FinalWin Prob.pScore
2121%99
103
279%110
108
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
100.0103121.2
SAS logo SAS
106.910187.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN103
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)103
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2103
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2103
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)103
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)102
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)101
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup101
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)101
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 2 of 2101
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)101
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)101
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASDuncan 1' Layup (29 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)99
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 298
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 0:57.0DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 298
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)98
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 1:17SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)98
1.2%
104
98.8%
Q4 - 1:18DENLeonard BLOCK (3 BLK)98
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 1:24DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
2.4%
104
97.6%
Q4 - 1:25SASMISS Parker 1' Layup98
2.0%
104
98.0%
Q4 - 1:38SASSPURS Rebound98
1.7%
104
98.3%
Q4 - 1:40SASMISS Duncan 8' Running Jump Shot98
2.6%
104
97.4%
Q4 - 1:56DENFaried 5' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Brooks 8 AST)98
1.9%
104
98.1%
Q4 - 2:09SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)96
1.5%
104
98.5%
Q4 - 2:09SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)96
1.6%
103
98.4%
Q4 - 2:09SASSPURS Rebound96
2.1%
102
97.9%
Q4 - 2:10DENMISS Brooks 2' Layup96
2.5%
102
97.5%
Q4 - 2:15SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T21)96
3.8%
102
96.2%
Q4 - 2:33DENLawson Traveling Turnover (P5.T18)96
2.1%
102
97.9%
Q4 - 2:40SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)96
3.9%
102
96.1%
Q4 - 2:52SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
2.6%
102
97.4%
Q4 - 2:53DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
3.0%
102
97.0%
Q4 - 3:10SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (24 PTS)96
4.4%
102
95.6%
Q4 - 3:29SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
5.9%
100
94.1%
Q4 - 3:30DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 296
6.4%
100
93.6%
Q4 - 3:30DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)96
8.0%
100
92.0%
Q4 - 3:31SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T19)95
8.2%
100
91.8%
Q4 - 3:57DENArthur 19' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brooks 7 AST)95
5.3%
100
94.7%
Q4 - 4:16SASDuncan 2' Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (Splitter 5 AST)93
3.8%
100
96.2%
Q4 - 4:31DENFoye 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brooks 6 AST)93
5.2%
98
94.8%
Q4 - 4:45SASDuncan 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)91
3.7%
98
96.3%
Q4 - 5:02DENBrooks 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)91
6.3%
96
93.7%
Q4 - 5:12SASSplitter Reverse Layup (10 PTS)89
4.7%
96
95.3%
Q4 - 5:13SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
6.3%
94
93.7%
Q4 - 5:14SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
7.9%
94
92.1%
Q4 - 5:29DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)89
6.3%
94
93.7%
Q4 - 5:29DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)88
4.5%
94
95.5%
Q4 - 5:29DENFaried 1' Putback Layup (18 PTS)88
4.5%
94
95.5%
Q4 - 5:30DENMISS Faried 4' Jump Shot86
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 5:49SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)86
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q4 - 6:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)86
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 6:07DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
3.3%
94
96.7%
Q4 - 6:18SASParker Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)86
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 6:18SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)86
5.4%
93
94.6%
Q4 - 6:31DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)86
9.2%
90
90.8%
Q4 - 6:35DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
5.4%
90
94.6%
Q4 - 6:36SASMISS Belinelli 18' Jump Shot83
4.9%
90
95.1%
Q4 - 6:55DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q4 - 6:55DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)82
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 7:02SASGinobili 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)81
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 7:14DENBrooks 6' Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS)81
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 7:23DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q4 - 7:24SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup79
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 7:40DENLeonard STEAL (3 STL)79
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 7:46DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q4 - 7:47SASMISS Parker 9' Turnaround Jump Shot79
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 8:05DENArthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brooks 5 AST)79
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 8:24SASParker Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)76
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 8:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)76
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 8:29DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup76
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 8:36SASGinobili Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)76
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 8:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 8:44SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup76
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 9:00DENBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)76
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 9:08SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)73
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 9:20SASSPURS Rebound73
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 9:21DENMISS Arthur 17' Jump Shot73
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 9:29DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 9:30SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 9:48DENLawson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brooks 4 AST)73
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 9:54DENBrooks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 9:57SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup71
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 10:17DENFournier 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)71
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 10:21DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 10:23DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 10:31SASSplitter 2' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)69
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 10:35SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 10:36SASMISS Ginobili 12' Jump Bank Shot69
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 10:53SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 10:54DENMISS Faried 3' Jump Shot69
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 11:08SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)69
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 11:08SASDiaw 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)69
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 11:09SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 11:09SASMISS Diaw Putback Layup69
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 11:10SASMISS Diaw Layup69
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 11:25DENFaried 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)69
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 11:34SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)67
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 11:47DENDiaw STEAL (1 STL)67
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN67
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound67
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Brooks 13' Jump Shot67
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)67
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 167
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)67
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENDuncan STEAL (2 STL)67
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 1:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)67
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 1:06DENMISS Brooks 1' Layup67
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q3 - 1:12DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)67
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 1:13SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot67
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q3 - 1:34DENBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)67
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 1:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 1:42SASDuncan 2' Tip Shot (18 PTS)64
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 1:43SASMISS Diaw 2' Layup64
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 1:58DENFoye 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)64
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 2:09SASBelinelli Foul Turnover (P2.T13)62
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 2:24DENBrooks 11' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)62
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 2:39SASBelinelli 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)60
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 2:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)60
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 2:55DENMISS Arthur 19' Jump Shot60
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 3:09SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)60
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 3:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 3:26DENMISS Foye 23' Jump Shot60
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 3:32DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 3:33SASMISS Leonard 1' Layup60
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 3:43SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 3:44SASMISS Parker 8' Floating Jump Shot60
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 3:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 3:52DENMISS Brooks 3' Running Jump Shot60
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 4:00DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 4:01SASMISS Parker 8' Pullup Jump Shot60
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 4:20SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 4:21DENMISS Mozgov 5' Hook Shot60
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 4:32DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 4:33SASMISS Belinelli 20' Jump Shot60
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 4:52DENBrooks Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)60
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 5:06SASGinobili 9' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS)57
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 5:22DENBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 5:31DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 5:32SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot54
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 5:56DENFoye 1' Layup (4 PTS)54
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 6:01SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)52
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 6:03SASSPURS Rebound52
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 6:04SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 6:08SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 6:09SASMISS Leonard 1' Layup52
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 6:25DENArthur 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)52
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 6:48DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 6:48SASMISS Leonard 4' Jump Shot50
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 7:05DENArthur Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)50
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 7:08SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)50
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 7:24DENLeonard STEAL (2 STL)50
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 7:38SASParker 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Splitter 4 AST)50
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 7:57SASSPURS Rebound50
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 7:57DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)50
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 8:02DENQ. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 8:04SASMISS Splitter 2' Layup50
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 8:11DENDuncan STEAL (1 STL)50
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 8:18SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)50
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 8:33DENMozgov 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)50
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 8:47SASGinobili 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)48
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 8:54DENLeonard STEAL (1 STL)48
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 9:04SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)48
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 9:07DENSplitter STEAL (1 STL)48
1.5%
67
98.5%
Q3 - 9:23SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)48
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 9:36DENFoye 3' Layup (2 PTS)48
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q3 - 9:42DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
1.8%
65
98.2%
Q3 - 9:43SASMISS Ginobili 11' Jump Bank Shot46
1.7%
65
98.3%
Q3 - 10:05DENMozgov 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)46
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q3 - 10:20SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)44
1.4%
65
98.6%
Q3 - 10:34DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 10:34DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 1 of 243
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 10:53SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)43
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 11:05SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q3 - 11:06DENMISS Foye 18' Jump Shot43
1.6%
63
98.4%
Q3 - 11:24SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)43
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 11:39SASSPURS Rebound43
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q3 - 11:40DENMISS Lawson 17' Jump Shot43
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q3 - 11:46SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)43
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN43
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)43
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0SASDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q2 - 0:21.0DENMISS Q. Miller Free Throw 2 of 243
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q2 - 0:21.0DENQ. Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASMISS Daye 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
2.2%
60
97.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASMISS Daye 10' Jump Shot42
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q2 - 1:04DENParker STEAL (1 STL)42
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q2 - 1:08DENQ. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q2 - 1:09SASMISS Leonard 1' Layup42
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q2 - 1:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q2 - 1:27DENMISS Q. Miller 9' Jump Shot42
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q2 - 1:46SASSplitter Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)42
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q2 - 1:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
3.0%
58
97.0%
Q2 - 1:59DENMISS Faried 1' Layup42
3.1%
58
96.9%
Q2 - 2:23SASParker 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)42
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q2 - 2:39DENMozgov Layup (9 PTS)42
3.9%
56
96.1%
Q2 - 2:41DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
3.5%
56
96.5%
Q2 - 2:42DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
3.2%
56
96.8%
Q2 - 2:48DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
3.5%
56
96.5%
Q2 - 2:49SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot40
3.4%
56
96.6%
Q2 - 3:08DENLawson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)40
3.2%
56
96.8%
Q2 - 3:21SASSplitter Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)40
3.7%
56
96.3%
Q2 - 3:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
4.0%
54
96.0%
Q2 - 3:34DENMISS Faried 12' Running Bank Shot40
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q2 - 3:48DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
4.6%
54
95.4%
Q2 - 3:49SASMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 240
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q2 - 3:49SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)40
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q2 - 4:05DENFaried 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)40
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 4:19DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
4.2%
53
95.8%
Q2 - 4:20SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot38
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 4:33SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
3.8%
53
96.2%
Q2 - 4:34DENLeonard BLOCK (2 BLK)38
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 4:50SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)38
4.2%
53
95.8%
Q2 - 5:10DENBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
5.4%
50
94.6%
Q2 - 5:24SASDuncan Dunk (12 PTS) (Splitter 3 AST)35
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q2 - 5:35DENFaried 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)35
4.8%
48
95.2%
Q2 - 5:42DENQ. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
4.3%
48
95.7%
Q2 - 5:45SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Bank Shot33
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 6:06DENMozgov Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)33
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 6:10DENBrooks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 6:13SASMISS Mills 11' Jump Bank Shot33
4.4%
48
95.6%
Q2 - 6:41SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 6:42DENMISS Arthur 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 7:04DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
4.7%
48
95.3%
Q2 - 7:06SASMISS Mills 16' Jump Shot33
4.5%
48
95.5%
Q2 - 7:18DENFaried Foul Turnover (P2.T6)33
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 7:25SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
4.7%
48
95.3%
Q2 - 7:25SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
4.8%
47
95.2%
Q2 - 7:42DENQ. Miller Foul Turnover (P1.T5)33
5.1%
46
94.9%
Q2 - 7:48DENQ. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q2 - 7:50SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
5.1%
46
94.9%
Q2 - 7:50SASMISS Baynes 1' Tip Shot33
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q2 - 7:51SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q2 - 8:01SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
5.3%
46
94.7%
Q2 - 8:02DENMISS Brooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 8:07DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 8:09DENMISS Q. Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 8:13DENBrooks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 8:14DENMISS Brooks 9' Jump Shot33
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 8:24SASMills 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 8:46DENFaried 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)33
6.4%
44
93.6%
Q2 - 9:03SASBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)31
5.9%
44
94.1%
Q2 - 9:13DENMills STEAL (1 STL)31
7.1%
41
92.9%
Q2 - 9:20SASBelinelli Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)31
7.8%
41
92.2%
Q2 - 9:40SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
7.1%
41
92.9%
Q2 - 9:41DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 231
7.2%
41
92.8%
Q2 - 9:41DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
7.5%
41
92.5%
Q2 - 9:43DENBrooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
7.1%
41
92.9%
Q2 - 9:44DENMISS Brooks 7' Jump Shot30
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 9:53DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
7.1%
41
92.9%
Q2 - 9:54SASMISS Belinelli 8' Jump Shot30
6.9%
41
93.1%
Q2 - 10:21DENFournier Foul Turnover (P1.T3)30
6.5%
41
93.5%
Q2 - 10:37SASDiaw 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)30
7.3%
41
92.7%
Q2 - 10:55DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
7.9%
39
92.1%
Q2 - 10:55DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
7.7%
39
92.3%
Q2 - 11:15SASMills 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
7.4%
39
92.6%
Q2 - 11:23SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 11:24DENMISS Brooks 21' Jump Shot28
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q2 - 11:40SASBaynes 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)28
9.7%
36
90.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS28
10.5%
34
89.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound28
10.5%
34
89.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Belinelli 53' 3PT Jump Shot28
11.2%
34
88.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENFournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)28
10.8%
34
89.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0SASDaye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0DENBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
8.3%
34
91.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0DENBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
8.2%
34
91.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0DENBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
7.5%
34
92.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
7.3%
34
92.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
7.0%
34
93.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
7.3%
34
92.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
7.0%
34
93.0%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENMISS Arthur 11' Jump Shot23
7.1%
34
92.9%
Q1 - 1:12SASMills 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)23
7.5%
34
92.5%
Q1 - 1:24DENBrooks 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)23
8.4%
32
91.6%
Q1 - 1:32SASBaynes 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)21
7.5%
32
92.5%
Q1 - 1:48SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
8.4%
30
91.6%
Q1 - 1:49DENMISS Mozgov 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
8.5%
30
91.5%
Q1 - 2:03SASBelinelli 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)21
9.1%
30
90.9%
Q1 - 2:22DENArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
9.9%
28
90.1%
Q1 - 2:22DENArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
9.8%
28
90.2%
Q1 - 2:34SASDuncan 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)19
9.1%
28
90.9%
Q1 - 2:48DENMozgov 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)19
9.9%
26
90.1%
Q1 - 3:03SASGinobili 17' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q1 - 3:25SASSPURS Rebound17
9.8%
24
90.2%
Q1 - 3:25DENGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)17
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q1 - 3:28DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
10.7%
24
89.3%
Q1 - 3:29SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot17
10.4%
24
89.6%
Q1 - 3:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
9.8%
24
90.2%
Q1 - 3:39DENMISS Q. Miller 3PT Jump Shot17
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q1 - 3:54SASDuncan 15' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)17
10.7%
24
89.3%
Q1 - 4:13SASSPURS Rebound17
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 4:14DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)17
11.7%
22
88.3%
Q1 - 4:27SASParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)17
12.4%
22
87.6%
Q1 - 4:41DENQ. Miller Layup (10 PTS)17
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 4:53SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
10.6%
22
89.4%
Q1 - 4:53SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
10.7%
21
89.3%
Q1 - 5:02DENQ. Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)15
11.6%
20
88.4%
Q1 - 5:02DENQ. Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)14
11.4%
20
88.6%
Q1 - 5:15SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
10.8%
20
89.2%
Q1 - 5:36DENMozgov 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Q. Miller 2 AST)13
10.0%
20
90.0%
Q1 - 6:02SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)10
8.7%
20
91.3%
Q1 - 6:13DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)10
9.3%
18
90.7%
Q1 - 6:15DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
10.1%
18
89.9%
Q1 - 6:16DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
9.5%
18
90.5%
Q1 - 6:28SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
10.1%
18
89.9%
Q1 - 6:28SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
10.2%
17
89.8%
Q1 - 6:42SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
10.7%
16
89.3%
Q1 - 6:43DENMISS Mozgov 8' Jump Shot10
11.0%
16
89.0%
Q1 - 6:50DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
11.6%
16
88.4%
Q1 - 6:51SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup10
11.3%
16
88.7%
Q1 - 6:59DENGreen STEAL (1 STL)10
10.7%
16
89.3%
Q1 - 7:00DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.6%
16
88.4%
Q1 - 7:02SASMISS Parker 3' Layup10
11.3%
16
88.7%
Q1 - 7:09SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10.7%
16
89.3%
Q1 - 7:10DENMISS Lawson 13' Jump Shot10
11.0%
16
89.0%
Q1 - 7:22DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.6%
16
88.4%
Q1 - 7:24SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot10
11.3%
16
88.7%
Q1 - 7:48DENQ. Miller Layup (6 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)10
10.7%
16
89.3%
Q1 - 8:09SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)8
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 8:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 8:17DENMISS Q. Miller 18' Step Back Jump Shot8
11.7%
13
88.3%
Q1 - 8:37SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)8
12.2%
13
87.8%
Q1 - 8:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
13.8%
10
86.2%
Q1 - 8:45DENMISS Faried 8' Jump Bank Shot8
14.1%
10
85.9%
Q1 - 8:56SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)8
14.8%
10
85.2%
Q1 - 9:09DENQ. Miller 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)8
16.5%
7
83.5%
Q1 - 9:16SASSplitter Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)6
15.7%
7
84.3%
Q1 - 9:29DENFaried 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Q. Miller 1 AST)6
14.7%
7
85.3%
Q1 - 9:42SASSplitter Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 9:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.0%
7
87.0%
Q1 - 9:56DENMISS Q. Miller 14' Jump Shot4
13.2%
7
86.8%
Q1 - 10:15SASLeonard 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)4
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 10:29SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.7%
5
85.3%
Q1 - 10:30DENMISS Lawson 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
14.9%
5
85.1%
Q1 - 10:46SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST)4
15.6%
5
84.4%
Q1 - 11:00DENQ. Miller 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)4
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 11:18SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)2
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 11:38DENMozgov 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
17.2%
0
82.8%
Q1 - 11:41DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 11:42DENMISS Faried 6' Hook Shot0
15.6%
0
84.4%
Q1 - 11:56DENNuggets Rebound0
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 11:57DENLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)0
15.7%
0
84.3%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Mozgov: Tip to Faried0
16.2%
0
83.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.05 52.6%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
34
59%
SAS
20
36
56%
Midrange
DEN
11
30
37%
SAS
15
32
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
SAS
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
DEN
20
25
80%
SAS
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Brooks2566%12.5 / 19
K. Faried2460%12.0 / 20
T. Mozgov1470%7.0 / 10
Q. Miller1139%5.5 / 14
D. Arthur941%4.5 / 11
R. Foye844%4.0 / 9
T. Lawson735%3.5 / 10
E. Fournier5125%2.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2963%14.5 / 23
D. Green1680%8.0 / 10
T. Parker1050%5.0 / 10
T. Splitter10100%5.0 / 5
M. Ginobili1042%5.0 / 12
K. Leonard850%4.0 / 8
B. Diaw744%3.5 / 8
M. Belinelli744%3.5 / 8
P. Mills758%3.5 / 6
A. Baynes467%2.0 / 3
A. Daye0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
85
+12
-18
97
SAS
80
+16
-21
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.05 52.6%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
110.3
DEN 100.0
SAS 106.9 +6.9
Pace
97.8
95.2
DEN 121.2 +33.4
SAS 87.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.1
DEN 11.9 +4.5
SAS 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
53.7%
DEN 50.0%
SAS 53.4% +3.4%
TO %
15.7%
14.7%
DEN 16.1% +1.7%
SAS 17.8%
ORB %
27.5%
22.8%
DEN 23.1%
SAS 27.7% +4.6%
FTrt
30.6
24.0
DEN 30.1 +7.4
SAS 22.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
62.1%
DEN 57.9%
SAS 69.8% +11.9%
STL %
7.6%
7.7%
DEN 12.6% +1.7%
SAS 10.9%
BLK %
8.6%
7.7%
DEN 8.8%
SAS 9.4% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
56.0%
DEN 52.6%
SAS 55.7% +3.1%
Rim FG%
57.6%
63.1%
DEN 58.8% +3.2%
SAS 55.6%
Mid FG%
36.2%
40.6%
DEN 36.7%
SAS 46.9% +10.2%
3P %
35.8%
39.7%
DEN 36.8%
SAS 40.0% +3.2%
FT %
72.6%
78.6%
DEN 80.0% +10.0%
SAS 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
36.5%
DEN 41.0% +0.1%
SAS 40.9%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
37.8%
DEN 36.1% +0.2%
SAS 36.4%
3P Att. %
27.8%
25.7%
DEN 22.9% +0.2%
SAS 22.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions103101
Possession Minutes20.427.6
Points103108
Rebounds4343
Assists2230
Steals1311
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)30 (6)
Field Goals38-8343-88
At-the-Rim FG20-3420-36
Midrange FG11-3015-32
2-Point FG31-6435-68
3-Point FG7-198-20
Free Throws20-2514-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 5'11" 195 · 26
34.6
7
35%
4
7
1
0
5
2
1
3
3-4
75%
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 218 · 31
34.3
8
44%
4
2
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 228 · 24
33.8
24
60%
10
1
4
1
3
5
3
7
8-10
80%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 275 · 28
30.4
14
70%
11
0
1
2
3
1
3
8
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 210 · 21
22.1
11
39%
4
2
2
0
2
1
0
4
3-4
75%
4-10
40%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 161 · 29
31.0
25
66%
5
8
0
0
0
4
2
3
3-3
100%
5-12
42%
4-6
67%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
30.1
9
41%
4
1
4
3
2
4
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-5
20%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21
22.0
5
125%
1
1
1
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
· 6'10" 225 · 25
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26
F · 7'0" 242 · 24
G · 5'9" 180 · 30
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
53%
43
22
13
6
18
0
9
34
20-25
80%
31-64
48%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.