for complete access.
All Games Saturday, March 29, 2014
FinalWin Prob.pScore
4
Heat
69%104
88
28
Bucks
31%97
67
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
107.38278.7
MIL logo MIL
80.78386.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
100%
67
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILMISS Middleton 19' Jump Shot88
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIADouglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)88
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MILMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot85
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)85
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24MIAHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Douglas 4 AST)85
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41MILRaduljica Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)82
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41MILMISS Raduljica Free Throw 1 of 282
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49MIAHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)82
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 2:10MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)79
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 2:12MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Hamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37MILSessions 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)79
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot79
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01MILSessions Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)79
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)79
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09MILMISS Henson Free Throw 2 of 279
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09MILMISS Henson Free Throw 1 of 279
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29MIACole 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Douglas 3 AST)79
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 3:36MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38MILMISS Sessions Layup77
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 3:53MIADouglas 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)77
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 4:15MILSessions 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Udoh 1 AST)75
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 4:19MIAHenson STEAL (2 STL)75
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 4:35MILSessions Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)75
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 4:46MILHenson REBOUND (Off:8 Def:2)75
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 4:48MIAMISS Cole 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 5:04MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)75
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 5:06MILMISS Antetokounmpo 17' Jump Shot75
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 5:31MIALewis 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)75
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 5:53MILStephens Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)73
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 5:53MILStephens 1' Layup (4 PTS)73
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q4 - 5:55MILStephens REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 5:59MIAMISS Andersen 17' Jump Shot73
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 6:08MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)73
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 6:09MILMISS Stephens 1' Layup73
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 6:12MILStephens REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 6:13MILMISS Henson 14' Jump Shot73
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 6:40MIALewis 1' Dunk (11 PTS)73
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 6:44MILUdoh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)71
99.8%
53
0.2%
Q4 - 6:55MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
99.8%
53
0.2%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 270
99.7%
53
0.3%
Q4 - 6:55MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)70
99.8%
53
0.2%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Andersen 2' Layup70
99.7%
53
0.3%
Q4 - 6:55MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)70
99.8%
53
0.2%
Q4 - 6:56MIAMISS Battier 7' Jump Shot70
99.7%
53
0.3%
Q4 - 7:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
99.6%
53
0.4%
Q4 - 7:06MILMISS Sessions 9' Jump Shot70
99.6%
53
0.4%
Q4 - 7:22MIADouglas Layup (8 PTS)70
99.5%
53
0.5%
Q4 - 7:29MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
99.4%
53
0.6%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Lewis 18' Jump Shot68
99.3%
53
0.7%
Q4 - 7:46MILHenson REBOUND (Off:8 Def:1)68
99.4%
53
0.6%
Q4 - 7:46MILHenson Tip Shot (12 PTS)68
99.4%
53
0.6%
Q4 - 7:49MILMISS Sessions 1' Layup68
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q4 - 8:03MILStephens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
99.3%
51
0.7%
Q4 - 8:05MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (1 BLK)68
99.4%
51
0.6%
Q4 - 8:30MILHenson Layup (10 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)68
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q4 - 8:56MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
99.6%
49
0.4%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 267
99.6%
49
0.4%
Q4 - 9:16MILStephens 1' Dunk (2 PTS)67
99.5%
49
0.5%
Q4 - 9:20MIAUdoh STEAL (1 STL)67
99.6%
47
0.4%
Q4 - 9:39MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)67
99.7%
47
0.3%
Q4 - 9:41MILMISS Stephens 1' Dunk67
99.6%
47
0.4%
Q4 - 9:44MILHenson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:1)67
99.6%
47
0.4%
Q4 - 9:45MILMISS Antetokounmpo 16' Jump Shot67
99.6%
47
0.4%
Q4 - 9:48MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
99.6%
47
0.4%
Q4 - 9:51MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Layup67
99.6%
47
0.4%
Q4 - 10:11MILBUCKS Rebound67
99.4%
47
0.6%
Q4 - 10:11MIAMISS Cole 22' Jump Shot67
99.5%
47
0.5%
Q4 - 10:27MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
99.6%
47
0.4%
Q4 - 10:28MILMISS Antetokounmpo 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
99.5%
47
0.5%
Q4 - 10:47MIALewis 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)67
99.5%
47
0.5%
Q4 - 10:52MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
99.3%
47
0.7%
Q4 - 10:54MILMISS Henson 1' Alley Oop Layup65
99.3%
47
0.7%
Q4 - 11:04MILHenson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)65
98.9%
47
1.1%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Douglas 3PT Jump Shot65
99.0%
47
1.0%
Q4 - 11:19MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
99.1%
47
0.9%
Q4 - 11:20MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 2 of 265
99.1%
47
0.9%
Q4 - 11:20MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)65
99.0%
47
1.0%
Q4 - 11:33MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
99.1%
46
0.9%
Q4 - 11:34MIAMISS Battier 1' Layup65
99.2%
46
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL65
99.3%
46
0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound65
99.2%
46
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Udoh 16' Jump Shot65
99.3%
46
0.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)65
99.0%
46
1.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAHeat Rebound65
99.2%
46
0.8%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot65
99.1%
46
0.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
99.2%
46
0.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0MILMISS Knight 21' Jump Shot65
99.1%
46
0.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
99.0%
46
1.0%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot65
99.1%
46
0.9%
Q3 - 1:15MILMiddleton 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)65
99.0%
46
1.0%
Q3 - 1:41MIAJones 3' Layup (10 PTS)65
99.2%
44
0.8%
Q3 - 1:59MILKnight 8' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)63
99.0%
44
1.0%
Q3 - 2:14MILBUCKS Rebound63
99.0%
42
1.0%
Q3 - 2:14MILMISS Knight Layup63
99.2%
42
0.8%
Q3 - 2:19MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
99.0%
42
1.0%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
99.1%
42
0.9%
Q3 - 2:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
99.2%
42
0.8%
Q3 - 2:28MILMISS Henson 8' Hook Shot63
99.2%
42
0.8%
Q3 - 2:32MIAJames 1' Layup (13 PTS)63
99.0%
42
1.0%
Q3 - 2:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
98.9%
42
1.1%
Q3 - 2:38MIAUdoh BLOCK (1 BLK)61
98.7%
42
1.3%
Q3 - 3:00MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)61
98.9%
42
1.1%
Q3 - 3:00MILBUCKS Rebound61
98.6%
42
1.4%
Q3 - 3:00MILMISS Middleton 17' Jump Shot61
98.8%
42
1.2%
Q3 - 3:25MILBUCKS Rebound61
98.4%
42
1.6%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
98.5%
42
1.5%
Q3 - 3:44MILKnight 1' Layup (11 PTS)61
98.7%
42
1.3%
Q3 - 4:00MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)61
98.9%
40
1.1%
Q3 - 4:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
98.5%
40
1.5%
Q3 - 4:06MILMISS Pachulia 5' Jump Shot59
98.4%
40
1.6%
Q3 - 4:26MIAHaslem 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)59
98.2%
40
1.8%
Q3 - 4:52MILPachulia 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Adrien 1 AST)57
98.0%
40
2.0%
Q3 - 5:14MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
98.0%
38
2.0%
Q3 - 5:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
97.3%
38
2.7%
Q3 - 5:37MILMISS Middleton 13' Jump Shot54
97.2%
38
2.8%
Q3 - 6:00MIAJames 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST)54
96.8%
38
3.2%
Q3 - 6:04MILSessions Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)52
96.0%
38
4.0%
Q3 - 6:11MIASessions STEAL (1 STL)52
95.3%
38
4.7%
Q3 - 6:17MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
96.0%
38
4.0%
Q3 - 6:17MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)52
96.1%
37
3.9%
Q3 - 6:20MILKnight REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
96.5%
36
3.5%
Q3 - 6:22MILMISS Adrien Layup52
96.9%
36
3.1%
Q3 - 6:28MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)52
96.5%
36
3.5%
Q3 - 6:47MILKnight Driving Layup (9 PTS)52
97.1%
36
2.9%
Q3 - 7:01MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
97.2%
34
2.8%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot52
97.3%
34
2.7%
Q3 - 7:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
97.6%
34
2.4%
Q3 - 7:20MILMISS Pachulia 14' Jump Shot52
97.5%
34
2.5%
Q3 - 7:29MILKnight REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
97.2%
34
2.8%
Q3 - 7:31MILMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
97.5%
34
2.5%
Q3 - 7:40MILAdrien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
97.2%
34
2.8%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS James Layup52
97.4%
34
2.6%
Q3 - 8:04MILKnight 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)52
97.5%
34
2.5%
Q3 - 8:19MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)52
98.1%
31
1.9%
Q3 - 8:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
98.4%
31
1.6%
Q3 - 8:28MILMISS Adrien 4' Hook Shot52
98.3%
31
1.7%
Q3 - 8:53MIAAdrien STEAL (1 STL)52
98.1%
31
1.9%
Q3 - 9:10MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)52
98.3%
31
1.7%
Q3 - 9:21MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)52
98.0%
31
2.0%
Q3 - 9:35MILPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)50
97.7%
31
2.3%
Q3 - 9:54MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
97.3%
31
2.7%
Q3 - 9:54MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
97.3%
31
2.7%
Q3 - 10:05MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)48
96.8%
31
3.2%
Q3 - 10:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
96.4%
31
3.6%
Q3 - 10:33MIAJones 1' Layup (8 PTS)48
96.4%
31
3.6%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup46
95.4%
31
4.6%
Q3 - 10:55MILSessions 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)46
95.8%
31
4.2%
Q3 - 11:11MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
96.2%
29
3.8%
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
96.3%
29
3.7%
Q3 - 11:37MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
96.7%
29
3.3%
Q3 - 11:38MILMISS Pachulia 1' Layup46
96.5%
29
3.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL46
96.2%
29
3.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound46
96.2%
29
3.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Sessions 28' 3PT Jump Shot46
96.5%
29
3.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)46
95.9%
29
4.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P2.T9)46
96.3%
29
3.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)46
95.9%
29
4.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAHeat Rebound46
96.3%
29
3.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
96.1%
29
3.9%
Q2 - 1:11MILKnight 1' Layup (4 PTS)46
96.0%
29
4.0%
Q2 - 1:15MILHenson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:0)46
96.6%
27
3.4%
Q2 - 1:16MILMISS Sessions 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
96.8%
27
3.2%
Q2 - 1:37MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)46
96.6%
27
3.4%
Q2 - 1:52MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)43
95.5%
27
4.5%
Q2 - 1:52MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 243
95.7%
26
4.3%
Q2 - 2:12MIAJames Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T4)43
95.3%
26
4.7%
Q2 - 2:28MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
95.9%
26
4.1%
Q2 - 2:29MILMISS Middleton 7' Jump Shot43
95.7%
26
4.3%
Q2 - 2:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
95.4%
26
4.6%
Q2 - 2:40MIABosh 1' Layup (12 PTS)43
95.4%
26
4.6%
Q2 - 2:41MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup41
94.3%
26
5.7%
Q2 - 3:14MIAHeat Rebound41
94.7%
26
5.3%
Q2 - 3:14MILMISS Knight 19' Jump Shot41
94.4%
26
5.6%
Q2 - 3:16MILKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
93.9%
26
6.1%
Q2 - 3:18MILMISS Antetokounmpo 3' Layup41
94.4%
26
5.6%
Q2 - 3:39MIADouglas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
93.9%
26
6.1%
Q2 - 3:39MIADouglas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
93.8%
26
6.2%
Q2 - 3:49MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
93.3%
26
6.7%
Q2 - 3:50MILMISS Middleton 18' Jump Shot39
93.0%
26
7.0%
Q2 - 4:10MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)39
92.1%
26
7.9%
Q2 - 4:20MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
90.2%
26
9.8%
Q2 - 4:22MILHenson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)36
89.2%
26
10.8%
Q2 - 4:22MILMISS Henson 1' Tip Shot36
89.9%
26
10.1%
Q2 - 4:24MILMISS Knight 1' Layup36
89.9%
26
10.1%
Q2 - 4:44MIABosh 9' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)36
89.2%
26
10.8%
Q2 - 5:10MILSessions 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)34
87.9%
26
12.1%
Q2 - 5:34MIABosh 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)34
90.1%
23
9.9%
Q2 - 5:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
89.0%
23
11.0%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Douglas 2' Hook Shot32
88.3%
23
11.7%
Q2 - 5:43MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
89.0%
23
11.0%
Q2 - 5:48MILMISS Stephens 1' Layup32
88.7%
23
11.3%
Q2 - 5:55MILBUCKS Rebound32
87.9%
23
12.1%
Q2 - 5:55MILMISS Sessions 4' Layup32
88.7%
23
11.3%
Q2 - 6:12MIAHenson STEAL (1 STL)32
87.5%
23
12.5%
Q2 - 6:35MILMiddleton 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)32
88.9%
23
11.1%
Q2 - 6:56MIADouglas 1' Layup (4 PTS)32
89.8%
21
10.2%
Q2 - 7:00MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
88.9%
21
11.1%
Q2 - 7:01MILMISS Knight 13' Jump Shot30
88.3%
21
11.7%
Q2 - 7:25MILBUCKS Rebound30
87.4%
21
12.6%
Q2 - 7:27MIAMISS Douglas 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
87.8%
21
12.2%
Q2 - 7:53MILHenson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)30
88.7%
21
11.3%
Q2 - 7:53MILHenson 1' Dunk (8 PTS)30
88.7%
21
11.3%
Q2 - 7:55MILMISS Sessions 1' Layup30
90.3%
19
9.7%
Q2 - 7:58MILStephens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
89.6%
19
10.4%
Q2 - 7:59MIAKnight BLOCK (1 BLK)30
89.9%
19
10.1%
Q2 - 8:13MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
90.3%
19
9.7%
Q2 - 8:14MILMISS Middleton 20' Jump Shot30
90.0%
19
10.0%
Q2 - 8:34MILBUCKS Rebound30
89.3%
19
10.7%
Q2 - 8:35MIASessions BLOCK (1 BLK)30
89.6%
19
10.4%
Q2 - 8:59MILHenson 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)30
90.3%
19
9.7%
Q2 - 9:02MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
90.9%
17
9.1%
Q2 - 9:04MILMISS Knight 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
91.5%
17
8.5%
Q2 - 9:20MIALewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)30
90.9%
17
9.1%
Q2 - 9:36MILMiddleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Henson 2 AST)27
89.2%
17
10.8%
Q2 - 9:48MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
90.9%
14
9.1%
Q2 - 9:48MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)27
90.9%
14
9.1%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Lewis 2' Layup25
89.5%
14
10.5%
Q2 - 10:16MILHenson 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)25
89.9%
14
10.1%
Q2 - 10:35MIACole 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
90.6%
12
9.4%
Q2 - 10:50MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
89.9%
12
10.1%
Q2 - 10:51MILMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
89.6%
12
10.4%
Q2 - 11:19MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)23
88.5%
12
11.5%
Q2 - 11:36MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)21
87.6%
12
12.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL21
86.4%
12
13.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILHenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)21
86.4%
12
13.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
87.3%
12
12.7%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)21
86.3%
12
13.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0MILKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)19
84.9%
12
15.1%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
84.0%
12
16.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
83.7%
12
16.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot17
81.6%
12
18.4%
Q1 - 1:02MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 1:04MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot17
81.6%
12
18.4%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Lewis 8' Jump Shot17
81.6%
12
18.4%
Q1 - 1:18MIAHeat Rebound17
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 1:18MILMISS Middleton 1' Layup17
82.0%
12
18.0%
Q1 - 1:22MIAJames 1' Dunk (4 PTS)17
81.3%
12
18.7%
Q1 - 1:32MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
79.5%
12
20.5%
Q1 - 1:32MILHenson 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)15
79.5%
12
20.5%
Q1 - 1:35MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
81.3%
10
18.7%
Q1 - 1:35MILMISS Henson 1' Tip Shot15
82.0%
10
18.0%
Q1 - 1:36MILMISS Udoh 8' Jump Shot15
82.0%
10
18.0%
Q1 - 1:58MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
81.3%
10
18.7%
Q1 - 1:58MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
81.0%
10
19.0%
Q1 - 2:15MILAntetokounmpo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)13
79.6%
10
20.4%
Q1 - 2:31MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
78.2%
10
21.8%
Q1 - 2:57MILUdoh 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)13
79.6%
10
20.4%
Q1 - 3:20MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
81.1%
8
18.9%
Q1 - 3:20MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
80.9%
8
19.1%
Q1 - 3:42MILPachulia 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)11
79.8%
8
20.2%
Q1 - 4:01MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)11
81.1%
6
18.9%
Q1 - 4:03MIAMISS Bosh Layup11
81.6%
6
18.4%
Q1 - 4:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
82.6%
6
17.4%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
81.6%
6
18.4%
Q1 - 4:29MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)11
82.6%
6
17.4%
Q1 - 4:48MIADouglas 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
81.1%
6
18.9%
Q1 - 4:52MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
80.0%
6
20.0%
Q1 - 4:53MIAMISS Andersen 15' Jump Shot9
78.8%
6
21.2%
Q1 - 5:10MILKnight 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
79.5%
6
20.5%
Q1 - 5:33MIAJames 1' Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)9
80.7%
4
19.3%
Q1 - 5:49MIAHeat Rebound7
79.5%
4
20.5%
Q1 - 5:50MILMISS Sessions 1' Layup7
79.1%
4
20.9%
Q1 - 6:04MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
78.1%
4
21.9%
Q1 - 6:04MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
77.8%
4
22.2%
Q1 - 6:26MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
76.8%
4
23.2%
Q1 - 6:27MILMISS Pachulia 4' Running Hook Shot5
76.3%
4
23.7%
Q1 - 6:48MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
75.2%
4
24.8%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS Douglas 1' Hook Shot5
75.7%
4
24.3%
Q1 - 7:00MILAdrien Traveling Turnover (P3.T4)5
76.8%
4
23.2%
Q1 - 7:09MILAdrien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
75.3%
4
24.7%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot5
75.8%
4
24.2%
Q1 - 7:28MILAdrien Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)5
76.9%
4
23.1%
Q1 - 7:30MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
75.3%
4
24.7%
Q1 - 7:32MILMISS Sessions 5' Jump Shot5
76.4%
4
23.6%
Q1 - 7:46MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
75.3%
4
24.7%
Q1 - 7:52MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
76.9%
4
23.1%
Q1 - 7:54MILMISS Knight 20' Jump Shot5
76.4%
4
23.6%
Q1 - 8:07MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)5
75.8%
4
24.2%
Q1 - 8:21MILAdrien Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
73.1%
4
26.9%
Q1 - 8:21MILAdrien Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
73.5%
3
26.5%
Q1 - 8:27MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
74.4%
2
25.6%
Q1 - 8:28MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot2
74.9%
2
25.1%
Q1 - 8:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
75.9%
2
24.1%
Q1 - 8:37MILMISS Sessions 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
75.4%
2
24.6%
Q1 - 8:59MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
74.4%
2
25.6%
Q1 - 8:59MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
74.1%
2
25.9%
Q1 - 9:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
73.5%
2
26.5%
Q1 - 9:12MILMISS Adrien 4' Hook Shot0
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 9:25MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
72.0%
2
28.0%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 20
72.2%
2
27.8%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 20
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 9:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
73.5%
2
26.5%
Q1 - 9:40MILMISS Adrien Layup0
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 9:48MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
71.9%
2
28.1%
Q1 - 9:49MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot0
72.4%
2
27.6%
Q1 - 10:03MILAdrien 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
73.7%
2
26.3%
Q1 - 10:21MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
74.9%
0
25.1%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
75.3%
0
24.7%
Q1 - 10:39MILSessions Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
76.3%
0
23.7%
Q1 - 10:43MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
74.9%
0
25.1%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot0
75.3%
0
24.7%
Q1 - 10:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
76.3%
0
23.7%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Douglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
75.3%
0
24.7%
Q1 - 11:12MILAdrien Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
76.2%
0
23.8%
Q1 - 11:13MILAdrien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
75.1%
0
24.9%
Q1 - 11:14MILMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
75.9%
0
24.1%
Q1 - 11:34MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
75.1%
0
24.9%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
75.4%
0
24.6%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Pachulia vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
76.2%
0
23.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
MIL
0.73 36.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
31
58%
MIL
17
41
41%
Midrange
MIA
7
20
35%
MIL
6
24
25%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
MIL
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
17
21
81%
MIL
9
14
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh1454%7.0 / 13
T. Douglas1359%6.5 / 11
L. James1354%6.5 / 12
R. Lewis1354%6.5 / 12
J. Jones1083%5.0 / 6
C. Andersen840%4.0 / 10
J. Hamilton675%3.0 / 4
U. Haslem450%2.0 / 4
N. Cole425%2.0 / 8
S. Battier350%1.5 / 3
M. Beasley0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Sessions1544%7.5 / 17
B. Knight1336%6.5 / 18
J. Henson1250%6.0 / 12
K. Middleton1045%5.0 / 11
D. Stephens542%2.5 / 6
Z. Pachulia433%2.0 / 6
J. Adrien433%2.0 / 6
E. Udoh233%1.0 / 3
G. Antetokounmpo18%0.5 / 6
M. Raduljica150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+16
-11
87
MIL
69
+22
-14
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
MIL
0.73 36.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
103.2
MIA 107.3
MIL 80.7 +26.6
Pace
91.5
91.7
MIA 78.7
MIL 86.6 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.9
MIA 18.3
MIL 16.6 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
47.9%
MIA 48.0% +11.3%
MIL 36.7%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
MIA 13.5% +3.1%
MIL 16.6%
ORB %
20.6%
27.1%
MIA 37.8% +0.8%
MIL 37.0%
FTrt
30.0
27.4
MIA 28.4 +10.7
MIL 17.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
59.6%
MIA 56.3% +0.7%
MIL 55.6%
STL %
9.7%
7.1%
MIA 6.1%
MIL 7.2% +1.1%
BLK %
8.1%
8.2%
MIA 12.3% +4.5%
MIL 7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
50.4%
MIA 50.6% +14.2%
MIL 36.4%
Rim FG%
66.7%
54.2%
MIA 58.1% +16.6%
MIL 41.5%
Mid FG%
42.8%
38.3%
MIA 35.0% +10.0%
MIL 25.0%
3P %
36.4%
35.3%
MIA 30.4% +1.8%
MIL 28.6%
FT %
76.0%
74.7%
MIA 81.0% +16.7%
MIL 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
39.1%
MIA 41.9%
MIL 51.9% +10.0%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
37.9%
MIA 27.0% +3.4%
MIL 30.4%
3P Att. %
29.2%
23.1%
MIA 31.1% +13.4%
MIL 17.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions8283
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points8867
Rebounds4340
Assists1815
Steals56
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)14 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)23 (4)
Field Goals32-7427-79
At-the-Rim FG18-3117-41
Midrange FG7-206-24
2-Point FG25-5123-65
3-Point FG7-234-14
Free Throws17-219-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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4 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
38.5
13
59%
9
4
1
0
3
1
2
7
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
30.1
13
54%
7
2
0
0
4
1
2
5
2-4
50%
4-7
57%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G · 6'8" 218 · 33
26.7
10
83%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
Chris Bosh
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
25.9
14
54%
5
3
1
2
1
1
3
2
6-6
100%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
15.2
4
50%
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
27.4
4
25%
0
4
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
27.3
3
50%
3
2
0
3
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
22.3
8
40%
14
0
1
2
0
0
5
9
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
20.3
13
54%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24
3.1
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
Greg Oden
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Ray Allen
#34 · G · 6'5" 205 · 39
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
51%
43
18
5
8
11
0
14
29
17-21
81%
25-51
49%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.