FinalWin Prob.pScore
269%108
133
2031%101
102
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
127.910495.5
DEN logo DEN
99.0103113.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS133
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:21.0DENFournier 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)133
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)133
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)130
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENMISS Q. Miller 3' Driving Layup130
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASDiaw 4' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS)130
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)128
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENMISS Vesely Free Throw 2 of 2128
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENMISS Vesely Free Throw 1 of 2128
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)128
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)128
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16DENMISS Q. Miller 16' Jump Shot128
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24SASBaynes 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)128
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)126
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35DENMISS Q. Miller 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot126
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)126
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46SASQ. Miller BLOCK (3 BLK)126
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59DENQ. Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)126
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59DENQ. Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)126
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15SASBaynes Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T13)126
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26SASSpurs Rebound126
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27DENMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot126
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32DENVesely REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)126
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34SASRandolph BLOCK (1 BLK)126
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53DENBrooks Foul Turnover (P1.T12)126
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58SASDiaw 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS)126
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 3:20DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)124
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 3:20DENRandolph 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)124
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 3:21DENMISS Fournier 2' Layup124
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25SASQ. Miller STEAL (1 STL)124
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 3:41DENFournier 11' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)124
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 3:48DENFournier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)124
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49DENMISS Randolph 24' 3PT Jump Shot124
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:59DENVesely REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)124
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 4:02SASMISS Daye 2' Reverse Layup124
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 4:09DENRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)124
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 4:09DENRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)124
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)124
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:18SASMISS Daye 26' 3PT Jump Shot124
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:28DENRandolph 7' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)124
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44SASDiaw 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS)124
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07DENArthur Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)122
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 5:24SASJoseph 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)122
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 5:35DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)120
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 5:35DENFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)120
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43SASBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)120
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43SASBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)119
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:51SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)118
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:52DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot118
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 6:10SASBaynes 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Joseph 3 AST)118
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 6:33DENBrooks 11' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)116
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 6:42SASJoseph 11' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)116
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 6:58DENVesely 4' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)114
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 7:13SASDaye 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS)114
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 7:33DENArthur Foul Turnover (P3.T11)112
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 7:41SASJoseph 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)112
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 7:54SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)110
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 7:55SASMISS Joseph 1' Driving Layup110
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 8:17DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)110
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 8:17DENFaried 2' Putback Layup (18 PTS)110
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 8:19DENMISS Faried 2' Layup110
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:21DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)110
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:22DENMISS Foye 3' Jump Shot110
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:32SASDaye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)110
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:40SASDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)107
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:41DENMISS Vesely 4' Jump Hook Shot107
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:53DENNUGGETS Rebound107
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:53DENMISS Brooks 3' Layup107
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 9:04SASDaye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)107
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 9:18SASDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)104
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 9:19DENMISS Fournier 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 9:51SASDaye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Splitter 7 AST)104
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 9:55SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)101
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 9:56SASMISS Ginobili 17' Fadeaway Jumper101
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 10:17DENVesely Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)101
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 10:17DENMISS Vesely Free Throw 1 of 2101
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 10:25DENQ. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 10:27SASMISS Daye 18' Jump Bank Shot101
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 10:51DENQ. Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)101
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 10:58SASSplitter 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)101
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 11:10SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)99
99.5%
78
0.5%
Q4 - 11:12DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 299
99.5%
78
0.5%
Q4 - 11:12DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)99
99.5%
78
0.5%
Q4 - 11:18SASMills 4' Jump Shot (16 PTS)99
99.5%
77
0.5%
Q4 - 11:19SASMills REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)97
99.4%
77
0.6%
Q4 - 11:22SASVesely BLOCK (3 BLK)97
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 11:31DENVesely 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Faried 4 AST)97
99.4%
77
0.6%
Q4 - 11:39DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)97
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 11:41SASMISS Diaw 1' Driving Reverse Layup97
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 11:55DENBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)97
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 11:55DENMISS Brooks Free Throw 1 of 297
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN97
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)97
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup97
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENBrooks 24' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)97
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASSplitter 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)97
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)95
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0DENMISS Q. Miller 19' Jump Shot95
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASMills Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)95
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q3 - 1:06DENFaried 3' Layup (15 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)92
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q3 - 1:21SASMills 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)92
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q3 - 1:36DENArthur 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)90
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q3 - 1:49DENFournier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q3 - 1:51DENMISS Faried 15' Jump Bank Shot90
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q3 - 1:56DENNUGGETS Rebound90
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q3 - 1:57DENMISS Foye 4' Jump Shot90
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q3 - 1:59DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q3 - 2:00SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot90
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q3 - 2:16DENFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)90
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q3 - 2:16DENFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)90
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q3 - 2:19DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q3 - 2:20SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q3 - 2:34DENLawson 1' Layup (13 PTS)90
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q3 - 2:40SASLawson STEAL (4 STL)90
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q3 - 2:54SASAyres REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q3 - 2:56DENMISS Arthur 7' Jump Shot90
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q3 - 3:08SASMills 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)90
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q3 - 3:27DENArthur Foul Turnover (P2.T9)88
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q3 - 3:32DENNUGGETS Rebound88
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q3 - 3:33DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup88
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q3 - 3:42SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)88
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q3 - 3:42SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)87
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q3 - 3:59DENBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)86
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q3 - 3:59DENBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)86
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q3 - 4:05SASDiaw Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)86
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q3 - 4:18DENFournier 1' Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)86
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q3 - 4:32SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)86
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 4:46SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 4:47DENMISS Arthur 3' Driving Layup84
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q3 - 5:06SASDiaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)84
99.2%
59
0.8%
Q3 - 5:19DENFoye 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)81
99.0%
59
1.0%
Q3 - 5:25DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
99.1%
57
0.9%
Q3 - 5:27SASMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 181
99.1%
57
0.9%
Q3 - 5:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
99.0%
57
1.0%
Q3 - 5:40DENMISS Lawson 1' Driving Layup79
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q3 - 5:56SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
98.8%
57
1.2%
Q3 - 5:56SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)78
98.7%
57
1.3%
Q3 - 6:10DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)77
98.4%
57
1.6%
Q3 - 6:20SASMills Foul Turnover (P1.T9)77
98.8%
54
1.2%
Q3 - 6:27DENMozgov Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)77
99.0%
54
1.0%
Q3 - 6:40SASMills 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Leonard 6 AST)77
98.8%
54
1.2%
Q3 - 6:45DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)75
98.7%
54
1.3%
Q3 - 6:49DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
98.4%
54
1.6%
Q3 - 6:51SASMISS Leonard 18' Jump Shot75
98.5%
54
1.5%
Q3 - 7:01SASMills REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
98.5%
54
1.5%
Q3 - 7:02DENMISS Arthur 19' Jump Shot75
98.4%
54
1.6%
Q3 - 7:08DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
98.2%
54
1.8%
Q3 - 7:09DENMISS Foye 3PT Jump Shot75
98.4%
54
1.6%
Q3 - 7:22SASLeonard 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)75
98.2%
54
1.8%
Q3 - 7:26SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)73
97.9%
54
2.1%
Q3 - 7:27DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
97.8%
54
2.2%
Q3 - 7:41SASSplitter 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)73
97.6%
54
2.4%
Q3 - 7:45SASMills REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
97.2%
54
2.8%
Q3 - 7:46SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
96.9%
54
3.1%
Q3 - 7:59SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
97.2%
54
2.8%
Q3 - 8:01DENMISS Faried 2' Layup71
96.9%
54
3.1%
Q3 - 8:07DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
96.6%
54
3.4%
Q3 - 8:08SASMISS Splitter 2' Reverse Layup71
96.7%
54
3.3%
Q3 - 8:18DENFoye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Faried 3 AST)71
97.1%
54
2.9%
Q3 - 8:34SASBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)71
97.8%
51
2.2%
Q3 - 8:54DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
97.1%
51
2.9%
Q3 - 8:54DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 268
97.2%
50
2.8%
Q3 - 9:00DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
97.0%
50
3.0%
Q3 - 9:02SASMISS Leonard 7' Turnaround Jump Shot68
97.0%
50
3.0%
Q3 - 9:18DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)68
97.3%
50
2.7%
Q3 - 9:18DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)68
97.4%
49
2.6%
Q3 - 9:24SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Splitter 6 AST)68
97.6%
48
2.4%
Q3 - 9:49DENFoye 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Faried 2 AST)66
97.3%
48
2.7%
Q3 - 9:53DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
98.0%
45
2.0%
Q3 - 9:55SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot66
98.1%
45
1.9%
Q3 - 10:20DENFoye 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
98.2%
45
1.8%
Q3 - 10:40SASBelinelli 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Leonard 5 AST)66
98.4%
43
1.6%
Q3 - 10:45SASSpurs Rebound64
98.2%
43
1.8%
Q3 - 10:46SASQ. Miller BLOCK (2 BLK)64
98.0%
43
2.0%
Q3 - 10:47SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
98.2%
43
1.8%
Q3 - 10:48SASMISS Parker 6' Running Jump Shot64
98.0%
43
2.0%
Q3 - 10:51SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
98.2%
43
1.8%
Q3 - 10:53DENMISS Mozgov 2' Layup64
98.1%
43
1.9%
Q3 - 11:02DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
97.7%
43
2.3%
Q3 - 11:04SASMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
97.8%
43
2.2%
Q3 - 11:22DENMozgov Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T6)64
98.0%
43
2.0%
Q3 - 11:39SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)64
97.7%
43
2.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN62
97.4%
43
2.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)62
97.0%
43
3.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0DENFaried 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)62
97.1%
43
2.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
97.5%
41
2.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0DENMISS Faried 3' Running Layup62
97.7%
41
2.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASAyres Foul Turnover (P1.T7)62
97.5%
41
2.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
97.7%
41
2.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0DENMISS Faried 18' Jump Shot62
97.7%
41
2.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENVesely REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
97.5%
41
2.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 162
97.6%
41
2.4%
Q2 - 1:04SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
96.8%
41
3.2%
Q2 - 1:05DENMISS Vesely 5' Jump Hook Shot60
96.8%
41
3.2%
Q2 - 1:13SASGinobili 3' Driving Reverse Layup (3 PTS)60
96.6%
41
3.4%
Q2 - 1:30DENFoye 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
96.0%
41
4.0%
Q2 - 1:52SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Splitter 4 AST)58
97.0%
38
3.0%
Q2 - 2:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
95.8%
38
4.2%
Q2 - 2:09DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot55
95.6%
38
4.4%
Q2 - 2:17DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
95.3%
38
4.7%
Q2 - 2:18SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 155
95.3%
38
4.7%
Q2 - 2:21DENMozgov Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)53
94.7%
38
5.3%
Q2 - 2:44SASDuncan 5' Running Bank Shot (12 PTS)53
94.0%
38
6.0%
Q2 - 3:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
93.2%
38
6.8%
Q2 - 3:08SASMISS Leonard 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot51
92.5%
38
7.5%
Q2 - 3:25DENLawson 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)51
93.2%
38
6.8%
Q2 - 3:31DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
93.8%
36
6.2%
Q2 - 3:32SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup51
94.0%
36
6.0%
Q2 - 3:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
94.6%
36
5.4%
Q2 - 3:40DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
94.3%
36
5.7%
Q2 - 3:46DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
93.8%
36
6.2%
Q2 - 3:47SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
94.0%
36
6.0%
Q2 - 4:00SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
94.6%
36
5.4%
Q2 - 4:01DENMISS Mozgov 1' Putback Layup51
93.9%
36
6.1%
Q2 - 4:03DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
93.5%
36
6.5%
Q2 - 4:05DENMISS Faried 6' Jump Shot51
94.0%
36
6.0%
Q2 - 4:09DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
93.5%
36
6.5%
Q2 - 4:11SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot51
93.7%
36
6.3%
Q2 - 4:19SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
94.2%
36
5.8%
Q2 - 4:20DENMISS Faried 7' Jump Bank Shot51
94.0%
36
6.0%
Q2 - 4:44SASParker 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)51
93.5%
36
6.5%
Q2 - 4:59DENMozgov 2' Reverse Dunk (7 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)49
92.8%
36
7.2%
Q2 - 5:08SASSplitter Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)49
93.4%
34
6.6%
Q2 - 5:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
94.0%
34
6.0%
Q2 - 5:13DENMISS Mozgov 3' Layup49
93.8%
34
6.2%
Q2 - 5:32SASBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)49
93.4%
34
6.6%
Q2 - 5:41DENLawson 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)46
91.8%
34
8.2%
Q2 - 5:55SASBelinelli 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Splitter 3 AST)46
92.6%
32
7.4%
Q2 - 5:57SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
90.9%
32
9.1%
Q2 - 5:58SASMISS Parker 10' Running Jump Shot43
90.2%
32
9.8%
Q2 - 6:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
90.7%
32
9.3%
Q2 - 6:06DENMISS Foye 19' Jump Shot43
90.4%
32
9.6%
Q2 - 6:23SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)43
89.6%
32
10.4%
Q2 - 6:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
87.6%
32
12.4%
Q2 - 6:37DENMISS Fournier 3PT Jump Shot40
87.1%
32
12.9%
Q2 - 6:46SASParker 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)40
86.1%
32
13.9%
Q2 - 7:01DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
84.7%
32
15.3%
Q2 - 7:01DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 238
85.1%
31
14.9%
Q2 - 7:10DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
84.6%
31
15.4%
Q2 - 7:11SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot38
85.1%
31
14.9%
Q2 - 7:19SASSpurs Rebound38
86.1%
31
13.9%
Q2 - 7:19SASVesely BLOCK (2 BLK)38
85.1%
31
14.9%
Q2 - 7:32DENFournier 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
86.1%
31
13.9%
Q2 - 7:38DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
87.2%
29
12.8%
Q2 - 7:40SASVesely BLOCK (1 BLK)38
87.6%
29
12.4%
Q2 - 7:54SASSpurs Rebound38
88.5%
29
11.5%
Q2 - 7:55DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
88.1%
29
11.9%
Q2 - 8:17SASLeonard 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST)38
86.9%
29
13.1%
Q2 - 8:21SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
85.8%
29
14.2%
Q2 - 8:22DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
85.4%
29
14.6%
Q2 - 8:31SASBrooks STEAL (1 STL)36
84.4%
29
15.6%
Q2 - 8:51DENArthur Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)36
85.8%
29
14.2%
Q2 - 8:54SASLawson STEAL (3 STL)36
84.4%
29
15.6%
Q2 - 8:56SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
85.8%
29
14.2%
Q2 - 8:58DENMISS Brooks 7' Running Hook Shot36
85.4%
29
14.6%
Q2 - 9:12SASMills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
84.3%
29
15.7%
Q2 - 9:37DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
81.6%
29
18.4%
Q2 - 9:37DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 233
81.8%
28
18.2%
Q2 - 9:41DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
81.5%
28
18.5%
Q2 - 9:43DENMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
82.6%
28
17.4%
Q2 - 9:49DENVesely REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
81.5%
28
18.5%
Q2 - 9:51SASMISS Mills 20' Jump Shot33
81.9%
28
18.1%
Q2 - 10:11DENArthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)33
82.8%
28
17.2%
Q2 - 10:31DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
85.3%
25
14.7%
Q2 - 10:33SASMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
85.7%
25
14.3%
Q2 - 10:55DENFournier 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)33
86.7%
25
13.3%
Q2 - 11:04DENVesely REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
87.3%
23
12.7%
Q2 - 11:06SASMISS Mills 17' Jump Shot33
87.6%
23
12.4%
Q2 - 11:22SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
88.4%
23
11.6%
Q2 - 11:23DENMISS Arthur 1' Driving Dunk33
88.1%
23
11.9%
Q2 - 11:39SASDiaw 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)33
87.3%
23
12.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS31
86.3%
23
13.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
86.3%
23
13.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Arthur 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
85.5%
23
14.5%
Q1 - 0:18.0SASBelinelli 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)31
84.9%
23
15.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
82.0%
23
18.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENMISS Arthur 2' Layup28
81.7%
23
18.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASBelinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)28
80.9%
23
19.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
77.5%
23
22.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0DENMISS Arthur 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot25
77.1%
23
22.9%
Q1 - 1:00DENNUGGETS Rebound25
76.2%
23
23.8%
Q1 - 1:01SASMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot25
76.8%
23
23.2%
Q1 - 1:14DENFournier Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)25
77.6%
23
22.4%
Q1 - 1:18DENVesely REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
81.0%
20
19.0%
Q1 - 1:19DENMISS Lawson 5' Running Bank Shot25
81.7%
20
18.3%
Q1 - 1:31SASMills 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
81.0%
20
19.0%
Q1 - 1:39SASAyres REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
79.1%
20
20.9%
Q1 - 1:41DENMISS Randolph 3PT Jump Shot23
78.8%
20
21.2%
Q1 - 1:47SASLawson STEAL (2 STL)23
78.0%
20
22.0%
Q1 - 1:59SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
79.1%
20
20.9%
Q1 - 2:01DENMISS Randolph 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
78.9%
20
21.1%
Q1 - 2:25SASBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)23
77.9%
20
22.1%
Q1 - 2:33DENRandolph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
74.5%
20
25.5%
Q1 - 2:51SASBelinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)20
72.9%
20
27.1%
Q1 - 2:59SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
69.0%
20
31.0%
Q1 - 3:00DENMISS Arthur 3PT Jump Shot17
68.4%
20
31.6%
Q1 - 3:19SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
67.4%
20
32.6%
Q1 - 3:19SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 216
67.1%
20
32.9%
Q1 - 3:21SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
67.5%
20
32.5%
Q1 - 3:22DENMISS Mozgov 2' Slam Dunk16
66.9%
20
33.1%
Q1 - 3:34SASDuncan 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)16
65.4%
20
34.6%
Q1 - 3:46SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
63.5%
20
36.5%
Q1 - 3:47SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
61.9%
20
38.1%
Q1 - 3:55SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
63.5%
20
36.5%
Q1 - 3:57DENMISS Q. Miller 20' Jump Shot14
62.8%
20
37.2%
Q1 - 4:05SASMozgov STEAL (1 STL)14
61.9%
20
38.1%
Q1 - 4:22DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
64.2%
20
35.8%
Q1 - 4:22DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)14
64.8%
19
35.2%
Q1 - 4:23DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
65.9%
18
34.1%
Q1 - 4:25SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup14
66.6%
18
33.4%
Q1 - 4:41DENMozgov 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)14
68.0%
18
32.0%
Q1 - 5:01SASLeonard 1' Dunk (2 PTS)14
69.7%
16
30.3%
Q1 - 5:07DENFaried Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
68.1%
16
31.9%
Q1 - 5:13DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
66.2%
16
33.8%
Q1 - 5:14SASMISS Duncan 5' Running Jump Shot12
66.8%
16
33.2%
Q1 - 5:30DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
68.1%
16
31.9%
Q1 - 5:30DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
68.7%
15
31.3%
Q1 - 5:33DENQ. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
69.7%
14
30.3%
Q1 - 5:34SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
70.3%
14
29.7%
Q1 - 5:47DENFoye 9' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
71.6%
14
28.4%
Q1 - 5:57SASLawson STEAL (1 STL)12
73.1%
12
26.9%
Q1 - 5:59SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
74.8%
12
25.2%
Q1 - 6:01SASQ. Miller BLOCK (1 BLK)12
73.9%
12
26.1%
Q1 - 6:07SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
75.0%
12
25.0%
Q1 - 6:09DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot12
74.5%
12
25.5%
Q1 - 6:22SASSplitter 2' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)12
73.3%
12
26.7%
Q1 - 6:27SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
71.9%
12
28.1%
Q1 - 6:28SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot10
70.7%
12
29.3%
Q1 - 6:43SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
71.9%
12
28.1%
Q1 - 6:45SASMISS Parker 5' Running Jump Shot10
70.7%
12
29.3%
Q1 - 7:14DENFoye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
72.2%
12
27.8%
Q1 - 7:25SASDuncan 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)10
74.9%
9
25.1%
Q1 - 7:49DENMozgov 2' Alley Oop Dunk (3 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)8
73.7%
9
26.3%
Q1 - 7:54DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
74.9%
7
25.1%
Q1 - 7:56SASMISS Duncan 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
75.4%
7
24.6%
Q1 - 8:24DENFaried 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
76.8%
7
23.2%
Q1 - 8:45SASDuncan 6' Jump Bank Hook Shot (6 PTS)8
78.0%
5
22.0%
Q1 - 9:01SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
77.1%
5
22.9%
Q1 - 9:02DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 2 of 26
76.9%
5
23.1%
Q1 - 9:02DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
76.1%
5
23.9%
Q1 - 9:16SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)6
77.0%
4
23.0%
Q1 - 9:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
75.8%
4
24.2%
Q1 - 9:28DENMISS Q. Miller 3PT Jump Shot4
75.4%
4
24.6%
Q1 - 9:36DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
74.3%
4
25.7%
Q1 - 9:38SASMozgov BLOCK (1 BLK)4
74.8%
4
25.2%
Q1 - 9:50DENFaried 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)4
75.8%
4
24.2%
Q1 - 10:05SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)4
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 10:28DENLawson 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
75.9%
2
24.1%
Q1 - 10:34DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
77.0%
0
23.0%
Q1 - 10:35SASMISS Belinelli 17' Jump Shot2
77.4%
0
22.6%
Q1 - 10:38SASSpurs Rebound2
78.3%
0
21.7%
Q1 - 10:40SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot2
77.4%
0
22.6%
Q1 - 10:51SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
78.3%
0
21.7%
Q1 - 10:53DENMISS Mozgov 2' Slam Dunk2
77.9%
0
22.1%
Q1 - 11:19SASBelinelli 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
77.1%
0
22.9%
Q1 - 11:38DENMozgov Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
75.8%
0
24.2%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Mozgov vs. Duncan: Tip to Lawson0
74.7%
0
25.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.28 63.9%
DEN
0.97 48.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
25
42
60%
DEN
17
38
45%
Midrange
SAS
17
32
53%
DEN
12
26
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
13
19.5
24
54%
81%
DEN
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
Free Throws
SAS
10
14
71%
DEN
26
35
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Belinelli2790%13.5 / 15
T. Duncan2063%10.0 / 16
P. Mills1673%8.0 / 11
K. Leonard1464%7.0 / 11
B. Diaw1179%5.5 / 7
A. Daye1179%5.5 / 7
C. Joseph990%4.5 / 5
T. Splitter857%4.0 / 7
M. Ginobili739%3.5 / 9
A. Baynes660%3.0 / 5
T. Parker422%2.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Foye2071%10.0 / 14
K. Faried1853%9.0 / 17
E. Fournier1568%7.5 / 11
T. Lawson1350%6.5 / 13
A. Brooks857%4.0 / 7
D. Arthur831%4.0 / 13
T. Mozgov739%3.5 / 9
A. Randolph650%3.0 / 6
J. Vesely542%2.5 / 6
Q. Miller214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
90
+14
-14
104
DEN
91
+13
-12
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.28 63.9%
DEN
0.97 48.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
106.3
SAS 127.9
DEN 99.0 +28.9
Pace
95.2
97.8
SAS 95.5
DEN 113.0 +17.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.2
SAS 15.1
DEN 12.7 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
49.7%
SAS 62.8% +19.1%
DEN 43.7%
TO %
14.7%
15.7%
SAS 11.8%
DEN 10.5% +1.3%
ORB %
22.8%
27.5%
SAS 26.2% +6.2%
DEN 20.0%
FTrt
24.0
30.6
SAS 14.3
DEN 40.2 +25.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
58.4%
SAS 67.3% +24.4%
DEN 42.9%
STL %
7.7%
7.6%
SAS 5.8%
DEN 6.8% +1.0%
BLK %
7.7%
8.6%
SAS 15.6% +4.8%
DEN 10.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
52.2%
SAS 63.9% +15.3%
DEN 48.6%
Rim FG%
63.1%
57.6%
SAS 59.5% +14.8%
DEN 44.7%
Mid FG%
40.6%
36.2%
SAS 53.1% +6.9%
DEN 46.2%
3P %
39.7%
35.8%
SAS 54.2% +28.1%
DEN 26.1%
FT %
78.6%
72.6%
SAS 71.4%
DEN 74.3% +2.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.5%
40.2%
SAS 42.9%
DEN 43.7% +0.8%
Mid Att. %
37.8%
32.0%
SAS 32.7%
DEN 29.9% +2.8%
3P Att. %
25.7%
27.8%
SAS 24.5%
DEN 26.4% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions104103
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points133102
Rebounds5141
Assists3715
Steals67
Blocks108
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals55-9835-87
At-the-Rim FG25-4217-38
Midrange FG17-3212-26
2-Point FG42-7429-64
3-Point FG13-246-23
Free Throws10-1426-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 28
29.4
27
90%
1
2
1
2
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
6-9
67%
C · 6'11" 245 · 29
26.4
8
57%
12
7
0
0
1
4
4
8
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 23
22.9
14
64%
4
6
2
3
2
1
1
3
0-1
0%
4-8
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'11" 250 · 38
22.4
20
63%
8
4
1
2
0
2
1
7
2-3
67%
9-14
64%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 32
19.0
4
22%
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-9
22%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32
23.3
11
79%
6
5
1
0
4
1
0
6
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27
19.9
0
0%
2
0
0
2
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 23
19.6
9
90%
4
3
0
1
0
5
1
3
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
19.5
16
73%
6
3
0
0
1
2
3
3
1-1
100%
6-9
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 205 · 37
18.4
7
39%
3
4
0
0
2
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 220 · 26
11.2
11
79%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-4
75%
C · 6'10" 260 · 27
8.1
6
60%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27
#15 · C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
133
64%
51
37
6
10
14
0
11
40
10-14
71%
42-74
57%
13-24
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.