FinalWin Prob.pScore
351%96
83
1049%95
84
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
96.58687.6
IND logo IND
98.88583.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
0%
84
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound83
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot83
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)83
10.3%
84
89.7%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDMISS G. Hill Free Throw 2 of 283
9.2%
84
90.8%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDMISS G. Hill Free Throw 1 of 283
7.3%
84
92.7%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)83
4.2%
84
95.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDMISS West 18' Jump Shot80
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 0:36.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)80
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
2.9%
84
97.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0INDWest 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)80
9.0%
84
91.0%
Q4 - 1:11INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
29.6%
81
70.3%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot80
34.2%
81
65.8%
Q4 - 1:30INDTurner 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)80
46.7%
81
53.3%
Q4 - 1:47MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)80
57.7%
79
42.3%
Q4 - 2:02INDTurner 2' Layup (6 PTS)80
70.9%
79
29.1%
Q4 - 2:08MIATurner STEAL (1 STL)80
78.0%
77
22.0%
Q4 - 2:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
86.6%
77
13.4%
Q4 - 2:24INDMISS Hibbert 14' Jump Shot80
84.4%
77
15.6%
Q4 - 2:28INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
78.0%
77
22.0%
Q4 - 2:29INDMISS Turner 7' Jump Shot80
84.4%
77
15.6%
Q4 - 2:45INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
77.9%
77
22.1%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS James 2' Layup80
81.0%
77
19.0%
Q4 - 3:08INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)80
84.7%
77
15.3%
Q4 - 3:08INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 280
85.8%
76
14.2%
Q4 - 3:23MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
83.5%
76
16.5%
Q4 - 3:23MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)79
82.3%
76
17.7%
Q4 - 3:34MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
73.9%
76
26.1%
Q4 - 3:35INDMISS Turner 19' Jump Shot78
71.5%
76
28.5%
Q4 - 3:54INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
65.7%
76
34.3%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 178
66.9%
76
33.1%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
57.6%
76
42.4%
Q4 - 4:16INDMISS West 7' Jump Shot76
54.4%
76
45.6%
Q4 - 4:53MIAJames 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (38 PTS)76
47.0%
76
53.0%
Q4 - 5:01MIAWade Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)73
32.3%
76
67.7%
Q4 - 5:02INDStephenson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)72
25.4%
76
74.6%
Q4 - 5:19INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
31.5%
74
68.5%
Q4 - 5:20INDMISS George 19' Jump Shot72
37.3%
74
62.7%
Q4 - 5:42INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
31.5%
74
68.5%
Q4 - 5:43MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot72
33.9%
74
66.1%
Q4 - 6:05INDStephenson 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (West 5 AST)72
41.5%
74
58.5%
Q4 - 6:17INDPACERS Rebound72
48.0%
72
52.0%
Q4 - 6:19INDMISS G. Hill 3PT Jump Shot72
54.0%
72
46.0%
Q4 - 6:36INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
48.0%
72
52.0%
Q4 - 6:37MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
50.6%
72
49.4%
Q4 - 6:58INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)72
56.5%
72
43.5%
Q4 - 6:58INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)72
57.5%
71
42.5%
Q4 - 7:03INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)72
62.5%
70
37.5%
Q4 - 7:04INDMISS West 6' Jump Shot72
67.4%
70
32.6%
Q4 - 7:14INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
62.5%
70
37.5%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot72
64.7%
70
35.3%
Q4 - 7:24MIAHeat Rebound72
69.4%
70
30.6%
Q4 - 7:26INDMISS George 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
67.4%
70
32.6%
Q4 - 7:36MIAGeorge STEAL (3 STL)72
62.5%
70
37.5%
Q4 - 7:59MIAHeat Rebound72
69.5%
70
30.5%
Q4 - 8:00INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
62.5%
70
37.5%
Q4 - 8:00INDMISS Scola 1' Tip Shot72
67.4%
70
32.6%
Q4 - 8:02INDMISS George 3' Jump Shot72
66.1%
70
33.9%
Q4 - 8:17MIAWade Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P6.T16)72
62.1%
70
37.9%
Q4 - 8:35MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
68.0%
70
32.0%
Q4 - 8:36INDMISS George 16' Jump Shot72
66.2%
70
33.8%
Q4 - 8:47INDHibbert Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (20 PTS)72
62.1%
70
37.9%
Q4 - 8:47INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 272
63.5%
69
36.5%
Q4 - 8:47MIAJames Foul Turnover (P4.T15)72
68.0%
69
32.0%
Q4 - 8:56MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
73.4%
69
26.6%
Q4 - 8:58INDMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot72
71.8%
69
28.2%
Q4 - 9:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)72
66.9%
69
33.1%
Q4 - 9:14MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)71
65.7%
69
34.3%
Q4 - 9:36INDGeorge 1' Dunk (21 PTS)70
61.4%
69
38.6%
Q4 - 9:44INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
67.0%
67
33.0%
Q4 - 9:45MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot70
68.5%
67
31.5%
Q4 - 10:09INDTurner 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (George 4 AST)70
70.8%
67
29.2%
Q4 - 10:21MIACole Backcourt Turnover (P3.T14)70
75.3%
65
24.7%
Q4 - 10:22MIAHeat Rebound70
79.3%
65
20.7%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot70
76.5%
65
23.5%
Q4 - 10:55INDGeorge 1' Dunk (19 PTS) (G. Hill 4 AST)70
79.3%
65
20.7%
Q4 - 11:11MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)70
81.5%
63
18.5%
Q4 - 11:25INDMahinmi Foul Turnover (P1.T12)70
84.6%
63
15.4%
Q4 - 11:42MIAJames 6' Fadeaway Jumper (33 PTS)70
81.5%
63
18.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND68
78.1%
63
21.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound68
74.2%
63
25.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Sloan 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
77.0%
63
23.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
73.4%
63
26.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
74.6%
63
25.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0INDGeorge 2' Dunk (17 PTS) (Sloan 2 AST)68
77.1%
63
22.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)68
80.7%
61
19.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)67
80.0%
61
20.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
77.1%
61
22.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0INDMISS Turner 10' Jump Shot66
76.1%
61
23.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)66
73.5%
61
26.5%
Q3 - 1:11INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
64.0%
61
36.0%
Q3 - 1:11INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
64.8%
60
35.2%
Q3 - 1:30MIALewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)63
68.5%
59
31.5%
Q3 - 1:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
59.4%
59
40.6%
Q3 - 1:43INDMISS George 18' Jump Shot60
58.0%
59
42.0%
Q3 - 2:15MIAChalmers 1' Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)60
54.1%
59
45.9%
Q3 - 2:19INDG. Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)58
49.6%
59
50.4%
Q3 - 2:32MIAChalmers 17' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)58
44.8%
59
55.2%
Q3 - 2:46INDWest Foul Turnover (P1.T10)56
40.4%
59
59.6%
Q3 - 3:10MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)56
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 3:38INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (G. Hill 3 AST)53
28.9%
59
71.1%
Q3 - 4:02MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)53
36.6%
56
63.4%
Q3 - 4:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
33.6%
56
66.4%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup51
30.4%
56
69.6%
Q3 - 4:24MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
33.6%
56
66.4%
Q3 - 4:25INDMISS Stephenson 17' Jump Shot51
32.2%
56
67.8%
Q3 - 4:46INDPACERS Rebound51
29.1%
56
70.9%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot51
30.4%
56
69.6%
Q3 - 5:12INDWest 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST)51
33.8%
56
66.2%
Q3 - 5:29INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
37.1%
54
62.9%
Q3 - 5:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 151
37.7%
54
62.3%
Q3 - 5:33MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
33.8%
54
66.2%
Q3 - 5:35INDMISS George 3' Jump Shot49
32.5%
54
67.5%
Q3 - 5:58INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
29.7%
54
70.3%
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 249
30.2%
54
69.8%
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 249
32.4%
54
67.6%
Q3 - 6:10MIAHeat Rebound49
34.5%
54
65.5%
Q3 - 6:10INDMISS Hibbert 11' Jump Shot49
33.3%
54
66.7%
Q3 - 6:30MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T12)49
30.5%
54
69.5%
Q3 - 6:49INDGeorge 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)49
34.4%
54
65.6%
Q3 - 6:51INDPACERS Rebound49
37.7%
52
62.3%
Q3 - 6:52INDMISS Hibbert 3' Layup49
40.6%
52
59.4%
Q3 - 7:01MIAHibbert STEAL (1 STL)49
38.0%
52
62.0%
Q3 - 7:03INDStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)49
42.0%
52
58.0%
Q3 - 7:26MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)49
38.0%
52
62.0%
Q3 - 7:47INDStephenson 1' Layup (11 PTS) (West 4 AST)47
34.7%
52
65.3%
Q3 - 8:06INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
38.1%
50
61.9%
Q3 - 8:07MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot47
39.4%
50
60.6%
Q3 - 8:23INDG. Hill 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 3 AST)47
42.3%
50
57.7%
Q3 - 8:47MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T10)47
45.4%
48
54.6%
Q3 - 8:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
49.8%
48
50.2%
Q3 - 8:54INDMISS George 3PT Jump Shot47
48.4%
48
51.6%
Q3 - 9:14INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
45.7%
48
54.3%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot47
46.9%
48
53.1%
Q3 - 9:26INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)47
49.5%
48
50.5%
Q3 - 9:26INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)47
50.2%
47
49.8%
Q3 - 9:43MIAJames 1' Layup (22 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)47
53.0%
46
47.0%
Q3 - 9:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
49.5%
46
50.5%
Q3 - 9:49INDMISS G. Hill 1' Layup45
48.3%
46
51.7%
Q3 - 9:55INDPACERS Rebound45
45.7%
46
54.3%
Q3 - 9:56INDMISS Hibbert 2' Layup45
48.3%
46
51.7%
Q3 - 10:09INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
46.1%
46
53.9%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot45
47.2%
46
52.8%
Q3 - 10:30INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
49.7%
46
50.3%
Q3 - 10:30INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
50.1%
45
49.9%
Q3 - 10:46INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
53.2%
44
46.8%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot45
54.3%
44
45.7%
Q3 - 11:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
56.8%
44
43.2%
Q3 - 11:06INDMISS Stephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
55.7%
44
44.3%
Q3 - 11:26INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
53.3%
44
46.7%
Q3 - 11:26MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot45
54.4%
44
45.6%
Q3 - 11:40INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)45
56.8%
44
43.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
53.3%
44
46.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
56.2%
44
43.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDMISS George 19' Jump Shot45
55.4%
44
44.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)45
53.7%
44
46.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
49.7%
44
50.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
50.3%
43
49.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)43
53.7%
42
46.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
49.7%
42
50.3%
Q2 - 1:00INDMISS Hibbert 11' Jump Shot41
48.9%
42
51.1%
Q2 - 1:15MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)41
47.5%
42
52.5%
Q2 - 1:15MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)40
46.8%
42
53.2%
Q2 - 1:31INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
43.2%
42
56.8%
Q2 - 1:31INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
43.8%
41
56.2%
Q2 - 1:47MIABosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)39
47.5%
40
52.5%
Q2 - 2:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
41.0%
40
59.0%
Q2 - 2:10INDMISS George 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
40.1%
40
59.9%
Q2 - 2:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)36
38.0%
40
62.0%
Q2 - 2:25MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)35
37.3%
40
62.7%
Q2 - 2:33INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)34
35.1%
40
64.9%
Q2 - 2:33INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
32.3%
40
67.7%
Q2 - 2:34INDMISS Hibbert 16' Jump Shot34
34.2%
40
65.8%
Q2 - 2:57MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)34
32.3%
40
67.7%
Q2 - 2:57MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)33
31.7%
40
68.3%
Q2 - 3:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
30.7%
40
69.3%
Q2 - 3:09INDMISS Stephenson 18' Jump Shot32
29.8%
40
70.2%
Q2 - 3:24MIAJames 1' Layup (12 PTS)32
27.7%
40
72.3%
Q2 - 3:39INDHibbert 9' Jump Hook Shot (17 PTS) (West 2 AST)30
25.8%
40
74.2%
Q2 - 3:57INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
27.6%
38
72.4%
Q2 - 3:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
30.6%
38
69.4%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Tip Shot30
28.5%
38
71.5%
Q2 - 3:59MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Jump Shot30
28.5%
38
71.5%
Q2 - 4:08INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)30
31.1%
38
68.9%
Q2 - 4:08INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)30
31.6%
37
68.4%
Q2 - 4:27MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)30
33.5%
36
66.5%
Q2 - 4:42INDStephenson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (George 3 AST)28
31.1%
36
68.9%
Q2 - 4:58MIAGeorge STEAL (2 STL)28
36.1%
33
63.9%
Q2 - 5:13INDGeorge 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)28
39.2%
33
60.8%
Q2 - 5:23MIAWade 1' Dunk (10 PTS)28
42.1%
31
57.9%
Q2 - 5:25INDG. Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
39.2%
31
60.8%
Q2 - 5:37INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
36.7%
31
63.3%
Q2 - 5:38INDMISS West 10' Jump Shot26
38.4%
31
61.6%
Q2 - 6:01MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
36.8%
31
63.2%
Q2 - 6:01MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
36.2%
31
63.8%
Q2 - 6:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
34.8%
31
65.2%
Q2 - 6:15INDMISS Turner 12' Jump Shot24
33.9%
31
66.1%
Q2 - 6:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
31.8%
31
68.2%
Q2 - 6:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
31.3%
31
68.7%
Q2 - 6:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q2 - 6:43INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
27.2%
31
72.8%
Q2 - 6:43INDMISS Mahinmi 1' Tip Shot22
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q2 - 6:45INDMISS Stephenson 20' Jump Shot22
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q2 - 6:56INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
27.2%
31
72.8%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot22
28.0%
31
72.0%
Q2 - 7:05INDTurner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
30.5%
31
69.5%
Q2 - 7:06INDPACERS Rebound22
28.0%
31
72.0%
Q2 - 7:07INDMISS Turner 9' Jump Shot22
29.7%
31
70.3%
Q2 - 7:24MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)22
28.0%
31
72.0%
Q2 - 7:38MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
28.7%
31
71.3%
Q2 - 7:56INDStephenson 31' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 8:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)22
35.2%
28
64.8%
Q2 - 8:36INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)22
37.7%
28
62.3%
Q2 - 9:00MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
35.2%
28
64.8%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 221
34.6%
28
65.4%
Q2 - 9:16INDMahinmi 2' Layup (2 PTS)21
35.8%
28
64.2%
Q2 - 9:28INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
38.0%
26
62.0%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot21
38.8%
26
61.2%
Q2 - 9:37MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
40.5%
26
59.5%
Q2 - 9:38INDMISS Stephenson 19' Jump Shot21
39.7%
26
60.3%
Q2 - 9:52MIACole 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
38.0%
26
62.0%
Q2 - 10:12MIAHeat Rebound19
36.1%
26
63.9%
Q2 - 10:13INDMISS Mahinmi 1' Layup19
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q2 - 10:19MIASloan STEAL (1 STL)19
33.4%
26
66.6%
Q2 - 10:35INDStephenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sloan 1 AST)19
36.1%
26
63.9%
Q2 - 10:52INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
40.4%
23
59.6%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 219
40.7%
23
59.3%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 219
42.3%
23
57.7%
Q2 - 11:01MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
43.1%
23
56.9%
Q2 - 11:03INDMISS Scola Layup19
42.4%
23
57.6%
Q2 - 11:05INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
40.7%
23
59.3%
Q2 - 11:06INDMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot19
42.4%
23
57.6%
Q2 - 11:23MIAWade 18' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)19
40.6%
23
59.4%
Q2 - 11:31MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
38.5%
23
61.5%
Q2 - 11:33INDMISS Scola Layup17
37.7%
23
62.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
36.0%
23
64.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound17
38.5%
23
61.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 50' 3PT Jump Shot17
36.8%
23
63.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
38.3%
23
61.7%
Q1 - 0:05.0INDMISS Turner 17' Jump Shot17
37.8%
23
62.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
36.7%
23
63.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 216
36.2%
23
63.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0INDTurner 1' Layup (2 PTS)16
36.1%
23
63.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
38.9%
21
61.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0INDMISS Sloan 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
40.1%
21
59.9%
Q1 - 1:06MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)16
39.3%
21
60.7%
Q1 - 1:06MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)15
38.8%
21
61.2%
Q1 - 1:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
36.6%
21
63.4%
Q1 - 1:15INDMISS Hibbert 17' Jump Shot14
36.1%
21
63.9%
Q1 - 1:32MIAJames 2' Layup (6 PTS)14
35.0%
21
65.0%
Q1 - 1:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
32.4%
21
67.6%
Q1 - 1:47INDMISS West 9' Jump Shot12
31.9%
21
68.1%
Q1 - 2:07MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)12
31.1%
21
68.9%
Q1 - 2:16MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
32.9%
21
67.1%
Q1 - 2:16INDMISS George 16' Jump Shot12
32.4%
21
67.6%
Q1 - 2:29INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
31.1%
21
68.9%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot12
31.6%
21
68.4%
Q1 - 2:55INDHibbert 2' Layup (13 PTS)12
32.9%
21
67.1%
Q1 - 3:16MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)12
35.2%
19
64.8%
Q1 - 3:44INDGeorge 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
37.4%
19
62.6%
Q1 - 4:11MIAJames 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)12
41.7%
16
58.3%
Q1 - 4:15INDHibbert Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)10
39.9%
16
60.1%
Q1 - 4:37INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
37.6%
16
62.4%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot10
38.3%
16
61.7%
Q1 - 4:58INDHibbert 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (West 1 AST)10
39.9%
16
60.1%
Q1 - 5:10MIAAndersen 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)10
42.0%
14
58.0%
Q1 - 5:23INDGeorge Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
40.2%
14
59.8%
Q1 - 5:27MIAGeorge STEAL (1 STL)8
38.1%
14
61.9%
Q1 - 5:34INDStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
40.2%
14
59.8%
Q1 - 5:36INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
38.1%
14
61.9%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
38.7%
14
61.3%
Q1 - 5:57INDHibbert Reverse Layup (9 PTS)8
40.2%
14
59.8%
Q1 - 6:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
42.4%
12
57.6%
Q1 - 6:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
44.5%
12
55.5%
Q1 - 6:20INDMISS West 2' Layup8
43.8%
12
56.2%
Q1 - 6:38INDPACERS Rebound8
42.3%
12
57.7%
Q1 - 6:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
44.5%
12
55.5%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Tip Shot8
43.0%
12
57.0%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Shot8
43.0%
12
57.0%
Q1 - 6:56INDHibbert 11' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)8
44.4%
12
55.6%
Q1 - 7:10INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
46.3%
10
53.7%
Q1 - 7:11MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot8
47.0%
10
53.0%
Q1 - 7:26INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)8
48.5%
10
51.5%
Q1 - 7:39INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
52.0%
7
48.0%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot8
52.6%
7
47.4%
Q1 - 8:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
54.2%
7
45.8%
Q1 - 8:01INDMISS G. Hill 20' Jump Shot8
53.6%
7
46.4%
Q1 - 8:13INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
52.2%
7
47.8%
Q1 - 8:14INDMISS Stephenson 2' Layup8
53.6%
7
46.4%
Q1 - 8:37MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
52.2%
7
47.8%
Q1 - 8:55INDGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)6
50.5%
7
49.5%
Q1 - 9:00INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
54.0%
4
46.0%
Q1 - 9:01INDMISS West Layup6
55.5%
4
44.5%
Q1 - 9:11MIAStephenson STEAL (1 STL)6
54.1%
4
45.9%
Q1 - 9:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
56.1%
4
43.9%
Q1 - 9:15INDMISS George 2' Layup6
55.5%
4
44.5%
Q1 - 9:30MIAJames 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
54.1%
4
45.9%
Q1 - 9:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
52.5%
4
47.5%
Q1 - 9:43INDMISS Hibbert 19' Jump Shot4
51.9%
4
48.1%
Q1 - 10:05MIAOden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 10:05MIAOden 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)4
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 10:06MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot2
47.8%
4
52.2%
Q1 - 10:20INDWest 2' Layup (2 PTS) (George 1 AST)2
49.1%
4
50.9%
Q1 - 10:30INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
51.2%
2
48.8%
Q1 - 10:47INDHibbert 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
52.5%
2
47.5%
Q1 - 11:04MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
54.0%
0
46.0%
Q1 - 11:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 11:15INDMISS West 5' Jump Shot0
51.7%
0
48.3%
Q1 - 11:40INDPACERS Rebound0
50.7%
0
49.3%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
51.2%
0
48.8%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
52.2%
0
47.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.2%
IND
0.90 45.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
17
71%
IND
13
28
46%
Midrange
MIA
10
25
40%
IND
10
39
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
IND
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
21
29
72%
IND
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3873%19.0 / 26
D. Wade1558%7.5 / 13
C. Bosh836%4.0 / 11
M. Chalmers521%2.5 / 12
N. Cole583%2.5 / 3
R. Lewis583%2.5 / 3
C. Andersen375%1.5 / 2
G. Oden2100%1.0 / 1
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George2355%11.5 / 21
R. Hibbert2158%10.5 / 18
L. Stephenson1563%7.5 / 12
D. West1346%6.5 / 14
E. Turner840%4.0 / 10
G. Hill220%1.0 / 5
I. Mahinmi233%1.0 / 3
L. Scola0-0.0 / 5
D. Sloan0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
68
+8
-18
76
IND
75
+16
-10
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.2%
IND
0.90 45.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
104.5
MIA 96.5
IND 98.8 +2.3
Pace
91.5
92.2
MIA 87.6 +4.1
IND 83.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.1
MIA 16.4 +0.8
IND 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
49.0%
MIA 50.8% +9.4%
IND 41.4%
TO %
15.4%
15.6%
MIA 20.5%
IND 11.7% +8.8%
ORB %
20.6%
24.9%
MIA 16.1%
IND 25.6% +9.5%
FTrt
30.0
29.0
MIA 47.5 +21.6
IND 25.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
56.0%
MIA 46.4%
IND 60.0% +13.6%
STL %
9.7%
7.3%
MIA 7.0%
IND 9.4% +2.4%
BLK %
8.1%
8.5%
MIA 13.4% +13.4%
IND 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
52.0%
MIA 53.2% +8.0%
IND 45.2%
Rim FG%
66.7%
56.4%
MIA 70.6% +24.2%
IND 46.4%
Mid FG%
42.8%
41.0%
MIA 40.0% +14.4%
IND 25.6%
3P %
36.4%
35.7%
MIA 31.6%
IND 50.0% +18.4%
FT %
76.0%
77.9%
MIA 72.4%
IND 81.0% +8.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
33.3%
MIA 27.9%
IND 34.6% +6.7%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
43.3%
MIA 41.0% +7.2%
IND 48.1%
3P Att. %
29.2%
23.5%
MIA 31.1% +13.9%
IND 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points8384
Rebounds3737
Assists1318
Steals68
Blocks90
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)10 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)26 (3)
Field Goals28-6130-81
At-the-Rim FG12-1713-28
Midrange FG10-2510-39
2-Point FG22-4223-67
3-Point FG6-197-14
Free Throws21-2917-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
43.4
38
73%
8
5
0
0
6
3
0
8
14-15
93%
9-13
69%
2-6
33%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
39.9
5
21%
5
2
1
0
2
3
2
3
1-4
25%
2-7
29%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
31.6
15
58%
4
1
1
1
6
2
0
4
3-6
50%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 30
26.0
8
36%
4
1
3
2
1
5
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-6
33%
C · 7'0" 273 · 26
6.2
2
100%
1
0
0
2
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
25.2
5
83%
3
3
0
0
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
24.3
5
83%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
20.9
2
33%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
18.7
3
75%
4
0
0
3
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · G · 6'5" 205 · 39
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
53%
37
13
6
9
18
0
5
32
21-29
72%
22-42
52%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.