FinalWin Prob.pScore
365%102
95
2035%97
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.08893.7
NOP logo NOP
119.38883.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PelicansHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PelicansHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOP
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0NOPEvans 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)95
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 0:53.0NOPAjinca Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0NOPMISS Ajinca Free Throw 1 of 292
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0NOPAjinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAHeat Rebound92
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 1:12NOPPELICANS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#8)92
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 1:12NOPPELICANS Rebound92
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 292
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 292
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 1:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 1:19NOPMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot92
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 1:42NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)92
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 1:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 1:53NOPMISS Davis 3' Putback Layup92
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 1:55NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 1:57NOPMISS Roberts 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 2:17MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)92
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 2:26NOPDavis Foul Turnover (P1.T7)89
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 2:44NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot89
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 3:02NOPDavis 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Roberts 6 AST)89
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 3:19MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)89
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 3:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 3:28NOPMISS Aminu 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 3:45MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)86
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 3:45MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)85
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 3:54NOPEvans 20' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 4:21MIAHaslem 2' Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)84
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 4:33NOPRivers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 4:33NOPRivers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)82
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 4:45NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot82
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 5:04NOPAjinca 1' Reverse Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Morrow 2 AST)82
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 5:18MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q4 - 5:18MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)81
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 5:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 5:27NOPMISS Rivers 3' Driving Layup80
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 5:43NOPAjinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 5:58NOPAjinca 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Aminu 2 AST)80
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 6:16MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q4 - 6:16MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
3.6%
92
96.4%
Q4 - 6:23NOPDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)78
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q4 - 6:43NOPMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
5.0%
89
95.0%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
5.5%
89
94.5%
Q4 - 7:09NOPRivers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)78
9.2%
89
90.8%
Q4 - 7:32NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
11.4%
87
88.6%
Q4 - 7:34MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)78
12.4%
87
87.6%
Q4 - 7:47NOPAminu 4' Driving Layup (12 PTS)78
14.8%
87
85.2%
Q4 - 8:03NOPAjinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
21.4%
85
78.6%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot78
22.7%
85
77.3%
Q4 - 8:27NOPMorrow Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)78
25.8%
85
74.2%
Q4 - 8:48MIAJames 1' Driving Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)78
21.1%
85
78.9%
Q4 - 9:01NOPMorrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rivers 2 AST)76
19.8%
85
80.2%
Q4 - 9:07MIAAminu STEAL (1 STL)76
28.4%
82
71.6%
Q4 - 9:29NOPBabbitt 6' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)76
33.4%
82
66.6%
Q4 - 9:52MIAAndersen 2' Layup (5 PTS) (James 9 AST)76
38.9%
80
61.1%
Q4 - 10:07MIAHeat Rebound74
35.3%
80
64.7%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot74
31.8%
80
68.2%
Q4 - 10:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
35.3%
80
64.7%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot74
31.8%
80
68.2%
Q4 - 10:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
35.3%
80
64.7%
Q4 - 10:22NOPMISS Ajinca 12' Jump Shot74
33.7%
80
66.3%
Q4 - 10:46MIABeasley 4' Layup (16 PTS) (James 8 AST)74
30.2%
80
69.8%
Q4 - 11:07NOPRivers 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)72
27.3%
80
72.7%
Q4 - 11:17NOPMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
31.6%
78
68.4%
Q4 - 11:18MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
33.0%
78
67.0%
Q4 - 11:35NOPAjinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
36.5%
78
63.5%
Q4 - 11:35NOPAjinca 1' Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)72
36.5%
78
63.5%
Q4 - 11:36NOPMISS Morrow 5' Jump Shot72
45.2%
76
54.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOP72
41.5%
76
58.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)72
41.5%
76
58.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0NOPPELICANS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)70
38.1%
76
61.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIABeasley 1' Layup (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)70
33.5%
76
66.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
28.9%
76
71.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0NOPMISS Morrow 17' Jump Shot68
27.7%
76
72.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)68
25.0%
76
75.0%
Q3 - 1:09NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
30.7%
76
69.3%
Q3 - 1:09NOPDavis 2' Putback Slam Dunk (25 PTS)68
30.7%
76
69.3%
Q3 - 1:10NOPMISS Rivers 1' Layup68
38.2%
74
61.8%
Q3 - 1:24NOPMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
35.1%
74
64.9%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot68
36.4%
74
63.6%
Q3 - 1:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
39.5%
74
60.5%
Q3 - 1:40NOPMISS Morrow 3' Layup68
38.1%
74
61.9%
Q3 - 1:45MIAEvans STEAL (2 STL)68
35.0%
74
65.0%
Q3 - 1:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)68
39.4%
74
60.6%
Q3 - 1:53NOPMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot68
38.1%
74
61.9%
Q3 - 2:14MIABosh 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)68
36.4%
74
63.6%
Q3 - 2:36NOPEvans 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
32.3%
74
67.7%
Q3 - 2:49NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
36.3%
72
63.7%
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
37.6%
72
62.4%
Q3 - 3:12NOPMorrow 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Roberts 5 AST)66
42.5%
72
57.5%
Q3 - 3:22NOPAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
51.0%
69
49.0%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot66
52.4%
69
47.6%
Q3 - 3:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
55.7%
69
44.3%
Q3 - 3:35NOPMISS Roberts 18' Jump Shot66
54.3%
69
45.7%
Q3 - 3:55MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)66
50.9%
69
49.1%
Q3 - 4:10NOPDavis 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Roberts 4 AST)64
48.1%
69
51.9%
Q3 - 4:23MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)64
51.4%
67
48.6%
Q3 - 4:23MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)63
50.5%
67
49.5%
Q3 - 4:33MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
48.0%
67
52.0%
Q3 - 4:34NOPMISS Babbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
46.4%
67
53.6%
Q3 - 4:54MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 6 AST)62
42.8%
67
57.2%
Q3 - 5:19NOPRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Babbitt 2 AST)59
36.3%
67
63.7%
Q3 - 5:42MIABosh 1' Layup (8 PTS)59
43.6%
64
56.4%
Q3 - 5:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
40.2%
64
59.8%
Q3 - 5:54NOPMISS Babbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
38.8%
64
61.2%
Q3 - 6:06MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)57
37.4%
64
62.6%
Q3 - 6:23NOPDavis 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Evans 8 AST)57
41.6%
64
58.4%
Q3 - 6:43MIAJames 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)57
45.0%
62
55.0%
Q3 - 6:53NOPBabbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Evans 7 AST)55
41.5%
62
58.5%
Q3 - 7:01NOPAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
49.7%
59
50.3%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
50.9%
59
49.1%
Q3 - 7:17NOPAminu 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)55
53.8%
59
46.2%
Q3 - 7:37MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
57.3%
57
42.7%
Q3 - 8:01NOPDavis 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Roberts 3 AST)52
50.8%
57
49.2%
Q3 - 8:26NOPPELICANS Rebound52
53.9%
55
46.1%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
55.2%
55
44.8%
Q3 - 8:34NOPDavis 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Evans 6 AST)52
58.1%
55
41.9%
Q3 - 8:56MIABosh 2' Layup (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)52
61.2%
53
38.8%
Q3 - 9:08NOPEvans Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)50
58.4%
53
41.6%
Q3 - 9:24MIAChalmers 3' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)50
65.2%
50
34.8%
Q3 - 9:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
61.9%
50
38.1%
Q3 - 9:36NOPMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 248
61.4%
50
38.6%
Q3 - 9:36NOPEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
59.0%
50
41.0%
Q3 - 9:45NOPEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
61.7%
49
38.3%
Q3 - 9:48NOPMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot48
64.2%
49
35.8%
Q3 - 10:02MIADavis STEAL (3 STL)48
62.7%
49
37.3%
Q3 - 10:16NOPBabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Evans 5 AST)48
66.0%
49
34.0%
Q3 - 10:34MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 4 AST)48
72.0%
46
28.0%
Q3 - 10:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
65.9%
46
34.1%
Q3 - 10:44NOPMISS Aminu 17' Jump Shot45
64.9%
46
35.1%
Q3 - 11:07MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)45
63.4%
46
36.6%
Q3 - 11:18NOPDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)43
60.2%
46
39.8%
Q3 - 11:18NOPMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 243
60.8%
45
39.2%
Q3 - 11:40NOPBabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
60.1%
45
39.9%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Douglas 3PT Jump Shot43
61.1%
45
38.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOP43
63.5%
45
36.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)43
60.1%
45
39.9%
Q2 - 0:18.0NOPDavis 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Roberts 2 AST)41
57.1%
45
42.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)41
61.1%
43
38.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
53.9%
43
46.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0NOPDavis Putback Dunk (12 PTS)38
53.9%
43
46.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0NOPMISS Evans 1' Layup38
59.6%
41
40.4%
Q2 - 1:04MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T11)38
58.6%
41
41.4%
Q2 - 1:23NOPRoberts 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
60.5%
41
39.5%
Q2 - 1:53MIABeasley 3' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)38
67.5%
38
32.5%
Q2 - 2:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
63.5%
38
36.5%
Q2 - 2:02NOPMISS Roberts 9' Jump Shot36
63.5%
38
36.5%
Q2 - 2:21MIABeasley 19' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 2 AST)36
61.4%
38
38.6%
Q2 - 2:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
58.5%
38
41.5%
Q2 - 2:27NOPMISS Babbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
57.5%
38
42.5%
Q2 - 2:55MIABosh 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)34
55.4%
38
44.6%
Q2 - 3:08NOPBabbitt Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
53.7%
38
46.3%
Q2 - 3:31MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)32
50.1%
38
49.9%
Q2 - 3:32MIAHeat Rebound30
47.7%
38
52.3%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
45.2%
38
54.8%
Q2 - 3:44MIAHeat Rebound30
47.6%
38
52.4%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot30
45.1%
38
54.9%
Q2 - 4:19NOPAminu 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Evans 4 AST)30
48.4%
38
51.6%
Q2 - 4:25MIARivers STEAL (2 STL)30
51.2%
36
48.8%
Q2 - 4:41NOPEvans 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)30
54.2%
36
45.8%
Q2 - 4:48NOPRivers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
56.9%
34
43.1%
Q2 - 4:49NOPMISS Babbitt 18' Jump Shot30
59.0%
34
41.0%
Q2 - 5:04MIABeasley 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)30
57.7%
34
42.3%
Q2 - 5:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
54.7%
34
45.3%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Jump Shot28
52.9%
34
47.1%
Q2 - 5:31NOPDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
54.7%
34
45.3%
Q2 - 5:31NOPDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)28
55.2%
33
44.8%
Q2 - 5:47NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
57.6%
32
42.4%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Beasley 9' Turnaround Jump Shot28
58.4%
32
41.6%
Q2 - 6:06NOPEvans 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Morrow 1 AST)28
60.9%
32
39.1%
Q2 - 6:11NOPMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
63.0%
30
37.0%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot28
63.9%
30
36.1%
Q2 - 6:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
66.0%
30
34.0%
Q2 - 6:24NOPMISS Evans 10' Jump Shot28
65.1%
30
34.9%
Q2 - 6:41MIABeasley 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)28
63.0%
30
37.0%
Q2 - 6:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
60.9%
30
39.1%
Q2 - 6:52NOPMISS Morrow 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
59.9%
30
40.1%
Q2 - 7:11NOPBabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
58.4%
30
41.6%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Battier 3' Driving Layup26
59.3%
30
40.7%
Q2 - 7:38MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
61.2%
30
38.8%
Q2 - 7:39NOPMISS Morrow 12' Jump Shot26
60.4%
30
39.6%
Q2 - 7:55NOPEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
58.3%
30
41.7%
Q2 - 7:56NOPMISS Morrow 19' Jump Shot26
60.4%
30
39.6%
Q2 - 8:02MIARivers STEAL (1 STL)26
58.8%
30
41.2%
Q2 - 8:27NOPMorrow 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Evans 3 AST)26
61.3%
30
38.7%
Q2 - 8:29NOPPELICANS Rebound26
63.7%
28
36.3%
Q2 - 8:30NOPMISS Davis 2' Driving Reverse Layup26
65.4%
28
34.6%
Q2 - 9:00MIABeasley 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)26
63.7%
28
36.3%
Q2 - 9:18NOPAminu 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Rivers 1 AST)24
61.9%
28
38.1%
Q2 - 9:24NOPAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)24
64.1%
26
35.9%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMISS Battier 4' Jump Shot24
64.8%
26
35.2%
Q2 - 9:35NOPAminu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
66.5%
26
33.5%
Q2 - 9:51MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)24
64.1%
26
35.9%
Q2 - 10:09NOPAminu 2' Layup (4 PTS)22
62.0%
26
38.0%
Q2 - 10:15NOPStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
63.9%
24
36.1%
Q2 - 10:17MIAWithey BLOCK (1 BLK)22
64.7%
24
35.3%
Q2 - 10:31MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
66.5%
24
33.5%
Q2 - 10:32NOPMISS Aminu 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
65.7%
24
34.3%
Q2 - 10:44NOPWithey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
63.9%
24
36.1%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot22
64.7%
24
35.3%
Q2 - 11:04NOPMorrow 13' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
66.3%
24
33.7%
Q2 - 11:28NOPWithey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
68.3%
22
31.7%
Q2 - 11:29NOPMISS Morrow 20' Jump Shot22
69.8%
22
30.2%
Q2 - 11:43MIAStiemsma STEAL (2 STL)22
68.3%
22
31.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOP22
70.5%
22
29.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOPPELICANS Rebound22
68.3%
22
31.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOPMISS Rivers 12' Jump Shot22
69.8%
22
30.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOPStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
68.3%
22
31.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOPMISS Rivers Free Throw 2 of 222
69.8%
22
30.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOPRivers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
68.7%
22
31.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
70.6%
21
29.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 221
70.0%
21
30.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0NOPWithey 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Aminu 1 AST)21
70.1%
21
29.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
72.5%
19
27.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
71.9%
19
28.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0NOPMorrow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
70.1%
19
29.9%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
68.6%
19
31.4%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIABattier 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)19
68.6%
19
31.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Battier 11' Jump Shot17
64.9%
19
35.1%
Q1 - 1:15MIAHeat Rebound17
66.3%
19
33.7%
Q1 - 1:17NOPMISS Morrow 18' Jump Shot17
65.8%
19
34.2%
Q1 - 1:42MIAJames 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)17
64.8%
19
35.2%
Q1 - 1:59NOPDavis 14' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
62.0%
19
38.0%
Q1 - 2:19MIAJames 3' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)15
64.8%
17
35.2%
Q1 - 2:32NOPRivers 3' Layup (2 PTS)13
62.5%
17
37.5%
Q1 - 2:36MIAStiemsma STEAL (1 STL)13
64.8%
15
35.2%
Q1 - 2:51MIAHeat Rebound13
66.6%
15
33.4%
Q1 - 2:51NOPMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot13
66.1%
15
33.9%
Q1 - 3:03NOPAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
64.9%
15
35.1%
Q1 - 3:04MIAStiemsma BLOCK (1 BLK)13
65.6%
15
34.4%
Q1 - 3:16NOPAminu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
67.1%
15
32.9%
Q1 - 3:16NOPAminu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
67.6%
14
32.4%
Q1 - 3:20NOPAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
68.8%
13
31.2%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
69.5%
13
30.5%
Q1 - 3:29MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
70.9%
13
29.1%
Q1 - 3:30NOPMISS Evans 3' Driving Layup13
70.3%
13
29.7%
Q1 - 3:48MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)13
68.8%
13
31.2%
Q1 - 4:21NOPDavis 2' Dunk (6 PTS)13
71.1%
13
28.9%
Q1 - 4:25MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)13
72.6%
11
27.4%
Q1 - 4:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
74.5%
11
25.5%
Q1 - 4:34NOPMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 113
74.3%
11
25.7%
Q1 - 4:38MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)13
75.9%
9
24.1%
Q1 - 4:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
77.7%
9
22.3%
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
76.5%
9
23.5%
Q1 - 4:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
77.7%
9
22.3%
Q1 - 4:55NOPMISS Babbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
77.1%
9
22.9%
Q1 - 5:12MIADouglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)13
75.5%
9
24.5%
Q1 - 5:37NOPRoberts 2' Layup (2 PTS)10
72.5%
9
27.5%
Q1 - 5:42NOPEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
74.0%
7
26.0%
Q1 - 5:43MIARoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)10
74.5%
7
25.5%
Q1 - 6:09NOPBabbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)10
75.6%
7
24.4%
Q1 - 6:27MIARoberts STEAL (2 STL)10
78.2%
4
21.8%
Q1 - 6:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
79.6%
4
20.4%
Q1 - 6:43NOPMISS Evans 1' Layup10
79.2%
4
20.8%
Q1 - 6:46MIAEvans STEAL (1 STL)10
78.2%
4
21.8%
Q1 - 6:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
79.6%
4
20.4%
Q1 - 6:55NOPMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot10
79.2%
4
20.8%
Q1 - 6:56NOPEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
78.2%
4
21.8%
Q1 - 6:57NOPMISS Evans 3' Jump Shot10
79.2%
4
20.8%
Q1 - 7:04NOPAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
78.0%
4
22.0%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup10
78.5%
4
21.5%
Q1 - 7:33NOPDavis 14' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)10
79.5%
4
20.5%
Q1 - 7:41NOPAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
80.5%
2
19.5%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot10
80.9%
2
19.1%
Q1 - 8:06MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
81.9%
2
18.1%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
81.0%
2
19.0%
Q1 - 8:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
81.9%
2
18.1%
Q1 - 8:23NOPMISS Evans 4' Jump Shot10
81.5%
2
18.5%
Q1 - 8:43MIABosh 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
80.6%
2
19.4%
Q1 - 8:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
79.5%
2
20.5%
Q1 - 8:56NOPMISS Roberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
79.1%
2
20.9%
Q1 - 9:04NOPAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
78.3%
2
21.7%
Q1 - 9:04NOPMISS Babbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
79.2%
2
20.8%
Q1 - 9:24MIAChalmers 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)8
78.3%
2
21.7%
Q1 - 9:28NOPRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
77.2%
2
22.8%
Q1 - 9:34MIARoberts STEAL (1 STL)6
75.7%
2
24.3%
Q1 - 9:49NOPDavis 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Roberts 1 AST)6
77.2%
2
22.8%
Q1 - 10:11MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)6
78.1%
0
21.9%
Q1 - 10:23MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
75.8%
0
24.2%
Q1 - 10:25NOPMISS Evans 1' Layup3
75.3%
0
24.7%
Q1 - 10:32NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
74.4%
0
25.6%
Q1 - 10:33MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 23
74.5%
0
25.5%
Q1 - 10:33MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
75.3%
0
24.7%
Q1 - 10:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
74.5%
0
25.5%
Q1 - 10:50NOPMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot2
74.1%
0
25.9%
Q1 - 11:16MIAJames 14' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
73.1%
0
26.9%
Q1 - 11:40MIAHeat Rebound0
71.7%
0
28.3%
Q1 - 11:42NOPMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot0
71.3%
0
28.7%
Q1 - 12:00NOPJump Ball Davis vs. Bosh: Tip to Roberts0
70.4%
0
29.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.14 57.2%
NOP
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
28
79%
NOP
24
36
67%
Midrange
MIA
7
19
37%
NOP
12
31
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
26
31%
46%
NOP
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
13
17
76%
NOP
12
17
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2566%12.5 / 19
M. Chalmers1968%9.5 / 14
M. Beasley1667%8.0 / 12
C. Bosh1255%6.0 / 11
R. Allen1045%5.0 / 11
C. Andersen583%2.5 / 3
U. Haslem350%1.5 / 3
T. Douglas350%1.5 / 3
S. Battier220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Davis3063%15.0 / 24
T. Evans1653%8.0 / 15
A. Aminu1267%6.0 / 9
L. Babbitt1155%5.5 / 10
A. Morrow1042%5.0 / 12
A. Rivers956%4.5 / 8
B. Roberts857%4.0 / 7
A. Ajinca770%3.5 / 5
J. Withey2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+9
-15
82
NOP
82
+13
-6
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.14 57.2%
NOP
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
107.5
MIA 108.0
NOP 119.3 +11.4
Pace
91.5
92.0
MIA 93.7 +10.7
NOP 83.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.8
MIA 15.4 +2.0
NOP 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
49.5%
MIA 56.2% +0.8%
NOP 55.4%
TO %
15.4%
14.0%
MIA 16.6%
NOP 9.0% +7.6%
ORB %
20.6%
27.0%
MIA 15.6%
NOP 28.2% +12.6%
FTrt
30.0
28.6
MIA 23.3 +3.1
NOP 20.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
56.3%
MIA 73.0% +19.5%
NOP 53.5%
STL %
9.7%
8.5%
MIA 4.5%
NOP 13.6% +9.1%
BLK %
8.1%
11.0%
MIA 9.0% +0.5%
NOP 8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.99 and 2.99.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
52.2%
MIA 57.2% +3.1%
NOP 54.1%
Rim FG%
66.7%
54.4%
MIA 78.6% +11.9%
NOP 66.7%
Mid FG%
42.8%
40.7%
MIA 36.8%
NOP 38.7% +1.9%
3P %
36.4%
37.3%
MIA 30.8%
NOP 41.2% +10.4%
FT %
76.0%
77.0%
MIA 76.5% +5.9%
NOP 70.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
42.4%
MIA 38.4%
NOP 42.9% +4.5%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
38.3%
MIA 26.0% +10.9%
NOP 36.9%
3P Att. %
29.2%
19.3%
MIA 35.6% +15.4%
NOP 20.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIANOP
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points95105
Rebounds3338
Assists2723
Steals412
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)6 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)27 (2)
Field Goals37-7343-84
At-the-Rim FG22-2824-36
Midrange FG7-1912-31
2-Point FG29-4736-67
3-Point FG8-267-17
Free Throws13-1712-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
42.0
25
66%
8
9
0
1
3
1
1
7
3-3
100%
8-14
57%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
36.2
19
68%
2
7
1
1
3
3
2
0
2-4
50%
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 30
33.9
12
55%
6
3
1
1
2
2
0
6
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
0-3
0%
C · 6'8" 235 · 34
17.4
3
50%
6
0
0
0
2
4
1
5
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
13.9
3
50%
1
1
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
31.2
10
45%
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
2-9
22%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
18.0
16
67%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
8-12
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
17.6
2
20%
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
15.1
5
83%
2
0
2
3
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
14.8
0
0%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
57%
33
27
4
6
15
0
5
28
13-17
76%
29-47
62%
8-26
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.