 - 6:46MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 6 AST)37
42.5%
32
57.5%
Q2 - 7:10TORVasquez 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)37
46.6%
29
53.4%
Q2 - 7:22TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
41.6%
29
58.4%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
40.8%
29
59.2%
Q2 - 7:43TORDeRozan 16' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
38.8%
29
61.2%
Q2 - 8:01MIALewis 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)32
35.9%
29
64.1%
Q2 - 8:22TORValanciunas 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)32
38.3%
27
61.7%
Q2 - 8:43MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
36.0%
27
64.0%
Q2 - 8:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
33.5%
27
66.5%
Q2 - 8:57TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 130
33.8%
27
66.2%
Q2 - 9:03TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q2 - 9:05MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
30.2%
27
69.8%
Q2 - 9:34TORNovak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)28
28.6%
27
71.4%
Q2 - 9:45MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)25
24.8%
27
75.2%
Q2 - 10:11TORSalmons 18' Pullup Bank Shot (2 PTS)25
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q2 - 10:34MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
21.5%
27
78.5%
Q2 - 10:34MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
21.9%
26
78.1%
Q2 - 10:56TORLewis STEAL (1 STL)23
22.9%
25
77.1%
Q2 - 11:05TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
24.9%
25
75.1%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 223
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q2 - 11:07MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
23.6%
25
76.4%
Q2 - 11:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
24.8%
24
75.2%
Q2 - 11:11TORAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)23
25.4%
24
74.6%
Q2 - 11:30TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
26.8%
24
73.2%
Q2 - 11:32MIAMISS Lewis 5' Jump Shot23
26.2%
24
73.8%
Q2 - 11:46TORVasquez Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)23
24.8%
24
75.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
26.8%
24
73.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound23
24.8%
24
75.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 40' 3PT Jump Shot23
26.2%
24
73.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
25.1%
24
74.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0TORMISS Vasquez 5' Driving Jump Shot23
25.5%
24
74.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAJames 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)23
26.4%
24
73.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0TORLowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
28.8%
22
71.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0TORNovak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q1 - 1:09TORValanciunas 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)20
23.3%
22
76.7%
Q1 - 1:18TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)18
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot18
21.0%
22
79.0%
Q1 - 1:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q1 - 1:28TORMISS Lowry 7' Driving Jump Shot18
20.5%
22
79.5%
Q1 - 1:50MIAAndersen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 5 AST)18
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q1 - 2:00TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)18
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 2:15MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q1 - 2:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
23.3%
20
76.7%
Q1 - 2:18TORMISS Novak 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
23.7%
20
76.3%
Q1 - 2:31MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)18
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q1 - 2:46TORLowry 19' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)18
28.5%
17
71.5%
Q1 - 3:11MIABosh 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)16
26.4%
17
73.6%
Q1 - 3:20MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
28.1%
15
71.9%
Q1 - 3:22TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
28.7%
15
71.3%
Q1 - 3:43MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)16
30.1%
15
69.9%
Q1 - 4:08TORPatterson 1' Layup (2 PTS)16
33.1%
12
66.9%
Q1 - 4:09TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
31.5%
12
68.5%
Q1 - 4:11TORMISS Patterson 4' Jump Shot14
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 4:24TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
31.5%
12
68.5%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 114
31.2%
12
68.8%
Q1 - 4:36TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
33.2%
10
66.8%
Q1 - 4:49MIADouglas Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)14
35.4%
10
64.6%
Q1 - 5:09TORJohnson 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)14
32.7%
10
67.3%
Q1 - 5:20TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
31.1%
10
68.9%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot12
30.5%
10
69.5%
Q1 - 5:47TORDeRozan 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)12
29.2%
10
70.8%
Q1 - 5:57TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
27.7%
10
72.3%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
27.1%
10
72.9%
Q1 - 6:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
25.6%
10
74.4%
Q1 - 6:22TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
26.1%
10
73.9%
Q1 - 6:40MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)10
27.3%
10
72.7%
Q1 - 7:01TORJohnson 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)10
28.3%
8
71.7%
Q1 - 7:08TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
27.1%
8
72.9%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot8
26.5%
8
73.5%
Q1 - 7:26TORDeRozan 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
25.4%
8
74.6%
Q1 - 7:46MIABosh 2' Layup (3 PTS)6
24.2%
8
75.8%
Q1 - 7:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Bosh 3' Layup6
26.5%
6
73.5%
Q1 - 7:59MIABosh Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)6
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 8:10MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
26.7%
5
73.3%
Q1 - 8:12TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
27.2%
5
72.8%
Q1 - 8:30MIAJames 3' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
28.3%
5
71.7%
Q1 - 8:58TORHaslem STEAL (1 STL)6
29.7%
3
70.3%
Q1 - 9:16MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)6
31.2%
3
68.8%
Q1 - 9:38TORRoss 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 9:46TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Douglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
32.2%
0
67.8%
Q1 - 10:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
30.7%
0
69.3%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS Bosh 4' Hook Shot4
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 10:18TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
30.7%
0
69.3%
Q1 - 10:18TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 10:29TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 10:44TORValanciunas Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 10:56TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 10:58MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot2
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:15TORValanciunas 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)2
27.7%
0
72.3%
Q1 - 11:33TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot0
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Haslem0
25.1%
0
74.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.11 55.3%
MIA
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
14
19
74%
MIA
21
30
70%
Midrange
TOR
13
25
52%
MIA
6
11
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
8
12.0
26
31%
46%
MIA
7
10.5
25
28%
42%
Free Throws
TOR
5
10
50%
MIA
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Vasquez1771%8.5 / 12
D. DeRozan1657%8.0 / 14
J. Valančiūnas1478%7.0 / 9
S. Novak13108%6.5 / 6
K. Lowry1146%5.5 / 12
A. Johnson450%2.0 / 4
T. Ross217%1.0 / 6
J. Salmons233%1.0 / 3
N. De Colo233%1.0 / 3
P. Patterson225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3267%16.0 / 24
C. Bosh1856%9.0 / 16
C. Andersen13108%6.5 / 6
M. Chalmers1267%6.0 / 9
J. Jones867%4.0 / 6
T. Douglas563%2.5 / 4
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
R. Lewis225%1.0 / 4
N. Cole125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
67
+8
-14
75
MIA
68
+9
-15
77
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.11 55.3%
MIA
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.7
110.7
TOR 102.5
MIA 112.0 +9.6
Pace
92.0
91.5
TOR 86.5 +8.4
MIA 78.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
15.8
TOR 16.7 +1.8
MIA 18.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
55.4%
TOR 55.7%
MIA 56.8% +1.1%
TO %
14.4%
15.4%
TOR 16.8%
MIA 16.5% +0.3%
ORB %
27.2%
20.6%
TOR 14.3%
MIA 19.4% +5.1%
FTrt
30.6
30.0
TOR 14.3
MIA 33.3 +19.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
58.8%
TOR 48.6%
MIA 55.9% +7.3%
STL %
7.6%
9.7%
TOR 8.6% +2.6%
MIA 6.0%
BLK %
6.9%
8.1%
TOR 2.4%
MIA 4.5% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
57.5%
TOR 55.3%
MIA 60.4% +5.1%
Rim FG%
57.5%
66.7%
TOR 73.7% +3.7%
MIA 70.0%
Mid FG%
38.7%
42.8%
TOR 52.0%
MIA 54.5% +2.5%
3P %
37.2%
36.4%
TOR 30.8% +2.8%
MIA 28.0%
FT %
78.3%
76.0%
TOR 50.0%
MIA 81.8% +31.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
38.3%
TOR 27.1%
MIA 45.5% +18.3%
Mid Att. %
38.2%
32.5%
TOR 35.7%
MIA 16.7% +19.0%
3P Att. %
28.5%
29.2%
TOR 37.1%
MIA 37.9% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions8183
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points8393
Rebounds3036
Assists1719
Steals75
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)30 (0)
Field Goals35-7034-66
At-the-Rim FG14-1921-30
Midrange FG13-256-11
2-Point FG27-4427-41
3-Point FG8-267-25
Free Throws5-1018-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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14 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'6" 220 · 25
39.3
16
57%
2
7
2
0
2
3
0
2
0-1
0%
8-12
67%
0-2
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
32.5
14
78%
10
0
1
0
2
4
2
8
0-0
-
7-9
78%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 196 · 28
25.9
11
46%
1
4
0
0
5
2
1
0
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
1-5
20%
Terrence Ross
F · 6'7" 206 · 23
24.1
2
17%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
Amir Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 27
23.8
4
50%
6
1
0
0
1
4
1
5
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 31
25.7
13
108%
2
0
2
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
0-0
-
4-6
67%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 27
23.1
17
71%
0
1
0
0
4
3
0
0
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
3-5
60%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 34
18.8
2
33%
0
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 27
10.6
2
33%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25
8.1
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28
Dwight Buycks
#13 · G · 6'3" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Julyan Stone
#77 · G · 6'6" 200 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
55%
30
17
7
1
14
0
5
25
5-10
50%
27-44
61%
8-26
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.